The Federal Bank Limited (FEDERALBNK.NS) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
January 16, 2026
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the Q3 FY '26 Earnings Conference Call of the Federal Bank Limited. [Operator Instructions] I now hand the conference over to Mr. Souvik Roy, Head, Investor Relations, The Federal Bank Limited. Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Souvik Roy
executiveThank you so much. Good evening, everyone, and a very happy New Year to all of you. Thank you for joining us today for our Q3 earnings call. Before we begin, a quick housekeeping note. In the last interaction, we had mentioned that we would try and avoid scheduling earnings calls on Saturdays, and we are glad we could keep this promise this quarter. As always, the entire senior team is here on the call with us today. We'll begin with the opening remarks from our MD and then Venkat sir, ED, would take you through the quarter, the main numbers actually and after which we'll open the floor for further questions. And given the number of participants on the call and the time available, we restrict everyone to restrict themselves to one question each, so that we can accommodate as many participants as possible. So with that, I'll hand it over to our MD. Manian, sir, over to you.
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveThanks, Souvik. Before Venkat walks you through the numbers in detail, I would like to make a few introductory remarks about our -- some of the important events during this quarter. First, brand Refresh, this was one of the 12 strategic themes that we had listed in February last. As you are aware, we took on board Vidya Balan as brand ambassador and launched a media campaign Savings Ki Vidya. We took the next steps forward in this quarter. For decades, our customers discovered us by walking into the branch or by speaking to our people by experiencing our values in person. Today, the first interaction often happens on a 6-inch screen. The first judgment is formed not in our offices, but in our pixels. We are evaluated not just on rates or products or -- but on experience, simplicity and the quiet confidence with which we project in those early moments. That was the rationale for our brand refresh exercise. This is not a rebranding. At its core, this refresh stands on 3 ideas: Pride in a 90-year legacy while actively shaping the next chapter, retaining the colors of the brand is indicative of that. Openness to evolve how we work, communicate and collaborate while remaining anchored to what we stand for, make the brand -- new brand look familiar yet fresh, retaining the connect with our existing customers. And ownership, this is not a management's brand or a marketing brand, it is the bank's brand carried forward by every one of us every day. At the heart of this refresh and new visual expression of who we are, the Fortuna Wave, is a new visual expression of what we are. It brings more fluidity and freedom of expression to attract newer audiences. The Fortuna Wave represents 3 things that define our relationship with all our stakeholders: Authenticity, prosperity and togetherness, what we call APT. These are not aspirational words, they describe how we conduct ourselves with our customers, our investors and our employees every day. The intent behind this refresh is simple and deliberate to enhance recognition, to sharpen differentiation. Importantly, the refresh will go beyond digital identity. Also with this brand refresh, we have finalized our new brand design and aesthetics. We will gradually roll out that change as well. Confidence in our direction is also reflected in a significant development during the quarter. In Q3, we received Board and shareholder approval through an AGM for the proposed strategic investment by Blackstone. The transaction was also received -- has also received clearance from Competition Commission of India. This is a strong validation of our strategy, governance framework and execution capabilities. Beyond strengthening our capital base, it opens up avenues for unlocking business synergies and expanding access to global institutional expertise, reinforcing our long-term growth trajectory and deepen stakeholder confidence in our bank's future. Against this backdrop, our Q3 performance reflects a steady strengthening of underlying fundamentals, improvements in margins and ROA, reduction in funding costs through improved CASA mix, growth traction on chosen asset segments and sustained stability in asset quality are actually outcomes of disciplined balance sheet management and consistent execution over multiple quarters. We are beginning to see the benefits of stronger liability franchise and a calibrated shift in our asset mix towards segments that offer superior risk-adjusted returns. Cost discipline and prudent risk management remains central to how we operate and will continue to operate. While competitive intensity remains elevated, our focus is deliberate consistency over volatility, quality over headline growth. This positions the bank to deliver sustainable performance across cycles. With that, I will now hand over to Venkat to take you through the numbers of the quarter in more detail. Thank you.
Venkatraman Venkateswaran
executiveThank you, Manian, and good evening, everyone. Thank you for joining us to discuss our performance for the quarter. I trust you have had a chance to review our investor presentation and disclosures. Let me begin with a quick view of the macro environment for the quarter. Inflation remained well contained with headline CPI moving up 1.33% in December from 0.71% in November, reflecting some bottoming out in food prices and the print came in below market expectations. The key driver was a sharper-than-anticipated decline in vegetable prices. While core CPI edged up, this was largely driven by higher gold and silver prices. When we exclude these volatile components, underlying core inflation moderated to about 2.4% indicating that broad-based pricing pressures remain subdued. On the policy side, liquidity conditions remain supportive following the rate cut in December, which helped anchor interest rate expectations. In summary, the macro environment during the quarter remained broadly constructive, notwithstanding the ongoing global geopolitical uncertainty. Inflation was low, underlying pressures were muted and the operating environment will remain relatively stable. This provided a supportive setting for us to focus on execution, balance sheet discipline and prudent growth. Now coming to our performance for Q3. Q3 was a quarter of strengthening fundamentals and measured progress. We delivered INR 1,041.21 crores in net profit, representing 9% sequential growth driven by sustained margin expansion, disciplined cost management and continued improvement in asset quality. More importantly, these outcomes are the result of structural shift in our balance sheet, not short-term actions. On the balance sheet momentum, as at the quarter end total business stood at INR 5,53,364.49 crores, growing at 3.71% Q-o-Q and 11.4% Y-o-Y. Deposits closed the quarter at INR 2,97,795.82 crores, up 3.07% Q-o-Q and 11.8% Y-o-Y. More importantly, CASA balances grew at 6.59% sequentially and 18.86% Y-o-Y. And CASA ratio improved to 32.07%, an increase of 106 basis points Q-o-Q and 191 basis points Y-o-Y. This, we believe, is amongst one of the best in terms of CASA growth in the industry. This steady retailization of our liabilities is materially improving the durability of our funding profile, and it is now clearly reflected in our margin trajectory. Gross advances closed at INR 2,55,568.67 crores, up a very healthy 4.46% sequentially and 10.94% Y-o-Y. Again, importantly, the emphasis of growth continues to be led by the segments which we have consciously prioritized. Commercial Banking grew by 5.35% Q-o-Q, and close to 26% Y-o-Y, reflecting sustained traction in the mid-market and medium lending. Business Banking grew by 3.82% Q-o-Q, which, as you know, showed signs of turning around last quarter but was muted at the beginning of the year. So this gives us a close to 4% growth in this quarter gives us belief that the momentum will continue in the next quarter and going forward. Retail banking grew by 2.84% Q-o-Q and 14.76% Y-o-Y. Gold loan, which is another one of our medium lending portfolio, grew 12% Y-o-Y and 9% Q-o-Q despite a calibrated downsizing of a portion of the book in line with recent regulatory guidance. In addition to BuB, LAP is another portfolio which expanded quite strongly in Q3 at 4.47% Q-o-Q, with growth momentum expected to sustain and improve in the coming quarters. Corporate and Institutional Banking grew at 8.59% Q-o-Q and 14.46% Y-o-Y. The mix of growth remains intentional. We are expanding in segments that delivered superior risk adjusted returns while maintaining underwriting discipline. On margins and core income, our NII for the quarter was at INR 2,652.73 crores, growing 6.31% Q-o-Q and 9.1% Y-o-Y. NIM expanded to 3.18%, up 12 basis points sequentially. This was supported by a reduction in our funding cost, cost of deposits, cost of funds and cost of borrowing in addition to improvement in yield on investments and the CRR cut impact. The improvement in margins reflects the combined impact of liability mix optimization and asset repricing. As stated earlier, this was a quarter in which we had highest-ever NII, highest ever fee income and highest-ever OP. Our fee income stood at INR 896.47 crores, growing at 1.23% Q-o-Q and close to 19% Y-o-Y. Fee growth remains well distributed and continues to strengthen the quality of earnings. Our cost-to-income ratio improved to 53.92%, down 12 basis sequentially. During the quarter, we also added 6 branches aligned with our calibrated approach to network expansion. On asset quality and risk, our GNPA declined to 1.72%, an improvement of 11 basis points Q-o-Q and NNPA improved to 0.42%, down 6 basis points Q-o-Q and at an all-time low. Our provision coverage ratio, excluding technically written-off, increased to 75.14% and we continue to maintain around the 75% level. Credit cost for the quarter was at 0.47%, improving 3 basis points Q-o-Q. These trends reflect both portfolio seasoning and sustained focus on recovery and give us confidence in the resilience of our book. And our slippage ratio for the quarter was 0.7%. As a result of all the above improvement, our ROA increased to 1.15%, up 6 basis points sequentially and ROE improved to 11.68%, an expansion of 67 basis points Q-o-Q. You will notice that despite the 125 bps rate cut from last year December to this year December, we have -- our margins have expanded. Our ROA is also better than last year December level. EPS for the quarter was at INR 16.79 up 8.9% sequentially. Also during the quarter, we increased our stake in our associate company, Ageas Federal Life Insurance from 26% to 30% through the acquisition of 3.2 crore shares at INR 30.45 per share. The transaction was completed in November '25 after receiving all necessary approvals from RBI and IRDAI, and it strengthens our long-term strategic partnership in the life insurance business. To conclude, Q3 reinforces the fact that we are building a more stable, margin-led and buoyant franchise. Our priorities remain unchanged, strengthening the liability franchise; secondly, growing in chosen higher-quality lending segments; and thirdly, maintaining control on costs and asset quality. While competition remains intense, our focus remains on risk-adjusted profitability and consistency of outcomes rather than just pure headline growth. The balance sheet that we are building is more granular, more resilient and better positioned across rate cycles. Thank you, and we'll now open it up for questions.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Mahrukh Adajania from Nuvama.
Mahrukh Adajania
analystCongratulations. My first question is on your outlook on margins, right? You already expanded margins by 24 bps over the last 2 quarters. So where do we see margins from here on, given that the growth in mid and high segments is already very strong? So I guess it has stabilized from here on. So what is your outlook on margins for the next 2 to 3 quarters, assuming no further rate cuts? And even for the longer term, where do you see them stabilize? And my next question is on your fee income on the distribution income. If you could throw some light that wasn't very strong this quarter? So those were my questions.
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveRight. So just to talk about the NIM expansion, it's a journey. I don't think we are at the end of that journey. And as we keep changing the mix of our liability profile as our CASA percentage grows and our medium yield asset grow -- continue to grow faster than the low-yielding asset side. I think -- we hope to continue this journey for many more quarters to go. Of course, there will be -- immediate quarter, you will see the impact of the last rate cut play out. So we have to keep that in mind in the next quarter. A large part of the last rate cut will play out in the next quarter. Of course, we have to try and mitigate that as we have tried in the last few quarters. We will attempt to do our best on it. So -- but I don't think that journey is anywhere close to peak of what we want to get. Your second question was?
Mahrukh Adajania
analystThat you didn't reprice -- you did -- so you usually have a T+1 repricing except for new loans, right? So part of the repricing would have played out this quarter or no?
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveYes. Yes, yes. For a month, it would have played out, the rest of the 2 months, it won't have played out. So 1/3 of that impact would have played out this quarter, 2/3 of that impact will play out in the next quarter, yes. On the distribution side, we do have a seasonal -- seasonality every year. Our insurance income is -- distribution income is usually better in the second quarter than in the third quarter usually. Having said that, there was also GST impact in the last quarter because the commissions were impacted by the change in GST structure. And last also, the product mix when the markets are buoyant, customers tend to choose ULIP products and where the commission percentages are lower. So it's partly reflective of that. In terms of volume, our traction continued to remain good.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Akshay Jain from Autonomous.
Akshay Kumar Jain
analystThis is Akshay. So my question is on asset quality. So how do we look at asset quality for MFI segment going ahead? So if I reverse calculate your MFI credit costs, they come out to around 10%, 11%. So how should we expect this number to move incrementally? And on other segments, they are performing very well. The credit cost you have disclosed to be around 29 basis points. So assuming you build a moderation in MFI credit cost, how should this blended credit cost number move? So should we expect it to be much lower than your 50-plus basis point guidance? Or are we expecting some deterioration in other segments? So that's my first question. And secondly, on the loans -- loan mix, while you continue to state that you will be focusing on the mid-yield segments. Any quantitative number on how the mix should settle down maybe in 3, 4, 5 years? How much will be your high-yielding book, mid-yield book and low-yielding book? Anything on that?
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveSo let me take the second one. I'll ask Venkat to answer the credit cost question, but I'll take the second one. The way I look at it is this is again a journey. It's too early to put a stable number to that. Our attempt is to keep working towards growing the mid-yield book faster than the high-yield book. And remember one thing that we have still not changed the composition of the high yield and very high-yield portion because that is the microfinance. While cards has -- you can see good growth in cards. Other high-yield segments, we have not pushed the accelerator on, whether it is personal loans or MFI because we have been waiting for pushing the accelerator on that to get more comfort on the potential credit cost of that. So I think this journey is -- we are too early in the journey to tell you how it will look 3 to 5 years later. I think the attempt is to keep working towards changing this mix favorably. How much it will reach, where it will reach too early to say. But clearly, our attempt is to improve yields on the asset side by changing this mix. On the credit cost...
Venkatraman Venkateswaran
executiveCredit cost, see at the beginning of the year and in Q1 also, we said the full year guidance we gave 55 to 60 bps. And right now, for 9 months, we are already at 55 bps. So we should end the year somewhere between 55 and 50. 52, 53 bps for the full year. For the quarter, the credit cost was 47 bps, of course, lower than last quarter. So we'll continue to see the credit cost getting better in Q4 as well.
Akshay Kumar Jain
analystSir, my question is like once MFI book settles down...
Venkatraman Venkateswaran
executiveSorry. Am I audible?
Akshay Kumar Jain
analystYes.
Operator
operatorYes, you are.
Venkatraman Venkateswaran
executiveYes. On the MFI, like you said, yes, if you have seen the trajectory of slippages, it's coming down every quarter and the credit cost is also coming down. We are seeing it come down, and we expect even Q4 to be lower than what we have seen in Q3. So we should see the improvement being reflected in the MFI as well. Now have we seen a full recovery in MFI? We don't think so. We are still cautious in terms of growing the MFI business and it's being grown selectively. So we'll watch for one more quarter before we decide how much to press the pedal on MFI.
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveAnd just to add to that, in the medium term, we should also remember that as we build the medium yield assets, the credit cost on those will be higher than the low yield assets, right? For example, corporate credit costs are close to 0, whereas there will be credit cost coming out of the -- so as of now, we are not yet giving a significantly different guidance compared to our -- where we are today. We will evaluate that guidance as we go forward.
Akshay Kumar Jain
analystUnderstood. Sir, and just one more question on how is your MSME asset quality progressing? And any impact you're seeing from U.S. tariffs or you're hearing anecdotally from the industry?
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveNo. Like Venkat mentioned earlier, if you see the -- what we call the BuB segment, the lower end of SME, we have actually begun to grow that in this quarter with comfort on the credit side. Actually, our credit costs are well in control and the portfolio is absolutely -- I mean, we haven't seen any deterioration at all. And in the Commercial Banking, which is the higher end of SME, again, our portfolio quality remains robust. We aren't seeing any stress in that portfolio. Actually, both these segments this quarter, costs are lower than -- credit costs are lower than what they were last quarter.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Rikin Shah from IIFL Capital.
Rikin Shah
analystI have 4 quick questions. The first one on the growth clearly...
Operator
operatorI'm sorry to interrupt you, Mr. Shah. May we request you to please speak a bit louder.
Rikin Shah
analystIs this better?
Venkatraman Venkateswaran
executiveSlightly.
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveRikin, did we hear you correctly? You have 4 questions.
Rikin Shah
analystYes. So I had 4 questions basically. So the first one is on the growth. So on the growth, you're clearly restructuring the mix towards mid yielding segment, which partly is reflecting in your margin performance as well. So when does this restructuring largely gets done, you reach your target mix and we can expect the bank to grow in line or maybe faster than the system? So that's number one. Second, if I look at the reported margins, they are up 12 basis points sequentially, but the lending spreads are broadly flat. So if you could just provide some walk-through of where this reported NIM improvement is coming from. Third is on CASA. So this is again second quarter of good CASA traction. Last quarter, we saw SA momentum was good. It sustained this time and this quarter, even CA has picked up. So I just wanted to check on CA specifically. Any period-end chunky balances that may get potentially reversed? Or this is a real organic improvement in CA as well that we saw in the quarter? And fourth and the last one, just wanted to get a sense on when do we expect the first tranche of fund infusion from Blackstone coming in? Would it be in 4Q FY '26 or maybe 1Q FY '27?
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveThanks, Rikin. Rikin, this quarter, our asset growth is 4.5%, so close to 4.5%. And so I don't know, when you say that will it recover to industry levels, I don't know, which industry level you're talking about. So I don't have an answer to that question.
Rikin Shah
analystOn Y-o-Y basis. No, no, SA I was talking in...
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveI'm assuming you are measuring momentum by the last quarter.
Rikin Shah
analystFair enough. So you're saying that this momentum should broadly sustain going ahead as well?
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveI will qualify it partly. As you have seen, all our chosen segment, our run rates are quite good. And this quarter, of course, we got very good growth on corporate as well. So maybe the 8% kind of quarterly growth on corporate may have sustained, but even if you drop that lower, our run rates will be fairly healthy, right? So that is on the asset growth. On the NIM, I'll ask Venkat to take it, but before that, on CASA -- on CASA, first of all, there are no chunky stuff there. It is all reasonably granular, but I will just requalify it by saying that there are usually, of course, bump-ups that happen in the quarter end due to the nature of the business, but we should -- that is why we disclose our averages through the quarter. And if you see the average, growth in averages also are quite healthy. So therefore if you remain focused on the averages that we report, it will tell you that it is reasonably secular. CASA growth, of course, is -- there is no one silver bullet we have used. It is a factor of multiple things, including better productivity from branches, newer products. It's a combination of various things, and this journey, of course, continues. We can do more, and we will continue to focus on that. On the Blackstone, of course, we are awaiting final regulatory approvals on that. So we are hoping that this quarter, it will get -- in the last quarter we'll get done. That's our expectation. We'll keep you posted with the actual development on that. NIM, walk through, again, NIM, my broad comment will be NIM, again, is no one single silver bullet. It is a combination of multiple things that improve our NIM. We work on granularly on multiple things to make sure our NIM improves, but I'll ask Venkat to take the details of it.
Venkatraman Venkateswaran
executiveYes, in terms of NIM, like Manian said several factors both, on the downside, yield on advances has gone down by 9 bps. But on the upside, we have had several factors. One is cost of deposits is lower, our cost of borrowings has gone down. CRR cut to some extent has come. Better yield on investments as compared to last quarter and our own average own fund. A combination of these 5, 6 factors helped us in terms of getting to 3.18%. So several things. And we have to continue to work on all of them.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Piran Engineer from CLSA.
Piran Engineer
analystCongratulations on the quarter, and thanks for keeping your promise of not keeping it on a weekend. Just getting back on the NIM question, how much of your TD repricing is left?
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveAs we had earlier indicated, our -- from the cycle started, we think it is about 14 months on an average. 14 months, it takes to fully reprice the term deposits, and that means we have about 4 or 5 months to go.
Piran Engineer
analyst2 more quarters?
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executive1.5 more quarters, yes.
Piran Engineer
analystYes. Okay. Okay. That answers my question. Secondly, just in this quarter also the yield decline of 10, 12 bps Q-o-Q. Now 2, 3 bps would have come because you have immediately passed on the repo rate cut. But what led to the other 8, 9 bps of decline?
Venkatraman Venkateswaran
executiveThe total decline is only 8 bps or rather 9 bps, so...
Piran Engineer
analystYield on advances 8.86% to 8.74%.
Venkatraman Venkateswaran
executiveOn NIM basis it's only 9 bps. There's a drop in yield on advances.
Piran Engineer
analystYes. I mean I'm going by your reported numbers, 8.86% to 8.74%. Now out of that ballpark 2, 3 bps would be due to the repo rate cut.
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executivePiran, but the incremental business also happens at lower rate, right? As the rates drop, incremental business, for example, MCLR repricing would have happened on other assets, non-repo assets. New business would come at lower rates because markets do pricing drop in rates. New corporate business would have come at lower rates. So all that also happens, right? So yes, the yields do go down overall. But of course, our costs also go down.
Piran Engineer
analystOkay. So then this NIM improvement this quarter, going back to Rikin's question is essentially balance sheet management, where we must have reduced liquidity on the balance sheet, more loans on the balance sheet, and that's why we see this 12 bp benefit. Is my understanding correct?
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveSo when you say balance sheet management, CASA improvement -- CASA percentage improvement has an impact on cost of funds, right? Cost of deposits go down. Yes. So it is a mix of both. It's not -- borrowing cost is not balance sheet borrowing cost reduction is actual cost reduction. So yes, it's a mix. Like I said, this is not one silver bullet, which is solving it for us, right? We have to work on multiple parameters to improve NIM, and we'll continue to do that.
Piran Engineer
analystUnderstood. Okay. And just lastly, in terms of your mortgages and your auto loan books now those have been fairly stable for the last 4, 5 quarters now. So just wanted to get a sense of when we will start seeing these segments pick up?
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveSee, right now, on the home loan, particularly home loan, as you can see, we have stepped up the pace on our LAP book. As you can see, the growth rate in the LAP is reasonably healthy this quarter. On the home loan side, we are not finding the risk rewards attractive just now. We feel that the pricing is below the optimal levels that we require. And therefore, as you can see, we have not grown that aggressively. We, of course, continue to serve our existing customer needs, but we are not going out and acquiring aggressively at those kind of rates. These are long-term commitments. This is a very long-term product. And structurally, you can lock the balance sheet on poor rate economics for a long time, and therefore, we are cautious. When we get comfortable -- so I don't have an answer as to when we will change that one. We will continue to focus on areas where we think the risk rewards are good. Auto, hopefully, we can -- we are working towards. We have made some structural changes internally to make auto work. Auto, we hopefully get back sooner. On the home loan, I will wait and see how the situation evolves, the competitive intensity evolves and how the pricing in the market evolves to see whether we can press the accelerator on that. But the way, Piran, I see is we have opportunity to grow the assets, other assets, as you can see, many of them are growing in their 20s, and we will continue to focus on that to build the balance sheet.
Piran Engineer
analystGot it. And just lastly, quickly, branch openings have slowed down a lot this year. Why is that?
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveAs you know, earlier, we have addressed this issue. We have been working on multiple things on the branch side, like the “Free The Branch” initiative that we have been doing. So we are kind of reimagining the branch operating model. And we wanted on settling that before we push the accelerator on branch openings. We also wanted to -- we were working on the brand, brand refresh, branch formats, reformatting our actual physical layouts of the branches, branding. We are also -- we have also gone through evaluation of our branch network in terms of the efficiency of the network, whether we need to relocate some branches, whether we need to review some branch sizes. So various things are -- were in the pipeline. So we wanted to get a better handle on all that before trying to push the accelerator on the branch numbers. You will see better branch traction in the quarter 4 already.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Abhishek M from HSBC.
Abhishek Murarka
analystCongratulations for the quarter. So a couple of questions. The first is...
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveCan you get closer to the mic or -- you obviously not very audible?
Abhishek Murarka
analystIs this better?
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveYes. That's better.
Abhishek Murarka
analystOkay. Sorry about that. So the first question is on OpEx. I just wanted to check that now since you're anyway going to grow mid yielding, et cetera, which is more granular business, what would be the run rate of OpEx? Would it grow at this 4%, 5% Q-o-Q range and that means annualized high teens maybe? Or does that taper off at some point of time?
Venkatraman Venkateswaran
executiveYes. Abhishek, this is Venkat. On the cost, as we had indicated earlier, the cost income ratio, if you had seen it has to do with both management of costs and the income traction. So this quarter, it's down because we have had strong income momentum. But our guidance we have said that over the 2- to 3-year period, it will be a range bound in the 53 to 55 because they will be reinvesting the sales in distribution, technology and all the other initiatives. So -- but at the same time, our endeavors to ensure that we try and get to a positive jaws so that the alignment of cost is in line with the income growth.
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveWe had said earlier that this is a tightrope walk we will do. We will build income and we have always stated that. So we -- our guidance has been that don't build in benefits out of that. If we get that it's a bonus, but we will remain very focused on making sure that we are efficient. But just now, we don't want you to -- our guidance is don't build efficiencies out of that in the short term. We'll see in the medium term.
Abhishek Murarka
analystYes, exactly because if you're in a build-out phase you will need to make those.
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveYes. Yes.
Abhishek Murarka
analystOkay. The other one is on 2 or 3 segments of your loan mix. One, I wanted to check, gold loans, are you seeing any kind of yield pressure or pressure to raise LTV, et cetera? And -- or is the market largely rational at this point of time as well?
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveI'll ask Harsh to take that.
Harsh Dugar
executiveHi, Harsh here. The pressure on yield on gold loans in general would be there because of the falling interest rates and some of the PSU banks offering rates, but the gold loan book has grown substantially. We have actually maintained our yields on our gold loan book. The challenges on LTV has actually not happened because our LTV has actually come off. If you look at from last quarter to this quarter, the LTV has actually dropped, and this is not just for us, industry-wide phenomenon because of the increase in the gold loan prices. So we are not going to push growth by targeting only LTV. So this is where it is. So at this point in time, I would say that the yields are being maintained and managed. I don't see -- growth has been reasonably good for us and LTV pressures are not there at this point in time.
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveIn fact, the gold loan growth rate of 9% is in spite of the -- what Venkat mentioned in his thing, running down of our wholesale lending kind of a book we had, which is not allowed under the new regulation. So if you gross for that, it's another 2%, 2.5% higher.
Harsh Dugar
executiveIt's actually -- it's almost 19% Y-o-Y -- and if I look at the beginning of the financial year, it's actually 22%.
Abhishek Murarka
analystOkay, okay. And most of it would be price driven, right, not really tonnage driven.
Harsh Dugar
executiveYou mean the growth?
Abhishek Murarka
analystThe growth, so basically more tonnage.
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveYes. So our tonnage has not gone up this quarter, yes. So somewhat...
Venkatraman Venkateswaran
executiveAnd on LTV, they are at 52, right? [indiscernible]
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveFrom LTV perspective we are at...
Harsh Dugar
executiveWe have more headroom available if we have to do that.
Abhishek Murarka
analystSure, sure. Perfect. The personal loan book, like MFI, you indicated that you're still looking at the environment and where the credit cost will settle. Is it the same in the personal loan book? Or are you seeing any kind of comfort there and you could start growing? I know you indicated that you're still watching, but what is that metric or indication that would make you start growing that book?
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveNo. So compared to MFI, we are more comfortable in the personal loan space. Yes. And we are -- I would say we are in baby steps in terms of -- actually, we did highest personal loan disbursement in the last 12 months -- in the last month, actually in the month of December. So we are trying to build that, but slowly baby steps, I would say, yes. But we have more comfort in that space than the MFI space just now. But we are just now focused that product on our existing customers alone. We haven't gone out to acquire customers on that product, which is something that we are evaluating. We'll see the economics of that must justify. We are looking at the options there.
Abhishek Murarka
analystSure. And in terms of book growth, when does that start contributing at least incrementally?
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveThe personal loans?
Abhishek Murarka
analystYes.
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveSee, just now, it is a small book. So even if it grows at a reasonable pace, I think it will take time for it to really make a dent on the overall scenario. It's a very small book, as you can see, this INR 3,000-odd crores of book, INR 3,600 crores book. So let's start building it, then we will see the impact over a period of time. Too early to start talking about an impact arising out of that.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Nitin Aggarwal from Motilal Oswal.
Nitin Aggarwal
analystSo I have two questions. One is on the yield and the rating distribution of your corporate exposure, how are you looking at that? If you look at the Slide 20, 21. And so the mix of A-rated corporate has gone down in this quarter by nearly 500 basis points. And so I understand, like, of course, the bank is working on improving the yields. But how are you looking at this equation? Any desired number that you would like to reach? Any color around this?
Harsh Dugar
executiveHarsh here. We had very consciously said that we would not be focusing large part on the low-yielding one. And in corporate banking, the AAA means drive the maximum price extraction from the bank. So we have consciously let go off certain large assets in the -- which has made this difference. In terms of asset quality, I can assure you that we are not going down the risk spectrum to build the book. We will be more granular, we'll be more mid corporate, and we'll be deeper geography, but not diluting the credit standards. It's just like not focusing so much on the AAAs rates because reciprocity doesn't come from there, neither the yield coming from there. So AAA the thing is, two things which I would like to further stress how we strengthen our business. We ensure that they are either very securely asset-backed or the proper cash flow trapping over there.
Nitin Aggarwal
analystRight. And so just like on this, see, at the same time, we have also reported a pretty strong growth sequentially. So while we have let go of this asset, but still we have reported a 6% growth. So does that mean that the growth otherwise was like running in double digits in corporates this time?
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveNitin, you have to see it in the context of the last 1 year, we have also grown this book slow, right, over a period of time. So the restructuring of this book had impacted the growth of this book for the last 3, 4 quarters, actually, they had not grown very fast. So -- and we had started focusing on mid-corporates but obviously, it takes time for mid-corporates to build. And I think now we are able to see the progression towards that. Yes, of course, but some opportunistically some assets have happened in corporate, which has also -- which were decent yield and therefore, we have also done that. So like I mentioned earlier, don't go by the 8% you see in this quarter and that as a steady-state run rate of growth for that segment of business.
Nitin Aggarwal
analystRight, sir. But is like the unwinding more or less over? Or you expect more unwinding to happen going forward?
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveNo unwinding is over. We have to now build. Over in the sense -- see, like I said, all these are process -- some long-term loans sitting there, you can't easily unwind. So it's always a process. But by and large, I would say, yes, over.
Harsh Dugar
executiveMaybe also please keep in mind is also very short term in many cases and very opportunistic. So if we do see opportunities at any point of time, we will do that part. So we'll vacate from our balance sheet perspective, our risk return point of view and reciprocity. So this is something which we are doing as a conscious coin.
Nitin Aggarwal
analystOkay. Okay. And the other area that I wanted to check up on is on margins. Like last 2 quarters, we have reported a 24 basis point odd NIM expansion. So do you think that margin will be a bigger driver in ROA expansion as you alluded that it will like -- even going forward, the margins will continue to expand. So will this turn out to be a bigger driver in our overall blocks and like on which the margin expansion or ROE expansion is going to be based?
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveNo, NIM is obviously one of an important driver for ROE expansion. There's no question about that. Having said that, yes, some fees add to that. Of course there are other things that will add on to that. And margin also is both an asset side game and liability side game. So I would say all 3 liability side mix, asset side mix and fee improvement, all 3 need to drive our ROA trajectory.
Venkatraman Venkateswaran
executiveHaving said that, I just want to caution you that for the coming quarter, Q4, our endeavor will be to maintain NIMs around the current levels given the fact that we still have the impact of the last rate cut to be passed, the 2 months impact.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Kunal Shah from Citi Group.
Kunal Shah
analystFirst on fee income side, maybe at the discussion earlier, you alluded to the overall distribution income. But if we look at it maybe the overall fee income growth or fee income to assets, where do we expect it to settle over next 12 to 18-odd months once all the factors play out? Because it still seems to be settling closer to 1-odd percent even in this quarter, and that's been largely flat?
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveSo Kunal, I don't think we are -- I will say that again, like in some other cases, I don't think we are looking at settling -- wherever we are is not the place we are settling at. Clearly, there are levers that we have. We will -- this quarter, we'll launch our wealth -- in the market. And that's a business that we will grow over the next few quarters and years. Our trade and ForEx has upside possible, which -- where I don't think we have yet got the trajectory that we want to. So there is potential to grow that. Our cards business continues to grow well. That should add to fee income going forward. So these are things that are still to play out. So I think we are far from saying that we are settled at 1% level. We want to see upside on that, and we will drive trajectory -- upward trajectory in that.
Kunal Shah
analystOkay. And this would be visible over like maybe 4 to 6-odd quarters? So maybe this wealth management and card business and all that should be driven over a period?
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveYes. As you can see, even in the last 2 quarters, we have seen some trajectory, right? It has moved up to 1% from 19 basis points -- 92 that it used to be. So there is traction. So you see it -- I mean, hopefully, you will keep it on a continuous basis. You'll not necessarily have to wait for 4 to 6 quarters.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Param Subramanian from Investec.
Parameswaran Subramanian
analystCongrats on the quarter. A few questions. Firstly, on LCR. What is the LCR as of this quarter? And what is the impact for us from the RBI change in regulations from April, positive, negative?
Venkatraman Venkateswaran
executiveSo our quarter-end LCR was about 114% and average was about 127% -- 123%. Average was 123%. We expect about 5% to 6% impact out of the new regulation from RBS approximately.
Parameswaran Subramanian
analystThis is a negative impact?
Venkatraman Venkateswaran
executiveYes.
Parameswaran Subramanian
analystOkay. Okay. Okay. Fair enough. And so then what does that mean for your growth? So broadly, we talk about 1.2 to 1.5x nominal GDP growth, right? So is there any change to that after taking into account both these things? Firstly, you'll have capital next year. There is a drag of this LCR norm as well. So how to think about the growth trajectory?
Venkatraman Venkateswaran
executiveParam, it is also a function of opportunity and the external environment. Having said that, we will continue to remain focused on medium yielding growth. And as you saw last quarter, 4.5% in advances. So assuming all things equal, we would -- we will try and be around the same levels and high teens is what we are working towards.
Parameswaran Subramanian
analystHigh teens loan growth?
Venkatraman Venkateswaran
executiveAt around 16%.
Parameswaran Subramanian
analyst16% from next year is what you're talking about. Okay. Okay. And -- okay. So that part is clear. And on this corporate loan growth bit. So I think you mentioned -- so there is -- I mean, there is a growth sequentially. So what is -- I mean -- and we can see it in the RBI data as well. Is this the substitution of bond market primarily? Or is there some CapEx-related lending here? Could you give some color on this corporate lending?
Harsh Dugar
executiveMix of it, basically a part has also come from the fact that the bond market had priced higher and the bank lending had come on in line. So that was one part of it. So that's what you're saying is right. There's also been an increase in requirements of both working capital by the -- if you look at the data also, the paid offtake from the corporate sector has also increased. That has also led to it. A little bit of CapEx was substantial, but it will be less from here as well. So all the three has actually contributed.
Parameswaran Subramanian
analystJust one last question. Again, this has been asked before, but if you could just explain the margin walk, right? So I mean, in that Slide 9, the top left chart that you're showing, it's showing yield on loans and cost of funds are down broadly the same, yes. I mean there is a CRR positive, we can see 4, 5 basis points, which we are aware. But I mean there's a 12 basis point improvement, right? So how exactly do we...
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveParam, I will take this offline after the call.
Parameswaran Subramanian
analystCongrats on the quarter again.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Jai Mundhra from ICICI Securities.
Jai Prakash Mundhra
analystCongratulations on the quarter. Sir, you spelled out on NIMs and loan growth trajectory. If you can share your aspirational ROA over the next 2 years, sir, that will be much helpful?
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveJai, we -- in our February document, we had shown some -- we have given you a guidance on what -- how to look at our ROA over the next 2, 3 years, right? I don't think that changes. I think we are just now in the execution mode on the same strategic plan and that continues to be your guidance on what we think our ROA is.
Jai Prakash Mundhra
analystSure, sir. Sure. And lastly, sir, if you have the quantifiable number from RBI trade release measures, right? So RBI had given this window of dispensation for exporters, if they want, they can take moratorium. Do you have any quantum of such requests where people would have taken moratorium?
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveVery negligible, insignificant, negligible.
Jai Prakash Mundhra
analystOkay, sure. And sir, if you can quantify the labor -- new labor code impact, have you done any higher provision on gratuity, et cetera on the new labor code?
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveWe have stated in the results, right?
Venkatraman Venkateswaran
executiveOn results the point #8 captures the quantum state, and we have discussed this part of this question.
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveIt's a very small amount. It's not a material amount, but it is disclosed.
Venkatraman Venkateswaran
executiveWe have provided for it.
Jai Prakash Mundhra
analystAnd this is done for now, right? I mean you did not do for the -- I mean just one time and it is done also, right? There's no recurring impact.
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveThis is the direct impact relating to our employees. Now people we work with, they may have an impact on -- in the sense, our contractors and suppliers and partners, they will have this impact and that can have a knock-on impact on us over a period of time, but those are not quantifiable state, right.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Gaurav Jani from Prabhudas Lilladher.
Gaurav Jani
analystJust touching upon the margins again, right? It seems to me that largely the improvement is from balance sheet management, right? We have reduced the proportion of liabilities overall. LDRs have gone up, borrowings have come down. I think that's the main contributor apart from the CRR cut. Now my question is, sir, how sustainable is this? CFO, sir did mention about margins probably being steady in the next quarter. How would we achieve that? I mean, purely from the loan mix because there will surely be normalization in terms of liability growth, right, in the next quarter. So yes, that's my first question.
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveYes. I mean I thought we already answered that, that we continue to work on the liability mix, asset mix, all of that. And therefore, we -- all that will be NIM accretive and that's our effort. But yes, the repo rate cut will play out fully in the next quarter. So there will be a negative impact of that. We'll have to look at how we can mitigate that.
Gaurav Jani
analystSir, secondly, sir, on the TD rate cuts, right? So the first tranche of repo rate cuts that happened followed -- was followed by system-wide TD rate cuts. So what is your sense on further TD rate cuts? Is that possible?
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveYes and no. So there are -- in fact, -- after the last rate cut, the drops in rates -- of course, savings rate did not drop at all. Term deposit rates, very moderate cuts have happened, not as much as the repo rate cut, but lower cuts have happened, but not fully reflective of the repo rate cut, yes. But increasingly, as you know, the market after the last rate cut, actually, the bond markets have hardened, rates have hardened. So the opportunity to cut rates was lower post the last rate cut. And that's true for the entire sector.
Venkatraman Venkateswaran
executiveAnd also, as I said earlier, we also want to focus on growth and keep the momentum on growth going. And to achieve that, we have to ensure that the deposit growth keeps pace. So it may not be wise to cut the rates at this time.
Gaurav Jani
analystUnderstood. Just if I may squeeze one more. Sir, on the provisions side, right, we have been buffering up on the standard asset provisioning. So it will help if you could just run us through as to what are you thinking or how are you planning in terms of ECL? We have been shoring up standard asset provisions. So does it mean that we would continue to see credit costs of about 50 basis points moving towards the ECL or then because -- or because of improvement in asset quality, we will see credit costs coming off?
Venkatraman Venkateswaran
executiveCredit cost, like we said earlier guidance will be around the 55, 60 bps. We are still waiting for the final guidelines from RBI. Based on the draft, we have worked out the impact. We'll have to see how that plays out. And there are certain concessions which the industry has asked. If that comes through, the impact will be quite minimal and for which we have in the past indicated what that quantum will be.
Gaurav Jani
analystBut as of today, we are in line with ECL or we are a bit short?
Venkatraman Venkateswaran
executiveA little bit short.
Gaurav Jani
analystUnderstood.
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveWhen you say short, you mean from credit cost perspective?
Gaurav Jani
analystThat's right. That's right.
Venkatraman Venkateswaran
executive55, 60 is our...
Gaurav Jani
analystYes. Fundamentally, we don't think ECL changes the credit cost dramatically. Over a period of time, it should align with credit costs. We cannot have an accounting mechanism, which does not reflect the actual credit cost, right? So we don't believe that ECL mechanism is -- there may be a onetime impact of the...
Venkatraman Venkateswaran
executiveBut even for that transition period, which RBI is giving, they said they'll do it over a few years. So we won't see any material bump up on this.
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, this will be our last question for today, which is from the line of Siji Philip from Renaissance Investment Managers.
Siji Philip
analystCongrats on a good set of numbers. Sir, on the fee income front, so we have gradually improved to 1%. But how much further improvement do we foresee over the next couple of years like just a broad range would be helpful.
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveI don't have a specific guidance on that. I mean -- but having said that, our effort, I just mentioned that there are levers that we have not yet used wealth card, trade and ForEx, all of that has to still play out. We are trying to get those things done. So upward trajectory, we would hope to get how much is time will tell.
Siji Philip
analystOkay. And sir, in your unsecured portion of the book has most of the stress gone out? And how do we see the growth on that front? Are we going to push growth in unsecured as well?
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveOn the -- we have already been pushing growth on the organic card side. Organic cards, our own cards, we are already growing it reasonably fast. In the last few quarters, we have seen our book grow reasonably fast on that. On the fintech partnership cards, we are still cautious on that. We are not growing that fast enough. PL, I would say we are making baby steps, as I mentioned earlier. On microfinance, we are still cautious. So that's the current status.
Siji Philip
analystSo you will be happy with as you said earlier, a high-teens growth of around 16% in the next year?
Venkatraman Venkateswaran
executiveThe overall growth.
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveOverall. That's the overall.
Operator
operatorThank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question for today. I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Souvik Roy for closing comments.
Souvik Roy
executiveSo Thanks, Pooja, and thank you, everybody, for your time and for the timely connect. And if any case you need further clarifications, you can reach out to us. Happy to connect after the call. Thank you so much, and have a great weekend.
Venkatraman Venkateswaran
executiveThank you.
Krishnan Subramanian Manian
executiveThank you. Thank you so much.
Operator
operatorThank you. Ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of Federal Bank, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.
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