Shenandoah Telecommunications Company (SHEN) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
February 3, 2021
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorGood morning, everyone. Welcome to Shenandoah Telecommunications Conference Call to discuss yesterday's announcement of the sale of their wireless business. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Kirk Andrews, Director of Financial Planning and Analysis for Shentel.
Kirk Andrews
executiveGood morning, and thank you for joining us. The purpose of today's call is to review Shentel's recent announcements regarding the sale price of our wireless assets and operations, the expected timing of the remaining steps in completing the divestiture, the expected use of proceeds and the company's preliminary 2020 results and 2021 outlook. The press releases are included on the Investor page at our website, www.shentel.com. Please note that an audio replay of this call will be made available later today. The details are set forth in the press release announcing this call. With us on the call today are Chris French, President and Chief Executive Officer; Dave Heimbach, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer; and Jim Volk, Senior Vice President of Finance and CFO. After our prepared remarks, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. As always, let me refer you to our safe harbor disclaimer contained in the press releases and remind you that this conference call may include forward-looking statements subject to certain risks and uncertainties. These may cause our actual results to differ materially from the statement. Therefore, please refer to the risk factors in our SEC filings, which you're encouraged to review. You're cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. Except as required by law, we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements. And with that, I'll now turn the call over to Chris. Go ahead, Chris.
Christopher French
executiveThanks, Kirk. We appreciate everyone joining us this morning and hope everyone is healthy and safe. We're pleased to announce that the appraisal process for the sale of our wireless business has been completed. The 3 independent valuation providers have determined that the purchase price based on the calculation of 90% of entire business value as defined in our Sprint affiliate agreement, will be $1.95 billion. This includes approximately $62 million for the present value of the waived Sprint management fee. The valuation result is final and binding. We expect to enter into a definitive asset purchase agreement in the coming weeks and expect the transaction will close in the second quarter of 2021, after satisfying customary closing conditions and obtaining required regulatory approvals. The transaction is structured as an asset sale for tax purposes and all consideration will be paid in cash to Shentel. Upon closing of the transaction, we currently expect to issue a special dividend of $18.75 per share to Shentel's shareholders subject to the approval of our Board of Directors. The anticipated dividend will total approximately $940 million, a significant return of value to our shareholders. As we've disclosed over the past 3 years since Sprint announced their merger with T-Mobile, and we began to explore our options under the affiliate agreement, our goal was to pursue the strategy that was in the best interest of our shareholders. We feel this transaction and the special dividend are great outcomes for our shareholders. In addition, we plan to continue the annual dividend policy that we followed for the past 61 years. We're proud of the wireless business that we have developed and grown for the past 25 years. Our best-in-class network with outstanding sales distribution channels was unsurpassed by any other wireless provider in our region and is a credit to the hard work and dedication of our entire team of employees. We've provided a phenomenal base upon which T-Mobile can build, and customers should expect to continue enjoying the best wireless service experience in our service area. I'd like to now give an update on the strategic post wireless direction of Shentel. Over our long history, we've continued to evolve by investing in the latest technologies to meet the growing demand for telecommunication services in the rural markets we serve. This transaction will allow us to fully focus our resources on our regional integrated broadband communications business. As Jim will discuss shortly, we plan to invest aggressively in our new Glo Fiber and Beam fixed wireless broadband initiatives. With a complementary mix of state-of-the-art cable, fiber and fixed wireless technologies, our broadband business will be able to serve approximately 700,000 homes in the coming years and create a platform for sustainable long-term growth. We're very excited about the growth opportunities for providing quality broadband services to our customers and creating value for our shareholders. With that, I'll now turn the call over to Jim to review the details of the transaction, income tax impacts, expected use of proceeds, preliminary financial results, 2021 outlook and guidance on future leverage. Jim?
James Volk
executiveThank you, Chris, and good morning, everyone. The after-tax proceeds from the sale of Shentel Wireless will be approximately $1.5 billion. As Chris noted, the transaction will be accounted for as an asset sale for income tax purposes. Our tax estimate is based on a tax basis of the wireless assets of approximately $250 million as of December 31, 2020, and an effective tax rate of 26.7%. We currently expect to use the after-tax proceeds of $1.5 billion, plus $195 million of cash on hand at December 31, 2020, to repay the approximately $700 million of outstanding term loans and interest rate swap obligations and fund the approximately $940 million special dividend. We expect to pay the special dividend in the second quarter following the closing of the transaction and approval from our Board of Directors. We are planning to add a new credit facility in the second quarter after closing, and are targeting net leverage to be approximately 2x adjusted OIBDA over the next few years. Turning now to the 2020 preliminary financial results and our 2021 outlook for continuing operations, as we discussed in our press release and 8-K this morning. We are still in the process of completing our financial and operating closing procedures and the 2020 preliminary results provided are unaudited. I will defer any comments on the preliminary results until our fourth quarter earnings call later this month. We expect 2021 revenues to grow approximately 11% to a range of $241 million to $248 million. Operating income is expected to be $7 million to $14 million in 2021. Adjusted OIBDA is expected to grow approximately 28% in 2021 to the $69 million to $76 million range. Both the revenue and adjusted OIBDA growth are driven primarily by the record year of broadband data net adds from our Glo Fiber and incumbent cable products in 2020. Capital expenditures are expected to be $157 million to $168 million in 2021, as we accelerate our investments in new market expansions for Glo Fiber and Beam. We expect to be free cash flow negative in the amount of $90 million in 2021. The investment cycle to reach our targeted 700,000 homes passed will drive negative free cash flow in 2022 and 2023, before our business returns to positive free cash flow in 2024. Please note that we are providing the 2021 guidance for revenue, operating income and adjusted OIBDA to allow the investment community to assess the value of our continuing operations after the wireless divestiture. We plan to revert back to our prior practice of only providing capital expenditure guidance in future years. Operator, we are now ready to take questions.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Ric Prentiss with Raymond James.
Ric Prentiss
analystCongrats on getting to the finish line.
Christopher French
executiveThanks, Ric.
James Volk
executiveThanks, Ric.
Ric Prentiss
analystA couple of questions. I appreciate you doing the call. On the after tax, approximately $1.5 billion, when will you know the actual amount that you have to pay on taxes? And when would you actually pay it as opposed to the cash sitting on the balance sheet?
James Volk
executiveRic, we're still closing our books, as we mentioned, in [ 2020 ]. So we'll be keeping an eye on the basis [ up ] and be doing an estimate through where we expect to be by the end of the year as a form for paying the taxes. So as an example, our fixed assets will continue to depreciate up and through closing. So the number will move somewhat in the next few months. As far as for paying the taxes, what we expect is, we'll probably have to make the first payment in the third quarter, and I expect that would be about 75% of the taxes due, and the remaining payment would be in the fourth quarter.
Ric Prentiss
analystOkay. That helps. And obviously, now you become a very focused broadband company, but you also have towers. Any thought about keeping the towers, selling the towers. Valuations in the tower space have been pretty high, a lot of interest in those tower assets. What are your thoughts on the tower side of the business?
James Volk
executiveRic, in general, I think we've said in the past that towers are not strategic to us. But they're very valuable. So we will -- at this point in time, we plan to hold on to the towers. We think there's some upside to holding on to them. And in the event that we get into a more transformative acquisition, we could certainly think about using them to monetize them at that point in time and allow us to avoid issuing equity to future acquisition beyond our debt capacity.
Ric Prentiss
analystMakes sense. And that leads to my other question. As you look at the landscape out there for broadband properties, how should we think about the pipeline of what might be transactions, particularly transformative acquisitions?
James Volk
executiveDave, would you like to take that one?
David Heimbach
executiveYes, sure, Jim. Look, the -- as I think we've discussed previously, our focus, generally speaking, is on properties that are reasonably adjacent to us geographically, unless there's a sizable one where it would make sense for us to leapfrog several states away or something. So at this point, the funnel is mostly full of opportunities that are more adjacent and less transformational, but we're keeping a close watch there.
Ric Prentiss
analystOkay. And the final one for me is, obviously, the corporate costs are fairly high, given you used to be a much, much larger company with the wireless business. How should we think about rightsizing that corporate cost line area, given that you might do some M&A as well?
James Volk
executiveYes, Ric, we expect it will probably take us a couple of years to get it rightsized. So just a couple of numbers to share: from 2019 to 2020, our corporate expenses declined approximately 14%. We expect a similar decline in 2021. And then the next couple of years, we'll see some smaller declines. From a IT perspective, a finance perspective, we are in an investment cycle to automate a lot of our customer-facing and financial systems which will keep the SG&A at a higher level than our peers for a few years. However, we do expect the SG&A as a percentage of revenue to decline into the low 20% range by [ 2024 ] due to a combination of lower expenses as the automation projects start to create efficiency savings and our Glo Fiber and Beam revenues start to reach scale. And certainly, to your point, if we do an acquisition, that would help leapfrog some time there as well, if we were able to add some accretive acquisitions.
Ric Prentiss
analystGreat. Appreciate it, guys. And congrats on getting the deal done. Obviously, you created a lot of value and a good customer experience. So hopefully, T-Mobile can take the ball and run with it to keep serving the territory.
Christopher French
executiveThanks, Ric.
James Volk
executiveYes. Thank you, Ric.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Zack Silver with B. Riley.
Zachary Silver
analystCongrats on getting the deal done. [Technical Difficulty]
Christopher French
executiveZack, we are having trouble hearing you.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Hamed Khorsand with BWS Financial.
Hamed Khorsand
analystSo first off, just wanted to ask you, what drove you to actually just completely -- almost completely use the cash for dividend versus holding on to some for M&A or some sort of target? Is it M&A more a long-term focus than anything else?
James Volk
executiveYes, Hamed, We do plan to hold on to some of the cash to make sure that we will be fully funded for our internal business plans today, or specifically keep investing in Glo and Beam. So I expect to end the year with about $200 million of cash on hand that will allow us to fully fund the negative free cash flow in '22 and '23. As far as for M&A, by targeting net leverage of 2x, we have the ample capacity to fund small- to medium-sized acquisitions with additional debt and still have leverage, call it, in the 3.5x range. Anything more transformative, as Dave talked about earlier, would probably be funded partially with debt, but we may have to consider potentially monetizing towers and/or issuing equity to do that.
Hamed Khorsand
analystOkay. And my other question was as far as the Glo Fiber and the Beam is concerned, what kind of penetration rates are you forecasting as you expand?
Christopher French
executiveYes. Our terminal penetration rates for Glo are in the 36%, 38% range; and for Beam, it's in the low 30% range.
Hamed Khorsand
analystAnd can you get there immediately?
Christopher French
executiveNo. But it's -- this is telecom, right? So you got to build the infrastructure first and then add subs as you go. So we'll -- we're going to every quarter post you and shareholders on where we are in each of our markets, in each of our new product launches and initiatives so that you can take note of the mile markers as we pass them.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Howard Rosencrans of VA.
Howard Rosencrans
analystCongratulations on the sale. You're guiding to 11% top line and close to 30% OIBDA in '21, is that due to an expense drop? Or is that just a function of sharply higher margins or Glo and Beam getting closer to maturity? Or what is it that bridges that?
James Volk
executiveYes. Howard, the growth is mainly due to the 2020 broadband data net adds. We had a record year. And by record year, we had almost 3x as many broadband net adds in 2020 than we've had in the past 2 or 3 years. So most of the revenue growth and adjusted OIBDA growth is driven by the subs that we've already acquired.
Howard Rosencrans
analystOkay. And where do you -- and where are you now in terms of -- you said your goal is 700, I apologize. Where did you end the year approximately?
James Volk
executiveAbout 230,000 homes passed, I believe.
Christopher French
executiveWe'll give you more detail on that, Howard, in the fourth quarter call.
Howard Rosencrans
analystOkay. And this will take -- and the plan will take -- and in a few years, you -- and in the next 2, 3 years, you expect to get to 700,000 with a big CapEx spend?
Christopher French
executiveYes, that's right. And hopefully, a little more than that.
Howard Rosencrans
analystOkay. And just a couple of more housekeeping questions. The special dividend, is that return of capital [ on vision to be ]?
James Volk
executiveHoward, we'll have to check our accumulating earnings and profits and determine how much that would be income versus return of capital. I don't know that answer, as we speak.
Howard Rosencrans
analystOkay. And a really ignorant question, I apologize. What happened to Wireline? Did you sell that already?
James Volk
executiveHoward, we combined segments in 2020. So Wireline is now in the Broadband segment, along with our cable operations, our Glo Fiber product and our fixed wireless Beam product.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Bill Bennett of Whitney & Company.
William Bennett
analystCongratulations. My question kind of drives toward Glo Fiber. If you're trying to get from 230 to 700, do you face kind of a labor challenge to expand the workforce to really drive that growth? Is that a significant issue today?
David Heimbach
executiveBill, this is Dave. Let me first clarify Chris' comments in the opening remarks. The 700,000 is a combined number between our incumbent cable franchise passings, which are in combination with Howard's question there about Wireline, our dual incumbent telco area in Shenandoah County, Virginia, in addition to our incumbent cable franchise that we built through acquisition over the last 10 or 12 years, which together is about 215,000 passings. We have 117,000 franchise approved Glo Fiber passings at present, and we've constructed roughly 30,000 we'll -- of those, and we'll give you more details and updates by the end of the month here. And then -- so we have more growth that we expect to achieve. We'd like to get to roughly 300,000 or so passings with our Glo Fiber strategy across a several state region here in the mid-Atlantic, and we'll post you as we get those franchises in place. And then the balance of the passings, the target passings is for our Beam fixed wireless strategy. So we have well over 1 million passing opportunities with our spectrum assets that we've acquired, but we're going to be targeting substantially less than that, mostly where there's no cable or fiber. Yes, sure. And then in terms of your question about labor, no, we haven't seen any issues or shortages in the markets that we're targeting yet, and we hope that we won't. Of course, we're staying very close to that as you probably know, following the industry with the RDOF awards, there's a lot of fiber coming. AT&T has announced some big fiber expansion plans. So there's a lot of folks out there looking to build fiber just like us. And I think the key to that is the relationships we've built in this region over a long history and the fact that we're a very financially stable and secure company. We're not going into, we're emerging from bankruptcy like some of our peers. And so I think the fact that we're able to provide a steady pipeline of work that is growing over time gives folks that we partner with the confidence to staff up and support our needs.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Zack Silver with B. Riley.
Zachary Silver
analystOkay. Great. Can you guys hear me better?
David Heimbach
executiveTake 2.
James Volk
executiveYes.
Zachary Silver
analyst[indiscernible] technical difficulties. And congrats on getting the deal done. The first one for me is just around the 2021 CapEx guide. If you could parse out maintenance CapEx dollars versus growth CapEx? And then longer term, how we should think about the capital intensity of the business, just given the mix of fiber, HFC and fixed wireless?
Christopher French
executiveYes, Zack. Jim, feel free to chime in here. But at a high level, it's -- in 2021, it's going to be 2/3 Glo and Beam and 1/3 incumbent cable and commercial fiber. So a little over $100 million for Glo and Beam and the balance for incumbent cable and fiber -- commercial fiber business. Even in the incumbent cable and commercial fiber, a lot of that is success based. So in terms of parsing out, which is -- what's just strictly maintenance spend, we -- I don't know, we'll have to think about whether we go into that level of detail on the earnings call. But -- yes, the vast majority of our growth CapEx is for the new product initiatives and will remain that way for several years to come.
James Volk
executiveYes. Zack, just to add a little bit more there. We're doubling our investment in Glo and Beam in '21 versus what we did in '20. And the legacy incumbent cable business will be free cash flow positive in [Audio Gap] The CapEx is going to actually decline a tad from where we were in '20. And with the strong year that we had in the growth in EBITDA -- OIBDA, we expected actually free cash flow on the incumbent business, but most of the new investment and the negative free cash flow was coming from Glo and Beam.
Zachary Silver
analystGot it. That's helpful. And then I don't think [ T-mobile ] has very much infrastructure in your footprint in the discussions that you've had with them over many months, did you contemplate do anything around backhaul or tower leasing or other infrastructure partnerships?
James Volk
executiveYes. We shouldn't get into those details now, Zack, but we will be providing tower colocation and backhaul services to T-Mobile on a going-forward basis.
Zachary Silver
analystOkay. Got it. And then 1 more, if I could. You guys have obviously operated in your region for quite some time and probably have a quite a bit of customer data and [indiscernible] well. Are you able to leverage some of the data that you have on customers that you've gathered in wireless and perhaps use that as a competitive advantage to help accelerate your marketing efforts and penetration growth in the broadband business?
James Volk
executiveIn a word, no. But that hasn't been the case ever. As a Sprint affiliate, we were prohibited from cross-pollinating our various businesses by leveraging off of the Sprint customer data as well. So we've been able to have a tremendous amount of success in spite of that or in lieu of that, however you want to think of it. And we don't see that as a big hindrance or hurdle to have to clear to achieve our growth strategy.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Barry Sine with Spartan Capital.
Barry Sine
analystI have a couple of questions, but I just want to follow-up on that last point. Correct me if I'm wrong, but does T-Mobile not inherit your tower and fiber backhaul intercompany contracts that your business had with the wireless division? Or do you have to start over from scratch in terms of those contracts?
James Volk
executiveYes, Barry, we're in the middle of negotiating purchase agreements and transition service agreements, and we shouldn't get into the details of the intricacies of that. But once we've concluded that process, we can provide you more information.
Barry Sine
analystOkay. And then just backward-looking on the appraisal process. A couple of questions on that. Can you identify who the 3 appraisers were? How they came up with their numbers? You've already broken out the $65 million for the Sprint waiver. Just questions like that.
James Volk
executiveYes, Barry, there was 3 appraisers. They were Moelis, [ PWT ] and UBS. And as far as for their valuation methods, they were all experts in the wireless industry. They were expected to use their professional judgment in determining how to value our business. And that's -- we're kind of limited to what we can say beyond that.
Barry Sine
analystSo you won't be releasing their reports.
James Volk
executiveNo, we will not.
Barry Sine
analystAnd my last question is just on the taxation. You're writing a pretty big check to the IRS as part of this process. Could you talk about what steps you took to potentially mitigate taxation on this, presumably, some of those would have required the cooperation of the buyer in this process, but you wind up with a pretty hefty tax bill?
James Volk
executiveYes, Barry, we were certainly aware that, that was a possibility. First of all, the affiliate agreement that outlined this whole process if Sprint merged with a competitor, T-Mobile, and the agreement clearly indicates it would be an asset sale. So that was kind of the underlying theme that we all had to work within. Early in our conversations with T-Mobile, we did bring up the idea of maybe doing something more tax efficient. But we never came to an agreement with them on that. And to be honest with you, that was secondary to valuation, and we never got to an agreement on valuation, and therefore, we ended up in the appraisal process.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from James [indiscernible] with Global Platinum.
Unknown Analyst
analystNo further questions.
Operator
operatorOur next question comes from Sergey Dluzhevskiy with GAMCO Investors.
Sergey Dluzhevskiy
analystJust a question on potential acquisition opportunities for you. Could you, at a high level, discuss criteria that you have for acquisition opportunities? Obviously, you mentioned that you prefer reasonably geographically adjacent properties. What types of assets would you be focused on? What would be ideal for you? And how do those criteria change, if at all, for transformative deals? How far out of the region would you be willing to go for a transformative acquisition?
Christopher French
executiveYes. Sergey, thanks for the question. We're focused primarily on fiber assets and incumbent cable assets. And obviously, if the incumbent cable assets are extensible with our existing franchise, where we can leverage the synergies of our existing core operation, that's all the better for obvious operating leverage reasons. And in terms of fiber assets, we have a growing commercial fiber business, still relatively small as compared to the balance of the mix. But we would look at and entertain opportunities both in the commercial enterprise wholesale space as well as the consumer space there. In terms of the size and the scale of the operation for us to consider leapfrogging, as I said earlier, maybe several states away, I'd say it has to be in tens of millions of dollars of EBITDA range annually for us to consider that because that operation would have to have sufficient enough scale to operate on its own for the most part and not leverage off of the network and the assets we've already built here. So hopefully, that's helpful.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] Our next question is a follow-up from Ric Prentiss with Raymond James.
Ric Prentiss
analystI appreciate a couple of extra follow-ups. Jim, on the debt side, I think you said you wanted to kind of initially target around 2x leverage, but over a multiyear period maybe? Because obviously, EBITDA is growing pretty fast as you spend the capital and grow. What should we think about the leverage flexible ability, if you did an acquisition, you might go up into the 3.5x range?
James Volk
executiveYes. That -- for, I would say, a medium-sized acquisition, Ric, we could flex up into the 3.5x range. That would give us a fair amount of debt capacity to do an acquisition. So yes, that's correct.
Ric Prentiss
analystAnd the initial kind of debt pull down as you get to the transaction, should we think of that more like in the $150 million to $200 million range sizing?
James Volk
executiveWe're looking -- this is very fluid. We haven't gotten too far with our banks yet. We've been focusing on the appraisal process first and foremost. But yes, at this stage, I'm probably looking the gross leverage out of the gate. The gross leverage would be maybe closer to 3.3x, 3.4x OIBDA. We do expect to keep a higher amount of cash on hand than we normally would. And that's -- we want to make sure that we're fully funded with a negative free cash flow in '22 and '23. So I mentioned we're targeting exiting this year with about $200 million of cash to make sure that we're fully funded going forward. So the net leverage in '21, Ric, will probably -- the net debt will be closer to probably around $50 million, and maybe it's 0.7x net leverage, but we will hit the 2x leverage in '22, as we start to spend some of that cash and perhaps we may take down some additional debt in '22 as well. Again, the process is still very fluid.
Ric Prentiss
analystMakes sense. And what kind of rate talk are you hearing? Because interest rates are still pretty attractive. We've seen a little upward trend later, but they still look pretty attractive. What kind of price talk are you hearing out there? What are you hoping the target to?
James Volk
executiveYes. It would be a little premature to get into price discussion at this point in time. But I can tell you there's not a shortage of players out there who want to lend us money and more money than we probably need. So I think we'll have plenty of opportunities.
Ric Prentiss
analystMakes sense. And just going back on Barry's question for a second. Can you share with us what you think kind of the multiple of enterprise value the EBITDA was for the Wireless business that the final purchase price ended up at?
James Volk
executiveYes. I think the gross number based upon the entire business value, which came in at $2.1 billion. Ric, I believe that came out to about 9.5x trailing adjusted OIBDA. And then the net number is probably closer to 8.5x. The $1.95 billion is closer to 8.5x.
Ric Prentiss
analystOkay. And then I don't believe you guys are in the C-band auction, so maybe -- maybe share some thoughts. You did participate in the CBRS, that auction quiet period is over. You've got that spectrum, it's going to help your Beam product. How are you thinking about the C-band auction, the very high prices that are going there, what it might mean for you?
David Heimbach
executiveWell, Ric, I think the market is generally speculating with not perfect clarity yet. It looks like the big 3 cellular guys were heavily involved in that auction. And because the nature of the auction was just fundamentally different, right? CBRS, as you know, was auctioned at the county level. It allowed us to really pinpoint where we wanted to go with our strategy, whereas C-band was done basically in our region, kind of piggybacking off the Baltimore and DC markets. And so the pricing we knew was going to be quite a bit higher. It even probably -- I think you've shared this view, it exceeded our expectations and the market's expectations in general in terms of the pricing it fetched. So we always had planned to sit that one out. In terms of how we think about spectrum assets going forward, as you know, there's some more 2.5 potential down the road here that we'll be paying close attention to. We're certainly open to spectrum swap opportunities. And to the extent that, that we have an opportunity to acquire more spectrum through M&A or from speculators or what have you in the mid-band space, we'd be open to considering those opportunities.
Operator
operatorThere are no further questions. I'd like to turn the call back over to Jim Volk for any closing remarks.
James Volk
executiveYes. So thank you, everyone, for joining us today. This is certainly a transformative event in the long history of Shentel. We think we have a lot of exciting things in front of us here, as we've been talking about in our broadband business. So we look forward to keeping you updated just in a couple of weeks here when we release our fourth quarter 2020 operating and financial results. Thanks, everyone, and have a good day.
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, this does conclude the program. You may now disconnect. Everyone, have a great day.
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