Sobha Limited (SOBHA) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

November 7, 2023

National Stock Exchange of India IN Real Estate Real Estate Management and Development earnings 55 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Adhidev Chattopadhyay

analyst
#1

Good evening, everyone. On behalf of ICICI Securities, I'd like to welcome everyone on the call today. Today from Sobha Limited management, we have with us Mr. Jagadish Nangineni, the Managing Director; and Mr. Yogesh Bansal, the Chief Financial Officer. I'd now like to hand over the call to the management for their opening remarks. Over to you. Thank you.

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#2

Thank you, Adhidev. Thank you for the kind introduction and organizing this call. Sobha team and I are happy to interact with you post financial results of Q2 FY '23-'24. As you all do in every quarter, the investor presentation can be accessed from our website, sobha.com. In this call, we'd like to briefly touch upon our last quarter and the half yearly performance and provide a brief outlook for the remaining 6 months of this financial year. First half of the year was the best ever for us with real estate sale value achievement of about INR 3,188 crores and 3.08 million square feet. In this quarter, we achieved the highest ever quarterly sale value of INR 1,724 crores and 1.69 million square feet. This is the ninth straight quarter where the presales have been better than the previous quarter. Achievement in this first half is more remarkable considering that no new project launches have taken place. Bangalore touched quarterly sales of 1.01 million square feet, crossing the 1 million square feet mark again this quarter, and a value of INR 932 crores. Kerala also has done remarkably well, achieving a higher sales in the first half of this year than what we did in the entire last financial year. This was aided by 2 new tower launch releases in Marina One and SOBHA Metropolis in Thrissur. In GIFT City as well, the demand scenario has been positive with increased visibility and action on the ground. We have crossed 100,000 square feet time mark in a quarter for the first time, with a sale value of about INR 89.5 crores. NCR continued to witness excellent demand, contributing to about 20.6% to the sales in this quarter. We have a robust pipeline of about 15 million square feet to be launched in the next 2 years. From this pipeline, We have already launched SOBHA Neopolis, one of our largest projects in Bangalore with 1,875 units and 3.44 million square feet in the first week of October. We expect to launch anywhere between 6 million to 7 million square feet in this financial year, including this Neopolis launch. Aided by the excellent sales and milestone achievements in the projects, our operational cash flow, cash inflow has also been steadily growing. Our focus on cash flow management has been steady, and the results of the same are for us to see. For the 12th straight quarter, we generated positive cash flow and reduced our debt. We expect the demand in residential sector to be robust in this steady economic environment and in interest rate cycle, which is close to its peak. With this, I request our CFO, Mr. Yogesh Bansal, to take you through the financials and open the floor for questions.

Yogesh Bansal

executive
#3

Good evening, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. I will quickly take you through some of quarter highlights. With highest quarterly sales along with faster achievement of construction-linked milestones has resulted in historic achievement in terms of cash inflows reaching to INR 1,450 crores for the quarter with a substantial portion of INR 1,260 crores being contributed by real estate business. In the first half of the fiscal year, our performance remained strong with total cash inflow of INR 2,805 crores, out of which real estate collection contribution is INR 2,388 crores .We maintained a strong commitment to real estate construction, deploying projects INR 1,068 crores in H1 '24 and INR 536 crores in Q1 '24, which represent a remarkable increase compared to the previous year. We generated net cash flow of INR 129 crores in Q2 '24, leading to a continued reduction in our net debt. Our debt-to-equity ratio is 0.58. Operationally, it is evident that we had a remarkable strong quarter. On the P&L side, total income for the quarter reached INR 774 crores, with a cumulative figure of INR 1,713 crores for the first half of FY '24. We have handed over in 0.67 million square feet in Q2 and 1.71 million square feet in H1. In the quarter, our EBITDA amounted to INR 108 crores with a margin of 13.9% for the first half of the year. EBITDA stood at INR 204 crores EBIT margin of 11.9%. Our quarterly debt recorded a figure of INR 13 crores. As on 30th September, there is an outstanding balance of approximately INR 11,186 crores in revenue yet to be recognized from all the -- all sold units. We thank you all once again for your participation. And now we can open the floor for question-and-answer session.

Operator

operator
#4

[Operator Instructions] First question is from the line of Puneet Gulati from HSBC.

Puneet Gulati

analyst
#5

Congratulations on good cash flow momentum and strong reduced debt. My first question is on the pipeline. You alluded to the 3.44 million square feet Neopolis launch. Can you talk a bit about what kind of response have you received? And when you talk about 6 million to 7 million square feet potential launch pipeline, is it over and above 3.4 million or is it inclusive of 3.4 million?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#6

Like I said, mentioned, the launch is about 6 million to 7 million square feet. We launched in the first week of October. We released 825 units as a part of the launch, and it's been a very positive launch that we did. And we are -- we think that, we are achieving about 11,500 plus as the realization. In the 825 units that we released, we have already sold about close to about 40% of those. And coming to the remaining launches, like I said, it's 6 million to 7 million square feet, which is including this. So we have another at least 2.5 million to 3.5 million square feet to be launched, which would have -- part of it, which would happen in the first -- in this quarter and remaining in the last quarter.

Puneet Gulati

analyst
#7

Right. And in that context, if I think about your collections-to-sales ratio, which is roughly about 81%. And I don't think you have much to sell from your existing area. So when you launch Neo, would it be fair to assume that the collection ratio to sales can go down substantially? Or it should not be that material a fall?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#8

Puneet, sorry, can you repeat the question, the last part of the question, please?

Puneet Gulati

analyst
#9

Yes. So when you launch Neo, you obviously will be collecting only, at best, 30% given that only 6 months are remaining from the sales that you are likely to do, will the collection -- and your existing inventory, unsold inventory is very little. So would it be fair to assume that even if you were to maintain the same sales run rate, the collection could actually be lower than what you experienced in the first half?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#10

No. I think collections come from 2 parts, which is one, from the old sales and the corresponding milestone that we are achieving in the projects. And second is from the new sales. So in the new sale that we have just started, so we have been pretty aggressive in terms of our execution as well. And in this particular instance, we already started our construction for the phase that we already launched. So we expect to hit new milestones, as well, as quickly as possible. Having said that, the collections from the remaining sold and under construction properties also is going to be robust. So overall, I think in the second half, our collection should be similar as what we are doing, in fact, can be better.

Puneet Gulati

analyst
#11

Okay. Okay. Sir, that's helpful. Secondly, in your presentation, there was also a mention of commercial portfolio. So is there a change in thought process where you want to own commercial portfolio? Or is it just temporarily parking in the balance sheet?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#12

Our focus has always been residential, Puneet. And currently, the -- given the residential demand environment, we think that our focus should continue to remain in residential. The mention of the commercial portfolio is -- because we have these in our projects as incidental, and hence, those projects, we will execute as per the overall master plans of those projects.

Puneet Gulati

analyst
#13

No, for example, Sobha City Mall in Thrissur and One Sobha Bangalore, would stay in your balance sheet or would it be sold eventually?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#14

We do not have any plans of selling out those commercials which we've already developed.

Puneet Gulati

analyst
#15

Okay. And similarly, the Sobha City Athena, which is ongoing, would also stay with a small one?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#16

Yes. Yes. Yes.

Puneet Gulati

analyst
#17

And lastly, on some of the pending cases, while notes to accounts don't reveal anything new, there is also a new update on one of the auditors, which came in where NFRA had penalized the auditor for lack of disclosures in terms of some land deals. Can you elaborate on what really is the problem there? And what is your response to that?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#18

This was a matter related to where the -- our previous auditor was fined for about a nominal amount of INR 500,000, which I think the representation -- based on the representations given by the previous auditor, NFRA has taken such a call. Post that, we do not have any further information on it.

Puneet Gulati

analyst
#19

And -- okay. And any update on when should one expect you to start disclosing your land bank once again? You used to disclose it every quarter, but last few quarters, it's been the same?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#20

Yes. We -- what we would like to do, Puneet, is not just the land bank, but also the productivity of the land bank which we are in the midst of improving the overall productivity of that. And once that is done, we will surely start disclosing, not just this pipeline, but also the future pipeline as well.

Puneet Gulati

analyst
#21

And since the last disclosure, has that pipeline materially changed? Or is it largely similar given that you're doing quite a bit of claiming up there?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#22

Yes. So our cash flow that we have dedicated for the new business development has largely been for adding new lands into the existing land bank where we have large parcels and also some of the old payments that are due for making these projects go to a project stage. So the overall pipeline roughly remains the same. But as we continue to evaluate new projects and we are signing up new projects, too, but it is not materially very different from what we earlier have in terms of the large land bank that we have.

Operator

operator
#23

[Operator Instructions] Next question is from the line of Parikshit Kandpal from HDFC Securities.

Parikshit Kandpal

analyst
#24

Congratulations on a good show in Neopolis. So my first question is on Neopolis your policy, you said about 40% of the units are sold, so my understanding was about 1,600 units in this project, ballpark. So we have launched something around 500 to 600. So have we released some more inventory here? And this 40% which was sold, does it include the channel partner? Because my understanding was that largely -- it was initially being done by you directly and then maybe channel partner will be introduced. So how do you look at accelerating this project sales?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#25

Parikshit, just to recap. So we -- of course, the Neopolis project is -- has 1,875 units. The sales that we launched has 825 units, of which we are saying that 40% have been sold. And you are right that we have given, for the first time, in our history of sales that we have given the opportunity for existing customers and who have -- directly have been reaching out to us to book their units for the first. And hence, for a brief period, we have sold these without any channel partners. And we have -- once we achieved our goal of -- our internal sales goals, we have opened up the sales for the channel partners as well.

Parikshit Kandpal

analyst
#26

Okay. But how do you intend to release more inventory? I mean, do you think -- what point of time do you think you will release some more inventory in this project by the year-end -- financial year end?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#27

Yes. We have the entire, based on the -- we have the entire year and subsequently to keep opening the inventory. So we have -- as the sales continue, we will open up the new towers.

Parikshit Kandpal

analyst
#28

Okay. The other question was on the balance launches. So what are the other key launches until the FY '24 end? So what do you look at launching in Bengaluru and in Gurgaon or Kochi? Again, give some sense on where in terms of RERA or other environmental approvals, where are we in this? And how confident are we launching this balance 3 million, 4 million square feet beyond the Neopolis?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#29

Yes. Like I said, we have another about 2.5 million to 3.5 million square feet that we can potentially launch, of which about 1 million to 1.5 million can come from Bangalore. And they're in advanced stages of approvals. In addition to that, we have a launch in the GIFT City, which is possible in Q4 and other launch in Gurgaon, which is a commercial development, so that also is possible in Q4.

Parikshit Kandpal

analyst
#30

Any resi launch in Gurgaon? Because this will not add up to -- I don't think that will add up to 3 million to 4 million balance for the year, because 1, 1.5 in Bengaluru and maybe GIFT city won't be a big launch. Gurgaon commercial also will not be a big launch. So is there anything which you were building in earlier out of this 15 million square feet, almost most half this year, something which is pushing into FY '25?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#31

Yes. So that -- the remaining will come in FY '25, Parikshit, but this is a little bit conservative because, as you know, the approvals are always tentative. If we can, we are aiming to do our best in terms of doing at least half of what, like I said, 15 million. At least even if we can do 7 million that remaining can come in the next financial year. And those also in the next financial year, we have -- those launches seem to be lined up for -- spread evenly across quarters.

Parikshit Kandpal

analyst
#32

This is the last question.

Operator

operator
#33

Sorry to interrupt, Mr. Parikshit. May we please request you to rejoin the queue for the follow-up questions?

Parikshit Kandpal

analyst
#34

Sure.

Operator

operator
#35

Next question is from the line of Dhruvesh Sanghvi from Prospero Tree.

Dhruvesh Sanghvi

analyst
#36

Yes. Just -- I was reading some of the articles about the promoters, which have come on some of the global magazines, where a broader comment was mentioned about India having a peak capacity for Sobha of approximately $1 billion to $1.5 billion. How should we read this when we have already 5 Indian real estate players crossing more than INR 20,000 crores or INR 25,000 or INR 30,000 crore league. Is that not the -- I mean I feel that we are aiming to low. And why is India, only $1 billion in our -- in the promoters mind? I mean, what is the assumption going while saying something like this, if you can just highlight?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#37

This is -- the market sizing is an ever-changing number. As things grow, then definitely the -- and as we start achieving our increased goals, last year, we were at about INR 4,000 crores -- I mean, sorry, last year, we were about INR 4,000 crores. Last year, we were about INR 5,200. This year, in the first half, we already achieved 61% of what we did last year. And I think we can do -- we'll definitely do far better than what we did. So as we are increasing our pace of sale and we continue to see the demand that's growing, the understanding of the whole market and our ability to capture that market size will surely be improving. So it's not to be taken as that's a fixed number, but it has something that continues to evolve.

Dhruvesh Sanghvi

analyst
#38

Sure. And just one thing which I keep asking about margins, so just to keep the track of things. Can we say now, have you hit the worst phase of the margin? Reporting -- reported margin is over now because I think last 2, 3 quarters I've been asking, and you have been indicating that, yes, it should -- we are in the near end of the worst phase of the margin profile, so this is correct? And a supporting question to that is that, yes, we understand that we hit the lowest point right now. But when do we reach to 10% to 15% net profit margin after all costs, all taxes? Is it now visible in the next 4 quarters or no? That upper cap is still much beyond the 4 quarter time zone.

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#39

Yes, the revenue, like in the CFO's note, we have seen -- and in the investor presentation, we have seen, we have about INR 11,000 crores of revenue to be recognized, of which about almost 80% of that would -- is from the sale that we have done from FY '22. So -- and those -- the margins of those are decisively better than what we had done previously. And like I said, it is clearly because of pre-COVID sales and post-COVID costs. So that, I think, as we start recognizing those projects, it should definitely improve. And in the beginning of the financial year itself, we had indicated that in the first 3 quarters -- from first 3 quarters, it would be roughly similar. And from FY -- last quarter, we should start seeing improvement.

Operator

operator
#40

Next question is from the line of Himanshu Upadhyay from o3 BMS.

Himanshu Upadhyay

analyst
#41

Congratulations on good set of numbers. My first question is relating to the margins only. We are backward integrated company. We do our construction on our own and even manufacturing of some of the things. What is the -- and still our margins are pretty low, okay. Should not our margins be much higher over a period of time? And is there any scope to improve the efficiency and cost? And what are you doing to improve your costs or efficiency at the overall level? I'm not talking about this -- the last 4, 5 quarters. It's just a longer-term thought. How do you look at your margins? What can you do to improve it internally?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#42

It's a valid question because, like you said, we are a backward integrated firm and our premium in the market is also good. Considering that, it is natural for anyone to expect our margins to be better. However, the COVID period, and probably a little bit post that, which is particularly 1.5 to 2 years -- 1.5 years, where the efficiency of our own staff in a backward integrated model, which has high fixed cost, has definitely taken part of the -- because of that, we have seen some kind of erosion in the margin, and we should start seeing better margins in future. And second is, from a long-term perspective, we, on a project basis, we typically aim to achieve anywhere between about 35% and that, I think, we have been able to do it in the last 2 to 3 years. And those will start showing up in the P&L as well.

Himanshu Upadhyay

analyst
#43

Okay. But are we focusing on...

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#44

The cost management -- sorry, last part, Himanshu, is the cost management and improving our efficiency. As the scale of the organization increases, our ability for our core management, which is in the construction and the other backward integrated divisions that we have is certainly improving, and we can see that, quarter-on-quarter, not showing up in the P&L, but that should come up as the scale increases and our pace of delivery certainly increases. Currently, it doesn't seem like that because our revenue recognition has been a little low, and the completions have not been in line with what we are doing in terms of sales. Like you see, this quarter, we have completed about 700,000 square feet, whereas our sale is about 1.7 million square feet. So as we -- in a mature model, we will have to do -- we have to catch up for the deliveries with the sale. And as we do that, the margins would also definitely start showing it.

Himanshu Upadhyay

analyst
#45

Okay. Secondly, Ahmedabad has become an important market for us. We are seeing 4% to 5% of sales from that market. And the realizations are better than what the thing in, in Tamil Nadu, means the average, what we see on the 10% higher end -- I mean, 10% lower than Bangalore. Is it a sustainable market? And we really like to growing a new market like that? Or you think it is only a one-off? And once the 777,000 square feet get sold, it is no longer a market for us?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#46

Absolutely. It's -- we were one of the first to -- in fact, we are the first residential project in GIFT City. And the investment that we have done has really paid off, especially in the last 2 years plus, with the visibility of GIFT City and the traction that has developed in the core GIFT City operations. So we think that with the kind of focus that the government has on the GIFT City, there is an incredible interest in participating in the GIFT City story. And in fact, we are looking to add more the area to what we already have there. And hopefully, we should be able to do it, and we should start -- we should launch a new project in this quarter.

Operator

operator
#47

Next question is from the line of Parvez Qazi from Nuvama Group.

Parvez Qazi

analyst
#48

Congratulations for a great set of numbers. So 2 questions from my side. First, our, I think, existing inventory is really 3.5 million square feet, whereas our trailing 12 months is -- itself, for about 6 million square feet. So clearly, we do need to launch more projects. Now you have said that the H2 will probably see 6 million, 7 million square feet of launches. But on a sustainable basis, like say, in FY '25-'26 can we go closer to the 8 million, 10 million square feet launch, which is needed if we want to sustain our sales growth? That's the first question. And second, we have seen some bit of improvement in the land-related CapEx. So how do we see that number going ahead? And also our thoughts on the debt reduction quantum going ahead?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#49

The -- on the part of new launches, like I said, first, our focus is on -- to do the remaining 15 million, which we have clear visibility on those. And that, I think we have, even if you do about each, for the remaining 1.5 to 2 years, if we do about 7 million to 8 million square feet, I think within value of that, about INR 10,000 plus that we are achieving and probably a little bit more I think we have a good pipeline right now. And in addition to it, like you have observed, that we are doing certain CapEx in a sense in land investments to increase that pipeline. And from next quarter onwards, you can start seeing that the visibility of the pipeline, which has been steady at about 15 million for the last 3 quarters. We should start adding to those, and the pipeline will definitely grow.

Parvez Qazi

analyst
#50

And lastly on the debt reduction part?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#51

On the debt reduction, in terms of the cash flow management, like we have seen, we continue to maintain a balance between both debt reduction and also the investment in new lands. Now that we have started launching these new projects, I think we will have a robust cash flow going forward, and we are fairly confident that we will be able to achieve both goals simultaneously, both reduce debt and also increase the investment in land. However, given the current debt level, which is very comfortable for us, we -- based on the kind of opportunities that we have, our preference will start moving towards more towards increasing our allocation towards new business development.

Operator

operator
#52

Next question is from the line of Pritesh Sheth from Motilal Oswal.

Pritesh Sheth

analyst
#53

First question is again on growth. If I look at certain -- I mean, if I look at the contribution from certain markets like NCR, where we are now doing INR 1,500 crores of annual presales, Bangalore has also consistently now ramped up. Probably next 2 years, you have indicated a pipeline. But beyond that, if you want to maintain, let's say, 15%, 20% kind of growth, which markets are going to contribute that growth considering the pipeline that we have right now? And whether that will come from the existing markets, and we'll gain certain market share? Or new markets will also start contributing? And if you can highlight any specific new markets that particularly you are positive of ramping up in next couple of years?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#54

Yes. The growth will definitely come from -- both from our existing markets and any new locations that we are going to be in. But our -- the existing markets where we -- currently which is contributing the most to us, which is Bangalore, NCR and Kerala, the growth there -- one, in Bangalore, is definitely going to be better because we have a lot of new land banks, which are coming into the project level. That should see a good growth. NCR, we have -- in the last few years, we have built a good pipeline of projects. And those, which unfortunately could not be launched for several regulatory reasons, but now they have -- they are getting them also online. So in NCR also, we have a good pipeline of projects. So both these will rise, part of the growth. And the next part of the growth is going to come from cities where we have been present for some time like Pune and in Hyderabad. We're actively looking for new opportunities there. And as and when things fortified, we will add those into our pipeline and they should also contribute to our growth.

Pritesh Sheth

analyst
#55

Sure. Fairly clear. So with this 15%, 20% kind of growth can be targeted over the next -- in the 3 to 5 years?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#56

We would like to be consistent in how we would like to grow. And I think we have a decent pipeline for achieving that, so we should be able to target that number.

Pritesh Sheth

analyst
#57

Got it. And just one last -- on margins, before I jump back in the queue for follow-ups, contractual business did see an improvement in margins this quarter. I think if I see the EBIT margins, we're around 14-, 15-odd-percent. This is the way how we should look at this business now? And then for the scale up, in terms of margins will come from residential? And just one more there, residential I'm not sure if I heard it correctly. But did you mention that we can clock 30%, 35% kind of EBITDA margin in the residential business?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#58

Your observation is right, Pritesh, that our -- the contractual and manufacturing, the margins have clearly improved because all the previous projects -- majority of the previous projects which we had been undertaking and where the costs have been higher we were -- we completed those. And this -- the new margins that we are seeing is some of the new projects that we have undertaken and in the last couple of -- particularly in the last quarter, we managed to do a better job in terms of margins. These should be fairly steady from here on. And in real estate, this is -- what I was mentioning was for any typical residential projects, whether it's today or in the previous times, it was all, we always aim for at least 30% margins, and we are seeing a slightly -- better than that 35% margins in some of the new projects that we have launched and we'll continue to aim for that. And those will get reflected in the future is what I mentioned.

Operator

operator
#59

Next question is from the line of Mohit Agrawal from IIFL Securities.

Mohit Agrawal

analyst
#60

So staying with the pipeline beyond FY '25, could you give a color on what could be the contribution from new project additions that you plan to do next quarter and onwards and from your own land bank? So some sort of color as to be 50-50 from your existing land bank and new projects.

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#61

The pipeline that we have beyond this 15 million is largely -- it's from our existing land bank. Because as a focus, in terms of capital allocation, it makes sense for us to make the current land bank more productive, and that would largely drive the new launches that will happen and the pipeline that we will create. And the new business development that we have just started doing in the last year or so, that will slowly come up, but the majority contribution will be from the existing land bank.

Mohit Agrawal

analyst
#62

So the CapEx that you have been reporting quarterly, is that for -- because you had earlier mentioned that you'll also be investing to consolidate your existing land parcels and investing in new projects. For the CapEx that you've been doing so far, has it been towards consolidating land bank? Or towards new projects?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#63

Majority is for consolidating land bank and any of the previous SKUs that we have for the existing land bank. And a small part of it is for the new deals that we have done.

Mohit Agrawal

analyst
#64

Okay. Understood. My second question is, if you could elaborate a bit on the pricing behavior in the Bangalore market. I was looking at your Dream Acres project has been completed. It's a good example. You've doubled your price since 2015, so that's a high single-digit kind of a price increase. On a like-to-like basis, what has been that? The realization number doesn't reflect because there's also a mix change over the last few years. So what is the like-to-like increase in prices that you have been able to take, let's say, in case of new launches and year-end subsequent phases?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#65

If I may ask, so compared to what? In what time period you are mentioning, Mohit?

Mohit Agrawal

analyst
#66

So let's say, within a year, let's say, if you are launching a subsequent phase of an existing project versus the last phase, what kind of price increase have you been able to take for a like-to-like product, right? Let's say, it could be a year or -- I just wanted to understand the CAGR in pricing that we are seeing in Bangalore markets and your projects.

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#67

Okay. The project pricing, in the last 1 year, has largely been nominal in terms of -- for an existing project because there is a historical comparison of the project. And hence, when we increase the prices, that's relative to the old pricing. But for a new project, we are doing it much better pricing. So from a like-to-like basis, we, in a year, probably even if we had taken a couple of hikes, then it would be in the -- it will be inflation plus maybe about 2% or 3%.

Mohit Agrawal

analyst
#68

Okay. Perfectly clear. And just one clarification, if I may. The 7 million square feet launch pipeline that you have for this year, could you share the GDV for that, the gross development value?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#69

That would be at about -- we can say it's an average of about INR 11,000 to INR 12,000.

Mohit Agrawal

analyst
#70

INR 11,000 to INR 12,000. And similar for '25, right?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#71

That should be the case, yes.

Operator

operator
#72

Next question is from the line of Abhinav Sinha from Jefferies India.

Abhinav Sinha

analyst
#73

Congratulations on the strong sales we are seeing. My question is on, a, how much resi inventory left in Gurgaon now?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#74

Abhinav, the resi inventory in Gurgaon is -- in the existing pipeline, actually, we have just completed the project, which is Sobha City sales that also has been completed in the last month. So we will have to do -- in terms of inventory, it's all going to be new projects that are going to be launched. So that --if I see a visibility of that pipeline, there is a visibility of at least 4 million square feet.

Abhinav Sinha

analyst
#75

No. In the International City, are we like completely sold out now? Or something is left?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#76

International city is a villa project and wherein we completed Phase 1 and Phase 2. Phase 3 and 4 is a separate phase, where we are looking to change the mix from the existing villas, and we are trying to see if we can change the mix. If we can do that, then probably we can achieve higher than what we had earlier envisaged. And once the clarity comes, that we will add it in the pipeline. But the Sobha City, which is the apartment project, which was about 3.3 million square feet, that's the one which is completely sold out now.

Abhinav Sinha

analyst
#77

Completely sold out now. Okay. So this may not contribute, I mean, still like, say, FY '25 when the next phase of in Gurgaon start, right? So this will slow down now and in the second half of the year?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#78

So Gurgaon, you are right. We are expecting to launch a commercial project, which we plan to do a sale model for part of the area. If we are able to launch the project in the next quarter, then we will again see some pickup in there.

Abhinav Sinha

analyst
#79

Same sector 106?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#80

Yes. Yes.

Abhinav Sinha

analyst
#81

Yes. Okay. And sir, in that context, are we on track? Or ahead of track of the 20% odd growth guidance that we were looking for?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#82

Like I said, without any launches in the first half, we did about 60% of what we did last year, right? And with the new launches, typically the interest and the bookings should definitely be better. So we have not changed, at least in terms of any kind of forecast here. But I think we should be -- we are in a strong set year in terms of achieving a much better number than that, yes.

Abhinav Sinha

analyst
#83

So fair to assume that 20% NCR will be made up by Bangalore and others broadly?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#84

We hope to do so. Yes.

Abhinav Sinha

analyst
#85

Right. Then second question which I had was basically -- I mean, I think in one of the previous calls you had mentioned that promoters may look to do a rights issue or infuse some money in the company. Now with the pledging done, pledging done away with, basically, are we, like, closer to that in the next maybe 6 months or something?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#86

The promoters and we are evaluating our capital requirements and the -- and also our ability to generate cash for our future growth potentially as we, so it's an ongoing discussion. And as things become clear, probably that -- at an appropriate time, we will be able to convey that. That's -- from a promoter interest point of view, in India, it still continues to be very high. And it's an active consideration for their capital allocation.

Operator

operator
#87

Next question is from the line of Kunal Lakhan from CLSA.

Kunal Lakhan

analyst
#88

My first question is on our approach. So if you look at -- one of our Bangalore peers, had launched a very large project and launched all of the projects at once, and also sold substantial in it. When I look at our Neopolis launch, like, you said that 1,875 total units, but we launched about 825 units. And of which, 40% is sold. Is it like a conscious approach to, like, launch in a phased manner? Or, like -- is it, like, the demand is quite slow? I just wanted to understand, if you want to launch this entire project together, what kind of demand you could get? And also, like, if you should -- we should expect the same kind of a calibrated approach in the upcoming launches that you would do?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#89

Kunal, we have been following the approach of phase-wise launched in our projects right from the inception and that's how we have been seeing how our projects also have done well, while we are capturing some kind of increase in the pricing as well, right? So there are 2 points here. One is that we are slightly more premium in terms of the pricing, and hence, the kind of volume that we can generate at a single launch is a little different from several other peers. Second is this approach has really helped us, both from a project execution and also ability to capture slightly, or able to realize slightly better pricing is, in both cases, it's been very helpful to us, and we continue to follow that approach. Second, while we are doing this, we are not -- we're still launching new phases as the demand picks up. In large projects nowadays, we have -- we are -- all the phases of the projects are RERA approved. So as sales pick up, we are ready to launch new towers as well. So it's entirely dependent on the pace of sales that we can generate.

Kunal Lakhan

analyst
#90

Sure. And also, like, in terms of, like, when you said that 2.5 million, 3.5 million square feet to be launched in H2, which also includes some commercial development, I mean, again, like, a follow up on earlier questions only, that are we being a little too conservative in terms of bringing in more supply to the market when the demand momentum seems to be pretty strong, and there are -- our peers are capitalizing on it? And so just wanted to understand. I understand, like, your focus is slightly tilted towards value, but volumes are also equally important to...

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#91

We are conscious of -- we are really conscious of the demand scenario and our success would entirely depend on our ability to get the launches done as quickly as possible. We acknowledge that, and we're absolutely focused on doing it.

Kunal Lakhan

analyst
#92

Sure, sure. Secondly, on our cash flow side, we did highlight that we're incrementally focused towards growth and debt is now manageable. So if you look at your cash flows, like after servicing debt, you're generating about INR 200 crore plus on a quarterly basis, so INR 900 crores annually. How much of this would you earmark towards your buying land on an annual basis?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#93

So now we were largely allocating those towards debt reduction earlier. Now slowly as we got comfortable, we have started doing it for the new opportunities as well. So going forward, it is entirely on 2 things. One is the quality of the opportunities that we get in terms of business development, both for consolidation and for new opportunities, and -- so that we can allocate there. And second is, if that's entirely not possible, then it'll obviously go for the reduction of debt. But I think our ability to generate positive cash flow will keep getting better as we start launching these projects, which are specifically -- where we have invested a long while ago.

Kunal Lakhan

analyst
#94

Sure. And my last question is on what's the status of occupation certificate on the Sobha City project?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#95

So the status has not changed yet because we have contested what the JVNP has done, and we are yet to see any change and the legal forum that we have approached has stayed the whole cancellation and that continues to be the case now.

Operator

operator
#96

Next question is from the line of Dhwanil Desai from Turtle Capital.

Dhwanil Desai

analyst
#97

So my first question is that for the cities where we do not have land bank like NCR, Pune, Hyderabad, considering where we are in the cycle, do you think that if you acquire land at current prices, our threshold of 35% gross margin can be achieved? Or will that become a hindrance in terms of acquiring land bank?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#98

Good evening, Dhwanil. The NCR market, we do have a pipeline and a land bank there. It's not that we do not have, but given the demand environment and also outlook that we have, there is definitely scope for adding more to the current portfolio, and we are very actively looking at new opportunities.

Dhwanil Desai

analyst
#99

So will it meet your 35% gross margin threshold that you are kind of working with?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#100

Yes, we are seeing opportunities there. We can do that, yes.

Dhwanil Desai

analyst
#101

Okay. Got it. And second, from -- so just to understand the project economics for wherever you launch a project on your own land without JV JD, is it safe to assume that most of the land which is coming from your earlier land bank at historical cost, in the P&L, that cost will be less than INR 10,000, then your cost of construction would be around INR 4,000, INR 4,500. Is that a right number to work with?

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#102

Yes, that's a fair assumption.

Operator

operator
#103

Ladies and gentlemen, due to time constraint, we will take this as a last question for today. I now hand the conference over to the management for the closing comments.

Jagadish Nangineni

executive
#104

Thank you, Adhidev. I express my sincere gratitude to all the participants in the call today. I hope we have answered some of your questions satisfactorily. In case of any further questions, please do reach out to us. We look forward to a good. Operational and financial performance in the next half of the financial '24. And particularly within optimistic outlook towards the economy and the residential sector. We believe Sobha is very well positioned to grow with deep disciplined operational and financial model that we have built in the last several years. And we will continue to pursue our goals with passion. Wish you and your families advanced Diwali wishes and thank you.

For developers and AI pipelines

Programmatic access to Sobha Limited earnings transcripts and 32,000+ others is available through the EarningsCalls.dev REST API. Plans from $24.99/month — full transcripts, speaker segments, full-text search, and the recently-added /api/v1/transcripts/recent polling endpoint for ETL pipelines.