Tinna Rubber and Infrastructure Limited (530475) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
May 28, 2024
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the Tinna Rubber and Infrastructure Limited Q4 and FY '24 Earnings Conference Call hosted by Ventura Securities Limited. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand over the call to Tanuj from Ventura Securities Limited. Thank you, and over to you, Tanuj.
Tanuj Khiyani
analystThank you. Good day, ladies and gentlemen. On behalf of Ventura Securities Limited, I welcome you all to Tinna Rubber and Infrastructure Limited Q4 and FY '24 Earnings Conference Call. The company is, today, represented by Mr. Gaurav Sekhri, Joint MD; Mr. Subodh Kumar Sharma, Director and COO; Mr. Ravindra Chhabra, CFO; and Mr. Anurup Arora, Senior Vice President, CPG and BD. I would now like to hand over the call to the Managing Director of the company, Mr. Gaurav Sekhri, for his opening remarks. Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveHi. Good afternoon. This is Gaurav Sekhri. Am I audible?
Operator
operatorYes, sir.
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveOkay. Hello, everyone. Welcome to the earnings call of Tinna Rubber and Infrastructure Limited for the fourth quarter of the financial year ending 2024. First off, I would like to thank our host of today's earnings call, Ventura Securities, for hosting this earnings conference call. Now let me take you through some of the key operational highlights of the fourth quarter and also the financial year-end 2024. And after which, my colleague, Subodh, our COO, will take over and give details about the financial performance. It gives me great pleasure to inform you that our company continued on its growth path in the financial year ending 2024, recording around 23% growth year-on-year in consolidated top line, 17% growth in EBITDA and 85% growth in net profit. Our EBITDA margins have improved from 12.42% in the previous year to 17.25% in FY '24. This financial performance is a testament of strategic road map, laid out a few years back, of diversifying our product portfolio and building a pan-India presence for our business. In other developments for the year, we improved our working capital cycle, improved our credit ratings and reduced our interest costs. These improvements in our financial performance have led significant increase in our return ratios as well. On the operational front, in FY '24, our consolidated tire crushing volumes grew by 44% year-on-year, while, for the fourth quarter under review, this year increased by 30% year-on-year, though there was a 10% rise in input cost due to the prevailing issues in the Red Sea area. In FY '24, the Infrastructure segment contributed to 52% of our revenues, while Industrial followed by 25%, Steel contributed to 13%, and the balance 10% revenues came from Consumer segment. In Q4 FY '24, Infrastructure segment witnessed a growth of 16% year-on-year, which is attributed to the accelerated highway construction across the country, which has now surpassed 12,000 kilometers this year. In the Industrial segment, we witnessed a growth of around 45% year-on-year in Q4 FY '24, driven by higher sales in exports, where we have started exporting recycled rubber material to leading multinational tire companies and have further appointed agents in Thailand, Japan, Taiwan and U.S.A. The Consumer segment witnessed a growth of over 100% year-on-year in Q4 FY '24, with volumes increasing by 150% year-on-year from rubber mats, brake pads and other consumer applications. Lastly, the Steel segment witnessed a growth of around 12% year-on-year, which is an outcome of higher tire crushing capacity across our plants. In other developments, the company has made a strategic investment in solar energy to set up 1.2 megawatts of solar power. This is expected to generate 1.6 million units annually, contributing to annual savings of INR 1.25 crores. This plant is scheduled to be operational by Q2 of the coming financial year. On the CapEx front, during FY '24, we commercialized our Oman facility in July '23, which has generated revenues of around $1.5 million and an EBITDA of $170,000. Furthermore, Tinna incurred a CapEx of INR 45 crores for setting up greenfield projects, mainly a passenger car tire recycling plant in Maharashtra, a plastic and rubber composites facility at the existing plant located in Panipat. Our R&D activity is full-on to develop customized products for diverse applications like footwear and auto parts, and we anticipate commercial sales to commence from second quarter of FY '25 for our elastomer business. Lastly, I'm very happy to inform you that the Central Pollution Control Board recently directed all producers to fulfill their assigned EPR obligations for the fiscal year '23, and this has resulted in our company monetizing and selling some of the EPR units that we have earned to the tune of INR 6.6 crores in FY '24. It is to be noted that Tinna is one of the largest recyclers of end-of-life tires in Asia and a prime contributor of India's circular economy plan. And we will continue to benefit from the EPR policy, which is now fully operational. In conclusion, let me reiterate our vision for 2027. We remain completely committed and focused towards achieving it. To reiterate, it is our aim to reach revenues of INR 900 crores by FY '27 and achieve EBITDA margins of 18%-plus and return on capital employed of over 30%. We strongly believe that the current economic and government tailwinds, as well as higher consciousness by all stakeholders on circular economy, Tinna is poised to see this vision through. With that said, I now request Subodh to brief you on the financial performance of the company.
Subodh Sharma
executiveGood afternoon, everyone. Thank you, Gaurav ji. Let me talk briefly on the fourth quarter financial performance first, followed by the performance of financial year ending 2024 on a consolidated basis. The operational revenue for the fourth quarter of FY '24 stood around INR 110 crores, which grew around 51% year-on-year basis. EBITDA reported around INR 22 crores, which grew at over 200% year-on-year basis, with the EBITDA margin standing at 20.47%. Net profit after tax reported was around INR 16 crores, which grew by 130% year-on-year basis, and the PAT margin stood at 14.29%. Coming to the performance for the financial year 2024. The operational revenue was around INR 364 crores, which grew by approximately 23% year-on-year basis. The EBITDA stood around INR 63 crores, which is approximately 70% growth on a year-on-year basis, and EBITDA margin stood at 17.25%. PAT stood at INR 40 crores, which grew by approximately 85%, and PAT margins were reported at 11.10%. I'm also pleased to announce that TRIL has paid an interim dividend of INR 3 per share. And the company Board has recommended a total dividend of INR 5 per share for financial year '23/'24. With that, now we can open the floor to the question-and-answer session. Thank you so much.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] First question comes from Nirav Seksaria from Living Root Analytics.
Nirav Seksaria
analystYes. Am I audible?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveYes, yes, Nirav. You're fine.
Nirav Seksaria
analystYes. Could you mention about the CapEx plan for FY '25?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveI'm sorry, could you repeat?
Nirav Seksaria
analystCould you specify the CapEx plan for FY '25?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveSee, we expect to continue with investing in new capacity as well as in some process improvement-related CapEx. I believe we will see a CapEx of anywhere between INR 30 crores to INR 40 crores in FY '25.
Nirav Seksaria
analystOkay. And sir, your aim for FY '27 was to have 10 operational plants, right? So how are we going to move forward with that since we need to open 4 new plants?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveWe are evaluating a variety of options as we speak. I cannot disclose more today on this call, but we are continuing to analyze. And we already mentioned that we are committed to our vision of '27, which is to reach INR 900 crores of top line. Now that could come in a new physical location. It could come in addition of plants in our existing facilities because we have the opportunity to use the base that we have already existing. We have 5 locations that we operate from. All of them have ability to be expanded, so it could come in any form or manner.
Nirav Seksaria
analystOkay. And could you also specify the percentage of exports as a percentage of revenue?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveGive us 5 seconds, we will come to you on that.
Ravindra Chhabra
executiveOkay. First, I'm Ravi Chhabra, CFO. About 8% is our export turnover, INR 34 crores during this year.
Nirav Seksaria
analystOkay. So sir, to follow up on that. So we import like 60% of our tires. With the recent introduction of EPR policy, out of which the natural tariffs benefited off, so would we plan to increase onto our domestically procured tires? Could you explain what's the unit economics or that would be much more cheaper for us?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveNo, no. It's more complex than that. We will, however, to answer your question, we are always looking to have more localized sourcing of tires because that is the most environment-friendly form of recycling as well, but yes, not at a disadvantage to our overall economics.
Nirav Seksaria
analystSo sir, for FY '25, can we expect -- what percentage can we expect from the domestically procured tires to be?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveIt is impossible to predict and tell you that.
Nirav Seksaria
analystOkay. But we can expect it to narrow down going forward, right?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveLike I said, we will just be guessing.
Operator
operatorNext question comes from Rishi Kothari from Pi Square Investments.
Rishi Kothari
analystAm I audible?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveYes, Rishi. Please go ahead.
Rishi Kothari
analystYes. First of all, congratulations on good set of numbers. One of my questions is around the Red Sea crisis that we are, right now, facing in terms of exporting of tires. So what percentage of cost that -- you recently mentioned a 10% increase in cost. Because we are more dependent on the export-based tire marketing campaign, so if we are -- what is the problem that you're facing in terms of the main domestic use of end-of-life tires? Is it that the domestic players are not being, i.e., summated? Or is it something different?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveFirstly, your voice is coming to us not completely clear. But if I've understood correctly, your question is about the Red Sea. On that, the crisis in Red Sea continue to impact us with some erraticness in the schedules, as well as it has a cost impact, which we are doing our best to pass it on to our end consumers. And we continue to look at alternate options for processing raw materials. We, fortunately, have a fairly large base of supply between domestic as well as overseas, somewhere Red Sea does not play a role. So that is our hedge on the Red Sea issue.
Rishi Kothari
analystOkay, okay. Got it. And also, one more thing. Your recent agreement of exporting the raw material crumbs to the branches to your foreign players, that's just in the tire industry or Industrial segment. This is for the tire manufacturing, right?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveYes.
Rishi Kothari
analystOkay. And also, in terms of debt, if we talk about, have we any plans of reducing that debt in the books that we have right now currently?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveSo we are continuing to service our debt in an efficient manner. At the moment, debt is a very good option for us as access to capital. And I don't see us wanting to reduce our debt in any accelerated fashion.
Rishi Kothari
analystOkay. So [ in other words ], we continue the pace of increasing the debt in the book because it is, in a way, a good leverage ratio for us?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveIn routine, Rishi, and in fact, if our CapEx plan, we see opportunities which are compelling, I would also -- I'm not averse to taking on a little bit more term debt on our books because our balance sheet can support it.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] Next question comes from [ Abhishek Singhal ] from Naredi Investment.
Unknown Analyst
analystSir, my first question. You opened a company in Netherlands. So we import from green importer [indiscernible] or export our product. And in this, what challenges have we established at plant in Netherlands?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveAbhishek, the Netherlands company is not yet operationalized. It is not -- it is a dormant company. Our imports or exports are not connected to this company. This vehicle has been set up as an investment vehicle for any other overseas investments and opportunities that we see. But at this point, this company is not operationalized.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. And in your presentation, solar power plants are -- INR 125 million annual savings from solar power plant, and you mentioned INR 1.25 crore annual savings.
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveThe savings will be INR 1.25 crores. That's the accurate number. If you have picked up this number mentioned differently, then it's probably a typing error. We will look into it.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. And in FY '24, we earned INR 6.6 crores from EPR. So it's directly going to bottom line or any expenses were incurred through this income?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveNo, there is no expense directly related to EPR. The impact of this comes in the top line first and then it drops down to PBT.
Unknown Analyst
analystSo what is the per kg rate for the EPR certificate?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveThe EPR rate is very fluid. I don't wish to get into details on this call on the prevailing price. It's extremely volatile today. We have only begun this process very, very recently. I would recommend let the market stabilize a bit more, and then we can share more information with you.
Operator
operatorNext question comes from [ Pradeep Rawat ] from Yogya Capital.
Unknown Analyst
analystSo my first question is regarding the margin. So earlier, the company used to have a single-digit margin, and now we have high teens [indiscernible]. Sir, can you please explain what has changed internally as well as externally since that pre growth year up to now?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveSee, the margin improvement has happened on various accounts. It has happened in us moving to a category of customers who value quality and service more than just price. We have improved our margins because of some product lines that we have developed, which enable us to get better margin because we deliver fantastic economics to our end customers, products like MRP, as well as operational efficiency. So all of these have contributed. And we continue to see a lot of opportunities in, for example, operational efficiency, which we hope to harvest the benefits as our business goes towards our target sale of INR 900 crores in FY '27.
Unknown Analyst
analystYes, sir. And what has improved externally? Can you please explain a bit about it?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveExternally, I would only put it to generally better economics, better economic activity in India. The demand for all products is robust. Government spend in infrastructure is at an all-time high, which has a direct impact on our business. So those factors have contributed immensely as well.
Subodh Sharma
executiveSo I'm just jumping into the conversation. If you see our overall growth from the infrastructure sector, that has contributed well. So in the last financial year, we have done fabulous on the infrastructure side. And if you see, I mean, the overall, even bitumen consumption has gone up by 10%. India imports around 3 million metric tons. In the last financial year, they have imported around 4 million metric ton of bitumen. So around 0.8 million to 1 million metric ton bitumen consumption has gone up. So that means more infrastructure is being built, under process, and the more and more demand is coming. And modified bitumen is a reality. And that's the reason you see our overall crumb rubber sale, our overall revenue generation from the infrastructure sector is improving, which is up by 3% to 4% as compared to FY '23.
Unknown Analyst
analystYes, great. Understood. And my second question is regarding the revenue generation from our new passenger car radial tire facility and composite facility. So how much of revenue can we generate from this facility in FY '25?
Subodh Sharma
executiveSo if you see like that's the overall teamwork and the efforts management has put in to start the -- this Varle facility in Bombay. It's in the record time of 6 months, we completed. And by end of February, the plant came into the operation. The first month, it took us to fine-tune the production, but still, we could make around INR 3 crores of revenue generation from that. But ultimately, the benefit of this location will come into the -- noticed in the FY '25, and we expect to generate approximately INR 75 crores to INR 100 crores of top line from this new facility.
Unknown Analyst
analystI think there is a typo in the presentation. There is mentioned INR 7.5 crore to INR 10 crores. So the utilization will be somewhere around 60%, 70% on this plant?
Subodh Sharma
executiveYes. I mean this capacity is around 60,000 tons per annum. So around 5,000 tons of tire, it can handle every month. So we expect a total revenue out of this location is somewhere close to INR 75 crores to INR 100 crores in between.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. And my last question is regarding the extended producer responsibility. So how much of the total revenue is coming from these extended producer responsibility contracts?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveSorry?
Unknown Analyst
analystYes. So I think that we generate revenue like from producers also. Those producers are -- like they will give us contract on basis of recycling. They're -- sorry, I will get back to you on that question. My next question is regarding the EPR credits. So how many EPR credits did we generate in FY '24?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveOkay. We will be generating annually between 50,000 to 75,000 credits. This is our current business model. And that's all I can share at this point of time. There is still a lot of work being done with the CPCB and the Ministry of Environment on the weightages, et cetera, on -- as confirmed on different product categories. So some of those things, there is still some changes expected. But at this point of time, we think our business could generate between 50,000 to 75,000 credits.
Operator
operatorNext question comes from Viraj Mahadevia, MoneyGrow India.
Viraj Mahadevia
analystMr. Sekhri, congratulations to you and the management team on a fantastic finish to FY '24. Given the new capacity added in Q4, you mentioned that there will be a ramp-up during FY '25. At full capacity utilization, how much could you generate in revenues out of this facility?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveThe Varle facility, with the capacity that has already been created, this plant, as Subodh indicated, will generate between INR 75 crores to INR 100 crores of top line. The basic plant footprint is for more equipment, more machinery, more kind of projects to be put within the same premises. So... [Technical Difficulty]
Operator
operatorI'm sorry. Just a moment, sir, let me check. Dear participants, kindly stay connected. Yes. I welcome the management team. Please go ahead, sir.
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveViraj, did you get the answer?
Viraj Mahadevia
analystNo, no. It went on to hold. But I think you were mentioning that you have the ability to add capacities at Varle. So if you can pick up from there, please.
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveYes. Varle site has ability for us to add more equipment and more plants in it. But with the CapEx that we have already done, that will result in top line contribution of between INR 75 crores to INR 100 crores.
Viraj Mahadevia
analystUnderstood. And how much can you debottleneck Varle for and with what investment approximately?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveThere is no debottlenecking.
Viraj Mahadevia
analystI'm sorry, brownfield expansion. How much can you do?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveSee, a lot, Viraj. A lot. It's large premises with an ability to ramp up quite a bit.
Viraj Mahadevia
analystOkay, my second question...
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveJust to give you a perspective. Varle is a 13-acre site versus our next largest plant is our Chennai plant, which is only 5 acres.
Viraj Mahadevia
analystOkay. Understood. Sir, my second question is regarding EPR. Where do you source your used rubber tires from? Is it with direct tie-ups with the tire manufacturers? Or it's sourced from the retail channel? And then does that inventory sit of raw material on your books? Or does it sit on a tire manufacturer's books until the offtake in time for processing?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveSo we have multiple options of sourcing. Some are with tie-ups with tire companies, some are with tie-ups with aggregators, some are with tie-ups from PROs, which are producer responsible organizations. But the inventory, once it is -- we take ownership, so it's obviously on our books.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] Next question comes from [ Ritesh Poladia ] from Girik Capital.
Unknown Analyst
analystSir, on -- I think you have processed about 99,000 tons of tire. I think that you can generate to anywhere between 50,000, 75,000 credits only. Sir, the weightage for your tire crumbs is lower than the other processes. Is that understanding right?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveRitesh, we have, and only as importers of end-of-life tires, we also have our own obligation of EPR units as well as credit. So net available to sell is the number that I indicated to you. It could be between 50,000 to 75,000 EPR units after meeting our own obligation.
Unknown Analyst
analystAll right. You have to utilize some of obligations for yourself also?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveThat's correct.
Unknown Analyst
analystSo what is the gross generation you can do on the 1 lakh ton capacity?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveRitesh, I have described the policy to you. Further detail is a bit too early for me to share. I would prefer let 1 or 2 quarters pass by, let the policy set in, and then I think we will share more details with you.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. Sir, I'm sure it's too early, but this INR 6.6 crore of EPR generation, is it for part or you have sold the entire obligation for this year?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveWe are part sold.
Unknown Analyst
analystYou are part sold. Sir, so remaining unrealized EPR credits, do they find a place in balance sheet? Or how do you record the entire EPR transaction?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveWe have chosen to take a conservative view on accounting of these credits, a bit like how companies also take carbon credits. In our mind, they are of value only once monetized. So that is the path we've adopted.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. Would you like to comment on what is the ongoing price of the EPR or is this a negotiation? With this INR 6.6 crores, have you sold to the OEM or through intermediary?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveSo our sale has been achieved via a direct sale. We are in touch with, as you know, all the tire companies we have ongoing relationship. So we have not, at least, at this point, found the need to use an intermediary. I'm not ruling it out for future. And what was your other part of your question?
Unknown Analyst
analystYes, yes. That is more or less answered. Sir, last one question. Sir, assuming the regulation, I'm sure it will evolve over a period of time. But do all the tire manufacturers, they have to procure the EPR? So generation of EPR is enough? Or the demand is far higher than the supply?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveSee, the obligation of tire companies, as per the policy, is on a staggered basis. And as the years pass where need for EPR units will increase because their obligation will increase, and that is where the market sits today. Like I said, it is still very early for us to already develop a trend of whether there is more demand or less demand. I suggest we let 1 or 2 quarters past, and we'll all have more clarity on this subject. See, what is certain is that government has come up with this policy. It's on the producer-based principle, which means the producers of any kind of waste, electronic or tire or any other kind, have to be made accountable and responsible for their waste. And if a recycler is doing its job or doing a job on their behalf, then the recycler deserve to be compensated. And that is how this whole policy is based. So we are on the right side of policy. Honestly, the operationalization of this policy has happened faster than I expected. I credit the Ministry of Environment and the Pollution Control Board who has, in my view, done a fantastic job. We are very familiar with EPR policies in many different countries. And I think what India has come up with is easy, crisp, clear, very transparent, and kudos to the people who have worked on it. So we are benefiting from this. Please understand that our business model is not based on this EPR. Our business is robust and strong, independent of EPR. Of course, it is a fantastic benefit to have, and we will ensure that the company benefits to the fullest extent. But beyond that, it is very hard to comment on specific questions today because it's too early.
Unknown Analyst
analystSo sir, that's very great to hear. But this EPR is changing the dynamic of the entire waste industry, not just in tire, but everywhere. Is the recycling effectiveness going up? Or you think that the economics over a period of time will adjust to the new reality?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveI believe that government, by announcing an EPR policy, has brought in added incentive for people to see this industry very carefully. And entrepreneurs should see merit in recycling. I mean, we were always looking to expand our business. Our vision '27 was made, irrespective of the EPR policy. And now this is an added sort of -- it is like wind beneath our wings to make us dream even higher and bigger.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] Next question comes from Pritesh Chheda from Lucky Investments.
Pritesh Chheda
analystSo sir, I have 2 questions. One is your incremental waste capacity of Varle, 60,000 tons. Why is the revenue intensely different from existing capacity? Is there any product line difference in the two?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveThere is some difference in the products that we will produce in Varle versus our other factories because it's a different material that we are starting with. These are PCR tires versus our other factories are largely built to process truck and bus radial tires. So there is some difference.
Pritesh Chheda
analystFor the current factory process, truck and bus radial, then this is going to process PCR?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveThis is going to process passenger car radials, correct.
Pritesh Chheda
analystOkay. So for the 60,000 tons, you have invested what CapEx?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveIt is approximately INR 30 crores, INR 35 crores.
Pritesh Chheda
analystSo INR 30 crores, INR 35 crores, and you have given a revenue range of INR 60 to -- INR 75 crores to INR 100 crores?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveThat's correct.
Pritesh Chheda
analystAnd the product, the main product line difference between a TBR and here will be what? So you have the variant of the rubber, which is the crumb rubber and the micronized rubber and all that?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveThey will, firstly, have less steel. The PCR has less steel versus TBR. That is one difference. Second is we have a third element of nylon, which we do not usually get in TBR processing. And even the rubber composition is a bit different because largely synthetic rubber is used for manufacturing of PCRs, whereas natural rubbers is used for manufacturing of TBR. As a result, the end products also have different kind of benefits in the recycled rubber material.
Pritesh Chheda
analystOkay. That's why this INR 16, whatever the kg that the realization comes out, versus INR 35-plus in case of the existing. Okay. My second question, and this is the last question. Is there any product line difference between quarter 1 and quarter 4 when your margins have moved from 15% to 20%? Or is it that the EPR-related benefit is being booked in this quarter because of the INR 6 crores, it will even out? If you could just explain the product mix and the margins?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveSo the EPR monetization has happened in Q4.
Pritesh Chheda
analystOkay. So now that explains the INR 6 crore. The entire INR 6 crore came in Q4?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveYes.
Pritesh Chheda
analystAwesome. Then it explains my confusion.
Operator
operatorNext question comes from Sandeep Dixit from Arjav Partners.
Sandeep Dixit
analystSir, in your presentation, you have mentioned that -- can you hear me, sir?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveYes, yes. You're audible. Please go ahead.
Sandeep Dixit
analystIn your presentation, you have mentioned that the opportunity for the industry -- or sorry, infra is 5x in 3 years, right?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveYes. Yes.
Sandeep Dixit
analystIf that is the case, why are we looking at only, I mean, 5x increase roughly works out to, whatever, 70% in India. We have a 60% market share there. Why is your revenue guidance only 25% then?
Subodh Sharma
executiveSee, in the infra, like I mentioned, the overall bitumen consumption in India is somewhere close to 9 million metric tons. And we estimate approximately 10% is the market for modified bitumen. So right now, we are seeing the market is somewhere around 200,000 tons of modified bitumen. So we have more headroom to grow in this space. But number two, if you see my product on the infrastructure side, it goes right on the top of the load, and that level comes after 3 to 4 years once the contract is awarded. So if you see in the last 1.5, 2 years, there's a lot of traction in the infrastructure side, and that's the reasonable contribution. I mean, the Infrastructure segment is getting much better growth as compared to the other sector. And in the road sector, because of low infrastructure, in the last years under the leadership of Mr. Nitin Gadkari, has performed very well. In the last year, we did almost 12,000 kilometers of highway, which is a record last year where the bitumen consumption is also a record by 9 million metric tons. So we see, and we see it is also a reality like the government will repeat, and all these developmental work will keep happening on the space at which it is currently happening. So we see there's a big headroom for us in the next 3 to 5 years or maybe more for the infrastructure sector.
Sandeep Dixit
analystOkay. So if my understanding is -- my understanding is that this 5x in 3 years that you have mentioned in your presentation is for the road sector and infrastructure sector, not necessarily for our product, Tinna Rubber's products. Is that correct?
Subodh Sharma
executiveThe overall -- sorry.
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveGaurav here, I'm jumping in. We see this opportunity for us -- we do see this opportunity for us. That is the opportunity, which exists. Of course, some things have to fall in place for this opportunity to turn into a reality. Government has been encouraging use of modified bitumen, rubberized asphalt, but the adoption has not been as fast as we would like. We have seen some accelerated pace of adoption in the last 1 to 2 years. So if that trend continues, we will be short of capacity, and we will be needing to add capacity.
Sandeep Dixit
analystOkay. So just to conclude, 35% CAGR has a significant upside risk rather than downside risk, if the interest picks up the way you expect it to, am I correct? Would I be correct?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveAbsolutely. Because even the large road contractors tend to have their own preferences. We have recently won over a contract of one very, very large and significant road contractor, who, for the last decade, was resisting using rubberized asphalt. So we expect such trends as assumptions and, as they happen, then the potential is 5x is what we have mentioned.
Operator
operatorNext question comes from [ Amit Kumar ], an individual investor.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeCongratulations for these strong numbers. So first question is regarding EBITDA margin and PAT margins for Q4 EBITDA at 19% and PAT at 12.8%. So can we take the same -- can we achieve the same EBITDA and PAT margins in FY '27? And secondly, like in the presentation, the revenue guidance is 25%. But if I calculate from INR 363 crore in FY '24 and go to INR 900 crores in FY '27, basically, it's 35%.
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveSee, year-on-year, exactly, what will be the growth is very hard for us to predict. We have grown from INR 295 crores in FY '23 to INR 363 crores in FY '24. Our earnings guidance for FY '25, we've already mentioned in our earlier call, is INR 500 crores. And in order to achieve that, it's simple math. We should be hitting INR 120-odd crores a quarter, right, quite quickly. So a lot of that work has already been done. We expect to grow at a pace where we can get to INR 900 crores to meet our vision. Now in some years, we will go faster, and some years, we'll go a little bit slower. But ultimately, we want to get to INR 500 crores this year and INR 900 crores for FY '27.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeOkay. And second question regarding that, can we maintain the same 19% EBITDA margin, 12% -- like 13% PAT margin? Or is there is a room to improve this by FY '27?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveSir, there are so many uncertainties in this world. Nobody can guarantee what you're asking me to commit on this call. We are delivering what we have said so far. All our efforts and initiatives are in that direction. And I think you'll just have to wait and see our results to have that validation.
Operator
operatorWe have a follow-up question from Viraj Mahadevia from MoneyGrow India.
Viraj Mahadevia
analystIf you could spend a few minutes to talk about the Oman setup. How are you all pleased -- how are you all feeling about the market opportunity there? Is it getting bigger? Is competition increasing? And where are you in utilizations currently? And where do you see that going over the next year?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveViraj, so Oman is, our experience, to give you the short answer, has been very good. The plant was commissioned in record time. The product economics has worked out exactly how we thought it would. There is limitation to growth in Oman because it is a small country. It is considered small population. So they, as a result, have not a very large base of waste tire generation. Saying that, there are only 2 or 3 players, and we are one of them, in Oman, and we are the dominant one. That is the lay of the land for that country. The plants are already operating at about 80%, 85% efficiency. We are now exploring to see what are the niche opportunities to grow further in Oman. But we don't see dramatic increase in Oman capacity because it is basically a small country.
Viraj Mahadevia
analystUnderstood. So sir, eventually, in the next year or so, it will become a cash flow business rather than a growth basis? Understood.
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveYes. It is already cash flow positive, just to be clear.
Viraj Mahadevia
analystRight. Perfect. Any plans to expand in any other geographies nearby in the region, Africa or probably in the Middle East?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveWe are looking at India. For overseas opportunity, we are now a bit more confident of overseas opportunities after having successfully commissioned Oman. So we're not taking anything off the table.
Viraj Mahadevia
analystAnd this would be organic and inorganic, or only organic?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveAbsolutely. Any opportunity, which is vital for growth, we will look at it.
Operator
operatorWe have a follow-up question from Nirav Seksaria from Living Root Analytics.
Nirav Seksaria
analystSir, could you mention the capacity utilization for FY '25 -- FY '24, sorry?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveFY '25 capacity utilization for us?
Nirav Seksaria
analystFY '24, sorry.
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveFY '24. FY '24, we are at about 75% to 80%.
Nirav Seksaria
analystOkay. And sir, if we are setting up any new brownfield project in India, so can we expect the cost to be around INR 40 crores to INR 45 crores based on the last project?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveSee, we have -- we believe that our CapEx spend in this financial year will be around that INR 30 crores to INR 40 crores in the current financial year. It could come in just -- it will not necessarily be one large brownfield. It could be in 2 or 3 different opportunities.
Nirav Seksaria
analystNo, sir, I'm saying that if we go for a brownfield project, can we expect the cost to be similar to the previous one?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveYes and no. Because it is not -- it's hard to say that we will set up exactly the same PCR-type recycling plant. So it could be a different kind of tire recycling. It could be a different form of recycling also. But if you were to do the same plant again, I guess, yes, the cost will be the same because we just set it up last year.
Nirav Seksaria
analystOkay. And the INR 6.6 crores that we have received from EPR, is that for FY '24 or it might be for FY '23, too?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveThis is for FY '23.
Nirav Seksaria
analystFY '23. And then are we set to receive EPR for FY '24?
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveWe will continue to monetize our EPR units. We have some remaining over FY '23 as well. And what we have generated in FY '24, and we will generate in FY '25, it's an ongoing process depending on supply/demand. As we see an opportunity, we will monetize.
Operator
operatorThere are no further questions. Now I hand over the floor to management for closing comments.
Gaurav Sekhri
executiveThank you. Thank you all for participating in the earnings call today. I hope we were able to answer your questions satisfactorily and, at the same time, offer insights into our business. If you have any further questions or would like to know more about the company, please reach out to our Investor Relations manager, Valorem. And thank you so much again for your time. Stay safe and stay healthy. Thank you.
Operator
operatorThank you, members of the management. Ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of Ventura Securities, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.
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