Sogefi S.p.A. (SGF) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

July 23, 2024

Borsa Italiana IT Consumer Discretionary Automobile Components earnings 29 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Good afternoon. This is the Chorus Call conference operator. Welcome, and thank you for joining the Sogefi First Half 2024 Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Frédéric Sipahi, CEO of Sogefi. Please go ahead, sir.

Frédéric Sipahi

executive
#2

Hello. Thank you, madame. Hello, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for joining this call. As you know, we are here to discuss about the results of the first semester. I guess, you have all read the press release. So as you may have seen, I have decided to leave Sogefi. It's a personal decision. I'd like to thank Sogefi. I'd like to thank the shareholders of Sogefi. I'd like to thank the President of Sogefi. It has been a great journey. The results that we have achieved with my team are great, and you will see it again in the first semester results. I am blessed to have very good teams around me, and these teams will continue to perform very well, as they have always done, in the next month, in the next quarters and in the next year. And I'd like to thank them for these results and their commitment. So if you all agree, I would propose that I go very quickly through the results of the semester and then we will be available for any questions you may have. So if you go to the Page 3 of the presentation, you have seen that our sales are slightly down at constant exchange, minus 2.6%, reflecting the market decline in Europe. Basically, our sales price are stable. Despite this environment, we have been able to improve the contribution margin. The contribution margin is at 29%, while it was 26% last year. The EBITDA, excluding nonrecurring is improving by more than EUR 10 million compared to last year, at EUR 68 million versus EUR 57 million and our fixed costs are basically in line with last year despite inflationary pressures on labor costs in certain geographical areas. So to make it short, our EBIT is at EUR 28 million versus EUR 14 million last year. Excluding the nonrecurring, we would have been at EUR 29 million versus EUR 18 million mainly thanks to the turnaround of Suspension, as you may have seen in the presentation. Our net income of operating activities at EUR 11 million versus EUR 4 million last year, and the net income, including the Filter disposal effect is at EUR 146 million. We have been able to generate a positive free cash flow of EUR 22 million, up versus last year by almost EUR 20 million, mainly thanks to the turnaround and the improvements of the Suspension business line. At the end, our net financial position, end of June '24, is at EUR 95 million versus a net debt last year of EUR 185 million and EUR 200 million in December of last year. The extraordinary dividends will be paid tomorrow for EUR 110 million, as we have already anticipated to you a few weeks ago. So in a nutshell, these are the results of the first semester. Of course, we are here to answer to all of your questions. And I will also take the occasion today to introduce you to one of the key members of the team. He will introduce himself. It's Michael Sebagh. He was the boss of North America for Sogefi and he has been appointed CEO of Air & Cooling business unit. So I will let Michael introduce himself.

Michael Sebagh

executive
#3

Good afternoon, everyone. So my name is, like Frédéric said, Michael Sebagh. I have been with -- I have been COO of Sogefi North America for the past 5 years. I think we've been very successful in North America, where when I joined the company, the sales were about $50 million, and we took myself and the team over there from $50 million to roughly USD 220 million, USD 230 million this year. Prior to that, I was responsible for global sales for Sogefi, where we've been quite successful as well. So the goal for the coming year is to keep growing in the year, North American and Europe and China business on the Air & Cooling side, of course.

Frédéric Sipahi

executive
#4

Thank you, Michael. I propose we move on to the questions you may have.

Operator

operator
#5

[Operator Instructions] The first question is from Monica Bosio, Intesa Sanpaolo.

Monica Bosio

analyst
#6

First of all, thank you, Frédéric, and I wish you all the best. I have three questions. The first is if you can give us any flavor on the expected free cash flow by year-end? And if you can split between the two divisions? The second is on the factoring by year end. And very last is on the Suspensions business that had a very strong recovery in margins, [ 260 ] basis points in the second quarter, what could we figure out by year-end for the business unit?

Frédéric Sipahi

executive
#7

Thank you, Monica, and thank you for your questions and your wishes. I will let Olivier answer to the two first questions and then come back to you on the third one.

Olivier Proust

executive
#8

Hello, Monica. So with regards to the cash flow we are expecting on the business, a generation of roughly EUR 30 million, with EUR 55 million, EUR 54 million of factoring for the year-end. So no big change.

Monica Bosio

analyst
#9

Okay.

Frédéric Sipahi

executive
#10

On Suspension, Monica, we have -- yes, we have continued our improvements that we started the last 2, 3 years. We have been able on this semester to improve by almost 3 points the EBITDA and the target of the team is to continue the operational improvement in the last part of the year, especially on the Romanian factory, where there has been very good improvements, but where we still have leverage to continue the operational and financial improvement. So I think this will be one of the key topics for the last part of the year. And also, some discussion are ongoing with customers. So I would say that the improvement should continue in the last part of the year, but in a difficult environment because volumes are continuing to be low, I would say, in Europe. There is no reason that in the second semester, volumes will increase. So basically the gain in Suspension, we'll be able to increase the efforts in order to compensate the volume decrease and continue the improvement.

Monica Bosio

analyst
#11

Okay. If I may, a follow up on the current scenario. The group has revised downward the top line guidance, and it is now expecting a low single-digit decline. Are you still expecting to outperform the market even on a negative ground? Maybe thanks to the support from China, India and NAFTA.

Frédéric Sipahi

executive
#12

Yes, we had a good performance in China and India in the first part of the year. Unfortunately, these geographical areas are still small compared to Europe in our portfolio. So my vision of the second semester, and it's also what EHS, S&P is foreseeing, is that second semester will be tough in Europe, will continue to be tough, basically keeping the same trend of decrease that we had in the first 6 months in Europe. So it's basically minus 5%, the first half of the year, minus 5% for the second part of the year versus last year. China should continue to drive growth. India continue to increase. North America, as you may all know, is a kind of question mark, not because of Sogefi performance, but because the market can be a bit unstable in the second part of the year. So on my side, I would not bet on the news from a volume point of view in the second part of the year, even if I keep some optimistic vision in India and China, I would say. But the two big geographical areas for Sogefi are Europe, first, and then North America where we expect some challenge, of course, from the volume point of view. I think it's the vision shared by S&P, but also by our colleagues of other companies, automotive companies.

Operator

operator
#13

The next question is from Martino De Ambroggi, Equita.

Martino De Ambroggi

analyst
#14

So Frédéric, all the best for your new challenge. Sorry to leave you. But okay, good luck. The first question is on the guidance. It's always qualitative in terms of profitability. I was wondering if the 5% return on sales you achieved in the first half is achievable also in the second half despite the tougher environment, particularly in Europe. First question.

Frédéric Sipahi

executive
#15

I would say based on the current assumption, current vision, we should be able to keep this level for the second part of the year. Excluding, of course, a big catastrophic scenario due to volume drops in North America or whatever. But I would say that, clearly, it's our ambition and target to continue to keep this profitability level in the second part of the year. And if volumes are decreasing, we will have to increase the speed of actions. So yes, to answer to your question, I would say yes.

Martino De Ambroggi

analyst
#16

Okay. And the second is on the operating leverage under the new perimeter. So just to understand every, let's say, 1 percentage point, 2 percentage point of decline in volumes would mean which kind of effect at operating level?

Olivier Proust

executive
#17

Can you rephrase your question?

Martino De Ambroggi

analyst
#18

Yes, basically, it's the operating leverage under the new perimeter. So what is the impact in terms of what percentage of sales is reflected in plus or minus obviously, change in EBIT?

Olivier Proust

executive
#19

Well, the first semester is reflecting the new business. So we do not intend a big change compared to our figures for the first half of the year.

Martino De Ambroggi

analyst
#20

So we take the same leverage as a rule of thumb going ahead. So that's the...

Olivier Proust

executive
#21

Yes, yes, yes.

Martino De Ambroggi

analyst
#22

Okay. And the follow-up on...

Olivier Proust

executive
#23

Sorry, the mix will not drastically change between the first semester and the second one. So the new structure of the business is already reflected in our first half of the year.

Martino De Ambroggi

analyst
#24

Okay. And when you, Frédéric, mentioned, okay, on your successor, will mention new actions in case of need, what is the level of market volumes requiring additional actions in your view?

Frédéric Sipahi

executive
#25

Basically, our vision for the second half for now is that volumes will be close to what we had in the first semester. So -- but as usual, we are prepared to have, if we need, extra actions and the actions in our business, it was always the same. First, if there is a big drop from a customer, we are used now and our customers are used to, and it will continue after me that we have strong discussion or discussion with our customers in order to see how we can compensate that. Then we have shown over the years our capacity each time that there is a volume decrease to adapt our cost structure. So this is currently what is done by everybody in the automotive. Hopefully, we have already done a lot of homework in the last years. So it helps us to be able, if needed, to [indiscernible], not doing the massive restructuring, but doing permanent improvements over the months. So it will be this, if we have to do something, if there is a drop, we will optimize the costs of the company as we have always done in the last years at Sogefi. So first, customer discussions and [ sudden ] cost optimization.

Martino De Ambroggi

analyst
#26

And very last on the discussions ongoing with clients. Is there any additional pressure coming or maybe discussions you are confident will produce some positive effects?

Frédéric Sipahi

executive
#27

Basically, we have been able in the first 6 months to keep our selling prices almost flat in the markets where prices are dropping, especially the raw material. So I would say that our target for the second semester is at least to keep this performance of keeping our prices flat. Of course, if we can have something extra, we will. But right now, it's not integrated in -- let's say, in our mindset. We prefer to defend with our customers price stabilization [indiscernible] on the fixed cost and on the cost and deliver the results despite the difficult market. And then I'm very confident also about the two business, Air & Cooling and Suspension. On Air & Cooling, Michael, appointed CFO -- CEO, sorry, he has a huge experience of dealing with customers about selling price increases, especially in North America, but also in Europe. And in Suspension, where Mr. Muller will continue the coordination of the business line. He is the former sales director too and used to discuss with customers. So I'm sure he will be able to keep this level of performance with our customers on the pricing.

Operator

operator
#28

The next question is from Alexandre Raverdy, Kepler Cheuvreux.

Alexandre Raverdy

analyst
#29

Frédéric, my turn to wish you all the best as well for the future. First question is on specifically the raw material assumptions that you have for the second half of the year. We have seen some of the raw materials turning into a headwind, at least that's what some suppliers are mentioning. So have you included any change in the raw mat assumption in your guidance? That's the first question. And then the second question, just to be clear because my line was not so clear, do -- your guidance or at least your expectation to keep the 5% margin in the second half includes or not any customer compensation?

Frédéric Sipahi

executive
#30

So on raw material, we have been able to benefit from the market decrease in the first 6 months. We have not integrated a further price -- strong price decrease on the materials for the second part of the year. And in our guidance, in the overhead I don't see a big increase either. So our assumption is to continue to be -- to continue to duplicate the market evolution, what we have been able to do in the first 6 months. So no big decrease, but no big increase. Concerning a big compensation or compensation in our guidance, no. We are not talking anymore about the big amount we had in the previous years. So there are some but already identified and very marginal.

Operator

operator
#31

The next question is from Gabriele Gambarova, Banca Akros.

Gabriele Gambarova

analyst
#32

Frédéric, it has been a pleasure to listen to your calls over these 3 years. Very good job, and congratulations for your next adventure, let's say. My first question is just -- Monica, I think asked, if you have in mind a target of free cash flow for 2024. So this was the first question. I think it was not answered. And then another question on the broader market. Do you see any -- I mean it's slowing down, but in certain areas, do you see any particular, any specific, let's say, issue concerning inventory levels in one of these regions, I don't know, Europe, the U.S. I mean what's your view on that? And the last one is on the Suspension. I was wondering -- you mentioned Romania. I mean there is still room for improving the efficiency. What could be, let's say, a reasonable -- the margin for this business at run rate when the turnover is over?

Frédéric Sipahi

executive
#33

Thank you, Gabriele, and thank you, it has been a pleasure too for these past years. I will let Olivier maybe explain on the free cash flow vision we have for the end of the year.

Olivier Proust

executive
#34

I thought I answered to Monica already, we are expecting on the business a generation around EUR 30 million. So if you have an additional question, I can answer. But I don't see any other specific view. We answered already with regards to the factoring, if at -- any if needed. Frédéric, do you want to move to...

Frédéric Sipahi

executive
#35

Yes. On the markets, well, right now, I don't see any big reasons to have a big drop or due to the inventories at customers' end. The only big unknown, and I really don't know if it can affect -- if it will affect and how it will affect, are the American elections. I don't know if the maybe -- there may have been an impact due to that. But right now, we have not integrated anything special about that considering that whatever happens and whoever wins the election in '24, there won't be any impact. Now, based on one candidate or another, there may be some impact on the long term for EV cars in North America, but I don't see a big impact this year. Considering the inventory demand at our customers' level. In Europe, I would say, we have already done a big job to decrease it. I don't see a big [ trouble ] in U.S.A., China or India. So right now, I would remain neutral on that one, Gabriele. Considering Suspension, I would say we have done very good improvements compared to the last year. We now with a stable team there, a plant manager who is stable, a very strong management team also doing the operational improvement day-over-day, customers are happy about our deliveries, which was not the case one year ago. So we are about to stabilize this plant from an operational point of view. And now we can focus maybe on the strategic approach with our customers to decide which program we can award there in the coming years. But my optimism level is increased about Romania and is confirmed also, is that we have been able to really improve the operational situation. The rest of Europe -- of Suspension Europe, is around between 4% and 5% of EBIT adjusted. I would say that for this plant, it's a minimum level at one point, we should target.

Operator

operator
#36

[Operator Instructions] The next question is a follow-up from Martino de Ambroggi, Equita.

Martino De Ambroggi

analyst
#37

Just on the Romanian plant, could you provide a precise indication of what was the contribution in the first half and what you expect for the full year in terms of improvement at EBIT level from Romania? And actually, I have a question for Michael. Probably it's too early, but just to understand the capital allocation was discussed in the previous call. But what is your best scenario for the available cash that you have in hand today?

Frédéric Sipahi

executive
#38

First semester, we are still [ EUR 3 million ] in Romania compared to more than the double last year -- sorry. So yes, unfortunately, it's still a loss of EUR 3 million in the first semester. Our target and ambition is to build this loss of EUR 3 million to 0 for the second part of the year. So basically, which will mean finishing the year at minus EUR 3 million and to be positive for next year. And as a reminder, last year, it was a loss of EUR 7 million for the first 6 months. So we are divided by [indiscernible] in Romania with a turnover now of EUR 22 million. The second question, can you just repeat it please, I was not sure to...

Martino De Ambroggi

analyst
#39

Yes. It was for Michael, I don't know if he can answer about the capital allocation for the available cash of Sogefi going ahead. So in terms of M&A, I don't know what else...

Frédéric Sipahi

executive
#40

Sorry, maybe I was not accurate enough just to be sure everybody understood properly, Michael Sebagh is becoming the boss of one -- of Air & Cooling business unit. So Michael is not replacing me as CEO of Sogefi. Nevertheless, we can answer it to your questions through Olivier, if you have it.

Martino De Ambroggi

analyst
#41

Okay. Okay.

Olivier Proust

executive
#42

So if I understand well, your question is regarding the capital allocation coming from the sales of the Filtration business unit, correct?

Martino De Ambroggi

analyst
#43

Yes. Apart from the dividend already paid, obviously.

Olivier Proust

executive
#44

So we already paid a dividend of EUR 110 million, and we repaid EUR 150 million of our drawn debt. So we repaid the [indiscernible]. We repaid all the debt linked to the COVID crisis in Italy and France for roughly EUR 75 million, and we also repaid part of BNL loan totalizing today EUR 150 million. So as of today, all our FCF are [indiscernible]. We have no -- we have a very residual drawn debt. And we have a significant amount of cash on hand that we will -- on which we will make some arbitration by the end of the year. No M&A projects to be announced so far.

Operator

operator
#45

[Operator Instructions] Mr. Sipahi, there are no more questions registered at this time. I'll turn the conference back to you for any closing remarks.

Frédéric Sipahi

executive
#46

Thank you, madame. And thank you to everybody. It has been a pleasure. Have a nice day. Thank you very much.

Olivier Proust

executive
#47

Thank you. Bye-bye.

Operator

operator
#48

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for joining, the conference is now over. You may disconnect your telephones.

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