Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. ($SKWD)

Earnings Call Transcript · May 7, 2026

NasdaqGS US Financials Insurance Earnings Calls 71 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

Operator
#1

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the First Quarter 2026 Skyward Specialty Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would like now to turn the conference over to Natalie Schoolcraft, Senior Vice President. Please go ahead.

Natalie Schoolcraft

Executives
#2

Thank you, Gina. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our first quarter 2026 earnings conference call. Today, I am joined by our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Andrew Robinson; and Chief Financial Officer, Mark Haushill. We will begin the call today with our prepared remarks, and then we will open the lines for questions. Our comments may include forward-looking statements, which, by their nature, involve a number of risk factors and uncertainties, which may affect future financial performance. Such risk factors may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in our projections or forward-looking statements. These types of factors are discussed in our press release as well as in our 10-K that was previously filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Financial schedules containing reconciliations of certain non-GAAP measures, along with other supplemental financial schedules are included as part of our press release and available on our website under the Investors section. With that, I will turn the call over to Andrew.

Andrew Robinson

Executives
#3

Thank you, Natalie. Good morning, and thank you for joining us. This quarter marks our first reporting at Skyward Group, inclusive of both the Skyward Specialty and Apollo segments. Our results reflect an excellent start as a combined company. Mark will cover the quarter in detail in a moment, but I'll start our call today with a few highlights. First quarter diluted operating EPS improved to $1.25 from $0.90 a share in the same quarter last year, an impressive increase of 39%, reflecting both the strong embedded earnings growth of Skyward Specialty and the realized accretion from the Apollo acquisition. Our annualized operating return on equity was an outstanding 20%. Our book value per share grew to $27.50, which is up 10% over the prior quarter. Altogether, these results reflect strong underlying earnings momentum and disciplined capital deployment, positioning us well to continue to deliver consistent top-quartile returns for our shareholders. Our growth in gross written premiums on a pro forma basis was up 10% over the prior year. Managed premiums were up 20% on a pro forma basis to $968 million. And as a reminder, managed premiums include a combination of group premiums and premiums supported by third-party capital providers. The underlying 49% growth in gross written premiums driving the fee aspect of Apollo's business will be an important and new earnings growth driver as we look out into the future. As is widely discussed, market conditions are increasingly challenging for significant parts of the P&C sector. Our portfolio construction is genuinely unique amongst the P&C universe in that over 50% of the Skyward Group's business, now inclusive of Syndicate 1971, or iBOT, our digital economy syndicate, is in markets less exposed to the P&C cycles. Together with our niche-focused strategy and outstanding execution, Skyward Group has never been better positioned to deliver sustained top-quartile shareholder value and continued earnings growth. With that, I'll turn the call over to Mark to provide the financial details for the quarter. Mark?

Mark Haushill

Executives
#4

Thank you, Andrew, and good morning, everyone. As Andrew outlined, our first quarter reflects a successful start as a combined company, reporting net income of $50 million and operating income of $57 million. Diluted operating earnings per share was $1.25, up 39% year-over-year. Underwriting income totaled $52 million, and the combined ratio was 89.5, inclusive of 1.8 points of catastrophe losses. Ex-cat combined ratio was 87.7%, reflecting strong underlying loss performance and disciplined expense management. Annualized operating ROE was 20.3%, underscoring the earnings power of the combined group. Gross written premiums were $668 million, up approximately 10% on a pro forma basis, driven by 9% growth in Skyward Specialty and 9% growth in Apollo. Overall growth was driven by Skyward Specialty's accident & health, credit and surety, global agriculture and specialty programs divisions and Apollo Syndicate 1969, our multi-class specialty syndicate. As Andrew emphasized, managed premiums, which include gross written premiums from which we derive fees are an important metric for our business going forward. Managed premiums totaled $968 million, up approximately 20% year-over-year on a pro forma basis, including fee-generating premiums of $300 million, which increased 49%. In this quarter, we generated $10 million in underwriting fees. This income stream is capital-light recurring and incremental to underwriting profit, and it represents a structurally important earnings growth lever as managed premium volume scales over time. With the addition of Apollo, we now report through 2 operating segments, Skyward Specialty and Apollo and a discrete corporate unit. The corporate unit includes investment results, holding company costs and enterprise-level functions that support both operating segments. The change improves transparency and provides clear visibility into the true segment level performance. Skyward Specialty reported a combined ratio of 88.9 or 86.8 ex-cat, reflecting another period of solid underwriting performance and an improvement from the prior year quarter. The loss ratio of 62.7 includes 2.1 points of catastrophe losses from winter and convective storms. The non-cat loss ratio of 60.6 was in line with 2025 and reflects business mix shift as A&H and global agriculture make up a larger portion of our portfolio. Loss emergence was in line with expectations and no development was recognized. The expense ratio was 26.2, improving by over 0.5 point year-over-year, driven by continued operating efficiencies and business mix. Turning to Apollo. The segment produced a combined ratio of 85.3, a strong start for the first quarter as part of Skyward Group. As Apollo has not historically reported quarterly results on a comparable U.S. GAAP basis, we are not providing year-over-year comparisons. Apollo reported a non-cat loss ratio of 52.8, lower than full year expectations as a result of Q1 business mix and seasonality. Loss emergence in the quarter was in line with expectations. Apollo did not incur any cat losses in the quarter, and our full year cat expectations remain unchanged. The expense ratio of 32.5 is broadly in line with expectations. The $4 million of fee-based service expenses are excluded from the combined ratio, but included in operating income and support the scalability of the fee-earning part of the business. Turning to investments. The portfolio now approximates $2.7 billion, of which 90% of the portfolio consists of fixed income and short-term investments. Net investment income was $27 million, an increase of $7.5 million year-over-year, driven primarily by a larger invested asset base as a result of the Apollo acquisition. Alternative and strategic investments continue to experience volatility, primarily due to marks on the underlying investments. These exposures represent a modest portion of total invested assets and the overall portfolio remains conservatively positioned. With the addition of Apollo, over $500 million of invested assets were added to the portfolio during the quarter, which contributed $5 million of net investment income, primarily in fixed income securities and short-term investments. For the fixed income portfolio, we put $75 million to work at 5.5%. The embedded yield for the group portfolio was 5.3%. Turning to the balance sheet. Stockholders' equity ended the quarter at $1.2 billion. Financial leverage was in line with expectations after the closing of the Apollo acquisition at 28%. As Andrew highlighted, book value per share was $27.50, representing a 31% increase over the prior 12 months. You will recall that on December 3, we provided guidance for 2026, and that guidance is unchanged. Now, I'll turn the call back over to Andrew.

Andrew Robinson

Executives
#5

Thank you, Mark. As Mark shared, our financial results for the quarter were again excellent. Our portfolio diversification, particularly in categories less exposed to the P&C cycle, again, served as a catalyst for strong top line performance, which in turn will continue to drive double-digit earnings growth. Notably, our increase in gross written premiums of 25-plus percent in A&H, credit and surety and ag are all in areas that are removed from the pressures of the broader P&C market. Simultaneously, we are maintaining our disciplined bottom line focus in other areas of our business that are currently experiencing softening market conditions or a challenging loss inflation backdrop. Among small or mid-cap carriers in the public or private markets, there is no other company that has constructed such a well-diversified and cycle-resistant business portfolio. While only months into operating as a combined company, a number of important growth initiatives have been launched. This includes our proprietary insurance partnership for Uber's autonomous vehicle insurance program, the launch of our life sciences product using Lloyd's paper to serve U.S.-domiciled companies with international exposure, and the 1/1 launch of Syndicate 1972, which is Apollo's internal reinsurance syndicate. I'll note that 1972 further provides strategic optionality for Skyward Specialty's outward reinsurance as we look to the future. John Burkhart, James Slaughter and several of our leaders are actively advancing a number of future shared growth initiatives, including opportunities in surety and the launch of iBOT America. These highlight only a few of the exciting developments that we will discuss as we begin to scale these initiatives in the quarters ahead. Turning to our operational metrics. For Skyward Specialty, pure rate moved up a bit to high single digits ex-global property and mid-single digits, including global property. Excluding our intentional actions in construction auto, retention was in the 70s, driven by the effects of the competitive property market across our portfolio. We continue to see strong submission growth, which was solidly in the teens again this quarter. Apollo's risk-adjusted rate change ex-property was in the low-single digits. Apollo remains intently focused on rate adequacy to steer and maximize returns at the account and portfolio level. And like Skyward -- excuse me, like Skyward Specialty, Apollo's diversified portfolio means that we are better positioned to capitalize on opportunities to defend our business in an evolving market. To wrap up, we had an outstanding quarter. It's clear that our niche strategy, our excellent execution, our portfolio construction, supplemented with a new fee engine is and will be a continued source of strong earnings growth and top-quartile financial performance into the future. The combination of Skyward Specialty and Apollo brings together differentiated talent, technology, AI and innovation capabilities, positioning us to build on the unique strengths of each company and to pursue attractive new opportunities together. With that, I'd now like to turn the call back over to the operator to open up for Q&A. Operator?

Operator

Operator
#6

[Operator Instructions] And the first question will come from Matt Carletti with Citizens.

Matthew Carletti

Analysts
#7

Andrew, I was hoping to -- you spent some time talking about your differentiated platform, and I was hoping to dig a little deeper on that, and really have 2 questions. The first is, as you think about kind of how your business sits today, particularly with kind of Apollo on board now, and we think about where we are in the cycle, can you just give us your view of kind of how you see kind of the impact on growth and the impact on margins, or how that unfolds for Skyward versus kind of your select peer group or the industry? And then the second part is just to go a bit deeper and appreciating kind of the half of your business that is not P&C, things like surety, like A&H, like agriculture. We hear those words at other carriers at times, usually not all 3, but here and there. Can you talk a little bit about how your approach to those businesses might be a bit different than what we might think of as the average approach?

Andrew Robinson

Executives
#8

Matt, thank you for the questions. And there's a lot there to unpack. So let me -- I'm going to start sort of on the question about sort of how we see the market, our portfolio and margin outlook. And look, I think that I talk certainly about the parts that are the uncorrelated and have seen the biggest growth and for reasons that have to do with, like we have great product market fit, and we're not seeing kind of the cyclical factors, right? I'm going to set those aside for a moment. I will just say to you that, I view our portfolios while very complementary and different, both Skyward Specialty and Apollo share one important sort of feature, which is the portfolios are quite niche. So -- and I'll give you just a simple example because I was in London with the team just a couple of weeks back, and we're talking about the marine, energy and transport division of Apollo. And what became clear to me is that, for example, in that business, they have a leadership position in shipbuilders. They have a leadership position in ports and terminals. And while those 2, if you will, subclasses aren't necessarily immune from macro conditions, they certainly aren't feeling the full effects of the marine, energy and transportation division. And while it feels like a faraway comparison, if you look at our management liability book, which is made up of Web3 smart contract types of exposure and cannabis and distressed homeowners, we're away from the parts of the management liability market that has the pressures of 50 carriers competed and really no opportunity to create kind of margin that separates from the rest of the industry. And I think if you worked across our portfolios, you would find example after example of that. I think what I would say to you is that, those niches have a certain opportunity size. And so -- listen, to write Web3 is hard. You have to build a specialized insurance contract around that and so forth. And we've done that, but it's a limited opportunity, which basically means that in soft market conditions, as long as you're disciplined and you don't sort of go chase everything else that's out there, which we don't, your growth opportunities will be a little bit more limited. I don't necessarily believe at this moment in time I see an impact on our margin. We're watching closely. I think both the leaders, James and John are doing an excellent job around that. But I don't see an impact on our margin because of where we're competing and how we're competing is sort of the thing I would highlight. And then on the other side being the parts that are -- and I would put 1971 in there, because if you go just talk to anybody who was at RIMS, I think that they will tell you that the iBOT team is 1 of 1, not of even 2. There's 1 of 1 out there on what they do. And I think that those are the opportunities for us to drive -- that's ag and A&H and the other areas that we talk about to continue to drive really outstanding growth, and selectively to be able to expand our margins as well. And so those are the things that at every opportunity, we're going to lean hard into.

Operator

Operator
#9

And the next question is going to come from Gregory Peters with Raymond James.

Charles Peters

Analysts
#10

I wanted to focus on the disclosure in your press release around the gross written premium by underwriting division. And you also -- and you included comments about this, the managed premium growth. And so there's a bunch of moving pieces where we see certain lines or certain divisions where there's some substantial growth, and we see other areas where there's shrinkage. And I thought -- I'd like to get more perspective on the moving pieces in there. And I know you just sort of answered some of it in the previous -- with the previous question. But when I see this substantial growth, in the fee-generating gross written premium, and -- it begs the question, how are you avoiding getting caught up in just market-sensitive types of businesses, and how are you able to avoid the stuff that's more cyclical and focus on the stuff that's less cyclical.

Andrew Robinson

Executives
#11

Greg, thanks for the question. I'm going to endeavor to answer it as best I can, but this may be something that we want to follow up and then make sure that if I'm not answering it fully for you here that there we are after the call. So there's 2 things that drive that premium, that is driving fees. The first part is that, that's directly linked to 1969 and 1971, where obviously, we have 25% of the capital deployed for those 2 syndicates. And so this is fees that correspond with the business that we're writing directly into our account. And then in addition to that, as we have talked about in the past that Apollo has a division focused on providing managing agency services to partner syndicates. And in each and every instance of those partner syndicates, I would characterize -- and there's 9 in total -- I would characterize that -- there's 9 syndicates in total that they are all really kind of away from the standard market. So they include things like parametric. They include now a credit-related syndicate. They include a captive for a global technology company. And so in each of those instances, they're rather unique and they fit with, I would say, principally the innovation mindset of our company in total, but more importantly, around Lloyd's ambition to bring new categories of risk into Lloyd's. And in fact, I believe if you ask the Lloyd's management how they view Apollo as a partner in this regard, I think that you would hear words around innovation and the ability to support some of these new ideas and provide the appropriate oversight and capabilities that they believe are requisite for those syndicates to operate effectively in Lloyd's. And I have little concern about the growth potential there based on what I know on the backlog of opportunities that are in front of us.

Charles Peters

Analysts
#12

That's good. And then can we go to the -- just at the beginning of the question, I asked about the underwriting divisions. And I guess -- I think you previously commented on the growth in credit and surety. I think seeing the shrinkage in global property makes sense based on what we know what's going on in the pricing environment. Maybe you could just remind us the specialty programs posting great results in the first quarter, what's going on there, and anything else you want to call out in the disclosure.

Andrew Robinson

Executives
#13

Yes. So yes, thanks, Greg. I mean, listen, on the growth side, surety is the driver on that credit and surety -- surety and credit line item. And our team is just incredible. And they just keep moving from strength to strength. There's been a little bit of disruption. We were able to bring in some talent in a couple of geographies. And unsurprisingly, the books of business followed. And we're just -- I mean, like just compare our financial results in the SFA published data, our growth and our loss performance, there's nobody who looks like us. I mean, it's just -- we are 1 of 1 in terms of that level of performance. And the same thing on A&H, right? The results are out in the public domain. We're a top 5 performer in terms of loss results. And simultaneously, the combination of our single company medical stop-loss solution and our group captive solution, particularly the latter one has really found sort of product market fit. And again, I would say we're one of one there. Ag, I talked about this, we are one of one. While we have a diversified global reinsurance program, we also have a unique capability around the U.S. dairy livestock program, where we're the only company out there providing a risk transfer solution, one of one. So you'll see a theme here when I refer to 1971 in a similar way. On the flip side, I think our team is doing just an outstanding job defending our books and picking and choosing shots to win. And I think the -- if you take professional as an example, what started as a soft market in public D&O bled into private D&O, which really was part of that niche focus I described that we pursued, but it's present in the miscellaneous sort of E&O category. Where it's not present right now is in -- we're doing a good job seeing a strong opportunity and growth in health are professional. It just isn't visible to you in those numbers. I think on the E&S side, all that shrinkage is being driven by property straight up. The excess market is -- and I wouldn't say anything different than you probably heard from other CEOs. I think there's still good opportunity out there. You have to be cautious in the loss inflation backdrop. I think our guys are doing it right. There's very little auto exposure in our excess book in E&S, and we're writing smaller limit stuff. GL is a bit of a mixed bag. I'd be very cautious of any company who's reporting big casualty growth out there because that kind of market opportunity just doesn't exist the way it did 1 and 2 years ago. And I would say, it's a very uneven market. And I always like to provide examples, and I'm going to give you an example here. I oftentimes referred to, during sort of the E&S growth period, one area that we capitalized on was migrant hotels. We were probably the largest writer of migrant hotels in the United States. We had a large book in New York City alone that, I think over the sort of the 3- or 4-year period we built that had maybe a 20% loss ratio. And it's tough business to write. On the other side, as that business has gone away, the corresponding opportunity that's gone into the market is writing ICE detention centers. That is a particularly difficult risk. We write that one way and one way only. We write it with comprehensive assault and battery exclusion, no sexual abuse and molestation cover, et cetera, et cetera. We're writing accounts. And you write those at really good rates, you can make good money. And within like the last 2 or 3 months, I would say companies who I would hold in high regard come into the market writing without any coverage restrictions, which, from our vantage point, probably triples, quadruples the loss cost. So if you're going to write a $5 million exposure instead of expecting $400,000 or $500,000 of losses, you're going to end up with $2 million of losses. And yet they're competing almost pari-passu on pricing. And I would use that as an example of -- well, it was really good 3 months ago. It's not good anymore and the people who are not trying to write that aren't doing it in a responsible way. So the market has gotten very uneven. And that unevenness means you just got to be really smart, pick and choose, be in the right place at the right time. Our business, as I've told you a bunch of times, is, it is severity driven, it's in the E&S market for the right reasons, and that's the stuff that we like to write. But when you see folks compromising things like terms and conditions, you have to just take pause and say, we're not going to chase that. And so you see some of that coming through our growth numbers. And rest assured, if you're an investor in us that we're bringing the kind of discipline that you'd want us to bring. And I would -- on the flip side, companies who are loading up on casualty right now for whatever set of reasons, there isn't a broad enough market opportunity to justify that kind of growth in the market right now.

Charles Peters

Analysts
#14

That's excellent detail.

Operator

Operator
#15

And the next question comes from Meyer Shields with KBW.

Meyer Shields

Analysts
#16

And obviously, I want to welcome Natalie back. Mark, you mentioned both seasonality and mix when you're talking about Apollo. I was hoping you could talk about that because I'm assuming the mix part might be more persistent even if seasonality evolves over the course of the year.

Mark Haushill

Executives
#17

Yes. Meyer, I agree with your comment. It is more mix than it is seasonality. I don't know what else to tell you. Are you asking anything else? What else can I help you with?

Meyer Shields

Analysts
#18

Well, I was hoping you sort of like flesh out what the seasonality is just in terms of the evolution of the Apollo books combined ratio over the course of the year.

Mark Haushill

Executives
#19

Well, it varies, right? There are a number of classes. And so I don't have all of the detail in front of me, but it varies by class. There's just a number of businesses that can impact the loss ratio.

Andrew Robinson

Executives
#20

Yes. Meyer, I think what I would point to is that, you're going to see in the fourth quarter -- fourth quarter is heavily driven by 1971. The third quarter is heavily driven by 1969. It's a lot lighter in the first half of the year. And not like in the United States where most of our business is earned in ratably over the course of the year, let's say, or even if you're writing surety, maybe it's -- and the duration of our surety is like a 14-month average contract, maybe it's ratably over 14 months. There's business in there that earns in over a shorter period of time, which can have an effect on how the loss ratio earns in. I think the high-level point is, it is a great result. We're very -- we're both pleased and proud of our Apollo colleagues. It's a great way to come out of the blocks. But I think that, we just go back to what we said when we gave you guidance that you should understand that Apollo will probably consistently on a loss ratio performance all in be a bit better than us in the United States at Skyward Specialty and on the expense ratio, a bit higher and -- but they're relatively comparable combined ratio businesses over the course of a full year.

Meyer Shields

Analysts
#21

Okay. That's very helpful. The second question, I guess, I think this is predominantly Apollo or maybe global property. I was hoping you talk about Middle East and exposure, both in terms of loss potential and where rates are apparently evolving pretty quickly.

Andrew Robinson

Executives
#22

Yes. Great question, and thank you. This is like one of these ones I smile at whether I'm just lucky, I think, as a CEO in this instance. We are with our Board, and it's nice to be able to have a real-world event as the first test of like the great risk management and underwriting at Apollo. Short story is this, Apollo really sort of reduced their aggregate exposure in the Middle East just simply because post-Crimea, they concluded that there just wasn't the rate to support the kind of potential political risk, political violence and other sort of adjacent exposure. And their exposure runs through marine, war, aviation, political risk, political violence. As a percentage of the market in Lloyd's, their exposure to the Middle East is far less than their share of each of those markets. We have, in our loss picks this quarter, some of that exposure. We have one reported loss of really any size, and that's incorporated into our picks. And if things develop beyond sort of the numbers that are being talked about over the course of the second quarter and beyond, and we believe it reflects in our book, we're going to sort of obviously reflect that. But I think what you should understand is that we're definitely undersized in the Middle East, and that's a direct byproduct of leadership's determination that the rates really didn't support the exposure there. Post the event, we're trying to be picky. There are some instances like we have -- we've written a handful of accounts, things like parking garage structures and in some of the other countries that are experiencing kind of the collateral effects, if you will, we've written some things that are sea-bearing around, like service shifts and so forth. But I would describe what the team has done as being very thoughtful in kind of picking and choosing and kind of waiting to see a really sort of fulsome movement on the market environment, that would have us lean in further than we are.

Meyer Shields

Analysts
#23

Okay. Perfect. That's very helpful, very thorough. Final question, if I can. If we look at the, I guess, the margin on the fee-based business for managing other capital providers premium, is that margin pretty steady over the course of the year?

Andrew Robinson

Executives
#24

It is pretty steady over the course of the year. I mean, I would want to bring Taryn into the conversation to make sure that I fully understand it. It is -- I believe it would follow the actual writings of premium. And so if there's seasonality there, I think that, that might influence it. But I'd tell you what, let me make sure that we come back to you on that. So that I'm answering it accurately versus kind of my general understanding of how that part comes through, the true sort of partner syndicate fee income would come through.

Operator

Operator
#25

And our next question will come from Alex Scott with Barclays.

Taylor Scott

Analysts
#26

I was hoping you could talk a bit about the way Apollo participates in the cyber business. I just don't know much about it. So I'd be interested in sort of the overview of what they do in that market. And then just your views on any risk from some of the developments in artificial intelligence and identifying vulnerabilities.

Andrew Robinson

Executives
#27

Yes. So Alex, thanks for the question. I'm looking at a colleague to make sure that everything that's mentally in my mind. So one of the partner syndicates, I think, in fact -- actually, it's not a partner syndicate. It's managed as a special purpose syndicate -- we participate and it's an entity called Envelop that has what I would describe as very kind of unique IP in the cyber space, but also a bunch of that exposure is not what you would think about as sort of traditional U.S. and even OECD exposure. So I think that, that's probably the most notable thing, and that comes through as a reinsurance participation. I think that beyond that, there probably is other exposure. But again, I think this is a case where first quarter, trying to make sure that we're fully prepared, I would want to make sure that we're following up and checking that off with our colleagues there. So -- but that would be the one that I highlight that really does dominate what is the substantive exposure for Apollo. And in the U.S., we have really de minimis exposure to cyber.

Taylor Scott

Analysts
#28

Got it. I know kind of the last question. All right. As a follow-up, maybe a broader one. I mean, we're hearing increasingly, just talking to some people in the rooms, it sounds like the specialty markets has gotten pretty darn competitive. And I know you all have done a great job of focusing on your niches. But any update on how you're feeling about growth and continuing to be able to find those spots net of where you've got to pull back here and there? And any update that you'd give us to some of that guidance laid out for the 2026 plan?

Andrew Robinson

Executives
#29

Yes. Yes, thanks. Alex, I think that it's, I will say, the one interesting dimension of the market today, and this is 35 years of personal experience and more correspondingly 35 years, it's -- the speed in which things have moved has been pretty extraordinary. I think probably the most notable change separating out everything that's been discussed about MGAs and fronts and so forth is now you're seeing, obviously, third-party capital sidecars. And more recently, we're talking to folks and the desire for runoff carriers to come in and probably writing at better terms than the ceding companies for those sidecars, which is kind of like a frightening prospect. I think, it makes things pretty hard to predict. What I would say to you on the flip side, and I just can't emphasize this enough. We have this incredibly durable portfolio. And so as things get tougher in selected places, I know that, our leadership is prepared to make sure that we're holding the line, we're writing the best accounts, we're doing it on terms and conditions that are going to generate the returns that we seek. And then simultaneous to that, the growth opportunities that we have in A&H and surety and Ag and 1971 and even some niches that sit elsewhere in the Skyward Specialty U.S. business and the Apollo 1969 business are going to continue to deliver growth well above our peers. So we follow every one of the folks who reported before us. And if you take a cross-section of that cohort, and that would include the primary insurance operations of the Bermudians who we compete against, our growth looks outstanding against them. And yet, we feel as good about the margin content of that growth as we did a year ago and a year before that. In fact, in some cases, we feel better about the margin content. And so I just -- I think we're in a really unique and outstanding place. I think our investors want to make sure that they understand that. And I feel good about the year. We've never really gotten too specific about growth. And I think otherwise, our guidance stands. We're not changing our guidance. We've never missed consensus as a public company. Every quarter, we've exceeded consensus. We're committed to giving guidance that we believe is achievable. And if we can beat that guidance, we'll beat the guidance.

Operator

Operator
#30

And the next question comes from Paul Newsome with Piper Sandler.

Jon Paul Newsome

Analysts
#31

Kind of more on the same topic, but maybe the other way looking a little differently. How do you think about the proportion of your business today that isn't part of the cyclical concerns that we're talking about? Where -- do you think your business resistant?

Andrew Robinson

Executives
#32

Say the last part again, Paul? I missed the last part.

Jon Paul Newsome

Analysts
#33

Just where do you think the business is resistant and not dealing with the competitive issues that you're talking about today?

Andrew Robinson

Executives
#34

Well, I mean, I think that if we look at it on a full year basis, it's going to be well in excess of 50%. And we just point to the categories we've talked about in the past. They're made up of our surety, A&H, credit, ag, captives, 1971, we put into that. But I'll also say to you that there's no shortage of pieces, as I've talked about, like we have little niches, what we write in management liability, some of those categories were 1 of only 2 or 3 companies who are writing that. And so -- and I'll just -- I'll say it again, I use my example of if you're going to write Web3, you actually have to have a product that defines a smart contract. You can't just use a standard management liability product. So -- and so you have a bit of practical barriers to entry on even some of the niche stuff. We don't put that into the cycle resistant because it's like just -- it's just too hard and would require a lot of detail and disclosure. But I think today, well in excess of 50% of our business. And I think that what 1971, the guys at iBOT are doing, the focus on autonomy is, it's just like a -- it is wide open in terms of what the potential is for our company, particularly given that we're starting from a leadership position. And so I -- again, I just -- I feel like it's more than 50% of our portfolio. And I believe that in a horizon until we start to see us transition from -- kind of into a softening market and transition back towards a hardening market, which might be quite a few quarters or even years out, we'll probably see a larger portion of our portfolio grow in these areas that I would characterize as more cycle resistant.

Jon Paul Newsome

Analysts
#35

Great. Different question. Reinsurance market also going through quite a bit of change. I think, a fair user of reinsurance. How should we think about the impact of the reinsurance market affecting your business given that there are definitely pockets there that are pretty soft?

Andrew Robinson

Executives
#36

I think on both the Skyward Specialty and the Apollo, part of the -- parts of the business, we've had good success through this part of the year. I can tell you like we renewed our cat program on 4/1. We -- because, obviously, property is coming off. We rightsized our exposure. We stayed with a range of kind of 1 in 10 to 1 in 250. Our sort of risk-adjusted rate came way off. Our second event cover dropped down lower. It was like at $7.5 million second event, it's down to $5 million. So we saw a lot of benefits in the states and similarly at Apollo. On the flip side, we know still that, there's margin in our reinsurance that we're placing into the reinsurance community. I mentioned in my prepared remarks, the launch of 1972. It's a really powerful sort of innovation by the Apollo team. I think they're first to do such a structure, like it's a sidecar structure, but the way they did it. And so they basically have taken 20% of their outwards reinsurance and put it into 1972. It's managed. We keep 1/4 of that and then third-party capital supports that follows the market. So we're able to recapture fees on that. And we're going to be using that next year for Skyward Specialty as well. And we do that because we still believe that our reinsurance purchasing, for all the right reasons, still has margin -- good margin in there for the reinsurers, and that's one way that we can recapture at least a portion of it.

Operator

Operator
#37

The next question is going to come from Tracy Benguigui with Wolfe Research.

Tracy Benguigui

Analysts
#38

So you're clearly pulling back in global property within the Skyward Specialty segment. At the same time, we're hearing that the Lloyd's market has become more aggressive on property, contributing to broader property softness. So I understand that most of Apollo's growth shows up in fees, but you're still taking on some of that risk. So within the Apollo segment, how would you characterize the property growth in the quarter? And if you're participating on a whole account proportional basis, are you effectively assuming more property exposure to Apollo while reducing it at Skyward Specialty? So how should we think about how you align those underwriting appetites across the 2 platforms?

Andrew Robinson

Executives
#39

Yes. So thanks, Tracy. Really great question. So Doug Davies leads our global property business in the United States. Kate Foster leads the property business at Apollo. Those 2 are certainly in communication, seeing their different views in the market. To be clear, we're not writing any pro rata in London. That piece is -- at least as it relates to the open market business is a direct and fact business. There's no 2 people in our entire company that I feel better about their ability to find a way to make a buck in a tough market than those 2 people. And I say that with great sincerity. They are 2 of the strongest underwriting leaders who have a comprehensive view of the market, know how to work with the brokers in these kind of markets and be able to sort of get their pound of flesh out. And by the way, Apollo's sort of growth or lack of growth is following almost exactly what's happening in our published numbers that you see for global property division in Skyward Specialty. And so I feel great about it. I think, that at a higher level, one thing that is really a standout capability of Apollo is something that James Slaughter has been leading around being able to ensure accounts are clearly understood in terms of risk quality. And so when you're softening -- when you're in a softening market, particularly in places like property, you have a quantitative view of the highest risk quality, which is really where you want to defend your portfolio, because quite honestly, you're -- ultimately, your loss content for that part of the business can be paid for even in the kind of rate environment we're in now. So I feel great, to be honest. And oh, by the way, I think you see these negative growth numbers. And yet, as a company, we're still putting up really impressive overall growth. And so I think in that regard, we're showing up as quite sort of thoughtful and responsible about our portfolio construction. Neither of those 2 leaders are feeling any pressure to write business that they don't believe they can make an appropriate return on.

Tracy Benguigui

Analysts
#40

Got it. You mentioned James Slaughter. He's on the call. Hi. It's been a while. Also, I like seeing the segment details. Given Apollo has a different combined ratio profile, like lower loss ratio, higher expense ratio and on an enterprise level, how should we think about your loss ratio and expense ratio outlook? Is the first quarter a good representation of what we should expect?

Andrew Robinson

Executives
#41

I think our guidance is a good representation of what you should expect. And look, like, that's our story, and we're sticking to it. I think we just -- we're sticking with our guidance. We -- it was a good quarter. And as I said, I'm very proud of the Apollo team for what they achieved in the first quarter. But I think, full year basis, you got to think about cats and you got to think about mix earning in, and we're still going to see outstanding returns as a company. And I'm pretty confident that we're going to hit and hopefully meaningfully exceed the guidance that we provided late last year.

Tracy Benguigui

Analysts
#42

No, my question was more just on the composition of the combined ratio, the profile.

Andrew Robinson

Executives
#43

The expense ratio?

Tracy Benguigui

Analysts
#44

Yes. Like, higher expense ratio, yes.

Andrew Robinson

Executives
#45

Yes, I think that Mark might want to give a bit more detail, but I think that the expense ratio you saw for the first quarter from Apollo is probably a pretty good within the kind of the proximity of what we would expect on a full year basis.

Mark Haushill

Executives
#46

Yes. I mean, Tracy, in the aggregate, we target -- we've said and this quarter as well, sub-30% is our watermark for the expense ratio. Do I still believe that? I do. 28.5 for the quarter. I don't -- I feel like that's right in line with what we guided. In the loss ratio, again, to Andrew's point, ex-cat, I feel good about where it is. But as we've talked about already a couple of times, business mix can impact it a little bit quarter-over-quarter, but I feel pretty good about both the expense ratio and the loss ratio given business mix. It can move around just a little bit.

Tracy Benguigui

Analysts
#47

And that corporate expense, that's included in your view of the expense ratio?

Mark Haushill

Executives
#48

It is.

Tracy Benguigui

Analysts
#49

Okay.

Andrew Robinson

Executives
#50

Yes. That 30% Mendoza line that we talked about, Tracy, long ago, which preceded obviously the transaction with Apollo, we revisited that with Apollo fully in mind, and we think it's the right thing to sort of keep that Mendoza Line for ourselves. I'd like to just say one other thing, Tracy. It hasn't been asked, but it's tied to your question. Obviously, a lot is happening with AI and people, everybody is talking about it, right? But our experience so far, and we've got great results and so forth, is this stuff requires real investment. And a lot of that investment happens in advance of being able to sort of see the benefits come through. It's pretty hard to imagine doing that and not backing up on your expense ratio if you don't have the growth to offset that. We're gaining efficiencies as a company overall, but we're also funding the next and the next and the next part of our technology development. And as I look at that, like growth is part of what makes that possible for us and not get too close to that 30% Mendoza Line. I think that as you look forward in other quarters and people are talking about AI and the investment there, it's going to start to become visible when growth isn't apparent. And I think that, that's -- for us, it's comforting to know that we're able to fund that entirely within our guidance on expense ratio.

Operator

Operator
#51

And the next question will come from Mark Hughes with Truist.

Mark Hughes

Analysts
#52

Andrew, in the property market, you've talked quite a bit about the pressure there, particularly in coastal national accounts. It seems like if you look across the public space, property premiums on average up a little bit, down a little bit. You don't really see it in the published results of your competitors, again, the public companies. Is there really that much pressure? Or is kind of the -- are you seeing a slower decline outside of those kind of higher volatility areas? It just seems like if you didn't know the headlines that property was affordable, if you look at the results, you wouldn't see as much pressure in the actual P&Ls. You may not agree with that point, but I'm just sort of curious what you make of that.

Andrew Robinson

Executives
#53

Well, I would -- thanks, Mark. I think in the U.S. global property, specifically the more general property book, so we have cat exposure, but we have lots of technical. So it's -- and at least in the London market part of the book for Apollo, I think there's certainly more cat exposure there. We're kind of entering the point where there's a lot of volume coming through. So we're probably better to be precise on your answer next quarter. But -- and I don't think that we're as well positioned as some writers to really talk about cat because at least through Skyward Specialty, that definitely is not our focus. I just think the property market, by and large, has lost all its sense and sensibilities. And it's so fast that you might have looked back 3, 4, 5 months ago and say, wow, it's coming off fast, but it hasn't, in our view, slowed down. So for those folks who are out there posting sort of results and giving whatever explanations they're giving, it just straight up wouldn't correspond with our view of the market. There are places, right? I mean there's -- definitely as you get to the true small end of the property market, it never went up the way the property market went up, and it doesn't come down the way the property market comes down. But those are very small pockets, and they -- it's very hard to see companies say that, that represents their book of business in total. So from our perspective, we're doing the things to hold our margin. And if others are able to sort of do it without dropping volume, they're doing it in ways that we don't understand. How is that?

Mark Hughes

Analysts
#54

I appreciate that. I also like your Jane Austen referenced, you're quite the renaissance man. If I might ask one other question, the accident and health, growth there has been fabulous. Can you talk about the sustainability there perhaps? How much might be tied to initiatives you put in place. You had some very good experience, but you may lap those at some point? Or does it feel like the opportunity there should be more durable?

Andrew Robinson

Executives
#55

Well, I have to say, like if you use a McKinsey kind of view of different horizons, I feel really good about Horizon 1, like the next year. I think we feel pretty good about Horizon 2 because we're -- we've been pleasantly surprised with sort of 3 things. One is, there's been a lot of disruption in parts of the market that we don't really touch, but we get the second order benefits of that. We've had a great run on talent, really, really great run on having talent come our way. And I think the third part of it, when I think like Horizon 2, a couple of years and so forth, is that the group captives piece is clearly bringing -- it's growing its share of the overall stop-loss -- over the overall medical market. And so it's -- in some cases, it's a halfway house to companies fully self-insuring and others, it's just a great structure for homogeneous cohorts. And we're surprised. It's just been -- we would have thought the TAM was smaller, and it keeps growing and growing and growing for us. And so kind of in the Horizon 1, Horizon 2, I feel good. It's hard to look out beyond that. But I also think that we have a team that probably will figure out what's the next product and the next product and the next product because we've done that before.

Operator

Operator
#56

And our next question will come from Michael Zaremski with BMO.

Michael Zaremski

Analysts
#57

Nice quarter. A couple numbers questions. So first, on the $30 million to $35 million fee income guide, just the mechanics of that. Should we be looking at the underwriting fee income line item of $10.78 million and netting some of it against the fee-based service expense line item of $4.17 million? And if not, if it was just a $10 million number, is it running better than expected early part of the year?

Mark Haushill

Executives
#58

Mike, it's Mark. Good question. So just so we're clear for everybody, there, the fee income that we recognized for Apollo was circa $10 million, I'm rounding, and it was about $5 million of expense, right? And you're asking how do I look at that relative to the guidance we gave you of $30 million to $35 million? Clearly, that's what you're asking?

Michael Zaremski

Analysts
#59

Yes. Thanks, Mark.

Mark Haushill

Executives
#60

Yes. So I mean, I still believe the guidance holds. And when we guided you to $30 million, $35 million, it was based on the $10 million.

Michael Zaremski

Analysts
#61

Got it.

Andrew Robinson

Executives
#62

Mike, just one other thing I'd like to say is that the $4 million-ish that you see in the service fee expense, that will not grow proportionately with our fees. This is about explicit investments that are being made to support that capability. And so that is a levered number over time. And if you ask, well, can you tell me what the levering looks like, the answer is we're probably not at a place where we can do that for you. But I think it will become clear as we go quarter-over-quarter, the separation, if you will, between the fee income and the service expense that offsets that.

Michael Zaremski

Analysts
#63

Got it. That's helpful. And then lastly, unless I'm crazy, I don't see, I've controlled, I don't see any disclosure anymore on the prior year development. I don't think I heard any commentary either. So is there -- unless I'm wrong. So is there any prior year development we should think about?

Mark Haushill

Executives
#64

Sorry, I did mention it. I may have gone over it very quickly. The answer is no in terms of any prior year development. I can tell you, emergence in the quarter was in line with our expectations. Quite frankly, it was favorable. I feel we're in a great position on our reserves, both in the U.S. and in London. We're in the best point on our reserves since we've been public.

Michael Zaremski

Analysts
#65

Okay. Got it. So yes, sorry, I wasn't -- I didn't have a live transcript open. So it's not in the press release, but it was said on the call. So we'll look out for that in the future.

Operator

Operator
#66

And our next question will come from Andrew Kligerman with TD Cowen.

Andrew Kligerman

Analysts
#67

A little follow-up on the A&H business, terrific growth there. And if I remember it right, you're more focused on employers with less than 2,500 employees. So the question is what's currently driving the growth? Is it mostly rate? Could you give a little detail on the rate that you're seeing? And maybe any expansion into larger employers? A little color overall on that.

Andrew Robinson

Executives
#68

Andrew, thank you for the question. So by the way, on A&H, really the concentration of our accounts tend to be 500 employees and less. I couldn't tell you the exact sort of Pareto holds, but it's not probably not far off from the 80-20 there. And just to answer the last part of your question, right now, we really have no interest in going upmarket. There's some dead bodies on the road side there and probably for good reasons. And it doesn't fit with our whole medical cost management kind of model. It just -- it's really hard to get that enacted except in the unusual instances. So I think -- our sort of our focus is unchanged. For us, there's -- in our numbers, there's kind of rate and there's effective rate. And what I mean by that, there are things that we'll do like laser out coverages and so forth that create effective rate. Pure rate is contributing not quite 10% in there, but it's not -- it's an important part. Really, the growth, I think, is just simply 2 factors. One is that we've really kind of hit it with our group captives capability. We've been growing both the number of members, and we've actually been growing the number of captives as well. That capability is really powerful. It fits incredibly well with our medical cost management IP and capabilities. And then on just the single employer stop-loss, we -- I think I've mentioned this on maybe the last 2 or 3 calls, we've really seen a turn in the market. And a lot of that has to do with, in our view, some stumbles of some MGAs. I think part of it is probably the larger company market, the Voya served market kind of finally got realistic. And so maybe there's some second order effects that are dropping down to our market. But it's really both areas. And certainly, our single employer stop-loss solution is still a larger part of our book, but we are seeing good growth there, and we're seeing it on the terms that we want, and it's fully utilizing all of our medical cost management IP that are important to us to be able to drive top 5 in the industry loss ratio that we've been driving.

Andrew Kligerman

Analysts
#69

That was very helpful. And maybe shifting over to, I guess, somewhat related to captives specialty segment. So that one was down 13.5%. And if I understand that business, you're kind of attaching at $350,000 and you write a broader mix of lines. And it sounded like from your comments earlier, stop-loss could even be in there, med stop-loss. Where are you seeing the pressures in that segment? And what are the opportunities?

Andrew Robinson

Executives
#70

Yes. No, great question. Really great question. So I mean just for a point of clarity, all of our medical stop-loss business is reported through the A&H division. So I just -- so we have captives in the A&H division. We have single -- so what you're seeing in the captives division is pure P&C. And I think there's probably 2 parts to the answer for you. Part number one is the downward pressure, I'll be very direct. We had, in our view, a very irresponsible party come in and basically write a captive in a way that we believe, it will cause a lot of damage. And we weren't going to compete on things that weren't sensible. And I -- and maybe that tells you a little about the market, by the way. That happened at the end of last year. So somebody was basically trying to close out their books. It hasn't happened before, and it hasn't happened since. But that was a unique instance, and that's really what you're seeing run through the numbers. On the flip side, Andrew, I'd point to our really interesting success stories. For example, our captive that uses a technology company called Understory Weather to do micro weather analysis for dealer open lot, which has been an unbelievably successful and quite unique solution because you don't see too many property captives out there, and we're in our -- whatever our fifth year in that captive. And I think our view is we're looking for more of those kinds of opportunities. Interestingly enough, our partners in London, in 1971, given some of the things that are happening in autonomy, open up some really interesting opportunities. I'll also remind you that Apollo as part of its partner syndicates has the only Lloyd's captive with a large technology company. So we think about potential interesting collaborations and partnerships that way. So I think that what we're not going to be doing is just doing the run-of-the-mill stuff. It's going to be about innovation in that area. And those things take time. But when they come across, they come across in a way that can really be highly additive to your earnings and growth as well.

Operator

Operator
#71

And our next question is going to come from Andrew Anderson with Jefferies.

Andrew Andersen

Analysts
#72

Maybe just one for me. I think, I heard the rate change on the Apollo business was low-single digit ex property, maybe a little bit lower than I would have thought considering 45%-ish of that business is shared economy or liability. Maybe you could just talk about where you see that rate change in the Apollo business going? Is this maybe an intentional decision to be more competitive given the results here? Or maybe the liability and shared economy pricing is a bit higher than that?

Andrew Robinson

Executives
#73

Andrew, thank you for the question. No, actually, it's neither of those things. Quite honestly, it's just mix. There is -- on a written basis, in the U.S., as an example, the quarter-to-quarter numbers on property can influence the -- and it has, by the way, in the past, the rate reporting. It's even more extreme given the cyclicality or the seasonality of mix through the Apollo segment. So the way I would say back to you, Andrew, is we reported out the sort of the domain of the number, but that's as much sort of seasonality. And in fact, even like your reference to the -- within 1971, there's very little of that being autonomy at all as an example. And so I just would say stay tuned because that number will move based on what division inside of 1969 and 1971 is really kind of the seasonally high gross written premium in any given quarter. And I don't -- I just don't think I'd read too much into it.

Andrew Andersen

Analysts
#74

And just a quick one, that's a gross rate number, I imagine?

Andrew Robinson

Executives
#75

It is -- everything we report out on is a gross rate number. And that's important that you ask that because, for example, within some of our divisions, like global property, our gross versus our net rate, our net rate is actually negative mid-single digits where the gross rate is negative mid-teens. And that's -- in our case in Skyward Specialty in the U.S., that's because of the use of fact and how that market is behaving. And some of that is similar in Apollo relative to the gross versus net, but we always report out on a gross rate -- gross pure rate.

Operator

Operator
#76

I am showing no further questions at this time. And I will now turn the call back over to Natalie for closing remarks.

Natalie Schoolcraft

Executives
#77

Thanks, everyone, for your questions, for participating in our conference call and for your continued interest in and support of Skyward Group. I am available after the call to answer any additional questions that you may have. We look forward to speaking with you again on our second quarter 2026 earnings call. Thank you, and have a wonderful day.

Operator

Operator
#78

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating, and you may now disconnect.

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