Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRE) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

October 10, 2022

London Stock Exchange GB Real Estate Diversified REITs trading_statement 19 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Andrew Coombs

executive
#1

Good morning to you all, and thank you for taking the time to participate in this morning's call. My name is Andrew Coombs. I'm the Group Chief Executive Officer for Sirius Real Estate. And I'm joined today by Alistair Marks in his capacity as the group's Interim CFO. We're here today to talk you through our half year trading update, covering the period from April 1 to September 30 of this year. The information in the trading statement has not yet been reviewed by the company's auditors. That review will take place in the coming weeks, and that will lead to the official announcement of Sirius Real Estate's half year interim results on Monday, November 21. Can I start today by confirming that the company continues to trade in line with expectations? And given a number of issues affecting property companies at present, we are relatively pleased with progress in the first half of the year, and we remain cautiously confident in our plans to deliver full year's earnings growth over the coming months. Maybe I can start before I get into the statement by addressing the energy crisis, specifically in Germany. In its statement on the 30th of September, the German federal agency responsible for the coordination of the supply of gas throughout Germany confirmed German gas reserves are now at more than 90% capacity, and gas continues to be supplied from a range of sources other than the Nord Stream pipeline. Furthermore, the German Chancellor, Olaf Scholz, confirmed that the government will establish a defense shield with a volume of up to EUR 200 billion of cash to cushion the impact of expensive energy on both citizens and businesses until the end of 2024. And as previously communicated, Sirius secured gas supplies for its customers at fixed rates back in 2020. And those fixed-rate agreements do not expire until the end of 2023. So in summary, the gas supply issues in Germany are much less of a risk for this winter than they were back in February and March of this year. And the real issue for Germany is all about the supply of energy not this winter but in the winter of '23, '24. Let me now go back to the period that we're talking about, the first half of this financial year. As you can see, both in the U.K. and Germany, we are delivering solid rent roll growth. In addition, we have disposed of the Camberwell asset for GBP 16 million in London. And in Germany, we have sold an asset in Magdeburg for around EUR 14 million. Both those assets are sales at significantly above valuation. We have also recently refinanced or agreed the refinancing of the EUR 170 million Berlin Hyp loan, and we refinanced it with a 7-year facility that will last until the end of October in 2030. However, most importantly, these new arrangements will not commence until November of next year. And they will have the effect of increasing the group's weighted average cost of debt from 1.4% to 1.9% whilst extending its weighted average debt expiry from 3.8 years to 5 years. We have a healthy balance sheet position of cash reserves of around EUR 162 million, of which EUR 138 million of cash is unrestricted. Our inquiry flows remain high. Our cash collections are good. And let's not forget, the company now has EUR 1.6 billion of unencumbered assets. The portfolios both in Germany and the U.K. were last valued in March '22. And comparative to the rest of the sector, they are valued at relatively high gross yields, nearly 7% in Germany and nearly 12% in the U.K. We continue to increase and improve our funds from operations, and we do this because of continued rental growth. In addition, we have lower quarterly debt repayments as a result of the EUR 700 million of corporate bonds that we financed last year. And I'm pleased to tell you the group has the strongest operational cash flows that we have ever enjoyed since the formation of this company. We are confident that we can continue to grow our dividend. We have deliberately held back on acquisitive growth in the last 6 months. And in doing so, we further improved our balance sheet. We've done this so that we can be on the front foot once we feel it is appropriate to continue reinvesting. And at the moment, we are relatively cautious about when that might be. I look forward to updating you all further on this and other points on November 21 when we announce our half year interim results. In the meantime, Alistair and I would be happy to help with any questions you may have at this point.

Operator

operator
#2

[Operator Instructions] We will take our first question from Miranda Cockburn.

Miranda Cockburn

analyst
#3

Can you hear me?

Andrew Coombs

executive
#4

I can Miranda. Thank you.

Miranda Cockburn

analyst
#5

Yes. Just a quick question on the vacancy. Is it possible to sort of split where you're seeing the vacancy in the U.K. and Germany? And also just to talk a little bit around some of the tenants you saw exiting as expected during this first half and your thoughts for the second half?

Andrew Coombs

executive
#6

Yes, certainly. I mean, firstly, what I would say is that there's been sort of just under 1% change in the group's occupancy. And as you know, we like to operate in a sort of a 5% corridor of occupancy versus vacancy. We're not a business where we continually build occupancy. We're a business where we build occupancy in an increased rate, which reduces occupancy, and then we build occupancy again. And that's the sort of virtuous circle that we go through. And typically, I don't know why it happens like this, but typically, we always see the sort of vacancy being created in the first half. And then we, in the second half, tend to fill it and improve the run rate. And that's exactly what you are seeing here without any shadow of doubt. We do signal large move-outs, and they often happen in the first half. And what I can tell you is there is nobody leaving our portfolio that we didn't [Audio Gap] months ago. So nobody of any material size, none of our top 100 customers are surprising us, that they are going for various different reasons that we've known about for some while, and we're absolutely confident of being able to replace them in due course. Alistair, I don't know if you want to come in here and add anything. But is there anything you want to say about any specific customer or any specific area of space or vacancy or indeed the shape of what we anticipate in the second half?

Alistair Marks

executive
#7

Yes. I think we haven't refilled the spaces, although we have got a lot of inquiries for the space. So the 2 biggies, which are close to EUR 1 million between them, are in assets that are close to Frankfurt. So one is in our Maintal site, of which the bulk of the space was a pure office building, of which, I think 80% of the space they moved out at was in that space. And we've actually got 2 inquiries, one of them quite hot to actually replace them on a like-for-like basis, i.e., a tenant taking that whole building. So I'm pretty hopeful that, that one will probably come through before the end of the year, and we can replace that tenant predominantly on a like-for-like basis, i.e., with another single tenant. Similarly, the one in Friedrichsdorf, there's a couple of big tenants that have left there. We've got large inquiries to replace them, probably with about 2 or 3 tenants rather than a single tenant. But again, pretty confident that we will replace them, i.e., this financial year or at least to H1 in the next financial year. So we haven't seen the benefit of that coming through. So all of the increase in the first half is coming from other sites. But I expect us to replace those tenants fairly soon.

Operator

operator
#8

[Operator Instructions] We will take our next question from Matthew Saperia.

Matthew Saperia

analyst
#9

Two quick questions from me, please. Andrew, the first one, 6 months ago, you talked about your FFO ambitions of EUR 100 million in the short term and EUR 150 million to long term. I guess, thinking more about the short-term target, how are you thinking about that now given we're 6 months further on? And secondly, thinking about being a little bit more cautious around acquisitions in the near term and thinking about the fact that, obviously, you have a very big cash flow cushion versus the dividend that you pay out, what might you do with the surplus capital that the business generates?

Andrew Coombs

executive
#10

Thanks, Matt. And Alistair, I'm going to hand over to you in a second. But I mean, I think what Alistair is going to explain to you is we are very much on course with our FFO plans. And of course, what we're focused on is that journey to EUR 100 million, which we're very close to. I've already laid out to you where we're going to go from there. We're going to build the plan to EUR 150 million. But we've started to talk about EUR 150 million because we can see our way to the EUR 100 million. And Alistair, I'm going to ask you to just share with the audience, how we see that journey to EUR 100 million, how close we actually are. I'm also going to ask Alistair to talk about acquisitions because he is the investment -- the Chief Investment Officer. But I would say that we remain cautious on that particular point. And we are -- we've always been very disciplined on acquisitions. We probably, at this point, become both cautious and discerning rather than just discerning. But Alistair, maybe you can address both the FFO point and also the acquisitions' point.

Alistair Marks

executive
#11

Yes. So obviously, the EUR 100 million was the first time that we set, I think, 3 years ago. We said we'd try and do that within a 3-year period. I don't want to sort of be a hostage to it, but I think we're a good chance of actually getting close to that as a run rate as far as exiting this financial year. There are a few things that need to fall in place for that to happen. But we've got quite a good visibility as to pipelines and everything as far as rent roll is concerned. So there is hope that we could actually achieve that this year. But as I said, a few things need to fall in place for that. If we were to hit that kind of level as an exit from this year, then that would translate to roughly about EUR 0.055 per share based on the current dividend payout ratio, which I think is probably something that would be in excess of what the market is expecting as a run rate exiting this year. But as I said, we need a few things to fall into place for that to actually happen. As far as acquisitions and that are concerned, we are sitting back. We're not actually going to invest into anything unless it proves to be an exceptionally good investment at this point in time. And if we do, then we'll look to see how we'll actually fund it. At the moment, the best way to fund acquisitions, looking at it from a whole perspective as far as LTV and everything else is concerned, is to fund that exactly as we've been doing by recycling equity rather than just using the cash on the balance sheet. But if there are some really, really compelling opportunities that come about in H2, then we'll consider how to fund those. But at this point in time, we want to sort of sit back and wait and see exactly what happens with the market, see how the interest rate, the higher interest rates will be affecting that. And then we'll actually take a view if the good opportunity comes about. And yes, as far as the surplus cash is concerned, as Andrew mentioned, we are generating the highest level of operating cash flows we have in our history. So there will be surplus coming through each year. We will consider whether we actually reinvest that into CapEx, but there are a number of new build opportunities we're looking at. And I would like to see about potentially EUR 20 million deployed into that over the next year to 2 years. And if you look at what we can actually get from a return new build perspective on the surplus land, which we've actually already got within the portfolio, returns on that are looking a lot higher and a lot safer than putting it into the acquisitions we're seeing in the market at the moment. But as I said, that could easily change over the next 6 months or so. But definitely, we are very cautious as far as what we're going to put money into going forward.

Andrew Coombs

executive
#12

Just picking up on that, the company has got over 100,000 square meters in Germany alone of non-income producing land. So we've got already in the portfolio, the land that we could use to execute those kind of things. Matt, does that answer your question?

Matthew Saperia

analyst
#13

That's great. Yes. Thank you, both.

Operator

operator
#14

Thank you. It appears there are no further questions at this time. Mr. Andrew Coombs, I'd like to turn the conference back to you for any additional or closing remarks. Please go ahead.

Andrew Coombs

executive
#15

Yes, I'd just like to say thank you again for everybody taking the time to listen to what we've got to say here. Look, you probably got a sense of this, but we are a business that has not -- got a very good business model. We have always planned to be able to produce double-digit returns for our shareholders all the way through the cycle. So it's probably true that we may be not as tightly valued as we could have been over the last couple of years. It's probably true that we could have run with less cash on our balance sheet at this point. We have always been careful to make sure that when the market turns, we are in a strong enough position to be a master of our own destiny rather than a victim. And I think what you're seeing with some of these banking agreements, and I think what you're seeing in terms of some of the things we're talking about here, is far from being completely petrified of what's happening at the moment. This is stuff that has been in our planning for a long time. It's different from COVID but in the way COVID enabled us as a management team to demonstrate the strength of our plans and our ability to execute. Whilst we are very cautious going forward, this is an opportunity to really show people the true resilience of this business. And it's a real opportunity to be able to deliver on the statement that we've been making for several years now, which is that we want to be a double-digit return, not just in the good times, but all the way through the cycle. Thank you very much indeed.

Operator

operator
#16

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect. Hosts, please stay on the line and await further instruction.

Read the full transcript via the API

You're viewing the first half of this call. Get the complete Sirius Real Estate Limited transcript — plus 251,000+ transcripts from 12,000+ companies, speaker segments, AI summaries and full-text search — through the EarningsCalls.dev API.

Get the API View API docs →

For developers and AI pipelines

Programmatic access to Sirius Real Estate Limited earnings transcripts and 251,000+ others is available through the EarningsCalls.dev REST API. Plans from $24.99/month — full transcripts, speaker segments, full-text search, and the recently-added /api/v1/transcripts/recent polling endpoint for ETL pipelines.