Steel Authority of India Limited (SAIL) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

November 16, 2023

National Stock Exchange of India IN Materials Metals and Mining earnings 49 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the Q2 FY '24 Earnings Conference Call of Steel Authority of India, hosted by Nuvama Wealth Management. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Ashish Kejriwal from Nuvama Wealth Management. Thank you, and over to you.

Ashish Kejriwal

analyst
#2

Thank you, Yashashsri. Good afternoon, everyone. On behalf of Nuvama Wealth Management, we are delighted to have Mr. Anil Tulsiani, Director of Finance, along with his team, for Q2 FY '24 conference call. Now I would request Mr. Tulsiani to have his opening remarks, and thereafter, we can open the floor for Q&A. Over to you, sir.

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#3

Thank you, Mr. Ashish. Good afternoon, everyone. Let me welcome all our investors and analysts who are joining this results con-call for the financial results of SAIL for the period Q2 FY '24 and H1 FY '24. Though the detailed results are already available on the website of the company and the stock exchanges, I would briefly apprise you on the same before we move to the question-and-answer session, where we would be happy to address your queries. Let me first apprise you on the economic scenario in which we have been operating. The global economy, which saw a sharp improvement in 2021 after the initial waves of COVID, was adversely impacted on account of multiple factors like the inflationary pressures and consequent tightening of the monetary policies, geopolitical situations leading to disruptions in supply chain, slowdown in major economies like China and Europe causing major imbalances in the global demand-supply, et cetera. The inflationary situation in 2023 has eased to an extent vis-a-vis 2022, but the decline has been gradual, leading to a growth rate rising moderately. There are projections of further decline in the inflation which is a sign of relief, although the rate is expected to remain gradual as the global economy continues to be impacted adversely due to the factors discussed earlier. International Monetary Fund in its latest World Economic Outlook of October '23 has projected a growth of 3% and 2.9% in 2023 and 2024, respectively, which is lower than the estimates of 3.5% for 2022. Now coming to the world steel scenario. In line with economic situation, the global steel scenario has seen its graph falling drastically after the phenomenal rise in 2022. In fact, the world's steel output during 9 months of the calendar year '23 has fallen by 0.1% over CPLY. The world's steel narrative cannot be complete without the mention of Chinese steel industry. China, after 2 straight years of decline in the crude steel production, is poised to improve upon its performance in the current calendar year. The growth during 9 months was 1.6% over CPLY. However, the worrying factor here is that despite this modest performance by the world's largest steel producer, its share in the global output has risen consistently and reached the pre-COVID levels of around 57%. This highlights the contraction of the performance by the rest of the world, barring isolated performances by India and a few other countries. However, the projections for steel demand points towards turnaround during 2023 and 2024, although again, a gradual recovery. World Steel Association in its Short Range Outlook published during October '23 has projected a growth of 1.8% and 1.9% during 2023 and 2024, respectively. Meanwhile, Indian economy continues to fare better than its counterpart and this has maintained relative stability in the domestic market. The Indian economy registered GDP growth of 7.2% in financial year '23 and 7.84% during Q1 of financial year '24, which has helped it maintain its position as one of the fastest growing amongst the major economies. At the same time, the economy has countered the forces of inflation better than the other economies by judicious use of increase in repo rates by the RBI. Indian steel industry has been one of the few to maintain a positive growth in both production and consumption of steel during financial year '23. The steel production grew by more than 5% and the consumption by more than 13%. During the current financial year as well, the increase in production and consumption has been in the range of 2%. The demand in India is projected to grow by 8.5% and 10.7% during the calendar year '23 and calendar year '24, respectively. The domestic industry has, however, felt the impact of volatility in the prices in line with the global trends. The coking coal prices, which had cooled in Q1 of financial year '24, are currently hovering in the range of USD 300 per tonne for hard coking coal and around $200 per tonne for PCI. The pricing of steel have also been operating in a narrow band due to pressures of imports of [indiscernible]. Coming to the performance of the company. SAIL has registered its best-ever second quarter physical performance during Q2 financial '24 -- financial year '24. The performance during the first half has also grown accordingly. Crude steel production during Q2 stood at 4.8 million tonne as against 4.3 million tonne in CPLY, a growth of 12%. Crude steel during H1 stood at 9.5 million tonne as against 8.6 million tonne in CPLY, a growth of 10%. Saleable steel production during Q2 stood at 4.8 million tonne as against 4.1 million tonne in CPLY, a growth of 17%. Saleable steel production during H1 stood at 9.2 million tonne as against 8.2 million tonne in CPLY, a growth of more than 12%. Sales volume during Q2 stood at 4.8 million tonne as against 4.2 MT in CPLY, a growth of more than 13%. Sales volumes during H1 stood at 8.7 million tonne as against 7.4 million tonne CPLY, a growth of more than 17%. Domestic sales during Q2 stood at 4.7 million tonne as against 4.1 million tonne in CPLY, a growth of more than 14%. The exports, however, declined to 0.07 million tonne from 0.11 million tonne in CPLY. Domestic sales during H1 grew by around 19% to reach 8.4 million tonne. On the financial front, the company registered a growth of 13% over CPLY in the sales turnover to stand at INR 29,560 crores during Q2 financial year '24, which is again the best ever Q2. The sales for H1 also are the highest recorded in any H1 ever. The improvement in the turnover was aided by the benefit of rail price revision for financial year '22 of about INR 1,750 crore, which was long overdue. There was consequent improvement in the profitability as the company turned back into black during Q2 financial year '24 compared to the loss during CPLY. The profit before and after tax during the quarter stood at INR 1,696 crores and INR 1,241 crores, respectively. H1 profit registered an improvement of more than 250% over CPLY despite taking the hit on account of liability under Vivad se Vishwas Scheme II of INR 415 crores. PBT and PAT during H1 stood at INR 1,898 crores and INR 1,390 crores compared to INR 523 crores and INR 391 crores, respectively in CPLY. In the area of operational efficiency, the company has been making steady progress for reducing coal, coke consumption, increasing the usage of CDI, bringing down the specific energy consumption and improving BF productivity. Continuing with the drive towards improving the product mix, the proportion of semis and saleable steel stood at less than 15%. By engaging conversion services in and around the plant -- demand sectors, the percentage share of semis in sales has been even lower at 8%. As a responsible corporate, we have been taking several measures for environment conservation over the years. Drives like zero liquid discharge, eco-restoration of areas, regions around the plants, mines, plantation of trees and saplings, use of alternate sources of energy like hydropower and solar power, et cetera, will continue as we move towards sustainable and green steel. The company has been engaged in numerous CSR activities across the country and primarily in the vicinity of our plants and units. The activities are undertaken in conformity with the Company's Act as well as the DPE guidelines. Going forward, the challenges from higher coking coal price during Q3 prevails, but gauging the current price trend, the cost should come down in Q4 financial year '24. With the outlook positive for a sustained growth in domestic consumption, we are hopeful of realizations and consequently, the margins will improve for the company in the quarters to come. Further, we are also expecting the benefit of revision and the provisional price of rails by the Indian Railways for the current supply. This will add straight to the top line as well as the bottom line of the company. With these words, I hand it back to Mr. Kejriwal for opening the Q&A session. I'm sure you all have a lot of queries on the performance. Thank you.

Operator

operator
#4

[Operator Instructions] We have a first question from the line of Amit Dixit from ICICI Securities.

Amit Dixit

analyst
#5

Yes. Congratulations for a good set of numbers. I have a couple of questions. The first one is on coking coal. So if you can let us know the coking coal cost that went into P&L in Q2? And how is it likely to evolve in Q3? Also, I'd like to understand that we have seen BCCL raising its production and sales. How does it help us because BCCL is a primary subsidiary for coking coal in India? That is the first question.

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#6

Yes. Thank you. Actually, the coking coal prices, which were around INR 27,800, this is -- we are talking about the imported coal, it was in the range of around about INR 27,800 in Q1, they came down to the levels of INR 23,000 in Q2. But again, the prices have started going up. And we expect that the average cost of this imported coking coal will be in the range of INR 27,000 per tonne as far as consumption is concerned. And coming to BCCL, we have got sort of an MOU with them regarding coal. And most of our coal -- indigenous coal is supplied by BCCL to us. And we have a pricing arrangement with them, which is basically linked with the price of imported coal.

Amit Dixit

analyst
#7

Sir, is it possible to quantify if you are getting some -- if you're getting higher supply from BCCL? And what would be approximate ballpark difference between international price and BCCL's price?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#8

Yes. You can say that we are getting around about 15% of our coal, which is indigenous in nature. Out of which some, you can say, 3% to 4% will be from our own washeries and collieries. And the rest is supplied by BCCL. And the price differential between the 2 -- because we have got some upper and low bands where -- of the supply is being made by the BCCL. So the upper band is around INR 12,500, which we are operating now.

Amit Dixit

analyst
#9

Okay. Okay. Got it. The second question is essentially on the benefit of this revision, provisional rail prices. So while we have booked around INR 1,750 crores this quarter, is there a further benefit that we can expect for FY '22 and -- in this -- in Q3 or Q4? And will some benefit of Q3 -- sorry, FY '23 will also come or FY '23 will come next year?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#10

Basically, what has happened is that we have taken the entire benefit for FY '22. Now for FY '23 and continuing on in FY '24, we have been getting a provisional price of INR 67,500 per tonne. Whereas the price finalized for FY '21-'22 is around about INR 85,300. So basically, what will happen is that we will be getting -- we will be approaching the railways to give us an ad hoc increase till we submit the cost data of '22-'23 to the CA Cost Organization and it is finalized. So we will be requesting for an ad hoc increase for '22-'23 as well as '23-'24 since our costs are much more.

Amit Dixit

analyst
#11

Sir, just to be clear, sir, you said INR 57,500 per tonne we are getting for FY '23-'24?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#12

INR 67,500.

Amit Dixit

analyst
#13

INR 57,500?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#14

67. 6-7.

Amit Dixit

analyst
#15

67. And we are -- and the price increase that we have got for FY '22 is INR 87,300?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#16

INR 85,300.

Amit Dixit

analyst
#17

INR 85,300. But sir, since FY '22 prices have also come down, so do you expect to get INR 85,300 only or prices for FY '23-'24 would be a little bit lower than that?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#18

We will not be able to comment on the FY '23-'24. But regarding the FY '22-'23, it is basically -- the entire thing is based on our costs, which is being intimated to the CA Cost Organization who verifies that. So we don't see that there will be any reduction from that since in the financial year '22-'23, the cost of coal had also gone up substantially as compared to '21-'22.

Operator

operator
#19

We have a next question from the line of Kirtan Mehta from BOB Capital Markets.

Kirtan Mehta

analyst
#20

Strong performance on the sales and production side. One follow-up on the rail pricing. In terms of -- we are currently sort of getting a provisional price of INR 67,500. Against that, what would be our current cost based rail cost at this point of time?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#21

We would not like to disclose our cost. But then based on our costs and on return on our equity and all the -- whatever is the calculation made, for financial year '21-'22, they had initially given us INR 67,500 as the ad hoc pricing for that and finally gave us INR 85,300. So based on, again, our costs in '22-'23 and subsequently in '23-'24, we'll be again working it out and submitting it to the CA Cost Organization for their evaluation and finally giving us the price.

Kirtan Mehta

analyst
#22

Right. So right now, FY '23 as well as FY '24 billing is also getting done at INR 67,500 only or is that a different number?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#23

No, no. That is at INR 67,500.

Kirtan Mehta

analyst
#24

And FY '23, have we already submitted our cost workings to them? And is it waiting for their approval? Or we are yet to submit it?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#25

We will be submitting it shortly. Actually, we are waiting for the finalization of the '21-'22 cost. So once it is finalized, based on whatever assumptions are there, which are acceptable to both the CA Cost Organization and SAIL, we will rework and submit for '22-'23.

Kirtan Mehta

analyst
#26

Understood. Another question was about the semis. During the opening remark, you mentioned that currently proportion is 15%. But using the external conversion services, we are able to reduce it to 8%. Could you give us more color on what exactly the semis' proportion in the sales currently is? And where are we deploying the external conversion services?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#27

External conversions, we have got our wet leasing arrangements also, and we also have our conversion agents who convert mainly our long products. It's basically for the long products. So we have got conversion agents for our TMTs and also for our structures. So we have it converted by them and sell it on our brand name. So semis are basically sales, which are used out there for that. And besides this, we also have some semis which we provide to our customers who use it for other purposes also, not using our brand name.

Kirtan Mehta

analyst
#28

Understood. So is our semis proportion in the sales mix is down to 8% after using the conversion agents?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#29

Yes, yes, yes.

Kirtan Mehta

analyst
#30

And how much do we spend externally with -- what would be the average cost of conversion that we pay out externally? So what would be the margin difference on the conversion -- externally converted items?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#31

See, it's basically what is happening is that we have our this thing, our cost for the semis, which we have got. And we have our contracts with our conversion agents, which are finalized based on a proper tendering process. And then again, whatever we go and sell in the market, it is based on whatever is the prevailing market rate for those particular products. So the margins are always there in that.

Kirtan Mehta

analyst
#32

Understood. Just 1 more question was on the -- our universal section mill and the mid structural section mill that we have been operating, what would be the utilization rates on those mills at this point of time?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#33

They've improved a lot. Actually, we have planned for more than 6 lakh tonnes of -- from the medium structural mill and even a similar quantity from the universal structural mills also. And the growth of production from these mills has been, you can say, phenomenal in the last 2 to 3 years. The exact figure, I can just give it to you off-line if you want it later on.

Kirtan Mehta

analyst
#34

Sure, sir. So which is the plant where -- as of now but we are not seeing the corresponding improvement coming into the respective plant profit level. So is it primarily because of the higher coking coal cost that we are facing? Because of that this is not visible into the plant profit levels?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#35

Yes. It is basically on 2 counts. Though, as I have mentioned to you, in the second quarter, the price of imported coal has come down by around about INR 5,000, okay? But then the NSR fall has also been quite a large quantum. Because the NSR dip which was there in Q2 as compared to Q1 has been around, you can say, INR 3,000.

Kirtan Mehta

analyst
#36

Okay. Right. And 1 more question, if I may. Would you be able to give us a color on the current sort of the flat and long product realization? And how does they compare with the QT averages that we have realized?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#37

Yes. Actually, the differential is in the range of INR 3,000 to INR 4,000. The flat being higher than the long.

Kirtan Mehta

analyst
#38

This is the current differential. And how was it during the Q2?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#39

When I'm talking about -- actually in the Q2, it was -- the flat was in the range of INR 55,000 as compared to INR 51,000 of long. And if you take for Q1, again INR 57,500, it was almost INR 54,500.

Kirtan Mehta

analyst
#40

Right, sir. And would you be able to indicate the current pricing levels as well?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#41

Current pricing, actually in the average of the month of October was INR 56,000 -- around INR 56,000. In which, the long was INR 54,000 and again, the flat was INR 57,000.

Operator

operator
#42

[Operator Instructions] We have a next question from the line of Rajesh Majumdar from B&K Securities.

Rajesh Majumdar

analyst
#43

Sir, I had actually a question on your overall debt and CapEx. It seems that the cash flow from operations has improved substantially this first half but there has been no debt reduction. And the CapEx rate is still very high. So what is going on in terms of our debt plans? And we are still doing a significantly high rate despite all our major expansion program coming to an end. So what is going to be our long-term plan in terms of steel production, CapEx and debt, if you could give us some light on that?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#44

The CapEx during the first half was in the range of INR 2,000-odd crores, INR 2,100 crores, you can say. And for the year '23-'24, we are likely to end up with a CapEx of around about INR 5,500 crores, which is more or less in line with the CapEx which was there in '22-'23. Now coming to a debt reduction. Actually, if you would see our figures, as on 31st March '23, the debt was in the range of INR 25,500 crores. It went up to almost INR 29,500 crores as on 30th June. And then again, we have brought it down to the 31st March levels of INR 25,500 crores. And we expect that by the year-end, we'll be probably having a debt of around about INR 22,000 crores. So this INR 22,000 crores -- a reduction of, you can say, INR 3,500 crores with a CapEx of INR 5,500 crores during this period, this is what we are looking at.

Rajesh Majumdar

analyst
#45

And this is despite coking coal price increase this quarter which you had already mentioned, right?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#46

Yes, yes, yes. This is including that.

Rajesh Majumdar

analyst
#47

And sir, how much of our CapEx is maintenance CapEx and how much of it is gross CapEx? And what is the guideline for that?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#48

At the moment, the growth CapEx is quite minimal. It is mainly the maintenance CapEx. The growth CapEx, we expect it to start only after, you can say, from maybe '25, 2025 onwards.

Rajesh Majumdar

analyst
#49

Will we increase our CapEx significantly in FY '25 including the growth CapEx in that year?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#50

No, no, not much because see, -- I'm not talking about '24-'25. I'm talking about '25-'26, where there will be some payments -- payment outflows for the design engineering part, you can say, of the first modernization, which is going to come up, that is for ISP, we will be having the expenditures on these design engineering part of it and some supplies and some civil jobs and all, that will take place in '25-'26. And subsequently, it will peak from '27-'28 onwards.

Rajesh Majumdar

analyst
#51

And our normal maintenance CapEx will be what, INR 4,000 crores, INR 5,000 crores still, right?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#52

Yes, yes, between that range. It is that much only.

Rajesh Majumdar

analyst
#53

So '26 onwards, our growth CapEx will pick up, is what you're saying?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#54

Yes.

Rajesh Majumdar

analyst
#55

So what is our estimate of cash flows -- annual cash flows in that year that we are looking at in terms of full capacity? And what is the kind of annual cash flows we're looking at to fund that kind of growth CapEx?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#56

Yes, it will be in the range -- because we are envisaging a investment in modernization and expansion of more than INR 1 lakh crore. So when it peaks, in those particular years, it may be in the range of INR 25,000 crores in each year.

Rajesh Majumdar

analyst
#57

This will be our cash flows?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#58

Yes, that is the cash flows.

Operator

operator
#59

We have our next question from the line of Raashi Chopra from Citigroup.

Raashi Chopra

analyst
#60

Sorry, if it's a repeat question. I missed some of the data points on the NSR. So could you just please highlight again what were average NSR for this quarter? What was it for flat and long?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#61

Yes. For this quarter, the average NSR was INR 53,400. And if you take -- if you bifurcate it between flat and long; for flat, it was INR 55,190 or INR 55,200, you can say; and for long, INR 51,300.

Raashi Chopra

analyst
#62

And you indicated that the October prices are INR 57,000 for flat and INR 54,000 for long, is that correct?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#63

Yes.

Raashi Chopra

analyst
#64

Okay. And what are your expectations -- I mean, for November, December, like given that there is still some premium to import parity?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#65

Actually, there is a lot of pressure of imports, which are now coming up. So November, we are trying to at least retain the prices, whatever was there in the month of October. December, we cannot predict the future. So though we would like to be -- we would like to say that December onwards, the infrastructure activities and all the building activities start picking up. So maybe we may get some sort of improvement in pricing during these 2 months -- during the month of December.

Operator

operator
#66

We have our next question from the line of Aditya Welekar from Axis Securities.

Aditya Welekar

analyst
#67

Sir, if you can just reiterate our CapEx expansion plans and plant-wise, how we are -- currently where we are in the stage of approvals and what will be the sequence of CapEx and start of expansion? When it will start, from which fiscal year? And our internal threshold -- when we go for an expansion, what will be our internal threshold with respect to our debt management? So -- because we have seen in the past that in the expansion phase, the debt was slightly -- means, the debt control is one of the concern -- area of concern. So from that perspective, when we go for the next phase of expansion, how we will look at our capital allocation and our debt control?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#68

Yes. This -- initially now, first of all, we are going in for setting of our assets, where actually we'll be trying to improve our exist -- utilization of our existing assets by some minor investments. And then after that, we are going in for the greenfield expansion of IISCO Steel Plant. For that, we will be most probably -- we will be coming to the Board for its in-principle approval maybe by the end of this quarter or maybe at the beginning of the next quarter. So we start with the expansion of IISCO Steel Plant, for which we'll get the approvals and then we'll go in for tendering. And subsequently, we are also going in for some brownfield expansions that will take place, maybe in Durgapur Steel Plant, and also to some extent in Bokaro Steel. So these will also take place subsequently. So the expansion plans are such that we'll be phasing it out over the next 3 to 4 years. So that we don't have that liquidity crisis which we had faced in the earlier expansion, where we had taken up 3 major expansions at IISCO, Bhilai and Rourkela at the same time. So that is the thing. And the other guidelines, which we have finalized in our vision document of 2030 is that we will try to maintain a debt-to-equity ratio of 1:1. So all our calculations will basically depend on the debt-equity ratio of 1:1.

Operator

operator
#69

We have our next question from the line of Vikash Singh from PhillipCapital.

Vikash Singh

analyst
#70

Sir, just wanted to understand our net saleable capacity. We will peak out at 19 million tonnes or there is some scope of squeezing out some more volumes?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#71

Yes. That's what I was telling you about that we'll be sweating our assets. And we'll be seeing wherever there is an opportunity to improve our production and -- means utilization of our equipment by some debottlenecking schemes and all that. We'll be taking that up within the next couple of years. So that we can...

Vikash Singh

analyst
#72

Sir, can you quantify something?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#73

Pardon?

Vikash Singh

analyst
#74

Can you quantify what could be the debottlenecking additional volume?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#75

Casters at Rourkela -- even at Bhilai having the casters out there. So these will help because we have got certain extra facilities available like a blast furnace hot metal capacity is more, so we can actually use the blast furnaces more and get more steel produced through these steelmaking units. We can do that. And even we may -- we are also planning to go in for finished products like we are trying to set up a TMT bar mill at Durgapur Steel Plant also. And certain other finishing facilities also we will be improving on their efficiencies to improve the finished product.

Vikash Singh

analyst
#76

So as of now, these are only plans, so no concrete action has been taken and that's why you can't give us quantity which could increase, right?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#77

The casters and all, they are already under implementation.

Vikash Singh

analyst
#78

Okay. So how much extra can...

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#79

The only thing is that TMT mill what we are planning to set at Durgapur Steel Plant, that will be going in for -- means, we'll be able to finalize that in the next few months.

Vikash Singh

analyst
#80

Sir, in casters, just a follow-up on casters. Any quantity which you peg get, this much of extra can come out in terms of finished steel?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#81

In both the plants, it will be around about 1 million tonne each, so you can say 2 million tonnes.

Vikash Singh

analyst
#82

Understood, sir. Sir, secondly, if I look at the Slide #20, our semi sales seems to be increased on sequential basis quite sharply. So I couldn't understand the specific reason for the same.

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#83

Vikashji, there seems to be some error in that slide. We have already asked that to be corrected. The current proportion, I'll just let you know. This would be around 14.6%.

Vikash Singh

analyst
#84

Semis?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#85

Semis.

Vikash Singh

analyst
#86

So incrementally, everything comes down to the flats?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#87

Yes.

Vikash Singh

analyst
#88

Understood. And just 1 more thing. Can you just give us update on the -- our mining assets, basically Gua, which we wanted to do a 10 million tonnes, and even Rowghat? Can you just give us some update on the same?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#89

Yes. As far as Gua is concerned, we had gone in for a tender for appointment of MDO out there. But we have not been able to get a response out there. But in case of Rowghat also, the interim mining has begun already out there. And we are able to evacuate around about 30,000 to 35,000 tonnes per month from there. But the main project, which is there, it will start -- we have already appointed an MDO for that particular project also. And some [indiscernible] activity have started out there. And we hope that in the next 3 to 4 years, we'll be able to get sufficient material from Rowghat also.

Vikash Singh

analyst
#90

Understood, sir. And just 1 last question. Any update on the Jharkhand inventory sell?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#91

Not yet. We have not been able to get the clearances for that. But we are hopeful that during this financial year '23-'24, we will get the clearances for evacuation from that to some extent.

Operator

operator
#92

[Operator Instructions] We'll take our next question from the line of Somaiah V. from Avendus Spark. I'm sorry, his line got disconnected. [Operator Instructions] As there are no further questions, I now hand over the call to Mr. Ashish Kejriwal from Nuvama.

Ashish Kejriwal

analyst
#93

Sir, 1 question from me before we can pick up 2 more questions, which are in the queue. Is it possible if you can give a volume guidance for this year? And in terms of CapEx plans also, like, for example, IISCO, how much capacity we are putting in and what kind of CapEx will be involved at least in the first plant? And besides that, the sweating of assets involves what kind of CapEx and incremental volume from there and the timeline, that will be helpful, sir?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#94

First, if we talk about the CapEx of ISP, the DPR is under preparation and under finalization. So we are analyzing the DPR mainly to cut down the cost. So it will be too early for us to comment on this. Regarding the sweating of assets, we have got an expenditure of around about, you can say, INR 15,000 crores to INR 20,000 crores, which will take place in the next 4 to 5 years on these additional debottlenecking schemes and like these casters which are coming up and other. Even we are planning coke oven -- stamp charged coke oven batteries also. So there will be certain expenditure involved for these.

Ashish Kejriwal

analyst
#95

So sir, when we are talking about INR 15,000 crore to INR 20,000 crore, how much additional steel volume can be generated from there?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#96

As I told you, it will be around about 3.5 million to 4 million tonnes. 3.5 million tonnes, you can say.

Ashish Kejriwal

analyst
#97

Okay. And this will be in phases or it will come at one go in...

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#98

No, no. It'll be in phases. It will gradually come over the next 3 years, you can say.

Ashish Kejriwal

analyst
#99

And starting from FY '25 or '26?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#100

From FY '25, you can say. '24-'25, there will be some facilities and then '25-'26 also...

Ashish Kejriwal

analyst
#101

Okay. Okay. And sir, this year's volume guidance, if you want to give?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#102

Volume guidance, I think, 19 million tonnes.

Ashish Kejriwal

analyst
#103

You're talking about sales volume?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#104

Production. Production. Sales also should be in the same...

Operator

operator
#105

We'll take our next question from the line of Somaiah V. from Avendus Spark.

Somaiah Valliyappan

analyst
#106

Sir, first question is on the domestic demand between first half of this financial year and currently what you are seeing, has demand kind of come off this first half? That's the first question. And second part to that is that you did mention import -- a bit of an increase in imports. This import parity pricing differential has been there for quite some time. What is changing now which is adding a lot more pressure from the import side?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#107

Yes. Regarding the demand part of it, there is a very good demand as far as domestic is concerned, like we have not increased our stock levels or anything like that. On the contrary, from the Q1 stock levels, we have been able to bring it down by around about 3 lakh tonnes -- around 3 lakh tonnes. And regarding the -- what was your second question about?

Somaiah Valliyappan

analyst
#108

The imports adding pressure. So...

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#109

Yes, there is a lot of pressure for that -- there is a lot of pressure building up for that. But then if you actually see that the quantity of imports will be quite less as compared to the total production in India. So it will have an impact to -- no doubt, it will have an impact. But we are just hoping that it should not have a major impact on the local producers...

Somaiah Valliyappan

analyst
#110

Got it. Sir, this softening in prices in the last 1 month in the industry, so I mean, is it more to do with imports, while you still see domestic demand quite strong compared to first half? Is it primarily driven by import pricing pressure?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#111

Yes. See, the flat products will be driven by the import pricing pressure because long products is slightly not affected by these -- by the imports, but the flat are being affected to some extent because of the import pricing pressures.

Somaiah Valliyappan

analyst
#112

Got it, sir. Sir, second question is on the cost, whereas your coking coal has gone up, thermal coal is on the relatively lower side. So is there -- within the industry, there is a dynamic that probably a DRI player or a secondary player are seeing their costs are kind of coming lower when compared to the traditional integrated players?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#113

Yes. Actually, the price differential is there. So that is why there is a price differential when you go for the NSR pricing also. The longs which are produced by the primary producers, they demand a premium as compared to the secondary producers. And basically, 1 more thing is that they are also not operating at capacity. They also are operating at lower than the capacity because maybe the demand is not there for that products also.

Somaiah Valliyappan

analyst
#114

Got it, sir. Sir, and also with respect to the Railways provision. So what was the original -- I mean, the number that we have taken for FY '21-'22 vis-a-vis the number that we have got per tonne? And also what is the quantum for FY '21-'22?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#115

It was INR 67,500, which was a provisional pricing which we had taken earlier, and we got a pricing of around about INR 85,300. And we had actually sold around about 0.92 million tonnes to the Railways during '21-'22.

Somaiah Valliyappan

analyst
#116

Got it, sir. Sir, 1 last question on the OpEx front. You did mention that coking coal during the quarter had come down INR 4,000 to INR 5,000 per tonne, so -- but when I see on OpEx per tonne, the number is only marginally lower. Is there any other increase in OpEx that kind of offset this full benefit? I mean [indiscernible].

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#117

Some marginal increase was there in the stores and spares expenditures and the expenditure on account of salaries and wages also, there were some increase. But otherwise, there is not much of an increase. Basically, if you see, though the volumes had gone up, but the net sales realization being lower. So it was because of that, that the profitability has not improved to the extent. But as far as salaries are concerned, they have gone up by around about INR 280-odd crores. This is basically because we have taken -- in the first quarter some provisions were not considered since the profitability was not there. But with the improvement of profitability, some incentives and bonuses are to be given. So that has been considered for the entire half year during the period and so also for the pension also, which was considered at a base of 3% on which we are now considered at a higher rate of 8%. So the impact is for the entire year. And some expenditure on stores and spares and repairs and maintenance has been higher because in this particular quarter, some higher maintenance has been done and also the production has been substantially higher.

Operator

operator
#118

We have our next question from the line of Kirtan Mehta from BOB Capital Markets.

Kirtan Mehta

analyst
#119

In terms of the -- you mentioned 2 casters, one at Rourkela and the another one, I think, at Bhilai. Would you be able to give a timeline or target date for starting this caster? How would the ramp-up of 1 million tonne production would be there? Would it ramp up within 3 to 6 months or could it take longer there?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#120

Bhilai will come soon. Probably the benefits of that will start accruing from the year '24-'25, maybe initially at a capacity utilization of 60%, then it will gradually ramp up to 75%, even 90% thereafter. And Rourkela will take 2 years.

Kirtan Mehta

analyst
#121

Right, sir. One more follow-up was on the sales and production level. You mentioned that production would be 19 MT for this year and sales would be around that. But as we don't have much inventory in our system, would sales target for the year be lesser than that?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#122

No, if the production is 19 MT and we have 1 million tonne of inventory, so we expect our sales also to be in the levels of around 19 MT. You can see we can consider around about 18 million tonnes to 18.5 million tonnes.

Kirtan Mehta

analyst
#123

Understood, sir. And last question on the run rate for the employees cost from here on. Is the Q2 numbers include basically some of the additional provisions for the Q1 as well, what should we take as a run rate going from here on a quarterly basis?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#124

Yes, you can consider that for the entire year that the employee-related expenses will be to the tune around about INR 12,000 crores.

Operator

operator
#125

We have our next question from the line of Pratim Roy from B&K Securities.

Pratim Roy

analyst
#126

I have 1 question that you mentioned the 2 million tonne debottlenecking is possible and another 3 million tonne to 4 million tonne is CapEx with extra capacity will come in 3 to 4 years. So for FY '25, you made a comment on that, the 19 million tonne production and 18.5 million tonne sales. So for FY '25-'26, if you can give some ballpark number, how much sales guidance we can expect, any idea about that?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#127

See, as -- see, basically the caster in Bhilai will be stabilizing by that point of time. So we expect at least 1 million tonne more from '25-'26 onwards. And after that, Rourkela when it comes, so you can expect maybe from '26-'27 onwards, another 1 million tonne from there.

Pratim Roy

analyst
#128

Means for FY '25, 1 million tonne addition and then '25-'26 onwards 1 million tonne further addition. And this 3.5 million to 4 million tonne extra production...

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#129

See, '24-'25, we cannot have that because once the casters are there, it takes some time to stabilize and ramp up. So we'll not be getting that much production from there. But once it is stabilized and realized then in the year '25-'26 we can get 1 million tonne extra.

Pratim Roy

analyst
#130

Okay. And all over, it will come from FY '26, not '25?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#131

[indiscernible].

Operator

operator
#132

As there are no further questions, I now hand over the call to Mr. Ashish Kejriwal for closing comments. Over to you.

Ashish Kejriwal

analyst
#133

Thanks you. And thank you, everyone for attending the call and special thanks to the management for their insightful remarks over the company as well as the industry. So any closing remarks, sir, you want to give?

Anil Tulsiani

executive
#134

Yes, just 1 sentence that the company remains committed towards improving operational efficiencies and with the market expected to be more benevolent in the coming quarters, I'm hopeful that the good times await us and our investors. Thank you.

Operator

operator
#135

Thank you. On behalf of Nuvama Wealth Management, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.

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