Supriya Lifescience Limited (SUPRIYA) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
August 12, 2024
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to Supriya Lifescience Limited Q1 FY '25 Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Ms. Prachi from Orient Capital. Thank you, and over to you.
Prachi Ambre
attendeeThank you, Aditya. Good morning, everyone. On behalf of Supriya Lifescience Limited, I extend a very warm welcome to all the participants. Before we begin the call, I would like to give a short disclaimer. This call may contain some of the forward-looking statements, which are completely based upon our belief, expectations as of today. These statements are not a guarantee of our future performance and involve unforeseen risks and uncertainties. With this, I would like to hand over the call to Satish sir, Executive Chairman and Whole-Time Director, for his opening remarks. Over to you, sir. Thank you.
Satish Wagh
executiveGood morning, and a warm welcome to all the participants. Thank you for joining us today to discuss the Quarter 1 Financial Year '25 Results of Supriya Lifescience Limited. To take us through the results and answers to your questions, along with me are Dr. Saloni Wagh, Managing Director; Mr. Krishna Raghunathan, Chief Financial Officer; and our Investor Relations team, Orient Capital. I hope everyone had an opportunity to go through the financial results and investor presentation, which we have uploaded on the stock exchange and on our company's website. Let me begin with the highlights of quarter 1 financial year '25 financial year performance. It gives me an immense pleasure to announce that despite the geopolitical uncertainties, supply chain disruptions and macroeconomic volatility, our business has demonstrated resilient performance. The company has achieved a revenue of INR 161 crores, which is a 22% growth as compared to the previous year with a robust gross margin of 70% and EBITDA margin of 39%. This strong performance is a direct result of our successful execution of the long-term sustainable strategy which includes: a, enhanced market penetration and expansion into highly regulated markets, coupled with a broadened product portfolio within these regions; b, widening our product basket through the infusion of newer molecules and therapeutic solutions; c, securing an increased number of regulatory approvals while simultaneously focusing on backward integration to deliver high product quality; d, integrating manpower and leveraging technology to drive operational efficiency and achieve effective cost management; e, prioritizing R&D investments and ensuring supply chain stability. During the year, the company significantly strengthened its presence in regulated markets, leading to a notable increase in revenue contribution from European region. In quarter 4 financial year '24, the European market accounted for 43% of the company's revenue. This figure surged to an impressive 51% in Q1 financial year '25. Our customer base of 1,700 customers across 128 countries provides a strong foundation for our strategic shift towards regulated markets, which is poised to enhance the company's overall profitability by expanding into regions with stringent regulatory frameworks. We demonstrate our commitment to delivering high-quality products and operational excellence with driving cost leadership in manufacturing. The company has developed a pipeline of new products, including extending beyond its long-standing expertise in anti-stimulants to include anesthetics, anti-anxiety, antidiabetics and other therapeutic areas. These are the products scheduled for launch in the upcoming quarters. We also intend to expand our contract development and manufacturing organization, CDMO, business portfolio with the addition of molecule E -- module E, which will provide additional 500 KL of capacity. We are set to double our total capability -- capacity to 1,020 kilometers by the end of the September this year. The forthcoming ramp-up in capacity, driven by our ongoing expansions, will be a key catalyst for future growth. The company is leveraging its relations with MNCs for business development. The performance we have seen over the last several quarters reflect the transition of our business model from being predominantly focused on prime APIs to a healthy combination of APIs and CMO, CDMO service. With this, I hand over the call to our CFO, Mr. Krishna Raghunathan, to share Q1 financial year '25 financial highlights with you all. Over to you, Mr. Krishna.
Krishna Raghunathan
executiveThank you, sir. Hello, everyone, and good morning. I will now share the operational performance of the quarter and following which we will open the floor for questions and answers. The company reported revenue from operations of INR 161 crores in Q1 FY '25 as against INR 132 crores in Q1 FY '24, registering a growth of 22% year-on-year. EBITDA in Q1 FY '25 stood at INR 62.5 crores as against INR 44.5 crores in Q1 FY '24. And EBITDA margin stood at 39% for Q1 FY '25 as against 34% in Q1 FY '24. Profit before tax was approximately INR 60 crores for Q1 FY '25 as against approximately INR 43 crores in Q1 FY '24, a growth of around 40%. PAT had stood approximately of INR 43 crores in Q1 FY '25 as against INR 28.5 crores in Q1 FY '24. PAT margins stood at 28% compared with 22% in Q1 FY '24. We have significantly optimized our working capital by reducing working capital days from 215 in Q1 FY '24 to 168 days in Q1 FY '25. This improvement is primarily driven by a substantial reduction in inventory holding period from 223 to 167 days. Our annualized asset turnover ratio has strengthened to 0.68 this quarter compared to 0.63 in corresponding period last year. We continue to uphold a strong financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01. Significantly, we have maintained a conservative approach to borrowing by utilizing only letter of credits and bank guarantees without tapping into the working capital limits. Now we can open the floor for questions and answers. Thanks to all of you.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] Our first question is from the line of [ Parth Agrawal from Western Research ].
Unknown Analyst
analystI have two questions. One is the gross margin -- the EBITDA margin that we have for the top three APIs, is the new APIs -- for new API that you are targeting, is the margin profile same? Or is it lower, higher? Can you just highlight on that part?
Satish Wagh
executiveSir, let me tell you that Supriya Lifescience is working in the regulated market. Now regulated market, we all know that we will get the maximum returns. Whenever you go for a new API launch, it becomes a little difficult. You can't go in a regulated market. That time, you have to go to non-regulated market, but it's a short term. So again, it will achieve the same expected, whatever reasons are there will be delivered to -- by us to the shareholders.
Unknown Analyst
analystSo sir, considering that the future growth would more likely be driven by the new APIs, can we expect some margin compression, let's say, for 2, 3 years until the product matures for us?
Saloni Wagh
executiveYes. Correct. Like he rightly said, our Chairman said that till the product mature in the more regulated market, there could be a slight compression in the margin, but the goal will always be to be present in the more regulated market.
Unknown Analyst
analystGot it. My second question was on the target market size. So as per my understanding, whatever our traditional APIs were, the target market was relatively shorter -- sorry, was smaller size compared to what we are currently targeting. Is my observation correct or wrong? Can you just comment on that?
Saloni Wagh
executiveCorrect, yes. So now with the bigger capacity coming in and the module E going on stream by September, as our Chairman mentioned, that we will be doubling our capacity. In this case, with the larger capacity, now we are targeting those molecules, which does have a larger global market. So we are slightly moving towards larger global market -- global volume kind of products.
Unknown Analyst
analystSo does that even increase a competitive intensity for you, which was not there previously?
Saloni Wagh
executiveAt this point, in fact, we are trying to go with backward integration. I think that is going to be one of our very strong point. Whichever products we have selected, by the way of backward integration, we'll be able to make a significant difference in the market. And with this kind of backward integration up to KSM level, we are very confident that we'll also be able to keep the competition out even in the newer products.
Unknown Analyst
analystSo in the newer products as well, you are starting with the backward integration. You're not just testing the market first and then based on the size, you will take backward integration. From day 1, we are going for backward integration. Is that the case?
Satish Wagh
executiveSupriya normally, whenever enters any API, they always consider backward integration, much lesser competition, new products which can hit China, not manufactured in India at all. This is the strategy of Supriya Lifescience under the leadership of Dr. Satish Wagh.
Operator
operatorOur next question is from the line of [ Aditya from MSA Capital Partners ].
Unknown Analyst
analystMany congratulations, sir, and Saloni to you and the entire team. Just a couple of questions. So I understand the gross margins have expanded. But if I were to attribute between the increase to product mix or decreasing cost, what would be the attribution?
Satish Wagh
executiveSir, as I told you in the past, if you see the strategy very deeply of the company, company is born for the regulated markets business. Now everybody understands whoever are in this industry in pharma, regulated markets gives you better opportunity, better profit. Nobody doesn't enter very fast. And the pharmaceutical industry is such that regulated market whenever the customer changes the supplier's name and brings a new name, he is focused that in the next 5, 10 years, he is going to continue with the organization, he will not change the supply because today, everybody is shaky on the supply side, quality size, and they need a constant good vendor who implements the good manufacturing practice. I'm sure you understood now.
Unknown Analyst
analystNo, sir, definitely. So can I say that this 69% -- if not 69%, 65% is now the new steady state for the company?
Saloni Wagh
executiveSo like our Chairman said before also, see a lot of new launches [Technical Difficulty] in latter half of the financial year. [Technical Difficulty] so there will be some margin normalization, which will happen. The current margins are there because like we said the mature products are doing really well in regulated markets. So naturally there, the pricing for these products is much higher. So once these new products come in, we will again have a normalized margin profile. We have always guided about 28% to 30% in terms of margin. However, looking at the current financial year, 30% plus is something what we see we will be able to maintain. However, a concrete guidance on how upwards of 30% this would be, we will be able to give post quarter 2 results.
Unknown Analyst
analystUnderstood. And just a bit on the geographical front, so Europe as a region has performed really well for us this quarter. But North America, the revenues have been -- have witnessed a sharp degrowth. Do we see an uptick because new and new products are being registered with the USFDA?
Saloni Wagh
executiveYes. So a lot of the new products, which we are going to launch there, the North American and the Latin American market size would be much larger as compared to Europe. So once these products start contributing to the revenue, definitely, you will see that the North America and Latin American market share will go up.
Satish Wagh
executiveSir, I think my statement which had come from my side, I think you have not carefully gone through it. I said the products which we are going to enter will hit China. Did you understand, will hit China. There will be no manufacturers in this country in India, it will be Make in India. So for me, when I go to North America, Latin America, any part, I will be a strong alternative for the supply to China, to those people.
Unknown Analyst
analystUnderstood. Understood. And just last question before I come back in the queue. When can we see the CMO revenues kicking in? And does this quarter have any CMO revenues?
Saloni Wagh
executiveNo. So this quarter does not have any CMO revenue. We will start seeing the CMO revenues kick in probably by third quarter of this financial year. So third and fourth quarter will have some revenues from some of the CMO contract. From next year onwards is when you know you will start seeing larger contribution from CMO opportunities.
Operator
operatorOur next question is from the line of [ Jay Shah from JS Family Office ].
Unknown Analyst
analystCongratulations for a great set. And congratulations Dr. Wagh for really creating an alternative to China. I just want to ask one question that we are going ahead with the CDMO expansion. What is it that the management also sees when we are being approached by a client and even what is it that the client sees when they approach Supriya for a CDMO contract? Let's say from Supriya side, I understood by Ms. Wagh's comment that backward integration is one of our strong points. But what is it that we would also be comfortable when onboarding a client? Some qualitative aspects on both sides from you and from the client.
Saloni Wagh
executiveSo [Technical Difficulty] already have a set reputation in the market because when you work with these kind of multinationals, they already have very high standards in terms of quality, in terms of EHS. So if you're able to qualify with them -- pass their audit, it sets a very right tone in the market that you have the right kind of policy, regulatory and EHS approvals internally. So that is definitely one thing that we look at. The other thing that we look at is also the quantum of the business. If we will be able to take that product into our facility, how well it goes with our line of technical capabilities and do we have the right kind of backward integration capacity also created. So these 2 are the bigger quality aspects that we look at while onboarding any new customers.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. And second question is in this new facility that you are trying to start within the Ambernath CDMO division, would it be fair to say that there would be product fungibility as well as chemistry fungibility in that setup? Or it would be dedicated to a few products or few chemistries?
Saloni Wagh
executiveSo at this point, we have multiple lines set up there. This is going to be for finished formulations, contract manufacturing and contract development. We have multiple lines there, like injectables, bottling lines, tablets and capsules. Within the line, yes, there is product fungibility that we can use it for multi different kind of products. So this is the kind of capacity what we have created at Ambernath currently.
Operator
operatorOur next question is from the line of [ Jay Shah from SKV Securities ].
Unknown Analyst
analystCongratulations on a great set of numbers. So my first question would be, what is the total revenue generated by our top three APIs? And given that you previously indicated that the top 3 products contributed approximately 44% to 45% of revenues in prior quarters. So what is the status for those in this quarter?
Saloni Wagh
executiveSo unfortunately, we will not be able to speak at product level or therapy level in today's call. But we have always been saying that the new product addition will derisk the portfolio. So definitely, you will see a more robust portfolio moving forward.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. My second question would be, could you also quantify the contribution of CMO and CDMO operations to the company's overall revenue for the quarter? And what percentage do we expect this to reach in the future?
Saloni Wagh
executiveSo at this point, like I said in my previous answer, in this particular quarter, there is no contribution from CMO, CDMO. The contribution will start coming in, in the latter half of the financial year. We anticipate moving forward, let's say, in the next 3 to 4 years, our CMO should contribute about 20% of the total revenue.
Operator
operatorOur next question is from the line of Jagvir Singh from Shade Capital.
Jagvir Singh
analystCongratulations on a good set of numbers. Sir, my question is related to China, so are you seeing any uptrend in the Chinese market?
Saloni Wagh
executiveSo we basically -- we'll tell you, we are going to work in the regulated market. China, yes, there is. But many of the products which we continue and going to have in the future, it is observed that the suppliers who are supplying all over the world does not even carry a qualification of GMP, not even ISO, but people continue to buy because there is no second sources. But since, Supriya has a good opportunity while discussing with various of friends, various companies, that it's a USFDA plant. It's GMP, cGMP plant, WHO plant. So opportunities are coming more and more. And we would work for the profits in the markets.
Jagvir Singh
analystOkay. And sir, second question is 2, 3 years back, Chinese was a big market for us, so now European market is -- have a bigger pie. So will there be any change in the cycle, basically like earlier H2 was bigger than the H1, is there any change now in this?
Satish Wagh
executiveStrategy of the company, as I told you, we don't concentrate any market. We concentrate in getting more and more EBITDA and profits, for that, we have a regulated plant. So we try to utilize maximum the plant for getting better performance and better returns.
Jagvir Singh
analystBut my question is earlier, H2 was always bigger than the H1, so is there any change in the trend or it will likely to continue?
Krishna Raghunathan
executiveH2 better than H1, will it be?
Saloni Wagh
executiveYes. Yes. It will -- we actually are seeing very positive trend in terms of revenue growth as well as margin profile. So definitely, you will expect positive growth in terms of revenue as well as margins moving forward as well.
Satish Wagh
executiveHere, I'll give you some more information because I think when I was talking, whether you listened or not, I don't know. We are going to concentrate or we have been concentrating on Make in India process, which is currently only supported and given the material from China. We are going to fight with China not with any Indian company. And the chemistry is China, we should fight and get the performance. For that, people are interested with a GMP USFDA plant rather than non-GMP plants of China. So opportunity is huge. Future is great. Today, also, I hold more than 70% stock with me. I'm very happy that we will do good work, good job, which will deliver good results in the market.
Operator
operatorOur next question is from the line of Nirali Shah from Ashika Stock Broking.
Nirali Shah
analystCongratulations on good set of numbers. Just two questions I have. We are looking at CDMO and CMO opportunities and we already have one contract something like DSM. So we were examining ways of opportunities as well from this something similar to DSM, so any color on that, any specific details that we have now?
Saloni Wagh
executiveSo the DSM contracts are moving really well. We are in the process of registration of the product in Europe and Japan market as well as other regulated markets like U.S. So once all these registrations come -- we already have supplied to them smaller volumes for their food grade requirement. Once the registration comes, you will see a good scale up happening from the DSM contract.
Nirali Shah
analystAlso apart from the DSM contracts and other opportunities that we were discussing for some other advanced intermediates.
Saloni Wagh
executiveCorrect. So there are many other opportunities which are there. Two of them are at an advanced stage. We should be able to announce at least one of them, hopefully, by next quarter because we are expecting some validation volumes from this particular contract in the next quarter. So definitely, there will be some positive news coming.
Nirali Shah
analystOkay. Got it. And any update on the status of Health Canada's audit and your clearance for ketamine hydrochloride, any recent developments or any kind of expected time line?
Saloni Wagh
executiveSo no, we recently had a Health Canada joint audit with EDQM online, which happened in the beginning of last year, which we have already cleared. So we have no further notification from Health Canada. Of course, USFDA and NMPA China, we are expecting in the latter half of the year. But it's a part of our regular routine compliance. Our large USFDA was at a 48 hours' notice, and we were able to clear that as well. But as such no other audits are there.
Operator
operatorOur next question is from the line of Aashish from InvestQ FPMS.
Aashish Upganlawar
analystYes. From your presentation, I could make out that there is a marked improvement in the working capital components. So is that one-off or is this sustainable kind of improvement that we have seen? And what do we read from this? I mean, is the market become better for us to command better terms or something like that? Or is it just one-off?
Krishna Raghunathan
executiveSee, when it comes to working capital, see, right from last March, I think we have been having some sort of better numbers every quarter. In fact, the last quarter where it was the lowest, we always attributed that the inventory days will be somewhere around 150 and as of this quarter, it's around 167 days. I think this is a number which we will have to control very diligently because when it comes to working capital, both the receivables and payables, I think are all in a controlled manner for me. And since we deal with a lot of narcotic products, we do get a lot of money in advance. So technically, my receivable is on a better shape. And when it comes to payables, of course, we have been paying all the vendors on time. So we do get around to 90 to 120 days credit period, which is always happening. So the major part is something which is inventory, which we have been concentrating well right from last March that we will improve, which has been our commitment to the market, which we are doing it in a better way. That's it.
Aashish Upganlawar
analystOkay. I think the numbers that are given are for March '24, so quarter-on-quarter, would it make sense to observe that or it is really different across quarters or quarter ends actually?
Krishna Raghunathan
executiveSee, I think if you look at it, it is better to look at it at a year-end where every of the number would be, what you call, where all the year-end achievements will also be taken into consideration. I would suggest that you can look at it at the year-end, but yes, quarter-end numbers also -- see, we internally check every quarter end also, but for the market, I think you can have a look at every year, and that's it. That would be making more sense to you.
Aashish Upganlawar
analystAnd you mentioned that margin something like 30% plus. I mean I think we've been maintaining EBITDA margins of 30-plus percentage to be a normal expectation that one should have. But Q1, we saw year-on-year 500 basis points plus of improvement. So is that kind of Y-o-Y improvement is what one should expect this year? I understand that you gave some comment that beyond Q2, you will be able to give some guidance on that. But is that a trend that one should expect that kind of improvement, 500 basis points Y-o-Y?
Saloni Wagh
executiveSo no, like I said before also, this kind of a EBITDA margin profile is because of more penetration into regulated markets. With the newer product launches coming in, in the latter half of the year and their concentration being in more semi-regulated market, we expect the margin to sort of normalize. Like I said, second half -- second quarter would be a better time for us to give a concrete guidance. But definitely, it will be 30% plus now.
Aashish Upganlawar
analystThat would be the same then, 30% is the same as last year. So improvement will be...
Saloni Wagh
executiveIt would be higher definitely than 30%.
Satish Wagh
executiveSir, I will add something. You should be happy when I said that first time manufactured in India against China. So the price war is not there at all. There is a supply. The supply which is being created for all over the world comes from a non-GMP, non-ISO plans. So today, when a GMP, USFDA, ISO, every criteria holding plant comes, don't you think every customer will jump for that for the safety, so that is what is happening. So I am very hopeful that we will continue in this direction because we are here to work with only regulated markets, the ratio between 100% of production is 90% today. So when you sell in 90% market, you can understand regulatory in the area will give you more money because they want to create a secured vendor for their future supplies. And whenever a vendor is created, it is at least for 10, 15 years. It's not a short gap. Nobody will change only on price, but consistency, quality, integrity, these are the 3 works involved.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] Our next question is from the line of Tushar from MK Ventures.
Tushar Bohra
analystCongratulations to the management for a good set of numbers. So one of the slides in the presentation highlights 18 DMFs submitted to USFDA and 9 CEP is granted. Management has also alluded that we expect a lot of new product launches in the second half. So maybe if you can share more details qualitatively or maybe on specific products, what kind of launches are you expecting as well as which markets? And also, in the last year as well in the last 2 quarters, we have, I believe, launched a few products in some regulated markets, maybe some comment on the performance of those and whether the overall revenue buoyancy can be attributed partly to some of these launches.
Saloni Wagh
executiveSo in the new product launches, we are looking at therapeutic categories like anti-anxiety, anesthetic, we want to focus and expand our basket in this product range and anti-diabetic. So these 3 are the new therapies what we are introducing in our portfolio. Most of these launches are going to happen towards end of this financial year. But these are like our Chairman said that these are very large volume products globally, where most of the customers today are single sourced out of China. So this is going to be a very big opportunity for us. And we are very confident that moving forward, some of these products will really contribute well in terms of revenue and margins. Once the module E is fully operational, then we will also have the additional capacity to scale up these products. So that is why you will see a significant impact of these coming in only in the next financial year, although they will start generating some small revenue in the third and the fourth quarter, but the full impact you will be able to see in the next financial year only. So this is as far as the new product launches are concerned.
Tushar Bohra
analystAnd then on the products that have been launched in the last 3, 4 quarters or so?
Saloni Wagh
executiveSo the product, which we have launched, we have only launched 1 or 2 products in the last quarters. But currently, with most of the customers, we are under validation stage. So for these also -- but we are getting good traction of these products. But these products also to show full impact, we will at least need 1.5 years for them to start significantly contributing to revenue. But the ones which we have launched recently are low-volume kind of high-value products. But the ones which will come in the second half of the year, they will, I think, be the larger impact making products for us moving forward.
Tushar Bohra
analystAnd how many such launches, ma'am, are we expecting this year? Maybe 3, 4 launches or lesser or more?
Saloni Wagh
executiveTwo product launches we are expecting end of this year.
Tushar Bohra
analystSure. Second, my question on the -- I think we had mentioned in the one of the previous disclosures about the new molecule that we've taken in CDMO or CMO for a large global player, not the DSM contract, but another contract that you had mentioned. I think anesthesia or in that category only. Maybe if you can just highlight any progress made on that? And what should we expect?
Saloni Wagh
executiveSo we are on track for this particular project as well. Currently, this is in pilot state. So we are just completing validation for this project. Again, the time line for this one also remains the same. Maybe in quarter 3 of this financial year, we will start seeing some smaller volumes from them on the validation front. Like I said before, also probably end of quarter 2, we will be in a good position to make some positive announcements on some of the newer CMO contracts that we are signing.
Tushar Bohra
analystCan you also highlight any process on the whey protein contract?
Saloni Wagh
executivePardon?
Tushar Bohra
analystCan you also highlight, ma'am, any progress made on the whey protein contract, supplies related to that?
Satish Wagh
executiveI will highlight, Tushar. See, whey protein, we have to -- we were requested to go for FSSAI license. We got the FSSAI license. But after that, they said you go for the FSSAI license for the manufacturing and exports that had just received 2 days back. So now the discussion which we were doing for exports, that discussion has already started with the customers, and we are sure in a couple of days, things will start moving.
Tushar Bohra
analystSo in that case, with all -- with the new launches as well as some traction in some of our existing contracts, can we say that there is a possibility of upside risk on the 20% revenue guidance that we've broadly maintained for the medium-term, say this financial year, next year?
Saloni Wagh
executiveCorrect. So the 20% revenue guidance definitely is more on the conservative side. With all these newer contracts and newer launches kicking in, there is definite hope for us to do much better.
Tushar Bohra
analystAnd one last, if I can squeeze in. While we expect that with the new product launches being in senior regulated markets to start with, we'll have maybe some moderation on the margin. But given that they will add to the revenue as well as some operating leverage, maybe on the existing facility, do we expect that the overall EBITDA number should continue to trend upwards from here broadly given the quarterly variations apart?
Saloni Wagh
executiveCorrect. So like our Chairman said, yes, definitely, you can expect the EBITDA trend to be upwards.
Operator
operatorOur next question is from the line of [ Rehman Khan from Old Bridge Capital ].
Unknown Analyst
analystJust had one question regarding the Ambernath facility. Is it still operational? What are the activities being done there, et cetera? Can you just highlight some points on that?
Satish Wagh
executiveSir, Ambernath facility is under currently validation. Some of the equipments which have come, they are getting under validation. It will take at least minimum 2 months to start the production. But hopefully, within the next 60 days, it will go on stream, not fully, partially keep on going.
Saloni Wagh
executiveAnd just to add to what our Chairman said, the Ambernath facility, we will be focusing on CMO, CDMO kind of opportunities in the finished formulation side. So we have taken up a very large bottling line, tablets, capsule as well as an injectable lines. We also have set up in the Ambernath facility an R&D. And this R&D will be focusing on contract research kind of projects. We will also be developing some of the newer APIs which we want to add in the future. The development of these will also happen at the Ambernath R&D. So this is what we have planned out of the Ambernath site.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. And just to add on that, I believe in the last call, there were about INR 100 crores allocated for FY '25 for the CapEx for Ambernath, is that going to be the same? Or are there any changes?
Krishna Raghunathan
executiveSee, as of now, the CapEx allocated for Ambernath would be somewhere around INR 75 crores. If you add up all the last 3 quarters board resolution numbers, it will add up somewhere to INR 75 crores to INR 78 crores. I think that would be the number which we are looking at. See, the Ambernath already had around INR 30 crores, INR 40 crores of building, which we had already done. So with all these things, I think it should be somewhere in the range of INR 130 crores would be the total outlay in Ambernath.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] Our next question is from the line of Aditya from MSA Capital Partners.
Unknown Analyst
analystJust wanted to quickly check, when do we -- so the existing Lote Parshuram facility, USFDA was supposed to come for an audit in October, what is the progress there? And second part would be the Ambernath facility. So when you're saying that it will be commercialized in Q2, have you already registered with all the health authorities like EDQM and USFDA?
Saloni Wagh
executiveSo for the Lote side, we are expecting USFDA audit end of this year, so that is when it will happen. And for Ambernath, like we said, it is still under validation phase. So once we bring it to commercial production, we will then initiate the local authority certification, which is the WHO GMP and the local GMP. Next year, beginning is some time when we will trigger a USFDA or EU inspection for this particular facility. So you can expect that the clearance will happen beginning of the next financial year.
Unknown Analyst
analystUnderstood. Got it. Got it. And just a bookkeeping question. In Q1, what would be our exports revenue? And of that, what would be the revenue from regulated markets compared to last year?
Krishna Raghunathan
executiveI think if you could see in our export would be -- around 84% of our total revenue would be exports. And I think last year, I think would be around a similar number, around like 80% would be the number on average.
Unknown Analyst
analystAnd of this, how much would be regulated markets this quarter compared to last year quarter?
Krishna Raghunathan
executiveRegulated last year would be somewhere around 45%. This year, it would be somewhere around 54%.
Operator
operatorOur next question is from the line of [ Sahil from M&S Associates ].
Unknown Analyst
analystI just had a couple of questions. Can you help us understand the current market size of our top 3 APIs? And what value do we get for these APIs? And what is the overall outlook going forward?
Saloni Wagh
executiveSo in this forum, we would not be able to speak anything product specific. So sorry, we'll have to refrain this question.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. Okay. My next question is, I don't know if this was already taken. I was away for a while. Can you help us understand how the ongoing CMO, CDMO contracts and the size of these contracts?
Saloni Wagh
executiveSo like I said before also, we already have 2 CMO contracts in place. The DSM-Firmenich is one. We already have started supplying to them for their validation quantity and some part of their food application demand. Once the right [Technical Difficulty] approvals come in place, which we are expecting this [Technical Difficulty] and we'll start generating revenue in this financial year. We have about 2, 3 opportunities, which are at the final stage. So like I said before, by end of quarter 2, we should be in a position to make some positive announcement on some of the other CMO opportunities, also some signing of these. And in the next 3 to 4 years, we anticipate that CMO, CDMO should contribute [ 20% ] of our total revenue. On the conservative side, if the Ambernath FDS CMO also kicks in the way we are anticipating, it could definitely be higher.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. Okay. Understood. My last question would be, can you provide some idea about the newer molecules that Supriya is tapping into? And how many of them are in the process of getting approvals?
Saloni Wagh
executiveAlso like our Chairman said, as a strategy, we are focusing on molecules where there is a very high dependence on China and where the global customers are currently single source. So we are expecting at least 3, 4 products in this category anesthetics, antidiabetics and antianxiety are some of the therapies what we are focusing on. Also, we are expecting these launches to happen end of this financial year.
Satish Wagh
executiveSir, I just add to that. When I said that these products are -- whole world is buying where there is no GMP also, but the world is forced to buy. So you must understand, I am a qualified manufacturer with a lot of accreditations, so people will definitely come to me because they are safe having the process of every product, good manufacturing practice.
Operator
operatorOur next question is from the line of Hardik, an individual Investor.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeMy question is I want to know the update -- what is the update on that mouth cancer kit?
Saloni Wagh
executiveSo the oral cancer kit, we have just applied for the patents in multiple countries. We have just applied for the patent in Korea, Taiwan. We will now soon be applying in Thailand because we are getting a lot of active interest from these markets. Locally also, of course, we already have the patent in place and the clinical trials will begin very soon. But the export market is what we are targeting. We expect that in the next 1 to 1.5 years, we should be granted the patients in these particular markets where the potential is much higher.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeSo in terms of like revenue, what would be the potential size that we'll get benefit out of this?
Saloni Wagh
executiveSo at this point, it is too premature to talk in terms of revenue because this is a very novel technology, where first time some company is going to launch. Globally, there is no like-to-like product. So it would be too premature to talk about revenues. But definitely, in the next coming quarters, we'll have concrete revenues in place that we'll be able to share.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeOkay. And complete commercial production process would take a few quarters, right, as I understand?
Saloni Wagh
executiveIt will take a few years, at least 2 years is what we are anticipating.
Operator
operatorOur next question is from the line of Shubham from Purnartha Investment Advisers.
Shubham Harne
analystCan you share some detail about Brazilian opportunity?
Satish Wagh
executiveSee, Brazilian after the audit and approval of Brazil government, the authority, we are talking with our customers recently. Last 10 days back, we were in Brazil and Mexico. More and more discussion, we have seen the opportunities for the new products and the current basket to increase. And I'm sure it will be done because the government has already given last ultimatum to every formulation manufacturer in Brazil that every product which comes to the country, to their country, there should be a GMP certificate. If not, then the source has to be changed. Otherwise, that product will be stopped. So there is an ultimatum for them. So we have good opportunities. We have been -- we have discussed with our customers and come back just 48 hours back only. So we are definitely going to increase our basket in Brazil and Mexico market.
Shubham Harne
analystOkay. So when can we expect some revenue from Brazil market?
Satish Wagh
executiveAlready, revenue is coming up. There is no new revenue. We are present in Brazil for the last 18 years. If you see every year, it is increasing. Only the question was some of the APIs approval and the new notification of the government, which came into force. We are very quick. Within a span of 1 year, we've already done the audit. So I'm sure that the things will improve and the companies will be forced to take their decision for changing the source because the government has given ultimatum that if you don't do it by December 2024, the things will not come from the non-GMP plants from China. And with the 38 years' experience widely traveling all over the world in China also I have seen, there are manufacturers who does not have even GMPs, but selling all over the world. So the new things will start moving. I'm sure we will have good opportunity, and we will definitely take the advantage of that particular notification of Brazil government.
Operator
operatorThank you. In the interest of time, this will be our last question. On behalf of Supriya Lifescience Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.
Saloni Wagh
executiveThank you.
Satish Wagh
executiveThank you very much.
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