SkinBioTherapeutics plc (5KW.F) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
November 29, 2024
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorGood morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the SkinBioTherapeutics plc Investor Presentation. [Operator Instructions] Due to the significant attendance on today's call, the company will not be in a position to answer every question received in the meeting itself. However, the company can review questions and we'll publish those responses where it's appropriate to do so. Before we begin, we'd like to submit the following poll, and I'm sure the company will be most grateful for your participation. I'd now like to hand over to CEO, Stuart Ashman. Good morning.
Stuart Ashman
executiveGood morning, Mark, Thank you. Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for taking the time to listen to us this morning. This is a bit of an unusual Investor meets presentation. There's been an awful lot of requests for me to do a fireside chat with Mr. Elric Langton of LEMMING INVESTOR, of Small Company Champion. And I have the opportunity to sit down with Elric albeit virtually due to travel commitments earlier this week. Now a lot of people have thrown some criticism that this is going to be pre-recorded. Elric is not going to be able to drill them in his usual style, et cetera. There's a reason for that. First of all, we're doing this open source, so it's not behind a paywall, so everybody can see this. Secondly, we have put this through our legal advisers to make sure that there's nothing that's being discussed here that is material or price sensitive and, therefore, gets me or the company into trouble. However, in Elric's usual style, he does manage to get color and context on pretty much everything that he asks. So without further ado, Mark is going to play the video...
Elric Langton
attendeeOkay. Stuart. Let's the elephant out of the room. Market was prime for forecast from Croda, October, November-ish. It's pretty clear we're not going to get them now. But I think it's important for investors to realize the reason why Croda being tight-lipped about this because this is a pretty big event that's building in April. And I think the fact that they're keeping tight-lipped should be seen as a positive for investors really.
Stuart Ashman
executiveYes, yes. Look, I know that it's a difficult question to ask, and it's a difficult question for me to answer. So thanks for that. And I would like to clear the air on this. This has taken 5 years. We talked about it taking less time than that. And Croda will always say finding a new strain or a new active from doing origin sourcing, et cetera, et cetera, take 7 years, and they've done it in five and they're over the moon about that, that includes the clinical trial. So yes, we know the clinical trial went on in the summer and then it finished. And the results we were basically told that it was -- the results were good. They were very good indeed, and that's a direct quote from them. But we weren't allowed to already say any details. And the reason for that, first of all, talk about the clinical first. The reason for that, first of all, is because they've got to now file IP. We've got background IP, foreground IP. We've now got joint IP. We've got all sorts of different claims that we're making off the back of this clinical results. Now they didn't arrive, Croda didn't know what they were until they were written up on all done and dusted until November. So they're not going to release any details on the actives, what the mode of actions are, what the additional benefits and claims are purely and simply because if they did, there's nothing to stop another company out there saying, well, have they filed in China, have they filed in South America, have they filed in Canada and just trying to beat Sederma and the Croda team to it by filing and having prior off, what's called as prior off. So that would block the Sederma or Croda at filing any claim. So it's better just not to tell the market what the claims are and they are that significant. They don't want anyone to get a job ahead of them. So that's where we are in terms of the claims, and they will become very, very apparent when this product is launched. They have been shared with a number of people, but they've become very apparent when the product is launched in April of next year, which is the data which everyone is aware of. In terms of the forecast, the reasoning is very much the same. They don't want to give detailed forecast of where they're rolling this out, when they're rolling it out, who they're rolling it out with. First of all, customer information is confidential between them. Obviously, Garnier would want to know what Chanel is doing, who would want to know what Estée Lauder is doing. So they just don't do that. So in terms of macro forecast, we have seen the rollout plan. We are aware of the rate at which they're rolling this out. As I said, we signed a confidentiality agreement. It's very, very tightly bound. And the top and bottom of this, this is, we have to remember who we're dealing with here. We've been patient enough for 5 years. We've gone through numerous stage gates, numerous go, no go, roadblocks, where we've got through them all. There was dozens of other projects that I was reminded acutely of this by Croda on multiple occasions. Lots of other projects have started at roughly the same time as we did don't exist anymore. They fall by the wayside, it didn't make it through various formulation testing, various shelf-life testing, stability testing, clinical trials, et cetera, et cetera. We've come all the way through this. And we're there. This product is categorically launching and is already out there with various groups. And let's not get -- drawn any detail on that because that's part of the confidentiality. In terms of the forecast, they want to keep everything tightly. We're dealing with a company that's launched Matrixyl 3000, that's launched multiple beauty products, cosmetic ingredients. They are experts of this. Why would we want to do anything at all that would jeopardize the success of that product long term, give a competitor a jump on top of our partner, and that's exactly who they are in order to basically file IP that blocks them from selling blocks and -- our guys from selling anywhere in the world. So what they say is, the shutters are down, nothing comes out, not as simple as that. We've got an insider registered, we look at people who are in possession of that information are on a very, very tightly controlled list. We just have to be very careful with this. So as much as I would love to give -- why would I not want to give the market the forecast? I'd love to, but I can't because our partners have asked us, very politely and with great confidence behind the launch plan, we're going to show you that, but you've got to sign a confidentiality agreement. Otherwise, we just don't show you. So I would be sitting here saying I'm blindfolded. Absolutely blindfolded. As it happens, we're not.
Elric Langton
attendeeOkay. Well, given you -- I'm not misunderstood you. I think you've just given an indication you've got an idea what the technical enhancements are that they've been talking about that were -- they kept discovering each time scaled up. They were confirmed and confirmed again, and then we've done the validation studies with the clinical studies that have proven everything. Given this area itself, which looks to me possibly it could expand the commercial agreement. I know you can't get into that. But let's just say how quickly can you, as a company, forget what Croda were doing, what they do will just happen. And you'll be -- well, obviously, what will be the net benefit of that. They'll do that in their own pace, we know that's coming quicker than people realize now. But how quickly can you as a company move expanding on the agreement that you have inside the company, as yourself, go your own -- through your own gate rather than going through the gate with Croda if I make any sense with that?
Stuart Ashman
executiveYes. I think I understand what you mean. We've always -- we announced this right at the start in 2019, one of the things that we negotiated was the right to launch our own product, the right to use the lysate within our own technology, within our own offerings to the market. There's obviously quite a complex set of terms that goes with this. Obviously, we can't go out there and outprice Sederma's customers. We can't go out there and outright undercut Garnier, Chanel, et cetera, with a groundbreaking product because obviously, that would upset major customers. So there are parameters in which we have to work and they are quite tightly governed. But we do have absolute right to take the lysate, and we also negotiate the right to buy back that raw material a little more than cost. So it saves us having to have a huge manufacturing plant, scaling that up the way Sederma have and [indiscernible]. But we do have that opportunity, and we will absolutely look at that. And we are indeed looking at it now. I think the other question that you're asking is what else could we do with Croda as a company, as a collaboration because this, when it's launched, hopefully, we'll be seeing globally is a huge success. Is there anything else we can do with them? Well, of course, there is. Of course, there is. Given the scientific background and the wealth of experience and information that we have, we have always talked about other deals that we could do with Croda. And I was always reluctant to do them, not because I don't want to work with Croda. Quite the contrary, I really do want to work with Croda that are quality partner, and they have the opportunity to get our science out much faster worldwide than we ever could. But because I wanted to prove to shareholders that we got one in the back, we got one there already. You can see the revenues coming. Why would we not want to do another deal? You can imagine the noise that I would have got from our friends out there, and the retail community, and I guess the institutional community, if 2 years ago, I announced another deal with Croda that was to do with deodorants, or to do with hair care, or to do with sun care. If I was to announce anything along those lines, people are going to say, you haven't got the first one over the line. Why are you doing more deals? Why are you stringing this out even further. So I want to make sure that this is done before we do anything else with them. They're in agreement with that, and we are working very, very closely hand in hand.
Elric Langton
attendeeOkay. Now I keep calling it clinical trials and you've rightly wrapped on the knuckles previously before, but I want to bite at your slice. It's actually studies, clinical studies. Now in these clinical studies, I mean, I think, I'm guilty about this myself as well, Stuart. We keep focusing on the anti-aging side of the cosmetic side. Would I be wrong in thinking this is not just about anti-aging creams? There's a whole different -- there's a whole cosmetic products out there than just anti-aging?
Stuart Ashman
executiveYes. And you make a very good point. I think everyone got focused on this is going to be a cream that you put in your eyes, and it makes you look young again. But the lysate does so much more than that. And we've always known that this is not divulging anything that we didn't already know. We know that it increases hydration. We know that it forms a barrier on the skin to prevent against pathogens, to prevent against all sorts of infections, we know that. And that was before it even went into any trials that we got that from the safety study that we did in 2019. So you're absolutely right. This is not just a cream that goes on. This lysate can be used in foundations, in lipsticks, in eyeliners, in eyeshadows, all sorts of different cosmetic products. it's not just a straightforward anti-aging claim product. And I think there's a lot more work to be done there. But we've always known that. I think the Holy Grail, and I think that's why people focused on it. The Holy Grail here was anti-aging because it's such a huge market because everybody wants to look younger than they already do. So obviously, that's a big prize. So that's why I don't think we've misled or RNS has misled or anything like that. It's just people are focused on the price. But there is a very wide application area for this.
Elric Langton
attendeeYes. Great. Okay. So how do -- how does your partnership with Croda impact on all the pillars of your business?
Stuart Ashman
executiveWell, Croda are a very, very large company. As you know, there are a FTSE 100 multibillion pound organization, and they don't just have cosmetics divisions. They have a health care division as well. Within the cosmetics division, they've got much wide areas. You also know that they've got other divisions in chemicals, in cleaning and all sorts of stuff. So there is a sort of crossover in just about every pillar that we have with Croda. That's not to say we would operate with Croda in every one of those. There are companies out there that are niche and more specialized and probably dare I say, better at some of the things than Croda are certainly things like advanced wound care, there are multinational giants out there that, again, are FTSE 100 and multibillion pound turnover that are experts in advanced wound closure and barrier enhancement. But Croda are a very good partner. They're a very solid partner. Certainly in cosmetics, we couldn't have chosen anyone better. This is the sort of -- I think this will -- this product and this deal will underpin the foundations of this company from here on in, it's that big a deal. But would that lead us to do everything else with them? No, of course, it wouldn't. Would it give us open to having conversations about the potential of other things? Why not? Why would we not? They're a very credible partner and we're very happy working with them. Despite everyone thinks they've kicked cans down the road and they haven't. They haven't really. They've basically just gone on with this. We went through a pandemic. They didn't drop not a ball. Other projects were canned, and our wasn't. So they are a solid partner. They are very dependable. We are very proud to be working with them. So I think, we'd like to do more with Croda. Do I think we'll put all our eggs in one basket? I think that would be a strategic folly.
Elric Langton
attendeeYes. Well, I'm sure, I don't want us to be all about Croda altogether, but there's other areas that I'm quite excited about your business. I'm sure that investors are as well. But as we lead up to the launch, what would be -- what would you say investors should be looking for as key milestones as a clue for what's coming down the pipe from Sederma's clients, for example, ahead of the April launch?
Stuart Ashman
executiveI think you're going to see -- what you'll see, you'll see -- what you get to see is it will be very much controlled by Croda Beauty team. They will come out with the marketing pack and marketing claims ahead of the launch that obviously to tease the market to make sure people want to get on that stand, actually want to turn up and have a look at this product. Obviously, they've got a group of other customers who are significantly -- well, very, very large indeed. And they get to look at this a little earlier. Ultimately, you will start to see the marketing pack being rolled out and you'll start to see that basically in the public domain. It won't require me to point you in the direction, although we will absolutely point you in the direction as soon as Croda release anything, which they do to the general public, you can sign up for Croda Beauty e-mail alert now. You can go on the website and do that. And as soon as they launch anything, or got anything to talk about, you get an e-mail, normally has got a little question on it, a lot of slides, that sort of stuff. And sometimes a lot of evidence in there as well. So as soon as that is made public, everyone will see that. We will always see for the people who don't follow Croda, we will point that out to people in our IMCs and make sure that everybody gets sight of that.
Elric Langton
attendeeOkay. So as a company, how do you plan to leverage the growing trend in the science evidence, clinical studied cosmetics market because this is a pretty -- the thing I'm really excited about is it doesn't matter at the higher end of the market, accentuated from whatever the macroeconomics are doing because you've got the people that are simply just got too much money. So they're always going to be looking to look the best. I'm past all that, but accentuated, so how do you plan to take advantage of that?
Stuart Ashman
executiveI think that's a difficult question to answer in the time that we've got. But I think the partners that we have chosen and are choosing help us to do that or certainly hold our hand and walk with us on that journey. If you look at Croda, and I know we don't want to talk about Croda on the whole thing, but Croda made a macro commitment to reduce their greenhouse gases and to make sure that they use more natural products. They've made a commitment through the PLC across all the divisions. This is a classic example of taking naturally occurring bacteria and introducing this into cosmetics. I think we've got more ideas in that area, all of which are microbiome driven because that's what we do. All the microbiome, suggestions that we've got all of the work that we've done are naturally occurring. So it ticks all of the boxes. And it's not just Croda who we're doing this, this is a global trend. It's a macro trend. Major companies are being forced to do this. Everyone's having to reduce their carbon footprint and the greenhouse gases. But some companies are moving faster than others and Croda is one of them, which is what makes them an ideal partner. So that's the accelerator that we need. We need to make sure that people understand this is naturally occurring bacteria. This is not something that was made up in Frankenstein's Lab. This is actually good for you. It's good for the environment. It's good. We need to trust them that they will focus on sort of the right green packaging, et cetera, et cetera, which they have got an entire project that they're doing an entire movement within the company that's doing that. And we see a lot more of that across the board in supermarkets everywhere. And that is something that we are very much focused on. So yes, I think the macro trend will greatly assist us there.
Elric Langton
attendeeYes. Now there's been a lot of talk about the first revenues that SkinBioTherapeutics just going to receive. I know you can't give any details on this, of course, but just as a pointer, will these revenues be coming from the actual initial orders from the VIPs? Or will it be from the revenues purely from the samples that they've received and they've been testing for the past, what must be 2 years now?
Stuart Ashman
executiveNo, that's for a question I can answer that one. Absolutely, and unfortunately, I am handcuffed on that one. I can't answer that one, I'll be in an awful lot of trouble. Needless to say, we RNS what we could to say revenue will arrived this calendar year, and let me just stress that's calendar year, not an financial year for those out there that were [indiscernible], we missed the word out. Yes. And what I can say is that we do get double-digit royalties. And again, that's a question being raised. People saying, where does this come from? Well, you remember that came from 2019. That was the original heads of terms that we signed. The deal that we've signed now is on very similar terms. And I know that you have been asked and I have been asked, "Stuart, I thought we had this year's delay, don't we get a higher percentage now that we've had this year's delay?" Well, if you just think about that from everyone's perspective here, Sederma and the team spent a lot of money doing those clinical trials. We didn't pay for those trials. They did. They were done in Paris through the Sederma team and the Croda Beauty team. So our deal stays the same. They just get to charge a higher price for this. So effectively, we do get more money because we're getting a double-digit royalty on a higher price point. We're not -- that double-digit royalty hasn't gone up by 50% or as some people are saying it should. Think about how that would work, that would be grossly unfair to Sederma and Croda. I did suggest it because as they say in my part, the world, shy bairns get no sweets, so I did suggest it and say we've had a little bit of a delay here. Can we see an enhancement in the margin. Quite frankly, it's a bit of a weak negotiating point when you think what they've spent, I don't know. We've just underpinned the higher price points and you are now trying to get a bigger slice of it. Well, you are getting a size of it and it's a lot more money. So I think that makes fiscal sense the way it was. So yes.
Elric Langton
attendeeOkay. Well, given the positive revenue that's going to be coming over the next few years with SkinBioTherapeutics. I guess it's probably going to be pretty sweet moving on from a year from here. What's your strategy for the company? Because you've got the projects. I mean, does it speed up the oral care, for example.
Stuart Ashman
executiveGood question. Another hard one to answer. So I think from a macro perspective in terms of strategy, we'll just rewind a little bit, people saying, why did Stuart Ashman go out and buy two companies? Why did you do that? Why did you go out and dilute us all, take on this convertible loan note, all those sorts of things, when this deal with Croda was coming, why didn't you just turn the gas down and sit and wait and simmer the whole thing. So first of all, that's kind of not what I do. Watching pan simmer is not really in my DNA, nor is it in the team that we've created. Secondly, we did not know what the outcome of those clinical trials was going to be. Had it been, yes, it's moderate, and we were going to get moderate incomes, we needed a plan B. Had it been, actually, guys, we've used this, we've done live clinical testing here on human beings. This is not what we thought it was. We're going to pull the pin. We needed a plan B, which is why we bought those two companies Dermatonics and Bio-Tech Solutions. So they're both excellent strategic fits for us. And I think in years to come, we will see just how excellently they truly are. They are relevant. One is a dermatology player in podiatry and the other one has the ability to manufacture all the products that, that first company buy in from a third party, which is a huge prize. It's a GBP 600,000 price as we went through it in the RNS and in the investor meet when we announced it. So there are other companies out there that we can buy. There are other companies that are very relevant and every time we buy one, it makes us stronger. It gives us multiple revenue streams. It means we're not just reliant on Croda plc. We're not just relying on AxisBiotix-Ps. We've got Bio-Tech Solutions' revenues. We've got Dermatonics revenues, et cetera, et cetera. So we're trying to derisk ourselves, make ourselves a solid player with multiple revenue streams that given a downturn in cosmetics, we're playing in the medical field as well. We're playing in the cleaning field. We're playing in all those different areas. If there's a downturn in cleaning products, we're playing in the dental field. We want to be a multiple revenue source company. We do not want to be a one-trick pony. That's a dangerous game strategically. It's why we built the foundations. If you look at what we've achieved of that strategy this year, as painful as it was, and trust me, I was right at the front of this. Easy to smile about it now. It wasn't at the time. And I get why people got angry about the convertible loan note. But I'd say, again, it was a necessary evil. It got us to where we needed to be quickly and allowed us to then buy that second company. As it turns out, the clinical has turned out magnificent. As it turned out, commercial terms all agreed with Croda. As it turned out, could I wait it through the back end of this year, early April next year? Yes, I probably could have done. But I didn't. And that's in the past. I didn't sit still, and I didn't wait for what may have been a disaster. I actually did something proactive about it. So do we need to go out and raise tons more money in that? No, we don't because we've just proven what we've done, and it's been a bumpy road. But if you look at where we were when I made that bold, possibly foolish statement that we would transform this company in this year. I think we can fairly say we've done that. In 10 months, we delivered GBP 6.3 million year-on-year sales, which is a 2,525% growth year-on-year revenue. Show me another small cap. In fact, no show me another company that's done that on the market. We had a hell of a year. And it has been bumpy and it has been uncomfortable for a lot of people, not least to all myself, the CFO, from Manprit, from the Board of Directors and from all the staff in the company, everyone was sort of hanging on for dear life. But behind it all was a solid plan. It's just a reaction that we didn't expect it to be as aggressive as it was. That's calmed down now. And certainly, I think investors can look back and say, okay, I think that they're in clear blue water now. This is all looking very good. So in terms of the strategy, are we going to rush out next year and buy 10 companies? No, we're not. But we do have a list of companies that are strategic little wins. You look what we paid for Bio-Tech Solutions. Look at the upside, that's a bloody good deal. So was Dermatonics. The Modi upside is yet to be realized fully there. And I know that you're going to ask me a question about that because you always do. But if you look at where we are and the steps forward we've made, this has been one hell over year for SkinBioTherapeutics plc, it truly has. We're not a single company. We're a group of companies now, and we're growing, and we're growing fast.
Elric Langton
attendeeOne of the things -- well, I know you mentioned it. One of the things that excites me, you've got -- you've -- like you mentioned, you got your Dermatonics company that's got a portfolio of dermatonic products. It's got -- it looks like it's going to be a coning deal with Umesh Modi and you got Bio-Tech Solutions. So all these three. There are incredible synergies there. And knowing the way you think, how do you get that across from investors to give them an idea about giving anything away of where you want to go as a -- because eventually you're a group of companies. How are you going to go forward? Because if I understand it correctly, you've got some incredible assets with Bio-Tech Solutions. We've got the packaging side of it. You've got the manufacturing side of it, which can replicate the lysate if I understand it because you've got a similar equipment to what Croda has got. You've got the encapsulation side of it, which I would imagine is going to come in -- going to be prove quite interesting for our acne in your probiotics side -- acne and your psoriasis. So how -- what's your vision there?
Stuart Ashman
executiveWell, that is the vision. The vision was to buy -- and the reality of this is, when I spoke in December last year, the first company that we were supposed to acquire was Bio-Tech Solutions. It was a cheaper company to buy. It was a smaller purchase price. And it was a strategic starter because it had the manufacturing also has its own sales, et cetera, et cetera, and it opened a lot of doors for us. Unfortunately, the pathway to mergers and acquisitions is bumpy to say the least. And you work at the speed of various teams of lawyers, tax advisers, et cetera, et cetera. And it would -- we were running a 2-horse race. Dermatonics just overtook Bio-Tech Solutions. It's just the way it is that the Dermatonics diligence team were faster. So we closed that deal first, higher purchase price and seemed like a bit of a strategic misfit, put it didn't to us because we knew that Bio-Tech Solutions was coming right behind it. Once the two were together, people started sort of eyebrows are raised, yes, okay, now I get that. I understand why they bought the first one, wasn't supposed to be that way. If I could have had my way, it would have been the right way around, but it wasn't. And then you don't get things your own way in life or in business. So that business, Bio-Tech Solutions runs one 8-hour shift, and it runs at 4.5 days a week. So they closed for essential maintenance and cleaning on a Friday afternoon. So just by increasing that to 12-hour shifts at 7 days a week, you pretty much double your capacity. So we can drop in all the Dermatonics sales into there. Any other company that we buy, that's one of the drivers that we look for. Where do they get the products from? Can they be manufactured by Bio-Tech Solutions? Because the upside as it is with Dermatonics GBP 600,000 or thereabouts, you start pulling in companies that have got synergies like that. And you start making some real money. And we get the sweat an asset that is sitting pretty much 2/3 dormant at the moment. So that's part of the strategy. The other strategy then is to back in microbiome technology, i.e., using the lysate using other areas as well into the Dermatonics range and into the Bio-Tech Solutions range, and into anything else that we buy. So we now look for low-hanging fruit companies that could be integrated quickly, motivated sellers that are at the end of a sort of working career and don't have any sons and heirs but are willing to stay on for sort of 6, 12, 18 months, very much like Greg is doing on his earnout, very much like Ian Moulds is doing as a consultant. So that's the plan in general. Aside from that, as the second tier or aside from that, we've got a strategy whereby we continue to push our advanced technologies through multinationals. And those discussions are live in pretty much every pillar other than the pharma one. And you're right in what you're saying. We do have the capability in Bio-Tech Solutions to put AxisBiotix-Ps into a capsule put AxisBiotix for acne into a capsule. We can do that. We can do tablets and capsules now. We've never had that ability before. And the cost saving on doing that in-house is phenomenal. So is it something that we should have done 6 months ago. No, it's too cost prohibitive. So now we can do that in-house. It makes a ton of sense.
Elric Langton
attendeeThat would seem a useful way around getting the Axis pillar over there. I know when you first -- when we first announced Umesh Modi, there was talk that there are other avenues that we're working through other commercial drugs would that be one of them?
Stuart Ashman
executiveWell, without breaching anything that's material price confidence, and price sensitive that I haven't RNS. It's no secret that much more Umesh Modi have a probiotic plant in New Delhi. It's no secret that they manufacture to first world standards. They manufacture for the U.S. and companies like that. And of course, it would be foolish for us not to be talking to them about those sorts of opportunities. Next week, Manprit is actually in India, he's in New Delhi with the Umesh Modi team at their Sales Awards. I'm elsewhere in the world, which I can't talk about. So it makes me sound like I work for MI6 or something. I'm just sort of multinational that I can't talk about. So we are working closely with them. We are looking at other opportunities. Again, they're another really, really well-run company that have got a long reach in that part of the world. And you talked earlier about globalization and how do you exploit the opportunities elsewhere in the world, and that's one of them by partnering with the right people. So I can't answer that with a straight yet or not. But yes, they've got a probiotic plan, and we'd be foolish not to talk to them about it.
Elric Langton
attendeeYes. Okay. What would you do differently with the launch of acne than you've done with psoriasis?
Stuart Ashman
executiveThat's a great question. Acne is a little -- it was a lot different to psoriasis. We've learned a lot of lessons with the psoriasis product that we would never have got to learn had we given this Holland & Barrett, and taking distribution deals. We probably made -- well, not probably, we've absolutely made more money doing this ourselves than we would have done if we've done 10x the sales and done it through Holland & Barrett, whoever it may be because of the margin dilution. But more importantly, we've learned a lot. We've learned a lot about the product. We get to speak directly to the end users. We speak to these people on a regular basis, Vanessa in Customer Services, and Vicky in Marketing speak to these people a lot. So we now know that we've always known that the product doesn't taste great. We always talked initially about do we do flavors. And you remember, we were talking to you a while ago about we ran a little poll. It was only amongst 30, 40 people about which flavors we should launch. And there was literally 30, 40 different flavors because everyone's got an opinion on what tastes good and what doesn't.
Elric Langton
attendeeIt is subjective, isn't it?
Stuart Ashman
executiveIt is subject very much so. So the way around that is to put this in a capsule that doesn't have any taste, makes it easier to transport, easier to take -- the compliance levels were fairly certain would go up. With acne, you've got to look at your target community there. You're looking at predominantly teenagers, although acne does strike in adults as well. But predominantly, the market is teenagers. And sort of having raised two of them, we all know how uncompliant they are. So we really want to put this in a gun. We really, really do. And we think we have a better chance of fast success where we get it in the right carrier. We put this out in a powder, we'll absolutely get sales because it's a motive subject. The formulation is now complete, but we're now looking at the carriers. We could launch this in December, but I don't think we're going to purely and simply because we want it in the right carrier and that's complicated. Putting live bacteria into gum is difficult. Gum -- the process of making gum is, you boil it, it goes in a vat and it's then pulled into a mold. You can't put our bacterial complex formulations into that bubbling vat and expect that bacteria to live. It's just not going to happen. So we're now looking at ways of having sort of molded gum that I've got a cavity in the middle of it, that we can drop the formulation into the cavity and then seal it. But again, assuming it's done with a hot knife, it's complicated. But we are working on it, we're working really hard on it. I think at the very least, we'll put it in a capsule and launch it that way and maybe follow that up with a gum, if the gum proves either too expensive or too technically complicated.
Elric Langton
attendeeOkay. I think in your last investor meet, you mentioned that you're in discussions with U.K. retailers. How are these progressing?
Stuart Ashman
executiveYes. Good, good.
Elric Langton
attendeeThis is for acne pillar, isn't it?
Stuart Ashman
executiveThis is for acne and also for psoriasis, but this is -- yes, the biggest pinch point for us on this is margin surrender. We're used to seeing all of the margin on Axis-Ps to give that away to a retail player and the big ones at that, the margin surrenders are significant. And we also know that they do bug offs, they run all sorts of promotions that they do across the store, across the chain, and you get sucked into that whether you like it or not. And furthermore, you kind of lose control a little bit of the product. So we are keen to do it. Very keen to do that. We've mentioned before that we're working with The National Psoriasis Foundation or accreditation in the U.S. We're keen to do that, too. But I think the heat is off on this. If I can be as bold to say that, we've got Croda over the line. We've got two revenue-generating businesses now. We need to get this right rather than just sort of say, okay, let's try this, let's try that, let's try to -- let's put it into a high-street retailer, sign a 3-year deal, which we lose all control of the product. We'll do it, but it has to be on our terms. And now for the first time in my tenure, I'm in a position where I can say no to deals. I don't want to do that because it's not right for the company. It doesn't bring us enough money. It doesn't bring us in the profit for our shareholders. There's been talk about what do we do when we've got tons of money? Are we going to be giving dividends out or Stuart going to go on mad shopping stream and buy loads of companies. Well, I'll tell you when I get there. When we get to the point where we've got that much money slushing around, and it's a decision whether we dividend or buy a company, yes, the investments will be the first and will be a lovely position to be in.
Elric Langton
attendeeI think dividends are a while away yet. I mean, you've got somewhere around about GBP 8 million or GBP 9 million worth of accumulative losses yet before you can start paying dividends. So let's not gets too giddy with that one yet. I think, maybe the final one is, I think the big one, particularly with your background with Smith & Nephew, I'm not saying Smith & Nephew are part of the deal or anything like that. But have you still got interest in the wound care side of the business.
Stuart Ashman
executiveYes, we do. And we've had a number of quite advanced meetings, certainly in the back end of this year and the last sort of 4, 5 months that came very close to us signing a joint development agreement. That's just been put on ice for a little while. Just purely and simply while we straighten out some -- we iron some creases out on both sides of the table. So that has definitely not gone away. And it is an area that fascinates us enhancing the barrier around hard-to-heal wound is very dear to the Dermatonics people as well who deal with diabetic foot ulcers, of which there's an enormous rate of amputations. So if we can do anything at all to assist in that area. And obviously, there were two areas that was enhancing the barrier around hard-to-heal wound stop at spreading and making it worse and that venous leg ulcers as well. And also, there was the acceleration of an open wound to actually close the wound itself and the two slightly different types of science. But they are something that we are keen to progress. Again, this is complex science. You're talking about putting bacteria from yogurt into an open wound on my leg. There are some significant compliance and regulatory hurdles that we have to get over in order to do that. But it's absolutely the way that the world is turning. The World Health Organization is still massively focused on antibacterial resistance, and it is a huge area of concern, superbugs, et cetera, et cetera. We saw what COVID did to the world. We need to build up immune systems. We need to build up strong bacteria. So it is an area that we are vastly interested in, and it's an area we'll continue to explore and continue to look at. And I think given more money, we would spend more money exploring that because we're just at the brink of this now. I think we've got an opportunity here to build a portfolio of just powerhouse products that can really make a difference in the world and also build a bloody strong company in the process.
Elric Langton
attendeeYes. Okay. I think we'll finish off on. Are you pleased with the progress Umesh Modi is making at the moment, assuming they've got their training out of the way and they've got the products in the market now?
Stuart Ashman
executiveYes. Yes, we are pleased with that progress. It's visible now on Amazon India. You can actually -- if you dig deep enough on the web, you'll find the TV adverts, and the commercials that are out there. So they are actually heavily investing in this. They are pushing the product hard. As I say Manprit is out there next week to the sales awards, the annual sales awards, which he was invited out as a guest of honor out there. So he will be presenting awards to the top salespeople, who are blazing a trail with the Dermatonics products. And as we mentioned earlier, that's not the only sort of area of interest that we've got with Modi or nor they with us. So there's certainly lots to go out there. They are a great partner, indeed.
Elric Langton
attendeeBrilliant. Well, I think that, that rounds it all up.
Stuart Ashman
executiveYes. So that's for your time, Elric. I think I'd just like to close by saying in summary, this has been a phenomenal year for SkinBioTherapeutics, plc. When you look where we started out the statements made in December, but we acquired Dermatonics in January, we acquired Bio-Tech Solutions in October. We dispensed with the convertible loan note. And I know that they've got a lot of investors hot under the collar, and I know that it got a lot of people angry at the company for taking on that instrument. But ultimately, as I said earlier, it was a necessary evil. You can then see strategic that led to Bio-Tech solutions. That underpinning the company's performance. And then leading on to the successful clinical trial results, and then the finalization of the commercial terms with Croda really has been a phenomenal year, bringing on people like Dr. Surinder Chahal to assist us. We've got a new marketing manager with Vicky Turner. It's been a phenomenal year for the company. And I hope that it underpins the future of the company going forward, and that we start to build shareholder value anyway as we move through the back end of this year and into next year. And as Mr. [indiscernible] said, in terms of the numbers that are out there, do I know what they are? Do Croda even know what they are. And he's absolutely right. It's down to shareholder, it's down to -- sorry, consumer pick up here. It's down to what the man and the woman on the street actually believe of these products and these ingredients when they come out. So it's absolutely right what he says. But I also agree that this will be a steady gradual build. And hopefully, it will be the cash cow that we all hope it will be.
Stuart Ashman
executiveThanks for that. So I'd just like to formally thank Elric Langton for his time in that fireside chat. I hope there's been some color and context put behind some of the questions that you have. Just a few words now on what you can expect formally from the company between now and the end of the calendar year, the end of 2024. So next year, on the fourth of December, you'll see the '23-'24 year-end results will be published. And then six days later due to Manprit's travel and my own travel and commitments with business meetings and IMC slots that are available, we'll be actually doing one of these presentations much more in the vein of -- the way that we normally do them with the deck of slides, and we'll be doing that on the 10th of December, and I believe that that's at 10 a.m. You'll see the RNS come out later today about the '23-'24 year-end results and when they can be expected. And then mid-December, you'll see the Annual Report being issued because of the timing of the audit, and the 21 days' notice that we have to give for an AGM, you'll see the AGM as usual at the end of December. Just to summarize what we said there before I take some questions, hopefully, we've got some time for that. I think we've now all -- we've all heard from myself and various RNSs that we've had the Croda is on track. The commercialization is happening right now. The samples are all out there. This is green-lights all the way. That's a phrase from them, not me, that's a direct quote. The commercial terms have been agreed. I can confirm that they are double-digit royalties on global sales, just to put that one to bed, and that's been RNS in 2019, and this agreement very much underpins that as well, and I think I just mentioned that in the interview. And there's very high expectations internally at Sederma. Everyone is very, very excited about this product. In terms of the forecast, et cetera. Obviously, we've seen the rollout plan. We cannot divulge them. I think I've explained why Croda feels so precious about that. And quite frankly, I've got to say, having listened to explanations, I do agree. I would be -- give me great pleasure to release numbers to the market, but I simply cannot do that. I'm bound by a very strict confidentiality agreement. With AxisBiotix, we're pursuing The National Psoriasis Foundation, accreditation in the U.S., that's going well. And then we've got an acne launch, which is subject to the suitable carrier. Now I've seen some questions popping up there, but are we doing capsules? Are we doing gum? And I think I explained that we would very much like to do a gum given the target audience, that is extremely complex to keep the bacteria and 100% efficacy and not basically damaging it when it's put into a carrier like gum. Worst-case scenario, that will go out in a capsule, which will be produced by Bio-Tech Solutions in-house. In terms of projects, we still have R&D projects ongoing, the inflammation project, oral, epiderms under the one in MediBiotix, I'm going to target them in detail then when we talk about our year-end results. Otherwise, we're going to have a little to talk to you about. In terms of M&A, we've completed two acquisitions, offering routes to market as well as manufacturing capabilities in-house. And we do have a list, as I said before, of accretive acquisition opportunities, and we look at them as and when that's appropriate. In terms of our financial outlook, as I said on a number of occasions, combined projected turnover in excess of GBP 6.3 million. This is without any Croda revenues at all. That's an annualized revenue year-on-year revenue based on Bio-Tech Solutions, Dermatonics and AxisBiotix-Ps. It does not include acne, it does not include anything from Croda. So whatever number we produce will be north of that. And obviously, I have a good indication of what that number is, but I can't talk about it. That takes us not only north of EBITDA breakeven, but it moves us to cash positive in the coming months and years that we do not need to come back to the market for cash for working capital whatsoever. This is a game changer. Now we're a very different company from where we were at the start of this year. Painful as it's been. We're now over growing. Growth is painful, and we are past the worst of this by a long shot now, and I think it's greenfields ahead.
Stuart Ashman
executiveI think now if I can move on to answer some of the questions. We've got about 10 minutes to do that. So can some indication at high level only of the benefits of the SkinBio product or existing Croda products, are there any noncompetitors of late-stage development? I don't want to disrespect Matrixyl. That's not -- wouldn't be in any benefit between our relations with Croda and the beauty team there. SkinBio product is a natural product, and it is in line with the macro strategy of providing natural solutions that Croda have embarked on and have committed to. Matrixyl is not a natural product. So this is seen as a replacement for those products that are not naturally occurring, and that's where we have our USP, if you like. Are there noncompetitors in late-stage development? Not in the same shape as the product that we have to offer. There are products out there that offer and claim to have live bacteria in them. What we do know is by the time that the capsule makes it to the end of the production line or the cream makes it to the end of the production line or certainly to the warehouse, any live bacteria, any lactobacillus rhamnosus in there, is categorically dead. Our USP is that this is a lysated bacteria, so it is considerably more stable. Next question from Mark. Just to clarify, patents from Croda and SkinBio being agreed and submitted to the various patent offices and you await confirmed acceptance on the various bodies. Yes, that is all in hand, Mark. Yes, that's very much why we don't want to divulge too much information to the market. We're moving as fast as we possibly can. And the internal team at Croda is moving very, very quickly indeed. Might Croda customers start selling new products before the April launch of the lysate? That's from James. James, I can't answer that question. I think we all know the answer to that question. Certainly, we do know that samples have gone out to prior customers. We do know we're receiving revenues this year. So I can't name customers. I can't name quantums, but what I can say is we are expecting revenue before calendar year-end in the next month, and we are expecting revenues before the April launch. So I think that answers that question. Why did the company say forecast will come from Croda when it was never going to happen? This is from Andrew. Croda has provided a forecast. They just hasn't provided them to the market and they're keeping the confidential. This is seen as a potential blockbuster product, and we don't want to do anything at all to jeopardize that, giving numbers, given geographic regions out, giving mode of action claims, giving results of clinical trials out just as was mentioned to me directly from Croda, loose lips sink ships. And that's very much how they believe that this should be handled. They've put the shutters down. We should all be delighted that they are being so secret about the whole thing. We've declared that this is double-digit royalties. We are expecting revenues. And I'm delighted, and all I can say is that this takes us cash positive very, very quickly indeed. So I'm not concerned about not putting out the forecast. As I've said previously, I'd love to do so, I simply cannot my hands are tied. Do you believe the Croda's intention is to phase out Matrixyl and replace it with SkinBiotix? Again, I don't want to disrespect Matrixyl. Matrixyl is a blockbuster nearly GBP 400 million international sort of staple of the cosmetics world. If we could come anywhere close to that, I'd be absolutely over the moon, I really would. I don't think they're going to switch the lights off on Matrixyl anytime soon. I think there would be a natural move over to a naturally occurring product. Is that going to happen in year 1? Of course, it's not. And you may well get -- and I've said this before, some customers may, well, say, I'm not prepared to pay the price premium for SkinBiotix, I'm happy to stick with Matrixyl. And you're bound to get people like that. But this is the next big thing then you can imagine people moving over to it quite swiftly. I can't give a time line on that. I think we talked about this before. Tom Wood have wisely said, this is going to -- the only people that know the exact rate of pickup are the actual consumers themselves. How this is marketed and how this is put out there and how quickly pick this up, very accurate statement indeed. I think we all await with breath the actual rate to pick up. Croda absolutely have a plan. This is not the first rodeo, they've done this done this on multiple occasions. We have to trust in them. They are world experts at this. If they treat this the same way they treated Matrixyl. This is going to be just wonderful. From Richard, are these double-digit royalties percentage? Yes, I can confirm they are double-digit royalties based on global sales. It is a complex calculation. It's based on volumes. It's based on geographic region. It's based on a number of things, but it is double-digit royalties. The mean is double-digit category. Royalties query. If Croda sold GBP 10 million of lysate, how much would skin... That's a tricky question. If I was to tell you that, I would be telling you how long the piece of string was. I can't divulge that, that would give you the exact amount of royalties. Next question is with Croda revenues, will the outstanding GBP 950,000 loan be rapidly repaid? Yes, I mean, that is that is obviously something we would look at cash dependent. Yes, obviously, it's something that if you can remove debt quickly, why would you not. Will the broker update be a provider with Croda forecast? When Croda produce forecasts, absolutely, our analysts will issue that. Since there's so much overlap with Croda. Would it make sense for them to takeover SkinBio? Now there's a question. That, you would have to ask Croda that. Would it make sense? Depends how much they're going to pay for it. Would we recommend that to our shareholders? That depends on the price. We are more than just a one-trick pony. We do have other things to offer. I don't know whether Croda would buy us or not, that is not a question for the ages. Sorry, I'd love to be able to answer that. I don't have a crystal ball. It's a bloody good question though. How are the other pillars of the business progressing to produce other revenue streams? I think we've gone through that. We've now got two acquisitions that are generating revenue streams. I'm going to talk more about that in the results, and we do have projects ongoing in CleanBiotix and MediBiotix, and I will discuss them week after next. AxisBiotix psoriasis product has strong discussions with multinational acne studies completed with exceptional results. Thank you. Can you provide further information and more material targets? I'm going to do that in the results at IMC, if you don't mind, I think I'll give a little bit of color and context on that. But yes, we've got some great plans for acne and the psoriasis product continues to impress and continues to move forward. Stuart, congratulations on the newly signed Croda deal. Now that one is in the bag and our future seems secure. What are the news can shareholders look forward to that will enhance our share price? Yes. I mean, obviously, you're going to see the marketing material and the claims coming out of Croda as we get towards that global launch in April. You're going to see our year-end results. You're going to see our annual report. And then next year, you'll start to see some of the other things that we've got coming with acne. There will be an update on the projects that we've got running at the moment. And then we do have other M&A ambitions. We're not going to rush out and buy a bunch of companies very quickly. I heard the market loud and clear about the instrument that we use last time, we got that loud and clear. Painful as it was, but it's got us to where we are. We do have lots of decent news flow coming. I think we are past the painful partner. But yes, thank you for the accolade. I think, I've answered that one, what news can we expect? Yes. How long will the company remain solvent? And will this be submission time to realize cash inflows from Ian? Yes, I think we've talked about that. We're past EBITDA even now, and we are -- we've removed that. We said we had sufficient cash to last through till December '26. In the last RNS, I removed that and said we had no further need to go to the market for cash for working capital. So yes, that runway is -- yes, as we said, we have no further cash demand at all. Chris G. Hello, Chris. Can you clarify its double-digit percentage? Yes, I can clarify categorically. Alan C., why don't we put more skin in the game and remove red flags, that's direct to stock buys. Look, I bought stock on three occasions when I've been invited to do so and when I've been allowed to do. So let me say I've seen the rollout plan from Croda. So I cannot -- I am absolutely inside. I cannot buy now. I also know what the next M&A targets are. Likewise, during the course of this year, when I made the announcement about transforming the company, I knew when we were in advanced diligence with Dermatonics. One month later, we closed -- I made that statement in December. In January, we bought Dermatonics. And once we bought Dermatonics, I knew that the next target that we were in advanced diligence with Bio-Tech Solutions was there. It would have been pretty naughty for me to say, well, it's got to for me to buy stock now and then close on that. Furthermore, the clinical trial results, yes, we didn't know them. Once they were announced, we earnest it, I was then in negotiations on the commercial terms. Again, I was inside. So I am inside quite a lot. I do fervently hope there will come an opportunity as Manprit and I did last time. And when we did our last fund raise, we both bought in then. I do have significant stock options up to about 6 million shares in the company, which are based on share price performance and on financial triggers, which giving them all together and the share option they have would take me up to about 7 million shares. That's that significant skin in the game. I hear what you're saying. And trust me when I get the opportunity, I will absolutely do so. I think that's all of the questions that I can see.
Operator
operatorYes, I was going to say, Stuart, thank you very much indeed, as we do come up to the hour as well, perfect timing. Sure, if any more questions, do make themselves available, of course, we'll make those available to you as well. Feedback, as usual, I know it's particularly important to you particularly at this time. So I'll shortly redirect those on the call to give you their feedback. But I wonder if I may just ask you for a few closing comments.
Stuart Ashman
executiveYes. As I've said on a number of occasions, this has been a very tough year for everyone, shareholders and the Board and the management team. We made some promises and very bold promises in December of last year that we would transform the company. At that stage, we were forecasting GBP 250,000 worth of sales. We're now on an annualized basis, forecasting north of GBP 6.3 million. And then you can add Croda on top of that. We made some great hires with Dr. Surinder Chahal, with Vicky Turner in marketing. We managed to make those two acquisitions that are both strategically very valuable to us indeed. And I think the true value will be seen in the years to come. We've managed to get over that final hurdle that we've all been waiting for patiently. The clinical trials results were excellent. And then on top of that, we managed to finalize those commercial terms, and we now have it absolutely in black and white, this product is live. It is being commercialized as we speak and it launches on a global arena in Amsterdam at the Cosmetic Ingredients Show in April next year. The hard yards are behind us it's time to continue building the foundation is solid. I thank you all for your patience. I know it's been a difficult year, and I apologize for the bumps that we've had, but we finally got there. I think the destination was worth the arduous journey. Thank you all for your time.
Operator
operatorThat's great, Stuart. Thank you once again for updating investors. If I could please ask investors not to close this session as we'll now automatically redirect you for the opportunity to provide your feedback in order that the company can better understand your views and expectations. This may take a few moments to complete, but I'm sure it will be greatly valued by the company. On behalf of the management team of SkinBioTherapeutics plc, I would like to thank you for attending today's presentation, and enjoy the rest of your day.
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