Teleflex Incorporated (TFX) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
February 27, 2020
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Richard Newitter
analystWe're good? Excellent. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us for this next session. I'm Rich Newitter, a medical device analyst at SVB Leerink, and we're really pleased to have the next presenting company, Teleflex. We have with us the company's CEO, Liam Kelly; and we have the Head of IR and Treasurer, Jake Elguicze. Welcome to you both, and thank you for joining us.
Liam Kelly
executiveThanks for having us.
Richard Newitter
analystThis is going to be a mostly fireside chat format, and of course, please engage and raise your hand. I would love to get your questions answered if you have any, but we're going to start with just maybe a brief comment, 1 to 2 minutes from Liam. So Liam, I turn it to you.
Liam Kelly
executiveOkay. So thanks for joining us today. Teleflex is a pure-play medical device company and has been for the -- since 2011. 2019 was the first year in our 3-year long-range plan that we communicated in May of 2018. We couldn't be happier with the start that we've made in our long-range plan. Our goal was to grow 6% to 7% constant currency growth. We actually grew in 2019 at 8.1%. We also achieved our gross margin expansion targets within the year and delivered very solid earnings per share. Our company has become a very, very simple story. As an organization, we only have to do 5 things well. We've got to continue to grow with the UroLift portfolio, which last year grew around 48%. We've got to grow in our Interventional Access segment, which last year grew almost 10%. We've got to continue to expand in the Vascular segment with our EZ-IO and Vidacare portfolio, and last year, that segment grew around 6%. And we've got to continue to expand in APAC, and APAC last year grew almost 7%. All of those areas of growth have one thing in common. And the one thing they have in common is they are our highest-margin segments. And the last place we want to continue to grow is in our OEM segment, which is, last year, grew around 8%, and it is actually dilutive to our gross margins but accretive to our op margins as an organization. I think that after the first year, we feel really confident in our long-range goals of the 6% to 7% and also getting to 60%, 61% gross margin and 30% to 31% op margin. What we're building is a company that if we grow, let's call it, 7% on the top line, our expectation is that we will deliver earnings growth of double that. So we'll double down as you go through the income statement to -- 7% growth should be able to deliver 14% earnings growth. And that's the company we're building, and we think that's what makes us a pretty unique asset in the med-tech world today.
Richard Newitter
analystGreat. That's an excellent overview. So Liam, I wanted to talk -- maybe you started off with the long-range plan, the growth trajectory that you're committed to is 6% to 7%. Coming out of 2019, the first year into the plan, you're clearly well above that, you delivered 8% growth. You just highlighted each one of your businesses, I don't think any one of those businesses was really below 7% or 8%, and one of them is trending at 48%, UroLift. So I'm just trying to think through why is 6% to 7% just the right kind of long term -- I guess minimum commitment is what it sounds like. And as you look out to 2020 and beyond, what are the puts and the takes that continue to allow you to say 6% to 7% is the right level given that you're trending above that already?
Liam Kelly
executiveYes. So again, we're really happy with the 8.1% that we delivered last year. Our long-range plan was to get to 6% to 7%. I think that, as we guided for the year, we wanted to be relatively conservative and realistic right out of the gate. There are a couple of one-off impacts that we see, in particular, in the first quarter, the quarter we're in right now, such as the coronavirus sterilization issue. If you add both of those together, they have an impact of about 30 basis points in our full year growth, and that's a bit of a headwind. But the other side of that is -- and we have 1 less billing day in the first quarter as well, which will cost us around $9 million. The upside to that is, and what I expect should happen during the year is, you -- get those 2 items behind us. Hopefully, coronavirus will act like a normal flu once you get into April and the weather warms up and incidents start to go down, that's what we would expect. Sterilization issue will be behind us at the end of the quarter. We have the final cycle being validated as I sit here. And the billing day will actually come back in the fourth quarter. And this is a unique year because it's a leap year obviously. We actually have an additional billing day in the fourth quarter as well. So -- and as you go through the year, you will begin to see the UroLift ramp, you'll see the other core parts of our business start to ramp as we go through the year, and obviously MANTA, which is one of our nice growth opportunities, will also continue to ramp during the year. So right out of the gate, we think that the reason we think the 6% to 7% -- actually, we guided 7.2% to 8.2%, as you're aware already, but we did have an acquisition in there that should add about 1.2% and the organic -- the constant currency growth excluding that would be in that 6% to 7%. And we think right out of the gate, it's a good number. As we go through the year, we'll assess it, if UroLift does better, if Interventional does better, if Asia does better, we'll obviously assess as we go through the year. And if MANTA ramps faster, we'll assess during the year.
Richard Newitter
analystAnd if I just kind of think about -- let's stick with the 6% to 7% just because that's the organic, and I want to get to the acquisition that you did in a second. But the 6% to 7% rate and the assumptions behind that, it's probably not right to think of your company as a base business and UroLift anymore because it is organic finally after the 2017 acquisition. But I'm going to ask you to kind of parse it out the best that you can, kind of the discrete growth drivers and what you kind of and we all think of as the base business. Can you just give us a sense as to what the split is? Is that base business still a 4% to 5% grower with the growth engines kind of adding, what, 2.5% or...
Liam Kelly
executiveSo I'll tell you what I did last year, and I'll tell you what the expectation is as we look out into 2020. So last year, the 8.1%, the UroLift product added just less than 4% to that number, and the base business grew at 4.2% in the year. So that does -- it was what made up the 8.1%. Now in that 4.2% for the base business, I will tell you, it was about 30 basis points of a headwind from the sterilization issue that happened in the fourth quarter. So if I added that back, which I think is a reasonable way to look at it, our base business would have grown around 4.5%, and UroLift would have grown just shy of 4%. So that's last year, 2019.
Richard Newitter
analystThat's the one. Didn't you have a divestiture as well that served as a drag on that?
Liam Kelly
executiveWell, yes, we had a divestiture, but we also had MANTA coming in, so they were pretty much a wash. So I'll leave them as a wash for now. And then as you look forward to our guidance, our guidance of 6% to 7%, including -- excluding the acquisition, the way we look at it is we think that UroLift will add 3% to that growth, and the base business will grow 3% to 4%. That's our expectation on the full year basis.
Richard Newitter
analyst3%. And what about MANTA? MANTA is in?
Liam Kelly
executiveMANTA is in the base. And MANTA should add around 40 basis points to our growth. So that's what we would expect. And as we go through the year, UroLift is doing incredibly well. Last year, it was a little bit of a unique year. It actually ramped as we went through the year. It started around 42% in quarter 1 and quarter 2, that was the growth year-over-year. It got to 50% in Q3. And then in Q4, it actually accelerated again to 54% in Q4. So it actually accelerated as we went through the year. Now that wasn't by accident. Obviously, we invested behind it. We did more DTCs than we had originally planned, which helped to accelerate it. And we're very excited that in this year, 2020, we are actually doing a nationwide America DTC throughout the whole country. We think that we have enough of the catcher's mitt right now to begin a nationwide DTC.
Richard Newitter
analystSo if we just think about each one of the components there, MANTA, UroLift and the base business, and I appreciate you're trying to start the year off conservatively, as you always do, and then you'll revisit. But 3% to 4%, inclusive of 30, 40 basis point MANTA contribution would suggest that the step down from the 4.5% level in the base business. I guess anything -- is there anything that we should be thinking that are discrete items there that would cause that? Or again, just a conservative outlook to start off.
Liam Kelly
executiveSo I think as we look at our business, we've always been relatively conservative right out of the gate, especially with UroLift as you go from the early adopter to the fast follower. We've done an excellent job, I believe, in executing and bringing that fast follower on equally as fast. The only discrete items that I would point to is the $5 million to $10 million of coronavirus and the $5 million to $7 million of revenue impact due to the sterilization issue in the first quarter. Those are the only onetime type -- and I guess the only other one I'd point out, we did have a onetime pricing opportunity in our Surgical business last year. But other than that, the end markets don't change that much, Rich, in med tech. So our end markets are solid. Our view of the world is better to be a little bit conservative as you start the year and then see where you can invest to accelerate that growth.
Richard Newitter
analystSo basically, if you back out some of the transient items, coronavirus, sterilization, you're kind of starting off the year at a normalized kind of 4% base business, is basically where it feels like it's coming out to. Is that about right?
Liam Kelly
executiveThat sounds about right. Yes.
Richard Newitter
analystOkay. So maybe at the low end of that 4% to 5%, you were at 4.5%, and potentially there's some conservatism in there.
Liam Kelly
executivePotentially. And as we go through the year, I'm really curious to see what the impact of the DTC is going to have on...
Richard Newitter
analystOn UroLift.
Liam Kelly
executiveOn UroLift. Yes, I'm really curious to see what's going to happen there. And I think that our end markets are in pretty good shape.
Richard Newitter
analystGot it. And in the fourth quarter, you had mentioned some distributor items that maybe, at the margin, impacted the base business or your non-UroLift business. So I was just curious, how big of a deal was that? And do those come back in the first half of '20?
Liam Kelly
executiveYes, there were 2 discrete items there in the fourth quarter. There were some distributor orders in EMEA that we had anticipated would ship in the fourth quarter and then moved into the first quarter. So you should see them come through in this quarter. It was only a couple of million bucks. And then all year, we've seen the distributor destocking in North America, the Owens & Minors, the Cardinals, they've been tightening up their inventory. But you know what the great thing is, Rich? We never spoke about it all year. In the past, that would have been a big part of a conversation that we would have to have, and that's because now -- in the past, half of our business went through these types of bus movers, now only 1/3 of our business, so we have much less exposure, and we're much better as an organization to manage it.
Richard Newitter
analystGot it. Turning to UroLift. So I think your guidance was at least 25% in 2020. You grew, exiting the year, over 50%. So there is a slowdown there. You just highlighted DTC spending, if anything, should be an incremental tailwind. And I guess -- anything else that we should be thinking about for that business into 2020, especially with the DTC momentum that should be at your back to see a slowdown like that in growth?
Liam Kelly
executiveSo other than the fact of, as I said already, moving from the early adopter to the fast follower, if you -- this business is such a massive opportunity for us as an organization. In the fourth quarter, we did $90 million. We -- so if you just flatline that, that's $360 million on a run rate. And we had only trained 1/5 of the urologists in America, and we've only scratched the surface overseas. We're only selling in Australia and the U.K. We're bringing on the Netherlands, Singapore, Hong Kong. In 2021, you'll see Japan start to kick in. And later in 2021, you'll probably see France start to kick in, you'll see Italy, Spain and then China added in as well. So I think that there's nothing that would concern me in the end markets with regard to UroLift other than the fact that we're just moving the early adopter to the fast follower, and we trained almost -- around 500 urologists last year, we think we'll train another 500 this year. And with those trained, we think we have enough coverage in the country to do a test, a pilot national DTC. And you're right, it has the potential to be an accelerator. I mean I was -- I spent a whole week in the first quarter on the road with urologists, telling them they should get ready because once this starts to alert men to BPH -- we found a very interesting statistic. We actually surveyed men with BPH. Of the men with BPH that have the conditions that are under the care of urologists, only about 6% of them are aware of UroLift as a treatment option of the patient. So we feel it's our responsibility to educate men that there is a minimally invasive solution, a 1-hour procedure in a doctor's office, no risk of sexual dysfunction, immediate relief. You're not taking a pill for the rest of your life and the side effects that, that brings. So we feel that we need to educate men as to this UroLift procedure being available. You can go in on a Friday, have this done, and you could be sitting at your desk Monday morning not wearing a catheter and instant relief from your condition. A little bit of pain over the weekend, but the doctor will give you Tylenol for it. That's what you have compared to a TURP procedure, which, as you know, is massively invasive.
Richard Newitter
analystAnd you've talked about the middle-adopter cohort and moving from early adopter to middle adopter in the past. But it sounded like you hadn't actually crossed that threshold yet. You're anticipating it, but you're not there yet. I'm just curious if there's anything in the fourth quarter or the early signs in the first quarter to suggest that you are kind of crossing that chasm.
Liam Kelly
executiveSo I think the encouraging sign was the acceleration in growth this year. And what was also encouraging was that the same-store sales continue to ramp, and it has done since we bought this asset, it has continued to ramp. That's encouraging to tell us that we're -- they call it the chasm that you're going through. We're in the chasm, and we're -- I think we're well through the chasm, not quite the other side yet.
Richard Newitter
analystI guess I'm talking the chasm from early adopters to middle adopters.
Liam Kelly
executiveThat's what I'm talking about.
Richard Newitter
analystYou are already there, and it hasn't slowed. Okay. Got it.
Liam Kelly
executiveIt hasn't slowed. So it looks encouraging that we're able -- and what do they -- what do the fast followers want, right? They want to know it's got nationwide coverage. Tick, we've got 350 million lives covered in the United States. They want to know that it's supported by strong clinical data, the L.I.F.T. study does that. They want to know the real-world data is as good or very close to as good as the clinical data. And actually, the real-world data is actually better than the L.I.F.T. data. Fewer men wear a catheter in real world than it was in the original study. They actually want to know they're going to get paid. So they want that reimbursement in place, which is, and actually, it was improved again this year. And they want to know they're going to get great patient outcomes, and they get that. So we have all the metrics that are required. And they also want to feel -- and you won't find this in any textbook, but they almost want to feel like they're being left behind. When they go to urology meetings, all their peers are talking about why I use the UroLift. And they almost want to feel like, oh my gosh, everyone is doing this, and I'm getting left behind. And we're right at that tipping point now. So we feel very enthusiastic about it. It's a massive market opportunity. We've still only scratched the surface. And I think it's going to be a growth driver over a multiyear period for Teleflex.
Richard Newitter
analystAnd UroLift 2. Maybe talk a little bit about the time lines there and when you expect that to be fully rolled out, what do you think that does for you. I guess it's going to be more of a potential margin impact, but talk about how important that is, and maybe a good segue into the margin-expansion story, where that fits in.
Liam Kelly
executiveYes. So how this fits in. The UL2, for those who don't know, it's the next generation of the UroLift. It basically will reduce our carbon footprint. It will also reduce the clinical waste from the urologist, and it should give the excellent clinical outcomes. We'll be rolling that out in the second quarter, and we will convert the market. It should take -- we should have a lot of the market converted by the end of 2021, the U.S. market converted by 2021. And the reason I say that is that there isn't a price increase associated with this, so there's no barrier to adoption. It should make it relatively -- a little bit easier for the urologist to use. It's more intuitive how you use the product, still the great patient outcomes, and it does improve our margins from -- in this product from the mid-70s to the high 70s. So -- and it is a part of our margin expansion in 2021 as you roll out that conversion.
Richard Newitter
analystBut more of a 2021 impact there.
Liam Kelly
executiveIt would be, yes.
Richard Newitter
analystOkay. And the roughly 170 basis points, 360 basis points that's implied by guidance for operating margin expansion in 2020, that -- how reliant are you on UL2 there? Not much or...
Liam Kelly
executiveThere isn't much reliance on the UL2 in that expansion, a little bit in the fourth quarter. But -- and the other thing that we've done since we acquired the asset is we make the UL2 in 2 sites. As the UL1 ramp, all of the volume will, for the UL1 or a lot of it will transfer to the other site, which actually will give us the margin improvement as well.
Richard Newitter
analystOkay. Interesting.
Jake Elguicze
executiveI was just going to say, I think from a margin standpoint, I think we were extremely pleased to see the margin progression during the course of the year in 2019. In particular, in the fourth quarter, we exited the year with the highest-ever attained adjusted gross and adjusted operating margins and -- since we became a pure-play medical device company. I think to your point, in 2020, we're calling for, at the midpoints of our guidance ranges, around a 90 basis point increase in gross margins and around 170 basis points at the operating margin line. And I think we have tried to talk to the investment community about that they should expect to see further acceleration and more drop-through from gross margin to adjusted operating margin as we move into 2020 as compared to what we saw in 2019 because we chose to make some proactive investments in 2019 to accelerate that top line, which is occurring, and we'll pay a benefit moving forward. So in addition to that gross margin drop-through this year, we are getting better leverage at the OpEx line. And even the acquisition that we recently announced will be accretive at the operating margin line as well. So as we're looking forward here, as we move throughout the year, I think the investment community should think about continual ramps each and every quarter at the gross margin line and at the operating margin line, ultimately, exiting the year. And I think it will provide the investment community with a greater sense that we can achieve those 30% to 31% operating margins that we put forward for 2021 because we still feel very confident in our ability to do that.
Richard Newitter
analystVery helpful. I want to touch on MANTA and the acquisition that you did in the OEM division. So just on MANTA, your -- the amount of contribution that it sounds like you've baked in, it doesn't sound like it's that much more than what you're already doing annually -- excuse me, internationally, and this is your first year of the U.S. launch. To my math, it works out to an implied roughly $10 million to $12 million first year U.S. incremental contribution, which strikes me, especially worldwide market opportunity, $250 million at the midpoint, it strikes me as a very, very conservative year 1 launch. I'm just wondering, is the rollout continuing to be controlled? You did all your price discovery in the last year. Is it just it's going to be much, much more weighted to the back half, and that's why we won't see as much U.S. contribution? Just walk me through why that number makes sense because it seems conservative.
Liam Kelly
executiveYes. So your math is good. We did about $11 million last year. We obviously were selling in Europe. And in our limited launch in the U.S., we also generated some revenue in Q2, 3 and 4, and we expect to double that revenue, add another $11 million to that next year as we go from 4% penetration to 8% penetration. I think you're right. What you will see -- we're in full launch as of January 1, so what you will see is you will see it ramp as you go through the year. And then as you get into 2021, you'll be exiting on a good solid run rate, and you should be able to accelerate the growth thereafter in 2021. When you go to Economics 101, everything is explained to kids in a straight line. You got the x-axis, the y-axis and everything is in a straight line. In life, everything is an s-curve. You got to build a base of business, and then as you build that base of business, then it starts to accelerate off that base. And I think UroLift is a great example. The way it ramped was $5 million in the first year, $16 million, $50 million. And once you got that base around $50 million, then it went to $125 million, $200 million. So that's the way medical devices ramp. It's just a fact of life. Everything is an s-curve. So we should go in and talk to some of these economic majors and tell them nothing's a straight line in life, everything works that way.
Richard Newitter
analystAnd there's probably not enough time here, but we have just under 2 minutes. So maybe just talk through the rationale for the HPC acquisition in OEM.
Liam Kelly
executiveSo we're really excited about it. It's a great acquisition. It's accretive to our top line. It's even accretive to OEM's top line. This is well capable of doing low double-digit growth. It will definitely get through the 10% line, I think. On the adjusted EBITDA, it is very accretive to Teleflex.
Richard Newitter
analystCan I ask, like, 40% margin?
Liam Kelly
executiveThat would be a -- that would be a good number and maybe a little bit better. And I think that -- and I know everybody says multiples are -- and I've always said, because Teleflex looks so broadly, that we'll be able to carve out value out there in that world. And this is a great example. And the technology this brings, half of our OEM business is catheters and the other half is in the surgical side. The half that's in catheters -- catheters today are getting narrower walls, thinner, and if the catheter gets thinner, you can't get torque. This company brings the technology that allows you to put a thin-walled wire catheter, so now we can open up our OEM business to more interventional cardiology, radiology, ET procedures as well as neuro procedures because you get a thin-walled catheter with torque that we can sell to our customer base. And we're really excited about it. It's one of those right-down-the-fairway transactions for Teleflex, accretive top line, accretive top margin, the 2 key lines in our income statement.
Richard Newitter
analystExcellent. Well, we're at the time marker here, but thank you very much, Liam and Jake. Appreciate it.
Liam Kelly
executiveThanks, Rich. Cheers.
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