Sun Art Retail Group Limited (6808) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
November 14, 2023
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, analysts and investors, good morning to you. On behalf of Sun Art Retail Group Limited, we welcome you to the 2023 interim results announcement. This will be held physically as well as online. Last night, we have already sent you the PPT link and also an e-mail for all those who have registered to participate in this meeting. And if there's any need, would you please go to the company website and go to the company announcements part under Investors to share with the PPT and the contents. And we have today with us Mr. Lin Xiaohai, the CEO of the company; and the CFO, Desory Wan. As well, Ms. Gu Xiaobei, Investment Relationship Director. Now first of all, our CEO will be talking to us about the first half review. Desory will be talking to us about the financials, first of all.
Desory Wan
executiveInvestors, analysts, good morning to you. I would just want to start off by giving you the financial highlights for the first half. The revenue for the first half of the year was RMB 35,768 million. While core business and same-store sales growth had been a negative 5.9% gross profit is CNY 8,889 million, which is a 12% drop from last year and 24.9% for gross profit margin, which is the same as last year. And the EBIT margin is 0.1%. Profit for the period, negative RMB 378 million. And for the contraction in certain parts. It is a strategic decision as well for some of the implementation of our strategies, including an inventory optimization. We have done a lot of work and achievements. And compared to the same period of last year, marketing expenses have not been as much. But for this year, we continue to normalize our marketing expenses and efforts. And for all these components and factors, it had resulted in our financial results. As for hypermarkets, the income for -- had dropped by 15% in the entire industry. For our core business in our same-store sales, it is actually better than the industry. In inventory for hypermarket, it is 1.4% growth. For coastal eastern region, we have increased by 4% in hypermarket. So for the industry in coastal China, it is 50% of the whole, and it is better performing than the entire industry. And also experience -- offline experience center and our online fulfillment are all working very well. And also with our tenant mix, restructuring and also with our rentals income, all these had increased. And there are a number of efficiencies that has been raised. So overall speaking, our financial strength is very strong and healthy indeed. Now let us look at store expansion. We continue to expand our stores and we have 3 openings of hypermarkets, 7 supermarkets, 1 membership store. And at the same time, we have closed some of the stores and that are -- that need to be optimized. And at the same time, we continue to focus on our core brand advantage in the regions with multi-format, and we have 18 secured, 3 hypermarket sites, 18 super store sites, and we are covering 221 cities. We are also closing some of the nonviable stores. For omni market traffic in the first half of the year, it is a positive growth. For offline, it is 1.6% growth online, it is 9% growth in traffic. Revenue drop is mainly because of ticket size. From the trend, we see that for the first half it is a negative 7.9% for our core business growth rate and first quarter it's 3.5% in the -- respectively, in the first quarter and the second quarter. The decline in CPI of vegetables, fruits and pork reduced stocking up mentality leading to a decline in ticket size. And so in the past years because of the stocking up mentality, the ticket size has actually grown. As for rental income, it is -- it has stopped falling and stabilized reaching RMB 1,543 million, which is a year-on-year increase of 1%. And the tenant mix of our galleries have been optimized and our 4% vacancy rate is the lowest in the industry. Gross profit and gross profit margin, as mentioned, with our contraction of the supply chain, which is 1 contributing factor. And this year, with our normalized operation and marketing, as you know, in the past period of time, the industry have been doing a price competition. And therefore, we have put in new assets, which had hit a temporary basis, our gross profit and profit margin. Now SKU for stores is 25,000, which is a drop of 10% from last year. And also in destocking for monthly it is a 10% drop from stores inventory as well. Now for digital expenses, it is CNY 9,616 million in terms of overall expenses, which is a decrease of CNY 798 million year-on-year or negative 7.7%. But if we take away the supply chain factor, in fact, it is just 0.3% growth. And in particular, personnel expenses compared to the same period last year is CNY 400 million drop and it is 13.3% decrease overall. And therefore, for our personnel expenses, we have optimized by 0.2%. For our working situation from working capital days CapEx and net cash position, we are doing well. So 58 days and 81 days, respectively, for inventory turnover and trade payable turnover days, which is stable. CapEx is RMB 440 million as mentioned, this includes our offline experience center and multi-format investment in offline and online. And this has resulted in certain hits to our net cash position, even though the net cash position is still very positive and healthy. It is a 2.8% year-on-year increase to RMB 20,893 million. Now with all the factors in play this kind of a financial position and with our strategy going forward from quantity to substantial improvement we are very confident that we will be able to continue to build out to medium to long term. And next, we will have the CEO, Mr. Lin, to talk to us about the business as well as our strategies.
Kevin Lin
executiveAnalysts, good morning to you this morning. I would want to share with you for some of the progress that we have made since the beginning of the year in the 4 strategies, 1 of which is the first proprietary product that we have come up with, and we have a 100-member strong team to promote this. And we have already over 100 such products which have introduced to the market, and there would be 300 blind testing of our consumers for each of these [ fresh ] products. And for our OEMs, we have a very stringent mechanism. In their production, they have to be very high level in their quality assurance. And also in our marketing, we are putting all efforts to promote these products of ours. So these products will have to be tasty and there's [indiscernible] and also a nut which will be taste-tested by our customers. So they will be very consistent in their price and also in their quality. And also the raw materials are all from the source from the field the source and they're of the highest quality. This is very crucial to our positioning. And in October, from 0 to 1, we have made the breakthrough, and this is already 1% of our overall sales for these products. And for our process products, we continue to put in the baked goods and also in cooked food categories, we will be these categories into our own products and brand names. And also, we are working with nationwide partners, and we will be developing further products in that regard. And in the last year -- last month of our financial year, we would want to grow this to 10% of our overall sales for these differentiated products and brands of ours. So this is a path, which is the most important path our future growth. And this is a foundation to all our strategies. The second strategy is our offline experience centers. So for our hypermarkets, there is a particular characteristic. That is very large. But on the other hand, for those who are families with children or retirement sliver hair groups, it is a necessity for going to shopping. And we put this as our competitive strength. And so in our past 2 years or so, we have continually raised environment in our shops in our stores in the services and experiences offline. For RT-Mart we have our -- in our stores, there is RMB 1 ice cream and also playgrounds for the children, and they are very happy, the children. So the parents can be more free in doing their shopping. And there are over 300 doors at the RT Mart, our hypermarkets, where there are a number of places focusing on these differentiated activities. And there we are providing a new experience, which is very physical for the customers where they can taste and feel and touch the products. And we have a lot of services as well. For example, in fruit and cutting of fruit and also in the cutting and preparing of seafood and fish, et cetera, we continue to provide all these services and we raise these as our competitive edge. So this is for some simple matters, which are done repeatedly and done well such as cutting up the pork and preparing the fish, et cetera, that is a kind of neighborly experience and service for our customers. And therefore, the traffic had increased in the double 11 just past, the traffic has increased significantly. And this traffic had brought on the gallery business. And stabilizing and strengthening gallery, and there is a rebound from the base of last year. As the gallery traffic increase and revenue increase, we will be transforming from just retail and consumer goods to restaurants and services. So it is a lot more attractive offline. So our motto is that the -- if you love life, you can have a stroll in our hypermarket in RT-Mart. So as to raise the value of their visits. And at the same time, we continue to steadily develop our online multi-channel -- in last year's very challenging and competitive market situation, we have an increase of single or high single-digit in our orders. And this year, even though there has been a slight drop in terms of our ticket size. But overall, we are doing very well in terms of our multichannel development online. Our MPF is 85%. It continues to grow and the comeback rate is 46% for our customers. So the experience definitely is good. And also, we're expanding our service from 8 a.m., we have made it earlier for our delivery to 7:30 a.m. start. And for the Southern regions, it is extended to 11 p.m. delivery from 11:30. Now in the past, it was 3 km in terms of radius of delivery. It's now 5 km radius and the more rural areas, it is 7 km radius. So this is 2 hours plus maximum for delivery to the home. So this is in terms of special extension. And also, we're extending into new omnichannel as well, [indiscernible], Elema, et cetera. In this year, for RT-Mart, it will be our main channel. We will be strengthening the digitalization and also membership the lending on our RT-Mart APP will be even strengthened. The gross profit margin and also the repeat customers are all being raised at the APP. So we will continue to put in assets into APP. We will also be paying more attention to third-party platforms. We are putting in efforts to integrate third-party platform, which will bring on further growth for us. So we are developing very healthily online and offline. EBITDA for offline is over 2% -- online is over 2% EBITDA growth. So it is no longer a margin dilution business, but actually is a margin contributor for our online business. At the same time, we are growing multi-format, as mentioned, we have opened in April in Yangzhou the first M club store. We now have 60,000 paying clubs. And together with our card ownership members, it is over 90,000. We're very confident that we will have over 100,000 card-owning members and 70,000 paying members, and this exceeded our expectations. So for the performance and also for our sales as well as our profit, it is very much in line or exceeding our expectation. So this is a good format this M club store. And there will be 2 more stores opening, 1 in Changzhou, the other in Nanjing by January of the year. And the club membership has also grown as expected. With these 2 new M club store opening, this will be in our new positioning that we are characteristic and unique in our format for M club stores with our chain -- supply chain management, et cetera, will be moving to third-tier store -- third-tier cities as well. And also, we will continue to follow this logic to provide more localized service so as to provide localized products to satisfy the consumers in the neighborhood and in the localities.
Xiaobei Gu
executiveThank you, Kevin, and Desory for the presentation. Next we will have our Q&A session. For those who are here attending the meeting. Would you raise your hand if you have any questions. And please introduce yourself, your name and your organization before you ask your question. The first question, please.
Chen Luo
analystLuo Chen of Merrill Lynch China consumer analyst. A couple of questions. Just now in the presentation, you have talked about the performance and some of the strategies. Now in May of this year, Mr. Lin has been very honest in your sharing. And this sharing is more honest ever I've seen in the capital markets from a management of a company. So there is a lot of pressure in the market in the industry and also in the GDP, and some are very pessimistic about the hypermarket -- there are a lot of digitalization and also some of the strategies that are adopted in the market and in the industry, it is impactful. Now for some of the strategies for our mid- to long term, they seem to be very visionary. But on the other hand, for some of the short-term strategies, it is coming under pressure because of the market, because of the industry. So my question is, for the short term, what are some of the measures that you can take so that in the second half of the year, there will be more stabilizing of the performance in sales, in profits compared to the first half. So this is to ask you about the second half in the indices, for example, some of your expectations as compared to the industry. The second question is linked to the first one, and that is the capital markets is very impatient now. And for short-term performance of companies according to the price, there are certain lack of positive expectation from a shareholder, do you think you can do something for shareholders. In the PPT from Desory, we see that cash position is rising even though some of the other indices are negative. So in dividends, do you have certain consideration? And the policy had been sharing of the profits. But in the next few years, perhaps over the next short period of time, we do not have clarity about profits. So can you reward the shareholders somehow?
Unknown Executive
executiveThank you for the questions. It is true that in the beginning of the year, we have already realized the challenges for this year. So yes, indeed, I have been very honest. And I think, to be honest, first it is important. We have to face up to challenges and problems that is the basis of our operation. And our team is also very practical. We look at the 3 to 5 years core strategy going forward. And therefore, we have invested into our long-term strategy of our self-owned brands. And this year, there is a breakthrough from 0 to 1. And for this year, the contribution from this to overall profit on revenues is low. But overall, let's say, 3 years from now, I think our competitiveness from our own self-owned brands will be a high barrier capability of ours. It is not open or doable for anybody. And also with our investment in the new format, and that is the M club store. That is our membership store. This is also at the highest level the industry. We are developing that at the highest level of the industry with this new format of ours, and it is possible that in the hypermarket from 25 years ago, we won from behind. So coming to the leadership of the industry. So we are very expecting that, that will happen again. And this is a long-term strategy of ours. Now just now, Mr. Luo Chen, you have said very clearly and very accurately, as management of the company, we have to look at the long term as well as the short term. In S1, we see that it is a negative single-digit drop in terms of our performance. But for our core business, even though -- it is performing well. It is also in a very challenging market. We so have to build up the confidence among our investors and for our company to bring in more dynamism and energy. So for our first half work in the second half, these points will become lines and become services. So in the financial report, we only had 100 SKUs and of our proprietary brands. And -- now we have 197. And by the end of the year, financial year, we'll have about 300 and the categories of the products. We are already in the top 5% in terms of these products. So growing from small to big in terms of sales for our self-owned products, they become a competitive edge of ours. Give you an example, beef for instance, this category, if you see for some of the offline stores or superstores, they sell pork not beef, then even they sell beef, it is local beef, China beef. No. And we have already changed that. Chilled beef is all Australian beef and we see that there is a doubling of revenue as well as profit for that category. In the next half, we will extend it to not only coastal China but the entire nation. So we are restructuring the mix of our products as well. Now for the experience center offline and let's say, for a show bar, it is 200 customers a day, and that is minimal. But on the other hand, it brings on 200 extra traffic to the stores by show bars and if it is a 100 stores then that kind of accumulation of attracting traffic, it will be a huge traffic. So that will be the cutting of the seafood or the fish, the playgrounds for children and all these attractions these points to line to service, as I've mentioned, the traction of traffic. And also for our ticket size, as mentioned, the traffic side had -- or the traffic quantity had increased, but the ticket size had dropped. And we have analyzed it is not because of per piece price dropping. It is rather the opposite. But rather each ticket price had dropped by one product. So for our big categories with highest penetration, we will continue to strengthen those in the second half. While for our stores, SKUs are lowering, but our categories are increasing. So as to satisfy more of the demand of our customers. So the ticket size will increase. And second half ticket size will definitely increase compared to first half. Now the third point is about profits. For the profits. In the first half, there have been one-off investments. For example, for inventory destocking, optimizing of inventory. So as the business was receiving our inventory had not increased. In the second half, it will further decrease inventory. So there is inventory runout investment one-off. And also in the last year first half, we have not put in any marketing expenses to speak of. That has returned. And so this is another one-off impact as well. This one-off, it will disappear. And in the second half, there will be an increase, an improvement compared to first half in profits. Third -- our fourth point is cost. Personnel costs, for example, the savings as far exceeded our expectations. Personnel expenses has a momentum to it. For example, as our business and performance and revenue increases, personnel expenses at the same time will not grow in tandem because we have done that trimming. So in the second half, all in all, for our core business performance, it will go back to high single-digit growth. And our fourth quarter, especially for the end of year for our RT- Mart in particular, customers do favor hypermarkets. So the exponential growth there is going to be very optimistic particularly for the fourth quarter, it is possible that we will have double-digit growth. And net profit as well. So the second half will be far better performance in the first half. So this is our short-term view for you. And while we are doing all this at the same time, we will be focusing on our long-term strategy as well. we are running a marathon as well. So for ROI for investors in the past 2 years, Sun Art in the net profit, even though we have not been making very beautiful performance in our profit in the past few years, but we've been respecting our shareholders, we have been rewarding our shareholders, where we can to our maximum of our capability, we will be sharing our profits with shareholders. So overall speaking, this year, our overall performance is more or less the same as last year, our reward to our shareholders will not be lower than that of last year.
Xiaopo Wei
analystI'm Wei Xiaopo, Citibank. I have 2 questions. One is a more macro question. The M club store, for instance, I think, for our infrastructure for our formats, I think this is very helpful. the M club stores. I think the membership stores to me, I think, is very optimistic. And this is a point of differentiation. So my question to you for this kind of model, what do you think are the prospects in China. And also, you mentioned just now that you are exploring different business models, et cetera. Now if this is successful what is your speed of extension. So that is to say if there is a transformation for the company, this is a great story of yours. How do you see it? In the past, we have -- in this, the industry has tried different modes and you have also RT-Mart and smaller stores, et cetera. So in your operation, what is your insight in this? That's the macro market? The second question is about our profit and the gross profit is very important in the first half because of certain adjustments. As you have mentioned, there have been one-off impacts. And you said the second half will be more optimistic. So for the medium to longer term, without these one-off factors, what do you think Will there be an increase in terms of gross margin compared to the past?
Unknown Executive
executiveWell, thank you, Xiaopo,for your questions. First of all, for the channel of M club store. In the past 3 years, there has been a preparation and there has been an explosion in the industry and the number of companies have tried, but have not been successful in the local markets. Now after we've come up with this M club store, we see that this is a high threshold, high barrier operation, 800 car park spaces and the huge store and it is really a remodeling of some RMB 70 million to RMB 80 million in terms of just remodeling the store. So we look at the industry, anybody with this capability of size of investment, there is basically none, none around the industry. Our #1 to #4 stores are all remodeled on our existing stores, and we have certain insights and special skills and special source in doing so. So we are the best performing in this area among all the retailers in the nation. And if you want to build a property as big as this now in the market, it's almost impossible. And these are very well-located stores in the respective cities. So the property location, our property ownership is our very big competitive edge. And also for the -- basically, for the -- it is completely differentiated from other super stores or supermarket. So we have even a special team to focus on the localities. And we have already built that, these are dedicated teams. So we have the organization, we have the structure for it. And also for a number of members, this is a basis for this kind of operation and the stability of revenue from it is important as well. So for May, for instance, we see the stability of the membership growth than it is a show of success of this operation mode. And also because there is huge potential for this kind of mode of operation. Therefore, in the fourth quarter, there were breakeven in cash flow. For single-store M club store, if we break even on cash flow, then we will be very optimistic about this kind of format. As mentioned just now, would be number 2 to 4 stores are already in fitting out stage. So -- in 3 years, we will have 15 such stores opened, excluding this year. So 5 years, we hope to pick up speed, even opening more stores. So the 15 stores, which are already in our plans, most of them, some 12 of them are remodeled on our existing stores. And we already have some 3 new locations, which are cooperations with the local governments and the local parties. And we highly expect that this kind of format will be another profit driver for us. We use 3 years to over take our competitors in the 25 years of experience and we will repeat that experience. We will focus on second-tier, third-tier cities as well where we have over 20 stores, then we will come back to the first-tier cities to open such stores. So we will be focusing on second-tier and third-tier cities for now. So Xiaopo, for your question, compared to Canada, American markets, there is Costco. So from population, consumption power, I think for China, more segregation of the middle markets that is the middle class with the emergence of that. I'm highly optimistic about this format. As for gross profit, your second question, as I have mentioned, if we are to exclude other competitors from this format, we will have to lower our gross margin. And no one in the industry, I would say, is as big enough in market share to completely exclude other competitors because it is very fragmented in terms of market share. So this is our strategy as well. The gross margin may have to be adjusted as well. But at the same time, we are putting in our proprietary brands with higher quality and higher quality of raw markets -- raw materials as well. So it is higher quality of raw materials to sell at more or less the same price so as to grow our market share. And if our market share increase to, let's say, 10%, it is a 1 point in gross margin increase. So in the next few years, in growing our gross margin, 0.5%, we are highly confident that we will be able to achieve that.
Unknown Analyst
analystJefferies [indiscernible]. I have a question concerning the other retail channels, we have also developed RT-Super and others. And I know that there are certain changes in the mix. So for our RT-Super and also for other format of stores, many stores, what are our strategies. And also for M club, do we have a separate sourcing team? Did you say that just now? And if so, how does it differentiate from a hypermarket? Is there any synergy or integration with our hypermarkets. So how do we see our back end. In the hypermarkets, for example, can we lower our operation cost for these stores there? Have you considered that point?
Unknown Executive
executiveWell, when I talked about the M clubs, the barrier of entry is very high. The remodeling is some CNY 80 million. But for our RT-Super, it is very low modeling is about less than CNY 10 million. So there are a lot of entrants into the super stores channel. So in this -- in the supers -- RT-Supers we have not differentiated with our competitors. It's difficult to do so. But on the side, we will continue to develop our RT-Supers because it will be able to increase our coverage in some of the core areas. With in Jiangsu province, we have over 100 RT-Marts. But if you want to open more RT-Marts, these hypermarkets we will not have the space to do so. So what we have done is to establish RT-Super, the super stores to cover these regions. And we have supply chain advantage. We have organization advantage, and we also have brand name Advantage. And it is over 30% in the market share of certain localities in certain cities. So for the superstores, it is to increase our coverage in terms of the density of our coverage. But for the smaller stores, the coverage in radius is the same as the bigger stores. Now next year, it will be some 30%. And also as mentioned, and the future for superstores, our -- it will be based on the radius of our online. So as to cover fully cover -- totally cover our users, our consumers, that is the purpose of our superstores. Now for M clubs, we have dedicated operations for the sourcing team, for instance. But on the other hand, for our back end, for our mid IT and platforms they are sharing with our Sun Art operations. It doesn't mean that there is no cooperation with hypermarket. For example, our proprietary brands teams, they support hypermarkets as well as M club stores. And it is some 20% to 30% of our M club stores. So this is for our proprietary brand names. And in developing our merchandise because so far, we only have only 1 M club store. So it doesn't satisfy the MOQ for our back office. Where the quantity is larger, we will be putting some of the products to hypermarkets and also to the non-same city stores. So as to kickstart our M club stores and also to share in terms of synergy with our hypermarkets. And we will be balancing the resources as well as personnel for hypermarkets and M club stores so as to kickstart our growth in the M club extension.
Unknown Analyst
analyst[indiscernible] of Bernstein consumer. Concerning the economics of M club, can you give us final details, please?
Unknown Executive
executiveFor M Club stores, the operation model is that we want the gross profit to be between 10% to 12%. And it is 23% to 25% for hypermarket. So it is a wholesale profit margin. So what is controlled and not controlled, we want to control it to 10% to 12% in gross profit margin to sustain our operation cost. And in our revenue, the it is RMB 260 per member. So if you have 100,000 members, you will know the revenue from that. Now we have opened just for half a year we are still a distance away from 10% to 12% gross profit margin for revenue of membership, it is aligned with our expectations. So for the next few months, we would want to increase our gross profit margin. So it is 10% to 12% in terms of our gross margin target. Any other questions? If there are no further questions from the meeting room. The questions online, please. raise your questions.
Unknown Analyst
analyst[indiscernible] of CICC with 2 questions. First question, we see for the retail industry, there is a strategy for SKU. There is more emphasis and there are new strategies. So for Sun Art in terms of SKU iteration, will it be faster than before? And also, how would it help with our raising of the level of our products. Second question for strategic adjustments, we have contracted our [ 2B ] business. So for the first half for [ 2B ] business, how much has it contracted -- by how much? And by how much is it a part of our overall revenue? And how do you see the medium to long-term developments? These 2 questions, please.
Unknown Executive
executiveThank you for your questions. First of all, indeed, for hypermarket, it was a channel type of retailer we basically had been collecting the tools, if you will, for this channel. But now we are co-creating value -- that is to say it will be merchandise-driven retailer. And that is the reason why we are putting a lot of assets into our proprietary products and our own source products. In the past, products at hypermarkets were really consignment sales -- and basically, we collected rents, lease revenue, basically. But now for RT-Mart, all the fruit is 50% proprietary and vegetables is 100% proprietary and we will continue to grow our proprietary products part. So -- in terms of our development, our proprietary will increase and also in our product iteration, it will also be heightened as well. Digitalization in the past was about fulfillment really. And in the first half of the financial year, we have a few new software. First of all, the software in terms of front-end and back-end stores are separated. Back-end is a lot more digitalized. And in the future, we will have a as well in the front-end of the store. And also digitalization of categories as well in the allocation of our stores according to the customer need, there will be very accurate and refined calibration of our categorization and also destocking. If you look at the 853 strategy, and that is destocking of inventory, 20% or 50% off and then 17% off, 8 5 3 discount strategy. Only with destocking, can we have new products come in. And therefore, in the first half, our SKU had dropped by 10%, and it will continue to decrease in terms of SKU. Now the categories would increase. So the -- so the sales for each category would increase. So the iteration for categories would increase and also for our proprietary products as well. Second question about 2B. First of all, hypermarket emphasizes 2B. And those quality users, quality buyers. Well, there were these smaller mom-and-pop shops supply -- and that has increased because last year, these small mom-and-pop shops were closed. Now this year's increase. And further for businesses close and welfare shopping and also business that IS 2B card sales that had been increasing in the first half of the year. So the businesses really recognize hypermarkets or RT-Marts, it is positive. So this kind of 2B business will still be emphasized. But there are some which are about sharing of inventory. So when people buy the products, they do not know it comes from RT-Mart. So there is no user specificity. So for these, where the gross profit margin is low and no specificity to RT-Mart, we will be cutting down on those. So for our 5.6 negative, just now, you saw the numbers just now. And we have another 2% to 3% from this source 2B. So this is our strategy for 2B business.
Unknown Analyst
analystChristine of UBS. Can you hear me?
Unknown Executive
executiveYes, we can.
Unknown Analyst
analystI have 3 questions, excuse me. The first question is about what investors are very much concerned about our near-term profit. You mentioned 1% to 1.5% profit for 2026 guidance. Desory, may I ask whether this is for the short term or the medium to long-term profit guidance? Do you have any update, please? And related to this question is about cost. Personnel expenses and costs, as mentioned, say, it is relatively so high as a part of revenue. going forward in the next 1 to 2 years, what is the decrease for personnel costs? Do you have some very specific measures to share with us -- so these 2 questions first. If the management can answer these 2 questions, I will ask the next 2 questions.
Desory Wan
executiveFor our core business, that does not include our supply chain business. For our core business compared to same period of last year, revenue, it is definitely a growth. On that basis, for our S2 net profit will be definitely better than the last year same period. And we will put in all our efforts to make good the gap of our S1. So even though there is market pressure, but we'll be putting in all our efforts to fill that gap. And just now there was an investor question about the whole year. In terms of supply chain contraction, it is negative 6% to negative 7%. And that's for Taocaicai And this year, it is 3%. So overall, it is 6% to 7% in terms of impact from Taocaicai. And for mid to long term for 1 to 1.5% for 2026 profit, it is the same. We hold it the same because -- as mentioned just now, for 3 years, we will be opening M Club stores or more of these, and we are quickly accumulating the capability to do so. 3 years, we will also be having 50 superstores. For this year, there will be 15 increase in the delta region superstores, and there will be more M club stores as mentioned just now. So for the new growth curve, it will be coming from these M club stores and super stores that will be our second growth curve. As for our hypermarket and optimizing our categories and also an increase in our ticket size for hypermarket, there will be 1% to 2% year-on-year growth. So for a 3-year CAGR, it will be mid single-digit growth on top line. As for gross profit, as mentioned by Mr. Lin just now, with our differentiation of products, gross margin will be 0.5% growth year-on-year. And also for expenses and costs, for personnel expenses, we have more breakthroughs and more plans. So year year-on-year, 0.2% year-on-year growth. And within 3 years, it will be back down to 10% overall. And so for 1.5% profit until 2026, we are unchanged. Now for personnel expenses, we have some deep discussions in order to raise the productivity personnel, there are a couple of prerequisites. First of all, standardization of products. In the hypermarkets in the past, there were no bar codes, for example, and there's a lot of consumption of human resources. Now with our new buildup of our products. We also have standardized products as well, and that's been completed. As we standardize, we will be able to do digitalization. And with things going digitalized and online and the refilling we will be more accurate. And also with computerization, there will be less needs and more productivity. And only with digitalization and standardization can we use more tools, example for you. Now for our products, they come in by frame by frame. In the future, they will be coming into these wheeled cages these wheeled cages will be increasing our efficiency and productivity. And our SPT software, for example, as we have more stores, these caged product with wheels will be pushed right up to the rack and from the -- so it will be a lot more efficient for our personnel as well.
Unknown Analyst
analystThank you so much for your detailed response. I have 2 more questions about operation. First question about the network of stores optimization. Just now it's been mentioned for hypermarket in your core, Eastern coastal region, it is some 50%. I heard is it 50%. So apart -- so outside of your core areas, you do not have any economies of scale, I would say, for your operation. So for the next 1 to 2 years, do you think would be the closing of the loss-making stores -- what is your specific plan? And in that process, will there be one-off expenses which will emerge. So that's about operation. And another question, just now you mentioned for your proprietary products and brands -- branded products it's from 0 to 1 development. And in your M Club stores, or your hypermarkets or supermarkets, there will be some sharing and integration or synergy, right? So for your hypermarkets and M club stores from ours -- the consumers profiles are very different. So my question is how can you say that there will be sharing of products or sharing or synergy -- how do you see the consumer profiles for your M Club stores and your hypermarkets? What is the sharing -- is there any conflict, please? Can you explain first of all.
Unknown Executive
executiveOn optimization, our core markets, we will continue to increase in speed of our stores in the delta region of the Pearl River Delta and also coastal Eastern -- Eastern Coastal region will continue to expand our business. For some of these stores, local localities with fuel stores, we will have plans because for hypermarkets -- for a lot of the cities, even though they are not performing very well. They are still the best performing in those cities. So we contribute a lot to employment rates in these cities and prosperity of the cities. And also for our contractor, there is a lot of bonding with the market. So it will be more difficult to extract ourselves from those markets because of all these other values they bring us. So for the closing of stores, the expenses, we already have some detailed plan? And will there be impact? Yes, there will be some impact for closing of stores. but it will be sustainable for our company. So our core areas growth, the revenue from that I hope will be able to cover our exit expenses. Second question, PB. For PB Team. It is a synergy of our PB between the hypermarkets and our M Club stores. For M Club, we have a brand and function and for hypermarket it is [indiscernible]. So the names are different and the packaging are different. The size of packages is 2 to 3x. So in terms of size, differentiation. And also for the gross margin is also different. Gross margin for M stores is less than 20%, but 30% to 40% for hypermarket. So for some of the products, there are synergies, but wait until we have 5 Club stores we will be -- when we have that many stores, we will be coming up with M club store-specific, unique products. And there are some sharing with hypermarkets in terms of products. But in terms of fresh products, there is no sharing of M club stores with hyperstores. So for fresh produce, there is no sharing as well. So this is a very good balance. As we increase the number of M club stores, there will be more synergy with hypermarkets.
Operator
operatorMorgan Stanley, David Fong.
Unknown Analyst
analystDavid Fong with Morgan Stanley. Two questions. First question, if you can share after October and with the mid-autumn festival and November, the sale -- can you talk about the sales situation and also about your members sales -- and you mentioned high single-digit revenue growth. Can you talk about whether this is 2B, 2C or if you can give us final analysis.
Unknown Executive
executiveFirst of all, in September and October, Mid-Autumn Festival and Golden weekend they were crossing September and October, and they were enjoined with each other. So for September and October, we look at it together it is a mid single-digit increase compared to same period of last year. Overall speaking, for Q1 and Q2, it has narrowed and for November, double 11 has just closed, our performance was very good. The growth was 1.2% on all channels, offline with 6% growth. And traffic has brought on a lot of growth. It was traffic over 4,000 increase. So for November, it will be a low single-digit drop. So for the trend, it is the gap, the drop -- the decrease had been slashed. So year-over-year, we are stabilized. And Q3, it is a net growth -- and compared to last year, December, January, February, there was less traffic last year, and there will be a lot more opportunities this year. So for Q4, we are very confident. Second question concerning -- what was it? Right. For the channels. B2C first of all, for the entire year, it will be a high single-digit or low teen growth or low teen growth. So Elema, we are working very well with them. And first half, it was a -- it is 15% of our B2 or 15% to 17% of B2C channel mix. And Taoxianda, it is a single-digit growth. And it's because of last year's high base for Taoxianda we will give it more time because for the icon in Taobao it is -- it has become Taobao [indiscernible] instead. So for the cooperation with that, we are still the -- their core partner. So we will wait still until there is a better optimization of their overall system. Within their own system and on their own website there will be more cooperation opportunities. So the B2C growth will be more -- there will be more add-ons. Overall speaking, for B2C business for our company and our total channel for this year, it will be 20% to 25% for this year. For B2B, Q2, it has narrowed -- the drop has narrowed last year with a very high base, B2B, we are at a flat situation with last year. And Q4, there will be growth. Traffic wise, there will definitely be growth in the fourth quarter. So total for Q3, we want it to be stable. Q4 positive growth so that our core business compared to last year would be a net growth.
Operator
operatorThere are no further questions. anyone from the meeting room. Any other questions.
Unknown Analyst
analystFor our 3-year plan, 1% to 1.5% net profit margin, is it at net level ex taxed after tax or EBIT level. For tax, we have significant tax payment. So do we have any tax planning so that our overall areas in terms of the tax, we can integrate them so that for some of our tax credit from loss, can we enjoy that to the maximum and also for our next 3 years CapEx, please.
Unknown Executive
executiveOn tax, yes, you've been concerned about that. For the first half, tax, profit tax number is based on 2 things. First of all, for some areas we are loss making, some we are profitable. The effective tax rate is already lower than our 25% normal tax rate. So for the first half, the company had done a lot of tax planning, we continue to do so. And that, together with what we've mentioned just now, for more areas, we are optimizing our allocation, closing loss-making stores and the tax optimization will also be used. So for tax planning overall for our year and for our mid- to long-term it is all within our planning. So this 1% to 1.5% includes the tax optimization and tax planning part. CapEx every year, it's about CNY 2 billion. So going forward, it will be CNY 2 billion to CNY 3 billion. And why is CapEx maintained as we open more stores because we have been optimizing our stores. For superstores, for example, opening a new store, it can be CNY 1 million or CNY 2 million plus or minus. So we have accumulated a lot of skills as well in opening new stores. Thank you for your questions. We close the meeting here. Please do experience and shop at our M club stores. And we have a small present to give you, as you go out of the room. Please share this with your friends and people around you. Thank you. [Statements in English on this transcript were spoken by an interpreter present on the live call.]
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