Snap-on Incorporated (SNA) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
May 9, 2023
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Christopher Glynn
analystOkay. Thank you, operator, Sunny, and welcome, Nick. Thanks for joining us for the fire today, and I hope your one-on-ones are going well. So I thought I would just kick off, I think, a little frame up, if you could provide a little overview of the 3 operating segments, and in particular, how you think about market shares and the relative long-term growth targets?
Nicholas Pinchuk
executiveOkay. Look, let's start with the vehicle repair and everybody wants to talk about the Tools Group. It's 40% of our business. This is the business where we sell through franchise vans, which call on the actual technicians twirl the wrench and they see them every week. This business seems to be doing okay. It is benefiting, I think, from a couple of things. I think one is there's kind of the long-term, long wave activity of the changing of the vehicles, the complexity, the ongoing move to drive by wire, the rise of autonomy and the -- in some ways, starting to benefit maybe not that particular sector, but will benefit from the changes in the powertrain going forward. You see that. And generally, in our history last 20 years, even though you would think that hand tools would diminish over increase in fly by wire, we have almost one, I think it's 0.88 correlation between the number of electronic codes and the rise of our hand tools sales because the cars get more complex. So they're benefiting from, I think, a very good and resilient business. We say car repair occurs all the time everywhere, almost no matter what happens and our experience has been through a lot of different turbulations. And so that's worked. The task for us is wanting to keep new products rolling outwards and matching the complexity, enabling the technician to do that and enabling our franchise drivers to be able to sell those complex vehicles in a reasonable time. Business grew -- was encouraging, grew 6.2% organically in the quarter, and margins were at 24.5%, up 180 basis points against 80 basis points of negative currency. And then you have the business that stands right next to it, which is about 28% of our business, RS&I repair system information they sell to the repair shop owner and manager, not the technician. Basically, a semi-capital investment, things like lifts and aligners and balancers and software for the shop and repair information software and collision equipment, that business is you're starting to see the effect of electric vehicles because one portion of that business is a business that does the projects commissioned by OEMs for new models. When they design the model, they usually find out that there are certain idiosyncrasies in the physicality of the vehicle or the electronics of the vehicle that needs special repair tools that need to be put in the hands of the dealerships. We've seen that business grow nicely. It was up strong double digits in the quarter because of the need to accommodate things like new lifts for electric vehicles because electric vehicles can't be dealt with in terms of the old lifts. So those kinds of things. And that business grew, I think, in the quarter 23 -- 13.9% organically. Margins were 23.4%, up 40 basis points and so that was a nice contributor. So that's the vehicle repair business. And then there's the other business that we say roll the Snap-on brand out of the garage into critical industries where the need for repair and repeatability require a Snap-on level product where the penalty for failure is high into places like water repair and the military and aviation and in oil and gas and wind and mining education. And that business generally has a variety of products, but one of the characteristics is we tend to be evolving into a business which provides kits. If you have the F-35, we provide a kit for the F-35 repair and for manufacturing. That kit may have 200, 300 tools in it in a toolbox like the one behind me. And so that had been lagging the recovery of the COVID because of the turbulence associated with supply chain all those kits needed to be shipped complete. So tough to get all 300 tools at the same time in the kit. So it did some attenuation of viscosity, and that started to clear up in the quarter and the military business started to come back. So that business grew at 11.1% organically. And the margins a little bit lower because it's all over the world, 15.3%, but it was up 170 basis points, 190 basis points, sorry, 190 basis points in the quarter, and that was against negative currency. So that's kind of a view. In the commercial and C&I business, we sell through direct sales and through distributors and also in the RS&I business, we sell through direct distributors. That's sort of my summary.
Christopher Glynn
analystGreat. So I think the next one is something that a lot of people talk about the rise of eVs. In your opening pitch there, you mentioned eventually powertrain change will be a driver for SOT. I think you see it a little sooner at RS&I, but can you talk how you expect that to emerge as a demand driver over the next handful of years?
Nicholas Pinchuk
executiveWell, yes. I mean I think, look, what happens in these things is generally what we see is as cars change, there is a demand for new and different tools. A simple thing in electric vehicles would be you need insulating tools because you don't want to fry yourself. A simple thing would be in the diagnostics unit, you've got to be able to more aggressively manage the cooling systems so that the batteries don't overheat and therefore, go dysfunctional. Little things like that, but you're going to see all of those things come on. And if you look at the repair that's happening today, about 80% of the repairs on a car today is already not on the powertrain. So you're going to change that 20%. It's going to be nice for us. But that 80% continues. And then when you see the changing in the powertrain, they're going to need new tools, so you're going to see electric vehicles roll out. You are going to see, I believe, the rise of plug-in hybrids already. If you look at the China numbers last year, China added almost as many plug-in hybrids as they did electric vehicles. in their explosion. You see it growing in Europe. So it's probably going to come to the United States if you think those cars. So you have electric vehicles, you've got plug-in hybrids. You're probably going out of Japan. If you read the press in Japan, you're going to see an alternate type of hybrid. And the interesting thing about new technologies is they hardly ever foresee to the market in standard applications. So what I would say is when we look at from a repair point of view, an electric vehicle is not an electric vehicle, it's not an electric vehicles, they're all different. So these things are going to drive substantial expansion. You already see if there's an article in the New York Times today talking about Norway, saying that, okay, to get 80% of their sales in electric vehicles, but repair shops keep coming. So you're going to see that. And here, I don't think it's going to happen as fast as 80% of the sales. And so you'll see a continuation on top of all those, the aging of the internal combustion part will drive new tools as well. Because what happens in a car, the life of a car for repair is -- comes out. The OEM says, "Geez, we need these things -- we need special tools to get this wiring harness out or to deal with this certain -- this overheating problem or a certain physicality or certain software problem. And so we provide those." Then what happens at the dealership, the dealership starts to see the new cars come in, and there's a demonstration of what's happened in the first -- in the initial driving of the vehicle. And frankly, the dewrinkling, the wrinkling out of all the maybe shortfalls in the car, we have dealer FX that provides our really acquired software business that has repair shop software, repair shop management software that sees those things and gives us a warning about what's happening and allows us to have tools for that. And then they roll into when they get off of warranty and independent repair shops. And we have another software business, Mitchell 1 that surveils those through repair shop management systems. And so we get to see that. And as the cars, even if the warranty start to go from 50,000 miles to 100,000 miles to 200,000 miles, they encounter different problems. And so each of those drives different needs. And so you'll see that play out across the range of even a tremendously more complex range of individual models for powertrains and for the autonomy that's being impressed on the cars now.
Christopher Glynn
analystSounds like a lot of vectors intertwined there. Skipping over to C&I for a second. On the recent earnings call, you stated -- you sort of indicated that the segment is starting to really hit the stride with respect to kind of your long-term organic growth aspirations for that segment independent of kitting, getting a little bit better. Could you elaborate on that comment about starting to hit stride, if I'm quoting you correctly?
Nicholas Pinchuk
executiveYes. Look, I think this, I think you're seeing the -- there are a couple of factors here. The direct critical industry business which provides the kits and other things was up deep into double -- was up more than 11.1%. And that's because of the sort of like 2 factors. One is here to 4 when it had been growing. They had a couple of quarters of up 7%. And I think in the fourth quarter, it was only at 1.5%. But generally, there was an underrepresentation of military. Every time a new administration comes in, it doesn't matter the Democratic Republic, there's a new Sherriff in town, and they come in and they say, we got new rules for procurement and the rules create I use the word again, tremendous viscosity in the ordering. And generally, that works for a while. It takes down the military sales. And then what happens is the war fighter say, hey, buddy, you better do something because I need these products. And that's what's starting to happen in the military. So we have the military boosting it and we had the -- for the kitting business, which is a pretty big portion of the business and high-margin portion of the business because they started to have a little bit of daylight , a little bit of daylight. They've got more to go in terms of their deliveries. And then you had Europe C&I is all over the world. And so Asia kind of held its own, it was about the same. But Europe was a little better this quarter for them. They didn't get hammered like we thought. So I would say the C&I growth in the quarter says, "Hey, kind of a leap forward not lead forward, but moving forward in the United States and with the kitting business." Europe holding its own against a difficult situation and not being pumped and Asia kind of holding its own, against some difficult situation and it all turned out to good growth and a nice step forward in terms of margin, principally driven by the higher kitting volume, which is good margin business.
Christopher Glynn
analystGreat. And then at SOT, that's been really interesting in the past couple of years. It had been bandwidth constrained for several years prior and just into the pandemic. Could you describe some of the key breakthroughs in wiggle room you were able to open up in...
Nicholas Pinchuk
executiveSure. I think one thing -- I would say that one thing that was maybe underappreciated, it isn't quite an answer to your question, but I will answer your question. One thing that was underappreciated is we kept investing in product through the downturn, and we kept making sure our product was available, so the guys kept going. And because we kept investing in product, we have more and more strong product that can match the complexities. We didn't fall behind on that. So that's one thing. We feel good about our product line. Secondly, what's happened there is the pacing element is, one, the product; 2, the ability of the franchisee to sell because it only has they're only 24 hours in a day, 7 days a week. He's out there, he's calling on people. And so what we did to enhance him in the COVID is we did a few things. One is we were able to be much more effective through shorter burst video presentations that allow them to translate and learn about products before they went to the actual point of sale. So that worked pretty well for them. In terms of, I think we had a pretty good breakthrough in terms of training, much more effective ways to be able -- they didn't have to go back and look up things or look at a longer video and the video is more effective. It's hard to summarize all a bunch of little steps in that way. But I think the best way you can think about it is we just got better at producing those distance and not iterative training programs. And that allows the franchisee to like just before it goes into the grass and to look at 2 minutes of a video and learn something that help them. Secondly, we much sharpened our social media activity where we were able to interact with our -- franchisee was able to interact directly with his customers and brief him through social media, breif them on social media about the next new tool or the next -- the promotion. And so therefore, when the franchisee goes into the grant, he doesn't have to spend precious minutes of the 7 minutes he has with each technician to give them what we would call a business school as well as case facts. They knew it already. And so therefore, he could spend time closing the deal. This tremendously helped them. And then we expanded some in our, what I would call, our shop equipment sort of a version of our technovan. We kind of expanded and adjusted our shop equipment van network that helped them in terms of having specific events in the field with customers and that worked. And then during the COVID, we spent a lot of time just working on what I would call more physical things. So we came up with this activity where in 1 or 2 weeks, every quarter, we've rolled out and we mobilize office personnel and field personnel to go on the field and actually not worry about sort of like administrative tasks, but help sell product. And that worked to, we call it rally weeks. And so that seemed to work for us. So you put those together, it greatly expanded greatly expanded, I guess, you could say, great, because they're up 32% over prepandemic levels, greatly expanded our capacity to sell. And we're going to keep driving those kinds of things. Because that is one of the product and capacity to sell at the pacing elements. There's something else that came up in this period that for the future is I can sell every toolbox that I could make now. And so I think given the increase, we bumped up against capacity in some of our factories, and we're expanding, I think we're expanding 4 factories in the Tools Group, one of which we've already done in Alabama. And then we've got the other 3, we're expanding the capacity of those things. So those are the things for the future because we believe there's a lot more opportunity to mine as we go forward.
Christopher Glynn
analystOkay. And then wondering if there's any learnings on that kind of throughput expansion that can carry over to C&I. I know the channels are very different. But what's in play in terms of sharing best practices across C&I in terms of sustained commercial excellence and organic compounding.
Nicholas Pinchuk
executiveWell, I think -- look, I think in C&I, we have learned the translatable portion is the video training for a distributed sales force. I mean C&I, one of the big sales, well, a lot of the sales force is direct sales. And the characteristics of direct sales aren't that much different than franchisees. They're fundamentally a distributed sales force. And so if you're able to deal with them on these bursts, you're able to help them be more effective in selling. So we've learned that as an ability to enable C&I. The big thing in C&I, these days, though, I think, is for short term is we want to deliver, we want to deliver, we want to deliver, we want to get that kitting business moving forward faster than it even did in the last quarter. That's the price because there's business there that we haven't been able to fulfill so we want to take bigger advantage of that, and that's the principal bottleneck. But coming out of the Tools Group, the learning principally was that video. Of course, social media works, but not quite in the same sense because the direct salesman have a little more time to deal with their interlocutory at the various customers. So it isn't quite as a hurry up business as it might be in franchising. That's I think those are the 2 big things that I think are going to play through in that. C&I, we're pretty optimistic about it. It seems like the business is in -- particularly the kits are in great demand. We're also -- we were also encouraged about Europe that they held their own. We were worried about it a little bit, and it seems to have absorbed the problem and that's been a big hole for us.
Christopher Glynn
analystGreat. And then what do you attribute that Europe resilience to?
Nicholas Pinchuk
executiveI don't know. I guess, I think we have good products. So I think that we're fulfilling a point that we kept introducing. Remember, I come back to the idea that during the COVID, we kept investing on both sides of the Atlantic in profits on products and brands and our people. We don't lay people off. So we were fully loaded to come out of this. And I think other people may have had to do some catch-up, and we weren't in that situation. So I think I have that. Plus I think we did pretty well in certain markets. So I think like Germany until we made some progress in Germany and so on. So I think those are the principal situations, just that we were kind of still strong. We came out of the COVID stronger physically than when we entered.
Christopher Glynn
analystOkay. And given that C&I has had some of the most impact from supply challenges and now getting better. And this question can apply across the portfolio, too. But is there a tailwind emerging from capitalized costs and inventory versus what's been passing through the last few quarters?
Nicholas Pinchuk
executiveSure. But the thing is, is that's a double-edged sword, if you got capitalized costs, you may have some of the older and higher cost in spot buys still in inventory rolling through. So it doesn't come out as quickly. That stuff doesn't wrinkle out as quickly in terms of cost. I don't think you're seeing in C&I in the quarter that affect so much. You see it more in the Tools Group. Tools Group is on LIFO so they're in a completely different situation. But in general, you're going to see it going forward. The time constants associated with that are not so clear to me. Generally, I think what happened in C&I was mostly the fact that they're able to deliver. And of course, they get their price for their cost in that situation. Eventually, it will work through and you get back to the lower cost levels.
Christopher Glynn
analystOkay. Great. And how are you calculating the capacity adds for storage at...
Nicholas Pinchuk
executiveSo what the got capacity...
Christopher Glynn
analystOr you want to have keep a little suspense out there maybe, but you also want to fulfill it. And then you got to carry capacity and maybe you have a couple of year wave of this? And then storage might sell back I think...
Nicholas Pinchuk
executiveIt might, I don't know. Look, I can't -- yes, here's what I think we like to capture grounds. We're not somebody who says, okay, if we can sell, we're not going to try to fulfill. We believe we want to fulfill if we can because we think the auto -- here's my view tools and you mentioned tool storage. My view, Chris, is this. This -- I believe -- I think I've said this on the call, I believe we're kind of on the golden age of what we pair. We think the auto repair business on a sort of like trailing several year level is going to go up and up and up because of the factors I just described. So we want to be available to serve it in terms of factory capacity and our selling capacity and have the products that are going to do this. So we're unrelenting and dealing with that. Now you could say that, okay, if things go down, we could be hit. But I think if you look at our numbers, okay, sometimes when things go down, we do get hit, but we don't really get in trouble at all. We come right out of it. I mean in the COVID we had, I think, 2 quarters of downturn, we came out of a B because we didn't back down. So I do believe that this is our strategy, where we go forward. We just keep saying, hey, this is going to be the business is going to keep better and better. We have 100% confidence in that. And therefore, we'll keep adding capacity and fill it enough and adding capacity and filling up. We don't worry about having it stranded, that's not our anticipation. If it get stranded -- let me put it this way. If we get stranded, it may be some big economic thing, but we get through that very easily or we screwed up and we didn't expand our selling capacity. That's it, it probably isn't going to be the market.
Christopher Glynn
analystOkay. And as I continue, I just wanted to mention to the crowd on the audience that if there's a question, it can be submitted through the portal, and I will see it and work it in. Nick, I wanted to hear you talk about the software business, the size and scope and how you view stand-alone versus embedded in the long-term strategic position how you view the software?
Nicholas Pinchuk
executiveYes. Look, I think we see those things embedded and stand-alone as horns on the same goat. There are big advantages for us. So for example, Mitchell 1 or dealer effects, but let's take Mitchell 1 in terms of providing repair information software, things like interactive wiring diagrams which no one else has able to roll through enabling the technician to deal with the fly-by-wire system seamlessly and saving tremendous amounts of time for both light vehicles and heavy -- medium and heavy-duty trucks. We just introduced it for every duty trucks at the show, I think, in Orlando last year. And everybody looked at and said, "Wow, this is a great thing for heavy duty." So we see expansion of that kind of thing, and we keep expanding our product line. And as we expand our product line, there's a lot of demand for that. We also see that beginning on the dealer FX -- on the dealership side with dealer FX, we don't have -- we don't -- in that side, it's restricted to repair management on the independent side, we have both repair management but also the repair information product as well. So you see those expanding and we'll keep nurturing those and we'll take advantage of them. In fact, we have Mitchell 1 expanding into collision shops, which has never been -- hasn't been as effective before. So when you're in a collision shop, if you think about it, you can use systems, but the things you're working on, like you need body data. You need electronics data, you need sensor data, you need calibration data. And these tend to be all over the -- from the product catalog or all over the repair catalog, where Mitchell 1 will bring them all together for a repair shop. So they have a repairs -- collision shop so they have it for the collision repair shop, a collision suite that will basically put together a catalog for that particular repair. It's a great saver. So we keep innovating in that product line and expanding that business. That was up mid-single digits in the quarter, and it's very profitable. Then you look at the embedded software, and it depends on what you mean like, for example, our aligners are terrific and have a great range of products and models that will handle. You have the calibration of the sensors, our 2-point product, which will allow you to calibrate virtually any models sensor array and they're all different. The targets are different and the approaches are different. And then you have that site, and then you have things like our handheld diagnostic units, which have embedded in them a software which learns all the time. And so basically, the traditional diagnostics, when you plug it in, or match with the wireless lead to the car, it will give you the signature of what the car is saying about its difficult or it's a problem. It will tell you what the car is telling you. But even with tens of thousands of repair codes, it's still not definitive. Generally, you got to go to another database and get a guide, so you go through a number of physical steps to determine what the repair is, what's really wrong. Well, with our software based on 2.8 billion actual repair events, actual work orders -- it will tell you if it's an Audi, it 100,000 miles, and it's got -- it's 1985, 70% of the time as a mass airflow sensor, just go right to that. So it'll cut down the time tremendously. And then we have another database is $300 billion records, and we'll do that for the especially unusual problems. And those things keep getting updated, kind of like an AI thing, they keep getting updated based on the experience we see in the field. And so that software is very exciting because it basically enables the technicians in ways that they never had before. And that's important when the cars keep changing because technicians themselves are going to need help in dealing with that complexity, and we're ready to help them.
Christopher Glynn
analystGreat. And then at [indiscernible], the OEM in the under car have had -- they've been on fire for many quarters, double digits. I think we understand the drivers you talked about a lot of that. What might afford continued runway over the next few years, noting there might be differences between the 2, but just kind of wondering...
Nicholas Pinchuk
executiveYes, look, I think it's this way, Chris. I think you're talking about 2 businesses there that are -- one is driven a lot by the introduction of new models. And so I think you're going to see, given the number of different technologies and particularly around powertrain and also the options that are going to be imposed on embedded in a car with associated with autonomy. Then you're going to see a drive of programs. That's a lumpy business, though, as you know. But I think in this interlude, you're probably going to see that. While we don't give guidance, you would think over time, there's still going to be a drive of model introductions. Then on the equipment side, that is driven mostly by the autonomy and the idea of the rise of the autonomy in the car and somewhat by the rise of the different powertrains, which require different types of product. [indiscernible] is a great example. You got -- you need a new lift because you can't put the lifting -- lift points underneath the battery. Otherwise, you can't drop the battery, you really can't operate on an electric vehicle. So those are the kinds of things but I think primarily autonomy is going to drive the undercar equipment business and different powertrains and the new models will drive the, what I would call, the project business. And I do think that continues for a while. Maybe not at the same as you say, on fire rates, I don't know. But it seems like I kind of like our opportunities in those businesses going forward.
Christopher Glynn
analystOkay. That sounds good. How would you describe the acquisition pipeline, Nick? And is there a broad range of sizes or tiny bolt-ons really kind of the sweet spot?
Nicholas Pinchuk
executiveWell, we have some targets on our list that could be pretty expensive. I don't know what a guy like you probably $1 billion with nothing, you know what I mean? But I think we could see things like that or we could see things that are bolt-on but that's no different than it's been in the past. I think we've seen -- we have on our list today, a fairly typical thing. And the big targets are usually the RS&I area because you're really looking to get something more to sell. And then the C&I area because you're both trying to get a position in a greater position in the individual critical industries or you're trying to expand yourself in certain areas where you might not be like portions of Europe or Asia. So we see those is a little harder to acquire to help the Tools Group because you can't do this. Now I would say that our -- as you said, in response to your numbers, we have some small ones. We have some big ones in our list. One of the things you can be sure of is though, we will only acquire something which is coherent, that is along the lines of our runways for growth that will let us enhance the van channel, expand repair shop owners and manage, extend the critical industries or build in emerging markets, and they always have to be in the ore of criticality. We don't want something that isn't critical. What we know is to supply enable people to solve critical tasks. What that means is we're not really looking for a low-cost solution. We're looking for a repeatable and quality solution. This is how we work. So you'll see that we're not going to acquire something that's going to transform Snap-on, that's for sure.
Christopher Glynn
analystRight... Okay. And let's see. I think we're close to the end here. Is anything notable about your pricing strategy? It seems like it's as needed, but not used as a lever to grow or anything like that.
Nicholas Pinchuk
executiveNo, no, we don't -- normally, we don't grow, be a price. Certainly, your margins don't grow. You get -- our pricing is trying to -- at least in this era, you're trying to price for steel cost or something like that. That actually reduces your margins. So it's actually a headwind to your margins. We were already at the high end, not that we can't price, but we see ourselves as a long-term activity. So in general, when we said we'd grow at 4% to 6% in ordinary times, that would only be 30, 40, 50 basis points of pricing in that. So we don't see pricing as an element of growth for us. We see the element of growth associated with capturing new customers and people paying more for more effective products and our margins get driven, of course, by RCI and the rapid continuous improvement, trying to do things more effectively. And that's been the formula that's worked for us. It's a formula that authored what do we have in the quarter, 22% OI margin, 170 basis points up.
Christopher Glynn
analystThose were good. SOT margins were terrific.
Nicholas Pinchuk
executive4.5%, up 180 basis points.
Christopher Glynn
analystKeep the pedal to the metal as they say, Nick.
Nicholas Pinchuk
executiveThat's right.
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