Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRE) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
November 23, 2020
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Unknown Attendee
attendeeAndrew, what do today's results tell us about the company's performance?
Andrew Coombs
executiveWell, I think the performance has been stable, but generally flat both in terms of P&L and also cash collection level. But given the challenges of the last few months, I think what they really demonstrate is not only the resilience of the business model, but also the strength of the operating platform in Germany. As your listeners and viewers will know, Sirius has got an operating platform of 260 people in over 60 different locations throughout Germany. And it's because of this strong operating platform and the business model in Germany, that we are able to maintain the kind of performance and the kind of resilience that we've seen over the last 6 months. And let's not forget, Sirius' business has got a lot of diversity built into that business model. For example, if you look at the type of customer that we deal with, we deal with everyone from large blue chips that provide 44% of our income right away across 2 small 1-man bands as well as nearly 50% of our customers coming from the German Mittelstand, the German SMEs. But the type of space that we provide, it's not 1 category of space. We provide factories. We provide light manufacturing, we provide storage, and we provide out-of-town offices. And if you think about the locations that, that's spread across, Germany has 7 different autonomous regions. Unlike the U.K., we don't have a disproportionate amount of industry concentrated in the south of England. Germany is, as an economy, far well, far much better spread geographically. And Sirius' footprint of sites represents that. And furthermore, we have got no single industry that dominates our tenant base. We have no industry sector that gives us more than 3% exposure as a company. So Sirius is an extremely well-diversified business in various different ways. And that is why we are able to be so resilient in the face of this pandemic.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeSo how has the COVID pandemic impacted on the company's business and operations?
Andrew Coombs
executiveWell, obviously, we've had to employ COVID-specific tactics. And I guess, 2 that spring to mind, in particular. One is to do with our marketing function. So we, over preceding years, have always tried to operate on the 50th centile where inquiries are concerned. And what that means is that in the past, we have employed all our marketing tactics to 100% of their capability, understood how many inquiries we can attract in a month and then try to take 50% of that as our basis of normality. And the reason that we've done that is so that if we are confident in an upturn that we are basically attracting half of the inquiries that we're capable of attracting; then we're also confident that in a downturn, whilst we might have to increase our marketing spend, whilst we might have to turn up our marketing tactics, we can still maintain that 50th centile even though we might end up operating on the 90th centile. And actually, what we've seen in the COVID pandemic is that by turning up the tactics, we have actually managed to experience an increase in inquiry flow. So we have attracted in the last 6 months, more inquiries than we normally would have done. But what we have had to do is we've had to operate way beyond the 50th centile in order to do that. But that was always part of the plan. And the last few months has been a really, really good opportunity to test that plan and to prove that it does actually work. And then the second point is tenant communication. So back in March, we realized this was going to be key. We identified that half of our 5,000 tenants were the most vulnerable. And what we did is we devoted 1/3 of our workforce to regularly on a weekly basis, putting structured calls into those tenants. And those calls were all about making sure that those tenants knew how to access government support. They knew how to prioritize their cash flow and move to cash accounting. And that they were aware that the landlord was open to discussions about downsizing space or talking about things within the lease that might need to be discussed. I'm delighted to tell you some 4, 5 months later that 97% of those tenants have paid their rents in full, that we've had very few conversations about downsizing space. And that the outcome for both Sirius and its tenants as a result of that support and communication has been good for both parties.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeAnd do you think that the pandemic will have a long-term impact on your portfolio, and in particular, the office space?
Andrew Coombs
executiveWell, I think the first thing that I would mention is that our portfolio is about 30% office. And all of the office is out of town rather than the inside of town. So we are not a predominantly office-focused organization. But we do have offices in our portfolio. They are on industrial estates, and they are on the edge of town. And clearly, there's been a big debate going on over the last few months in terms of, are offices dead? I don't think the office market or the market in the center of town for people occupying offices is dead. I think the type of space that people occupy will change. And I think the location will vary. So whereas the most popular locations have normally been in the center of town, I think you'll see that change. I think the center will still be popular, but I think the edge of town is going to become more popular for some people than it has been in the past. I think the fashion of 35-story buildings in the center of town versus industrial buildings that are typically no more than 3 or 4 stories high on the edge of town, I think the industrial buildings will give the buildings in the CBD district far more of a run for their money in the future. And if you think about it, if you can drive to the edge of town and park close to a building on industrial estate. And if you are able to enter that building through a very large industrial lift and only travel a couple of floors up to space whereby you've got very large windows that can be open to let in fresh air in rooms with high ceiling heights on a site that's got lots of green space where you can work outside and take calls outside, I mean you can see what I'm saying. I think the fashion of spending a lot of time in tall high-rise buildings in the center of cities, I think that will lessen. There will still be demand for that, but there'll be less demand for that. And more of that demand will shift away from the central business districts and into the edge of town. And when it does, industrial buildings are particularly well placed to be able to absorb that demand for some of the reasons I've already mentioned.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeWhat's the business sentiment like in Germany? And how is the government there managing the pandemic?
Andrew Coombs
executiveWell, I think it's generally accepted that Germany's response to the pandemic compared to the rest of Europe has been reasonably good. And the approval rating of the German government by the citizens of Germany throughout this pandemic has actually increased. If you look at the second lockdown, I call it a lockdown light in Germany because it is much lighter than the first lockdown. For example, businesses are still operating, shops are still open. You can still go to hairdressers and get your haircut. That's obviously not the case in the U.K. So what we are seeing in Germany in the second lockdown is a lighter lockdown. I suspect that lockdown will go on certainly beyond the end of November. So it might be a longer lockdown, but it's definitely a lighter lockdown. What you are seeing generally in Germany, in my experience, is more confidence in the government's handling of the crisis, both economically and also from a health perspective. Clearly, Germany has the advantage of already having a very large diagnostic capability, which means that people have been able to get tested much more easily, and they've been able to get their results back much quicker. The track and trace system in Germany is a track and trace system that was developed by the company behind SAP, and it is a much more efficient and much better system. I think over 30 million people in Germany are currently using that and registered with it. So there are a number of differences in terms of what's happening in Germany to what's happening in the rest of the U.K. and that's also borne out by the figures, in particular, the mortality rates. So I think people are generally more confident. And businesses certainly are operating at greater productivity Germany than they were during the first lockdown.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeAnd what can you tell us about the outlook for the German market?
Andrew Coombs
executiveWell, if you just look at what's happened in the German economy, the German economy is contracted by less than 10% in the immediate aftermath of the first wave. If you look at most other European economies and in particular, the U.K. economy, it's contracted by more than 10%. So I think the first thing is the German economy is bigger than anything else in Europe. And the contraction in percentage terms has been smaller. If you also look at the level of state aid that's being put forward, Germany has already announced that it will maintain furlough until at least December '21. So Germany has not only and is not only in a place to offer more support than anybody else. The German economy is already benefiting from that. And if you look at unemployment figures, whilst they have increased in Germany, whilst they have increased in the U.K., you'll see the increase in unemployment, unsurprisingly, is much lower in Germany than is in most other European countries. So Germany is equipped much better to deal with this. It is dealing with this with much deeper and much longer-term state aid. And already, there is evidence to show that the economy hasn't been as badly impacted in percentage terms as has been the case in some other European countries.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeAnd what does that mean for Sirius Real Estate?
Andrew Coombs
executiveWell, I think the story for Sirius is all around the asset class. And as I've explained, our assets are on the edge of German towns and cities. And I think in a post pandemic scenario, what we will see is we'll see migration from the center of town onto the edge of town. But I think we'll also see some themes playing out. One of the themes, I think, we'll be seeing that will play out is less globalization and more localization. And I think supply chains will become more localized. I think people will want supply chains to be more localized. I think consumers will put pressure to ensure that there's more localization. And I think companies will welcome more localization because they'll appreciate that it reduces their risks. But what that means is that people will need more storage. They'll need more space on the edge of town in industrial properties. It will mean that the demand for industrial property on the edge of town is only likely to increase. And I think that can only be a good thing for companies like Sirius in this asset class.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeAndrew Coombs, Chief Executive of Sirius Real Estate. Thank you for your time.
Andrew Coombs
executiveThank you.
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