The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. (IPG) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
May 20, 2024
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
David Karnovsky
analystAll right, great. We'll get started. My name is David Karnovsky. I cover media, entertainment and advertising at JPMorgan. Very happy to have back at the conference, Philippe Krakowsky, CEO, Interpublic Group of Companies. Philippe, thanks for being here.
Philippe Krakowsky
executiveThank you. Karnovsky and Krakowsky. I don't know. Let's start a law firm.
David Karnovsky
analystYes, exactly. Sky means from. So Philippe, just to kick things off, what do you see as the larger growth story for the agency holding company space right now? And how are you positioning IPG to take advantage of that story?
Philippe Krakowsky
executiveI think the growth story for us as an industry has actually been pretty consistent for going back some time now, probably accelerated by the pandemic. But I think if you look at the way in which technology has impacted pretty much everything about the way that information moves around, people relate to each other, they get information, obviously, how they relate to companies, and for our clients, the options, or the tools that, that gives us to reach them in ways that are increasingly precise and increasingly timely in terms of wherever somebody is on a journey of either interacting with a company, discovering a brand, being introduced to sort of a product or a product category. So the opportunity that, that represents, I think, is only increasing. You had that evident in the ad tech ecosystem initially. Now it's sort of happening across a broader range of marketing technology and not just media but now content and creative work as well or what traditionally has been called creative work. So I don't see anything that deviates from that trajectory, which has been largely good for the industry, and again, largely good for us as a company.
David Karnovsky
analystGot it. So in your last earnings call, you expressed confidence in the long-term performance for media, health care, PR, and experiential. So I thought maybe you can unpack a bit what informs your positive view for these disciplines.
Philippe Krakowsky
executiveSure. Over time, for many folks in the room who follow us, you know that the drivers of our growth, both top and bottom line, media has been very accretive to those results. And that's the place where we've probably gone the furthest in terms of baking in that technology layer, data initially through our own stack going back a number of years now with Acxiom. So I think that we continue to think that a business where you've got a lot of information, you can use that to make more sophisticated decisions and get to better outcomes for your clients, continues to have a lot of opportunity and a lot of upside. I think health care is maybe just a bit different in that what you have there is a skill set that goes much deeper and has a level of specialization. When you look at, we probably have the largest health care marketing group in the sector. And among that group, you've got hundreds, if not over 1,000 people, all of whom have very specialized health care expertise. They're pharmacists. They're nurses. They're nutritionists. They're folks with doctorates in various component parts of the science. So again, that's a place where we see more sophistication, continued need, a client sector that has come through the pandemic much well regarded sort of in terms of broader perception, maybe a slightly less robust pipeline than we would have seen a couple of years ago. But again, that's a space we see strong. And the last 2 that you mentioned, I think PR engaged and experiential have to do with -- it's difficult to engage with consumers with humans at a personal level in real life and where and when those companies that we've got, whether it's PR around influencer and social or whether it's the experiential agencies that actually put brands into the real world and interact with consumers often around things that have to do with culture, things that people feel strongly enough about that they're out in the world doing, those all continue to have strong demand signals kind of across the board.
David Karnovsky
analystAnd your commentary on the health care drug pipeline, is that just a function of it accelerating over the COVID period and...
Philippe Krakowsky
executiveNo, I think it's cyclical. I mean, I think that if you've been looking at that category over a lot of years, it builds up. It builds up in different ways, as you know, whether it's the R&D itself, whether it's M&A. So I was just saying it's not something that puts us off at all on the long-term health of it. But to your point, coming through COVID, clearly, something has accelerated and now they're normalizing.
David Karnovsky
analystGot it. Creative has been a laggard that's industry-wide really for some time now. It does, however, appear to be an opportunity to transform that business with the integration of data, AI, renegotiated comp models and so on. So what's your vision for how creative fits into your long-term plan? Where are we on that path?
Philippe Krakowsky
executiveLook, I think in a world in which over these last 10 years, clients, understandably, marketers focused on precision, increased the ability to measure and to see when and how, whether it's messages or whether it's dollars that are put into the ecosystem, are having some kind of impact, a very traditional approach to creative, as you said, began to industry-wide suffer to some degree. I think what's exciting about where we sit now is that with some of the foundational pieces of the company that we've put in place as of some of our competitors, you begin to have the ability to be more precise and to apply some of the same processes or you talked about maybe outcome-based compensation in that space. We see it a lot in media. And then obviously, with the advent of the word we haven't said for all of 7 minutes here, which is AI. But with [ AI ] and what that begins to allow us to do in terms of the scale or versioning that can be done, the -- again, customization or personalization of the messages because we could clearly personalize the delivery of those messages. So I think we're beginning to see some opportunity. I think that what you need is brands are still powerful. Stories and narratives are still how we all make meaning. So clients understand that a big idea in the service of a brand can be very powerful. You just have to connect it into this bigger system. And so when the creative is connected to these other sort of component parts of what a modern marketing campaign program is made up of, I think that begins to give it more prominence again or the ability to be much more relevant again.
David Karnovsky
analystJust following up on that point. You've been on earnings calls, singling out or not singling out, you've highlighted at times FCB is an agency that's sort of at the forefront of that. Maybe you can just speak to that? Is there best practices there then that could be applied across the organization?
Philippe Krakowsky
executiveSure. I mean, I think FCB has been -- has sort of for us, been indicative of what's possible in that space because it is a "traditional" ad agency, and that leadership team was very early to -- and I think just by the nature of where they've come from, where they are in terms of their career trajectory, they're very, very comfortable with digital channels. They really understand media, they get the data piece of it. So they use data and what we call audience-led thinking. So every conversation is led with some form of data and segmentation work, which then scales or identifies the business opportunity. That then leads to the insights that then lead to the communications work. So you have got a creative ad agency. What it's doing is actually much more integrated. And that's pre, as I said, the part where you get to start using the technology as a tool to then sort of augment the creative piece of it.
David Karnovsky
analystGot it. All right. So you teed me up for the AI question, here it comes. All right. So you've been investing in GenAI. You've made announcements on this front, including a partnership with Adobe. There seems to be more to do, though, before we see the impact of this work. I don't know if that's about brand safety, protecting client data. Maybe you could give us a rundown of your vision for integrating AI broadly across IPG. And what do we know about your strategy relative to the competition?
Philippe Krakowsky
executiveWell, I mean, I think that it's -- AI has been a part of the business for some time in certain parts of the business, right? And so again, if you think about what Acxiom does with one of the most powerful data assets going, where we've got immense amounts of very high-quality data in many ways, unrivaled outside of walled gardens, you clearly use machine learning to do a lot of the analytics work, the modeling, the kind of predictive activity that you use to help clients turn that data into value. Inside of media, again, we've been using AI and machine learning for some time. I think that I can mostly speak for me or for our company because when you say competitors, harder to tell in that we're focused on solving for clients and then you get the sort of the big announcements, let's say, we're investing X, we're -- I mean, I think my sense is range and bearing, it's unlikely that you're going to see disproportionate or anybody is meaningfully ahead or behind in terms of how they're investing in this. I think that for us, in a world where we've got these now foundational layers of the company, you've got a data layer, you've got a thin layer, but an engineering or a tech layer that allows as much of the company as we can put on stream to plug into the data and activate it, use it in their business. Then you've got what we've got inside of Mediabrands at Kinesso, which is activation of that data into, again, largely the digital media ecosystem. And now content production, so automation and then thinking about the content supply chain and the way AI impacts that. That's really the place we're most focused now, and that's where we think there's an unlock because then parts of the business that either have been lagging, to your point, across the industry or that have been more challenged in plugging into these foundational layers, that becomes the unlock for us.
David Karnovsky
analystI guess when you think about digital and when that ramped a lot in the early 2010s, there were decisions made in certain agencies that allowed them to then win on organic 5, 6 years later. Is GenAI similar and that decisions made now will really pay off?
Philippe Krakowsky
executiveWell, I mean, at the time, I mean, it's funny because I remember that well, too. There was a degree to which you had something somewhat analogous. You had a couple of other competitors making very significant, very public investments, doing a lot of M&A. You had a degree to which for some folks, it was bright and shiny enough that it stayed in silos. And we always said, we've got to bake it into every component part of the business. And then to your point, for a number of years after that, it did show up very positively in our organic results. So I think it's fair to say, as you just did, that we're going to see it play out just as much in when and how clients choose to partner with any one of us, as in anything that you kind of wave your arms around a lot. Everybody's got -- again, when I look across the spectrum, it's the major, major players in the space, whether that's NVIDIA, whether that's OpenAI and Microsoft, whether that's -- all of us are playing with them and all of us have lots going on where we're either licensing or partnering in the creation of use cases, or I don't think that's necessarily where the differentiation is going to happen. It's how you actually incorporate it into your business and use it for clients.
David Karnovsky
analystOkay. That's a good segue to structure. So in the past, IPG has always emphasized an open architecture model where clients could engage the resources of different agencies. Just accounting was sort of the mantra, I remember. So more recently though, you've discussed a client need for centralized solutions. You've hired against that. What's driving the shift? What does it mean for the operational profile of IPG now?
Philippe Krakowsky
executiveI don't know that it's a shift. I think it's actually kind of a step change forward, right? Because in putting senior-level functional leaders at the corporate center, what I think you used to have before is in a world where the industry was just far less developed when it came to the need to have these platform components and these technology-enabled components of your business. You could, as we did very successfully run this idea of open architecture, which was collaboration and integration among the verticals, right? Whereas now, I think you need to connect those verticals to these platforms -- God bless. You need to go faster in doing that. And then we probably also need to some degree, simplify some of the portfolio when it comes to the number of brands and the verticals that we've got. So I'd say it's maybe Open Architecture 2.0 or 3.0. It's not really a huge -- it's not a different strategic direction in terms of we want to deliver integrated solutions to clients. We want them to sort of be best of the various marketing services specializations, expertise, some of them are crafts. And we will drive that from the center because we think that means we'll get tighter integration, we'll go faster in doing so.
David Karnovsky
analystMaybe staying on structure, can you expand on the ways you're connection Acxiom and Kinesso across the organization? We remember when you announced the Acxiom deal, media was held up as sort of the -- this will be the first area of integration. Disciplines like creative, PR, that's more of a long-term goal. Where are we on that journey?
Philippe Krakowsky
executiveI mean, media has been, by far, the place where we've made the most progress and where it is absolutely core to how we go to market. And it's been a big driver of the very consistent multiyear outperformance of the media asset. I think that when I mentioned -- you mentioned actually, thank you, when you mentioned FCB, there are parts of our world that have leaned in. There are parts of our world like the experiential agencies that are leaning in because they see the benefit when you're engaging with consumers kind of in real time, in real life. It's this somewhat unique opportunity to have an exchange of data where the value exchange is super clear. And the data is very, very -- the fidelity of the data that you get is very high. Other parts of the business have been slower to get there. On our top 20 clients on the integrated clients, it's always kind of core to what we do. And then as we sort of launch the next iteration of our kind of the engine or operating system for how this is all pulled together with the team at the center that you just alluded to, it's baked into that as well. But I'd say no, no, I haven't sat and thought through the Acxiom data as used by IPG Health. I mean, it's maybe 2/3 of the company is a good ways along on that journey, range and bearing.
David Karnovsky
analystGot it. You've discussed client need for scale as a challenge for some of your digital specialist agencies, which have been a headwind to your growth recently.
Philippe Krakowsky
executiveThey have.
David Karnovsky
analystShould we, therefore, think of a long-term solution as combining these units into your major creative networks? Or is it about M&A to kind of bring scale to those agencies?
Philippe Krakowsky
executiveI don't think the former, and I know that, that's maybe not consistent with what at least one of our competitors is doing. But I don't think the former because if you look at the places where we've got these very strong performers, whether it is IPG Health, whether it is our media assets, what you have is you've got scale, you've got a lot of centralization of core services and centers of excellence. So I don't know that integrating below the holding company level when integrating at the holding company level is increasingly is something we're called on to do. So my sense is that it won't be by trying to take those digital assets and rolling them into traditional creative assets or networks. I think you're also looking there at 2 parts of the business that are more challenged. So again, generally, we don't know that we believe that if you put 2 things that are both challenged together, what comes out the other end is actually going to be a great answer or a great outcome. But as we have alluded, I think that again, coming partially speed of change, connected to your first question, partially, I think, pressure that we've seen in the last 15 to 18 months around sort of macro uncertainty, whether it's economic, whether it's geopolitical, those assets, which have been very strong performers for us in the past, had never been challenged. The quality of the work itself, design work, innovation work, kind of intersection of tech and marketing had been strong enough that it was never a question of saying, oh, somebody who just has a scale solution that might qualitatively be not as strong in certain areas is going to win. But I think our sense is that it's something where we probably need either internally aligning those assets and likely something inorganic as well.
David Karnovsky
analystAll right. So staying on that, you've been pretty direct about a desire to add in the commerce and business transformation space. Why these areas? And then why through acquisition as opposed to building out the capability internally?
Philippe Krakowsky
executiveIt's not either/or. I mean, it's sort of both. So again, if you look at when we were building out the media asset and we were essentially creating our own data stack and tech layer. And the decision when it came to Acxiom was not a function of our inability to build that ourselves. It was just our sense that the speed at which tech was transforming things and the scale at which you were going to have to be able to securely handle first-party data was greater than what we felt we could either accomplish in time ourselves or at the caliber that we wanted to see it. So in areas like commerce, in areas like retail media, we've got component parts inside the group. They're growing well. We've got a retail media solution inside of Mediabrands. It's powered by Acxiom data. It's a business that, again, is growing well. But when we look at either how fast we think it could grow if it had more scale or whether or not there are going to be some benefits to the very deep specialization and some of the tech that would come with an acquisition, I think it's likely both.
David Karnovsky
analystGot it. And maybe moving to the conversation to more recent. So IPG updated its guidance, maintaining a 1% to 2% range. You did state, though, that you would have been comfortable at the upper end, excluding a specific client decision. So that indicates kind of a positive underlying momentum. So I wanted to discuss where you've seen or observed any firming up. I know at the end of last year, you talked to smaller clients and some challenges on converting TBG revenues. So any kind of color you could say around that underlying improvement.
Philippe Krakowsky
executiveSure. I mean, the way that growth happens in our business is you grow with existing clients. And when we sit with our operators and build plans, there is a to-be-gotten number. And the way that you can ultimately achieve that is to find net new, some of which comes through the large pitches that show up in the press, but a significant amount of the activity is very much above. I think like other professional services, consulting businesses, you go out and you build that book yourself where you find it. So I think it's fair to say, to your point, I think we said the tone of the conversations with clients, which we called out last year through pretty much all year as being cautious and that broader anxiety being something that was evident in the decision-making that we were seeing, larger pitches converting more slowly, clients wanting to keep a measure of optionality and often sort of modularizing bigger assignments so that they could maybe -- to find off ramps. So I think that the tenor of those conversations has definitely improved. It's more normal in terms of where and how our folks are able to find that revenue that you earn and that you find in a way that's much more, in essence, sort of -- I don't know what the right word is, but it's not, as I said, the -- oh, here's the very big pitch. It takes a long time that then turns on a sizable spigot. So I think that, that's one thing. And then over the course of the year last year, we had 6 of 8 client categories pretty solid throughout the year and that continues to be the case. And then I think the last piece of the puzzle is just that the one category that was challenged throughout the year last year for us and called out by a number of our peers was tech or tech and telco. And quarter-to-quarter heading into Q1, pulling out what for us is an unfortunate but a sizable loss in the telco space. That means that from the outside looking in, you're still going to see a drag that's with us all the way through probably mid-Q4. But that broad category is feeling like it's stabilizing.
David Karnovsky
analystOkay. And stabilizing, that's the kind of bellwether big tech names?
Philippe Krakowsky
executiveThat was basically -- I mean, again for us, at least when, over the course of the year last year, we were calling out that tech was costing us 1, 1.5 point more of organic revenue growth. It was very concentrated in a group of 5 or 6 very large tech clients.
David Karnovsky
analystWhat gets that group spending, right? I mean, you're all competing on AR, VR, streaming, social, right? Shouldn't that type of environment create ad growth?
Philippe Krakowsky
executiveIt should. I mean, I think that -- I think what was different from, I think, as we see it, is that the cutbacks in marketing spend over the course of the last 12 months range and bearing were related to in a function of how much cost cutting was happening inside of those companies. So those companies were, as we all know, resizing their employee population pretty dramatically, being very public about the need to be very thoughtful around costs. And so there was sort of a knock-on effect. A, budgets were being restrained or cut, or B, individuals who would otherwise have been buyers of our services were no longer employed. And so now when we sit here and you sort of say, okay, so it seems to have stabilized. They are all growth companies. They're all innovation companies. They're all bringing these new products and services to market. So there is going to need to be, one would think, you're talking about some of the most powerful, valuable, visible brands in the world, there's going to need to be investment in getting those narratives out into the world or in getting to the right consumers so that they can become parts of the franchise. So yes, we think that will begin to turn.
David Karnovsky
analystGot it. Any incremental insight on other verticals? Anything you're seeing across the space that's worth calling out?
Philippe Krakowsky
executiveNot that's in any way sort of inconsistent with what we've been calling out. As I said, over the course of the last 12 months, when we saw solid results in financial services, that continues to be sound. We saw CPG in a pretty good spot. Some of us are ancient enough to remember where CPG was like, you don't want that. You only want tech. Now it's a little bit...
David Karnovsky
analystNot so ancient I think 6 years ago.
Philippe Krakowsky
executiveBut no, nothing -- I think nothing jumps out on a client sector basis that's all that different.
David Karnovsky
analystGot it. On new business, so we recognize trends can be volatile over short periods. You have had, since Q4, a handful of losses with some long-standing clients. You called one out before on the tech side. There is another sort of client that was recently onboarded. At the same time, there's been some pretty substantial wins in the media space. So can you give us color in terms of what you're seeing? How is IPG positioned over the balance of the year, given some sizable accounts in review, some others potentially launching RFPs?
Philippe Krakowsky
executiveI think the -- I mean, what we refer to as the pipeline of larger pitches is actually pretty active. I think it's picked up again relative to last year. Across most of the portfolio, we're seeing a stronger pipeline. And then to your point, we're seeing some pretty sizable wins in media in CPG and financial services, in health come online. We had one automotive client of long-standing in media that left us. So that's going to impact the course of the year. And then there's a big CPG, global CPG pitch that I think everybody in the space is in where there's upside for us. There's a big automotive pitch that's global that would be upside for us. There's a lot of -- you've got some new marketing leadership at some large companies that have had a lot of stability where I think you're going to see some shifting in and out. And then we've got a large sort of statutory pitch with an important tech and retail client. So I think that's probably the one we're most focused on.
David Karnovsky
analystGot it. About 5 minutes left. Does anyone in the room want to ask a question? Raise your hand if you do. If not, I'll keep going. I want to just cover international. If you look at Q1, that was the first quarter, I think, in [ 7 ], where international growth didn't notably outpace U.S. In fact, it lagged. A lot of regions to cover but do you want to just kind of broadly frame the dynamic there?
Philippe Krakowsky
executiveI mean, I think it's a function of a couple of things, right? If you think about 2 things we've covered, one being the impact of large tech, which is concentrated in the U.S. So I think relatively, we're going to see weaker performance on a U.S. as opposed to international because that's a part of what was in the U.S. And those 2 digital agencies are also overweight to U.S. So I'd say that, that's one piece of it. And then if you look kind of broadly across rest of world, Asia is about 7% of our revenue. We definitely saw lots of small, nothing big that jumped out that led to the deceleration there. We saw a much stronger Europe led by, again, probably media and health. The Middle East is a bit odd for us just in that we're the largest among our peer set. We're not the largest holding company by any means, but we're the largest in absolute terms both in the Middle East and in Israel. And so we've definitely seen what's going on there geopolitically and the impact that's having on the economy there or on those economies is showing up in those results. So it's a lot of sort of some puts and takes.
David Karnovsky
analystGot it. I want to touch on margins. So after several years of expansion, you are guiding to a roughly 10 basis point decline this year. I think you called out some investment. How should investors think about the longer-term trajectory? Is it still linked very much to organic growth and that you can convert at a higher incremental margin? Or does the kind of world we're in now with AI considerations and investments alter that at all?
Philippe Krakowsky
executiveNo, I think, again, for folks who have followed us for some time, you know that the aspiration, and we think the right long-term goal on the top line is GDP and above GDP. When there's growth, the nature of the model that we run, which has a lot of flex to it, means that we can grow margins with modest to north of modest. I mean, we proved that we could grow margins last year and it was flat. So that was not a -- it was a test case, not the one we wanted. But that's a big part of it. I think the evolving compensation landscape where the ways in which we get precision outcomes, some tech that clients will either license or buy in ways that are more product like than the historic FTE model. And then some outcome-based, all of those are meaningfully more profitable and represent upside. So we see the opportunity to keep moving margins up over a mid- to longer-term horizon.
David Karnovsky
analystOkay, great. We have about a minute left.
Philippe Krakowsky
executiveAbout a minute left and nobody wants to ask?
David Karnovsky
analystNo one? Anyone in the audience?
Philippe Krakowsky
executiveIt's early.
David Karnovsky
analystAny question I ask requires more than a minute so why don't we cut it off there? Thanks, Philippe, so much for being here.
Philippe Krakowsky
executiveAll right. Thank you, all. Appreciate the time.
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