The Western Union Company (WU) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
November 16, 2020
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Ashwin Shirvaikar
analystOkay. Good afternoon, everyone. I'm Ashwin Shirvaikar, Citi's payments processor and IT services analyst. It's been a fantastic day of meeting, so far, today on day 1 of our 4-day event. And I'm very happy to introduce the next company in our lineup. It's my pleasure to welcome Western Union to our virtual stage. From the company, we have the CFO, Raj Agrawal. Raj, welcome, and thank you for being with us today.
Rajesh Agrawal
executiveThanks, Ashwin. Great to be here again.
Ashwin Shirvaikar
analystYes, yes. Absolutely. Looking forward to a good discussion here.
Ashwin Shirvaikar
analystI want to start with sort of your strategy of data. A little over a year ago, you hosted your Investor Day, you provided a 3-year road map of Western Union's new strategy. At a high level, can you kind of mark off the various elements and indicate the progress that you've made, particularly as it relates to how the pandemic might have affected the strategy or the timing of elements?
Rajesh Agrawal
executiveYes. Yes. Actually, I would say, at a high level, our strategy has not changed. We rolled out various components of our strategy last fall. We continued to employ a digital-first strategy. So very much expanding our digital capabilities in westernunion.com, and that's -- you know how successful that's been this year. Secondly, we continued to focus on more broad distribution opportunities in our network, including these digital partnerships. And that's been also very successful. And I can -- we can certainly talk more about that in a few minutes. And then lastly, I would say we had a -- strong efficiency initiatives. So we started a restructuring activity last year, which really has paid huge dividends to us this year as we've gone through this pandemic process. And we're very much on track to save $150 million in 3 years, so in 2022. And that was one of the key drivers of the margin expansion goals that we had laid out. Obviously, the revenue growth is something we'll have to reassess. And I think we won't certainly get back to revenue growth, but this year has certainly been something that we did not expect. We were still able to expand margins this year. And I think the -- with respect to the pandemic, we have -- we certainly paused some investments during the course of the year, but we are bringing those planned investments back into the picture because we do want to exit this year in a very strong position and well positioned for growth as we go through the next few years.
Ashwin Shirvaikar
analystGot it. Got it. And just in terms of the various assets that you own that make up Western Union sometime back, you divested Speedpay and Paymap, and that kind of made C2C more dominant as a whole. Do the other small pieces belong -- and I don't mean that in a detrimental way, I kind of mean from a strategic standpoint. Does business solutions or the stub business in the other line, maybe -- should it be separate from just C2C and focus on C2C?
Rajesh Agrawal
executiveWell, I think that -- if you think about the divestiture we did last year, the Speedpay business. It was really the largest, single, domestic business that we had in our portfolio, and we were pleased to be able to sell it to ACI. And we think it's better in their hands. Our focus continues to be cross-border, cross-currency money movement for a variety of different customers, and we really believe that the B2B business fits in well within that category. We're serving different kinds of partners. It's really education institutions, it's small businesses, it's other kinds of vertical segments. And we think it really has good synergies with the rest of our company. And it's the part of the business that we're very good at, which is cross-border, cross-currency money movement for businesses. And so it's very similar to the consumer side, but we think this is a nice area to expand. Clearly, the environment that we're in this year has put some pressure on the B2B business, but that's short term in nature. We do believe there are really good opportunities here longer term. And that's why we want to hang on to it. The other revenues that we have are relatively small. They're about 5% of our total company. And these are largely the retail, walk-in bill payments within the U.S. and in Argentina. And the retail money order here in the U.S., they actually are pieces of our business that our retail partners like in many ways. So they have some synergies with the rest of our retail business. That's why we like them. And so we think we have a good portfolio. Obviously, we'll consider whatever comes along, but we're pretty happy with what we have at this stage.
Ashwin Shirvaikar
analystOkay. Okay. Got it. Let's talk about digital. And that -- so digital revenue growth has been, of course, very significant due to COVID, but it was already a pretty good growth rate before COVID. So how sustainable is the incremental growth that you're seeing? And the strategic part of that question is -- the moat in the physical business is pretty clear to see, right? No one else is even close to having the number of agents and partners that you guys have. The moat in digital, is that shifting? Is that -- I mean how do you keep fighting against the competitors that might be, say, digital native, maybe well funded by VCs, maybe less concerned with profitability?
Rajesh Agrawal
executiveYes. Yes. I mean we feel very good about our digital business. It's growing beyond our expectations this year, given the environment that we're in. We had 45%, 50% revenue growth just in the digital business. And if you think back to what we've done now, last year was a little bit more than $600 million in size. And this year, just in the third quarter alone, we generated $230 million in revenue. So it's on pace to be a very large business. I don't expect that the 45%, 50% growth rates are going to last forever because we're now becoming a much bigger business, and we're -- we'll -- but we'll still have a very strong growth rate there. Last year, when we came into the year, we expected that the digital business could grow in the 20% range. It's at double that pace thus far. So it's growing very fast. So if we can get the digital business to stabilize out at some point and be in that 20% range, I think that would be very good for our business from a top line standpoint because we now have a very large business growing in that range. If it grows in that range, it could be a very nice contribution to our top line. So I feel very good about where we are. Growth rates are likely to normalize at some point and get back to where we thought. From a competitive standpoint, we really have a very strong competitive positioning. And remote also exists in this part of the business because if you look at what we have, we have a business that is -- with our wu.com business or even the digital partners, they're largely, digitally -- I mean, they are digitally initiated transactions, but most of the revenues we earn still today are from a retail payout transaction because that's the way customers want to continue to receive money, and that's the use case that we continue to see be very prevalent in our digital business. Having -- and that's not where the newer competitors are trying to play. They're trying to play in an account-to-account space, which is also a great growth opportunity for us. So they're not coming into our core space, what we do today, they are playing in the account-to-account space, which is also a great growth opportunity for us with -- we can pay out into accounts in more than 100 countries, and then 80 of them are real time in nature. And so we really are going to a place, Ashwin, where we can have digital everywhere in the world from a sending standpoint and from a receiving standpoint and make that real time in nature. That's the business that we're trying to create. And we believe we can do that better and faster and with more transparency than anybody else is going to be able to do, given our global breadth and the capabilities that we have. So we're on the right path here. And this year really has made that business even more successful than it has been in the past.
Ashwin Shirvaikar
analystRight. Right. So your point being that omnichannel...
Rajesh Agrawal
executiveAbsolutely. Absolutely. Absolutely. Yes.
Ashwin Shirvaikar
analystIt doesn't have to be so digital, that combination is really important.
Rajesh Agrawal
executiveThe combination of the physical and digital is unmatched. And that's really what sets us apart from anybody else that's trying to do this. The -- letting people send money and receive money however they want, whatever is convenient to them, whatever use case makes sense, and we see that digital-to-digital being largely incremental to what we do, right? It's a new use case, higher principal amounts, typically, and then the money is used over a period of time.
Ashwin Shirvaikar
analystRight. Right. So what are your top areas of digital investment then? Is it still the rolling out of countries? Or at some point, you sort of decide the 110 -- 101st country is not going to necessarily -- it's good, but it's not going to be that much incremental. So attrition of countries versus penetration of existing countries?
Rajesh Agrawal
executiveYes, I would say that there are 3 key areas of focus of our investment. One is to continue to invest in the technology and drive improvements in the features and functionality of our platforms, which ultimately creates more retention of our customers, creates more stickiness and more retention. Secondly, we are continuing to invest in the acquisition of customers, so more marketing investment. We know this is going to be the lifeblood of the digital business on a long-term basis. And then lastly, there's a heavy focus on distribution. Not just geographic distribution, which right now, we have wu.com in more than 75 countries and additional territories, and we can pay out everywhere in the world into a retail location, into more than 100 countries into an account. We now have 50 countries that are mobile-enabled. So we're just adding more capabilities, again, on the sending and receiving side, different channels for customers, different ways of transacting. And then also adding geographies over time because even though today, the 76th geography or the next geography isn't going to be that meaningful, it may be more meaningful 5 years from now or 10 years from now. And that's the foundation that we want to continue to lay. We already -- as you said, we already have a presence in well over 70% of the cross-border principle from a digital standpoint of the market. And so we want to continue to lay that foundation on an ongoing basis.
Ashwin Shirvaikar
analystOkay. Okay. Is there a good overlap between -- if I looked at your digital corridors versus your physical, would there be a good overlap between the 2? Are you essentially -- people from the same geography sending money to people from the same previous geographies?
Rajesh Agrawal
executiveYes. I would say yes. I mean most of the key sending markets are sending markets regardless of channel that you're looking at. So if the U.S., for example, is a key sending market, we have people using retail and digital in a big way, right? Or Europe, for example, key sending markets there. So the channel is really based on use case and how people are comfortable transacting with the business. And typically, when money is going to touch an account, it's going to be multiples of what you might see in a typical retail transaction, right? Our average transaction size is around $300. But in an account-to-account transaction, it could be multiples of that number because it's just convenient sending it that way, and the money is going to probably sit in account for a period of time as it's drawn down. So that's more where we see the differentiation, not necessarily geography ones.
Ashwin Shirvaikar
analystGot it. Okay. Okay. Switching gears a bit, and to talk about the distribution on the white label side. This has been something that has clearly shown its benefits. The strategy seems to make sense. Can you provide maybe some granularity on how it works? I don't know if you want to use a specific example like Saudi Telecom, or if there's a different better example, but yes, some idea of the economics of white label versus traditional.
Rajesh Agrawal
executiveYes. There -- I'll compare westernunion.com to the digital white label because that's the best comparison I can make. The -- we have branded and nonbranded offerings. It's the same capabilities that sit behind the branding, regardless of how you brand it, but we have branded and nonbranded offerings. So westernunion.com is a branded service offering. Customers are looking for Western Union online or they're trying to find a way to send money, and that's the brand that they're familiar with. On the white label side, it's very much a partner's responsibility to engage with customers to acquire customers. We are not engaging directly with their customers. So they -- it's their customers that we are trying to serve. And so it's a very different sort of front-end process, but the transaction process ends up being the same. It's the same capabilities, whether it's branded or nonbranded. So in the wu.com side, you have a transaction that has a slightly lower revenue per transaction than retail, but it's got a higher contribution margin than what we've seen in retail, thus far, given the mix of business. And so it gives us a dollar contribution in wu.com that is about the same as we see in retail. And then mind you, it's a different customer, but we're seeing about a similar kind of dollar contribution. Now when you move over to the white label offering, because we are much more of a processor here, we're not acquiring the customer. We're not spending money on fraud losses or things like that, funding costs, for example. It really is a good customer that's being delivered to us with good funds so we are -- who are -- who we are facilitating the transaction for. And so we get paid a lower revenue per transaction there than the rest of our business, but we also don't have a lot of cost in that transaction process. So the margins are going to be much higher in that business just because of the way it works. It's a processing type of transaction. And the dollar contribution is also very good. It's an incremental transaction for us. So that's why as you look at our overall digital business, it's about 700 basis points larger than it was a year ago, Ashwin, right? We're -- it's now 21% of overall consumer revenues, and that was about 14% about a year ago. And at the same time, we've been able to drive higher margins even in the face of overall negative revenue pressure. So the business itself is very margin enhancing, and that's why -- and we really think we're going after large parts of the market this way, okay, by having a branded and nonbranded offering. It really gives us many different attack points, if you will, and capturing more share of that overall part of the remittance market that we don't play a large part in today.
Ashwin Shirvaikar
analystOkay. Okay. Got it. Now just following up though on that, would the same dynamic hold true if it was -- regardless of who your partner was? I mean -- or is it different for, say, Saudi Tel versus someone else?
Rajesh Agrawal
executiveYes. Yes. I think the -- it is going to be dependent on a number of factors. It's going to be dependent on the market that you're operating in. What are the market dynamics? And then obviously, the partner that you're working with and what you've been able to negotiate with them. But the concept, the conceptual part of it is the same from a white label standpoint. But we're going into market. We're asking the question, is it more important to have a branded offering or a nonbranded offering? Do you want a white label offering for your customer? Or do you want it to be Western Union-branded? So it really just depends. Saudi Arabia has some of the best conditions you could hope for, which is you've got millions of migrant customers in the market. You have the main telecom company that has a financial -- financially oriented arm of it that it uses for its customers. And most of these customers in the market are going to be using Saudi Telecom, and we're partnered with them as the main provider for the cross-border money movement, right? And so that's why it's been so successful. Now we don't need another Saudi Telecom in every single market. But we just need 1 or 2 more partners in each market, and that's really what gives us the opportunity here. So -- and I think the sales cycle itself is quite long in these partnerships. We have a good pipeline. We have a lot of partners that are in the pipeline, but they do take some time to sell to, right? And -- but it's been very exciting. It's grown really beyond our expectations again this year just given everything else that we're seeing. So we're very, very happy with what it's done.
Ashwin Shirvaikar
analystOkay. Okay. And who fits whom in these pursuits? I mean do they come to you because you're Western Union, and it's like a one-stop shop all across the globe? Or do you kind of target them and try to work with them? How does the process work of getting a new partner?
Rajesh Agrawal
executiveYes. I mean it's a -- it is a process. Obviously, people know who Western Union is, and so they are aware of who we are. And as -- we have many different partners that are in the pipeline. And as we sign these deals with them, I think it also gets more visibility in the market. We also have to go sell proactively to these partners. And I'd say the 2 best examples are the 2 that we have. We're going after more financial institutions because we think we can be the cross-border payment provider for them digitally, just like we do in our retail business. And we're -- partners like Saudi Telecom that have their Saudi Telecom Pay, where their mobile wallet or their wallet, where they're already doing financial services for customers. Those are the 2 ideal kinds of partners that we're going after here. So we have a list of partners we're going after. We have a pipeline. We also get a lot of visibility as we have and as we talked about these other partnerships. So it really goes both ways. And then we really try to come to a solution for what the partner wants, right? Some partners want the Western Union brand, other partners want it to be just their branded offering, and so we look at all those different kinds of options. We have many that are cobranded, where Western Union and the partner are sitting side by side. And so it really just depends on exactly the requirements for that market and that partner.
Ashwin Shirvaikar
analystGot it. Got it. Let's maybe switch gears a bit, talk about the branded part of the distribution. In the start -- and I was actually a little bit surprised about this, but we got a lot of questions about the Kroger renewal, partly because it was nonexclusive. And -- but it -- isn't it true, though, that we've been heading in this nonexclusive direction for many years and many countries actually prohibit exclusivity? So was there something different about Kroger that was driving all this interest from investors? Or is it just a misunderstanding? Any comment there?
Rajesh Agrawal
executiveYes. I would say nothing too dramatically different. I mean I would still say that most of our business still remains exclusive in nature. Other than Russia and the Gulf states, which have been nonexclusive for a long time, and we were actually a later entrant there, so we've been quite successful in that environment. Ultimately, what it comes down to for us, Ashwin, is that we evaluate a number of different components. We -- obviously, the overall economics have to make sense for us to get into a certain type of deal. We're happy to get into a relationship with Kroger. We've had that relationship for 35 years, and we think we're going to be very successful with them at the point of sale. But most of our business still is exclusive in nature, it's not really about the exclusive. We're nonexclusive, it means it's really more of a question of what are the economics to Western Union because we have many examples of nonexclusive partnerships around the world. And you're right, some countries don't even allow an exclusive relationship, right? So you have to really work within those rules. I think the other thing I would just say is that there's no single agent relationship for us, that's more than 5% of our revenues. And in fact, most of them are much lower, smaller -- lower size than 5%, including Kroger, they're at the lower end of the scale. So we're very well diversified, and we've been able to do a really good job of renewing most of our agents over the last 20 years or so. Many of these agents, top agents, have been renewing with us on an ongoing basis. So I would say Kroger is nothing that unique. We have examples of that, but there's not a big trend in that direction.
Ashwin Shirvaikar
analystOkay. Okay. Got it. As it relates to your branded distribution, one of your goals for some time has been to drive agent commissions down. You talk about the progress that you're making there and also when the agent is a bank or a post office, does that approach change then?
Rajesh Agrawal
executiveYes. I would say that we've had a lot of success in bringing our commission rates down over the years, part of it is through direct negotiations, then we also have some targeted distribution strategies that allow us to maybe direct transactions in a certain way. And then lastly, there's a good, sizable mix impact that's happening. Because we get the digital growth, that doesn't typically -- at least on the sending side, doesn't typically involve an agent commission, so that certainly has a mix benefit to us as well. So we've been able to bring commissions down a fair amount over the last several years, and that's going to continue to be the case, I think, in the next few years. In fact, part of our cost-savings initiatives are dependent on more commission savings, which we're confident we're going to get. So I think depending on the kind of partner it is, again, it gets back to what are the conditions in the market, right? So what are the other options that customers have available to them? Are there other channels? What is the level of distribution? What things does Western Union have in the market. All of these factors will go into determining whether we get into an agreement with an agent partner, what kind of agreement it is, what kind of commissions we pay, all these factors are taken into account. In Africa, for example, in many markets in Africa, you're actually not able to have an exclusive agreement with a partner. It doesn't mean that you can't work with them exclusively, but you're not allowed to have an exclusive agreement. And so there are ways of incenting partners that if you're exclusive, we pay you this. If you're not exclusive, we pay you this. So there are many different things we can do from a commission standpoint, depending on the kind of relationship we have.
Ashwin Shirvaikar
analystGot it. Got it. And that approach, I mean, if it's a large one, like a post office or a bank, does that change? I mean I -- when you -- your answer, was that specific to sort of individual agents? Or was that for a bigger one?
Rajesh Agrawal
executiveYes, it does not matter. Again, we will look at the -- if it's a large agent network, obviously, that's going to be more attractive to us than a smaller network. And so we will look at it slightly differently, but it will also depend on what kind of coverage we have in the market. And what's also important here is, is it a sending market or a receiving market, right? A sending market might take on a slightly higher level of importance because the most important part of what a -- of the transaction is getting it into the system. Once it's in the system, we know it's going to pay out somewhere in our network, right? So the sanding market is quite important in that regard.
Ashwin Shirvaikar
analystRight. Got it. Got it. Got it. So I want to talk a bit about pricing and specifically dynamic pricing. Because over time, pricing has generally gone down, then it -- we went through a few years where it was more or less stable. But now when you introduce dynamic pricing, can you explain that concept, what the objective really is? And can you now sort of price up as well as down because of dynamic pricing? Or what the -- can you maybe just -- maybe talk about that?
Rajesh Agrawal
executiveYes, yes, absolutely. I would say that the pricing environment still is quite stable on a global macro basis, when you look at our business in total and you look around the world. In total, it's been quite stable. And I think that's what you've heard from some of our direct competitors as well. At the same time, we are using more technology and learning capabilities to assess how we can dynamically price the business to go after more customer acquisition, more transactions, more revenues. And that's really what you're seeing play out in our wu.com business this year. So we really want to make sure, especially in this environment, that we're going after more customers, more customer acquisition because we know that's going to be the lifeblood of our business as we go into next year and the years after. We have 47% growth in active average multicustomers in the third quarter in our wu.com business. So dynamic pricing means that -- as we explained last fall at our Investor Day, it could be simple things like time of day pricing or day of the week pricing or it could be -- if it's in the retail business, it could be location-based pricing. So a lot of those factors come into play. And the more we can put this into machines and machine learning, the more adept we're going to be at actually getting more out of the equation. To answer your question, we are always moving pricing up and down in our 20,000 corridors and across different channels. And I think with the growth that we're getting in the dot com business, I think we're really -- you can see the success that we've had there on this strategy. And we don't go into a lot more detail there because it is proprietary in nature. We want to make sure we're capturing those customers. That's ultimately the objective here and developing that long-term relationship because once you bring a customer into the business, you can then engage with them, you can get the second transaction, the third transaction from them. And yes, it really creates a longer-term relationship for these customers, which is really what we're going after by doing the customer acquisition this year.
Ashwin Shirvaikar
analystGot it. Got it. Related to that notion of sticky customer, I want to talk to you about CRM, right, and then the -- your loyalty program and My WU Rewards, that's not necessarily something that you guys surprisingly talk about that much, but is that -- I want to ask why that is. Is it -- how commonly used is it? What sort of data do you collect? Has it tangibly affected retention? Any comments there with regards to use of that part of technology?
Rajesh Agrawal
executiveYes. Yes. We have a My WU program, as you mentioned. And for every dollar that's spent, you can earn a point that can go towards credit for future transactions. So it's clearly something that a lot of our customers want and sign up for. Again, it's a way to create an account relationship with customers that you might not otherwise be able to do. And this can be done, whether it's a digital-initiated transaction or retail-initiated. So we like the program. It does drive a -- the customers that are using My WU do drive a good portion of our business. And I think, again, it's just an engagement model with customers. Customers don't always utilize these points that frequently, but it's certainly a program that we like. It exists. And we want to build upon that by maybe providing other kinds of products and services to customers if they're part of this kind of a CRM type of program. So it's a good program. We don't -- you're right, we don't talk about it a lot. I do think you're going to see more of it, though, in the coming 12, 18 months in terms of how we're engaging with our customer base and where else we're driving that activity.
Ashwin Shirvaikar
analystOkay. Okay. You alluded to real-time payments earlier on -- in this conversation. Now you've done Money in Minutes for years and years, right? You now have this real-time payment. You intend to be in 100 countries by year-end. Is there a benefit to you from this on either the cost or the risk side? Or is this an investment you're doing to drive top line growth?
Rajesh Agrawal
executiveYes. I would say it really checks the box in both categories. So we're absolutely doing it to drive top line growth, but it also is an efficiency opportunity for us. We know that a -- an account-to-account type of transaction, and if you can do it real time in nature, that real-time capability is something customers want. They want to be able to send their money, and they want to know with immediate certainty that the money has gotten to their loved ones. So that's -- the revenue part of it is, let's go and acquire more customers because they like our service offering, and that's what keeps customers coming back to our digital business because of what it delivers to them. And we're going to be able to deliver that money real time in 100 countries by the end of this year. We already are at 80, right? It also saves us money, right, because we know that an account-to-account transaction is going to be one of the lowest-cost transactions we can have in our business. We need to balance that with the right pricing for that transaction because customers will also expect a lower price transaction given how it's being done, right? But it is a low-cost transaction. You don't have the physical infrastructure there. And we're very good at it. We have the ability to send from 75-plus countries today digitally or from an account to -- it will be real time in 100 accounts. So getting that real-time payout to an account, there's no better satisfaction than knowing that your money has gotten there immediately. So just like we've done in our retail network, which is Money in Minutes, to your point, you really want Money in Minutes to accounts all over the world. And that's something that is very difficult to achieve in the correspondent banking network. That's something that just can't be done. And so what we're creating is this real-time payment network that allows us to deliver money and payments locally in these markets outside of the correspondent banking system. So just like we've created this in our retail network, where we don't really go through the normal ACH network, we're going to do this in our digital side as well, which is the uniqueness of what we're trying to create here.
Ashwin Shirvaikar
analystUnderstood. Okay. There's a lot of questions. I know we're approaching the end of our time here. But maybe I should end with the capital allocation question. So given your suspended buyback from earlier this year, you do have a lot more cash on your balance sheet than you would otherwise. So what's the plan here? Is it opportunistic M&A? Maybe an extra-large buyback when you get started again? Debt paydown? And what would it take from an economic environment perspective to sort of restart a normal pace of share report?
Rajesh Agrawal
executiveSure. Sure. Yes. The cash on the balance sheet, not all of it is always usable cash. Some of it is cash in transit. So we need to take that into account. But generally, our capital priorities -- our #1 priority is to invest in the business, to drive organic growth and expansion. Second, as you know, Ashwin, we pay a very healthy dividend over $350 million a year at this stage. And third, we do want to do the right kind of acquisition, and I'll come back to that in a second. And then lastly, we use our excess cash to buy back stock when we see it as a good value. So from an M&A standpoint, we'll look at bolt-on acquisitions or tuck-in capabilities that we may not have. It could be a mobile capability or account payout capability. We might also look at things like the technology or give us the opportunity to have a deeper relationship with our customer base, so other services we might be able to provide that fits within our strategy. And anything that we look at has to be at the right price and fits strongly within our cross-border payment strategy, and that's really the lens that we look at all of our capital allocation.
Ashwin Shirvaikar
analystOkay. Okay. Got it. Right on the dot, 35 minutes of a lot of good insights. Thank you very much. I wish it was 40 or 45 so we could go a bit longer, but thank you very much, Raj.
Rajesh Agrawal
executiveYes. Thank you, Ashwin. Really nice to speak with you again today. Thank you.
Ashwin Shirvaikar
analystYes. Thank you. Bye.
Rajesh Agrawal
executiveOkay. Bye.
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