The Navigator Company, S.A. (NVG) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
July 30, 2020
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to The Navigator Company's First Half 2020 Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]. As a reminder, today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Mrs. Joana Appleton, Director of Investor Relations. Joana, please go ahead.
Joana de Avelar Pedrosa Rosa La Appleton
executiveThank you, and welcome to Navigator's company conference call and webcast for the first half and second quarter of 2020 results. So participating in this call today are the following members of the Board: António Redondo; Adriano Silveira; João Paulo Oliveira; Fernando de Araújo; and Nuno Santos. So we will start as usual with a brief presentation of the main highlights for the period, and we'll have a Q&A session at the end. António will start now with a comment on the May figures recorded in the period. António, please?
Antonio Redondo
executiveGood afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for joining us today in this wonderful sunny afternoon here in Lisbon. I will start by making an overview on Q2 2020 on what was one of the most challenging quarter in the [ business' history ]. This was, of course, a global phenomenon, where people and businesses around the world felt the impact of COVID-19 pandemic and related lockdown. And the COVID-19 lockdown clearly impacted the market demand for some of our products. Estimates point of contractions of the European uncoated woodfree market of around 25% in the second quarter as compared to 4.1% in the first quarter of 2020. And when we look at the U.S. market, its contraction is estimated to have been even larger at over 30%. The sheeted paper business, particularly for graphic use, was the hardest hit because, with advertising and commercial printing severely affected by the economic lockdown. The reels business proved to be more resilient and has been more versatile in terms of uncoated woodfree application. The low level of demand for printing and writing paper during the pandemic forced many manufacturers on every continent to cut production. Navigator was not an exception and took measures to manage output of uncoated woodfree paper over April, May and June, in line with the downturn in demand, thereby controlling stock levels between late March and late June. The distributed -- the group reduced its stocks by around 19% while industry estimated to have declined around only 6%. The supply management also allows to avoid further price erosion down the road and to preserve working capital. We were able to mitigate the impact of the reduction in paper sales with our 2 other business, pulp and tissue. On the pulp side, performance was quite different as we managed to increase significantly our sales, expanding commercial opportunities, diversifying into new regions and taking advantage of the increased availability of market pulp due to the reduction in [ paper unit price ]. Therefore, we sold 110,000 tons of market pulp, an increase of almost 80% year-on-year in what was the best quarter since 2010. On the tissue business, we increased sales volume by about 10% versus Q2 2019 as ramp-up of new capacity continued to remain positive. In terms of prices, paper remains pressured with pulp continues to fall and paper demand [ also ]. The lower pulp and paper prices impact was partially offset by the recovery in pulp and tissue volumes and by a significant improvement in cost performance. We managed to achieve important reductions on both variables and fixed costs that allow to protect our EBITDA margin. So in the context of sharper construction demand and a significant deterioration in the uncoated woodfree market, Navigator succeeded in recording growth in other business areas and implemented a series of forceful measures to control costs. Finally, I would like to point out the significant amount of free cash flow recovered in the quarter of almost EUR 100 million. We will give some details further ahead. This is a result of this CapEx and the very efficient working capital management. If you can please now turn to Page 5. You can look that the turnover reached EUR 696 million in the first half of 2020, with paper sales accounting for around 67% of turnover versus 72% in the first half of last year. Pulp sales achieved 11% against 9% last year. Tissue sales 10% compared with 8% last year. And energy sales also stood at 10%, similar to last year. When comparing with the first half of '19, turnover fell 19% as a result of lower [ sales ] performance and lower pulp and paper price. Market pulp volumes grew significantly, over 50%, and tissue volumes also performed well, increasing 10% year-on-year. The improvement in production costs, both variable and fixed, was key to maintain margin resilience. EBITDA totaled EUR 140 million with an EBITDA margin above 20%. So free cash flow generation in the first half was also significant and stood at EUR 114 million and improvement [ rates ] mainly from Q2, as I've just referred. Net debt was reduced to EUR 700 million by the end of June, down EUR 50 million over the end of year and EUR 96 million over the end of June 2019. Therefore, net debt-to-EBITDA remains at a very comfortable level of 2.3x. On Slide 6, we have an overview of last 6 quarters, with a clear impact of the COVID-19 pandemic reflected in Q2 2020 performance. Besides the pandemic, Q2 reflects lower pulp and paper prices. Paper prices declined around 7% against Q1 '19 and at about 2% against Q1 '20. Pulp prices fell 26% quarter-on-quarter and was flat versus Q1 2020. Even in the backdrop, EBITDA totaled [ EUR 560 million ] and operational cash flow approximately EUR 50 million. Let us take a closer look at the EBITDA achieved on the quarter on Slide 7. So EBITDA in Q2 totaled EUR 52 million compared to EUR 102 million in Q2 2019, impacted mainly by lower prices [ and lower volume in previous year ] and [indiscernible]. We have to take into consideration that the comparator is ample, [ therefore increased ] paper prices that increased, and this increase was implemented last month during H1 of '19. Of course, lower paper volumes also impacted Q2 '20 performance due to the production reduction following the economic lockdown. We managed to offset 37% reduction in paper volume with a 79% increase in pulp volume and 10% increase in tissue. But still the overall volume impacts was negative. One of the key aspects to mitigate the negative impact of the pandemic was cost improvement, which of course is variable costs, namely external fibers, both soft and [indiscernible], wood and chemicals, but also in fixed costs, especially in what we call sanctioning or recovery costs. Looking at the overall semester on Slide #8, EBITDA on the first half totaled EUR 140 million versus EUR 207 million in the first half of '19. We reached EUR 88 million in Q1 and EUR 52 million in Q2, with the main negative impact being clearly price performance. During this first half, net pulp prices remained at a very low level, while paper and tissue prices showed a higher resilience but was still impacted negative. Average pulp prices fell about 34% year-on-year. Average paper prices were down around 7% and tissue had a minimum decrease, showing its resilience of less than 3%. The strong volumes in pulp and tissue balanced the decline in paper sales and also the positive performance in costs was key to this first half performance. The main factors optimizing variable costs were those of external fibers. Thanks not only to price reductions on fiber but also to reduction in specific consumption in the expenditure on wood, due in particular to lower specific consumption in the period as well as in lower cost for chemicals, essentially due to lower prices for certain products and mainly reduced specific consumption in areas of the [ mills ]. Significant work has been done to reduce levels of -- in consumption over the period, taking advantage of the slower pace of production, despite the instability that these shutdowns and changes in operating speed can cause. We have also achieved some gains in renegotiating contracts of raw materials and the [ subsidiaries ]. On the fixed cost front, we managed to achieve a reduction of around EUR 22 million below the level recovered in the same period in '19 with positive evolution in personnel costs and sanctioned corporate costs, in particular, in the cost of these aforementioned corporate areas. This solution was in line with the cost reduction plan announced in the first quarter for an estimated reduction of EUR 46 million in 2020. I will now ask Nuno Santos to give us a few words on the market conditions. Nuno, please?
Nuno de Araújo Dos Santos
executiveThank you, António. Good afternoon to all. On Slide 10, we have an overview of pulp and paper price evolution over the last 6 years for the main price index in Europe, A4 B-COPY and Bleached Hardwood Kraft Pulp in euros. This slide is quite clear, showing the current phase we are in. Pulp prices are at their lowest. With market discount increasing in recent years, prices are probably at the lowest level since the beginning of the [ 2019 ]. Paper prices, on the other hand, have been quite resilient but are nevertheless down 6% year-on-year. So going over to Slide 11, we have a brief overview of the pulp market. The pulp market was quite resilient during the first half of 2020, with demand and supply impacted by several events. On the demand side, worldwide pulp demand grew 8% year-to-date May 2020 versus the same period last year, with significant increase in Latin America, 22% growth; Africa, 18%; Eastern Europe, 10%; and China, 12%. Most of the growth due to hardwood pulp, which grew 13%. Overall, the growth in tissue more than compensated the reduction in printing and writing. On the supply side, there was a strong rebalancing reduction of producers stocks, which started at the end of 2019, from 65 days of stock in June of last year to 49 days of stock in June this year. There were various unplanned stoppages and production cuts, for example in short fiber plants from Asian producers and in Finland labor strikes in the pulp and paper industry. Overall, prices were mostly stable during the first semester. PIX Benchmark for BHKP, Bleached Hardwood Kraft Pulp, in dollars remained stable in the second quarter at $680 per ton equal to the first quarter of this year, but falling 30% year-on-year. The demand erosion from the graphic paper industry and the reduction of tissue consumption in May and June has led to some adjustments in current market conditions. Prices have been under pressure as the traditional weak summer period starts, although we do not anticipate significant changes in the short term. Current market prices are likely below cost for some marginal cost producers and below cost of integrated Chinese mills, signaling that the bottom has been reached. Several maintenance stoppages that were delayed due to COVID-19 restrictions will remove capacity in the second half of this year at a time P&W production starts to improve from very low levels in the second quarter. João Paulo will now comment the paper markets.
João Oliveira
executiveThank you, Nuno. If we now go to Slide 12, we have an overview of the uncoated woodfree market during this first half of the year. We have seen that the uncoated woodfree has been severely hit by the impacts of the lockdown measures implemented across the world. Estimates point out to an accumulated downturn of approximately 13% year-to-date May in the global uncoated woodfree market with particularly sharp reductions in April and May, accounting 24%. In Europe, the estimated accumulated reduction is 14%. And in the United States, the figures point to a more significant downturn of around 20%. May appears to have been the worst month in the terms of falling in coated woodfree demand, down to 34% year-on-year, with the tendency for recovery already visible in June, down 19% year-on-year. Still, uncoated woodfree demand was more resilient than demand for other types of graphic papers with coated and mechanical grades falling 18% and 19%, respectively. Despite the strict lockdowns imposed, working from home and home schooling, the severest impact was felt by the printing industry segments, with the downturn in advertising and commercial printing, which particularly penalized sheeted business. Reel business proved more resilient and has been more versatile than in terms of uncoated woodfree applications. There were also significant variations between European market. Consumption fell less in countries where measures were not as severe, such as Germany, Sweden and Holland than those where strict lockdowns were enforced such as United Kingdom, Spain and Portugal. So many producers across the world reduced paper production during this period and that included Navigators. We decided to manage our paper output over April, May and June, in line with the downturn in demand, thereby controlling our stock levels. Between late March and late June, we managed to reduce our stocks by around 19% versus 6% among our competitors. Paper prices remain pressured throughout this period by the low pulp level as well as by market conditions. The benchmark index for A4 showed a downward adjustment of 6.4% year-on-year to an average price of EUR 855 per ton as compared to EUR 903 -- EUR 913 per ton in the first half of 2019. Price fell 2.2% from Q1 to Q2 in 2020. Let's go over to Slide 13 with the group's paper and pulp performance. Uncoated woodfree sales dropped 17% year-on-year and 37% quarter-on-quarter, following the referred production curtailment. With paper prices down, as we just saw, paper turnover totaled EUR 468 million, reflecting a 23% fall year-on-year. We believe the bottom of this crisis was reached in May and already in June, we started to see some improvement in market conditions. We reacted very swiftly and adopted large package of innovative measures to support our wholesalers and their sales teams in different parts of Europe and around the world. These measures proved to be successful as we ended the first half with an order book of 30 days, which compares to an estimated average of 18 days from European competitors. Our current order book continued to improve in the last weeks, and we have now an order book representing one of the highest levels for this seasonal period in the past 11 years. So to comment on the pulp performance, I will hand over to Nuno again.
Nuno de Araújo Dos Santos
executiveThank you, João Paulo. Our market sales volume in the first half reached 193,000 tons, and this was actually the highest level since 2010, after we started the fourth paper machine in Setúbal and the site became fully integrated into paper. At the time, we decided to maintain our drying capacity. This has proven to be a sound decision as in the context of adverse market for paper, we have the flexibility to increase our pulp market sales. We were able to reactivate our clients and recover sales in Europe and in new regions, exploiting opportunities in the tissue and packaging segments. Sales turnover reached almost EUR 80 million, improving around 3% year-on-year amidst the context of low price environment with price falling 27% year-on-year, as mentioned previously. Let's take a look at the tissue performance on Slide 14. Global sales stood at 52,000 tons in the first half, reflecting a 10% year-on-year increase. This was sustained by strong sales in reels, which offset the decline in finished products, impacted by the contraction of the away-from-home segment due to the COVID-19 pandemic. We reached EUR 70 million in sales turnover for the first half, growing 7% year-on-year. Prices showed a significant resilience throughout this first half and when comparing second quarter against first quarter, prices for both finished products and reels actually increased. The average price between quarters is affected by the mix effect for the increase of weight in reels versus finished products. In terms of industry activity, we had a good performance in the period in both the Aveiro and Vila Velha Rodão mill. And we managed to improve our fixed costs. The margin in our tissue business in each different segment is now clearly a lot closer to what we believe we can achieve in this business. I will now hand over to Adriano, who will comment on the CapEx side.
Adriano da Silva Silveira
executiveThank you, Nuno, and good afternoon to all of you. On Slide 15, we have an overview of the CapEx in the first half. In our previous call, we refer that we would revise our CapEx plan for 2020, significantly down from EUR 158 million to around EUR 70 million. This represents a very significant reduction as we only have maintained maintenance and projects start in the previous year. So in this first half, we recorded around EUR 48 million of CapEx. Actually, this amount includes some payments referred to 2019 projects. Maintenance, efficiency improvements and other items represents EUR 24 million. Investments in environment totaled EUR 13 million, and we also registered around EUR 12 million in core business improvement. The most significant environmental CapEx project in 2020 have included construction of a new biomass boiler in Figueira da Foz and [ related equipment ], with a total investment of EUR 55 million over 2019 and 2020. The new boiler is due to start operation in the second half of 2020 -- actually in August 2020. This project will make it possible to cut CO2 emissions at this unit by 81% and by 20% for Navigator as a whole. Reduction in the order of 155,000 tons of CO2 per year. As a result, the electricity consumption in the mill will be 100% based on renewals. I will ask Fernando to make the next comments. Fernando, please.
Jose de Araujo
executiveThank you, Adriano. On Slide 16, we have an overview over the free cash flow evolution, which was particularly strong in the semester and reached EUR 114 million. Considering that free cash flow in the first quarter of this year has stood at EUR 15 million, the increase to EUR 99 million in the second quarter was significant, precisely at the time when the full impact of the pandemic was being felt. As already highlighted, this was achieved through highly effective management of working capital, which, combined with strong ability to convert customer accounts into cash and a careful management of suppliers, where extension of certain payment periods was combined with the provision of financial solutions to support liquidity of our partners. The lower CapEx as well was important -- it was important as well, but the most relevant factor was the conversion of client receivables. We also working reduction inventories of pulp and paper products and actually increased wood stocks in approximately EUR 25 million in order to support forest producers in Portugal and mitigate the impact of the reduction in the activity during the more difficult times of the pandemic. The main trend in the evolution of free cash flow over the first half of 2020 is quite aligned with the Tier 2, as you can see on Slide 17. This strong free cash flow generation translated to a significant reduction in net debt over the period. As you can see on Slide 18, at the end of June, net debt totaled EUR 700 million, excluding the impact of IFRS 16, representing an increase of EUR 15 million over year-end 2019, but almost EUR 100 million [ Q2 versus ] quarter 1 2020. The net debt-to-EBITDA ratio remains at a conservative level of 2.3x, excluding the impact of IFRS 16. The group's debt profile is referred on the next slide. Our short-term liquidity was increased to EUR 317 million by the end of June. We have already repaid some of the short-term lines contracted in March and April and have EUR 95 million in additional backup lines available currently. We have no significant repayments before 2021 and have already secured the funds needed for those repayments. Our average cost of debt remains very competitive at 1.58%, and most of our debt has a fixed rate. We believe that Navigator maintains a strong financial strength. I will now hand back to António.
Antonio Redondo
executiveSo going to Slide 21. We have an overview of the first half, and I'd like to emphasize a couple of items. The pandemic situation had a significant impact across the world and caused a severe decline in paper consumption. We acted swiftly by managing our transaction of goods, avoiding inventory buildup, avoiding further price erosion and preserving working capital, but also we are working all different [ goals ] with our key distribution partners, launching innovative tools and innovative incentive mechanisms to help them selling our own products. We have also proven to have a more diverse business model than before. That has proven to be quite resilient to adverse market condition, has [indiscernible] activity in [indiscernible]. We have acted decisively on the cost side and protected our margins, generating, once again, a significant amount of cash. We have maintained a strong financial standing, as Fernando just said. And we are seeing recovery signs in the market, and we believe we are well prepared for the fall season that has just started. Let us go on the Slide 22. This shows our reaction to the COVID-19 pandemic. First and foremost, our priority was the health and welfare of all our people, and we are proud to say that with the good [ actions ] very early, already in February, they proved to be effective and the level of positive cases within our group was extremely low. Also, the commitment of all our employees and key suppliers was exemplary. And thanks to the hard work and dedication of the entire workforce, as well as the work of our partners, it was possible to react swiftly and efficiently. We established 4 decisive actions to protect our business that were presented in the last call. Regarding suppliers, we wanted to balance mill's needs while also securing our suppliers' activities. We did that by providing financial solutions to support the mobility of our partner. We had a special concern regarding our national suppliers group, both forest owners and service providers and as Fernando referred, actually increased wood stocks in approximately EUR 25 million in order to mitigate the impact of the reduction activity during the more difficult times of the pandemic. We increased our immediate liquidity in March and again in June, with an amount of over EUR 315 million in cash and cash equivalents. We have new ones renegotiated, and we have already [ paid the short-term loan ]. We have also already secured our needs for the next repayments in 2021. In terms of CapEx, we revised significantly down our initially planned CapEx from EUR 158 million to around EUR 70 million, postponing noncritical CapEx. We registered almost EUR 49 million in CapEx in the first half of the year, although part of that amount was related to CapEx [ invoiced ] in '19. This implies that the rate of CapEx disbursed in H2 is expected to be lower than in H1. We've also reinforced the targets of our cost reduction programs in defining an ambitious fixed cost target selection of EUR 46 million for 2020 in the first half, as we have seen we have already achieved EUR 22 million, proving that we are committed to achieve these targets. We will also work on our variable costs, including specific consumption and renegotiating prices of input, and we'll try to continue to do so in the next semester. Finally, a few words on the outlook for the rest of the year on Slide 23. We are seeing a progressive recovery in the uncoated woodfree business in Q3. Current environment is still very uncertain and very volatile, but our order book is significantly better now, and we feel well prepared to face each. We will continue our commercial efforts on the pulp side, albeit we have less market pulp available as the paper mills are all back to normal operations. We expect to continue to deliver the group's operating and commercial performance on the tissue front as well. Thank you very much.
Joana de Avelar Pedrosa Rosa La Appleton
executiveThank you. We have now reached the end of the presentation, and we are now open for the Q&A session.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Bruno Bessa from CaixaBank.
Bruno Bessa
analystYes. I will start with the CO2 emissions and the investment you've made. In Setúbal, I think you've mentioned that this investment will allow the unit to reduce by 81%, the CO2 emissions, and by 20% for Navigator as a whole. My question is considering the new legislation in terms of CO2 emissions to come in force in 2021 with an expected reduction in terms of the CO2 allowances for each company. And do you believe that this investments may then -- the 20% decline in terms of CO2 emissions expected at the consolidated level will be able -- will be enough to offset the change in the legislation? Or do you think that you will still be impacted by this change in the legislation? This will be my first question. And the second question. Regarding the improvement that you've seen in terms of backlog until the month of July, if you could provide us a little bit more visibility on the drivers behind this improvement in terms of backlog because it is true that the worst of the pandemic seems to be behind, but with school still closed and many people still working from home, I imagine that paper demand is not quite broadly enough in order to support this backlog improvement. So if you could provide a little bit more visibility on this, it will be appreciated. And also last question, if I may. Regarding the tariffs in the U.S., we have been many, many changes in the tariff apply to Navigator. My question is, what will be the next chapter in terms of the U.S. tariff? And what will be your expectations in terms of any potential changes in the tariffs currently in place? This will be my 3 questions.
Antonio Redondo
executiveOkay. Thank you very much for your questions. I will make some introductory comments to the 3 questions, and then I will ask my colleagues to provide a bit more detail, knowing, of course, that we do not give any [ guidance ]. Regarding CO2 emissions, I'd like to just correct something on Setúbal. What we have mentioned is the biomass boiler in Figueira da Foz, not in Setúbal, as you have said. So what we are finalizing and starting very soon is the biomass boiler. I also would like to remember that we have announced last year, a decarbonization plan to reduce our CO2 emissions until 2035, so 15 years below the announced commitments from Europe. And then we are keeping growing in the same plans. So we are pursuing pipeline to achieve the same result in 2035. My colleagues is around, will give you further comments on this. Regarding the improvements on backlog. I'd like to remember the following discussions that we had in previous sessions. The paper supply chain is relatively long. And the impact of demand on the end consumer is typically amplified upwards and downwards by distribution channels. What we are seeing now, we believe, is not only a recovery in demand on the end consumer, end use, but also the fact that the distribution stocks need to be replenished because during the period of lockdown and the fact that during many weeks, we were not supplying not even close to the volumes that were normal. The stocks of our distributors went down. So part of this should be stock replenishment. And the other part, of course, is recovery of demand. Again, my colleague will probably give you further comments on [ initial sales ]. Regarding tariffs. The next chapter, as you probably know, this is a process of at least 5 years. We are now entering, we are starting the last of the 5 years period. And then after each 5 years period, there is a sunset review. So we are looking forward to the sunset review, which will happen next year, so when we conclude the first 5 years. So we never know what is the tariff year-on-year. It's calculated based on the analysis made by the department of commerce. So we never know what is -- what are the details. What we know is the following: the U.S. rule of law and the system works is a country where the rule of law works, is a country where the system works. And every time, we have been able to prove that we don't feel is a fair level of -- first of all, we don't accept that we are dumping paper into the States. States is by far the country with our highest prices in the world, so we completely refuse that we are dumping paper into the States. And every time you see us apply the tariff, we have been able to prove that the tariffs in the end is actually lower than what's also initially applied. We expect to keep this track record for the future. But I would like to ask Adriano to make some comments on CO2 emissions for the future, and mainly 2021, please.
Adriano da Silva Silveira
executiveOkay. So as António said about the biomass boiler is implemented in Figueira da Foz mill and will allow us to put on hold, so not operate CHP plant-based on natural gas. And with that, we've reduced very much the emissions on that. We have also big decarbonization plan, which allows us to be carbon neutral in 2035. So we will reduce from 730,000 tons of O2 per year in 2020 to less than 100,000 tons in 2035. And this emissions will be mitigated by our actions, mainly in forest side.
Antonio Redondo
executiveJoão Paulo, do you want to comment something further on the order book, please?
João Oliveira
executiveYes. We have -- we entered the COVID impact in March with the highest order book or one of the highest order books ever and that helped us to go through the months of April and May. Meanwhile, we have implemented some incentive schemes, mainly supporting our customers in this very difficult phase. And the customers rewarded us with new orders that brought our order book to a level that is, again one of the highest for the season. Normally at this time of the year, there is a slow run in terms of market, but we are experiencing a good return, of course, not knowing whether this will be stable or not because no one knows what the future will be. But at the moment, we are seeing positive upward trend.
Antonio Redondo
executiveYes. Thank you, João Paulo. And then on tariffs?
Jose de Araujo
executiveOn tariffs, the only thing I should -- we should add, I can add is the fact that we always have -- we are monitoring the tariffs that is applied each month in our accounts. We have some calculations, and we try to calculate the impact on those tariffs on the income, first thing. Second thing is the fact that the U.S. Department of Commerce established some rate that we think is higher than our rate. We try to [ decide ] on the grounds of the law. And unfortunately, we were hit on the first period of reference that we already [ closed ] . The POR1, you remember that we start with 0 that afterwards increased to 57.59, I think, and reduced to 1.75%. And finally, was closed with 1.63%. This means the last decision was the decision of the court. The court could be this decision will be fought against by our competitors. They have 60 days to do it and provided they don't contest, we'll receive in the next 6 months, the amount already provided as a [ caution ] as anticipated [ deposit ] and this will benefit our cash flow of EUR 25 million. This is depending on the fact that the competitors will contest or not. And by -- our expectation of 6 months, this will impact our accounts only next year, for the time being is our guess. What concerns the POR2, once again, the rates established by the Department of Commerce was higher than the final rate. Final rate was 4.37%. It starts with 5.96%. This means that we are in condition to fight. We have grounds to fight. We believe on the courts and the restrictive authorities of the U.S. Now we are giving information about the POR3. POR3 is starting 1st of March 2018 and then 28th of February 2019. We are expecting the decision, and we have only last month provide the information request by the administrative authorities. By the end of 2020, February and POR4, we are -- once the tax authorities and administrative authorities ask us, we'll be -- supply the information. Now last February, start [ the 50 per year of investment ] and after this, we'll try to apply for a sunset. But normally, this doesn't -- the companies cannot achieve this, but the -- nevertheless we have to at least try for the next year, if needed. But I want to say, it's -- we have this fully provided in the accounts, and we will -- provided there is no surprises, or if there are surprises, we are [indiscernible].
Operator
operatorNext, we have a question from António Seladas from A|S Independent Research.
António Seladas
analystMy question is related with your pulp volumes sold. So they have been increasing for the last 2 or 3 quarters. So my question is, should we see more of this in the future? Or that was just related because now you are selling less paper, less office paper, and now you are taking this opportunity to sell pulp. So should we see more of this in the future? Or it's just an opportunistic way to sell pulp that is not employed in paper office -- in office paper?
Antonio Redondo
executiveThank you, António, for your question. I will make an introduction and then Nuno will take it from there. And this is -- as we try to explain on the pulp, the very significant increase in pulp sales was, of course, the reaction of the fact that we have our paper machines shut, some of them, gradually shut. We didn't have all the paper machines shut at the same time in the same months in the COVID period and this has generated some surplus of pulp. And as it was also mentioned, we can do it because we have the drying capacity. We kept our drying capacity. So we are -- I think we proved that we're able to sell pulp, if needed. But of course, our model is to convert pulp into paper and tissue. So if ever we increase -- difficult to sell paper or tissue. Tissue, as we saw, was actually quite a good half of the year. But if difficulties on [indiscernible] paper continue, yes, we will be able to sell more pulp into the market because we don't integrate that pulp. Nuno?
Nuno de Araújo Dos Santos
executiveI think you said it all, I think it's clear. So as you said, we are ready. You know that our pulp business is related with -- we will sell -- if we will sell the pulp if we are not able to be ready to [ put it in industry ] paper and tissue paper. And I don't -- as we hope to get to normal outputs on both businesses, we will probably not reach the same level of output in the pulp as we have seen in the first semester. But that's it.
António Seladas
analystOkay. So it means that you haven't taken a decision because my question is related with -- I believe that there's an excess of office paper capacity installed. So -- and probably that is one of something that we have to think about. So -- and of course, one way to go -- to keep buying is to not convert pulp on paper, but just keep it and just selling as it is. Do you like to add more on this? Or there are also some -- these movements from plastic to paper and so on that you want to share with us more of this, I think, well, more information about this? Or do you think that it's -- that is it -- but it isn't enough?
Antonio Redondo
executiveOkay. Let me try to share what we can share at this stage. Again, I'm probably going to repeat a bit myself. We have our model in between the production of pulp we have and the production of paper we have. So we have to talk to integrating to all our paper operations, uncoated and tissue and depending on the year, depending on the output of the top line, depending on the maintenance of the programs. We have an excess of 350,000 tons of pulp plus/minus 30, 40 again, as I said, the output of the lines and the maintenance [ stoppages ]. And so our model is to increase value to the pulp itself by selling it under the form of paper and then in the form of tissue. The -- we are still relatively positive for the development of uncoated woodfree because we believe we are very well positioned in the cost curve. We have been working in the last 6 months, furthermore, in increasing our competitiveness in the cost growth, and we explained both working on variable costs and some fixed costs. And just a comment, probably was not clear, but the uncoated woodfree segment that suffered the most during the pandemic was not office paper. It was actually graphic paper or folio papers for graphic application. So office paper was actually a bit more resilient than graphic papers and [ holes ] were actually the most resilient of all. so we still look positively to the evolution of the uncoated woodfree market and to our competitive position. I mean you will see this from the publication of results of some of our competitors that we have some of our competitors, actually in both sides of 2020. We have some of our competitors with very great difficulties, some with EBIT negative and at least one with EBITDA negative. And not later than yesterday, we have another uncoated woodfree competitor from another region that gave less production of uncoated woodfree. So again, we believe we have more to say on the uncoated woodfree, and we are working very hard to keep our operations very competitive. Having said that, also going back to information that we have shared in previous calls, we have been working in the past few years, and we have been actually accelerating that work in the last few months, exactly what you said, the substitution of classes. So this is a possible way to go. It's yet too soon to share returns. But indeed, we are already selling paper produced in our paper machines to applications that move away from the traditional and go to woodfree application. And at this stage, I'm sure you understand that we cannot say more.
Joana de Avelar Pedrosa Rosa La Appleton
executiveOkay. Yes. We have a question that was put on the platform, but I believe it's already been answered by João Paulo. It comes from [indiscernible]. He said in terms of product mix, should we expect a further increase in pulp volumes versus paper? And are you planning to shut definitely some paper equipment? Or is that not on the table? So I believe this has been answered, but I can give some words to António again.
Antonio Redondo
executiveNo. I think the announcement, as we said, again, is we believe that we have the best set of assets in the whole industry. And of course, they are not all equal. And the ones that we feel that are within our group of assets a bit less competitive, we are working on them to [indiscernible]. Adriano, do you want to add something?
Adriano da Silva Silveira
executiveIt affects some of the shopping bags. You can see on the market made with our paper. A little bit based on the paper we do, but with some modifications. It is strong and adapt to that function. So we are working already on that and we'll continue.
Jose de Araujo
executiveJust to clarify, I think that at the root of your question is a little bit a concern over the potential flexibility of our portfolio. Before this crisis, I think we were already quite comfortable with the flexibility [indiscernible] our portfolio of assets had. Actually, if there is one positive thing over this period over the last few months is that we learned that, in fact, we had a resilient and very flexible portfolio. So in sum, our pulp can be fed into the "industry paper", which is what I mentioned. We are confident to go back to the previous volumes. We can actually grow in tissue. As you know, we have plans for tissue growth and so potentially we will see in the future. We can sell it in the market with greater sales than we stand over the last few months. And fourth, but not the least, we can consider new applications of pulp, as António mentioned. But at the end of the day, we're very comfortable and we became actually more comfortable over the last few months over the portfolio and the flexibility and resilience of our portfolio.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from João Pinto.
João Pinto
analystJust a follow-up on the new applications for the UWF paper that you produce, and regarding the substitution of plastics. Do you see potential in here for those type of products represent a significant part of your sales? Or we are talking about a niche market?
Antonio Redondo
executiveThey today represent, I will not say niche, but they today represent already a favorable segment of the market, which we believe will significantly increase in the future, mainly because of plastic substitution. But we are looking to different applications. So again, it's yet too soon to make any further comments.
Operator
operatorAnd now we have a question from Cole Hathorn from Jefferies.
Cole Hathorn
analystI'd just like a bit more color around the uncoated woodfree industry. When do you think you will have kind of more information when you've got a better feel of demand coming back, people returning to offices, et cetera, that the wider industry, and I'm thinking more the unintegrated players, will pull the trigger to start closing capacity permanently? When do you think we'll start seeing those announcements across the industry? And then on pricing, I know you talked about pricing edging down a little bit in uncoated woodfree. Do you have any views of that going forward? As I imagine, people won't close capacity permanently immediately, they're first going to compete for some volumes to try and stay afloat.
Antonio Redondo
executiveWell, your question, as the basic answer, the same root cause, demand and pulp price. So we don't know what's going to happen to pulp prices. So it's very difficult to have -- to take a sense on that. So we look to pulp prices, I guess, similar look. We look to the announcements made by the researchers and consultants of the sector. And our view is the [indiscernible] of their view. And the future evolution of pulp prices is going to be achieved to understand the work of the nonintegrated suppliers, namely what you referred to, being opportunistic to operating when pulp prices are low and exiting the market when pulp prices are high. If I understand your reason, we cannot comment, we don't know exactly how pulp prices are going to evolve. Regarding demand, we -- actually, we are right now trying to evaluate from the end-user perspective their views on future demand. And the feedback we have is yet too soon because nobody knows exactly what is going to be the first telework and remote schooling has an impact on paper demand. Nobody knows exactly how it's going to evolve in the fall, namely if we have a second wave. So it's very difficult to predict. And secondly, as we referred to, the area of the business that we felt was more impacted was actually commercial printing and commercial printing is very much linked with economic activity. So economic activity, we will hope to restart, but we believe we have a few quarters ahead of us that are going to be very tough. So we are continuously monitoring both pulp price evolutions and the impact this will have in the industry and as well as the demand and if there are some changes on consumer behavior patterns. That's probably the last element of the answer I'd like to give you is the following. What we saw very often in the industry is that the mills that move away are not necessarily the small machines, nonintegrated, that can opt in and opt out, depending on pulp prices. The movements of exiting the industry, the most relevant moves, for instance, what happen right now in the coated side are large machines owned by companies that have a diversified portfolio and can move and [ repurpose ] those machines to other products.
Cole Hathorn
analystGreat. Can I just have one last follow-up? You've done a good job on the operational side to manage your production to demand. Can you just give me a little bit more color how you think about when you take downtime on your machines and when you ramp up to make a little bit more pulp? But just from an operational perspective, how do you monitor that internally?
Antonio Redondo
executiveWell, we monitor that using different key indicators. We look to order books, we look to our stock levels. You -- actually, I invite you all to come and visit our mills. Our mills have been designed -- our paper mills have been designed not to carry inventory. So when the market conditions becomes tough, we need to adjust because we don't have to produce -- we don't have to put stock. And we don't like to work with stocks. We -- typically, our stock levels are typically 1/3 of the stocks of the industry historically. It's not now. So we look, of course, to order books, demand, stock levels. And as we said before, we can slow down machines. We can temporarily shut machines and restart them again. And by doing that, we have the option to produce more.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] It seems we have no further questions from the audio line, Joana, so I'll just hand it back over to you.
Joana de Avelar Pedrosa Rosa La Appleton
executiveOkay. Thank you. This ends our conference call for today. Thank you very much for listening.
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, Navigator's First Half 2020 Results Conference Call is over now. You may disconnect your lines, and thank you very much for joining us.
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