Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (16) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
September 5, 2024
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Miriam Leung
executiveGood afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. First of all, welcome to the Sun Hung Kai FY 2024 Annual Results Analyst Briefing. And I would like to thank all of you for coming under the typhoon. As usual, I'll present an overview of the results and the performance of our businesses, followed by a Q&A section with our senior management. Let's start with the group's financial review. Please note that all figures are in Hong Kong dollars, unless stated otherwise. For the year ended 30th June 2024, the group's underlying profit amounted to $21.7 billion, which decreased by 9% year-on-year. The decrease was primarily attributable to lower property development profit from Hong Kong and the Mainland, partly offset by increased profit contribution from property rental and hotel businesses. Including the net effect of revaluation loss of around $2.4 billion on investment properties, the reported profit was $19 billion, a decrease of 20% year-on-year. The underlying earnings per share was down 9% to $7.50 while reported earnings per share was down 20% to $6.57. As for dividend, the Board of Directors has recommended a final dividend of $2.80 per share, a decrease of 24% year-on-year. Together with the interim dividend of $0.95, total dividend for the full year will be $3.75 per share. Now we come to the profit breakdown by segment. The group's property development profit decreased by 31% to around $8 billion, mainly due to lower profit margin in Hong Kong and lower sales volume of residential units on the Mainland. On rental front, the group's net rental income increased by 3% to around $19 billion, mainly driven by a 1% growth in net rental income in Hong Kong, and there was also an 8% increase in net rental income from the Mainland portfolio. There was a recovery in inbound tourism, which offset -- which offer supports to the group's hotel business. And operating profit of $615 million was recorded from the group's hotel business, significantly increased from $161 million in last financial year. Profit from other businesses also increased by 2% to around $4.9 billion. Altogether, the group's total operating profit for FY 2024 was down 7% to around $32.4 billion. On financial position, as at 30th June 2024, the group's net debt was $111 billion. The net gearing ratio was 18.3%, down from 21.2% as at the end of December last year. Interest coverage for the past 12 months was around 4.6x compared to 6.8x a year ago, mainly due to higher interest expenses. The group will continue with prudent financial management. Ongoing measures of cash flow management, including strict control on construction CapEx and strengthening of our recurring income from property investment portfolio and non-property businesses. We will also strive to achieve fast asset turnover for property development business. We expect to see the net gearing ratio to drop further by end of next financial year with over $28 billion to be received by June next year. To diversify funding sources and achieve a better alignment of the group's RMB-denominated assets and liabilities, the group has been ramping up the use of RMB-denominated borrowings. As of the end of June 2024, about 46% of the group's total borrowing were either fixed rate debt or RMB floating rate debt. The group's debt maturity profile were also well staggered. The group is one of the best-rated developers in Hong Kong, holding an A+ rating with a stable outlook from S&P and A1 rating with negative outlook from Moody's. The group maintains a sizable recurring income base from its rental portfolio and non-property businesses. For this financial year, this recurring income base was just 1.6% below the peak level in FY 2019. Now we come to the performance of different business segments. As at June -- end of June 2024, the group's total land bank in Hong Kong was about 58 million square feet of attributable GFA, comprising 38 million square feet of completed properties and around 19.6 million square feet of properties under development. Among the completed properties, retail portfolio accounted for 33% while offices accounted for 29% of the total. For property under development, about 13 million square feet were residential property under development for sales. These developments are expected to be completed in phases over the next 6 to 7 years. During the financial year, the group added 3 residential sites with a total GFA of about 1.5 million square feet through lease modification. We also added 2 sites totaling 465,000 square feet of GFA after the end of financial years. The group will continue to adhere to its prudent financial discipline, including a selective approach in land banking replenishment. Regarding land resumption, the group's land blocks in of Kwu Tung North/Fanling North NDA were resumed by the Hong Kong government, with cash compensations of about $1.9 billion already recognized in this financial year. Another batch of landlords in Hung Shui Kiu/Ha Tsuen NDA will be received, and the compensation of around $2.7 billion will be recognized in the next financial year. Let's move on to the property development business in Hong Kong. For the financial year, the group recognized that property sale in Hong Kong increased 3.7% year-on-year to $24.8 billion, mainly derived from NOVO LAND, University Hill, Silicon Hill, and Grand YOHO. Development profit decreased at 23% to over $6.5 billion, mainly due to lower development margin. During this financial year, about 2.5 million square feet of residential growth -- floor area was completed. Contracted sales not yet recognized amounted to around $25 billion, of which around $19.6 billion is expected to be recognized in the next financial year. Hong Kong residential market became active following the withdrawal of cooling measures in February this year but has softened in recent months as interest rate remains high. During the financial year, we achieved around $25.6 billion of contracted sales in Hong Kong, of which 35% or $8.9 billion were from the sale of completed stock including dynasty courts. This map shows our new project to be launched in the next 9 months, which include a diverse mix of residential project across Hong Kong to appeal to different home buyers. There are mass market projects such as Sai Sha near Ma On Shan, YOHO West and the YOHO Hub in Yuen Long. As for luxury projects, in addition to the recently tendered Victoria Harbour II in North Point, we also launched Cullinan Sky in Kai Tak. Furthermore, we will continue to put up for sale the unsold completed residential units and some noncore properties. We will be looking at our Hong Kong rental portfolio. During the financial year, the group's rental portfolio in Hong Kong to achieve -- continue to achieve modest increase in gross rental income of 1.2% year-on-year to about $18 billion. Overall average occupancy remained stable at around 92%. Higher gross rental income from retail and service apartment portfolios offset the decrease in office rental income. The group's retail rental income accounted for about 52% of total gross rental income in Hong Kong. We have adopted a proactive approach to strengthen the competitive edge of our malls. This includes ongoing asset and service enhancement and refining trade and tenant mix to enhance shoppers' experience. These efforts helped the group to achieve stable occupancy of around 94%. Our major malls enjoy strong connectivity. They are located along the railway lines and are linked to the surroundings by couple of foot bridges. Not only do we partner with business units and tenants in launching promotions, we also collaborated with market players from different sectors. A number of our malls have introduced pet and family facilities by refurbishing their outdoor areas. For example, part of the open space in the New Town Plaza will be [indiscernible] into a children park. The Point, our integrated loyalty program, helps our malls drive footfall and enhanced shopper experience. The program has also leveraged the group's extensive retail network and hotel footprint to strengthen membership recruitment. The Point will launch a new function, allowing special member to prebook the EV charging service. The new instant point earned function has been extended to about 60% of tenants in the group's major mall. The Point also collaborates with the Go Royal, the hotel's loyalty program to drive synergy. Moving on to the office rental performance. Despite the challenging market, the group's quality office portfolio achieved an average occupancy of about 91%. Our portfolio benefited from the flight to quality trend. We differentiate our portfolio by premium building quality and professional management services. In particular, we adhere to high green building standards that meets the ESG goal of our tenants. We will continue to upgrade our major existing buildings. In the near term, some properties have already opened recently and strengthened our recurring income base. YOHO Mix and YOHO Plus in Yuen Long opened in June this year. These new malls introduced popular brands and restaurants new to Hong Kong and pet and family-friendly spaces. They are linked to our flagship YOHO Mall by foot bridges, creating the largest retail cluster in the Loft West new territories. In the near to medium term, the group's recurring income base will be further expanded as major new investment property come on stream. They will include Mall beneath The Millennity in Kwuntong, high-speed rail terminus development and Artist Square project in West Kowloon and a commercial project in Mong Kok. A highlight in the pipeline will be the High Speed Rail West Kowloon terminus development whose office portion has been named the International Gateway Center, IGC. IGC comprises 2 sets of twin block gray office towers and has attained the highest sustainability ratings. An entire block has been taken up by UBS as its regional headquarters. The group also exchanged the green lease with UBS to demonstrate our commitment in sustainability. The project will be ready for handover from early 2026 and is expected to create synergy with our other properties in West Kowloon, including the Asia Square Tower project under construction and ICC cluster. Now let's move on to our property business on the Mainland. As at the end of June 2024, the group's total land bank on the Mainland was about 67 million square feet of GFA on an attributable basis, comprising about 21 million square feet of completed properties and 46 million square feet of properties under development. Among the completed properties, 43% of them were shopping centers and 38% of them were premium office. Now let's focus on our property development business on the Mainland. During the financial year, the group's recognized that property sale on the Mainland decreased by 49% year-on-year to about $2.7 billion, mainly due to lower sales volume. Development profit was also lower at about $1.3 billion with satisfactory development margins. As at the end of June 2024, the unrecognized but contracted sales amounted to RMB 12.6 billion. About RMB 8 billion will be recognized in the next financial year. In FY 2024, the group achieved contracted sales of over RMB 11 billion on the Mainland, mainly from the sale of residential units at Shanghai Arch and Hangzhou IFC. In the next 9 months, 4 projects with a total attributable GFA of about 930,000 square feet will be launched. You may refer to the table here for details. Now let's take a look at our Mainland rental portfolio. During the financial year, the group's gross rental income from Mainland rental portfolio increased by almost 8% year-on-year to about 6.3 billion or up 11.6% in RMB terms. The major driver was the retail portfolio whose rental income increased over 16% in RMB terms. Also, incremental contribution from Nanjing IFC Mall and Shanghai 3 IGC Tower A also contributed to the increase in gross rental income. The group's major mall on the Mainland continue to maintain high occupancy with positive rental reversion. The portfolio rises above the competition with synergy within our large-scale integrated project and proactive management approach. Shanghai IFC Mall is a must-visit luxury destination and maintain high occupancy. As for the office market, although the environment remains challenging, the group's Grade A offices at Shanghai IFC, Shanghai ICC, and the first 2 phases of ITC achieved a satisfactory occupancy. Three ITC Tower A is ramping up with 70% committed occupancy. We have extended our success from Shanghai to Nanjing recently. The 1 million square feet Nanjing IFC Mall host its grand opening in July this year and achieved high occupancy already. It houses duplex luxury flagships and new concept stores together with popular restaurants. Three ITC in Shanghai is a highlight in the pipeline, which will further expand the group's rental portfolio on the Mainland upon full completions. Tower A office was completed in FY '23 while several other parts are under construction and are scheduled for completion from 2025 onwards. They include the Tower B, the 370-meter toll office skyscraper, the flagship mall, ITC Maison, the hotel Andaz Shanghai ITC. Both Tower A and Tower B meet world-class green specifications under the LEED and Well certification program. Moving on to our hotel business. The group's hotels in Hong Kong achieved a notable recovery, although the return of inbound tourists has been slower than expected. Room rate and occupancy continue to improve. On the Mainland, Ritz-Carlton Shanghai, Pudong achieved a record high in both average room rates and RevPAR. As for new hotels, Four Seasons Hotel Suzhou opened in December last year. As a result, operating profit of the hotel segment reached $650 million, up significantly from $161 million in the same period last year. Let's turn to our ESG initiatives. The group will, starting from this financial year, disclose its Scope 3 emissions for better transparency. We are committed to obtain LEED gold or platinum rating for our new major commercial properties. As mentioned in the previous slide, we have exchanged a green lease with an anchor tenant of the IGC. The group is committed to using renewable energy. We installed a superfast EV charger in our malls and purchased electric construction equipment to reduce emissions. In collaboration with a bank, our construction arm, Sanfield launched Hong Kong's first ESG-linked supplier payment scheme this year, which allows suppliers and subcontractors meeting sustainability targets to enjoy early payments focused on services. The group uses its resources to make Hong Kong a better place to live and work in. All of the initiative will lend us [indiscernible] to the government for the construction of one of the city's first light public housing estate. It will start taking in residents around first quarter 2025. During the 2024 Paris Olympic Games, we utilized our extensive shopping mall network to promote the Olympic spirit in Hong Kong. We also continue to promote reading and support a wide range of spot for charity initiatives. For more information about our latest ESG performance, please refer to the appendix of this PowerPoint or our website. Now I will discuss the market and business prospects. In Hong Kong, the economy is expected to register modest growth in the near term despite a challenging external environment. Potential interest rate cuts should further benefit the housing market, while rising home rents supported by solid housing demand. Relentless efforts by the government to foster a mega event economy and the recovery of passenger flight capacity will support the revival of inbound tourism. On the Mainland, policies in cultivating new quality productive forces, advancing high standard opening up and unlashing domestic demand will render further support to the structural transformation and steady economic growth. Supportive measures should help steer the property sector towards a more sustainable path over the medium term. As for our business prospect, the group's attached importance to cash flow management and will continue to adhere to prudent financial discipline, where we strictly control capital expenditure. The overall construction CapEx is expected to decrease meaningfully in the next few financial years. We will continue to strengthening recurring income from property investment portfolio and non-property businesses and working on enhancing the competitiveness of our portfolio. We aim to achieve high asset turnover for our property development business, including the disposal of noncore properties. With new major projects in Hong Kong and on the Mainland coming on stream, we aim to achieve long-term growth in our recurring income. For the property investment portfolio, one of our key strategies is to strengthen its competitiveness to enhance service quality in addition to leveraging the strength of its sizable quality portfolio in prime location. Over the next few years, several of the group's new developments are coming on stream, creating new sources of recurring revenue. The shopping mall underneath The Millennity and the High Speed Rail West Kowloon terminus development in Hong Kong as well as Three ITC in Shanghai will help contribute to the group's recurring income upon their gradual completion. For property development business, the group will continue to capitalize on it's strong reputation for delivering high-quality properties to achieve high asset turnover. We will continue to launch new residential project for sale when ready and put up for sale unsold completed residential units and some noncore properties. Finally, I would like to conclude my presentation with the following message extracted from the Chairman's statement. Over the past half century, the group has been shaping Hong Kong's cityscape with iconic landmark developments, which have built its history and long-running reputation for quality. The group's customer-centric culture has earned trust and long-term relationship with tenants and customers. Adhere to prudent financial discipline, the group has achieved sound performance and resilience in weathering various economic downturns. Moving forward, the group will uphold its unwavering commitment to quality, flexibility in moving with the times, and prudent financial discipline. Supported by a solid foundation, including time-tested business strategies and strong execution teams, the group strongly believe it will rise above challenges and achieve long-term growth by continuing to build quality properties to meet public aspiration for healthy and environmentally-friendly community. This is the end of my presentation. Thank you.
Unknown Executive
executiveThank you, Miriam. Let me first introduce the panel members. Starting from your left, Mr. Allen Fung, Executive Director; Mr. Christopher Kwok, Executive Director; Mr. Victor Lui, Deputy Managing Director; Chairman and Managing Director, Mr. Raymond Kwok; Mr. Mike Wong, Deputy Managing Director; Mr. Adam Kwok, Executive Director; Mr. Eric Tung, Executive Director; and Mr. Frederick Li, Group Chief Accountant. May I now invite Chairman and Managing Director, Mr. Raymond Kwok, to share with us the highlights of today's results announcement? Mr. Kwok, please.
Ping-Luen Kwok
executiveYes. Thank you for attending today's session. We'll try to end this session before the typhoon #8, [indiscernible] hoisted, okay? Thank you for attending in spite of the weather. During the year under review, the group continued to deliver resilient performance despite the challenging external economic and operating environment. Such performance was supported by the group's prudent financial discipline, extensive experience gained over the years and strong execution ability of its management team, the group's premium properties and services as well as a reputable brand also serves as a backbone of our performance. The group continued to launch new projects for sale when ready. During the year, the group's contracted sales in Hong Kong and Mainland amounted to about $37.5 billion. New launches in Hong Kong included YOHO West Phase 1, the YOHO Hub 2 in Yuen Long and Cullinan Harbor Phase 1 in Kai Tak as well as [indiscernible] in Midlevels and other completed projects. All of these projects received positive market responses. On the Mainland, projects offered for sale include Phase 3 of Shanghai Arch and the third batch of residences at the River East part of Hangzhou IFC. The sales response for both projects was very encouraging. For a quick update, after the financial year, the group launched Victoria Harbour II in North Point for sale by tender just last week. Several projects in Hong Kong will be put on the market over the next 10 months. They include, for example, the first phase of Cullinan Sky in Kai Tak. A new block at the YOHO Hub 2 in Yuen Long, a joint venture project on Prince Edward Road West in Ho Man Tin. The second phase of YOHO West, and the first phase of the Sai Sha Project near Ma On Shan. On the Mainland, the group plans to launch new batches of strong venture developments. This includes a new phase of the [indiscernible] project, Lake Geneve in Suzhou and new batches at Hangzhou IFC and Oriental Bund in Foshan. For the group's property investment portfolio, its overall occupancy was satisfactory, thanks to continuous efforts to make the portfolio more competitive. In addition to having premium building quality and professional property management services, the group's office buildings are designed with high green building standards that align with tenant's ESG goals. They continue to attract multinationals and domestic corporations. The group's mega project atop the high-speed rail West Kowloon terminus is set to become one of the most sustainable and eco-friendly buildings in the world. Its office portion called the International Gateway Center, the IGC, has secured global financial institution UBS as a tenant for an entire block to house its regional headquarters. This landmark project plus other new developments coming on stream will bring additional rental income and steady cash flow to the group starting from the next 1 to 2 years. To cope with the challenging operating environment, the group continues to enhance the competitive edge of its malls. Apart from upgrading its properties and services, we regularly refine the tenant mix of our malls and have added more pet- and family-friendly facilities in outdoor areas. The loyalty program of our malls, i.e. The Point, continues to expand its customer base and launch new initiatives to bring greater convenience to customers. Over the next few months, the group plans to double the number of EV superchargers at its malls, and a prebooking service will be launched soon for our select Point members who want to use our EV superchargers. On the Mainland, the group has replicated the success of Shanghai IFC Mall in Nanjing with the recent opening of Nanjing IFC Mall. As the third iteration of our signature IFC brand, Nanjing IFC Mall houses an array of prestigious, high-end brands. Some are Asia and global flagship stores. It is quickly becoming a popular destination and a new landmark in Nanjing. Separately, the remaining portions at Three ITC in Shanghai, including Tower B office tower, a mega mall ITC Maisons and Andaz Shanghai IFC Hotel are scheduled for completion from 2025 onwards. These additions are expected to contribute to the group's sizable recurring income base when they are completed. The group has exercised prudent financial discipline in land bank replenishment. During the year, the group added 3 residential sites to our land bank in Hong Kong through lease modifications with a total GFA of about 1.5 million square feet. Moreover, the group is expected to receive cash compensation of about $1.9 billion for the government's resumption of our landlords in Pudong North and funding new development area. Another batch of landlords in n Hung Shui Kiu/Ha Tsuen new development area has also been resumed with compensation of about $2.7 billion. In addition, the group is applying for a land exchange for other lots in the Hung Shui Kiu area. In keeping with our belief in building homes with heart, the group is dedicated to developing a harmonious and sustainable community for all. The large-scale project in Sai Sha will not only provide premium residents but also a sports and commercial complex, covering a site area of 1.3 million square feet called Gold Park Sai Sha Infrastructure in the surrounding area has been upgraded to benefit all residents who live nearby by blending green lifestyle with nature. The project is set to become a most enjoyable and dynamic community. The resolution adopted at the third preliminary session of the 20th CPC Central Committee affirmed that Hong Kong should leverage the strength of 1 country, 2 systems to enhance its status as an international financial, shipping, and trade center. It also supported Hong Kong's drive to build itself into international hub for high-caliber talent. Such efforts along with the government's initiatives to attract businesses, investment in talent are expected to strengthen Hong Kong's competitive edge. Furthermore, a potential interest rate cut should benefit the housing market. The group will uphold its prudent financial discipline and maintain substantial recurring income from its rental portfolio and non-property businesses. It will leverage a strong brand. It will focus on high asset turnover in its property development business while staying responsive to market conditions. Without compromising on quality, the group will continue to strictly control the overall construction CapEx. Riding on these time-tested strategies and the strong execution team, the group has built a strong foundation over the years. Going forward, the group will continue to develop quality properties that help to build a healthy eco-friendly community for the public. The group will also strive to achieve sustainable growth. Thank you. Thank you very much. Thank you.
Unknown Executive
executiveThank you, Mr. Kwok. So we now open the floor for questions. So before posing your questions, could you tell us your name and the company you represent? So may I have the first question, please? So the gentleman in the first row, please.
Mark Leung
analystThis is Mark Leung from UBS. So I got about 4 questions. I think the first question is regarding on the market outlook. So if the rate cut is around the corner, so what's our residential market outlook in terms of both prices and volume? And what is our sales target for Hong Kong and China for next fiscal year? I think that's the first question. And the second question is regarding on the margin side. So the booking margin for this fiscal year is about 26%. But I think in the results announcement, we continue to highlight asset turnover, cash flow management. So going forward, how should we prioritize the margin and volume for the new project launches? I think that's the second question. And the third question is, we also mentioned we are going to be CapEx disciplined, control or construction CapEx. But at the same time, we do see -- we do acquire [indiscernible] land site, free farmland conversion and 2 residential land site acquisition. So what's our thoughts on that one? And lastly is on the Singapore investment properties. Just want to check with management why don't we exercise the option to buy the Singapore ION Orchard Mall?
Ting Lui
executiveYes. On the first 2 questions, on the residential market, the relaxation cooling measure on stamp duties have stimulated our primary market earlier this year. Although momentum is a bit slowing down in recent months, I think this is quite normal after a strong rebound on volume. We all know that both the employment and immigration policies of the government are very well received, backed by the influx of talents and students. The residential leasing market has been very active over the months. And actually, we can see from the government rental index that the rents are rising quite rapidly. And upward trend continues. I think for some of -- most of the talents, they will consider buying a property and becoming homeowners after 2 to 3 years of adaptation to our society. And even in the local market, as the rents are rising and we are expecting that interest rate, there may be an interest rate reduction later this year, that will also induce a lot of renters considered to become homebuyers too. So for the next 12 months, I think the market will be very active with an increase in transaction volume. But since we are still in the course of the economic recovery, I think the prices may just rise modestly in the range of 5% to 10%. And for the next 9 to 10 months, we should have a number of projects to be launched, namely Victoria Harbour Phase II, which we are doing now, and also followed by the second block of YOHO HUB II together with our JV venture in Prince Edward Road and also our Cullinan Sky project connected with the Kai Tak MTR station. At the end of the year, that would be Phase 2 of YOHO West. And not forgetting our mega project, Sai Sha, the phase 1a will be marketed in early next year. We have achieved a total sales of over $25 billion, which is exceeding our target in last year. And we are very confident that we can conclude a similar or better sales in this financial year. And on margin positioning, over the years, I think you agree that we can always strike a balance between volume and margin. And for the mass project, we are usually aiming for a quicker asset turnover like the YOHO West project, which we have sold over 1,050 units within 20 days in the beginning of this year. And recently, even the units of NOVO LAND are doing well. And you know our cost of these 2 projects, and I think we can have a good and reasonable margin in future. Even for a luxury project like Victoria Harbour Phase II, which we are selling through a number of tenders, actually, we are doing a few transactions with average price range of $30,000 to $40,000 per square foot, which can also deliver good profit for us. And in the last quarter, I think you are aware that we have sold a number of units in [indiscernible] And this is alone core investment properties. We have a really low historical cost and this units are going to deliver handsome profit for us. Thank you.
Ping-Luen Kwok
executiveI think on the question about the -- sorry, the CapEx discipline, right? I think we are buying land that we're confident of selling the end units, right? And also, we are buying land that we predict the profit margin will be very reasonable, yes. And for in the primary market, the property prices have fallen to 2017 level. I think if government is prepared to offer a more reasonable premium, I think this could be a good time to accept, provided that we are confident of the selling the end units there. And regarding your question about CapEx, right, I think we would be developing properties. For example, we were developing investment properties that we feel confident of, yes. If we are not confident of the ratability, we're going to slow down on the investment CapEx. Anyway, I think buying land, we feel at the right time, when we are confident about the end sales, I think it's a good time, yes. And government has realized that they should be more flexible now, yes. On the Singapore ION Orchard, I think we have a very good working relationship with CapitaLand. And I think CapitaLand is transferring the 50% to their -- a listed fellow subsidiary. And I think we work well with them. And I think we need a strong local partner to operate in Singapore, given that our company is not based in Singapore. And we have -- CapitaLand and us have both agreed that we should continue to invest and make sure that our mall would be the best mall, best luxury mall in Singapore, yes. So we work well together with CapitaLand and we are confident of the future of the mall, yes. Thank you.
Unknown Executive
executiveThank you, Mr. Kwok. So can I have the second question? So the gentleman in the front row, please.
Griffin Chan
analystGriffin Chan from Citi. So I have 5 questions. The first 1 will be on dividend and capital allocation. So will there be any change in your dividend policy in 2025? Have you considered for more active capital recycling from the noncore asset disposal? And what is the capital allocation strategies between deleveraging, share buybacks as well as on land banking? So this is the first one. The second 1 will be on gearing. So are you comfortable with the current gearing level and debt level? So what is the optimum level on the RMB-denominated debt as a percentage of the total debt? And will you consider to be adding more onshore financing in China? So this is a second 1. The third 1 will be on the land banking strategies in Hong Kong, banking strategies in Hong Kong. So what is the group land banking strategies in Hong Kong? Given the land cost, home price is falling as well as the sales is weak. And what is the expected margin and the minimum return for the new land banking in Hong Kong? And the next one, the fourth one, we were on the China land banking. So what is the land banking plan for China? Will you consider to bottom fish some of the commercial properties in Hong Kong or in China or even will you consider to buy out any pod stake from your partner from the project in China? And the last 1 will be on industrial building convert. We will be considered developing or converting more of the industrial building into data center? For example, sale for submssion, especially for those in the [indiscernible].
Ping-Luen Kwok
executiveOn the last question, Allen, can you respond to that?
Yuk-Lun Fung
executiveYes, yes. I'll take the last question first. I mean SUNeVision, we have a very robust pipeline in [indiscernible]. It's a multiphase project. Our Phase 1 just opened, and we still have a lot of -- and we like that location very, very much because it is very high electricity, very dense in fiber. So we're going to invest quite heavily in that. Obviously, we will continue to evaluate other opportunities. I think there's a misconception in the market that there's not enough space for data centers. Actually, there is actually a lot of buildings, a lot of space, which can be turned to data centers. Just that they might not be great data centers. So we're continuing evaluating that. But I think the -- we will particularly focus on our [indiscernible] asset because this is a very, very good site and has very dense electricity and has all the infrastructure that can support the development of AI data centers in the future.
Ping-Luen Kwok
executiveAnd also for [indiscernible] I think we've incurred the land cost, right, there are still a lot of -- we still have Phase 2 to build, right?
Yuk-Lun Fung
executivePhase 2.
Ping-Luen Kwok
executiveSo we have enough land bank for the foreseeable future. By the way, on the total supply of land for data centers, their plan -- they really plan in [indiscernible] building.
Yuk-Lun Fung
executiveTotally, totally. There's actually quite a oversupply.
Ping-Luen Kwok
executiveAnyway, I think for SUNeVision, we also need to control our leverage a bit, right? So I think we've incurred a lot of the CapEx for the land in construction, right? So we would want to make sure that the capital is -- the productivity of the capital, yes. Adam, can you answer on the China land banking?
Kai-Fai Kwok
executiveYes, thank you. On the China land bank, I think 3 things. Number 1 is as our Chairman was saying, we have to be very agile, and we have to only build if the market has demand. And so even though we have, for example, 45 million square feet under development, well, of course, only build it if there's demand. And if not, we'll phase it out. That's part of our strategy to control CapEx and also being agile to adapt to market demands. And number 2 is that even with the core portfolio we're building and with the completion schedule we give you, our IP is going to grow from 19 million right now to 30 million in the next 3 years. That includes Shanghai ITC Phase III, Hangzhou IFC, Suzhou, Guangzhou, et cetera. So I think the point is we're very focused on execution because our IP alone is going to grow 50%, and it's not an easy market to lease it out and sell out. And I think finally, the third strategy and third point is on sales, on property development sales. We are very focused on monetizing an asset turnover sales. You will see we've achieved $11 billion from fiscal year in China -- from this past fiscal year, mostly from Shanghai Arch and also some from Hangzhou IFC. And you'll see that we also have ample sales resource from existing stock and also coming new launches in the coming year that we are focused on asset turning over and selling it. So I think the summary of all that is we'll build it out by phases according to market demand. We will also raise our focus on just executing on our investment portfolio growth and also our residential sales. And on partners and buying the stake of course, we're open to it if the price is right and the partner is willing, right, and especially if we run it too. So you should talk to our partners and convince them. Yes.
Chik-Wing Wong
executiveOkay. Let me pick up the land bank strategy in Hong Kong. I think probably as our Chairman mentioned earlier on, we are sticking to our very prudent and strict financial discipline when considering to acquire new plots of land probably our Chairman has just mentioned, 3 plots of land have been bought during the financial year. But after the financial year, we have bought 2 more pieces of land, 1 through public tender and 1 through conversion of our land. Go back to the 3 early on projects are all conversion from high land to residential land that we consider the location, the locality, we have synergy to our project, [indiscernible] to your hotel for the [indiscernible] is very unique area where the demand is strong. location is good, very close to the Taiwan station and the supply is not oversupplied. The first 3 plots and the following 2 plots of land starting again, the [indiscernible] is very -- it's not a big one but it's a very unique part of land next to the [indiscernible] MTR station. This makes us very confident we can build a very decent project could acquire a decent margin in due course. And the other one, the small one is in Fanling NDA, which is pretty a long-term project, but we are confident with a very low conversion price, which is less than $2,000 per square foot. We are confident we can, in due course, develop a good project in that new area -- development area and can fetch a decent margin. By the same token, we are adopting the same principle to acquire or probably through conversion of land to residential and in selective area -- very selective area -- we consider a very good price, we'll buy at the right time. This is our strategy.
Ping-Luen Kwok
executiveYes. I think to add to what Mike has said, right, I think a lot of our senior team members have gone through the '98 to 2003 cycle, yes. So we feel we have the judgment to decide when and where to buy. And I think in that case, the Hong Kong population will increase over time, and there will be also a need for private housing. On the dividend policy, I think our dividend policy is to pay 40% to 50% of the underlying profits so that has been our policy. Last year, the payout was 60% because I think earlier on, before 2022, 2023, we indicated to the market that we would be -- the dividend -- the absolute dividend per share would stay. But I think now we will go back to the prudent principle of paying 40% to 50% underlying profit. I think we need to make sure that the company gearing will not go out of our comfort level. In terms of use of cash, I think, of course, we'll be paying dividend. We will not consider buying back shares. I think we believe that in this current market, we need to be very agile and flexible. And therefore, we'll try to keep a low gearing ratio so that we maintain the flexibility to buy in the market when the market is further depressed. At the same time, as Victor said, we are selling more noncore properties that are yielding a low return so that we can recycle the capital. Yes, on the RMB loan. I think we have a lot of RMB assets. So the RMB loan is mainly -- we're just trying to borrow enough to borrow to cover the investment exposure in RMB because I think it's more prudent to match the asset and the liability. And also, of course, interest rate in China is lower, yes.
Unknown Executive
executiveSo could I have the third question? So the gentleman in the second row, please.
Karl Chan
analystThis is Karl Chan from JPMorgan. I have 4 questions on the commercial side. First 2 questions about retail. So for the first question, it's -- so recently, the duty-free limit for the Mainland Chinese tourists has been lifted. How do you see the impact on our group's tenant sales performance? And do you expect there maybe any other policy to further support the tourism sector in Hong Kong? So that's my first question. And then for my second question is in Hong Kong, how have the retail sales been like among [indiscernible] because most recently, we saw from the Hong Kong overall number is trending negative. So just curious to see how our tenant sales are doing. If possible to have like a same-store tenant sales figure in the past half year. And then in terms of rental reversion, how are we seeing so far? And then for next year, do you have any outlook on the rental reversion? Given the fact that retail sales are still mostly quite soft, do you see any risk of a negative rental reversion for next year? And in because right now, we are also talking a lot about the consumption leakage to Shenzhen, also some changes in the consumption behavior. How do you see -- what is our strategy to cope with these challenges? So these would be my 2 questions on the retail side. And then on the office side, just curious to know about the rental reversion in the past year. What's your outlook for next year? And then what kind of strategy we are doing in order to maintain a high occupancy in the Hong Kong office market. And then my last question, just it's very simple, 2 numbers. One is how is the occupancy trend in Hong Kong IFC? And the second is for the IGC, International Gateway Center, in West Kowloon. Can you give us some colors on the pre-leasing status? So that's my 4 questions.
Kai-wang Kwok
executiveSure. I think I'll answer the 2 questions on the retail market. I think so the duty-free limit on Mainland Chinese tourists was lifted -- just lifted on July 1. And so I think the full impact has yet to be seen. But I think -- but during the summer, we have noticed that there's an uptrend of Mainland tourists visiting our shopping malls. The public statistics reflect this. And so does our loyalty program because we see an increase in contribution from Mainland tourists who are joining our loyalty program. So among our malls, I think some of the malls that are located in more tourist favor districts like the IFC mall. They have registered growth in tenant sales. But also for our regional malls, I think the sales have remained resilient. And I think going forward, I think the government is trying very hard to bring more events and to promote the tourism everywhere in Hong Kong. And I think that's -- we fully welcome that. And we are -- we try to find different ways to work with them so that these events can also be spread and promoted among our malls. So for example, I think early in this summer, we hosted a number of promotional activities in our malls that revolve around the Paris Olympic Games. And it's actually been able to bring more traffic to our malls during after-dinner hours because that was one of the biggest pain points for the post-COVID recovery for Hong Kong. So we will continue to do more events at our shopping malls as well. And in terms of the sales and rent reversion numbers, so for the financial -- this recent financial year, I think our retail sales overall has been recently compared to previous years. Of course, I think there's definitely a change in the spending pattern among locals and tourists. But so far, the occupancy cost is healthy. And then we also see, in terms of rental income, we also see a moderate increase as well. In terms of the outbound shopping, I think it's a natural occurrence given the borders have opened. And for us, I think we just have to be proactive in managing our retail portfolio. So as the Chairman has said just now, we'll continue to bring in more new entertainment and dining options to malls, to introduce more pet- and family-friendly facilities and make better use of our outdoor areas as well. And we'll continue to carry out asset enhancement works. The most recent focus being on increasing the EV charging network because we feel that that has been able to bring us more car owners to our shopping malls. And usually, they spend more compared to non-car owners. And also, we also continue to invest in our loyalty program. So in this -- in the coming 6 months, we will launch a new instant earn service, so members can earn points immediately after purchase without having to spend extra effort to upload receipt. So hopefully, that will encourage more spending in our malls. And we hope that for customers, they would -- even if they are shopping for the same brand, they would choose our malls over our competitors. So that will be our target.
Ting Lui
executiveOn the office leasing market, recently, we have seen an increase on inquiries and inspection in CPD area as the flight to quality continue to prevail. And the decentralization trend also induced a lot of office users seeking the opportunity to upgrade their offices in terms of location and building facilities, taking advantage of a more attractive rental compared with 2 years ago. So our 2 buildings, both One and Two IFC are benefited as it is still the most sought-after location for Yuen Long financial institutions. Both buildings are now 95% occupied. And for ITC, it is also benefited by the West Kowloon Culture Area and also the high-speed rail. It is over 90% occupied. We have been very successful to retain our tenants in the last financial year for our flagship development [indiscernible] IFC and also ICC, we have already renewed over 70% of tenancy to be expired in the next 12 months. Whereas for other buildings like those buildings in Kwu Tung and Wanchai Causeway Bay, as most of the tenants are belonging to multisectors, they tend to renew their leases when it is closer to the expiry. But having said that, we have retained over 80% of our tenants in this financial year. Overall, for our office portfolio, we allow an average of 90% occupied. And we have recorded a mild negative reversion of mid-single digit in the last financial year. On the ITC development, it is situated permanently atop the high-speed railing and connected with the Airport Express Line and also 3 MTR lines and have superb connectivity to Hong Kong and major cities in Mainland and other parts of the world. And it is also staying along with our mature development ICC, 2 luxury hotels and also the Artist Square Tower under construction that we will form a permanent hub on commerce, culture, retail, and entertainment. And on the leasing side, apart from UBS, we have a number of Fanling companies under very serious negotiation. I think there will be some noticeable transaction to be announced very soon. It will confirm our position as a wealth and asset center in the [indiscernible] area. Thank you.
Unknown Executive
executiveSo could I have the next question? So the gentleman in the shirt.
Wai Ming Liu
analystThis is Raymond Liu from HSBC, so I got 4 quick questions. The first 1 is related to the Hong Kong housing market. So as you -- as management mentioned, there's a big slowdown in terms of housing market. And also, we see that the government is trying to support the housing market to try and stabilize it. Would the management expect there will be more supportive measures from the government to help the housing market further stabilize in the next 6 to 12 months' time? So the next question will be related to the rental portfolios. So if you look at the portfolio side, in the coming year's time, we see several major projects to be complete like the Nanjing IFC, the ITC project in Shanghai as well as the West Kowloon project in West Kowloon. So can the management share with us the approximate like incremental rental contribution that could come from these types of projects? And follow-on just on the third question, can management share some of the update on the pre-leasing process of the ITC shopping mall Maison in Shanghai? And lastly, if you look at the recent comment on in terms of contract of sales, in terms of revenues, would the management be confident to say that like the earnings of the companies have bottomed in 2024 and we should see some more improvement going onwards?
Ping-Luen Kwok
executiveChristopher, can you answer the question on Maison Shanghai?
Kai-wang Kwok
executiveSure. So the ITC Maison project is our biggest project to date, and there will be a mix for the mall section, a future mix of top-notch brands across best trades and livestock categories. So far, the pre-leasing has gone smoothly, and we have seen strong interest from a number of luxury tenants who are interested in setting up flagship stores at the ITC project. The plan is to open a mall by phases from 2025 onwards. And I think the -- so far, the past success that we have enjoyed and continue to enjoy at the Shanghai IFC has really given us dividends. So our team is working very hard to create a new project that is -- that incorporates all the learnings from our past projects and make it the best project we can deliver. And so far, I think maybe I can also comment on the Nanjing project, Nanjing IFC recently opened -- formally opened this summer, has also seen encouraging growth. And I think we've been able -- one of the -- we've been able to establish good relationships with our luxury tenants, and we hope to be able to bring them on to other projects and also engage them in special marketing promotion events so that we can bring more customers to our shopping malls.
Ting Lui
executiveYes. On the government policy, I think our government will continue to boost our economy that is beneficial to the sentiment and confidence of the market. And we are also expecting that there will be an interest rate reduction later this year, and that will induce a lot of vendors becoming home buyers. I think if the government can also consider to include residential properties as a valid investment for immigration to Hong Kong, that will be helpful to our market too. Thank you.
Ping-Luen Kwok
executiveYes, I think for the housing market and for the -- even for the office take-up rate, hopefully, there will be more Mainland companies and Mainland talents coming to Hong Kong, right? If a lot of the Mainland medium-sized enterprise want to go overseas, I think most likely, they will come through Hong Kong, right? So Hong Kong should benefit, yes. On the question about the rental portfolio, I think we are growing our rental portfolio. And I think the rental -- the investment properties location at the moment now, we are building slightly better than our existing portfolio. So you can assume that our rental income would go up per square foot-wise, I mean, the new ones will be better in terms of dollar per square foot, yes, because given the location is better and also given that the design is better, too. On your question about whether earnings have bottomed, I think it all depends on the development profits in Hong Kong and in China. I think we are feeling very comfortable about the recurring rental income. But as to the development profits, I think, of course, personally, I think the development profits should go up, given that we are selling more volumes, right? But of course, I think in terms of the market environment over the next 2 years, there's so much uncertainty regarding the geopolitics, about the politics in the U.S., about the U.S.-China cold war So they are a lot unpredictable. But I think Hong Kong has already gone through 4 years of recession, right? And our property prices rise. Property prices have gone to 2017 level. So I think development profits should stabilize at this level, but I think it all depends on whether the property sales market can sustain, but I'm confident in the long term, yes.
Unknown Executive
executiveSo thank you. We will have the last question, so the gentleman in the third row.
Karl Choi
analyst[Fen] Choi from Bank of America. So 3 questions. First 1 is following Mr. Lui's earlier comment on the high-end residential project like Victoria Harbour. As you know that the Mainland macro is still pretty uncertain, do you really feel that a couple of U.S. rate cut will be really that positive to the high-end luxury demand? And based on your sales strategy, will you consider focusing a little bit more on asset churn rather than margin maximization? Second, also on resi, on your upcoming Sai Sha project. Obviously, huge in size and in a relatively new area as well. So what type of buyers are we targeting? And what is the sales strategy and margin outlook be like? Lastly on Mainland retail, could you quantify a little bit the positive reversion that we achieved in FY '24? And given the luxury sales is pretty lackluster this year, any risk of turning into negative reversion next year? And in particular, if you can comment a little bit on the tenant sale of Shanghai IFC Mall as well as the leasing demand, that would be great.
Ting Lui
executiveYes. As I have mentioned, I think the luxury sector will be doing well in the next 12 months as we have seen a lot of luxury brands are coming back. And of course, recently, we have sold a number of units in [indiscernible] having a price tag of $50 million to $100 million per unit. I think most of these buyers, whether local or non-locals, they need more time to arrange their financing, but we can provide them very flexible payment terms and expect to record the sales later, maybe some 9 months, 10 months later. But the sales can change easily when we are providing flexible payment terms. On the Sai Sha project, it is a very unique project, blending with great nature and beautiful environment and attaching to comprehensive sports facilities provided by the Gold park and the water park and also different amenities with wellness and health and also very convenient traffic link. It only takes a few minutes drive to [indiscernible] and University MTR station. Over the years, we have extensive experience to develop to build and manage large-scale development like Park Island in Ma Wan 2 decades ago. And in recent years, that is the YOHO series, including the [indiscernible] YOHO and also the Wetland project series. Both of them are carrying a few thousand units. And lately, the local land project comprising over 4,500 units, of which we have sold over 70% already. And for the Sai Sha project, we are going to build and market according to an orderly pace and according to the current market condition. For Phase 1a of the project, only carrying 800 units, we are going to market in early next year, and we are very confident that it will be well received. Thank you.
Chik-Wing Wong
executiveFor the Mainland retail market, in terms of the rental portfolio for the financial year, our Sai Sha has achieved a strong positive growth, I think double digit in RMB terms. And the reversion is also positive in the double-digit regions. Of course, there's -- I mean, as you read the news, there's -- market has seen a slowdown in the second quarter of 2024, mostly, we believe, due to the gradual normal process of the border opening. But at the same time, I think we recently saw that the yen has come back up. So that probably will normalize over time. And we also have continued to stay in very close touch with the luxury brands. They are cautious, but I think similar to the office market in Hong Kong, they choose the best quality projects to expand. So take our Shanghai IFC, for example, we are kind of in serious discussions with some of our major luxury tenants to expand -- further expand their global flagship stores in the mall. So we are in the process of doing some deals and redesigning some parts of the mall. And we believe that, that will, upon completion, that we'll be able to push the share of IFC to a higher level, right? And as I mentioned just now, the recent opening of Nanjing IFC has been -- I think it's -- we can qualify as a success. And is a process of reflection of our the trust we have built with luxury brands. Second of all is also to the team's execution capability. So we believe that these can help us ride through this more challenging period.
Unknown Executive
executiveThanks very much. So this is the end of today's briefing. Thanks all for coming in despite the weather. So we have some refreshments. So have a safe trip home. Thank you.
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