Sompo Holdings, Inc. (8630) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

May 28, 2024

Tokyo Stock Exchange JP Financials Insurance investor_day 104 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Mikio Okumura

executive
#1

Hello. I'm Okumura, Group CEO. Thank you very much for joining us today. First of all, last fiscal year, the series of problems emerged and twice in the year, we received the business improvement orders. And I have to extend my apology for causing lot of inconveniences for the stakeholders. The company and Sompo Japan, from the end of February to March, we presented the plan for business improvement to the FSA. It is not just the recurrence preventive measures of plan, it is to revamp our corporate culture, and we are going to work on those actions with unwavering resolve. And today, we are going to present a new midterm management plan by implementing this plan in a speedy manner, we would like to regain trust from the other stakeholders. Without further ado, I would like to explain about new mid-term management plan. Please look at the executive summary. I would like to start by reflecting the previous MTMP. And based on that, we are going to move on to new plan. And what kind of process although we went through. That too developed this new plan. I'd like to touch upon that as well. In the previous plan, we worked on the scale and the profit we worked on improvement of resilience. And for the health and the nursing care, we worked on new challenges. As to adjusted profit, we hit the record high and adjusted ROE, we reached our target 10%. And the share prices went up PBR on a JGAAP basis exceeded 1. Meanwhile, when the environment is changing so significantly, we could not adapt speed manner to those changes, and we were forced to change our business model, and that is our fiscal year 2023 and executives of the other group got together many times to discuss our market, our future going forward. And what should be our the plan and the targets. And this is what we have been working on, namely connect with customers and deliver connected services and for health well-being and financial protection for the future. In that context for the coming 3 years, we have 2 keywords: vision to realize this vision, we are going to increase resilience furthermore and connect with customers and deliver connected services. With these 2 keywords, we are going to work on this new MTMP. And there are 3 core businesses: domestic P&C, Sompo Japan, for example, the new Sompo Japan, it is not to -- it is not just resolved to create new Sompo Japan, but we are going to recreate Sompo Japan for the coming 3 years. For overseas, insurance and reinsurance over past 10 years, that it turned out to be the growth driver for the group. The business expanded. And for the coming 3 years, we are going to work on global geographical expansion and the underwriting -- the stronger underwriting and increased AUM the business is going to drive the whole group. And as to well-being, as we are going to touch up later on, by business, like Himawari Life, in health care services, and nursing care services. Rather than that, although we are going to work on [ the ] people. And we are going to accompany our customers through their lifetimes to solve their problems in those areas. And as to financial strategy, though we are going to strengthen the management to [ raise ] circulated capital. And in providing services, it is all by the human beings. So we are going to make drastic investment in the human resources. As to strategic shareholding, as we discussed in the meeting in February, we are going to make it 0 by 2030. The milestones are. for the coming 3 years, you are going to reduce it by JPY 600 billion. That is our commitment. And at the same time, we are going to accelerate communication with the issuers to reduce risks. For shareholders' return, the sustainable profit to growth is one thing. And at the same time, the 50% of the other sales gains will be used for additional payout. Next, the numerical targets, mainly to -- for 2026 fiscal year. ROE will be raised to 13% to 15%. And during the new MTMP period, the EPS growth, the CAGR above 12%. Now I'd like to give you more details as to achievements and the challenges of the previous plan. As you can see here on this slide, in the previous plan, we worked on strengthening the resilience. The profitability improvement and risk diversification we worked on strengthening our resilience, especially, in the previous MTMP, we expanded the overseas business and improved the profitability. And through that effort, we believe -- I believe that we have come to the next step as a group company. And for our domestic P&C, we were faced with various issues and problems. Meanwhile, as to the improvement of the fire and allied line, we were steadily improving the profitability there. And on the uniqueness side, Insure Health, has been the other focus to combine the insurance and the health-related services. And we're going to continue to do that and support our customers. The nursing care. We are the largest the nursing care operator in Japan, and we have been working on improving the quality. As a result, Himawari Life, we could expand customer bases. And for nursing care, in order to maintain the sustainable nursing care, that we have been working on future nursing care. Later, we are going to be able to give more details about the shareholder return, market risk reduction, gross investment execution. The people or the concerned people, including myself, there are lots of things that we need to reflect upon as a group. Through the implementation of recurrence prevention measures, our first priority is to regain trust, but not only that because -- the preventive measures alone would not be sufficient. To make Sompo Japan reborn, we need SJR initiatives. It is a restart and reborn and revolution about Sompo Japan, and it is about the corporate account transformation and the revamping of business model, and we are going to work on that with an unwavering resolve. Please look at Page 8. As to shareholders' return, in short, the transparent policy and we acted onwards based on transparent return policy. Total return increased more than 20% during the year plan period. And as to [ DPS ] for 11 consecutive years, it increased and very agile share buyback led to EPS growth exceeding 13% of adjusted consolidated profit, EPS growth was 16%. Next page, let me repeat. I'm sorry, on Page 10. Risk reduction, especially reduction in strategic shareholding and interest rate risks. These are the 2 major factors. As you can see in the bar graph in the middle, the accumulation of profit and reduction in risks, these 2 combined generated the capital, which is allocated for the shareholders' return and investment for future striking a good balance between the two. For overseas insurance business, the transfer of JPY 200 billion of capital transfer and not only for the investment purpose, but also the flexible underwriting has been supported and the other capital increase was used for that objective as well. And for nursing care, not only as an operator, but also an access to the industry itself has been reinforced through the acquisition of Energy software and the investment in the digital area, is continuing as well. Please look at Page 12. As a result, during the previous plan, those initiatives paid off to some extent. Total shareholders' return was at the very high level. And the corporate value and the PPR improved as shown here. So that is for the results of the previous MTMP. And we have discussed a new plan. Please look at Page 14. Again, you may recall targets as to ROE, 13% to 15% in 2026 and adjusted EPS growth, CAGR of 12%. As I mentioned earlier, 3 businesses: domestic P&C and overseas insurance, reinsurance and well-being, we have those KPIs. For domestic P&C 2024 fiscal year, we will kind of [ squat ] temporality for upfront investment for the future and LOE 8%, at least exceeding cost of capital in fiscal year 2026. And overseas [ insurers ], though it is the growth driver for our group. And the continuous high ROE and stable growth are expected from overseas business. As to well-being, life nursing care beyond those segmentation, that we are going to achieve, connect with customers and deliver connected services. Page 15. in developing this new plan, parameters in 3 years and 5 years, I thought would be very difficult because of FX rates and the share prices because of these factors. But when it comes to mega trend, that will be not so different. And we discussed that and based on the existing environment, where we would like to go, and that's what we discussed. For example, population demographics, that could be interpreted as business opportunities or it could be interpreted as a negative factor or the threat because the population is decreasing. But globally population will increase. And in the aging society in Japan, we will certainly see some new needs emerging, the inflation longer for higher, and that would lead to loss cost, already the reserve, the issues. But for these issues, and through disciplined underwriting and rating and the financial foundational and stronger BS, we can address those potential issues. And for inflation, even when it lasts for a long time, when the interest rate goes up, and then we can increase our interest-related revenue. We discussed that as well. And on Page 16, in the domestic business, we were faced with a series of problems. There have been potential reasons for that. But I myself think that when the business environment was changing, we could not break away from the [ other ] some buyers traditional buyers in terms of the corporate culture or the industrial practice. And we put so much burden on the people on the front line. And the people in the front line had to make some stretches. So going forward, we would like to go proactive way. We are going to change things by ourselves. We need to go forward in doing that. The recurrence preventive measures and the business improvement of the plan, we are going to implement that. And not only on the management side, but also holdings and the supervisory oversight organization will support that effort to regain trust. Meanwhile, the preventive measures alone will not be sufficient. As I mentioned earlier, at Sompo Japan, SJR, this is company-wide project to transform our business and business model. Page 17. This is the vision in the role of the new midterm management plan. On the right-hand side, we have Sompo's Purpose. The future fuel to these health well-being and financial protection. To realize that, going forward, country and regions beyond those, the segment, Sompo P&C or the entity like that should be created. And the objective there is not only scale merit or the economy of scale, either it is commercial or consumer, the center of excellence that should be deployed horizontally, of course, regulations could be different. The languages could be different. But when you look at customers, customers -- our customers go overseas more and more on the consumer side, whether the services or risks such as cyber risks. Those risks exist beyond border lines country borders. So then we need to go beyond the border line to provide health and well-being. Also on the health and nursing care side and after retirement financing, these 3 concerns in the aging society to apply those -- apply solutions to those problems, we should not think about each one of them, but in a combined manner, and that is what Sompo wellbeing represents. In order to make that happen, during this plan period, during these 3 years, we are going to accelerate our basis rather than proprietary period, but we are going to accelerate our efforts during those 3 years. The key was there, as I mentioned, increased resilience and connect with customers and deliver connected services. Page 18, please. As I said earlier here, we have 3 business areas: new Sompo Japan, overseas insurance and reinsurance and well-being. The group-wide governance, stronger governance will support all of them. And share the strategy, finance strategy and circulated capital and the investment in human resources, human resources strategy and the other data and digital strategy. These initiatives will be accelerated. Please look at Page 19. Going forward, we would like to establish an entity Sompo P&C beyond country border and regional borders. And access here, let me repeat, center of excellence and economy of scale, especially group optimal retention, group optimal reinsurance strategy and group optimal asset management. Those merits are expected here. As to Sompo and P&C for the coming 3 years, Sompo Japan is going to work on SJ-R and on the overseas side. As the growth driver for the group, it is expected to lead the whole group. Page 20. This is the outline of SJ-R for New Sompo Japan. Of course, our first priority is to regain trust. The business foundation reform. The culture reform and governance and quality improvement, talent development and data-driven organization. Based on these things, we are going to work on the portfolio reform, sales reform and in the claims department,. I said when that was involved in the nursing care, the nurse CS is important, but without ES, we cannot implement CS. So for the claims services reform, we raised satisfaction level of customers. And for that, we need to raise satisfaction level of our own employees using data and digital. We work on the better efficiency and the adequacy of benefit payouts. It is not really cost reduction rather it is cost control through new work styles and the technology supporting that effort. The vision of our business and sales and the sales offices, all of these things, I believe, should be revisited. Through those initiatives, compared to ratio is expected to be improved by 4 points or so, and we are going to reduce the number of offices by 84. We believe that we can achieve it through the new work style. Page 21, please. Through those initiatives, FY 2026, 8% ROEs we are going to achieve ROE 8%. At the same time, combined ratio is at 95%. And as to risk controls, the domestic typhoons and natural disaster controls and the other risk associated with strategic shareholding will be controlled. And for fire and allied line or the automobile insurance line, I have to say that their business environment is changing so significantly. So there is a risk to fix things through long-term contracts. We need to re-recognize that risk. In other words, by reviewing long-term contract, we would like to apply more flexible underwriting or change underwriting the policy. And we would like to change our portfolio that way. Page 22, please, overseas insurance and reinsurance. I repeat that it is a growth driver. And geographical expansion, disciplined underwriting and the expansion of AUM that we will bring about further growth. Jim is here with us today, and please ask questions to him. And when he became the CEO, when there is an M&A as one option. But it depends on market conditions and the counterparts. And so the important thing is to what we work on this the organic growth that we need to work on. And so that should be a basis. But if there are chances out there and if there is a good target with a nice fit in terms of the strategy and culture, and we would like to implement some M&As well. Page 23, for overseas insurance. ROE, 13% or more and a CAGR of 10% growth for the adjusted profit and the E/I combined ratio, low 90%. Next is Page 24, regarding Sompo wellbeing, in short because the categorization of business, it is people-centered. It is -- we would like to evolve it into a business that is centered around people. We would like to accompany our customers throughout their life and with the hope of people that they want to continue to be healthy, we would like to support them through this business. In order to do so, we would like to focus on the silicon connect with customers and deliver connected services, connected data, connect services and connect our businesses. At the same time, we would like to be connected deeply with our customers for a long time. And we would like to also be connected with our partner companies. And for well-being, what do we want to accomplish through the well-being business in the aging society? There were 3 concerns that people feel regarding their health expectancy, life expectancy as well as whether they can receive nursing care, as well as finances after their retirement. So towards their concerns, we would like to ensure that we provide solutions that directly address their concerns. Next page, please, Page 25, please. So through our insure health services, for those customers, who are interested in health, we have about 1.7 million Insure Health contracts in place right now. And there is a mechanism that will enable customers to become healthier so that they can become increasingly healthy. So we have a mechanism accounted for in our product that will support this in our nursing care business as well with low birth rates and aging society and with the supply and demand gap in nursing care, that's likely to expand even more. We don't want to sacrifice quality, but also would like to enhance productivity by using data and extend heartful nursing care services. So this is what we're already doing. Having said that, when it comes to well-being, when we want to accompany our customers over their lifetime, what we have felt is there are a variety of missing pieces. So organically and inorganically, we would like to fill the gaps through the well-being business. For example, the customer base. At Himawari Life, there's about 1.7 million Insure Health policies. We would like to double this or triple this. We would like to offer services that extend people's -- support people's health, and we would like to widen the categories we are able to address. And for those people, who want to become healthier, we would like to have a mechanism that will cause behavioral change. And also, for nursing care, it's not just now, but looking out into 10 years' time or 20 years' time, for those people that may require nursing care down the road, we would like to create a business model so that they could feel assured to receive nursing care services to address these challenges, the well-being business will address these challenges in the next 3 years. Thoroughly, we are thinking about a variety of measures right now. And when it becomes visible and when we are able to share it with you, we would like to share the details. Please turn to Page 27. It's about promoting capital circulation. Of course, we do believe that we have focused on this around the past, but we would like to optimize the group even more so that capital efficiency, a high capital efficiency areas are that -- can be the areas of focus, where we transfer our capital to. So in principle, the remittance ratio was set at 100%, so that we can flexibly promote capital circulation through this structure. Please turn to Page 28, where we talk about risk reduction. I talked about this earlier as well. But during the medium-term management plan, JPY 600 billion will be the minimum target and reducing strategic holding stocks. We will be having communication with the issuers, and we believe this is very important. Therefore, going forward, we will strengthen communication and accelerate communication with the issuers so that we can flexibly take risks. And if we come across growth opportunities, we would like to ensure that, that opportunity can be captured. And if necessary, accelerate our efforts in risk reduction. Please turn to Page 29. So in display, through risk reduction, how are we going to allocate our group capital? So briefly, simply put, first is for organic growth, whether it would be for the overseas underwriting business or domestic P&C business. Portfolio reform will be done in a data-driven way so that we could do better underwriting. And for the risks we would like to take, we would like to proactively allocate capital. And for M&A opportunities, we would like to engage in opportunities in a disciplined way so that we can enhance our corporate value. That is our belief. So disciplined M&A will be the assumption. But in overseas, in order to regionally expand. And in order to acquire new capabilities, we would like to pursue opportunities. So like I mentioned earlier, well-being extending people's healthy lifespan as well as removing concerns around nursing care, we would like to acquire pieces or services that we don't have. And we would like to acquire those businesses through M&A. And furthermore, from a group-wide point of view, we would like to invest into talent, personnel as well as digital, which we believe are very important investment areas. Please turn to Page 30. So here's our investment strategy. Up until now, we talked about the conglomerate premium to transfer capital take on credit risk overseas in turn, this time around in the midterm plan. In particular, there are no major changes, but it's about accumulating our AUM and on a group-wide basis, take optimal risks. From that point of view, we believe that risks that can be taken are -- there is still more space to take on more risk. So next page is about human capital investment. We sell intangible products, whether it would be health care or P&C or life insurance. And it's each and every one of our employees that offer these products and services. So we would like the expertise of our people to be enhanced. And in order to do so, we would like to -- we created a fund that is worth JPY 30 billion to invest into human capital. So we are in the process of reducing strategically owned shares, and we are going to revise our strategies on seconding our employees so that we can differentiate through our core business, meaning mainly through underwriting. We would like to look at areas like disaster prevention, and we believe we need more talent to have the expertise. And for well-being. There is a world that we haven't yet seen. In aging society, the services we provide, the talent that support this business needs to be acquired or developed. And also in the future, Sompo P&C and well-being across businesses and beyond borders, when we want to create a new type of business structure, we will be addressing a variety or a diverse range of cultures and languages. We need a base to mutually understand each other even better. So from that perspective, we would like to invest into the [ E/I ] as well and also have a training around it. We will be preparing more opportunities. So the purposes the employee and the company, we want both to be able to develop together. That is the environment we would like to provide. Page 32, please, where we talk about data and digital strategy. This is an area, where I have personally a strong passion about. I do believe it's very important up until now. We're better underwritings. We have been using Palantir's foundry, and we have been using these services in disaster prevention related areas. However, in short, what we want to achieve in the next 3 years is we would like all of our employees to feel the impact of digital transformation. So that's how much I would like to elevate our employee base too because we have Palantir. And because we have ABEJA that we have edgy state-of-the-art technologies that have different corporate cultures compared to us. They are our peers. Therefore, there are -- there's many much to learn from them. And by using their solutions, we believe we could offer new values to our customers in the data and digital strategy, these are the measures we would like to implement. Page 33, please. Here is the shareholder return policy, so basically, through profit growth. We would like to increase our returns. That is the basis of our policy. And to investors and shareholders, we would like to enhance your visibility so that 50% of gains on sales of strategic shareholdings, 50% of that will be included as additional return. And if we have also reduced the ESR target range from 270% to 250% accounting for EPS growth as well as higher ROE. And with this, we would like to achieve our commitments by fiscal '26. The next page talks about governance. In all of the businesses, we would like to ensure that we steadily are able to make progress and as we do so, governance reinforcement is important. In Japan, there has been many challenges. And regarding governance issues, they have been pointed out. In light of this, we have been implementing a variety of measures. But simply put, one is having independent eyes are extremely important at the, of course, the holdings level and also at Sompo Japan level. At the holdings level, an independent director, Mr. Higashi, has started to serve as the Chair of the Board of Directors meeting. And for Sompo Japan, we have established independent directors. And in order to separate supervision as well as execution, I am the Chair of the BOD. And we also have -- regarding communication between Holdings and Sompo Japan, we have seriously taken into account the feedback we got about the communication challenges. Therefore, there are now more people that are concurrently serving do all positions, and we don't have individual rooms. We are currently changing the layout of the floor so that the executives of both companies can be on the same floor and don't have private rooms. So in this, by implementing these measures, we would like to pursue our efforts to regain trust. On the next page, I'm not going to go through each and every item here regarding recurrence prevention measures. We don't want to leave everything to the executives, but on a regular basis, at the BOD, we would like to support the measures and keep them in check. And Sompo Holdings, which is the holding's company that same thing applies update will be provided regularly to the Board of Directors meeting so that it can be confirmed. Regarding industry rules, there has been meetings by experts that is progressing. But as the Sompo Group, we would like to be -- try to be a step ahead and not just wait so that we, regarding rules and practices industry, can be at the forefront and making changes. On Page 36. For -- in order to continue our business, we believe this is a big premise. And therefore, for ESG, we have been creating a road map so that we continue to make progress. And we believe we will continue to make steady progress as a commitment to society. So last page is Page 37. So in the new midterm management plan, in order to make steady progress on the plan. And so that profitability can sustainably grow and so that ROE and EPS can increase and capital cost can be reduced. By making these efforts, we would like to focus on enhancing corporate value over a sustainable period. And currently, JPY 3 trillion is our market cap, which we would like to eventually raise to JPY 6 trillion. We hope that you can support us down the road, and we hope you can have high expectations towards the Sompo Group. Thank you very much.

Unknown Executive

executive
#2

Now, we would like to entertain your questions. Mr. Muraki from SMBC Nikko.

Masao Muraki

analyst
#3

This is Masao Muraki from SMBC Nikko. First question is about domestic, or the P&C and the question is about overseas insurance, especially the allocation of the capital. On Page 42, you talk about improved profitability and [ 42 ] the sales reform. So you have been focused on top line and you're emphasizing the shift from that focus in terms of corporate culture. And how do you recognize the issues for the Sompo Japan and could you please elaborate on how you are addressing that in this new plan? Second question is Page 50. As Mr. Okumura explained, so you allocate more capital for high-efficiency area. In the previous plan, that you transferred JPY 200 billion from Sompo Japan to overseas to take mainly credit risks. In this new plan, based on the Page 50, retrospectively, the overseas capital seems to increase by JPY 200 billion to JPY 300 billion. But also, you are talking about increasing underwriting in Europe as well. So how much capital are you going to use for overseas business and to get how much of the business? And how much of the improvement in profit do you expect? So for Ishikawa-san for the domestic P&C and for overseas, Hamada-san, for capital allocation and business strategy by JI'm.

Mikio Okumura

executive
#4

Starting with domestic P&C, FY 2024 in complying the business plan, there are -- the things became clear what we have to do. As I mentioned earlier in my presentation, even if we take the [ action ] right now, if there is a long contract, we might not be able to see effect within this fiscal year. That said, for automobile insurance, loss cost is increasing, labor cost is increasing. And of course, we needed to reduce cost. But that is with the good pricing and the rate increases. And in addition, the new work style and other measures should be taken. And Ishikawa-san is going to explain about that later. As to overseas. Actually, if there are opportunities to take new risks, then we can always allocate capital for that. But when we were developing a business plan, we are going to use the existing capital to its full for the add-on branding. And for the investment side, we can act on investment activities with the current capital. But of course, when we reduce risks, including selling the strategically held shares, we will generate some capital and we do not want to hesitate to allocate capital for new opportunities. Ishikawa-san. Could you please talk about domestic P&C.

Koji Ishikawa

executive
#5

Yes. First, the current situation facing Sompo Japan or the industry as a whole. First of all, the practices in the industry, we need to break away from that. And that is the biggest theme for us. And based on the problems that happened, we would like to implement measures to regain trust, and that is the Sompo Japan status. As of the end of the current midterm plan, we are going to have very unique and resilient company. And for that, we have SJ-R. The 2 aspects for SJ-R, first, financial the effect and their initiatives to make that happen. First, the portfolio reform and sales reform and as pointed out by the authorities, claims services and the reform. And also pointed out by the authorities and outside the committee, [ Contra ] governance and the talent development and the data-driven. Of course, some of them might not directly lead to the immediate effect, but we are going to work on reforming business foundation as well. So the earnings and the other business, the foundation of reform that will be the key for SJ-R. As Mr. Okumura said, FY 2026 at the end of this new plan, we are going to achieve 8% of ROE and based combined ratio, 95%. For portfolio reform, what is it?

Unknown Executive

executive
#6

There are 3 concepts prepared. The profitability, stability and agility. As to profitability, in the past, we were doing segment-wise control. Pricing, underwriting, reform were done in the past as well. But here, we are talking about strengthening those initiatives. In the past, underwriting policy by policy or for the whole business line, rates were changed. So our initiatives tend to be extreme. But now we are going to divide low efficiency and high efficiency areas. And for both of them, we are going to improve profitability. And we have been focused on top line and that pushed down profitability. And the second element is stability. As you know, the biggest risk driver is Typhoon for domestic business. The more fire policies you write the more -- the risk amounts increased. And here we'd like to control risks. For example, the exclusion and the exclusion of the flood and the typhoon risks, and we would like to control the sides of the business line. And for the agility, reflecting on the previous plan, the environment changed significantly because of inflation. And even when we changed the rates, because of the existence of long-term contracts, we could not see the effects immediately. Automobile or fire insurance which has many long-term contracts, and we -- by reducing the ratio of such contract that we can strike a better balance, and that is the main body for the portfolio reform. And supporting all that, the corporate culture of Sompo Japan should be changed. Thank you. So capital allocation, Mr. Hamada. And then the business strategy for overseas business by Jim, starting with Hamada-San.

Masahiro Hamada

executive
#7

I'm Hamada, CFO. On Page 50, overseas ROE. I'd like to explain about that. And when you look 13.1% for '23. And more than 13% for 2026. So it seems that the ROE is not really improving with these 2 numbers. As Mr. Okumura said, the remittance, in other words, remittance from business to the holdings is in principle 100%. So we collected at holdings and allocate it in a flexible manner. Up until we decide what we are going to use it, Holdings doesn't have any asset management function. So whether we are going to use it overseas or at home, it's not decided yet. So in practice, in reality, the remittance will be 60% of the profit. And the remaining 40% is going to be held at Sompo International to manage that asset. The [ ECR ] 160% is the minimum target for overseas. And the balance sheet has an abundant capital. So as a result, ROE doesn't seem like they're improving. But with 100% remittance, about 16% of ROE is achieved when the remittance rate becomes 100. So Jim, about other growth -- other strategy?

Unknown Executive

executive
#8

Just to clarify your question, was it about the growth strategy in Europe or the capitalization of the European legal entity?

Masao Muraki

analyst
#9

I think, Europe is just one example. I want to make sure which area or which products are you looking for as growth. Page 50 shows I think that, from the Page 50, you're a part [ CV ] the biggest contribution. So that's the reason why I just mentioned the Europe.

Unknown Executive

executive
#10

Yes. So I think when you look at the footprint of Sompo International, the vast majority of the business came from Global Reinsurance, the United States and London. And I specifically did not say the U.K. And so we see opportunities to invest and grow in other parts of the U.K. outside of London. We see opportunities to continue to expand in offices in the United States, which have micro markets that we don't participate in today. But you are correct. The vast majority of where we see the organic growth coming from is Continental Europe. We have an opportunity to participate in one of the -- in some of the largest commercial insurance P&C markets in the world. In Germany and France, we've opened offices in Spain, Switzerland and Italy. And we see a real opportunity because we're starting from such a very small base, is historical, we've only serviced Japanese interests abroad. And so we see the opportunity to grow in the European marketplace. The second one is in Canada, which is the seventh largest P&C marketplace. And so we had no presence there other than servicing a handful of Japanese interest to broad account. From a product perspective, we'll continue to see growth in the reinsurance, but you've seen our reduction in the dependency on the Cat Business has declined. We see opportunities depending on the market. And so right now, we see increased rates coming out of the United States in the casualty liability area as well as property. We'll wait and see what happens in the remainder of this year in terms of activities, but we foresee that, that rate environment will continue for at least through this year, and if not into next year.

Unknown Executive

executive
#11

The next person is Watanabe-san from Daiwa Securities.

Kazuki Watanabe

analyst
#12

This is Watanabe from Daiwa Securities. Regarding shareholder return, I have 2 questions from separate angles. One is about recurring profit. Page 63, when look at that page. Adjusted EPS had its definition before and after IFRS introduction looks the same. But when you look at Page 4 and Page 8 and compare the 2 slides, adjusted EFS, it looks like it's up by JPY 30. So what is this difference? And also on Page 33, the new policy status. After IFRS adjusted consolidated profit on a 3-year average will be used. So '23, '24, '25 IFRS average EFS. And then profits post profit, is that going to be added on? That's my first question. Also on Page 33, from a stock point of view. 250% is the new target for ESR. So for the 250%, if you exclude this, specifically, how is your return policy is going to change? So can you walk us through this one more time?

Unknown Executive

executive
#13

Thank you, Watanabe-san. So regarding pre- and post-IFRS introduction, our CFO, Mr. Hamada will explain. And for ESR, the range will be reduced. And if constantly we see ourselves exceed ESRs, we would -- Hamada-san will also explain about this. I didn't really understand your first question. Were you talking about Page 63? And are you comparing with Page 4?

Kazuki Watanabe

analyst
#14

On Page 63, you talk about post-IFRS adjusted profit and compare the 2, and they look the same IFRS net income, IFRS adjusted profit. And then when you look at Page 8 for JPY 293 is fiscal year '23 and IFRS, EPS is JPY 325. So it looks like it's boosted by JPY 32. So why is it boosted by this amount? Is there a factor supporting this?

Unknown Executive

executive
#15

Well, under the new medium-term management plan, the ultimate targets are stated under IFRS standards, but the original FY '23 results as well as our outlook for fiscal '24 is on a current standard basis. So that is why it's a little bit hard to understand and apologies for that. So first, going to Page 63. And the financial statements at [ Tanshin ], when we announced our financial results, the other week, we're going to be switching over from fiscal '25, probably 1 year ahead of our peers when we switch over to IFRS. So we're running all of these estimates. And as seen on Page 63, for adjusted profit, it says there is an X there. So we will look at IFRS net income, and we will look at the changes from the financial market. And we're deciding what to put in and what to put out. So after we go to IFRS net income, it's completely different from the current adjusted profit. And after IFRS, the profit levels should be boosted and that's a general thing. So yes, the ultimate target should be greater. For example, for ROE, fiscal '23 results were 9.2%. But on an IFRS basis, it is 11.8%. So the numbers get better basically slightly. Next, after IFRS and shareholder return, the total return payout on about the average 3-year question. First shall we turn Page 33. At the bottom, there's a footnote. So we're talking about next fiscal year onwards. So that's why it's in small letters at the bottom. So from various angles, we are analyzing the IFRS numbers. But as often said, the volatility will become greater. And as volatility becomes greater, it's more about offering productivity and engaging in shareholder return. And that is why we want the average numbers on a 3-year basis because we will be reducing volatility by announcing adjusted profit. But even so, we have set our targets at average of at least 3 years. But regarding the details of the impact of IFRS, we will be giving out those details from next fiscal year. And at that moment, we will be going through our shareholder return policy one more time. And finally, the maximum of our target range, we are reducing it to 250%. And from our point of view, it required a lot of effort to reach this level. It's based off our determination to raise our ROE and that is why we reduced the target range for ESR to 250%. And ESR as of end of fiscal '23 was 251%. It has already exceeded the upper limit of the new target range in light of the recent financial market. So we would like to have some more buffer. However, at the interim period, this fiscal year, we are simulating that it may reach close to 260%. So the upper limit -- will enable us to enhance ROE and to reduce the denominator. So and what we are we going to offer shareholder return? Is it going to be through share buybacks or increased dividends. I think that was the point you were trying to get out through your question. And from this medium-term management plan, we will be focusing more on EPS growth. Therefore, we are assuming that it will be additional share buybacks. However, we will also look at what our peers are doing, and we will also listen to you through the communication we have to see whether we should do dividend increases or share buybacks. But right now, we're thinking more of share buybacks.

Kazuki Watanabe

analyst
#16

One thing I would like to confirm is regarding 50% of the gains from strategic shareholdings, are you going to be allocating that return on a single year basis?

Unknown Executive

executive
#17

That is true. Yes, correct. So in my head,. When I said share buybacks means, it's basic return where it's not dividends as well as 50% of gains on sales of strategic holding stocks. As well as capital adjustment when we exceed 250% in ESR. So there's 3 forms of buybacks..

Unknown Executive

executive
#18

Thank you, Watanabe-san. JPMorgan, Sato-san, please.

Koki Sato

analyst
#19

I'm Sato from JPMorgan. I have 2 questions. I think, it is getting harder -- difficult to talk in comparison with the peers, but at the same time, the P&C, the 3 major 3 companies announced their results. And I think it is understandable that the domestic -- the profitability goes down. But as to dividend increase compared to other 2 peers, has been slower and also reduction in pace in strategic shareholding, the JPY 600 billion at least over 3 years, that pace compared to the peers, it looks a bit slow. So looking at what our peers are doing, are you going to do some catch-ups in these points? That's my first question. Second question, I would like to ask a question about overseas business. On Page 54, you talk about business ratio -- loss ratio, expense ratio and loss ratio. So the forecast combined ratio 2026, 93.8%. This level, do you think this is a comfortable level, 93.8%? Because in the previous plan, the target was 88%. By increasing retention you wanted to improve profitability, I understand. And of course, there are some external factors, including inflation. So 93.8% combined ratio, do you think that the -- is this -- this is a sustainable level? Or in the midterm, you are going to aim at less than 90%. So this is 93.8%, it's just a milestone.

Unknown Executive

executive
#20

Sato-san, thank you for the question. As to your first question, we need to think about different factors. And of course, I think that we need to accelerate because our peers are doing more. Of course, that is one of the factors that we need to think about. But at the same time, communication with the issuers is very important. For the corporate governance code from the capital return basis, we were thinking that it's good to have those shares. But 2023, we thought that we need to reduce the level of strategic shares. And we need to explain about that to the issuers and of course, there are market conditions, business conditions and what is our growth strategy. And we'd like to see a good timing in a flexible way. So for Sompo Japan people, although we would like to say that we need to have more communication. We are committed to JPY 600 billion reduction. And we know that compared to the peers, it's rather slow. Some people say. And as to your second question, I would like to have [ Jim ] to answer the other question. And for the previous plan, though we saw that the combined ratio will continuously improve. But the market cycles inflation and post-COVID era, in compiling this plan, we had various discussions. And this business plan here is very realistic and reasonable, I think, from the supervisory point of view, I don't know that I would like to ask Jim too that how he thinks about it. I'm sorry. Yes, please. About the dividend in comparison with the peers, our dividend, EPS growth. We increased our EPS. FY 2024, unfortunately, although we start with decrease in profit. But over 3 years, EPS growth is expected to be more than 12%. So from JPY 100 to JPY 112 for EPS growth. And by using sales gains from the strategic held shares, we would like to increase under DPS. And Watanabe-san asked the question as well, we are focusing on EPS and buyback. But with the -- in the dialogue with you and if we think that the DPS would be appropriate, then it is possible that we increased DPS furthermore. And as to strategically held shares, as Mr. Okumura said, we had lots of discussions. On Page 28, under the JPY 600 billion, we said that we are going to accelerate the pace. So we are committed to JPY 600 billion. But ESR upper limit of 250%, and we are going to look at the investment opportunities and potential investment opportunities. This JPY 600 billion is the minimum, and we might accelerate the pace of the reduction. Jim, please.

Unknown Executive

executive
#21

Thank you for your question. Well, before I would look at 2023 and realized that this was a Cat year that was less than what we would normally plan. So if you look at the planned period, we plan for the Cat losses to be normalized. And so this reflects a reduction in the attritional and the large losses, non-cat losses. Secondly, I believe we are entering a softening market. We've seen this cycle last probably longer than in prior cycles. And so it is prudent to assume that we're going to see rate reductions. And so it will be a question of an underwriting strategy to make sure we maintain the right risks at the right price. So I believe this is realistic. I believe it does reflect a continuous focus on underlying loss ratio, excluding Cat, but keep in mind, it does normalize for the Cats going forward. To your comment on the [ 88% ] combined, in addition to that was the target, I don't -- I believe when that target was set. We hadn't acquired the larger AgriSompo business. and AgriSompo business traditionally runs around 95%. And so given its size, it did increase the pressure on the combined ratio post the plan. And secondly, we didn't plan on the organic investments that we discussed in the expansion, and that reflected about 2 points, almost 2 points on the expense and combined ratio. So I think we came fairly close and whether when you normalize for things that we could foresee and couldn't foresee. But I do think going forward, it's achievable, but a good combined ratio as the market declines.

Koki Sato

analyst
#22

As to strategic shareholdings, I need a slow clarification on Page 28. JPY 1.8 trillion of balance and also JPY 200 billion. For this fiscal year, I think the holding or retirement benefits and trust that is included. And I think that, that is not recorded as the company gains. During the new plan, new management plan, I think that we are talking about JPY 100 billion or so the deemed amount. Right to understand that the sales gains would not be so big for the size of the actual amount to be sold. As to retirement benefit to trust, the strategically held shares included in retirement benefit trust is in the scope of reduction plan, but the size and other factors are not to be disclosed. Thank you for your understanding.

Operator

operator
#23

So next person is Sakamaki-san from Mizuho Securities.

Naruhiko Sakamaki

analyst
#24

Sakamaki from Mizuho Securities. I have 2 questions. The first question is regarding inorganic investment opportunities. So basically, you are going to pursue organic growth in your plan. But before this meeting started when I looked at some interviews, inorganic investment opportunities overseas, it seems that the appetite is growing a little stronger. That's the impression I got. So regarding this appetite, is it actually stronger than before and also the risks associated with strategically-owned shares by reducing it, does that mean that you will be able to pursue greater acquisition opportunities. Can you give me some flavor on that? My second question is about the domestic P&C business and auto insurance and improving profitability. So ROE 8%, ROE -- the 8% -- ROE target is 8%. But how are you intending on improving profitability for the auto insurance business? Because you missed a round of price increases for this business, but in your midterm management plan, how much will you be able to catch up with your peers? That's the intent of my question.

Mikio Okumura

executive
#25

Thank you for your question, Sakamaki-san. So for inorganic opportunities, whether it would be overseas or well-being. That is what we are mainly thinking about and pursuing these opportunities, for overseas in the previous midterm management plan. A certain degree of inorganic growth funds or capital, there was a budget in place. But this time around, because we are going to accelerate our efforts to sell down strategically held stocks, different scale may be possible. Of course, there are no specific deals like company A or B. However, reviewing our list as well as -- and expanding our short list of targets is what we are working on as we speak. However, for underwriting as well as when it comes to corporate values. We need to have a good fit or else, I don't think M&A is desirable. So compared to the previous midterm management plan, we would like to widen the scope to look at M&A opportunities. So that's the answer to your first question. If Jim has anything to add, please go ahead.

Unknown Executive

executive
#26

Reiterate what Okumura-san said, we meet with investment bankers regularly. We look at virtually every opportunity that comes to market. And so we weigh how does it complement our existing portfolio. Is it redundant with some of our portfolio and looking at, I think that over the past 3 years, the price to value and opportunities were very slim. But we do focus on a regular basis. Thank you.

Unknown Executive

executive
#27

And for domestic auto and specific measures, Mr. Ishikawa will speak about it. But as you rightly pointed out, for rate increases, we skipped around. And during that time, labor cost as well as increased and we also have been impacted by inflation. So we do need to engage in rate increases. And we also talked about becoming more flexible and reviewing the term of our policies and how we're going to adjust that is something we continue to have discussions on. So Ishikawa-san, would you like to add anything?

Koji Ishikawa

executive
#28

Like you rightly pointed out, due to inflation, repair average cost has been increasing and due to more traffic, we have been seeing more accidents or losses. So that's where we are with the auto business. And in addition to that, it was last month, I believe, when it comes to hail, secondary [ parables ] of that nature, those incidents have also been affecting the profitability of the auto business. As Mr. Okumura explained, we passed on the revisions in January. So we are currently trying to make adjustments. And for 2025 January, we are targeting that timing to increase our rates. So by revising our products and by doing more micro segmentation, we would like to ensure we are planning to do those types of revisions. And by implementing these measures by the end of '26, we would like to reduce the combined ratio to below 100%. That's all for me.

Operator

operator
#29

Thank you, Mr. Sakamaki. Sasaki-san from Nomura Securities on the website. And then followed by Majima-san from Tokai Tokyo Intelligence Lab.

Futoshi Sasaki

analyst
#30

This is Sasaki from you hear me?

Operator

operator
#31

Yes, we can.

Futoshi Sasaki

analyst
#32

On Page 4. I'd like to understand the graphs here. [ In first ] basis FY 2023, JPY 325 EPS. So here, we are talking about JPY 320 billion of profit for '26, 2026. Then that will be at JPY 450 billion of the profit at the level. In 2026, am I right to understand that way. And for this fiscal year, adjusted the profit goes down temporarily. But on the right-hand side on Page 4, 2024 FY, the bar graph goes down a little bit. But then in F 2025, the bar graph will jump up. Making a steepy line from 2024. Mr. Hamada, please?

Masahiro Hamada

executive
#33

Sasaki-san, thank you. From this fiscal -- from this plan, we stopped to have the actual amount as target. So on EPS ratio are shown here to -- as the JPY 450 billion or so level, as Sasaki-san mentioned, I would say a little bit lower than that. So the denominator will be smaller. And as a result, CAGR would be more than 12%. In other pages, both for domestic P&C or overseas insurance business. CAGR, 10% or more than 10%. So the yard stick number is that the other 10% CAGR profit aggregation year-on-year and through share buyback denominator will be smaller by 2% to 3%. And the result is shown here on this Page 4. And as to domestic P&C business, you're right. FY 2024, it dips a little bit and '25 and '26, we expect the significant increase in profit. More than 50% comes from automobile and Fire and Allied pricings and 30% from SJ-R additional effect, roughly speaking, that is the picture.

Futoshi Sasaki

analyst
#34

Understood. Second question is Page 21. I would like to understand this graph. For domestic P&C profitability. So this year is the bottom. And next year and after next, will go up sharply through various measures I understand. And in that process, what is the pace of rate increases or frequency? For example, how to deal with the right number of other corporate-related other fire insurance. Maybe you would like to discontinue unprofitable the policies and how much rate increases are expected. Could you please elaborate on that point? The drivers for the improvement of the Sompo Japan, could you please plainly explain about them as much as possible?

Unknown Executive

executive
#35

Sasaki-san, thank you. For the domestic P&C. As Mr. Ishikawa said, the rate increases for automobile and for Fire and Allied, in the previous plan, we worked on the improvement of the profitability, but still we need to go further. We need to take more measures. And for the corporate side, commercial side, there are some urgent matters to address through stronger underwriting that we need to deal with that. So Ishikawa-san, could you please explain about the more detailed schedule.

Koji Ishikawa

executive
#36

The growth driver for the new plan, new midterm management plan. One of the factors is portfolio reform, as I mentioned earlier, and that includes automobile and the fire insurance rate increases and the impact coming from that. The biggest effect is for the automobile insurance and the fire insurance product revision and October for the fire and for automobile, the January next year are the time line for the revision. And the effect coming from those revisions. And of course, it is very probable that we will see positive effects through good pricing. And now claims department is also reforming itself to improve productivity and at the same time, adequate benefit payout and we need a mechanism to do that. Sompo Sigorta the Turkish entity. The approach there is being leveraged so that we can improve productivity of claims department. So pricing plus claims sections, improved productivity or combined ratio, the vis-a-vis FY 2023, 4 percentage point improvement from 295%. As to ROE, the [ others ] denominator, namely capital allocation and risk reduction. So ROE 8% is to be achieved by the end of 2026.

Futoshi Sasaki

analyst
#37

If possible, could you please share with us your way of thinking? So the P&C companies are selling the strategic shareholdings and they will not engage in excessive the collaboration with outside entities. So I think that would change a relationship between insurance companies and the other business corporations. Do you have that in your mind? And do you think that will have any effect on the top line? Such potential changes are reflected in this new plan? That is my follow-up question.

Unknown Executive

executive
#38

Well, I think Ishikawa-san has the direct feel about that because he visits those corporate clients to be a normal insurance company without relying on excessive support because of the strategic shareholdings relationships. I think that we will go that way. It's a frequently asked question. Based on my experience working overseas, our own risk appetite or underwriting principles are the first -- and then the capacity that we can use for our customers or coverage that we can provide to our clients. I think each insurance company has to think about that to allocate capital or to launch products. The Japanese market is kind of Galapagos Islands that isolated from the rest of the world. And we needed to change that. As I mentioned earlier, without waiting for the results of the discussions of expert's panel, we need to step forward. And for that, of course, we need to develop the talents for underwriting and the operational aspects so that we can really support our customers. We have a good example the Sompo International is like commercial. And for the retail side, this got us adequate the claims management system. And we are going to introduce that into Japan as well. Ishikawa-san, any supplementary comments?

Koji Ishikawa

executive
#39

Yes. At this moment, I think it goes without saying. That the expertise of insurance or technology associated with insurance that will be the factor for people and companies to choose an insurance company. The commercial practice or any changes on the front line, the excessive support that will be gone, but that is not reflected and planned at this moment at specific numerical effects. But for example, the auction, the underwriting, the criteria changes and coinsurance, we'll see some changes. Because of these changes, we will be feeling some impacts, but not just us, the whole industry that will be impacted. And as Mr. Okumura said, the [ harness ] in our work is how to develop and improve the expertise, skills. And we said that we are going to set aside JPY 30 billion to develop the skills of our talent. So that in the commercial area, we'd like to win over the peers because of better professionality.

Operator

operator
#40

Thank you, Mr. Sasaki. So going back to the room from Tokai Tokyo Intelligence Lab, Mr. Majima, please.

Tatsuo Majima

analyst
#41

This is Majima from Tokai Tokyo. First question is about the organization. In 1 magazine, your company as well as -- and there was some fraud related to this article. And the magazine was saying that there should be some signs that appear prior to not occurring. And when you are engaged in management, you probably are not focusing as much on execution. But in the past year or two, have you been identifying any signs? And because of the development of AI lately, it is able to do a diagnosis on corporates lately. So for your company by leveraging AI, for example, I'm sure that you have implemented AI already. So trying to manage signs before something happens, would you be interested in applying AI for that purpose. Secondly, for auto insurance, you were stopped talking about improving the profitabilities hard because there's a lot of long-term contracts, but the people who sell vehicles, their agents often sell long-term policies. And of course, single year contracts are better. For those who sell vehicles want to engage in longer-term policies, I think that's the conflict of interest. But is it possible to make duration shorter?

Mikio Okumura

executive
#42

Thank you very much for your question, Majima-san. Regarding the first question, I would like to answer that question first. And then regarding digital utilization. Mr. Narasaki will take that question. And for auto insurance, Mr. Ishikawa will respond. So regarding the series of fraud that occurred, and we received business improvement orders twice and it was the first time in our corporate history that this has happened. From a Holding point of view as well as from Sompo Japan's point of view, we believe that our organization was rather homogeneous. So personally, including myself, I think I did have a status quo bias. We were always thinking it should be okay. And based of our value set, things should be this way. We had a strong mentality in that regard. So that is something we regret. And for -- like I mentioned, under corporate governance, sorting out the various rules and regulations and being able to have employees speak out and escalate issues is important. This is an obvious thing we need to do. And also, we need to compare ourselves amongst common sense in society. And that is why we need to promote DEI internally. And at the management level, having an outside eye through independent directors is something we need to leverage more of. So it's not just one single thing. It's about incorporating a number of measures so that we could detect signs that are not good at the work site level at an early stage. And we had a mechanism before where the issues were not being escalated but we would like to ensure that we have a corporate culture that will enable people to speak out as well as nurture a corporate culture that will facilitate this. Regarding digital, Mr. Narasaki, do you have anything to speak about.

Koichi Narasaki

executive
#43

I am the CDO. My name is Narasaki. Thank you for your question. Just to add a few comments to Mr. Okumura's comments, for AI, including LLM, amongst our peers, we do believe that when it comes to putting it into practice, we are quite set ahead. So we are proud of that. So regarding organizational structure or management or risks and managing that, meaning we are not able to do that overnight with [ AI ] to detect early signs of something happening. So that means that AI cannot substitute the management of the company. But having said that, regarding mistakes or risks in our operations, of course, we are able to run a side check or back check by leveraging AI. And we have been doing so already by a certain degree. But with SJ-R, along with what we're going to be doing with SJ-R, we would like to put more AI into practice. So operational processes, if there are any mistakes or we would like to address them, and we would like to reduce the amount of rework through automation as well as to refine our system so that we can avoid people doing over time and instead have AI do the work on their behalf. So that's my response regarding your question on AI. So for Palantir, it is now more of an AI company rather than a data analysis company. But by leveraging Palantir, we are -- we have been working on improving underwriting profitability. JPY 12.5 billion is the actual financial reported as well as accounting-based numbers or the impact we've been seeing over the course of the past 3 years in total. So that's how much productivity gains we have been able to see. So we have been applying Palantir to other lines of business now. So it might not be answering your question directly, but we are focused on enhancing productivity as well as making our operations more efficient. And we would like to continue to leverage AI leading the industry. So this is an effort which will be ongoing. Thank you. In addition to that, for anomalies and detecting them at an early stage, we will be doing that through our operational processes in underwriting as well as claims payment. We would like to incorporate the power of digital. So Mr. Ishikawa, please.

Koji Ishikawa

executive
#44

For auto insurance and your question about long-term contracts or policies. So like I mentioned earlier, when there is a long-term policy, from a flexibility standpoint, rate increases, there is a time lag until we're able to see that impact materialize. And regarding the necessity of long-term policies, we do believe it is important by a certain degree because of housing loans as well as car inspection systems. And also regarding the distribution channel, we need to look at its attributes. And that is the reason why we have been selling long-term policies in the past. For auto, approximately 60% is long term and for fire 90% of the policies are long term. Therefore... How are we going to do about the change is something. But for example, automatic policy renewals are new types of products we're starting to offer. And also reducing the amount of long-term policies. It's not going to just tap in superficially, but the one-year products. We want to offer services that will make the customers feel that coverage is better and the services you receive in single year policy is better. By developing those types of products, we would like to be chosen by the customer base. So that is the kind of product development we would like to engage in. Thank you.

Operator

operator
#45

Thank you, Mr. Majima. It is coming to the end of this meeting. Last question from Mr. Niwa of Citigroup Securities.

Koichi Niwa

analyst
#46

Koichi Niwa from Citigroup Securities. Look at cap and ROE. On Page 37, JPY 6 trillion of market cap. Could you please elaborate on that? I mean how strongly are you sticking to this number? What is the formula behind this JPY 6 trillion. And also, what is the time line to achieve this amount? And also, how strongly are you sticking to it? And for the other compensation scheme, how are you going to incorporate the shares or the market as KPI. And my second question is compared to the other global peers that you're going to target at the level of global peers. And that's what you've said in the meeting in February. The other 20% is the [ quiet ] zone, and it is coming up a little bit. Do you think that your plan is rather conservative? Or do you think that the actual effects of various measures, initiatives will come a bit late. Could you please evaluate your own -- or the related initiatives?

Unknown Executive

executive
#47

As to market cap, we are very sticky to this -- the [ sixth trading ] level. The PBR, less than 1 valuation. And from that point, I became part of the management. So the PBR 1 is just the milestone that we just pass on and to -- we need to satisfy definitely the expectation of the other market. And so we need to go beyond the PBR 1 on adjusted profit basis. So 13% to 14%, that is the milestone for the midterm. And as to -- in the context with global peers, different people might use different definitions, but the weight of the domestic business is rather big in our case. So -- and of course, there are risks there and there are differences in terms of risk-free rates. So it's not that other we can't go jump to 20% level overnight. So that's why we said on the midterm, maybe not in 3 years. But for example, in an area like well-being, if we have capital light business, generating a certain level of profit. Then [ PBR ] will change. And of course, that will change PBR as well. So that's what we expect. So mid- to long-term basis, even given the market differences, we would like to catch up with the global peers. Hamada-san any supplementary comments?

Unknown Executive

executive
#48

As to JPY 6 trillion net asset, JPY 4 trillion [ times 1.5 ] that's the formula. The PBR is still less than 1. So we need to do more. And ROE, of course, the key here is to improve kind of the domestic P&C business. As to ROE while we are thinking about the midterm plan over the past 1 year, since we are going to be based on [ IFRS ], we need to look at what other group of peers are doing. So the 15% that has been used as a benchmark. The whole market is getting better and 13% to 15% level. Simply put, without any investment in growth and only with organic growth, and discipline being respected, we can achieve 13%. And in addition, if we have M&A activities, then we will be able to reach 15% level. Given the current domestic situation, I think that is a stretch that we can make. As we repeatedly said, as main theme, the current domestic P&C, the various -- the pricings and fluctuations. And we are now at the trough. Year-after-year, we have the other natural disasters, and we have the COVID. And because of different factors, the actuals or less than the budgets and the overall level has come down a little bit. And the loss cost is increasing. And reference rates have been the weak point. So we need to work on long-term contracts, and we need to have more risk selections. So that's we need to change the actions first of all, through SJ-R and from FY 2027, when we are going to see full effect of those measures, we will be able to share better numbers.

Operator

operator
#49

Now as we have passed our given time, we would like to now conclude this meeting. If you have any additional questions, please contact our IR department. And for the respective businesses, the business CEOs will take an opportunity to speak about their strategies under the new midterm management plan on a separate day. We'd like to inform you accordingly. Thank you once again for attending today. [Statements in English on this transcript were spoken by an interpreter present on the live call.]

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