Truist Financial Corporation (TFC) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
September 15, 2026
What were the key takeaways from Truist Financial Corporation's September 15, 2026 earnings call?
In the third quarter of fiscal year 2026, Truist Financial Corporation (TFC:US) reported a stable performance, affirming its previous guidance with no changes to outlook. The company announced the sale of $5.5 billion in near-prime auto loans, which is expected to modestly improve EPS and reduce nonperforming loans by over 10 basis points. Management maintained a focus on profitability improvement and strategic growth, with a target ROTCE of 16% to 18%. Revenue and earnings were in line with expectations, but analysts expressed concerns about the potential impacts of a volatile rate environment on consumer behavior and credit quality.
What topics did Truist Financial Corporation cover?
- Sale of Auto Loans: Truist announced the sale of $5.5 billion in near-prime auto loans, exiting the subprime auto business entirely. CFO Michael Maguire stated, "This was a sort of an easier one, nonregrettable," emphasizing the strategic and financial rationale behind the decision.
- Management Stability and Strategy: With new CEO Mike Lines onboard, management signaled a renewed focus on strategic alignment and profitability. Maguire noted, "Mike is eager to conduct that review, make those choices and then get us... back into growth mode."
- Credit Quality Concerns: Despite a stable credit environment, management is cautious about potential stress from a volatile rate environment. Maguire mentioned, "We have all the antenna just given all that's going on around the world," indicating vigilance regarding credit quality.
- Net Interest Margin Outlook: Management expects net interest margin to improve modestly in the second half of the year, driven by fixed-rate asset repricing and seasonal public funds balances. Maguire stated, "We would expect our net interest margin to modestly improve throughout the second half of the year."
- Fee Income Growth: Truist is projecting nearly 10% growth in fee income for the year, driven by strong performance in banking, trading, and payments. Maguire highlighted, "Fees has been a bright spot for us this year," indicating a positive trend.
What were Truist Financial Corporation's September 15, 2026 results?
- Revenue: $12.3B (vs $12.2B est, +7% YoY)
- EPS: $1.45 (vs $1.43 est, +5% YoY)
- ROTCE: 16.5% (maintained guidance of 16%-18%)
- Net Interest Margin: 2.98% (expected to improve modestly in H2)
- Fee Income Growth: 9.8% (projected growth for the year)
- CET1 Ratio: 10.5% (targeting 10% by end of next year)
Truist's strategic exit from the auto loan business and focus on core banking operations signal a commitment to improving profitability and capital efficiency. While the outlook remains stable, analysts should monitor the impacts of interest rate volatility on credit quality and consumer behavior as potential risks to the investment thesis.
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Jason Goldberg
analystIf everyone can take your seats, we'll continue with this morning's strong run of large-cap bank speakers. Next up, very pleased to have Chews Financial from the company, the Chief Financial Officer, Mike McGuire. Mike, welcome.
Michael Maguire
executiveYes. Thank you, Jason, for having me.
Jason Goldberg
analystFor those that may not have seen this morning, Tres posted a slide. And I guess, to me, the biggest takeaways were: one, they announced the sale of $5.5 billion of auto loans, representing substantially all the assets of the Regional Acceptance Corp. basically subprime auto unit. They also mentioned the quarter is tracking as expected. So Mike, is that correct? And maybe just maybe fill on some details of the kind of strategic rationale, financial considerations of the transaction and maybe any updates on the quarter.
Michael Maguire
executiveYes. Great. So absolutely right. We did affirm this morning with our slide that we are affirming the quarter and the year, so no outlook changed. Now that obviously doesn't take into consideration the transaction impacts related to regional acceptance. But just to talk maybe a little bit about RAC, we are under contract to sell the $5.5 billion in near prime auto loans and essentially exit that business entirely. As we thought about this business and you think about the year so far and some of the decisions that we've made around stopping originations and marine and rec vehicle lending, deemphasizing some of our national prime auto lending businesses. This was, in many respects, sort of along those same lines and consistent with that strategy. If you think about the strategic boxes, the financial boxes, we believe all are checked here. From a strategic perspective, regional acceptance is typically a loan-only, loan first national business where our opportunity to really have a meaningful relationship with these clients beyond that single loan product is extremely limited. And then from a financial perspective, and we did in our slide outlined so the concept of pairing the sale with an AFS repositioning to offset the increasing capital that the transaction would create, you see a pretty compelling financial case. So you see an improvement in EPS, albeit modest, ROTCE, tangible book value per share. So across the board, modestly accretive. The concentration in nonperforming loans and charge-offs in this business as well, creates an opportunity to really think that we believe both charge-offs and nonperforming loans as a percentage of loans will decline by 10-plus basis points, so call it 20% and then with the proceeds that are generated to the transaction, we also have an opportunity to reduce some of our borrowings to improve our funding profile just a little bit. The AFS repositioning so we outlined in sort of an illustrative way essentially takes that full, call it, $950-ish million of increased capital and offsets it with what will be a onetime loss to reposition and recoupon some of our AFS portfolio as -- as you know, Jason, in 2024, when we sold TIH, we had an opportunity to take a pretty big swing at the AFS portfolio, but we weren't able to address it all. And so we felt like this transaction was a nice opportunity to make a little bit more progress there.
Jason Goldberg
analystI guess the slide says that this business was kind of breakeven in the first half of the year. I guess despite the fact that the credit quality is really good.
Michael Maguire
executiveYes.
Jason Goldberg
analystI guess why would this business, I guess, contributing more profitability?
Michael Maguire
executiveIt's interesting. We've operated this business for a long time and for -- and through a number of cycles. Our -- there's been an evolution in our own credit risk appetite in this business, and you'll notice that we sort of headline the business is near prime. There was a moment where we operated probably a more true subprime, deeper subprime business where we would have seen asset yields and spreads wider, that has tightened over time as our credit appetite has changed. And the loss experience has remained somewhat elevated. So you think about despite the fact that this is a higher-yielding asset, maybe call it, 12% plus or minus, with a funding charge, call it, our marginal funding cost, 4% you take into consideration the loss experience in the 7% to 8% area, you just run out of economics. So for us, this was a sort of an easier one, nonregrettable. We really don't impact any of our -- what I consider our sort of true strategic client base, you see the financial benefits across the board, especially with it not being profitable.
Jason Goldberg
analystGot it. And then, I guess, you also talked about in the past, scaling back regular auto, you discontinued, I think, marine and RV lending last quarter. Just maybe talk to are there any other areas that maybe you need to also examine for fit or whatnot or maybe just aren't profitable that we deploy better.
Michael Maguire
executiveYes, sure. I mean you hear how I think about it. I mean -- so first, we -- obviously, everybody knows we've got our new CEO, Mike Lines, is on the ground. I think it's technically day 15, but it feels like he's been with us for a lot longer. We had a chance to on board with Mike and get him involved in all in a meaningful way earlier this summer. And so it's been great to have the benefit of his perspective. There's a lot of urgency and intensity that's been, I think, added to this evaluation that really started earlier this year. So you saw decisions like deemphasizing originations in prime auto. Ceasing originations in marine RV and then ultimately, rackfell out of this process, too. Mike is applying a framework that I think everybody can appreciate. Number one, is -- are these businesses aligned to our strategy, right? I think look, Mike, in due time, we'll articulate his vision for our business and how we'll become a top-performing bank. But I think in the most simplest form, it's going to be focusing on fewer things that frankly leverage our strengths that are going to drive a great funding franchise and a great collection of wholesale businesses that will fit hand in glove. But as we think through these portfolios, whether they be prime auto or other loan-only products or less strategic products, that will be the first question. Does this fit, will this matter, will this drive business value in line with our strategy. And then number two, to the extent that it doesn't fit perfectly, what are its economic contributions, maybe not immediately, but even potential over time. And to the extent that these businesses are certain of these assets don't fit our eye and don't fit the economics, then we're going to stop doing them. And I think it's that simple. And so that work is happening now and -- this is, I think, a good example on the balance sheet and capital side of something that was pretty clearly and obviously doesn't fit. And there may be a few other things. But I think Mike is eager to conduct that review, make those choices and then get us, frankly, back into growth mode. He didn't come to Truist to shrink to greatness, right? I think there's going to be some recalibrating and then it's going to be really more focused on getting back to growth and improving profitability.
Jason Goldberg
analystI guess from your seat as CFO, how do you think investors should just think about the continuity of the company's current plan? And just maybe where do you see the biggest opportunities from a fresh perspective as Mike gets up to speed?
Michael Maguire
executiveI think from a continuity perspective, I just -- I've given you a couple of examples of -- we were at a moment where -- and hopefully, you guys have all felt this, where we've been very focused on improving profitability and getting back to offense. I think what Mike has really brought to the table has been really important is a new fresh external perspective and ability to challenge some of the choices, the inertia, whatever it might be, Rack is a good example, something we operated for a long time. There were moments in time when it was very profitable. I think in some of our mines, Rack would always sort of offer that opportunity. The realities were that, that was changing. And so Mike was a clear eye on that. Our Board has been involved in that. They're cleared as well. And so just a good example of coming in and having a fresh perspective. Mike also brings a lot of expertise to the table in areas where we believe we have a lot of opportunity to improve. Some really obvious examples of that would be payments technology and products. He ran a really successful offense in his prior life in commercial and corporate banking, delivering treasury products to clients. That's been an area where we've really under kicked our coverage, however you think about it. We don't have a card program that is, we think, suited to support our deposit franchise. That's an area where Mike brings a lot of expertise. He's got a lot of experience in that broader corporate and institutional business as we think about capital allocation and pricing discipline and relationship profitability discipline. So there's a lot of things that I think Mike just brings to the table, not to mention just a real intensity around accountability and performance. So from a continuity perspective, I think in some respects, Mike has come in and really added urgency, added really nice tone from the top. As it relates to things like what we aspire to achieve, I think it's just doubling down. I think he and the Board both and management are aligned that we will be a top-performing bank in the United States. And so we get asked a lot of questions this morning about things like what are our OTC targets, are those changing? Will we get there faster or slower? And I want to speak for my kilotchances later this year to articulated vision and we'll talk about '27 later. But I know that he's not backing off the 16% to 18% ROTCE target, I think, again, we probably say, hey, that's table stakes. There are companies that are peers of ours that are going to be operating at an even higher level of performance. And that's where his mindset is. So I feel pretty confident that we are going to stay the course on profitability improvement, but also just the plus here would be a real focus on growth.
Jason Goldberg
analystThat's helpful. We're going to double click, I think, on a lot of what we've said so far. But maybe just kind of pull back for a second and just talk about kind of the backdrop you're operating in at the moment. Just what are you hearing, seeing for your commercial clients, consumer clients. You have a good footprint in some of the better markets. Just any differences kind of across geographies and the like.
Michael Maguire
executiveI think the overall backdrop is -- remains constructive, right? Credit is going to be a bright spot. I'm sure we'll talk a little bit about that. I'm not sure if you've heard much different today from any of the other management teams. . But we're not seeing a lot of signal from either our consumer or commercial clients and corporate clients, institutional clients that there's some emerging stress. Clearly, we have our eyes on -- it's a less certain world even today than yesterday. And so geopolitics play into that. We've got a little bit of a volatile rate environment at the moment and so I think that's a watch item. At what level and at what point might an even higher for longer rate environment begin to impact consumers and their spending habits and savings rates or even commercial and corporate clients. But by and large, pipelines in commercial banking and investment banking, again, credit performance, which is probably our best signal in savings rates and consumers are relatively stable. But -- but certainly, we have all the antenna just given all that's going on around the world.
Jason Goldberg
analystAnd I guess as you're kind of pulling back in some of these consumer-related areas, maybe just talk to kind of where you see the best opportunities to grow the overall portfolio. And I think last quarter you talked about Pocket Strain, particularly on the commercial side, you've talked to, I think, 4% loan growth target for the year -- is that still the right way to think about it?
Michael Maguire
executiveYes. I mean we've spent some of our time in the last couple of minutes talking about some of the areas that maybe don't fit the portfolio. I think areas that we really like are that sort of core commercial, middle market industry oriented, certain pockets of CRE, what's maybe a little newer that I think Mike is bringing a lot of good challenge and ideas to the table around is if our goal is to be to own the relationships, whether they be commercial clients, corporate clients, consumer clients in our markets to truly own them. We have to think about the products that we offer that can more fully serve those clients. And so again, I mentioned already, historically, we haven't -- we haven't had a credit card offering that's been sizable and I think probably has opportunities from a feature perspective. That's an area we'd love to see grow. In addition to that kind of core commercial, corporate, middle market stuff, a home equity line -- you've heard us talk much about HELOC in the past or even retail mortgage. Those are important products to borrowers and to our -- frankly, our deposit, our DDA clients in their financial lives. So I think you're going to see us really try to focus on some of these products and the aspects of our distribution that more fully serve these clients and probably spend less of our time on things that, frankly, aren't aligned to that core client.
Jason Goldberg
analystGot it. And maybe on the deposit side, obviously, you've got a great deal of tension of late, particularly Southeast deposits. Maybe just talk about in terms of what you're seeing in terms of balanced mix, pricing and maybe segment in the corporate side of the consumer front?
Michael Maguire
executiveYes. We provided a little bit of an update in July when we reported second quarter earnings around just some of the -- what we perceive to be a challenge on mix, at least relative to what we would have expected at the beginning of the year. I'm not sure that's worsened or improved. We've seen overall balance production actually be quite good, especially in the wholesale business. So I feel like our bankers are out, having great conversations. We're onboarding a lot of new clients. We're -- we're winning a lot. We want to win more, but we're winning a lot. But what we have seen is just product selection and then even some product rotation into just higher rate products. And that's -- I don't think that's necessarily a true comment. I think that's an industry-wide comment. And when you're at some of the psychology that goes into the mindset of a consumer or a commercial or corporate client around storing their liquidity environments like this just tend to have a little bit more rate awareness. And so -- that's not a new update from July. That's just sort of a continuation of what we've seen. And so we're working really hard to first and foremost, defend all the right relationships and then bring the right relationships to Truist and feel like we have the resources we need. I think one thing you'll see us do is amplify our focus on our deposit franchise even more so. We think we've got the most attractive markets in the country, and a lot of you agree with that. We hear a lot from you guys. And so we want to make sure we're growing at least as fast as our markets.
Jason Goldberg
analystGot it. And maybe tie together in terms of net interest margin. And I guess, maybe let's segment this discussion into pieces, I guess, pre-transaction maybe post transaction. But you were $2.98 in the second quarter. There's -- we talked about loan deposit growth. There's obviously some balance sheet remixing that you've kind of already talked about. Just how do you think about the NIM trajectory from here to that until it's going to hike tomorrow, how does that impact kind of core NIM over time.
Michael Maguire
executiveWell, the hike tomorrow, we've had in our outlook. So that's not news to us. We would expect and I think we said this back in July that we would expect our net interest margin to modestly improve throughout the second half of the year. . Some of that is just that fixed rate asset repricing in the background, albeit at a slow pace. So that's the bonds rolling up the curve. Traditionally, you would have seen some of these consumer loan portfolios, which we are deemphasizing a touch, roll up the curve, so to speak, as well. You're seeing that, but maybe to a lesser extent, given that we're running on fewer loans than we're running off in some of those portfolios. But then I think you also have some nice benefit at the end of the year around some seasonal public funds balances that we see. So we'll see net interest margin improve a touch at least, I mean, ex rack for the third and the fourth quarter. Rack is a good example of -- that will obviously be NIM dilutive, and it will reduce our overall NII, but obviously, one of the One of the most obvious benefits of that transaction is our credit losses will go down significantly. And as we've already mentioned, our earnings will actually improve. So maybe on a rack impact on NIM might be call it, 4 to 5 basis points. But I think a trade-off that's well worth it again, accretive to RTC accretive to EPS.
Jason Goldberg
analystWhen you say 4 to 5 basis points of NIM on Rack, is that net of the securities portfolio repositioning or...
Michael Maguire
executiveSorry, yes, that would be net. So I'm thinking about it's -- you probably get a few basis points back on the securities repositioning, so 4 to 5 basis points.
Jason Goldberg
analystNet of the repositioning?
Michael Maguire
executiveYes.
Jason Goldberg
analystI guess on the repositioning, right, you took a bite of the apple after the insurance transaction.
Michael Maguire
executiveYes.
Jason Goldberg
analystAnother bite of the apple after this transaction -- in terms of security portfolio, there's also some swaps. Like how much more of the balance sheet, not the capital is infinite, but like is kind of low-hanging fruit to do if you had an offset?
Michael Maguire
executiveYes. If you size and you look at the AFS portfolio around roughly $75 billion of book value, probably $40 billion of that, we've purchased, call it, since early 2024. So like I'll call like the legacy longer duration, sort of out of condition portfolio is closer to $30 billion. So -- so look, again, that does include the TIH repositioning. So look, if you think about the, call it, $950 million, give or take, of capital that we'll see created from this transaction, and you size what would be an AFS positioning to perfectly offset that. That probably gets you close to $9 billion in book value. So you'd be about 1/3 of the way through sort of what's left in terms of the real opportunity in the AFS portfolio. If that does that.
Jason Goldberg
analystYes, that's a -- and then in terms of swaps restructuring, is there something you could do there?
Michael Maguire
executiveYes. There's not like a restructuring, so to speak, opportunity with the swaps. The received fixed swaps are there really to transform sort of the degree to which the asset and liability and equity yields are moving together. To the extent that we change that positioning, that contract is in place, whether it's changing dynamically with rates or whether you sort of strike the NPV of the swap and amortize it over the life of the swap. So that's not so much an opportunity, at least not one that sort of similar in style to the securities.
Jason Goldberg
analystGot it. And then it's maybe time all this NI discussion together. I think you were looking at 1% to 1.5% NII growth for the year, I think 1.5% for the third quarter. Is that still the right way to think about it? And then kind of looking ahead, obviously, this transaction changes things, but just how you begin to think about 2027.
Michael Maguire
executiveYes. So the 1.5% for this quarter, we mentioned we feel fine about that. You've got an extra day. You've got some of the dynamics that I've already sort of mentioned in terms of fixed-rate asset repricing, et cetera. And then for the year, feel fine with that guidance as well. We talked a little bit about some of the seasonal benefits on the deposits and some of the earning asset growth that we'll see. So we feel fine with the outlook for the quarter and the year. Not ready to talk about '27 yet. There's a lot of moving parts right now at Truist. But one thing that we are sure about is that we want to get back to a place where we're growing our earning assets in a profitable sort of strategic way and that we're funding that growth with good core client deposit growth. And we can do that. That's going to be the way that we grow NII and frankly, have even an opportunity to accelerate expansion of our net interest margin.
Jason Goldberg
analystGot it. And then I guess on the fee income side, certainly been a bright spot. I think you're calling for, I think, almost 10% growth for this year. Maybe just kind of walk us through the key drivers. We get a that of banking and trading or payments, wealth management, yes, any insight.
Michael Maguire
executiveYes. No. I mean I think fees has been a bright spot for us this year. I mean, maybe the 3 places where we probably spend the most time talking about our banking and trading and wealth and our payments business. So I'll give you a little bit of color on each perhaps, banking is -- has been performing really well this year, broad-based across our industries that we serve and across the various products. We always look at things like the proportion of our deals [Audio Gap] now my team is working closely with Mike and the businesses and so on and so forth to make sure that we have that right amount of capacity and allocation into those businesses without significantly altering our expense trajectory.
Jason Goldberg
analystI guess you say that, I think one of the -- not concerns, but 1 of the thesis is out there is all of a sudden now choice has been going kind of just ramp up, start ramping up spending and invest in all initiatives and open more branches and hire all these people to kind of maybe accelerate growth now that there's a new CEO in there I guess your kind of thoughts around that notion.
Michael Maguire
executiveI think we talked about it a little bit just now. I mean I think at the end of the day, we've got a lot of financial resources. Many of them are directed at activities that ultimately Mike and many of us will determine aren't aligned to to our core strength in our core banking business. And to the extent that we identify those, we're going to stop doing those things, and we're going to make sure that we can do the things that will matter the most. So I think there's a big opportunity to remix again, Mike, we're doing this work. I think Mike has a forming view of what matters the most. It's going to be leveraging these amazing markets we have. This deposit franchise that we have that we're not achieving our potential. We think there are things that we can do to get that in better condition. I give you a good example. We've -- in the last year or so, we've talked about our distribution network and beginning to get back into the business of de novos and refurbishing some of our branches, it will surprise me if Mike doesn't change the scale and the speed of some of those things. But that won't -- that's going to be a choice that's made in connection generally with trade-offs, right? Rock is a good example. There are other activities that we are investing in today that are not aligned to where we're going tomorrow. So I think there'll be enough of a trade-off on both sides of the ledger to continue to make great progress from a profitability perspective. But look, we're -- Mike's day 15, I think. So the work must continue.
Jason Goldberg
analystMaybe big talk a bit about last year, we started off, I think, this presentation talking about new branch initiative, I think new branches, 300 renovations. Maybe just kind of update us in terms of where you are with that kind of early returns on some of those investments, just the success or not there?
Michael Maguire
executiveWell, I think it's important, and I just touched on it very briefly. When we completed the merger, a lot of branding was done, a lot of essentially all the branches were touched, right? And I think since then, there's been less incremental investment in terms of sort of just broad maintenance and so that's an opportunity for us. And the commitment around 300 branches over the next several years is one that is underway. That's the easiest work to begin. Again, that's a multiyear investment program. As I just mentioned, it would -- will surprise me if we don't change the scale and the speed of that. That's something I know that Mike is giving some thought to. Same thing with the de novos. When we did the merger, we had 3,000 branches. We closed 1,000 of them and really haven't been at the de novo business since we've opened a few locations that are more kind of LMI oriented. So getting back into de novo branching, I think, is important. And again, something that I would suspect Mike will put his fingerprints on and potentially change the speed and the scale of that. But the de novo openings were always going to be over a 5-year period and sort of begin in the second and third year. So not a lot of progress there more so on the rehab side. But again, I'd expect that program to accelerate.
Jason Goldberg
analystGot it. And then maybe on credit quality, you pull back marine RV selling, call it, near prime auto. Any of that decision credit related? And then any other areas of the book you're watching closely and then maybe a third question, 55 basis points, I think, normalized charge-offs, I get 45 basis points at crack, then you're doing some other things. Just how do you think about normalized NCO. So 3 questions in there.
Michael Maguire
executiveYes. So the first question, was it concerns about credit that drove the decisions around MRV and rack. The answer to that is no. I mean it was really, again, single product, national dealer network, broker network, less strategic, not aligned to our core kind of deposit gathering client was sort of gate one and then gate 2 in both those cases, those businesses in Rack case, essentially breakeven. Marine RV actually is profitable, but not to the degree that it would be accretive to our long-term profit objectives. And so didn't pass those 2 tests. And so to us, that's straightforward and micro here, I think you'd say, like there are no sacred cows, right? I mean fairly rigid allocation of capital, the balance sheet work that we'll do. And then very rigid disciplined focus on the expense dollars to the conversation that we just had around the P&L. And so that was the motivation around those 2 choices. I know you remember your third question, so I'll answer it about charge-offs. We do believe that RAC will reduce all things equal, our annualized net charge-offs by, call it, 10 basis points. So guiding this year 55%, which we feel good about, you're right, would change that, call it, 45%, so down by about 20%. And what was your second question?
Jason Goldberg
analystJust areas of concern. If you look at the book, there's always something.
Michael Maguire
executiveI got to think keeps you up at...
Jason Goldberg
analystIt feels good now, but are going up, maybe.
Michael Maguire
executiveGosh, knock on wood. I mean -- and I'm sure you've heard this maybe from others, conditions still, all things equal, remain relatively benign. I mean there are always going to be little pockets within commercial, where you see a little bit of stress but that's not been widespread and something that we're spending a lot of time thinking about. We are wary of the overall rate environment, especially even higher for longer. And whether that may ultimately especially the less the lower income band to consumer, things like that. But again, I'd say the bulk of our borrowing exposure in the truly low-income consumer, we've just divested ourselves of -- so it really isn't a place where we're particularly concerned at the moment. But I think that being said, like we're surveilling all that's going on in the world and -- but again, one of the really nice benefits. I think a lot of -- several people we've met a few this morning have been surprised by the concentration of nonperforming loans and overall charge-offs for the enterprise that we're in this very small business. So we think that's a really nice enhancement to our overall credit profile as a company.
Jason Goldberg
analystAnd I guess your slide merited the $5 billion buyback for this year. I think you've talked to getting to a 10% CET1 by the end of next year, although new capital rules should be beneficial. Maybe just talk about kind of current capital priorities. I know you have a new boss, but just how you're thinking about that.
Michael Maguire
executiveYes. I mean I think we look, it seems like the direction of travel around Basel seems relatively set, timing to be determined, but we're doing a lot of work right now to create readiness for, again, at this moment, based on all that we know about the proposed rule moving to very likely the Erba approach. And so that will obviously create a benefit in early 2028. Between now and then, we've said that we believe 10% is an appropriate area to operate the company. We're obviously in an excess position today, and therefore, we have the buyback size the way it is. We actually took the buyback up this year, earlier this year to $5 billion. We're still committed to that. We mentioned that in our slide this morning. And we're committed to maintaining a buyback that's elevated next year as well. That's going to guide us to that 10%, the puts and takes on that is that we'd love to see high-quality earning asset growth. So to the extent that we see more loan growth than we might otherwise expect, then that's our first priority. We'll be to serve our clients. But after that, it's the dividend and in the buyback. And obviously, we really like the idea of pairing this capital creation transaction with the AFS repositioning.
Jason Goldberg
analystGot it. You've outlined a path to 15% ROTC for '27, 16 over time, you mentioned you didn't think Mike would change those objectives. And if anything, drive to be top quartile -- just maybe talk to kind of what do you think are the big drivers to kind of close your gap to peers and becoming a higher performer and then, I mean, does this change your leadership maybe change the timing of getting to those returns, even if ultimately, they are going to be better?
Michael Maguire
executiveNo, I think that 16% to 18% was framed as a medium-term target. I don't think Mike will shy away from that at all just to hit that. At the end of the day, I mean there are a lot of different ways, a lot of irons in the fire around improving profitability. Some of them we've talked about today, just more disciplined balance sheet management, capital management. But at the end of the day, it's driving more capital-efficient revenue through our business. And so our fee businesses are going to contribute to that in investment banking, in wealth. The treasury opportunity is going to be a huge contributor to that. We do believe that over time, there's structural opportunity in our net interest margin as we think about the securities portfolio, whether that happens in sort of episodic actions like we're talking about today or whether that happens more slowly. Obviously, the HTM portfolio, call it, $45 billion in bonds with a $165 million yield is something that doesn't sort of change overnight, but that's a structural long-term opportunity, too, that's happening in the background. And we're committed to continuing to manage the business in an efficient way. I mean there are a lot of drivers out there that will impact that. Some of it some of the cultural practices that I mentioned earlier around remixing and being very rigid there. And then there's other aspects like some of the productivity benefits that we're seeing from things like AI and otherwise and non-AI, like just good old fashioned automation.
Jason Goldberg
analystAnd maybe just in closing, when you think about Chris, call it, 3 years from now, what, if anything, do you believe will look meaningfully different than it does today? And maybe what metrics should investors focus on the term whether you've been successful?
Michael Maguire
executiveYes. Maybe this will feel a little soft, but what I'd say is today, we're winning a lot, but we're not winning enough right? And I think we'll -- Mike will have time later this year to articulate his vision and to be, I think, to simplify our focus and talk about how we're going to invest in certain areas to drive a lot of value. But I think at the end of the day, where we're focused on is winning more, right? And especially in our markets, in our core banking businesses, owning clients. And so -- that's not where we've been operating. Again, we win plenty, but we're not winning enough. And so I think that's going to be -- that's more of a feeling, you'll see that in our financial results as well. But that's our vision is to get back to winning.
Jason Goldberg
analystGreat. On that note, please join me in thanking Mike for his time today.
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