Silgan Holdings Inc. (SLGN) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

August 9, 2022

New York Stock Exchange US Materials Containers and Packaging conference_presentation 24 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Daniel Rizzo

analyst
#1

Up next, we have Silgan Holdings joining us today. We have Adam Greenlee, CEO; Robert Lewis, who is the CFO; and Alex Hutter of the IR department. This is going to be scheduled like a fireside chat, so we'll just kind of talk up here. [Operator Instructions] So I guess first to start, thank you both for coming. We really appreciate it.

Daniel Rizzo

analyst
#2

And just -- for just general knowledge, can you just give us a brief description of Silgan, what you guys do?

Adam Greenlee

executive
#3

Sure. Thanks for having us, Dan. Silgan Holdings, we're a $5.7 billion company in 2021 revenues with 3 primary product lines, all in sustainable rigid packaging for consumer goods products. The largest segment that we have by profit is our Dispensing and Specialty Closures segment. Next largest for us will be Metal Containers, and our final product line is Custom Containers. All serving, again, essentially the consumer goods marketplace.

Daniel Rizzo

analyst
#4

And you mentioned briefly your 3 segments. Actually, one question that comes up, at least to me a lot, is about your valuation. I think just on some of the parts space, if we think about it, Metal Containers 10x roughly or average, plastics 11x to 12x, and Dispensing is probably 12x maybe even a little bit greater. What do you think you can do to unlock the value to kind of realize the valuation you probably deserve?

Adam Greenlee

executive
#5

Sure. Well, I think our company has evolved over time. If you look at the capital that we've allocated towards our Dispensing and Specialty Closures segment over the last 5 years, we've allocated approximately $3 billion in acquisitions. So we've evolved into a company that provides the same defensive characteristics that Silgan has traditionally had and combined it with an organic growth business that will help, I think, facilitate our growth going forward. So I think that the market is evolving to that thought process as well, that the company has changed over time. And I think those market valuations you mentioned will cleanse themselves, and part of that is us being here today. We're out telling our story about who the company is today and clarifying how we've evolved versus maybe some of the historic perspectives of the company.

Daniel Rizzo

analyst
#6

Okay. And you've been with the company for a while, but I think -- but rose to the CEO position since September. Can we expect anything or should we expect anything different going forward? Or is the strategy going to be largely the same?

Adam Greenlee

executive
#7

It's a great question. It's an interesting time to take over as a CEO. I have been with Silgan for 17 years, so deeply embedded in kind of the history and traditions and cultures of the company. Been fortunate enough to work with Bob and the rest of our team for that period of time as well. And what I'd tell you is, as the company has evolved, our strategy has also evolved. We are providing more organic growth as we go forward and -- with our highly engineered products, so that does take on a slightly different management perspective to allow for that growth. So all the great things that we've done historically, now, with the growth portfolio to add to that.

Daniel Rizzo

analyst
#8

Okay. And then just taking it into the segments, let's just take a look at Metal Containers, where you were in 2019, improved from '20 to '22. Understanding what's happened already, what can we expect going forward?

Adam Greenlee

executive
#9

Well, I think the biggest thing to think about with our Metal Container segment is how that portfolio has matured over time. You've got one specific component of Metal Containers in the pet food segment that has grown significantly over, call it, the last 5 years, certainly since 2019 as well. And that has grown to where it's almost 50% of our volume in the Metal Container segment. It is growing faster than the rest of the market. So as we think about going forward, you've got kind of mid- to upper-single digits growth in the pet food segment. It's almost half of our volume. Inherently, our Metal Containers business now is expected to grow from an organic volume perspective. And again, we've got long contracts, much like our historic perspective covering that business as well.

Daniel Rizzo

analyst
#10

Within that pet food business then, I mean, given the growth that you've just seen, can we -- I mean, just given the tougher comps, can we see it like kind of leveling off going forward? Or do you think you can -- this trajectory can continue for at least a couple more years or so?

Adam Greenlee

executive
#11

Well, I think actually, we'll grow this year, is the expectation, and that's in the face of challenges that our customers haven't been able to commercialize their capacity as quickly as they had wanted to. So I think that actually the segment will grow going forward, so we don't see it as leveling off. We see pet food continuing to grow in the marketplace. We'll use that 6% to 8% kind of growth rate that we've seen over the last several years as well.

Robert Lewis

executive
#12

Dan, I think you can also look at what our customers are doing. So we are the predominant player in pet food, not just in the U.S. but globally as well. and many of our customers are making significant investment as they see growth in the pet food market as well, and we're following in right with them.

Daniel Rizzo

analyst
#13

So with that in mind, with the growth that's expected within pet food, and I guess, Metal Containers in general, could you just talk about your capacity utilization? Where you are right now? And if you can meet this growth or, if there -- at some point, you're going to need to do at least a brownfield expansion or something like that?

Adam Greenlee

executive
#14

Sure. And maybe to talk about current capacity utilization, let's talk about where we were as well. So if you go back pre-pandemic, we had announced a rationalization plan to rightsize our capacity with our customers' volumes. Obviously, we got through the first 2 plant rationalizations in that program. And then we elected to stop given the increased demands of the pandemic where we saw volumes increasing something to the tune of 20%. So to be able to handle that kind of capacity or that kind of volume increase, we had significant utilization increases in all of our facilities. And we were supporting the market in a very inefficient way just to get the maximum number of cans to the marketplace. So as we came into 2021, we knew volumes were going to be down as we came off of a vegetable pack surge in 2021. We actually thought that was going to be a good thing for the business, because it would allow us to get back to that operating footprint that we've had historically and operated so efficiently over time. So that's what's happened. We're back running the utilization rates that we would like to run versus being significantly stressed the last 2 years. And then just from a capacity addition going forward, we've been investing heavily to support the pet food growth, and we'll continue to do that under our long-term contracts and with our customer commitments.

Daniel Rizzo

analyst
#15

Do you have the contracts before you commit new capacity? Or I mean, how does that work as you -- is that thing right?

Adam Greenlee

executive
#16

Yes. Typically, we have. It's part of a long-term contract, and I think one of the unique things about our business model is all of those long-term contracts we have in the food can business, we've renewed or extended every single one of them in the history of the company. So I'll almost say chicken or egg, whether it's contract or capacity investment because those contracts continue to roll over.

Daniel Rizzo

analyst
#17

Okay. Okay. And then, so how should we think about a good profit level for this business in the future? I mean, what should we -- what's the goal, I guess?

Adam Greenlee

executive
#18

Well, the first thing is that it's been incredibly stable over time, so I think that's the defensive nature about what we're doing. When you think about putting that additional volume across the fixed cost base that we have, I would anticipate not only volume growth going forward with the mix moving to more pet food, but I would envision profit growth going forward as well.

Daniel Rizzo

analyst
#19

And then one of the things, and just taking more of a step back, a more -- from the whole company's perspective, one of the things that you've talked about a lot recently is some of the destocking that's going on. Can you just provide color on whether destocking is occurring just for everyone and where -- I guess, where things are still intact, where you're growing?

Adam Greenlee

executive
#20

Sure. And now we'll transition to 2 other segments of our business.

Daniel Rizzo

analyst
#21

Yes. So now we're talking about...

Adam Greenlee

executive
#22

Dispensing and Specialty Closures, and our Custom Container business. Metal Containers really wasn't part of the destocking item for 2022. It was a bit of a surprise. That was the retail inventory correction that was announced, call it, late April, early May, by large retailers in the U.S. market. Very specific to some of our home, hygiene, kind of home lawn care products in our Dispensing segment, in particular, was impacted with our trigger sprayers. Again, think about lawn care, think about hard surface cleaners or window cleaners, those all have a trigger sprayer actuated component to them, and those inventory corrections are now taking place at the retail level. We think we'll be through those by the end of the year. If you think about a trigger sprayer, typically, that goes on top of a bottle and in many cases, our bottles are supporting the trigger sprayer as well. So it impacted our Dispensing and Specialty Closures and Custom Container segment.

Daniel Rizzo

analyst
#23

You mentioned home care and lawn care. I assume this is just COVID-related where there was a surge as people were kind of stuck at home or focused more at home and now we're getting back towards, I guess, a more normalized rate. Is that the way to think about that?

Adam Greenlee

executive
#24

Yes. And I think again, when you talk about lawn care being down for us in 2022, go back to last year when everybody, to your point, Dan, was stuck at home. We had an early season, we had a late season and then we had a pre-build in '21 for the '22 season. So last year was, by all means, an all-time record lawn and garden season for our company. And I think this year is a more normalized rate as we have an inventory correction at the end of the year, and we're expecting '23 to be at that normalized level.

Daniel Rizzo

analyst
#25

Okay. So obviously, what comes up a lot with a lot of investors in different companies is Europe. I'm sure you've talked about it in the past. I mean, it's still -- it's an important part of your business, but maybe not the complete focus. Can you just kind of take us through what happens or how you're thinking about Europe, what demand trends are? And if you are expecting a slowdown maybe later this year into 2023?

Robert Lewis

executive
#26

Yes. Sure. I'll jump in, Dan. So roughly 25% of our business is European or touches Europe. It's kind of split between the food can business and the Dispensing and Specialty Closures business. I think the food can business is doing extremely well, and we would expect that to continue. Obviously, there's some risk around what happens with energy. Energy is a relatively small component of our cost of goods. Historically, we would have said it's 2.5% or 3%. Today, with the inflationary rates, it's probably closer to 4.5% or 5%. So meaningful, but not significant. I think the challenge that we're all looking toward is what happens with supply, and that's probably where the larger risk sits as we see it. And with discussions with our customers, we think, given our exposure to food, we'll be deemed an essential business and get some level of priority. But I can't say that it's without risk. Largely similar kind of circumstance on the Dispensing and Specialty Closure side as well. Maybe a little less essential, certainly doesn't have the exposure to -- or as broader exposure to food, but I think we'll still be able to operate through any kind of energy situation.

Daniel Rizzo

analyst
#27

So energy aside, in past recessions or say, 2008, 2009, which is obviously going back a little bit, I would imagine that food holds up, but maybe you'll see a little bit of decline on the Dispensing side. Is that a good way to think about it? I mean -- well, I guess, across the whole business, Metal -- Custom Containers, Metal Containers and Dispensing in a recession in Europe or global, how does that affect Silgan?

Adam Greenlee

executive
#28

I think it's -- for us, it's more about the power of our entire portfolio. So when you talk about the 3 product segments, again, food cans, in particular, will be very defensive in a recession. And we have many experiences through different economic cycles where the food can does particularly well. I think when you focus in on our Dispensing and Specialty Closures segment, again, it's the breadth of the portfolio of products and markets we serve. So we do think we have some very defensive product lines and markets that we serve that will be very good in a recessionary environment. We also have other organic growth opportunities in that business that do well, I think, certainly in a more cyclical environment, but will be balanced out by the defensive nature of the balance of the portfolio and the business. And roughly the same thing for Custom Containers.

Daniel Rizzo

analyst
#29

So thinking about a recession, how certain things will outperform the others, what levers would you pull? I mean, could you shift assets around to meet the demand or to kind of recalibrate the demand? Or what do you do, I guess, just in general when things are -- when there's a global slowdown?

Adam Greenlee

executive
#30

Sure. One thing that we're very proud of at Silgan over time in history, we've had a relentless focus on managing the cost structure of our businesses, and that hasn't changed. And I think we did exceptionally well during the pandemic in putting assets and resources towards the markets that needed them. So we've got a blueprint already essentially with a dramatic change in portfolio dynamics of our products. So in many cases, we can reallocate capital and reallocate assets towards those markets that require volume. And in others, we've shown a tremendous ability to drive cost out of the system and take cost out of our cost structure.

Daniel Rizzo

analyst
#31

Would you consider or are you considering if there is a downturn, you invest through the downturn just so that when things actually do you start to pick up at least in some of your cyclical segments, you can take more share than you would have before? Is that part of the process?

Adam Greenlee

executive
#32

Well, I just think it's a disciplined approach across the board, whether in an up cycle or a downturn of economic circumstance across the world. So we feel like all of our businesses have significant moats around them, and we're consistently investing to increase the competitive advantage that each of those businesses have.

Daniel Rizzo

analyst
#33

Okay. And then another topic that's always on investors' minds, I'm sure you get asked about a lot, is sustainability. Can you just talk a little bit about how sustainability is affecting you guys? What you're doing for your own footprint, and maybe how you can also -- you're helping your customers as well?

Adam Greenlee

executive
#34

Sure. We've got a great portfolio of products for sustainability. We think we're at advantaged versus most of our competition. Again, you think about Dispensing and Specialty Closures, just the very nature of a dispensing product is a multi-use function for dispensing product for consumer use. So just the inherent nature of that product line says we're venturing deeper away from single-use product lines. We're working with our customers very closely on PCR alternatives to resins that we use today. And these are highly engineered products, and we've got a great portfolio of PCR products coming to market, some certainly already in the markets. And then the food container is an interesting item in Metal Containers. It's the most sustainable food packaging item available. It's got the highest recycling rate of any food or beverage package, including beverage cans. And it's got a recycled content of steel that includes 95% of the steel ever manufactured is still in the circular economy for steel products today. It may not come back as a food can, it may be rebar in a highway somewhere. But the important factor is that you're not starting with virgin raw materials every single time. And then finally, with our Custom Containers segment, again, primarily multi-use products. So very limited use of single-use plastics, highly engineered products for multi-use consumer goods.

Daniel Rizzo

analyst
#35

Are you -- I mean, are you looking to increase the recycled content within the Customer Containers, or?

Adam Greenlee

executive
#36

I would say within all 3 segments.

Daniel Rizzo

analyst
#37

All 3 segments?

Adam Greenlee

executive
#38

Yes. So we've got a vast array in Custom Containers, a vast array of PCR alternatives already with our customers.

Daniel Rizzo

analyst
#39

Okay. Okay. And just -- so I mean, feel free to ask questions, guys. I mean we're just kind of rolling through things here. Again, if there's questions from the audience, please let me know. Okay. So you talked about your products and how they're helping customers reduce their footprint. Are there steps you're taking to reduce your own carbon footprint?

Adam Greenlee

executive
#40

Always. And that's one item that is not new for Silgan is our effort and focus on sustainability. We used to call that operational efficiency once upon a time, and it's morphed into a more sustainable conversation. But we've been driving costs out. We've been driving weight out of our products for many, many, many years. And really, what's happened now is the customer engagement for more highly engineered solutions to get at their initiatives regarding sustainability. And we're working arm in arm with them to develop those products and commercialize those products.

Daniel Rizzo

analyst
#41

Okay. You guys are -- have a large presence in North America, a sizable presence in Europe, but Asia seems to be less of a focus. I was wondering if that's changing or if it will change, or is there something about Asia that makes it less enticing?

Robert Lewis

executive
#42

Yes. It's an interesting question. We do have some exposure to Asia. Limited, largely in our Dispensing and Specialty Closures business. I think by definition, we've been cautious about the Asian markets, largely because if you look at most American companies that have invested there, the returns have not been great, getting cash back has been difficult, and I think we've had better investment opportunities as we see it. So it's as much about what the opportunities have been elsewhere as it has been a cautionary tale around the Asian markets. I think we'll be opportunistic, particularly around continued growth in Dispensing and Specialty Closures. I think other markets have been a bit more challenged, the food can market being one. On one side, you've got a large population that's going to need to continue to feed itself, so the food can would be a good choice for that. The flip side of that is it's traditionally been a much more fresh food-oriented market. And so until that processed food market develops or further develops, it's kind of the cart before the horse to make an investment there.

Daniel Rizzo

analyst
#43

Okay. That makes sense. And then one thing that -- I mean, you've talked it, everyone has talked about it, is these costs. Obviously, it's on everyone's mind, logistical costs, raw material costs, labor issues. Just -- can you give us your near-term and medium-term expectations for the various cost buckets?

Adam Greenlee

executive
#44

Sure. I think, again, it's important to look at where we are today, right? So we've done a really good job of managing our cost structure throughout what was a challenging time during the pandemic, and then as we've kind of exited the pandemic here in recent times in '22. So look, we're in an inflationary environment. The important thing about Silgan is our contracts, particularly in the Metal Container business, allow for the pass-through of our raw material costs. We have lag pass-throughs of labor and other. We also have raw material cost pass-through in Dispensing and Specialty Closures and Custom Containers as well. So those inflationary items, we've proven thus far year-to-date and in our history that we're able to recapture those back in the market.

Daniel Rizzo

analyst
#45

Okay. And we have a few minutes left here, I guess we should focus in a little bit on your cash deployment strategy. How would you think about it, particularly, how would you think about it given your current valuation in the current inflationary environment? I guess, what are the focuses?

Robert Lewis

executive
#46

Sure. So we'll generate roughly $400 million of free cash flow on an ongoing basis. The forecast this year is at approximately $350 million, and that's largely just the impact of the inflation in raw materials hurting working capital. Our leverage will end up at somewhere right around 3x, maybe sub-3x to a small degree. We think that gives us great opportunity to continue to look at M&A opportunities. And just for reference, we've leveraged the balance sheet to kind of 4.25x, 4.3x for specific deals and deployed free cash flow back to delevering, which we've done successfully on a number of occasions within kind of 18 to 24 months. That's still our preference for capital deployment. If there is a situation or a market condition that sort of precludes M&A activity for some period of time and we get to the lower end of that range, that's clearly where we would start considering a capital deployment back to shareholders. We've done that on a number of occasions. I think we've bought back something close to $900 million worth of stock over the last 10 years. And it's not foreign to us, but our preferred use of capital is to continue to grow the company and build out the portfolio.

Daniel Rizzo

analyst
#47

In terms of your leverage, you said 4.3x with a good deal and now, it's a little south -- it's going to be a little south of 3x. Is that the range we should think of between, I guess, 2.5x -- let's call 2.5x to 4.5x, depending where you are in your investment cycle, so to speak?

Robert Lewis

executive
#48

I think we would more specifically say 2.5x to 3.5x is the range, and I'm talking very directly toward the year-end metric, so we sort of ignore the seasonality of the business. So we're a net consumer of cash largely because of the food can seasonality, but that comes with a liquid asset. So for -- at least internally, we ignore that leverage during the season, and we would endeavor to keep the current business at that level. We would, in fact, lever up in the short-term nature for the right acquisitions.

Daniel Rizzo

analyst
#49

Okay. And then you talked about the right acquisitions, you've done a few in the last 2 or 3 years. Can you just say what was attractive about them and what they brought to Silgan in the time frame? And if it's going, I guess, as you would have hoped?

Adam Greenlee

executive
#50

Sure. So look, we've spent approximately $3 billion in our Dispensing and Specialty Closures segment over the last 5 years, and that was with intention. It's a growing segment of rigid packaging. It's a segment that we were offering partial solutions to our customers with a flat cap business that was more focused on food and beverage. So we wanted to get into dispensing in a larger way. And what we immediately learned was that as you take your first step into the dispensing market, it opens up other avenues. And I think each of the acquisitions subsequent to the original buyout of the home and beauty business from WestRock would allow us to say that we have ventured down a different path through the Dispensing and Specialty Closures segment. Those acquisitions are doing exceptionally well all the way back to the WestRock acquisition in 2017. So I think it's, for us, an area that we're going to continue to allocate capital towards. It's providing growth at a greater rate than the balance of our portfolio, and we think it's a great way for us to continue to offer more products to our consumers and customers.

Robert Lewis

executive
#51

Yes. I think if you look at the financial performance of those businesses from an operational standpoint, they're outpacing the M&A model. I think the one headwind, maybe two headwinds that we have, which it's still delivering on the bottom line level more than what we expected. But the headwind, obviously, on FX to some degree, impacting those acquisitions, and interest rates are obviously higher than what we were modeling. But still, the performance of the business is outperforming the model.

Daniel Rizzo

analyst
#52

All right. Great. Thank you, guys. We're just about at the end of the time here. Thanks, everyone, for listening in.

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