Sterling and Wilson Renewable Energy Limited ($SWSOLAR)
Earnings Call Transcript · April 24, 2026
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
OperatorLadies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to Sterling and Wilson Renewable Energy Limited Q4 FY '26 Earnings Conference Call. This conference call may contain forward-looking statements about the company, which are based on the beliefs, opinions and expectations of the company as on date of this call. These statements are not the guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties that are difficult to predict. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I'll now hand the conference over to Mr. Sandeep Mathew, Head IR, for his opening remarks. Thank you, and over to you, Mr. Mathew.
Sandeep Mathew
ExecutivesGood morning, and welcome, everyone, to the Q4 FY '26 Earnings Call. We have with us today Mr. C.K. Thakur, our Global CEO; Mr. Ajit Pratap Singh, our CFO; and SGA, who are our IR partner. We will start today's call with the key operational highlights for the quarter and industry outlook by Mr. Thakur, followed by the financial highlights by Ajit, post which we will open up for Q&A. Thank you, and over to you, C.K.T.
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesThanks, Sandeep. A very good morning to all of you. I'll begin today's call with an update on business operations and outlook. FY '26 has been a very good year for us on multiple accounts. where we achieved certain important milestones. First, we have been able to book new orders of more than INR 10,000 crores in this fiscal, marking this fiscal as one of the most successful ever in the terms of order bookings for the company. The strong order inflow has reflected in our unexecuted order value, exceeding INR 11,800 crores, which provides good visibility for the future earnings. Second, we have been able to deliver and commission almost 4.5 gigawatt AC, equivalent to nearly 5.9 gigawatt DC of solar PV projects in India and international market. To put these numbers in perspective, the whole solar utility scale installations in India was approximately 28.3 gigawatt AC in financial year '26. As per MNRE, data, when you exclude rooftop solar. So about 15% of solar projects commissioned in the country during last fiscal were by Sterling and Wilson, which is a very proud moment for all of us. Third, we continue to invest in building scale, looking at the growth prospects available to us. Our employees headcount have now touched about 3,500 compared to 2,500 a year ago. We are gearing up to do multiple gigawatt scale projects for key clients as that is the way we see the solar market gearing up in India. Fourth, the operation and maintenance segments, which has still now been relatively a small contributor to top lines and profits is beginning to reach an inflection point. The total portfolio size has increased to 13.5 gigawatts from 8.7 gigawatts in last fiscal, making us probably one of the largest third-party O&M players globally. With a steady stream of our own EPC projects and third-party acquisitions, we believe the segments can be in a position to accelerate at a much rapid pace than in previous years. And finally, our financial performance, which Ajit will take you through in detail, has continued to improve despite some of the one-off litigation related costs we incurred in fiscal 2026. Now let me give some additional color on our operational performance. New EPC orders inflow grew more than 43% year-on-year to INR 10,062 crores, while we had conservatively projected 15% growth in order inflows at the start of this fiscal year. The unexpected geopolitical tensions, coupled with high commodity price fluctuations meant that EPC ordering activities by developers in the fourth quarter was largely muted. During the fourth quarter, we bagged the prestigious new orders from Coal India when we were declared L1 for 1.2 gigawatt DC turnkey projects in Rajasthan. We also won a 50-megawatt project from a private IPP for a project in Maharashtra. Overall, in fiscal 2026, we backed 12 new orders. Of these, 11 were EPC orders totaling nearly 5.2 gigawatt DC and one was a pure battery storage project of 790 megawatt hour. In the Indian market, we won 10 projects totaling 4.8 gigawatt DC with an order value of INR 7,659 crores. The growth in domestic order inflows in value terms was approximately 30% compared to last fiscal, showcasing the strong underlying momentum. In the international market, we won 2 projects from South Africa worth USD 270 million, as we have reported previously. Another unique aspect of our orders this fiscal has been a larger skew towards turnkey projects, which accounted for nearly 70% of our total orders. As a result of the strong order inflow, our unexecuted order value is now at a record high of about INR 11,813 crores compared to INR 9,096 last fiscal. Domestic orders comprise about 78% of current UOV or about INR 9,250 crores. We had reported revenue of INR 5,836 crores in domestic EPC in financial year '26. So the growth visibility is good. Our UOV has projects where we have been declared L1 by PSU, and we will need final LOA to start execution in those like the recent Coal India orders. Our international UOV is about INR 2,562 crores, while our reported financial year '26 revenue was INR 1,444 crores. Our international EPC business continues to grow rapidly due to the small base it started from post-COVID. We would like to reiterate that the post-COVID international projects have been profitable with gross margins higher than domestic EPC margins in many cases. Turnkey orders comprise about 2/3 of our current TOV and BOS orders make up the rest. The skew towards turnkey is primarily due to recent Coal India and 2 South Africa project wins this fiscal. We remain confident of achieving our targeted margins in these projects. Now coming to the industry outlook. Our bid pipeline is pretty robust and heavily skewed towards India as we are anticipating another good year to start with for solar EPC players. Our current bid pipeline targets about 31 gigawatt overall, of which India is more than 27 gigawatts. Over and above, we also expect strong momentum from the battery storage market in this fiscal. In the international market, our key focus region continues to remain Middle East and Africa and select parts of Europe. We remain extremely prudent in terms of bidding in the international market and are very mindful of the risk. The post-COVID project wins and corresponding strong execution has been showing us that our strategy has been working well. In our core market, India has just crossed a landmark of 150 gigawatts of cumulative installed solar capacity. What makes these milestones truly extraordinary is the velocity at which it was accomplished. The last 50 gigawatts were added in just about 14 months compared to the 11 years it took India to reach its first 50 gigawatt level. I have no doubt that this growth will continue to benefit established solar EPC players like us. At current market dynamics, we are closely monitoring solar module prices. PV module prices globally have been rising since January, driven in part by production cuts in China and the removal of Chinese export tax credits effective April 1 and due to the highly volatile commodity prices, especially key inputs like silver, et cetera. However, for our existing order book, we have adequate back-to-back pricing protection in place with suppliers as well as appropriate contingencies buffers. On the Reliance front, we continue to remain in active dialogue. We have been putting in place strategies that will help us to quickly scale up as and when the need arises on the large multiyear multi-gigawatt solar rollout. With this, I'll ask Ajit to take you through the consolidated financial highlights. Thank you very much. Over to you, Ajit.
Ajit Singh
ExecutivesThank you, C.K.T., sir. Good morning, everyone. We are pleased to report 2 significant financial milestones we achieved during the quarter. First, we achieved our highest annual turnover since listing of INR 7,548 crores, which was 20% higher than FY '25. And second, company achieved its highest ever reported quarterly PAT number since listing of INR 142 crores in quarter 4 FY '26. Our top line growth has been driven primarily on the back of a growing domestic EPC business. For quarter 4 FY '26, our revenue came in at INR 1,946 crores Commodity price volatility impacted some of the supplies and material availability and company had to defer some of the supplies and revised the execution plans accordingly in quarter 4 FY '26, which led to the sequential and year-on-year drop in Q4 revenue. On the gross margin front, our FY '26 gross margin improved to 10.5% versus 10.1% in FY '25, primarily aided by International EPC segment, where margins reflected to 13.2% versus 8% in FY '25. Q4 FY '26 gross margins were strong in international EPC due to 3 projects achieving commissioning ahead of budgeted cost. Reiterating C.K.T's earlier point in his opening remarks of current international projects attractiveness in our portfolio. We reiterate that we anticipate EPC gross margins to range between 8% to 10%, depending on whether they are turnkey or BOS orders. Quarterly fluctuations in margins are going to be dependent on type and quantum of projects recognized during a particular quarter. On the O&M side, we expect the gross margin to stabilize at around 20% level. Our operational EBITDA, which is operating revenues less recurring overheads amounted to INR 444 crores this fiscal and grew 53% year-on-year. The operational EBITDA margin was around 5.9%, and we believe these are beginning to trend towards steady state levels. Our annual recurring overheads of INR 349 crores has remained steady this year and is at similar levels compared to last year, even with higher revenue growth this fiscal. It is reflective of the operational leverage in the business. On a quarterly basis, stronger gross margins from the International EPC segment and lower recurring overheads drove the operational EBITDA higher. Our quarter 4 FY '26 reported EBITDA was also positively impacted by ForEx gain of approximately INR 35 crores. Our quarter 4 PAT was a record INR 142 crores since listing. Reported FY '26 PAT was negatively impacted by exceptional items of INR 611 crores, primarily related to litigation matters reported during quarter 2 and quarter 3, leading to an annual loss of INR 296 crores. Now coming to the balance sheet. Our debt levels have declined by INR 149 crores compared to last quarter, reflecting stronger cash flow generation and scheduled repayments done during the quarter. Our net working capital was at negative INR 329 crores compared to negative INR 407 crores in previous quarter due to a pickup in vendor payments in Q4. We continue to make strong progress on fresh credit lines on non-fund and fund-based limits. We have cumulatively been able to raise fresh credit lines to the tune of nearly INR 2,800 crores. With this, we can now open the floor to questions and answers.
Operator
Operator[Operator Instructions] The first question comes from the line of Saurabh Srivastava with Arista Consulting.
Saurabh Srivastava
AnalystsSir, what sort of traction can we expect in the Operation and Maintenance going forward, though it has been a very wonderful appreciation from the last year? One question. And second, by what time can we expect this new energy -- Reliance New Energy to be on board, sir? [Technical Difficulty]
Operator
OperatorLadies and gentlemen, the management line has been disconnected. Ladies and gentlemen, the management line has been reconnected.
Saurabh Srivastava
AnalystsFirst of all, congratulations on a very good numbers, sir. And my first question is, sir, there has been a decent traction in the operation and maintenance. Sir, what sort of view will you give going forward, especially the third-party operation and maintenance projects first? And sir, in the last con call, you said that in the fourth quarter, we may see something from Reliance New Energy. So is there any clarity, any vision? And what sort of margins can we expect from those projects if any data available? And sir, any update on Nigeria project called off or is still on, sir?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesThank you, Saurabh. So first question is on your O&M business outlook, right? So third-party O&M business. So you have seen that there have been good traction on the O&M orders in the last few quarters. And all those -- our own EPC O&Ms would be added. Part of them have been added in the last quarters and we will continue to add. In the last quarters, we have also, I mean, bagged an order from the large IPP company, Serentica, for about 900-megawatt O&M orders. And the last years, all those projects which have been trial operation that has been completed for them, the opportunity is only coming up. So we are expecting apart from our own EPC O&M orders, the third-party orders will continue to flow in.
Saurabh Srivastava
AnalystsSir, are the third-party orders annual or multiyear contracts, sir?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesThey are all multiyears, at least for 2 to 3 years. Some contracts are 2 years. Most of them are for 3 years. And a few of them are also for a very, very long time.
Saurabh Srivastava
AnalystsWhat sort of margins do we plan to settle for these third-party OEMs, sir?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesSo they are all in the range of 20% to 25%. So it all depends on what kind of orders or what kind of the scopes are, but it is not the fixed basically for every single orders, we go for more than 25%. But of course, I mean, this all depends on the scope. So in Indian markets, we are operating for more than 20% orders as of now.
Saurabh Srivastava
AnalystsThis is gross margin?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesGross margins, yes. On the second question of Reliance. So Reliance, as you have been guiding the markets also, we have been deeply engaged with them. So there has been discussions on the technical parameters, the kind of configuration of the projects that they're going to have and all. So on all fronts, we are deeply engaged with them. And traction would be seen in this financial year, I'm sure.
Saurabh Srivastava
AnalystsAny clarity on margins, sir?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesNo. So all terms and conditions, everything are yet to be decided, discussed. So at this moment, I can't tell you any number.
Saurabh Srivastava
AnalystsAnd the Nigerian one, sir?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesSo Nigeria, yes, so basically, it's on the slow pace. Again, I mean, the election coming in and all. So I mean, you can say that, I mean, this will take much longer time. It may not be happening in maybe this financial year.
Operator
OperatorNext question comes from the line of Sameer Dalal with Natverlal & Sons Stock Brokers.
Sameer Dalal
AnalystsCongratulations on the good profitability. I have 2 questions. The first is we saw some amount of slowdown or no pickup per se, if you can say, in the order execution given our order backlog, right? Q4 degrowth in the top line. So if you can throw some understanding on why this is? And the second question, would you be willing to give us some sort of guidance on what kind of revenue we can expect in the next financial year, given the fact that order book is more or less, I think, INR 1,000 crores more than what it was last year when we finished the year -- previous year. So does that mean that growth is going to taper down? Or do you think that order inflow in the first half will be so strong that you will be able to capture some of it and be able to grow stronger by the second half?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesYes. So Sameer, so on the quarter 4 order pickup, so the market has been generally been showing this traction because of some uncertainties in the commodity prices and all. So all those orders that were slated to be concluded in quarter 4, most of them have been shifted to quarter 1. And not that our share has gone down. In general, the industry was seeing the traction of lower slowdown on the order book side. Your second question was on the revenue guidance, right? So last years, our track record has been very good. And with the UOV, pretty good UOV of over INR 11,000 crores and orders will keep on flowing. So there's no question of tapering down. So we'll definitely be growing at a reasonably, let's say, 15% I mean, growth, yes.
Sameer Dalal
AnalystsThis 15% growth that you're targeting, does this include maybe future orders from Reliance or that would be an add-on to the 15% that you're giving us kind of a view on based on your current order book?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesNo. So this is based on to the current order books and the orders that we'll be getting in quarter 3 and quarter 4 because some of the projects would definitely be coming under execution. So the orders in hands and the few of the orders will be coming in Q3, Q4. But Reliance is excluded out of this. We don't consider Reliance in this portfolio because Reliance orders, unless it comes in, we can't commit anything on this side.
Sameer Dalal
AnalystsFair enough. And last question, if you allow me. You talked about doing the battery energy storage part of it. So what kind of tie-ups do you have with companies that are making all these batteries when you set up your storage and like a fully integrated project with setting up the solar plant with battery energy storage? I mean just to understand, how would the revenue look for a similar project where you're purely doing a solar park versus with the battery energy storage? And what would be the margin profile of that kind of orders and business?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesNo. So this financial year will definitely witness the combination of solar plus battery. As far as our strategic tie-up with a few of them is concerned. So I don't have, as of now, the fully tie-up, but we keep on engaging with the manufacturers based on I mean, the opportunities coming on project-on-project basis. So before bid is submitted, we definitely get into the dialogue with the manufacturers to lock our prices with them so that any fluctuations during execution is not, I mean, affecting us on our supply patterns or on the bottom line. So I mean, this is why I'm telling you this is the battery market in India itself is not very mature. So I mean, there is no point at this stage when getting a stuck up with one and then getting into trouble. So that is on the battery part. And your second question was?
Sameer Dalal
AnalystsHow would the revenue profile change? And how would the margin profile change when we do these combined.
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesMargin profile on the battery also will remain same. I mean we have been, let's say, working depending upon the supply of battery in our scope or only BOS for the battery. So it will be around 8% to 10%. So if it is only -- I mean, let's say, the BOS margin could be a little more. If it is supply, then the margin would be less depending upon the type of the orders that is coming on. So -- and I'll say, let's say, around 20% to 25% in the quarter 2, quarter 3, not in quarter 1, but Q2, Q3 is, I mean, 20% order -- 20%, 25% orders add-on will keep on happening. I mean -- so that kind of traction is being seen. So for sure, the battery market seems to be very, very good for this year and onwards, I mean, over 50 gigawatt hour battery opportunities are being seen. So out of that, definitely, we'll be getting some part of our sales.
Operator
Operator[Operator Instructions] Next question comes from the line of Bhavik Shah with Investec Capital.
Bhavik Shah
AnalystsSir, my first question is, how much of inflows can we expect from Reliance in the current financial year? And say, in terms of execution, when can we see the execution coming once we get the orders?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesJust before this question, while I was addressing to Sameer, I addressed this part. So I told you that we are deeply engaged with them. I mean discussions are happening on the technologies and all those kind of tie-ups and things by them.
Bhavik Shah
AnalystsSo actually, I just wanted to understand where is it getting hindered? Like what is making it delay?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesNo, I can't be discussing more on these kind of things. But of course, I mean, Khavda being a large project -- I mean, the Kutch being a very, very large project. So they are evaluating the pros and cons on the various technologies and all, right? Finally, once they come to a point where they feel that the project is now, I mean, fully launched on. And thereafter, only our role starts. So we are fully engaging them to support all those things in terms of understanding of the project technical parts and other things. And as and when it comes, then we'll come back to you on the size of the orders and the timing of the orders and all.
Bhavik Shah
AnalystsOkay. So until now, we don't see any clarity in near term, right?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesNo clarity is that we are deeply engaged with them and the project is on with them. And I mean, the larger sales maybe we'll be expecting out of the projects that will be coming for EPC states.
Bhavik Shah
AnalystsOkay. And sir, in terms of our margins this quarter, was there any one-off in terms of completion or anything because we have not seen such margins when our revenue has dropped, but our gross margins have improved. So what are those reasons which led to that improvement?
Ajit Singh
ExecutivesSo there were 3 projects, international projects, which were towards fag end of completion. And so there were certain savings over the budgeted cost that has improved our overall margin, particularly that came from international projects.
Bhavik Shah
AnalystsOkay. Because in the presentation, you have guided like we'll continue to do at 8%, 10% gross. So that's the reason I'm asking. So is it a one-off we should consider?
Ajit Singh
ExecutivesIt's like savings over the budgeted cost in international projects.
Bhavik Shah
AnalystsOkay. Okay. And sir, in the savings, like how do we see the INR 11,000 crore order book in terms of execution? Like how much of it is a fixed order book? And how much the raw material inflation will affect this?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesSo all major items are tied up, mostly, let's say, the portions of the turnkey projects where the mu comes up in our scope. So there also, we have tied up with back-to-back with the suppliers. And the rest of the project, the project time lines are, I mean. So 6 to 9 months, let's say, or 1 year. So I mean, the fluctuations of the pricing of commodities also will not be impacting much.
Bhavik Shah
AnalystsSo when you say 6, 9, 12 months is my project execution and I have INR 11,000 crore order book, can we INR 10,000 crores, INR 11,000 crores execution this year then?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesSo I mean these orders, 3 of them are orders coming where the NTP is still to be received. So those projects would be, let's say, for 15 months, 14 months, but part of that will be coming in this fiscal. So the -- on the revenue side, I mean, we will be growing, let's say, at the 15% growth rates from the last quarter -- last year.
Operator
Operator[Operator Instructions] Next question comes from Jayesh Shroff with Taisk Capital.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsI had a couple of questions. So in terms of the recent hike in raw material prices and coupled with a very, very volatile USD INR rates, you think that this could adversely affect our margins, although you have already mentioned that raw material supplies are tied up, but can rupee dollar play a spoilsport in terms of margins?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesNot really, not really because so if you see the dollar valuation part of things, that is not to our account. Basically, most of the -- for domestic supply, we are purchasing from India. So they're all fixed contracts and such fluctuations is not impacting us. For international, I think we'll be benefiting from the variations.
Ajit Singh
ExecutivesThere is a natural hedge available because our revenues are in USD. So there won't be any impact in terms of impact in terms of foreign exchange variation.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsAll right. So net-net, depreciating rupee is actually beneficial to us. I mean that's what is reflected in this quarter's result also.
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesYes, for the international market, sure.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsOkay. Secondly, in terms of our wind to get into wind energy projects, what is the status there?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesSo we are doing one project for one of our clients and the project is on track. And to remove the intermittency and all the orders inflow this year, we are expecting a few -- I mean, there will be better traction from the wind projects. So with one project which we are doing is already on track, we are expecting that we'll be adding a few more into the wind side.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsOkay. So when you're giving the guidance of about 15% growth, that would also include the potential wind projects?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesA few of them, yes. This is all inclusive.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsOr is it over and above our guidance? I mean I just wanted to check that.
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesNo. So that would be including battery, wind and solar, everything.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsAll right. Okay. Just one more thing. I know you've been asked a lot of times about Reliance New Energy, you've answered so many of them. But any guidance or any idea in terms of when could the execution start? -- when could the order inflow start for us?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesSo current year, it should happen. But I mean, just to pinpoint that it is going to happen this quarter or next, I'm not in a position to tell you now, but this year, definitely, it should happen.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsOkay. Okay. I don't want to push you more on that. But I mean, this year, it will not happen that this year means Q4 of FY '27, right?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesI will say no comment at this point.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsOkay. And just one last thing. I mean we've taken a lot of hit on our international portfolio in terms of taking the write-offs and everything. So is every kind of problem that we face there is behind us? Or is there something more that we need to provide for?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesSo we are almost done, but there are a few cases in the U.S. market. So -- I mean, under court cases. So that will take some time. But yes, you can say other than the U.S. cases, more or less we are done.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsSo what would be the approximate value of those likely hits, I mean, those projects?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesCourt cases you have not -- we are not considering that we will be losing the case and therefore, the provision to be made at this stage because...
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsNo, forget the provision, but what is the value of the total contract for the cases that we are fighting for?
Ajit Singh
ExecutivesWe are out of money for around more than INR 200 crores, and that is predominantly backed by the promoters under indemnity agreement on the U.S. cases.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsOn the U.S. So INR 200 crores is the worst-case scenario if we lose all the cases?
Ajit Singh
ExecutivesBut that's backed by promoter's indemnity.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsYes. Yes, that's backed by promoter. But I mean, at least we'll have to take the hit first and then recover the money. But INR 200 crores is the worst-case scenario, right?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesCould be more, in fact.
Ajit Singh
ExecutivesWe'll come back to you.
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesSo I think on these numbers, we'll come back to you, right?
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsI mean because this is important because you know the performance of stock has gone down drastically primarily because we've taken so much of a hit. So now after taking so much of a hit, you're still saying that it could be a bigger number. I mean that's -- so how big that number could be? You know how many cases you are fighting for and what is the total amount of cases that we are fighting for?
Sandeep Mathew
ExecutivesSee, I think at this point, since it is in litigation and it is expected to take time, it is difficult to ascertain a certain number. I think what Ajit has already alluded to is the point that as a company, we are already cash out on INR 200 crores, and most of it is indemnified. So there's no question of taking any hit on this INR 200 crores. It is money that will come to the company from the promoters once the case is settled. What C.K.T. was alluding to and what we have always maintained is if the case goes adversely against us, then there is always a chance that there may be additional costs, like, for example, in the last U.S. case, there were litigation costs which we had to bear, which was over and above the settlement that had to happen. So those are additional things and those can only be certain at the time that the final resolution on those litigations happen. If it is in our favor, we won't have to pay anything. But if it goes against us, then there could be additional cost. And I think that's the point that C.K.T. was trying to allude to here. And that's exactly the reason why we are unable to put a number to it at this point of time as well.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsNo, I completely agree. But if you are, let's say, fighting for a total of INR 200 crores, the litigation cost will be some percentage of that. It will not be a multiple of that number, right? I mean, is that understanding correct?
Sandeep Mathew
ExecutivesCan you repeat that?
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsSo if we are saying that our total outstanding cases, the amount total that we are fighting for is about INR 200 crores and we are unable to put an additional number to that because that could be some additional litigation cost if we lose that we will have to pay. But that litigation cost or that additional amount would be a percentage of this INR 200 crores. It will definitely not be a multiple of INR 200 crores, right?
Sandeep Mathew
ExecutivesSo the point is that we are speculating at this point on what that amount could be, isn't it? I mean our view has been that we will be in a very -- we are in a strong -- very strong position with respect to this regards to this case. And effectively that this case will go in our favor. So to say that, first of all, the case will go against us and then therefore, the quantum of amount...
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsWe are talking of worst-case scenario. My question is that if we have to pay additional litigation costs, it cannot be more than INR 200 crores. It can be 10%, 20%, 30%, 40% of INR 200 crores, right? It cannot be 2x INR 200 crores or 3x INR 200 crores. That's what I'm asking.
Sandeep Mathew
ExecutivesLitigation costs, yes. But it depends all depends on the judgment is the point.
Ajit Singh
ExecutivesClaims and counter claims from the party.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsOkay. So there could be additional penalties. I mean this is the worst-case scenario, again, I'm repeating, but there could be additional penalties over above INR 200 crores. That's what you're saying?
Ajit Singh
ExecutivesYes, if we lose the case, which chances are very remote.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsOkay. So what is the likely time line? You have any idea on this?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesUnder court, so it can take maybe 2 years because U.S. court, all of you are aware that it's taking much longer time. So it might take 2 years in fact.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsOkay. Okay. And we've settled a few cases earlier where it's -- I mean, both the parties have withdrawn the cases and all. So I mean, considering large write-offs that we've taken, are there any chances of recoveries or we would want to settle it where both the parties just withdraw the cases?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesNo. So our efforts are always to mutually agree and settle the case in our favor. If that happens, then that is a win-win situation, right? And if it doesn't happen, then in any case, we are either in the arbitration or we are into the court. So then we will wait for the judgment from the either arbitration panel or from the court. But our efforts are always there to settle if it comes to our terms and conditions.
Operator
OperatorNext question comes from the line of Nirmal with Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Limited.
Nirmal Gore
AnalystsYou discussed briefly about BESS space. I just wanted to understand how are you approaching this in terms of building your order book in general? And in addition to that, just wanted to understand what are the CapEx and time lines like? And in terms of customer expects, how are they preferring stand-alone or hybrid? And how is the BESS capacity determined by IP?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesSo yes, it's a good question, basically Nirmal. So if you look at the overall industry scenario, so one is that megawatt capacity addition from solar wind is projected, which is on to the domain. So let's say from the government of India point of view, still have to reach, let's say, 250 megawatt to 500 megawatts, 250. So solar alone will have a space for 150 megawatt additions and then rest of the other renewables. Now since the energy generated from the renewables has never been at par with the thermal power plants or the fossil fuel power plants. And therefore, there has been a strong urge to add the batteries. So the hybrid will continue. Therefore, the wind also will take traction and the battery also will keep on adding. So for -- on the current reports published by MNRE, we are expecting that around 60 megawatt hour -- gigawatt hour kind of battery opportunity would be coming. And there is also policy I mean, taken out by ministry that with every single solar plant installation, there has to be 2 hours of this capacity additions, right? Now again, it depends on the -- I mean, whether it is for the only utilities for 2 hours as per the mandatory condition requirement or from the captive point of view where people would be looking for round-the-clock battery additions. So the battery storage opportunities will definitely keep on adding to this. And therefore, we are also equally prepared. So -- I mean, as of now, when we give the guidance for the -- our revenue growth, this would be mix of the battery and then the solar and the part of wind also. So from the CapEx perspective, we see then there's a huge opportunities coming from, I mean, all 3.
Nirmal Gore
AnalystsOkay. So like a stand-alone project, what CapEx intensity like...
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesAt this stage, out of our -- the current order book, when you say INR 11,000-odd we have around INR 30 -- close to INR 300 crores coming from the battery. But the orders that will inflow that will come as the inflow in the rest of the quarters will determine on the kind of the opportunity that will be coming in. So on the conservative number, you can say that, let's say, in our new orders books, I'm expecting 20% order to come from the battery, will be from the solar also.
Nirmal Gore
AnalystsOkay, sir. And just one last question. So currently, when you are approaching customers, they are preferring hybrid over stand-alone. Is that understanding correct? -- stand-alone BESS projects, right?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesNo, there are, I mean, stand-alone BSS project also because as per all those projects that have been built only as a solar, they are also as per the obligations now they are adding some 20%, 15%, 10%, I mean, depending upon the hours of energy requirement. So that is also coming up. So that both ways. So the projects that will be coming, that will be coming as a hybrid for solar and battery or maybe wind and battery or maybe solar wind and battery and there will be a stand-alone battery also. So both -- all 3 kinds of -- I mean, the market opportunities are being.
Operator
OperatorNext question comes from the line of Akash Mehta with Canara HSBC Life.
Akash Mehta
AnalystsJust wanted to understand on Reliance I mentioned that you are engaging with Reliance, what exactly has done till now have visited the ground and done some checks what exactly is happening in terms of the engagement?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesNo. So on Reliance, we are the EPC players, Reliance is developer, right? And since it is a large development project by them, so the mode of executions are being decided by them. So supply to their scope, part supply in the EPC scope, executions by EPC or the construction company, all these things are being discussed. Since it is a huge investment, therefore, it's important that there should be enough time for them also to give on the selection of the technology and all those kind of things. So our involvement in this practice is that we as a very strong and maybe India's #1 EPC player in solar, we have been, I mean, deeply engaging with them in discussions of every single bit of things, right? And then once it comes for the final rollout stage, then I mean, our expectation is that we should be getting the largest share from them. [Technical Difficulty]
Operator
OperatorLadies and gentlemen, the management line has been disconnected. Ladies and gentlemen, the management line has been reconnected. I'll call up the next participant, that is Faisal Hawa from H.G. Hawa & Co.
Faisal Hawa
AnalystsSir, where do you stand on the bank rating, is there any chance of any improvement? And are we finding it now difficult to get BGs issued because of the downgrade of our ratings? What are the kind of terms we have set if you have to improve our ratings? Does it mean addition to any kind of equity?
Ajit Singh
ExecutivesFirst question, there's no downgrade in the rating. We are rated BBB, in the beginning of the year, we were rated a BBB-. So during the year, we have been upgraded for a rating by 2 notch. In terms of support from the bank, we have been able to secure broadly INR 2,800 crores new credit lines during the last fiscal. And bankers are supporting in fact, recently, we got additional sanctions from our lead bank also. And we have added a few new banks in our consortium during the year. So we are getting support from the banks. Our cost for LCM Bank guarantees also got reduced during the year significantly. And the moment, we'll get additional orders, and we have better visibility in terms of revenue. We are hopeful to get additional credit lines are so based on the requirement.
Faisal Hawa
AnalystsSir, about Adani orders, do you think that goes may be much quicker because they are already on the board in Khavda and generally, we are much more agile in the solar space?
Unknown Executive
ExecutivesYes. So basically, this line for this project execution is around 13 months. And the project is doing really well. So we see -- and that's the pace that we are keeping. And then orders will keep on flowing. I believe that's our long-term understanding with Adani is, right?
Faisal Hawa
AnalystsAnd sir, how do you see the international space going? So is there any chance that we get some larger orders from other places apart from the Nigeria order? And can you give some color as to what kind of bidding competition was there in the Coal India quarter which we recently won. Has that the bidding velocity subsided?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesSo Coal India orders will say, yes, in Coal India, they have a good portfolio basically coming in. So that was the, I think, second project of the last size. And they were quite a few numbers of the bidders in this, including Ts and the larger players. And of course, we have been declared L1, [indiscernible]. We are expecting that we should be participating in the Coal India tender side. So on the PSU front, if you say NTPC, call India, they remain to be the large developers. On the international order booking side, yes, I mean, this year, you can see some skewness towards the more international projects. That's the traction we can clearly see -- and our focus area still remain the Africa, Middle East and select countries in Europe. So the size and the quantum of the orders, I can't come to you at this stage, but then you can always expect that from the last years, the order book position and in terms of the market will definitely be more than that. We are closely working on a few of the projects, which are a fairly very large size, and we are in a better position to get this order.
Operator
OperatorNext question comes from the line of Amish Kanani with Novus Investment Manager.
Amish Kanani
AnalystsAnd Sir, the observation is that we are you're able to engage with Reliance, Adani Group and also PSU tender like Coal India, which means reiterate our market leadership position or the CapEx on the solar side. The question to you, sir, one, you had mentioned that we have an x kind of order bid pipeline. And last year, we had -- we were successful in achieving a 15% market share in all India spending of solar. Sir, based on your understanding of this order pipeline, which may be a subset of all India orders, what is the likely win rate, maybe a large percentage relation also may happen because a large call Coal India order type in may not be predictable, but any range of like a win ratio would really help us to understand this year's order book growth, if at all, we can get some in [indiscernible].
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesHistorically, if you see that our hit ratio has been around 25% to 28%, right? And even today, with respect to the last year's orders and the overall market projecting that we have, our market share in the solar space is around 25%, more than 25%, right? So -- and with the next couple of years, 4 years to, I mean, achieve the target of 2030. The opportunities are -- I mean -- if not, I mean will say, I mean, it is more than the opportunity that have been made available in the last year also. So with this run rate, our cap market share would be definitely more than 25%. That's what I can give you a at this stage.
Amish Kanani
AnalystsSure, sir. That's helpful. And sir, what are the key reasons why the slowdown has happened recently and because of which this fourth quarter order book was a bit slower. And historically, we understood the execution time line was 6 to 9 months in our case, but you're mentioning one of the faster moving order also is now, say, 13 months. Maybe our ticket size of the order book has grown, which is probably taking this. So if you can give us some sense of, one, outstanding order book execution time line for the order book? And second, sir, what are the key reasons which is holding up this overall order -- is it more due to this international issues that you had mentioned about pricing of key material, including China export withdrawal subsidy that you had mentioned or silver prices? Or is it India issues in terms of land availability and some old issues which continues to bother us?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesYes. So basically, there are a couple of reasons. For the last quarter slowdown, I will say that there was basically commodities price surge, from January onwards, CCD, LME prices for copper, aluminum, other things going up. So the developers chose to probably take a back seat for some time, I mean just suppose, so that was one. And then for larger industrial perspective, if you see, the connectivities, particularly in one of the regions at Rajasthan. I mean there have been 2 major areas in India Rajasthan and Gujarat. So in Rajasthan some of the projects, I mean, the substation projection on connectivity is are really popping up around more than 40 gigawatt of kind of things are where the PPA already signed bu the connectivity is not there. So those are -- and they were a GIB issue as well. So those were the reasons why the project development in Rajasthan were basically delayed. But now since GID decisions from the court has already come -- and the substations, all those which we are supposed to be commissioned 2027 or maybe early 2028, I think delayed by quarter of mix -- quarter of months. And so -- but then 2028 would be the time when in all those clear. So I'm not -- I mean, understanding that basically because of -- I mean, while it has impacted the development in Rajasthan, but going forward, this kind of the opportunity that we're seeing, that will keep on coming.
Amish Kanani
AnalystsOkay. So sir, this year may not be as bad as, say, last year in terms that hopefully [indiscernible], right?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesYes.
Amish Kanani
AnalystsAnd sir, the last question here on the exceptional side. The question is that, one, we provided for the INR 611 crores of this year some exceptional item, because of which overall year was a loss. The question is, one, is there any outstanding payment that we've done for promoters, the erstwhile promoters need to pay us and that can come as this year's income as a reversal, one? And two, is there any -- the out-of-court settlement that we have done, which we have press release was given yesterday, is there any upside or downside in terms of known and settled cases, if you can update us there?
Ajit Singh
ExecutivesSo on the estimate what we had given yesterday on that settlement, there is neither any upside nor any downside. So we have to -- the case has been closed and without any liability or payment obligation either of the party. On that INR 611 crore write-off whatever we did, there was some payment outlook from our side to the party, and we have already paid the full amount by end of this quarter. And this case was an indemnified matter. So there is nothing which can be recovered from the come on this particular place. On other cases, based on the crystallization of the liability and total of the cases, we have raised the claim on the promoters for whatever cases are crystallized by 30th September, and we'll do that based on outcome of all those cases.
Amish Kanani
AnalystsOkay. So as of now, there is no claim on promoters and they have been paying as and when that is crystalizing?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesThat's right. Last year, whatever claims raised on the promoters, they have paid in full around INR 180 crores.
Operator
OperatorNext question comes from the line of Deepak Poddar with Sapphire Capital.
Deepak Poddar
AnalystsSir, a few queries from my side. Now the big pipeline that you mentioned is around close to 31 gigawatts, right? So can you also -- then in terms of rupees crores, how much would that amount?
Ajit Singh
ExecutivesOverall opportunity, if you see that is in over INR 50,000 crores, basically, a INR 55,000 crores, right, in the -- I mean overall. So as you have been -- I mean out of this, let's say, our market shares will continue to be 25%. So order books would be in the range of -- I mean were 15% more than the order book that we have this year until exist, right?
Deepak Poddar
AnalystsSo 15% currently close to INR 12,000 crores, so 15%. So basically, close to INR 14,000 crores order book you might target by FY '27 end. Would that be a fair assumption?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesYes. So basically, it depends on a lot of factors. I mean geopolitical and all those things. So conservatively, we feel that we must be growing at 15% growth rate, right, from the last year.
Deepak Poddar
Analysts15% growth rate both in order book as well as in revenue is what we are looking at, right?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesI think so, yes, you'reright.
Deepak Poddar
AnalystsOkay. Understood. And then you had mentioned I think gross margin -- the presentation, gross margin for EPC business to stabilize around 8% to 10% and O&M at 20%. I mean this is the medium-term view we have on the margin front, right?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesYou're right.
Ajit Singh
ExecutivesThat's right. Depending on the nature of the job, whether it is turnkey or only BOS.
Deepak Poddar
AnalystsCorrect. And what does it translate to EBITDA margin? I mean, 4% to 5%, would that be a fair number to look at for us?
Ajit Singh
ExecutivesYes. So our overheads would be in the range of 4% to 4.5% Max.
Deepak Poddar
Analysts4% to 4.5%. So even if you assume an average of, let's say, 9%, so yes, I mean, 4% to 5% would be a fair range, I mean where -- as a company, we can work with, right?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesYes.
Deepak Poddar
AnalystsOkay. That's right. Okay. Understood. And in terms of BESS, I think you mentioned about 20% of orders you expect to get from the BESS opportunities, right, going forward? Would that be right?
Ajit Singh
ExecutivesYes, that's basically kind of mix trend, which is being witnessed in the market. So hybrid portions will definitely be adding on. So keeping that opportunity in mind, we expect that our orders would be also adding around 20% of the overall market in the segment of the storage that we insure.
Deepak Poddar
AnalystsAnd then what's the margin profile we expect in BESS?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesIt would be same as the solar. I mean the margin profile will not change.
Deepak Poddar
AnalystsSo 8% to 10% gross margin?
Chandra Thakur
ExecutivesYes, 8% to 10%. If it is only the balance of supply for the battery project, stand-alone battery project could be 10%. If it is including the supply of the battery, then it could be 8%.
Operator
OperatorSir, ladies and gentlemen, due to time constraints, that was the last question. With that, we conclude today's teleconference on behalf of Sterling and Wilson Renewable Energy Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us. You may now disconnect your lines.
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