MJ Gleeson plc (GLE) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
September 15, 2026
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Graham Prothero
executiveWelcome to MJ Gleeson's Annual Results Presentation for the year to June 2026. I've hotfooted it here from my Radio 4 Breakfast Show. I hope you're all listening. It was very exciting because Mark actually got me to go to the studio. So I sat there with Nick and Justin and my headphone is all very exciting. But even more excitingly, following on from me, Johnny Marr walks in. So there's me and Johnny, recognizing 2 aging rock stars. And but the best bit was the text from my great old friend, Andrew Duxbury, who said what a classic BBC link to go from the housing market to The Smiths because heaven knows you're how bloody miserable now. It is certainly not the most propitious of economic backdrops against which to be presenting our results. But on the other hand, I'm actually really pleased and really excited with the changes and the improvements that we've made in Gleeson Homes this year. We can only affect what we can affect, but I will talk to you about that this morning. There's a bit to get through. So please bear with me, but I think it's worth sharing with the market and with the changes we've made, it's worth sharing that with you. So I'll try and take it at some pace, but bear with me. So I characterize the outturn as a robust performance against a challenging backdrop, and that was underpinned by good performance from Gleeson Homes selling 10% more homes than the previous year. Pleased that, that figure was augmented by -- the net reservation rate was poor at 0.51. Nobody is writing home about that. But that figure was augmented by our first partnerships completions. And of course, that's a journey we began about 2, 2.5 years ago. So great work by the team to actually get those first scores chalked on the board, and we will be looking to build on that. We also -- we did have some bulk sales as well, about 300 units. That was at an average discount of just under 16%, which is actually not bad. Nobody likes being forced into bulk sales. But I think the relatively low numbers that we're looking to put in that market and also the work that Scott and the team put in to get after that early so that we're doing our business through the year in smaller quantities rather than getting caught in the period-end carnage and some of the egregious discounts that we read about. Site openings, a bit disappointing, still constrained by slow planning. I will talk about that. And -- but as I said, we have completed that operational restructure, and I'll give you some detail on that. Gleeson Land, here was really -- the number was really defined by that continuing the slippage of the single large sale that we've talked to you about. I'll update you on that this morning. There were 2 other smaller sales, which we'd hope to complete in June, and they really ran into the developer caution that we're all well aware of that you're reading about in all the majors statements. But happily, both of those sales are expected to proceed in the current year, one to the same buyer and one to a different buyer. But all is not lost in that market. We are -- we have, as you know, a strong business, we have a great portfolio. And when we're taking our high-quality sites to market, we are still seeing good interest. So very happy that we strengthened our pipeline even further with some 13 new promotion agreements and submitting 18 planning applications realized there, which was -- so that's, as I say, strengthening the pipeline, which we're very pleased with. And pleased that we also maintained our strong balance sheet with negligible net debt at the period end and continuing low land creditors. It really was a year of intense business improvements activity in Gleeson Homes. It's been hard work. And I do want to recognize upfront the response and the support we've had from the team. They've shown real resilience. They've embraced that change. And happily, in the people survey that we completed just in the last few weeks, our engagement score, which was already strong last year, actually improved over the year and improved against the benchmark. So that's a real tribute to the team, a real -- and a strong thank you from me to the team and to the leaders that have led them through that. So very pleased with that. But we've absolutely restructured Gleeson Homes. We've massively strengthened our leadership team. We've changed process. We've significantly reformed our land buying process. We've rationalized the portfolio, and I'll give you some detail on all of that. Very pleased that we successfully completed the transition to the new -- or to our new for us, NHBC, HBF customer scoring system. You shouldn't underestimate the achievement that was for the team, particularly against the rest of the change we are bringing through. It is a very different -- the quality of the product is still good, but it's a very different way of collecting the data and a lot of different things for the team to concentrate on. So we were -- I think in -- so in calendar '25, which is our first year under that system, we achieved what I would class as a satisfactory 4-star outcome. And that is quite an achievement with that transition. Obviously, what we want to be, what we need to be is 5 star. We're not settling for anything less. In the current year, which is calendar FY '26, we are currently trading at 5 star. But of course, there are a lot of surveys to pass under the bridge before that's closed out. We grasped the nettle on legacy site adoptions. I'll give you a little bit of detail on that. And now looking forward, having with transform complete, we are looking at how -- we know that we can continue to improve, and we're proactively looking at our market engagement, product, brand, et cetera, and I'll talk to you a little bit about that. We're also looking to build on the success -- of our success in partnerships, which is particularly timely given the government's recent recommitment to that mode of delivery. So how are we seeing that market in Gleeson Homes? Subdued, it definitely is. I've picked out 3 reasons here. I mean, Rightmove tell us continually and have been telling us for many months now that the total available properties for sale in the U.K. and England remains very high, an 11- or 12-year high, and that is clearly absorbing a lot of the demand. Mortgage rates are increasing and likely to go higher and the cost of living challenge is rearing ahead again. We're already seeing it in fuel and energy and widely expected that we're going to get some sort of spike in food inflation. And that's a particular worry for Gleeson customers at the lower end of the income band, as you've heard me say before. The bulk market is active, but pricing, as I've alluded to, is very keen. And partnership opportunities, we are seeing them. It's a competitive marketplace, but we were really pleased to see the -- announced the recent announcement of the strategic partner funding, and we have -- the phone has started to ring off the back of that. So excited for what we can achieve there. Selling price inflation, I mean, it is anemic. We got a bit last year. Currently, Stefan has done a bit of an exercise. So it's a low sample size, but we currently think we're running at about 1% annualized, which is very poor. Obviously, the bigger story is around incentives. Happily, incentives still averaged just below 5% last year. So we are keeping that fairly tight. In fact, Scott and I find ourselves in the place of kicking and saying push the incentives a bit harder. It's a balance. But as I say, we achieved what we achieved at sub-5% incentives. Build cost inflation continues to go forward. We saw about 4.5% over the year. It's currently running, we think, at about 3% to 4%. We are -- because the market is weak, we're able to resist the more aggressive requests for 7%, 8%, 9% increases. But as a residual level, let's say, we think about 3% to 4% below which we won't be able to resist. And so sadly, difficult for us to rebuild margins into that environment. Current trading, it's on the slide, really poor. August was very weak. So 0.44 in the 9 weeks to last weekend. We've seen a bit of a tentative pickup. You'd expect that since -- once people come back from their holidays. It's -- so the last couple of weeks have been better than that 0.44. We do need it to be better again. And who knows how well that holds as we run into increasing mortgage interest rates and now the looming budget. But -- so at that point, I'm going to hand you over to Stefan to run through the numbers, and then I'll come back and talk about the good things we've been up to in homes and land. Stefan?
Stefan Allanson
executiveOkay. Thank you, Graham. And as Graham said, the year to June '26, it was a robust performance by the group. We grew revenue by 12.1% to GBP 410 million, but we did deliver lower group operating profit, and that was due to -- principally due to 2 things: the significant site delays in Gleeson Land with one particularly large site sale and margin compression in Gleeson Homes. I'll take you through the divisional performance on the next few slides, just to highlight a couple of group items here. Group overheads, reduced by GBP 0.5 million. That was due to tight cost controls, lower remuneration and the unwind of a legacy construction provision. And interest costs increased by GBP 1.7 million to GBP 5.2 million, and that was due to higher average borrowings, so higher interest costs in those borrowings and also higher discounting charges under IFRS 9 for long-term payables. As a result, group adjusted PBT reduced to GBP 10.8 million and adjusted earnings per share were 14.1p. So turning to the divisional results. Gleeson Homes volumes increased by almost 10% to 1,968 homes. And that was driven by the 320 homes that we sold to partners, our first full year of partnership delivery. That represented about 16% of total volume. And we increased the number of homes that we sold to multi-unit buyers. That was 301 homes, about 15% of full year volume. Selling prices were up 3.8%, and that was driven by a 3.0% increase in underlying selling prices, a stronger house type and regional mix with a higher average number of beds and that was partly offset by the impact of the lower prices that you get from selling to multiunit buyers. Now incentives remained high. They're about 4.8% of open market selling prices. And including 2 land sales during the year, Gleeson Homes totaling GBP 4.4 million, Gleeson Homes revenue was up almost 15% to GBP 400 million. Our gross profit increased by 3.3% to GBP 74.5 million, but the benefit of -- the margin benefit from higher volume and higher selling prices was significantly mitigated by those lower gross margins. On other income, you'll notice there we introduced our own Part Exchange program in the second half of the year, and that's been very successful. We were breakeven and that helped deliver 58 additional sales during the year. Now we continue to improve overhead efficiency. And whilst costs increased by GBP 4.5 million, which was a 9% increase compared -- that compares to a 15% increase in turnover. Those cost increases that was driven by pay increases, the impact -- the full year impact of higher national insurance rates, increased IT spend and higher recruitment costs. As a percentage of revenue, that fell to -- overhead costs fell by 80 basis points to 13.6%. Operating margins were 140 basis points lower at 5.0%. And really, that was driven by 3 things: significant build cost inflation, which is running at 4.5%, exceeded underlying selling price increases on reservations during the year, which were 2.2%, and the increase in multiunit sales, which chipped away at margin. Now we were able to mitigate about 1/3 of those -- that impact through overhead efficiencies. Now just touching on the exceptional items. We recognized GBP 13.6 million worth of exceptional items in the year. And those are listed out in the appendices, but just to set them out briefly here. GBP 2 million comes from the cash costs from the restructuring activities during the year, in particular, restructuring of Greater Manchester and Merseyside region and the East Yorkshire region. GBP 4.5 million noncash impairment from the impairment of 12 conditionally purchased sites and 1 owned site that we haven't developed, we won't develop. We will be selling, but we expect to sell at a loss to the purchase cost. And then GBP 7.1 million, which is a provision we booked for the legacy site adoption costs that we expect to incur over the next 3 to 4 years, and that's on 81 legacy sites. And those legacy sites date back some of them 10 years. So looking at the forward order book. So despite a weaker market, we maintained our forward order book. In fact, it was up 3 plots. Open market orders were flat, exactly the same as last year at 402 forward orders. The 8 additional partnership agreements we signed during the year increased our forward order book at the end of the year, and that offset a reduced multiunit forward order book. Now turning to Gleeson Land. The division recorded 5 site sales during the year. As we said, 3 sales were delayed to this year, one of those particularly material. The business generated -- those 5 site sales generated GBP 4.8 million of gross profit, and we booked additional provisions against the portfolio of GBP 1.4 million, meaning that we reported GBP 3.4 million of gross profit for the year. Overheads were in line with last year's overheads of GBP 4.1 million. As a result, we are -- that division reported a loss for the year of GBP 700,000. Now looking at the balance sheet. Inventories increased by GBP 35.4 million year-on-year. That was largely driven by 3 items. So build WIP in Gleeson Homes was GBP 18.8 million higher due to build cost inflation and some significant infrastructure investment on some large sites. We have GBP 7.1 million of part exchange assets on the balance sheet within the limit that we internally have set ourselves. That's 46 properties that we own, and that contributed to completions, particularly in June of the year. And we're quite confident that those like in the first half, that those will continue to be sold at profits that mean that our part exchange activity remains breakeven. And Gleeson Land inventories increased by GBP 8.3 million. And that reflects the cost of securing those 13 additional promotion agreements during the year. Significant spend on planning applications, we had a very strong year in submitting planning applications, but also the lower charge to cost of sales for the site sales that didn't happen during the year, the ones that were delayed. Land creditors remained low at GBP 15.5 million, and other liabilities increased by GBP 36.7 million. And there are a number of reasons for that, GBP 7.1 million legacy site options provision being one of them. We did have higher accruals of about GBP 11 million. Trade payables were GBP 17 million higher, reflecting the timing of payments and in particular, a very busy June build activity. Now with net assets of approximately GBP 300 million and net borrowings of only GBP 2.6 million and low land creditors, we continue to focus on the strength of our balance sheet. Forgive me, I think I skipped a slide a little prematurely there. Just on cash flow, the group generated GBP 16.9 million of operating cash flow. That was entirely driven in Gleeson Homes, GBP 22 million of operating cash flow in Gleeson Homes, offsetting a small outflow in Gleeson Land, essentially driven by the delay to those land sales and the cash flows on group overhead costs. Cash interest increased by GBP 1.1 million. That reflects the higher borrowings and the higher interest cost. CapEx was GBP 2.3 million higher. That reflects quite low spend in the last -- in the previous 2 years, but also a step-up in investments in show homes, sales arenas, compounds and equipment on site. Now to the dividend. We are proposing a final dividend of 1p per share. That is reduced on last year's final dividend. That brings to 5p, the total dividend for the year, which the Board believes is prudent in this less certain market environment and is consistent with that determination to maintain a strong balance sheet and is also more in line with our dividend cover policy, which is that earnings will cover dividends by between 3x and 5x. A 5p total dividend for the year will be covered 2.8x close. Thank you very much, and I shall hand you back to Graham.
Graham Prothero
executiveThanks, Stefan. Okay. Operations and strategy, looking first at Gleeson Homes then. And a couple of minutes on Project Transform. It's -- we have done a huge amount of work on this. We significantly strengthened the leadership in the team. As you know, Scott joined us as Divisional Chair on the 1st of July last year. Scott is now responsible for running the whole of the Gleeson Homes business. As you're aware, we've restructured into 4 principal operating regions. We have 3 new regional managing directors supporting Scott. So 2 of those are experienced external hires, one is an internal promotion. And we've made multiple experienced recruitments at regional and divisional director level. It really is a strengthened team. And this is really about moving away from that overly centralized, overly dependent structure that was -- we had in the group before that really isn't effective for a volume home builder. So what we've done then is to empower our regions so that those guys are very much owners of their budgets, owners of their profit and loss account. They have the ability to make decisions, to be entrepreneurial in their local environment. Quite clearly, remaining very short reporting line to Scott, who's very close with all of them, and they're working to very clear targets, KPIs and reporting -- regular reporting, et cetera. We've also reinvigorated but clarified the role of our group central functions, which are absolutely vital. So we've slightly reduced the center, but as I say, reinvigorated it. And the role of those guys, they're sort of functional leaders and their role is providing expertise and setting the standards by which our regions operate, and that's how we maintain control. That's how we maintain quality. So significantly improving the integration between center and the regions. We completely reformed our land buying. So we've moved land buying away from a centrally controlled operation and embedded that in the regions. And the critical thing there is that the regional management teams, you're getting full buy-in to every bid at bid stage before, as I say, it was too centrally directed. We've also refocused -- importantly, refocused our land buyers onto areas of more [ chimney pot ] areas as we call them, more densely populated areas, suburban areas reversing that trend, that drift that we -- the group has seen, I think, over the past 5 or 6 years into buying, frankly, too many rural and coastal -- too many rural and coastal locations. So we've definitely sharpened that focus. We've also strengthened the process around our land buying. So we said that we've been much more specific on our requirements on the appraisal, on layouts, on planning the actual development itself and on planning our completion and exit. And that's all about really sharpening the technical control of the land bidding and buying process. And that's aimed at mitigating that kind of dissipating -- disappointing situation whereby you commit to the site at one margin. By the time you bring it to commencement budget, the margins dropped and then it drops again through development. And that's just not something that we can -- that's not a way for the business to prosper. So I'm very pleased with what we've achieved in land buying. We've also taken -- as you're aware, we've rationalized the regions, as I mentioned, into 4 principal regions. We've taken the opportunity to rationalize the land portfolio as well. So we're walking away from about 13 sites in the Northwest and on the East Coast of Yorkshire that just no longer fit with our criteria or our hurdle rates. So a huge amount of work. And that really is a very short summary of what we've done. I'm convinced that the business is in much better shape than it was when I stood here 12 months ago. And I'm convinced -- I'm excited for how we can take that forward. And it really -- that is really expediting that process that I've talked to you about before of changing Gleeson from an overly large small business into a well-controlled and efficient volume house builder. Legacy sites. So I talked to you briefly about this before, but this is basically an issue that, frankly, should have been dealt with before. We're looking at something like 80 sites completed variously over the last 10 years, some 1 or 2 even older than that in parts of the country we don't even work in. These are sites where we haven't secured the adoption. Why? Because in most cases, they require some sort of rectification. I'll give you -- the most common example is actually where we've installed gravel drives actually in line with our planning permission and meeting with regulations, but the high-rise engineers don't like them. Why? Because the gravel spills on to the road. That means the road gets more damaged, has to be maintained more, cost them more. So the high-rise engineer looks at you and says, I can't adopt that. It's not a standard. We could have the fight. We've been advised. It's not worth it. We need to get on and get these roads into a state where they can be adopted. It's interesting, actually, just last week, the HBF has brought out our latest sort of protest on behalf of the industry, which is around the transparency and objectivity and the time taken to get roads adopted. That was very timely. But we haven't -- I can't whinge about it. We've got to get on and deal with it. I'm not going to make the -- we can't kick the gravel down the road joke. And so that's going to -- it's going to take us 3 or 4 years. We've hired the best guy in the business really, an adoptions engineer to lead a small team. It will take us 3 or 4 years to deal with that. During the year, we were operating from an average of 67 build sites and 56 sales outlets. As we've said, that both of those will be slightly lower this year. Our prospective site numbers are frustratingly lower than I would like, and that's for 3 reasons: One, the continuing challenge of slow planning. So -- and it's the same story. The government, I think, is absolutely doing the right things at national policy level, but that is still -- that is not feeding through for various reasons, that is not feeding through to pace and reliability of decisions at local level. So planning very much still an issue. In addition, we've rationalized the portfolio. As I say, we have taken the proactive decision to walk away from a number of sites that no longer fit our criteria. And the third thing is that, I suppose, like others and I think very sensibly, we're managing our balance sheet. This is a market where it pays us to be cautious. We absolutely want to protect the integrity of the balance sheet. So we're upping our risk aversion, if you like, in the appraisals we're bringing through. That's not to say we've stopped buying land. I've just talked to you about what we've done with that process, and we are still very much in the market, but we're being more cautious in the approach we're taking. And so combining those 3 reasons, our site opening profile is going to be slower than I would like, certainly this year and almost certainly into FY '28. So it is a difficult market, but we're absolutely convinced that there are things that we can do better. And it's vital that both in a weak market now and into any upturn, we're the best that we can be. So with the -- we've got the people and process fixed. I was talking to you, I spoke about that just now. And I kind of see that as fixing the factory. What we're getting after now is the way we engage with the market, so our product and our customer experience. We're going to -- we absolutely want to build on the success of our partnership strategy, and I'll talk about that in a moment. I've talked about refocusing our land buying to make sure we're getting the right sites. And now we're looking proactively and at pace at our product, at our customer experience and that our brand and brand perception. This is -- we're trying to be absolutely rigorous, absolutely objective and make this data back. So we've got hand-picked teams from around the organization looking at each of those, each of those teams led by a member of the ELT. We're actually using an AI data site of every piece of customer feedback that we've had because the -- if you aggregate that, we'll pick up the themes and we'll pick up some good ideas, I'm absolutely convinced. And we're also commissioning focus groups from our website users, both those who've gone on and bought a Gleeson Home and those who haven't, so that we're getting the best information that we can to combine with our own expertise. Scott and the team, we -- as I say, that strengthening has brought in a lot of experience as well from elsewhere. And so -- on product, we just -- we want to make absolutely sure that we're delivering the product that our customers want our open market customers. We've also taken the decision to design a specific partnerships range. And so that -- I think that we're working on that right now, that should be available to us in the second half. And that's avoiding that compromise because partners do have certain slightly different requirements for the units, and they're looking for a long-term rental product. And it's always a compromise if you're trying to use the same units for the open market. So no, we'll have a separate range effectively making it easier for partners to select Gleeson to work with. On the customer experience, we're looking at that from -- right through from marketing through the customer journey through sale and are also looking at the way that we're providing after-sales service. And we know that we can improve in all of those areas. So quite exciting to see those ideas coming through. And on brand, we know what it is. You know what it is that we do. We build a high-quality product that's affordable to customers at lower end of the income spectrum. But we get -- we listen, we get feedback. We bump into deep in the market. We don't think people are very clear on that, particularly that point that we are -- we build a high-quality product. And so it's really important that all of our stakeholders understand what it is we, Gleeson does today. And that includes the market. So land agents, for instance, recruiters, prospective partners. It includes our own people. That's absolute absolutely vital. And of course, critically, it includes our customers. It's vital that we're listening to what the market is telling us and that we're led by the customers we serve. So yes, it is a difficult market, but there are absolutely things we know we can do to improve our performance, and we're working hard at that. Just to touch on partnerships. I'd say really pleasing to see those first units at first completions coming through. For me, the pleasing thing, we've established our credibility in the partnership space now. And just pausing on that, that's not a [ gimmick ], that's not a no-brainer. If you put yourself in the shoe -- it's not just a question of turning up at the conference and pulling up your stand and saying, come and sign here for deals. If you put yourselves in the shoes of the investor, he's got quite a bit of due diligence to do on a new firm offering themselves as a development partner. Who are these guys? Do -- what's the quality of their product? How will it stand up as a long-term rental product? Can they actually build at the pace and to the quality that I need? Will they do what they say? Do I trust them? All of that is -- you have to build that. We accept that. And so I'm really pleased that with those first completions and the feedback that we're receiving from our partners, I think we've established our credibility. And certainly, that seems to be how it's playing for us. The market appetite is certainly continuing. It was great to hear Matthew Pennycook at the conference in Liverpool last week, absolutely endorsing that this mode of delivery is and will continue to be important for the U.K. homebuilding market. As I say, very much encouraged by the announcements under the SAHP last week. So what we need to do now, what we're focused on, if you like, is to evolve to the next generation of partnership deals. So coming back to that establishing your credibility, they might get to the point where they'll take their units from you, but will they trust you with the cash upfront? Well, you need to prove a little bit more before they'll do that. So the first deals that we did, effectively, yes, you're sacrificing a bit of margin, but the benefit and the only benefit we were getting was the diversifying our market risk. So it was a forward sale. You're certain that those 40 units are going to go to that partner, tick. But they're paying them for you -- when you're paying for them when you deliver them. We've now evolved that model. So within that 320 units was our first 60-odd under the golden brick model. Now that's better because that's when you're getting -- starting to get paid during the construction period. So that -- you're then getting the benefit not just of the forward sale, but now starting to improve your return because you're getting paid sooner. The next evolution where we'll really mature is when we increase the proportion of forward funding. So we start to work with partner cash at the implementation of infrastructure. You can immediately see that, that starts to really sing from a return perspective. And of course, the absolute maturity is when they'll join you at the land acquisition point. So pleased to see -- those are the kinds of conversations we're now having and a real opportunity for us. And you can tell, I think we're excited about the progress that we've made in that area. So turning to Gleeson Land then. I'll start with the market headwinds. No secrets here, but probably 2 elements that I would bring out. So planning is a constant story isn't it. It's always something slightly different. So following the specific that I'm referring to here -- following the local elections, obviously, the biggest shift was away from labor control. So a number of authorities where labor -- where it either moved away from labor completely or it's moved to no overall control. What that does is creates a fracture between national policy and the local implementation of that policy. The no longer -- the committee less willing to embrace because you've now reopened that sort of democratic competition of I can win votes by resisting national planning policy. So not moving the local plan through at pace or and trying to resist the NPPF direction on their numbers or, for instance, resisting Grey Belt, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera. So the effect of that is that where we had previously hoped that we might get a committee decision, now there's a good chance that it will be filibuster, we won't get the local decision. What do we have to -- it doesn't mean we can't get it because in the end, 9 times out of 10 national policy will prevail, but it means you've got to go to appeal, it takes longer and it's more expensive. So that's the planning drag that I'm referring to. The developer caution, I've mentioned it already, you're all well aware of that. All of the majors are referring to it. And that is restricting appetite for some bids. I don't want to give you the impression that the market is dead. It's absolutely not. As you know, we have a high-quality portfolio. And when we put those sites out to the market, we're still getting good interest, and we are seeing bids. The pricing has definitely moderated a bit. The technical due diligence process is being elongated, always will in a buyer's market. We're seeing a lot of bids conditional on registered provider partner participation, and that's all to do with the hiatus in the Section 106 market and obviously, people asking for deferred payment terms. So what's the impact on leasing land? Well, I've said not if, but when, and that really is that we are still seeing the demand. But predicting the actual timing of completions is difficult. Just to touch on FY '26 was obviously -- the biggest single impact was the deferral of the large deal, which I've talked about in just 1 minute on that. So we are -- you shouldn't see this as -- well, it's a big standoff and the local authorities just don't want this. That's not the situation we're in. We are working very closely with the prospective buyer of the site and actually, alongside the local authority and their advisers, but it's a massively complex technical resolution that we need. The number of sort of open items gets ever smaller. I think I've said to you before, it's a bit like when your phone updates and that bar goes across, you can plan, it must be finished now. But it's a bit like that with this technical consent. We fully expect, I'm looking at Guy that we will get that technical consent this calendar year, and that should trigger the -- well, that does trigger the terms in the option. Remember, we sold an option to the buyer of the site in June '25. They've got about 6 to 8 weeks post that technical resolution to exercise that option. So I'm hopeful that we will say, get that technical resolution before the year-end. I've certainly learned more about roads, signs, drains and what have you than I ever imagined I would need to learn about. So as I've said, both planning and transactions are taking longer. And what that does, it makes -- the effect for us sitting here scratching our heads is it makes the timing -- calling the timing of completions even more difficult than normal in that business. It's just the way it is. So as I stand here this morning, we've got over 9 months of the year still to go. We've been -- we do this regularly. We've been through every site. No reason to say to you, we're not going to make our numbers in Gleeson Land. And so we're standing by the numbers that you have, but it has to come with that heavy note of caution. Given that, as I said, there is very much still a market. And having said what I've said about planning, the national planning policy framework remains favorable. They have done the right things. And so we are working very hard to take advantage of that. Steam coming out of the planning team, and they've got -- they did really well. That's a record number of applications. It's a small team. That was a hell of a lot of work to get those 18 applications in. We've got 24 sites currently awaiting a decision. And as I say, all towards strengthening that portfolio. And to the same point, we were delighted to exchange some 15 new promotion agreements in the year. 2 of those are conditional. And so -- and just to stress, that absolutely does not come from relaxing our standards. In fact, in this market, we're probably pushing up our risk aversion as you would expect. But this comes from the effectiveness of the local team, the local structure that Guy is put in place that really has upped our game and also backed by our fantastic market-leading data research and analysis team, which really does strengthen the bid and also strengthens our ability to get the planning permission as well in front of the local authority. So not relaxing our standards. We're still only bidding kind of -- we're rejecting 95% of the sites that we see that we're shown, they go straight to the bin. But because of the quality of the team and the data research, we are winning about 1/3 of the bids that we actually make. So really pleased to see that portfolio strengthening. So in terms of characterizing we are absolutely confident for the medium-term future of the Gleeson Land business, just have to put caution on there and what you're expecting in each 6-month period as we always do. So summary and outlook. We delivered a robust performance in the year. Project Transform has overhauled Gleeson Homes into a much improved business. We've got a dual focus now on managing the business as efficiently as we can in anticipation of that continuing subdued market. But we're pursuing a number of strategic initiatives to enhance our own performance and so far as we can mitigate that margin attrition. Gleeson Land continues to face a more cautious land market. So the timing of land sales lacks the visibility we'd hoped for, but the quality of the portfolio continues to attract strong interest. And the Board, therefore, expects to deliver an overall result in FY '27 in line with current market expectations. I'll read you the quote because I think it's fair. Following a year of intense activity, implementing fundamental business change, we now have a homes business that's operationally much stronger and a land business well placed to meet the needs of developers for high-quality consented sites. With a focused and disciplined approach we're now taking, we're confident for the future prospects of the group. Thank you for bearing with me on that, and we'll now be pleased to take your questions.
Gregory Poulton
analystYes, Greg from Singer Capital Markets. A few for me, please. Firstly, on the land rationalization, obviously, you've moved away from 13 sites in the Northwestern Yorkshire. But you also do a wider land review in the other divisions? Or if not, is that likely to be extended this year?
Graham Prothero
executiveNo. So we will -- in any year, we'll always -- we keep an eye on every site every month. So I think the total was about 25 -- about 25. So 13 specifically in those 2 regions. We probably have -- to your question, we probably have walked away from more this year, a few more this year than we normally would, and that's as a consequence of the shifting into the interregional control and Scott having had an opportunity to give it a good cone.
Gregory Poulton
analystAnd then on land, could you just talk about concentration within the numbers for this year? Obviously, you had one large land transaction delayed last year. Are there any larger deals in the numbers for the rest of the year?
Graham Prothero
executiveThere is one. It's not as large, but it's bigger than the average. So yes, I mean, it's -- Guy's gravy is always a bit lumpy, but...
Gregory Poulton
analystAnd then lastly, just on partnerships. Obviously, you've made good progress last year on that strategy. Can you talk about access to funding from affordable housing providers and how that's improved? And then linked to that, with the dedicated products that you're bringing to market, is the intention to utilize that product in dedicated partnership sites? Or will it be utilized alongside your open market offering?
Graham Prothero
executiveGreat questions. So the access to funding, that's the $64,000 I can't -- and the answer is, so they took ages to announce the funding of $39 billion. Then they sat on that announcement, then they put out the statement sometime in the summer saying we just need people to push there. We can't spend it too soon, all defense and what have you. And then last week, 3 weeks ago, they came out with the announcement of the strategic partner funding. I can't say to you and somebody asked me this earlier this morning. So I can't say that I've got a check that's come out of the $39 billion. I can't, but it was only 3 weeks ago. So what I can say is that we are receiving much enhanced and live interest from a good number of prospective partners since the -- both before the announcement and certainly since the announcement. But it's too soon because you simply couldn't agree a deal and get the cash flowing. It's too soon to say, are they actually going to get the folding stuff in their pocket and start handing it over to us. I hope so. I think it would be very odd, very disingenuous to have that big announcement, but then still hold the funding back. But I can't confirm that visibility will come over the next few months. And on the partnerships range, so we're looking -- so the range of homes is -- it means that we can offer them -- offer to partners homes that absolutely work for them. We don't have to modify have the spec that they need. The slightly different aspect to your question is, will that be for dedicated partnership sites? In the main, no. We're not looking to do it. We wouldn't rule that out. And as I've said to you before, every deal is quite specific. So you might do that in a particular area. If you've got a cluster of sites, it might -- and the partners I like all of that site, you might do that. We're not setting out to be partnership contractors, but it's all within the context of a relationship, if you see what I mean.
Samuel Cullen
analystSam Cullen. 2 for me as well, please. On your point about the evolution of the partnerships, business and moving towards more of a forward-funded model in time. What's the gestation period of that? Is that a 2-, 3-year story? Is that a 5-year story?
Graham Prothero
executiveWe're talking about it now, Sam. But I'd be a fool to say to you right, I'm going to be announcing the first one by Christmas, but I might be. And that depends. So there are a couple where on existing sites, we've got people talking to us. Obviously, these conversations proceed over a number of months and then they accelerate and they slow down. So we have some deals in prospect. I'm not going to say to you -- I mean, I'll be realistic -- I'll be honest with you. In July, I said to Scott, are you going to have anything I can announce in September? And he said, maybe. But we haven't. Will we by Christmas? Maybe. But there are deals being negotiated and kind of goes to Greg's last question as well. But would I be disappointed if I wasn't sitting here next year with a couple to tell you about? I'd be really disappointed.
Samuel Cullen
analystThe second one, given your decision to protect the balance sheet and slow down net new openings, do you think the other kind of partner in this relationship is listening to what you're doing in terms of the government? Are they taking heed of what you are telling them?
Graham Prothero
executiveI'd really like to think so. The -- I don't know whether you're pulling me onto the punch of a Help to Buy question there. I think that -- so there's an onus on us to make the business the best that we can be, and we are absolutely on with that. The more specific request I would have of government would be, stop adding your [ threepences ] and [ sixpences ] into the viability challenge. And by that, I am referring to Building Safety Levy and I am referring to the full implementation of Future Homes. Both of those, it is still in their gift to alleviate that pressure because you're just adding to viability pressures in an already viability challenged market. So that would be a specific request. Whether or not they choose to put in place some form of buyer support is really a decision for them. What we're focused on is what we can do because we think we can improve our sales rate with the work that we're doing. I'm not going to manage to move a natural rate of 0.5 to 0.8 by polishing up my product. I can certainly do better than I am. Alastair?
Alastair Stewart
analystAlastair Stewart, Progressive. A couple of questions. One on Homes and one on Land. On Homes, you mentioned less activity in the coastal and country rural settings and more of a focus on urban. What's the thinking behind that? I presume in coastal and country, you've probably got higher selling prices, but lower densities of potential buyers and those buyers are probably more discretionary, whereas it might be different for urban. So that's question one. And on the land business, you mentioned technical due diligence stretching out. Is that a delaying tactic? Or is it preempting reductions in pricing from the buyers?
Graham Prothero
executiveOkay. So taking the first one then. I don't want you to see this as Gleeson Homes turning away from what it does. But if you step back and look at the portfolio that effectively Scott inherited, we had -- so there is absolutely a place for less densely populated areas. We have a good business in Cumbria. But what had happened for various reasons I wouldn't bore you with -- there had been a drift. So we had too higher concentration of those sites, which tend to sell slower for all the reasons that you've set out. And, yes, and also, they're just less densely populated. So just the pace, the churn in those markets is slower. And we needed to rebalance to get back to some more chimney pot areas to have a good balance of faster selling sites. Can I not being picky. We're not going urban. It is definitely suburban. And I make that point because Gleeson doesn't do city center and we won't. But definitely, there are plenty of suburban areas where we need to rebuild our pipeline, and it's to get that right balance in the portfolio. On the technical due diligence, well, all I would say is you would expect there to be an absolute level of technical due diligence, which every developer would do on every site they ever buy. But the reality is it's a marketplace. And in a strong land market, you have to be damn quick and move. Otherwise, the guy has trampled over you and bought the site already. In a weaker market, you can afford to take your time, so you can afford to say to Guy, look, here's my bid, but I need 6 weeks to look through all of this lot. And then in that 6 weeks, is he going to find something that's going to buy them another 3 months? Well, yes, he will. And that's the difference between the buyers and the seller's market.
Alastair Stewart
analystAnd specifically in sites that have been stretched because of the due diligence, have prices been going down? Are you standing your ground?
Graham Prothero
executiveNo price -- as I said, prices have come off a bit, but they've come off a bit because people are forecasting a more difficult sales market. So -- but it's not -- they're not halving in value. They're just -- they are taking the froth out of their own inflation -- selling price inflation expectations, and they're looking at the same cost inflation that Gleeson Homes is. So you're not getting people -- you're not getting -- seeing the hope value in their selling -- onward selling price expectations, which all feeds back to a lower land value. But it's not capitulated. I don't want you to think of that. Think of what we say, guy, 5% to 10% sort of off the bids that we would be getting. But these are still good sites. So if you come in with a 20% discount, someone's going to beat you. Charlie?
Charlie Campbell
analystCharlie Campbell at Stifel. Two questions, both pretty quick, I think. So your comments on sites FY '27 into FY '28, you said it sort of continues into FY '28. So does that mean they get to fall again '28 against '27 or they stay at that lower '27 level in 2028, if you can answer the question?
Graham Prothero
executiveStefan, do you want to take that? I will caveat that we're still in the window. FY '28 is not yet set in stone. So be gentle with us on making forecast for '28, just to understand the wording really.
Stefan Allanson
executiveYes. Yes. Perhaps I could have been clear. It was intended to that we expected to open the same number of sites as we closed roughly. And therefore, we would anticipate the average number of sites we're selling on in FY '28 is the same as FY '27. But as Graham said, that feels a long way away at the moment. But that's what we're intending to communicate.
Charlie Campbell
analystAnd again, I mean, with the same caveat, I guess, thinking about the percentage of bulk and partnership units of 27, 28. I think you're guiding us to the same sort of number. I mean partnerships is eventually 20, 16 now maybe drifts up a bit. Is that the right way of thinking about that?
Graham Prothero
executiveSo on partnerships, I would very much hope so. On bulk, I very much hope not, but I expect to. Did that make sense?
Charlie Campbell
analystYes.
Graham Prothero
executiveBulk maybe he wants to do it. But yes, we are planning that there will be a level of bulk this year. And yes, similar. But partnerships, we're looking to push that harder.
Charlie Campbell
analystSorry, one other question. In terms of mortgage rates, I mean, it looks as if mortgage rates probably have gone up again in the last month. What's the sort of sensitivity you're hearing from customers around mortgage rates at the moment? Just trying to figure that out.
Stefan Allanson
executiveYes. Well, so I'm glad you asked that question because it prompts me to remind everyone about the lack of a problem on affordability in the housing market in the Northern Midlands even at higher mortgage rates. So the proportion of the first-time buyers take-home pay that is spent on mortgage payments. It's the same now today at these current mortgage rates, if you were to borrow today as it has averaged over the last 40 years. There was no bubble in prices. There's no unaffordability problem. There's a confidence issue and there's some challenges on deposits. Back to the question. So those slightly high mortgage rates at the moment, I mean, they add -- so in the appendices, you'll see I always have a slide on what are the weekly mortgage payments compared to weekly rents, demonstrating that it is cheaper to buy than rent. The impact actually is not that significant. It's about GBP 3 a week in terms of additional mortgage costs to the costs in here. In terms of what we're seeing in cancellations and the reasons for cancellations, it's a mixture. We're not really seeing mortgage costs or rate rises as an issue. Not yet. That may well come, but we're not really seeing that at the moment.
Graham Prothero
executiveAll of that, I absolutely agree with an endorse -- what you've heard me say before, my issue is less with the pounds per week that the mortgage -- it's absolutely right. It's a conversation in the pub that hurts us. And right now, that conversation is about mortgage rates have gone up and they're going up and it's about food price inflation coming. So I think at the moment, the mood out there in market land is weakening because of the conversation, even if what Stefan says is true. But yes, it's not what we're hearing, Scott, across the -- in the sales offices, isn't it? We've got no one sort of pulling out because of mortgage increases. [Technical Difficulty] I don't think there are any more questions in the room. Tilly, do we have any questions online? No. Sam, I thought you were going to ask a question then. That have been row. Very good. Thank you very much for bearing with us. A lot of content there. Thanks for your time. Great to see you all. And yes, I hope we managed to deliver on all of this. Thank you.
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