Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

November 12, 2024

Australian Securities Exchange AU Energy Oil, Gas and Consumable Fuels earnings 29 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Thanks for holding, and welcome to the Tamboran Resources conference call for the first quarter of FY 2025. Every line has been muted so background noise won't interfere. Following the speaker's remarks, we'll hold a question and answer session. Should you wish to ask a question at that point, just press star and then the number one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, press the star one once more. Thank you. I'll now hand the call over to Joel Riddle, Managing Director and CEO. You may begin.

Joel Riddle

executive
#2

Thank you, and welcome to the presentation of Tamboran Resources' results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025. I'm Joel Riddle, Chief Executive Officer of Tamboran Resources, and with me this morning is Eric Dyer, our Chief Financial Officer. Before we dive into the details, I want to point everyone to the disclaimer statement on slide two concerning forward-looking statements. Moving to slide three, which summarizes what we did over the past three months of the quarter. To begin, we finished drilling the Shenandoah South 2H well, and with it the company drilled the first 10,000 foot horizontal section in the Beetaloo Basin. Regrettably, while pulling out of the hole after drilling that horizontal section, we hit a mechanical problem that meant the well had to be redrilled through a sidetrack. Drilling of that sidetrack well is now underway in the horizontal section, and we remain on target to reach TD on the sidetrack well within the next few days. Data from both the SS-2H well and the SS-2H sidetrack well show geologic rock properties consistent with what we have seen when compared with the SS-1H well. Furthermore, we found no faulting across the entire horizontal section, and strong gas shows were observed throughout the whole interval.

Joel Riddle

executive
#3

Later this month, drilling on the SS-3H well is slated to begin, and it will be drilled from that same pad. The SS-3H well, once more, is going to be engineered much like the SS-2H well, featuring a 10,000 foot horizontal. By the close of this year, both the SS-2H sidetrack well and the SS-3H well should have been drilled and cased. Ahead of the stimulation of our two wells set for early in the first quarter of 2025, Liberty Energy also managed to bring new frack equipment from the U.S. into the Beetaloo Basin successfully. In addition, as I mentioned on our prior call, the company continues to concentrate on advancing development of the Beetaloo Basin's first local sand mine. We are aiming to have phase one of that local sand mine operational and in place as part of our 2025 drilling campaign. In our view, this local sand mine will be a major factor in lowering costs and boosting efficiencies for our 2025 drilling program and beyond. The cash balance we had at the close of this quarter came to roughly AUD 82 million. Receivables of about AUD 7.6 million were tied to the sale of a rig here in the U.S., which has more than offset the extra AUD 5 million the company has incurred in connection with the redrilling of SS-2H.

Joel Riddle

executive
#4

Above all, our funding is complete, and we are on schedule to achieve IP30 flow rates at both wells before the first quarter of 2025 ends. Turning to slide four, that gives an overview of what we've seen from the initial two wells drilled under the 2024 program. As you can see once more, these wells represent the opening pair in a 6-well campaign, positioned squarely within our 1 million acre development area in the western portion of the Beetaloo Basin. The image on the right shows the pad where those first two wells are being drilled. You'll notice the stimulation sand has now reached the location, along with the space in the pad's northwest corner set aside for our compression facility, which we intend to bring into service at some point in 2025. As I mentioned at the start, the SS-2H well was spudded in late August, and we reached a total measured depth of 20,670 feet over 35 days. Inside that well, we also geosteered a 10,000 foot lateral section — once again, the longest horizontal section drilled to date within the Mid Velkerri B Shale target in the Beetaloo Basin.

Joel Riddle

executive
#5

Before we could run the five and a half inch casing, a mechanical problem downhole forced us to redrill the well and sidetrack it from roughly 1,840 feet. We have now taken the key lessons from the SS-2H well and applied them in the sidetrack well, and we have successfully drilled about 16,200 feet, with a substantial gain in drilling efficiencies from SS-2H to the sidetrack well. Once the SS-2H sidetrack well has been drilled and cased, we will move right away to the SS-3H well, where drilling is planned to begin later this month from the same well pad. As I noted, the IP30 flow rates for both wells are still on schedule for release in first quarter 2025, depending on weather conditions. Turning to slide five, you can see the days versus depth curve for each of the three wells the company has drilled over the last six months. The SS-1H well, the SS-2H well, and the SS-2H sidetrack well appear in red. One of the biggest opportunities we have been able to capture over the last two wells is applying what we learned at the SS-1H well about improved drilling rates. From SS-1H to SS-2H, the average spud to TD drilling rate rose 6%, and we surpassed 580 feet per day there, versus approximately 370 feet a day at SS-1H.

Joel Riddle

executive
#6

On a broad level, when we look at how this drilling performance stacks up against other wells in the basin — especially the deepest sections over on the east side of the basin — you can see that the 35 days we needed to hit TD at SS-2H looks quite favorable next to the two wells our partner Santos drilled, which took roughly 80 days. Beyond that, efficiencies have improved as we went from SS-2H to the SS-2H sidetrack well, and we're still on track to drill that sidetrack in under 30 days. Moving to slide six, this again compares the three wells we've drilled during the past six months. I'd like to call out the main successes and lessons learned from each well, with particular attention on SS-2H. The first one: we managed to land a lateral section with no pilot hole at all. That not only validated our geologic thesis regarding where SS-2H sits — roughly 3 miles north of SS-1H — but it also cut six days off drilling time. Second, we geo-steered across a 70-foot section and hit no faults over the entire 10,000-foot section. On the lessons-learned side, a good deal of attention has gone toward cutting non-productive time.

Joel Riddle

executive
#7

Our sidetrack well performance improved by switching to a KCl mud instead of the calcium chloride mud we had used on both SS-1H and the SS-2H well. With that better mud system, we managed to cut several days from how the sidetrack well performed. Beyond that, we've been collaborating with our partner, Baker Hughes, to reduce the count of tool failures we've experienced — especially the RSS tool failure that caused us a number of problems in the SS-2H well. Together with the enhanced mud system, that has let us drill the horizontal section, as shown on the well schematic at the left, going from 17 days in the SS-2H well to a projected 10 days in the sidetrack well. Turning to slide seven. Among the most encouraging observations from drilling the SS-2H well and the SS-2H sidetrack well is how consistent the geology has been relative to what we encountered at the SS-1H well. The SS-2H location sits roughly 3 miles from the SS-1H location, and the log section of the 10,000-foot horizontal we drilled in SS-2H shows rock properties that look very consistent with those we saw at SS-1H.

Joel Riddle

executive
#8

We also observed no faulting throughout this entire horizontal section, along with strong gas shows over the whole horizontal section. Those gas shows appear very similar to those encountered at SS-1H. On the whole, this is quite encouraging, as is our capacity to show consistent productivity along this 10,000-foot horizontal when compared with the SS-1H well. Turning to slide eight. As I noted, the full Liberty frac spread has now arrived on location after being imported from the U.S. This will be the biggest frac spread anywhere in Australia, with 80,000 horsepower, 32 pumps, and 240 sandboxes. I'm extremely excited about the chance to see optimized stimulation across the 120 stages we'll be pumping over two wells, and also about the potential for meaningful cost reductions, not only for the two wells being drilled and completed this year, but likewise for the four follow-up wells coming next year. With this new equipment, our goal is to pump five to seven stages per day, which compares very favorably with the one stage per day we pumped using the previous equipment on SS-1H. Turning to slide nine. Once again, we are advancing development of the first local sand mine in the Beetaloo Basin.

Joel Riddle

executive
#9

On the map at the top left of this slide, you're able to see the 11 sand mining leases granted to the company by the NT government. At three of those locations, we've identified a sand resource. That resource could produce an equivalent 100 mesh sand, which is what we need for our completions. And the volume of sand we've identified is sufficient to support completing 500 development wells. One thing that excites me greatly is that, as we move down this cost curve by sourcing sand locally in the Beetaloo Basin, we have the chance to bring our current sand cost in our wells of around AUD 4.5 million down to approximately AUD 0.5 million per well. Put another way, we have an opportunity to lower the overall well cost for our 2025 program and beyond by approximately AUD 4 million for each well. Turning to slide 10, our current cash position as of the September 30th of this year is approximately AUD 82 million. As you can see, we began the quarter with a cash balance of AUD 75 million, plus an additional AUD 7.4 million incorporating the Greenshoe following our IPO in late June. We've had approximately AUD 19 million in cash go into the ground for the drilling of our two wells.

Joel Riddle

executive
#10

On top of that, selling a U.S. rig we'd been marketing over the past few months brought in net proceeds of AUD 7.6 million. Those AUD 7.6 million in net proceeds, once again, more than offset the AUD 5 million budget impact tied to redrilling our SS-2H sidetrack well. Importantly, the company is still fully funded to deliver IP30 flow rates from our two wells, which we expect to announce to the market in late first quarter of 2025. Lastly, slide 11 shows the upcoming catalyst. Once again, we aim to complete drilling and casing of the SS-2H sidetrack and the SS-3H well. Stimulation activities and flow testing for these two wells will begin in first quarter, and we're currently on track to announce IP30 flow rate results from these two wells in the later part of first quarter of 2025. Alongside all of this, we're wrapping up stakeholder and regulatory approvals for our pilot project. That, too, will lead us to start construction of the facility and pipeline infrastructure supporting our pilot project. First gas, again, is what we anticipate in first half of 2026. Thank you very much, and I'll hand it back to the operator for our Q&A session from here.

Joel Riddle

executive
#11

I appreciate that.

Operator

operator
#12

Appreciate it. Today's opening question is from Charles Mead at Johnson Rice, and your line is now live.

Charles Mead

analyst
#13

Yes. Good evening, Joel and Eric. Thanks for staying up late to join this call at your local time. Joel, I’m curious whether you could say a bit more about exactly where in the hole that mechanical issue occurred. It sounds like this is somewhat a known issue with a known fix, given how successfully you redrilled it. I’m wondering if you could share a little more detail about that and about what you’ve done differently on the sidetrack.

Joel Riddle

executive
#14

Absolutely, and thanks for raising that, Charles. So, as I said earlier in my opening remarks, we wrapped up drilling the horizontal section on SS-2H, and while we were pulling the drilling assembly out of the hole, we encountered a tight spot at roughly 4,000 feet. That tight spot caused the torque readings on the drill string to rise. We wound up parting that drill string once more, at about 4,000 feet. Altogether, that drill string measured roughly 800 feet. We left 800 feet of drill string down in the hole. Then, after talking it over with our JV partners, we went back in and attempted to fish out the drill string we had left in the hole. We devoted a couple of days to the fishing effort, and as a JV we decided to pump cement and sidetrack. On the learnings side, as I noted, we believe mud integrity played a part in the sticky spot we experienced while coming out of the hole. So again, following consultation with our JV partners, we switched from a calcium chloride mud over to a KCl mud. We have already observed improved performance while drilling the SS-2H sidetrack well.

Joel Riddle

executive
#15

That better mud integrity, I think, is already delivering some benefit. You know, big picture, when you look at many of the shale basins developed in these early stages here in the U.S., you know, in any of these early drilling situations that we're currently in at the Beetaloo Basin, there are optimizations you're constantly working through, everything from well design to mud systems. You know. The good news is I think we're able to leverage a lot of our team's experience from many of the basins we've drilled here in the U.S. Obviously, leveraging our JV partner, Bryan Sheffield's team, to really, you know, make some adjustments going from SS-2H to the sidetrack well. Just to give you a kind of a sense, we were averaging around 530 feet per day in the SS-2H well. In the SS-2H sidetrack well, we were, we're averaging about double that kind of penetration rate per day. We feel pretty good about the upgraded mud system. That doesn't mean we're not gonna continue to evaluate. We're already looking at ways to further optimize the mud system from the results that we're seeing in the sidetrack.

Joel Riddle

executive
#16

That's where I'll leave it. Should anyone have additional questions about this, I'm glad to address any follow-ups.

Charles Mead

analyst
#17

Thanks for laying that out so thoroughly, Joel. During your prepared remarks, you brought up the completion schedule and noted it depends on weather conditions. My assumption is that you mean rain tied to the season, but could you walk us through exactly which factors are in play there?

Joel Riddle

executive
#18

Yes. In the Northern Territory, there's a wet season, and the window generally runs from late November through roughly the end of March. I'd say the thing we've managed to build as a core competency as a company is the ability to finish wells and carry out operations out there right through that rainy period. You'll probably recall the SS-1H well — we pumped that completion for SS-1H straight through the rainy season. Our field crews out there are well set up to handle the operational demands that come with completion work. It isn't ideal. We'd far rather be pumping our completion during the dry season. As things stand today, we're making the adjustments we need to. Things like ensuring the sand stays dry. That's the key item, avoiding having to deal with wet sand. We're also, once again, cooperating very closely with Liberty. Having their additional equipment out in the field, I think, is always going to support our ability to achieve efficiencies when pumping these two — when pumping the completion for these two wells.

Charles Mead

analyst
#19

Appreciate all that specificity. Thanks, Joel.

Operator

operator
#20

Kalei Akamine with Bank of America has the next question. Your line is open.

Kalei Akamine

analyst
#21

Hi Joel, good morning. Sure, a detour at this point clearly isn't what anyone wants, but it does sound like your project is coming along quite well up to now. From a cost perspective, perhaps you could say a bit about how the two mud systems differ in cost, and whether what you've observed to this point is pushing your final well cost lower?

Joel Riddle

executive
#22

Sure, good question, Kalei. As I said earlier, we're achieving better efficiencies in the sidetrack well. We're currently seeing rates above 1,000 feet per day, versus 530 feet per day in the SS-2H well. With the new mud system, the sidetrack is performing much better. The cost of switching to that new mud system, or the expense of it, is very negligible relative to our total well cost. It's simply that we're seeing much better ROPs. You're right — drilling a sidetrack isn't ideal, but it provided another chance for us to move down the efficiency curve when it comes to improving drill times. I hope that continues as we drill more wells. That's what other operators in the U.S. have experienced. The more wells you drill, the more efficient you become. I think the same will happen here in the Beetaloo as we drill more and more wells.

Kalei Akamine

analyst
#23

Absolutely. You’ll certainly improve as you get more practice. Could you perhaps discuss the cash raise a bit over the coming 18-month period? Just refresh my memory: there’s a gas processing plant currently under construction that could be monetized. What’s the latest update on that?

Joel Riddle

executive
#24

Right. So the FEED work on the compressor facility is done. As you know, we've already committed some long-lead capital so we can hold the schedule and get that facility to site and commissioned in the second half of next year. That work is underway right now, and we remain right on track to deliver it. One of the things we're focused on at the moment is lining up the midstream capital we'll need as the capital requirements get chunkier going into next year. Those are items we're actively working. Expect some further announcements on that in upcoming earnings calls. As we speak, everything is proceeding as planned.

Kalei Akamine

analyst
#25

Appreciate it, Joel. I'll catch up with you later today.

Joel Riddle

executive
#26

All right, that works for me.

Operator

operator
#27

Once more, should you wish to pose a question, please press star one on your phone’s keypad. Our following question is from Anish Kapadia of Hannam. Your line is open.

Anish Kapadia

analyst
#28

Hello, and good morning. I have a few questions, if I may. First, I was hoping you might provide some detail on where the NT government's plans for Middle Arm stand and how they are advancing. On a related note, I would also like to hear about NTLNG and whatever progress or news you can share on that front. Second, I was wondering whether there is any news regarding the checkerboarding of acreage — specifically, when you expect to complete it and what effects it might have. Thank you.

Joel Riddle

executive
#29

Sure. Regarding your first question, the government is still very committed to moving an environmental assessment forward on Middle Arm. That process began in the middle of last year. As you know, it's ongoing. Their target is for a final environmental assessment to be finished by the end of 2025. From what I can see, from my vantage point, they're on schedule to meet that timeline. A new government has come to power in the Northern Territory — it's the Country Liberal Party, for anyone who isn't familiar with the terminology. In Australia, the Liberal Party is right of center, and since taking office a few months ago they've been very supportive of both Beetaloo and Middle Arm. Overnight they made a really positive announcement regarding their backing of Beetaloo and, by extension, Middle Arm. I think we have very strong support at the local Northern Territory level. You'll also recall that the federal government has committed one and a half billion Australian dollars, or roughly a billion U.S. dollars, to the Middle Arm project, which will go toward common user infrastructure. We enjoy support from both the federal government and the local government on Middle Arm.

Joel Riddle

executive
#30

Regarding what the company is doing on our NTLNG project, we remain on track with working with our new partner, Bechtel. Bechtel kicked off pre-FEED studies over the last quarter, and we hope to finish those pre-FEED studies by second quarter of next year and be in position to move to FEED for NTLNG. We'll be working on FEED in second half of next year through middle of 2026, and there's where we would line up. You know, the environmental approval hopefully will be in place for Middle Arm. We'll have our FEED study completed. We'll have the drilling of our six pilot wells with long-term flow tests with some cash flow to get us comfortable around reserves, and that points us to a sanction decision as early as the end of 2026. You know, as far as the checkerboard is concerned, we're in commercial discussions with our partner, Daly Waters Energy, that's the company led by Bryan Sheffield. Those commercial discussions are ongoing. As far as the details around those discussions, I think it's a little early to discuss at this point, but we'll likely update the market further on the conclusion of the checkerboard discussion in first half of next year.

Anish Kapadia

analyst
#31

Okay, thank you, Joel.

Operator

operator
#32

That brings our Q&A portion to an end. At this point I'll hand the call back to management so they can offer their final closing comments.

Joel Riddle

executive
#33

Well, thank you so much to all of you for being with us this morning. We're looking forward to giving the market another update over the course of the next three months. Should anyone have questions afterward, please get in touch with the company. We'll get right back to you. Many thanks.

Operator

operator
#34

That brings us to the end of today's conference call. We appreciate everyone joining us. You're welcome to disconnect at this point.

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