Suryoday Small Finance Bank Limited (SURYODAY) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
January 23, 2026
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorGood day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Suryoday Small Finance Bank Limited Q3 9M FY '26 Earnings Conference Call hosted by Arihant Capital Markets Limited. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand over the conference to Ms. Juhi from Arihant Capital Markets Limited. Thank you, and over to you, ma'am.
Unknown Analyst
analystHello, and good morning to everyone. On behalf of Arihant Capital Markets, I thank you all for joining into Q3 and 9 Months Financial Year 2026 Earnings Conference Call of Suryoday Small Finance Bank Limited. Today from the management, we have Mr. Baskar Babu Ramachandran, MD and CEO; Mr. Hemant Shah, Executive Director; Mr. Kanishka Chaudhary, Chief Financial Officer; Mr. Himadri Das, Investor Relations Head. So without any further delay, I now hand over the call to the management for opening remarks. Over to you.
Baskar Ramachandran
executiveThank you, Juhi. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us for the Suryoday Small Finance Bank Limited's Q3 and 9 months FY '26 Earnings Conference Call. On behalf of the entire Suryoday team, I wish you a Happy Basant Panchami. We're happy to know that we are stepping into our 10th year of our journey, taking you through the bank's performance for Q3 and 9 months FY '26. As of December 31, 2025, gross advances stood at INR 11,885 crores, registering a healthy year-on-year growth of 24.3% compared to INR 9,563 crores last year. Disbursements, excluding supply chain finance during the 9 months ended December 2025 by INR 6,230 crores, up 30.2% from INR 4,785 crores in the same period last year. While the broader microfinance industry continues to navigate through a phase of tighter underwriting and asset quality normalization, we are seeing visible signs of stabilization and growth. Growth momentum remained healthy across key segments particularly in inclusive finance, wheels, mortgages, digital deposits and credit on UPI. On the inclusive finance side, disposals have largely returned to earlier run rates with the business now clocking closer to INR 500 crores per month. Collection efficiency continues to improve with the current bucket for the IF portfolio inching towards 99.5%. As highlighted earlier, our strategic shift from the JLG model towards individual lending continues to gain traction. Individual loans now constitute approximately 72% of the inclusive finance book, enhancing customer quality and portfolio granularity. Importantly, close to 99% of our inclusive finance portfolio remains covered under the CGFMU scheme providing strong capital protection during periods of unforeseen industry stress. Vikas Loan disbursement during 9 months FY '26 stood at INR 2,729 crores, reflecting sustained year-on-year growth. The increasing share of new-to-bank Vikas Loan cash loan customer is expected to further strengthen portfolio stability and risk adjusted returns. On the retail asset momentum in both the commercial vehicles and mortgage business continues. The commercial vehicle portfolio grew from INR 1,190 crores in December 2024 to INR 1,609 crores in December 2025, registering a year on growth of 35%. While the CV segment has witnessed some stress earlier, we are now seeing clear signs of improvement in collections, asset quality trends. Our focus remains on building a granular retail franchise, but also selectively scaling commercial equipment in financing and used vehicle lending. The mortgage book, which includes micro mortgages expanded from INR 1,999 crores in December 2024 to INR 2,778 crores as of December 2025, growing by 39% year-on-year. The strategy of focusing on select micro markets and cash flow-based underwriting continues to deliver steady and sustainable growth. In addition, our unsecured business loan portfolio is growing at a healthy and calibrated pace which is now clocking a run rate of INR 20 crores per month with a portfolio cost of INR 115 crores in the MSME portfolio, further strengthening the retail asset mix. On the liability side, our deposit base expanded to INR 12,865 crores as of December 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 32.5% from INR 9,708 crores. Retail deposits continued to strengthen with a share improving to 87%. Our CASA ratio stood at 21.2%, underscoring improving deposit granularity and franchise debt. Digital continues to be a key growth driver for the bank. Digitally sourced deposits now contribute nearly 30% of incremental deposit accretion and continue to bring momentum. This channel has enabled us to acquire mass affluent large pool of retail customers at a significantly lower acquisition cost and with high scalability. Asset quality trends are well within the expected rate as of December 2025, our GNPA ratio stood at 6.6%. the CGFMU cover continues to safeguard the bank's balance sheet, with 100% claim rate on the eligible portfolio since inception. Out of an NPA of INR 501 crores as of December '25, INR 467 crores are receivable under the various cohorts under CGFMU scheme. Moving to financial performance. Net total income for 9 months FY '26 increased by 3.2% year-on-year from INR 1,019 crores to INR 1,052 crores. Q3 FY '26 increased by 16.2% year-on-year from INR 308 crores to INR 358 crores. Net interest income decreased from INR 862 crores to INR 782 crores, while pre-provision operating profit decreased from INR 343 crores to INR 277 crores. Our cost of funds stood at 7.7% as of December 2025, same as a year earlier. The cost-to-income ratio for 9 months FY '26 increased by 73.6% from 64 -- 66.4% in the corresponding period last year. Profit before tax for the period stood at INR 102.2 crores versus INR 148.7 crores in the last year. The bank continues to maintain a strong capital adequacy ratio of 21.9% well above the regulatory requirement of 15%, providing adequate headroom for future growth. On the digital asset side, we will be credit on UPI has the potential to be a game changer for the industry. The product allows customers to start with low credit limits and graduate over a period of time based on repayment behavior and transaction history. Our partnership with Paytm in this space has shown strong early traction with customer onboarding growing exponentially with 2.2 lakh active customers in 1 quarter, along with products such as secured credit cards, digital MSME loans and digital deposits, these offerings are helping us build a fully integrated digital banking ecosystem. Our customer base expanded to nearly 3.7 million as of December '25, compared to 3.3 million a year earlier, representing close to 1% of the Indian households. So our focus remains on serving this base more deeply and meaningfully. Overall, with a largely CGFMU covered unsecured book, a growing base of granular retail assets across CV, mortgages and MHL, a strengthening deposit franchise and robust digital infrastructure anchored the products like credit on UPI and digital deposits, we believe Suryoday is firmly on the right path to building a resilient long-term institution. With improving repayment behavior, disciplined credit process using portfolio stress and improvement in cost to income, we expect the coming quarters to mark a phase of stability and consolidation setting the stage for healthier and more balanced growth in FY '27. Thank you for your time. We'll be happy to take your questions.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Deepak Poddar from Sapphire Capital.
Deepak Poddar
analystJust wanted to understand, first up, I mean, across the industry, we have seen, in general, the gross NPA declining on a quarter-on-quarter basis. But for us, it has increased. So what led to that? And how do we see gross NPA going forward?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveSo one of the things that we will need to keep in mind is that our entire MFI book is covered under the credit guarantee scheme. So we don't really look forward to quarter-on-quarter write-offs, all of these will essentially get squared off at the time of us making a claim.
Deepak Poddar
analystOkay. Okay. So basically, because of lesser write-off, I mean, it's still in the books, so it's coming in your...
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveCorrect. And as you would have noted that in Q2, after we got the INR 340-odd crores claim honored by the credit guarantee fund, we did a major write-off at that particular point in time. So our write-offs will be coterminous with the claims that get received by us.
Deepak Poddar
analystOkay. Correct. Okay. Okay. I got it. And in terms of your PSLC, how do you see fourth quarter -- I mean, PSLC mean -- and what was your PSLC income this quarter, third quarter?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveSo in Q3, we made about INR 6 crores as against INR 10 crores in Q2. But this year has generally been a very rich year for the PSLC market. On an average, they were trading at around 2.65% versus 1.9% last year. So at this time, it's a little difficult to predict what the market demand will be in Q4, but typically, in the last 2 years, we have seen that there is an active market towards the end of Q4.
Deepak Poddar
analystI mean you have said in the past as well, I mean, for fourth quarter, generally, your PSLC income would be -- generally tends to be higher.
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveCorrect.
Deepak Poddar
analystOkay, understood. And on cost to income, I mean you spoke about improvement in cost to income. So any sort of benchmark we have where we want to reach in how much time?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveSo I think the first code of call for us will be that in the next financial year, we are able to come well below the 65% mark because we would have by Q1 cleared up on nonpaying book in the portfolio. So that's where we start the beginning of the year and then see what kind of improvements we are able to do. But the important point to note is that insofar as our corporate costs are concerned, they have remained more or less at the same level over the last 4 quarters.
Deepak Poddar
analystOkay. So currently, I think we are doing around 75%, right? So next year, you're targeting below 65%, that's a big jump, right?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveYes. I think with the increase in the paying book, our number will be under 65% would not be difficult for us to achieve.
Deepak Poddar
analystOkay. Understood. And just one last thing on FY '27, any sort of guidance you can provide in terms of growth and ROAs?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveWell, it's a little too early as you can see how the market is evolving, right? But what do we see is that especially in our MFI business, our ex-bucket collection efficiency will be back to normal, which in this industry is 99.5%. So that will be a starting point for us to building for the results of FY '27.
Deepak Poddar
analystCorrect. And what's our steady state credit cost in general, I mean, now since we are going towards normalcy, right, entire industry as such, so...
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveYes. So I think with the kind of mix that we have today in our portfolio in the bank, we would want to have a credit cost of not more than 1%.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Shailesh from Central Broking.
Shailesh Kanani
analystI have 3 questions. Congratulations on the quarter. So it is encouraging to see that we have seen good balance sheet growth this time around during the quarter. So my first question is on earnings growth. So several peers have reported strong quarter-on-quarter improvement in profitability. largely driven by asset quality and recovery in MFI disbursement, right? So could you outline when we should expect a similar earnings trajectory for Suryoday?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveYes. I think if you look at this quarter, our portfolio grew by around 7%, which translated into an earnings growth of around 20% quarter-on-quarter. As we see it, I think starting Q1 of next year with the entire remaining bad book going out, we will naturally see an uptick in our earnings.
Shailesh Kanani
analystSo not fourth quarter or the first quarter FY '27 should be the same as the quarter where there will be substantial jump in the quarter-on-quarter earnings growth?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveYes. So Q4 will certainly be much better than Q3, even where we stand today. And that's largely because of the fact that there has been a steady increase in my paying book. My paying book has increased by around INR 170 crores, INR 180 crores in this 1 quarter itself. So that trend will continue and we see a significant increase in our paying book, especially in MFI in Q4 as well. We had just shared under 99.5% in the ex-bucket collection, and we are very confident that we will be able to reach the 99.5% target beginning Jan.
Shailesh Kanani
analystYes. So that's a good probability that the fourth quarter profitability and quarter-on-quarter basis can be very good. Okay, fair enough.
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveYes, yes. It can be higher than the 36% that we have disbursed.
Shailesh Kanani
analystYes, yes. That is what I was understand -- trying to understand. Okay. So my second question relates to asset quality. So in line with earlier guidance, there has been a gross slippage, there has been a moderation, right, which you have guided earlier. So can you give the outlook for fourth quarter, how things are shaping up? And also in terms of JLG and individual lending state-wise performances, if you can highlight any material development during the quarter?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveSo I think one thing that you would have noticed is the shift that we have made from the JLG to the individual loans. Currently, if you look at the disbursements in the MFI book, about 80% is for Vikas Loan. And standing from where we are today, we expect that our slippages will be about INR 100 crores and thereabouts for Q4.
Shailesh Kanani
analystSo that would include your JLG, IF and RA, both included, right, less than INR 100 crores?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveYes, yes. That's at the bank level.
Shailesh Kanani
analystYes, yes, bank level. Okay. Fair enough. And any state-wise, any material development you would like to highlight, any state-wise in terms of whether improvement in performance or anything like that?
Baskar Ramachandran
executiveAcross the board, all the states have really inched up, including Karnataka. So when we say 99.3% inching towards 99.5%, across the board, I think it is closer to 99.5% with no operation of any state being substantially higher or anything -- any state being less than 99%.
Shailesh Kanani
analystOkay. Great. That's good to hear. Sir, my third question is with respect to recoveries. So this quarter around, there has been a sharp drop quarter-on-quarter. So could you help us understand the factors behind this trend? And how should we think about recovery performance going forward?
Unknown Executive
executiveWhich recovery?
Shailesh Kanani
analystRecoveries and upgradations from the GNPA? I think it is only INR 8 crores this time around.
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveOne, the book is shrinking as the percentage of customers which are collecting is going higher, whether the pool was largely -- large accretion, which meant that the upgrades from the recently stripped pool are higher. So the slippages themselves are coming down, the upgrades are marginally coming down. However, our entire focus is to go back and revisit the entire thing. We're adding a lot more collection, people know that there's huge stability which has come in. There is no big slippages happening from the current bucket to various other buckets. The good news is that because of that 1 to 30 collection, 31 to 60 have gone up at least 10 percentage as a percentage of the slippages. So hopefully, at this rate, I think more than INR 8 or from INR 8 crores, likely that in Q4, it will be closer to around INR 11 crores to INR 12 crores across the cohorts, which includes ARC, our write-off as well as our NPA book.
Shailesh Kanani
analystBecause the reason I was little surprised was that there was a sharp drop from INR 26 crores in second quarter to around INR 8 crores in this quarter. So I thought I would just take some clarity over that.
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveYes. See, Shailesh, any recovery out of ARC does not really get reflected here. And also any recoveries out of the write-offs goes towards the income rather than coming towards upgrades and recoveries here.
Shailesh Kanani
analystOkay. Fair enough. Sir, last question from my side. Could you highlight some of the key developments and early traction in our credit on UPI offering in partnership with Paytm? Any key business developments you would like to highlight?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveThere has been a large scale up, which is happening, approximately around 1.5 lakh customers is what we are acquiring. The activation usually takes the lag of around 2 to 3 months. The portfolio outstanding, though small, is kind of inching up by around closer to doubling almost every month, 15 becoming 30, 30, likely to become around closer to 50 to 60. There's one large cohort of customer, granular and the average ticket size is currently still less than around about 10,000. The number of customer-wise acquiring is around closer to 1.5 lakhs per month. And we think that by this year end by March, probably around closer to 10 lakh customers would have been approved, of which utilization would be around closer to around 2 lakh, 3 lakh customers.
Shailesh Kanani
analystWhat would be your AUM, sir, currently?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveVery small, at around 30%.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Rahul Kumar from Vaikarya Fund.
Rahul Kumar
analystSir, can you split the slippages in -- between MFI and non-MFI for this quarter?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveYes. So around INR 105 crores was MFI and the balance is in the retail asset business.
Rahul Kumar
analystOkay. So this is a gross slippage, which you are saying INR 105 crores?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveCorrect, yes.
Rahul Kumar
analystOkay. And what are the monthly trends in these slippages now versus what it was?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveI think it used to be INR 60 crores at the beginning of Q1, moved to around INR 30 crores, likely that we will see around closer to INR 25 crores, Jan. And hopefully, if the trend continues, the target is to have less than INR 20 crores, which is used to be what before the entire mini crisis started. So I think we should be back to INR 20 crores and probably a little lesser in the month of March. But the trend currently likely to be around closer to INR 27 crores for Jan and probably lesser than INR 25 crores. And if the trend continues, it will be less than INR 20 crores, around INR 20 crores in the month of March.
Rahul Kumar
analystOkay. Second question, if I look at the slippages in the non-MFI segment, I think quarter-on-quarter, I see a 40% kind of a jump. What is driving this?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveOkay. So just to clarify one correction. So of the INR 155 crores of slippages that we have in Q3, the split is INR 116 crores in MFI and INR 39 crores in the retail asset business. So if you look at the retail asset business on a quarter-on-quarter basis, it's moved from INR 36 crores in Q2, to INR 39 crores in Q3. We have had a few slippages in our lab business, which we are trying to resolve and regularize before the end of the year.
Rahul Kumar
analystOkay. Okay. Okay. Got it. And correct me if I'm wrong, I think you mentioned the target for Q4 slippages is below INR 100 crores, and this is for the overall book?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveYes, INR 100 crores for the bank as a whole.
Rahul Kumar
analystOkay. Okay. Okay. And what would be the split in that between this JLG and non JLG?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveYes, so for IF as a whole, it will be around INR 75 crores to INR 80 crores and around INR 20-odd crores or less -- a little less for the retail asset business.
Rahul Kumar
analystAnd okay, and the last question which I have is, if I look at our credit cost for this quarter, I think INR 41 crores versus INR 40 crores in the quarter 2, despite our slippages actually reducing from INR 155 crores to -- sorry, INR 200 crores to INR 155 crores?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveYes. Actually, in Q2, we had about INR 24-odd crores of write-back after we received the CGFMU claim, right? So that was a one-off for Q2, which you will need to keep in mind to check the movement.
Rahul Kumar
analystGot it. Understood. Understood. And another thing you mentioned was the non-MFI slippages will also reduce going forward from INR 40 crores in the last quarter to less than INR 20 crores in the Q4, so what is driving that?
Baskar Ramachandran
executiveThere was one large instance of INR 5 crore plus account in LAP, which slipped on a temporary basis. So that was the created aberration. CD, there was a marginal reduction in terms of recovery, which is back in the last quarter towards the end. So the trend would continue. So given that, we are kind of projecting this. And overall MFI likely to be around shade less than 75%, max 80% and remaining around 20% to 25%, max will be from the retail assets. There was a little bit of slippage there in the micro mortgage segment, primarily due to Karnataka, which is back, 50% of the 4% GNPA in the micro mortgages are paying book, that's month-on-month they're paying, but still continue to be in NPA and which we may not proceed really under surface, and they will get regularized over a period of time, which is not likely to be there quarter 4.
Rahul Kumar
analystSo to summarize it, the micro LAP issue, which was plaguing in Karnataka is driving this resolution and that is driving this reduction in the non-MFI slippages.
Baskar Ramachandran
executiveThe slippage has stopped and the recovery has marginally picked up. But good thing is that 50% of the 4% GNPA in the micro mortgages book, which is approximately crores, INR 550 crores is paying both, this month-on-month, they pay one on installment but probably still have an outstanding of around 2 or 3 installments. So we are reasonably hopeful that we'll get normalized to regular over at least 1 or 2 quarters.
Rahul Kumar
analystOkay. So what are the monthly trends over here in the non-MFI slippages over, let's say, last few months?
Baskar Ramachandran
executiveINR 7 crores to INR 8 crores per month. INR 6 crores to INR 7 crores, max INR 8 crores in any of the months. This is what you're saying that the multiplied even at the same run rate, it will be around INR 20 crores for Q4, gross slippages.
Rahul Kumar
analystOkay. And what was it in the last quarter? I mean, let's say, November, December?
Baskar Ramachandran
executiveNovember, December around INR 8 crores to INR 9 crores -- INR 10 crores.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of [ Arvind ] from CapitaLand.
Unknown Analyst
analystI have a couple of questions. The first is on the SME claims. Now that we have a good time line of the slippages and some idea about slippages month-on-month this quarter, when do we expect to make that claim, next financial year? That is my first question. And the second question is on the cost of funds, while the industry has shown a more significant drop quarter-on-quarter of about 25, 30 basis points, we have only had an improvement of about 10 bps. So in spite of the very healthy growth in CASA quarter-on-quarter. So how do we see it going forward?
Baskar Ramachandran
executiveOn the CGFMU multiple cohorts for next year; 3, so we will time it out in terms of first and second and probably even third quarter. But the largest chunk would be claimed in the Q1, which may be around INR 200 crores to INR 300 crores. The rest of it would be timed for Q2 and Q3. As far as the cost of fund reduction, over to KC.
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveYes. So up until this quarter, given the kind of growth in the long-tenor retail asset book, we have been trying to raise quite a bit of 5-year money, which today is about 1/3 of our overall deposit book, and which is the reason why you don't see a significant drop in our rates on a quarter-on-quarter basis. even though in time deposits across tenors, we have dropped rates anywhere between 25 to 50 bps. Even our savings account for the lowest bracket we have reduced rates. So at a point in time, we will move to raising money on the shorter tenors in a slightly largest proportion and that will reflect the reduction in our cost of funds over time.
Unknown Analyst
analystAnd given that we are sitting on a very healthy sort of credit-to-deposit. ratio compared to the peers. Do you expect to sort of reduce the cost of fund, SA in particular going forward to kind of optimize the NIMS?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveSee, we are actually reviewing it every month. And for example, in Q3, in all the 3 months of Q3, we have gone ahead with reductions in our TD rates across buckets and somewhat in SA as well, especially the larger ticket SAs, which for us was not making economic sense anymore. And we have indeed moved away from quite a bit of large ticket SA business. So that optimization will continue, the rates will not see a very sharp drop on a quarter-on-quarter basis, but it will continue to reduce over the next couple of quarters.
Baskar Ramachandran
executiveConsciously, we are focusing that at least a significant -- reasonably significant portion of a deposit specifically linked to the mortgage financing will be higher deposit. So entire last quarter, we continue to pay a marginally higher rate on the 5-year consciously. And that's why there has not been a substantial reduction in terms of 30, 40 basis points. But if we choose to really turn that and in terms of start focusing on the short end of the deposit, overall cost may come down. But given that our margin overall has come down, our focus is to have at least a 20% to 30% of our overall term deposit base in the range of 5 -- year plan.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of [indiscernible] from VA Capital.
Unknown Analyst
analystBaskar, sir. I had been observing your bank for the last 5 years, and you were very present in updating CGFMU, the IPO timing was perfect and then moving out of JLG was a very good move ahead of the industry. But somewhere, I feel that operationally, things are lagging behind. I don't know, maybe it is management bandwidth or lack of talent or whatever, I don't understand that because things are not flowing into the numbers yet. And this is what I want to understand what is happening. Are we lacking somewhere in the management bandwidth?
Baskar Ramachandran
executiveGood question. So as we put it this way, banking, I think, is a little long-haul journey. We're pretty clear even when we really started. That precisely also gets reflected in our taking a hit in terms of PBT, which is quite close to 25% to 30% by going for a cover of CGFMU, and the projected credit losses is not more than 1% and absolutely 99.6%, 99.7% collection at the point of time. So we're clearly conscious of the fact, direction setting generally takes iteration and the reiteration. Fairly confident that I think what we went through in the last 2 years, as you would see the management bandwidth has kind of stayed on which is through the course, we have seen up and then one down. And then as we are recovering, we're very, very clear that we are not really almost an assumption, the future may be worse than the past. We are kind of put our guardrails, which reflects in terms of it will reduce profitability in terms of maintaining an excess liquidity, in terms of maintaining higher than required -- substantially higher than required capital adequacy. But all of it -- what we really kind of are confident now and hopefully will play out quarter-on-quarter in the substantial quarters in the future, is that to have the foundation strong in terms of -- for instance, moving to a JLG to individual, it is not press of a button and say all of us will do individual. MSME, first round was not a success, what we call the T. Nagar loans. We paused. We didn't kind of knock off the product. And when digital railings were very strong, now we have around closer to INR 110 crore book with part of less than around 1.5%. I think all of this now it is time for us as a bank to put all of this in action in terms of, as I would call it, strategic hidden strength to play out and fairly confident that with management substantially in place for the last -- not we have kind of recruited in the last 1 year. It took around 3 years for a complete alignment. I think it is not the superstars who create great performances. It is aligned management team. And fairly confident, I'm just hopeful, fairly confident that this will play out as you would see in quarter-on-quarter, it will be steady. But every quarter, we are planning that is better than the previous quarter.
Unknown Analyst
analystI think in the previous quarter also somebody mentioned, I think, Himadri mentioned that -- the next 2 quarters and then there would be a decline in credit cost, which will add another INR 50 crores to the PAT. So I don't know if projections are not right or I don't know what is not coming together to give confidence in the numbers.
Baskar Ramachandran
executiveNo, it will. I think you'll see the slippages has come down. For instance, in the slippages, we can kind of provide only 20% of the total recovery, but we provide the entire 23%. So kind of take -- as it really required, 77% is covered by CGFMU, remaining 23%, we have a choice of even raise provisioning only 10% and defer it. We said we'll have to take it, we take it on quarter-on-quarter. So fundamentally, if you look at it, I would rather leave the financial numbers, which is emanating out of it. The slippages from 60% has become, say, 40%, 35%, 35% is now closer to around 25%. Hopefully, we'll be -- we're not saying it will become 0, but around 20%, it's back to where we really started and continue to focus in terms of reducing at least by INR 1 crore every time. And the CGFMU is a time lagged one. So it took around 2 years for the first claim and thereafter, hope by the way in which probably it is projected now, our claims will be substantially higher than the slippages that will happen for FY '27 in the IF book. You will see it playing. I would put it that this quarter, fundamentally, the way we are looking at internally is far, far stronger than the previous quarter, not just by the bottom line numbers, which is emanating out of it, but reduced other income in terms of PSLC, reduced slippages, increase the business momentum and the clarity in terms of what the slippages will be.
Unknown Analyst
analystSo exactly I'm talking about this clarity...
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of [ Ambar from Siana Capital Management ].
Unknown Analyst
analystMy questions are actually around CGFMU. But on a broader level, I would like to basically carry forward with the previous question or comments that every quarter, we get this feel good message from the management that in the next quarter, things will be okay. We are on the right path. Everything is fine but I think it's taken a lot longer than the market can bear. So I would like to really get some honest commentary from the management on because this reduces credibility. If we keep hearing quarter after quarter that in the next quarter, it will be okay, but then we still come up with a really very ordinary set of numbers. And there is some -- I think more introspection needs to happen. But anyway, let me get to the question. My question is for CGFMU, for this INR 467 crores, which is expected to be claimed, approximately how much premium would have been spent by the bank?
Baskar Ramachandran
executiveAround INR 250 crores.
Unknown Analyst
analystSorry, how much?
Baskar Ramachandran
executiveINR 250 crores approx, cumulative for all this years...
Unknown Analyst
analystCumulative INR 250 crores, premium.
Baskar Ramachandran
executiveYes.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. So roughly INR 0.45, INR 0.46 for INR 1 of claims, right?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveThis also includes claims which have already been made by us. So we had a claim of about INR 340 crores in Q2. We had INR 70 crores claim prior to that and INR 30 crores last year. So the INR 250 crores that Baskar talked about is the cumulative premium that we have paid ever since we subscribe to the program since FY '22.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. So on a basis of paisa per rupee insured, we are still talking around INR 0.25, INR 0.24 to the INR 1 of insured, right?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveYes. Yes. Correct.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. And what is the expected like time line for the actual cash coming in? I think it was 18 months, if I'm not wrong, right?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveFor a new cohort here, but for example, we now have 3 cohorts running because we have been subscribing to this program for 3 years. So our net expected claim is in Q1 of FY '27.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. Q1 of FY '27, which is in about maximum 6 months, Okay. And then my second question is for CGFMU, suppose you guys make a claim and the claim is paid out and then the underlying loans, because I'm guessing you're still trying to recover them, the underlying loans come good. Then what happens? Do you have to give part of this money back or what happens then?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveIn the same proportion, so 3/4 of the money goes back to the credit guarantee fund and 1/4 of the money is retained by us and is a credit to the P&L.
Unknown Analyst
analystSo -- okay. So on a defaulted loan, you can only cover a maximum 3/4s. And if it comes back, then you have to give 3/4s back. Is that the logic?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveOf course, yes.
Unknown Analyst
analystI wish you the best of luck.
Baskar Ramachandran
executiveYes, your inputs are taken. I'm sure you kind of know we'll do it. There are certain things as an organization, for instance, a ticket size, if you had choose to really marginally inch it up, even by 20% inched up around INR 75,000 in a year, profitability will do really kick in. So from a -- as a bank, which we still think that we're younger, 9 years just competing today and entering the 10th year, some of the mechanisms, including fintech, whatever we report, it took time to really play out. And when trade on UPI really scales this way. So some of this gets rectified, the only input which we sincerely take is in terms of too long is not too good. So thank you very much for your frank input.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of [indiscernible] From [ Astral Main Capital ].
Unknown Analyst
analystMy question was around the fund raise, which you are planning to do. So is it still like you'll be obviously raising the fund below book value, which will be like -- and you are raising around INR 1,000 crores, so it will dilute the shareholders by like around 40%, right? So have you thought about why this fundraise is needed and like the timing, have you explored other opportunities of why where you can raise the fund?
Baskar Ramachandran
executiveIdeally, this should be an enabling resolution taken on a continuous basis. There is no intent for us to raise money at this current price. We don't really -- we don't really require. We've always been, as you would see, it is not just about the last year, right from our inception as a microfinance company, we believed that as long as our unsecured is substantially higher even at closer to 40% to 50%, capital adequacy should be more than 20% irrespective of what the regulator require -- so we do not really require any capital that we require will be purely from a point of view of a growth capital to making sure that we are above 21%, 22%. And the timing is not necessarily. We need an enabling one to keep. Otherwise, it takes around 1.5 months, 2, and this is purely, purely enabling no intent to raise money, anything at this price in the immediate run at all. We still have a large Tier 2 capital ever we require it on an instant basis.
Unknown Analyst
analystAnd also, like we have grown as an institution, but that has clearly not reflected in the shareholder wealth that has been created. So is the management aligned towards creating shareholder wealth or like I want to understand what is your perspective on this?
Baskar Ramachandran
executiveThe answer obviously is going to be in the affirmative. But that said, I think the previous 2 speakers also have given what it takes. So fundamentally, when you do some things on a long-haul basis, it does not necessarily reflect on an immediate basis, but the inputs taken. Certainly, I think we are -- I would say that more than giving a feel good feeling, fairly confident as we step into it. The last 2 years was in terms of the more getting out of the whole thing uncapped and which fortunately we have been able to do it, while we will not be making any comments in terms of how the whole thing played out, for us, it is looking stronger fundamentally. And that's one thing which we, as a management team, will have to look at is that while all stakeholders, the one stakeholder where we have not really kind of did justice in the last 5 years specifically has been in terms of shareholders. not that we'll work anything specific only towards that, but I think good growth fundamentally strong and hopefully to hear from all of you that we did really do the job which we have been interested with by the shareholders.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of [ Vedant ] from [ Artha Energy Group ].
Unknown Analyst
analystI actually have a follow-up and my questions are related to the ROE itself and the QIP, along with the shareholder wealth that has been -- that the lack of which is being created. So I just wanted to understand the management's strategy to improve ROE and the steps that you have to take in place, especially since we have a QIP coming up maybe near term or future term.
Baskar Ramachandran
executiveAs I said, the capital raise is an enabling provision. So we are not kind of going to dilute anything at the cost of our shareholders. So whenever there's an opportunity comes, and we'll be right in place. And we have always raised money much ahead of our requirements. So it's pure pure enabling. So to that extent, other thing would be hypothetical. In terms of ROE, we have said there will be run rate will be closer to around 11% in Q4, 10% above and probably closer to 11%. And first, let's achieve that. And I think at the end of Q4, when we give a guidance, we really kind of look forward to giving more meaningful and robust one, which is achievable. One learning out of that every time you give a projection in a very, very volatile market like what it was last year, you kind of to project something and it doesn't really play out certainly for last year, one which we didn't really play out to the way we wanted is the slippages. It was looking like normalized, but it kept on happening. But hopefully, it will reflect in terms of our recovery back. fairly clear that when we get a CGM, intent is to return back as much as possible just as it were our own credit losses. So 25% will come to us, I think that what you will see, which will fundamentally I think move the ROE needle to upwards of around 11%. But that is as we see Q4 is where it is pretty clear. Once we have done that, I think far more clarity in terms of what is to get for FY '27. So give us some time till one more quarter for us to commit in terms of what the steady state would be at least in terms of '27 and '28.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Rahul from [ Vaikarya Fund ].
Rahul Kumar
analystCan you tell us about the NIM trajectory over the next couple of quarters?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveSo I think from where we stand today, we expect the NIMs to be around 7.5% to 8%. As we have seen our book has increased in this quarter and we see that trend continuing in Q4 as well.
Rahul Kumar
analystOkay. And how have our yields on the paying book moved in this quarter?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveSo one thing that we need to be cognizant of is that in our individual loan book, we have -- we did a repricing somewhere around July, August last year. and that higher priced 28% book is running off and getting replaced by the book at current pricing of 26%. So even though the paying book is increasing, there is a rate impact associated with it. At current levels, yields are around 17.5%. And also given the fact that the share of retail asset is slowly going up, we would like to see that there is not a big compression in the yields from where we are today.
Rahul Kumar
analystOkay. Okay. And have you sort of increased the yield -- on the disbursements in MFI segments.
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveNo, not at this particular point in time. We are constantly evaluating whether there is a need for increase in pricing across risk bands. But at this particular point in time, we have not raised our rates in these 9 months.
Rahul Kumar
analystOkay. Okay. And in terms of AUM mix between MFI and non-MFI, I think currently, we are at 45%. So let's say, over the next 3, 4 -- 2, 3 quarters, what kind of mix we are seeing and what kind of growth in MFI we are seeing now?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveSo I think the number will go up a little bit once we do a write-off and then the paying book comes in. There is also our new products, which will kick in. So the retail asset book will continue to be a little over 50%, but MFI will also improve a little bit from the current 45%.
Rahul Kumar
analystOkay. Okay. And I think you mentioned that you will be doing a claim in Q1 and you have 3 cohorts running. So in the Q1 claim, out of this INR 465 crores, how much would be the claim amount?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveI would say somewhere closer to INR 400 crores, INR 350 crores to INR 400 crores.
Rahul Kumar
analystOkay. Okay. And this is for the loans which were disbursed in 2024?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveCorrect.
Rahul Kumar
analystOkay. And if I look at the labor code impact for you, I think it's pretty low compared to if I see the comparison to the peer group in this industry. So can you just help us understand that?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveYes. So even in our current salary structure, the fixed -- the basic pay for what is being called wage in the new definition is closer to 48%, right? So we are actually very closer to the 50% threshold that the new loss peaks of -- so -- and as a result, whereof the impact for us has been quite modest. If we were to really reach that 50% number, we would possibly need to have an impact of not more than INR 6 lakhs to INR 7 lakhs of compensation per month, right? So that's just about the impact we are likely to see.
Rahul Kumar
analystOkay. And in terms of overall OpEx, if we look at next few quarters, what kind of OpEx growth which you are targeting?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveSo like I said a while ago, with the increasing share of the paying book, we would like to see that our CTI goes below 65%. Currently, the CTI is a little elevated because I'm still carrying almost INR 700 -- INR 800 crores of nonpaying book, right? Once that is replaced, then -- and the paying book increases, I will see a natural improvement in my cost-to-income ratio. And currently, we are looking to reach that 65% as a first port of call.
Rahul Kumar
analystOkay. Okay. So this is the exit for next year, which you're targeting?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveYes. We didn't want to give any projections for FY '27.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of [indiscernible] from [ TC Capital ].
Unknown Analyst
analystSir, my question is, could you give some color on the recovery rates in the 30 to 90 book? So basically, 1.9% at the moment, how much of this do you see flowing into the NPA bucket and how much of it could be recovered? Some sense around the flow rates basically?
Baskar Ramachandran
executiveNot very clear, were you able to hear it?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveYou want to understand 30 to 90 recovery rate and what is the expected flow from 30 to 90?
Unknown Analyst
analystYes. Yes, sir.
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveOkay. So we have improved significantly on the SMA bucket, collections recovery. Now we are hitting 55 to 60 to 90 on MFI side. On retail, we are completely intact. Nearly 90% of the portfolio gets collected. So the flow rate is miscued on retail, though it looks elevated on SMA bucket. However, it doesn't flow much. And there is another segment within retail, our partners, which is lending card perfectly, there the flow is higher. Flow is 40 to 45 on the 30 to 90 bucket. That's a smaller portfolio on retail assets.
Baskar Ramachandran
executiveMaybe INR 100 crore portfolio.
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveYes. But the key takeaway is SMA buckets, especially in the MFI business, our collection efficiencies have improved significantly. And that's largely on account of all the efforts that the team has put in. I mean, just as an example, in the 30 to 60 bucket, the collection efficiencies have moved from 40 to 50 plus. So -- and that trend continues.
Unknown Analyst
analystGot it. Got it. And secondly, I just wanted to confirm that the medium-term credit cost guidance is around 1%, right? But is there like a sharp improvement expected on a quarterly basis in the coming quarters when the slippages return to the normalized level? Or is that something a little out in the future?
Baskar Ramachandran
executiveOut in the future, I think we're very happy -- the good thing is that we really kind of without any other things, 60 becoming 30 becoming closer to 25. I think we take this quarter as a really key thing in terms of really seeing what it is, not just in terms of increased efforts around resulting and results. Overall portfolio, the fundamental quality of the portfolio has increased substantially specific in terms of IF, closer to around 99 points. I think the GNPA [ remaining ] out of the last 1 year generated portfolio in IF is probably around 0.2%, 0.3%. The intent is to really see it, including which is more than 10 months MOB, where is it going to be kind of stabilize at around 0.3. I think we'll have far more clarity to kind of give future projections in the end of the quarter because the whole thing is to see where the trend which is declining in terms of delinquency continues and stays at 20%, which is what we used to be. I think that's the first port of call. I think once we reach there, we'll get kind of clarity for us to tell it becomes like almost crystal clearly.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of [ Avnish Tiwari ] from [ Vaikarya Capital ].
Unknown Analyst
analystMost of my questions have been answered. Can you articulate your growth in MFI paying book, how it moved, let's say, in Q3, September versus December? And how do you see with the current disbursement rate it moving in Q4?
Baskar Ramachandran
executiveIt is back to what it was. It kind of declined. I think it was around closer to INR 5,000 crores, kept slowing down to around INR 4,344 crores. So ask KC to kind of elaborate it.
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveYes. So on a Q-on-Q basis, our paying book has increased by around INR 180 crores. And given the collection efficiencies that we have, especially in the current bucket, we expect that trend of the increase in the paying book to continue.
Unknown Analyst
analystAnd what was the paying book by end of, let's say, December 2025? And how much are the typical repayments you are getting from your paying book?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveLike we said, in the bucket 0 for MFI business, our collection efficiency is around 99.4%. So that's the kind of flow rates we have. And we are quite confident that we will be able to reach 99.5% by Jan, Feb, so which means that we will have a flow rate of not more than 0.5%.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. So one can take 0.5% flow rate from the paying book that is current book?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveCurrent book, yes.
Unknown Analyst
analystBut there will be some natural repayments also, right, the loans getting completed because you have INR 500 crores of disbursement and these 2 numbers, one can subtract to get an increase in paying book, right? So what is the normal repayments, which like normal loans closure or normal payment you pay?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveYes. So you will see that on an average, the paying book will increase by around INR 100 crores, INR 120 crores in IF in a month.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. And the Vikas Loan?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveSo IF includes Vikas loans. So if you look at the bank as a whole, my paying book will increase by around INR 250 crores -- between INR 250 crores to INR 300 crores in a month.
Unknown Analyst
analystGot it. And the bank as a whole, right?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveYes. Bank to the whole.
Unknown Analyst
analystAnd around INR 120 crores you said -- INR 180 crores, which number you said for the IF book?
Kanishka Chaudhary
executiveAbout anywhere between INR 100 crores to INR 120 crores per month for MFI.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of [ Raj Dave ], an Individual Investor.
Unknown Shareholder
shareholderSir, I just -- most of my questions have been answered. I just want a qualitative feedback from your end with respect to asset quality and our ROA guidance also. So basically, if you look at it, we have been giving an ROA guidance of -- we have revised our ROA guidance twice right now. I've been following for the past couple of quarters. And right now, it's at 1.1%. And even gross NPA, we are sticking to less than 5% and net NPA less than 3%. So taking everything into consideration, I understand internal targets for the sales team could be different and would be higher. But however, for the investors of your bank, what do you feel is a realistic figure that we can achieve by quarter 4 of this year.
Baskar Ramachandran
executiveSee, I think where we're probably not able to clearly kind of look [indiscernible] is whether there is an increase in the GNPA and NPA impact on either the capital or in terms of our P&L will be very close to 0 after having provided the one at the end of the last year in our projections, not even end of the last year, just about December of 2025 -- '24, it looked like the slippages were coming down, but didn't happen in the first quarter. That I think was an impact that we are carrying in terms of a higher GNPA of 6.6% or a net NPA of around 4.3%. Since we don't write off and as KC explained, so that whatever gross flow -- net flow, which happens will reflect in our GNPA because we cannot write off whatever is claimable under CGFMU till we get the payment. Otherwise have a choice to do that on a normal basis. So that timing, hopefully, as I said, heading into next year onwards, the claim will be substantially larger than the slippages -- net slippages that will happen, and we intend having that. And in fact, it will even come to a point where the premium that we pay will be higher than the claims that we'll be making in the cohort. This was not taken from a perspective in terms of multiples of premium that we'll collect. This was to protect ourselves in an event like this, which we did obviously forecast will happen in 2 years' time. So that respect of that will continue to be covering our entire eligible CGFMU under the CGFMU cohort. So the slippages will be lower. And yes, our guidance on that went down, and that had an impact in terms of our ROA guidance itself. It was from a business point of view, while the disbursement and everything was higher than what we projected, the slippages did take a toll in terms of P&L, consequently in terms of the GNPA and ROA and also in terms of cost to income. I would say that Q4, as we kind of guided is around closer to 1.1% on the lower end and ROE of around 10% is the first thing that we would like to achieve before we really project for the subsequent quarters.
Unknown Shareholder
shareholderYes. And I just wanted to understand how confident are we internally on this ROE 10% and ROA 1.1% by Q4?
Baskar Ramachandran
executiveGive us time. And hopefully, we'll be able to get better it and we'll kind of -- obviously, we are confident that report. But this is purely in terms of what we saw in Q3 and -- Q2 and Q3. And this trend should continue because across the industry also, there has been huge stability, not just us seeing it, and we'll be pretty confident of going towards 10% and ROA of around closer to 1.1%.
Operator
operatorThank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question for today. And I now hand over the conference to management for closing comments.
Baskar Ramachandran
executiveThank you very much, and your inputs, valuable inputs are taken in the right spirit. And hopefully, we, as a bank, will make all our stakeholders proud by doing things fundamentally strong and as well as kind of making sure that we're keeping up to all the guidance that we give. Thank you very much.
Operator
operatorThank you. On behalf of ARIHANT Capital Markets Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and now you may disconnect your lines.
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