Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. (RARE) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

August 11, 2021

NASDAQ US Health Care Biotechnology conference_presentation 53 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

David Nierengarten

analyst
#1

Welcome to the 2021 Wedbush PacGrow Healthcare Conference. My name is David Nierengarten. I'm a senior analyst here at Wedbush Securities. And today, we are kicking off the Miss Con-GENE-iality gene therapy panel for -- of experts here in gene therapy. And with us today representing various different companies, we have Emil Kakkis, CEO of Ultragenyx; Geoff Mackay, CEO of AVROBIO; Bobby Gaspar, CEO of Orchard Therapeutics; and Philip Gregory, Chief Scientific Officer of bluebird bio. And for those of you in the audience listening in, there should be a text box beneath a video screen that you can enter any questions you'd like to make this more interactive. And we will start off, though, with some questions and comments from yours truly and our panel members. So first off, maybe just a quick introduction and description of your focus for each of our panel members, starting with Emil, and of course, on the focus for the gene therapy component of your business.

Emil Kakkis

executive
#2

Very good. Well, thank you, David, and I'm happy to be here with this group of gene therapy executives. Ultragenyx is a rare and -- a company focused on rare and ultra-rare therapies. And we have an AAV gene therapy group that's derived from an acquisition of a company named Dimension Therapeutics. And currently, we have 4 programs in the clinic. One is the hem A program partnered with Bayer. And we also have a gene therapy for ornithine transcarbamylase and one for GSDIa that have put out Phase I/II data in both cases successfully and are entering Phase III. And finally, we have Wilson disease gene therapy that is entering clinic this year as well. So we have a pretty broad AAV gene therapy portfolio, and particularly important is the HeLa platform that we've been developing, a producer cell line platform for large scale and more cost-effective, high-quality manufacturing of AAV, which we think is going to be a big part of the future and may be part of the discussion today.

David Nierengarten

analyst
#3

Absolutely will be part of the discussion today. Maybe we can move on to Geoff in no particular order here.

Geoff MacKay

attendee
#4

Sure. Thanks, David. So AVROBIO is an ex vivo lenti gene therapy company. We leverage one engine, the lenti probe platform that we call plato. We've put a lot of energy into trying to optimize that platform, and we apply it to lysosomal disorders. So we have 4 or 5 of them. We break it into 2 waves. The first wave is in the clinic now, firmly in the clinic, and that's Fabry disease, Gaucher disease type 1 and cystinosis. And we are the first gene therapy in the clinic in all 3 of those indications. We've dosed 18 patients so far across those 3 diseases, with the furthest patient out now approaching 4 years. So we're very pleased with the early work. And right now at AVRO, the focus is multiple regulatory submissions towards the end of this year and spilling into early next year, where we hope to transition into multiple Phase III programs. And maybe the final point is that the second wave is now approaching the clinic, Hunter's disease, Gaucher disease type 3 and Pompe disease. We've completed all of the preclinical work and are at different stages of finalizing INDs and CTAs for those programs.

David Nierengarten

analyst
#5

Got it. And maybe moving next door to Orchard. Bobby, if you could give a quick intro on what you have been up to over at Orchard.

Bobby Gaspar

attendee
#6

Yes. Thank you, David. So Orchard Therapeutics, and again, I'd define us as hematopoietic stem cell gene therapy. So we're focused on modifying hematopoietic stem cells for some severe genetic diseases. We are modifying them using lentiviral vectors at present. But I say the technology is really around genetically modified hematopoietic stem cells because of their ability to differentiate into multiple cell types because of their self-renewal capacity, their ability to migrate into different cell types into different organs. So that gives us an opportunity to address many different diseases, and we have done that at Orchard. So we have programs in neurometabolic diseases, including an approved therapy in the EMA for -- in the EU for metachromatic leukodystrophy, MLD, which is launching this year. We have programs in other mucopolysaccharidosis, where there are limited treatment options. We have programs in immune deficiencies such as Wiskott-Aldrich syndrome. And with a look to the future, we're looking to use hematopoietic stem cell gene therapy for a series of larger indications as well because of the properties that I talked about. I think as a modification using the lentiviral vector is an important part of that. We treated over 160 patients, stretching back over 10 years now, and that is a testament to the durability, the efficacy, and importantly, the safety of the therapies that we have in the clinic. So thank you.

David Nierengarten

analyst
#7

Thank you. I'm not sure Philip or Andrew, if you'd like to introduce. Andrew -- thanks for joining us, Andrew. But -- sorry about that, but we missed introducing you.

Andrew Obenshain

attendee
#8

No, that is my fault. Apparently, the 18 months of virtual has not taught me how to use it correctly. The -- so bluebird bio, I'm the President of the Rare Disease division of bluebird bio. I'm here representing the other company that was split off to be independent and maintain the name of oncology arm that will be separate, but today, we're going to focus on the rare disease side. So we are also an ex vivo LVV gene therapy company. We have 3 programs for adrenoleukodystrophy, cerebral adrenoleukodystrophy, thalassemia and sickle cell disease. We look forward to filing a BLAs this year for adrenoleukodystrophy and for thalassemia and follow-up, hopefully, in the near term by the sickle cell BLA. We have just recently announced as of Monday that we're focusing our efforts on the U.S. market. So we do have approvals for adrenoleukodystrophy and thalassemia in Europe where we will be seeing partners for those programs. I'll just mention quickly, we do have some very early-stage platform research as well in, in vivo LVV.

David Nierengarten

analyst
#9

Great. So maybe the first question for everyone and will roll through kind of in a round robin fashion, if you don't mind. Is -- there have been several instances now in the past couple of years of kind of clinical and/or regulatory pushback from the FDA in terms of either requesting longer follow-up or additional data for various indications or various gene therapies. So a couple of questions here. So first off, is the FDA changing their requirements, changing their -- the way they view manufacturing or other clinical trial steps or outcomes? Are they -- is this just a natural consequence of some projects getting converted essentially from academic projects to an industrial or industrialized process? Maybe if you could give those opinions and maybe what you've learned from interacting with FDA from other conversations you have with folks who have interacted with the FDA on these questions? And maybe we'll start back again with Emil.

Emil Kakkis

executive
#10

Very good. Well, I think it's both yes and no. I think when I look at what's going on with FDA on the CMC side, it's natural, the closer you get to commercialization that they start clamping down on the controls and the reliability and comparability of things that you're making. And particularly for AAV, there's just a lot of new assays and things that have to be developed and evolved. And it's just natural things get tougher. Now on the clinical side, it's also normal that they're easier getting into Phase I/II than they are completing Phase III and getting approval. No matter what -- whether it's gene therapy or any other drug, the things get tougher at a later stage and there's more questions and more difficulty. At the same time, I think there are a couple of things that have happened that have, I think, changed what they're doing. One of them, it's come from the BioMarin experience with AAV and hem A, where it looked like they were losing a lot of traction. We all are thinking of gene therapy as a lifetime effect, not one that's going to fade dramatically within 1 year to the next year to the next year. And so I think that rattled agency that what they're going to approve is not really a long-term gene therapy, but maybe something that would disappear. And I think that data put them in a position of having to be more conservative and particularly in the disease where there is a large population, but there's also an existing good treatment. So there -- I think that's the situation there clinically. I think that the other thing that's happening with CMC is that there's a lot of companies who are doing what you said. They're going from lab scale processes to get to slightly bigger and bigger. And as that changes are happening and they're starting to lose or having concerns, but the product is changing, particularly if it's happening later in development or potentially after Phase III. And I think that's causing them to tighten up the screws on certain types of things in AAV, particularly potency assays, for example, of -- protein activity type potency assays, for example, has been a real sticking point because they want to be highly confident that they actually can deliver the right active protein. So I'd say there are some parts that it's just getting later in stage, and some of it's a reaction to actual things that have happened.

David Nierengarten

analyst
#11

Got it. And I know manufacturing has been central from day 1 for you, Geoff. So maybe you could talk a little bit about how you've thought about it and interacting with the FDA?

Geoff MacKay

attendee
#12

Yes, thanks. And so we agree. I mean it's almost a moot point if the FDA has gotten tough or not. They have high standards now. I don't think anybody is debating that on the CMC side. Our view is that if you had to generalize it, they've always been tough, it's just companies are reaching the stage where they've always been tough. But I think that we've done an analysis of looking at can you learn from all of these delays in the field of cell and gene therapy, and that you can start to bucket what has really led to the delays. And certainly, there's a whole bucket of just doing process changes, as been said, going from adherence to suspension, bioreactors, small to large bioreactors, academic to commercial stage vectors, fresh to cryo. So some of those things have to happen early and there have to be rigorous comparability to bridge and discussions with FDA ahead of time, agreeing on the data submitting. And then there's a whole other bucket of assays, qualified or validated assays, most notably potency assays not getting worked out appropriately. And I think that our whole field has been such a gold rush until recently that the clinical data is just so exciting that I think there might have been a perception by some or at least by some investors that FDA would yield on CMC analytics. And whether they change or not, what we know is they're not yielding on CMC analytics. And so it is a high bar, and we all have to take it really seriously. So that -- we have tried to invest very early disproportionately relative to the size of the company to get a lot of those things in place. The 200-liter serum-free suspension bioreactors, our optimized vector, the fully automated manufacturing approach and to invest as early as possible in program-specific potency assays. So we don't have the hubris to say that we've solved it. I think it's a high bar for us. It's a high bar for everybody. But certainly, we're putting a lot of energy in it.

David Nierengarten

analyst
#13

And maybe a question leading into -- for both Orchard and bluebird, you both had an experience of getting your -- getting a product approved in Europe while you're still working on the FDA here in U.S. Maybe if you could compare and contrast how the EU is approaching or the EMA is approaching your therapies compared to the FDA? And maybe again, we'll start with Bobby and then move to either Philip or Andrew at bluebird.

Bobby Gaspar

attendee
#14

Yes. Thanks, David. I agree very much with what Geoff and Emil both said about the bar at the FDA. I think there is -- the one thing that I would say is different between the EMA and the FDA -- and I'm not necessarily sure that it's about the standards or the kind of stringencies that they have. I do think it's -- you are able to have more conversations with the EMA. I mean there's a series of meetings leading up to file that allow you to explain your data. And these are kind of face-to-face meetings or, in the current climate, they are kind of Zoom meetings. But they're 2-hour meetings. It allows you to talk through this the issues that need to be addressed. There is more scope to explain what you're going to do. And so they get comfortable with that. You have pre-MAA meetings, you have [indiscernible] meetings, et cetera. So I think that makes for more, how can I put it, a sense of working together, especially when they can see this extraordinary clinical data that you come with, is there a way to make this approved for patients without necessarily compromising on quality or standard, et cetera. So I think that does help. With the FDA, I don't know, the COVID situation hasn't held, but it's been very difficult to have interactions with the FDA and to explain this kind of clinical data and to -- I mean just as a case in point, with our MLD program. For a long time, we weren't able to have any kind of interaction with the FDA. And then we got RMAT designation. We had a 1-hour conversation with them, which really changed the tone of our interactions to them being kind of supportive of the clinical data and can we find a way to take this forward because there's nothing else for these patients. And here, you've got something that's really making a transformative change. That doesn't say, we -- you change the standards, but it does allow you to at least have a path to move forward. So I think the interaction is a big. There are clearly kind of stringency differences as far as CMC is concerned. I'm just -- all I'm saying is that they're different, not necessarily one is higher than the other because I think they both have a high level of stringency. And I suppose one of the things is that the bar has -- just on the FDA, the bar has remained high. And when you're doing something for the first time, which we are all doing in this field of, for example, HSC gene therapy. There's no HSC gene therapy that's been approved by the FDA before. You are -- they have a set of standards that have been developed for biologics and other medicines, which are now being held for our new therapy. So we're having to try to find a way to address that when maybe the rules were designed for something different. So the rules were designed for certain medicines, and we're coming with a different type of medicine. And that -- and the rules haven't changed as such. And so we're trying to have to find a way to do that. I mean I'll just make one example is, for example, we've faced questions about potency assay for Wiskott-Aldrich syndrome. Now Wiskott-Aldrich syndrome doesn't have function in hematopoietic stem cells, but that's the cell type that we're correcting. So we're going to have to try and find a potency assay for that particular program because they ask for potency assays. And that's just a rule that they have, but it doesn't take into account the kind of medicines that we're developing. So we're wading through new territory. We're charting on -- through new waters as it were. And so that's just the way it is. And so my kind of final summation would be, look, what I think we're all developing are extraordinary medicines. They make lifetime changes for patients with very, very severe diseases. There has been fundamentally no concerns that we've had in that program is about durability, efficacy or safety. What we're doing is facing the challenges of process and production in order to be able to get these over the line. And it's taken longer than anticipated. Fundamentally, we will get there and it will make a difference, but obviously, everyone is impatient to make sure that, that happens.

Philip Gregory

attendee
#15

Yes. Well, maybe I can agree with what has been said on the panel so far. I mean I think that the pace of the clinical progression of these medicines in general, combined with the transformational outcomes that everybody on this panel is seeing and certainly in many of the patients that get treated, certainly means that there's not a lot of time to go from something that's an exploratory Phase I or something that might be effectively Phase III-ready. And I think that's part of it, right? It's just that the data is so transformative so quickly that there's not a lot of time to sort of take an assay that might have been acceptable for a Phase 1 and then turn it into a Phase III-ready, commercial-ready assay. With respect to your question about the differences between the EMA and the FDA, I would certainly second Bobby's comment that I think that there's a greater degree of flexibility in the communication for those. We've also seen, on the bluebird side, differences in how they view different starting materials as either requiring effectively full almost a biologic level of validation and potency versus the drug product itself, for example. So certainly, in the U.S., we were surprised by the requirement for an additional assay on the vector that effectively we're already covering for on the drug product, right? And that really comes down to that question of like how much validation you do of the vector around potency versus how much validation you do with the drug product. And so clearly, there was clearly a difference in perspective there. But I would say just the second thing very strongly what Bobby said, we actually want the FDA and the EMA to hold us to very high standards because in the end, we need to be able to deliver medicines reliably and reproducibly that impact these diseases. And -- like that's what they're trying to make us do. They're trying to make us do this over and over again. And our head of manufacturing is always telling me that you're not approved based on what you did, you're approved based on what you're going to do, right? And so like you need to do it again and again and again. And that's a really important bar for us all to be able to step over.

David Nierengarten

analyst
#16

Maybe a question for everyone. A quick question on, do you see the FDA and EMA converging at all? Or are they kind of going to have these differences of opinion for certain potency assays and things like that? Just maybe a quick question for everyone. Let's start again with the EU folks. So maybe Orchard with Bobby and bluebird and then Geoff and Emil.

Bobby Gaspar

attendee
#17

I think they may, but I they're not at the moment is what I'd say. They're not -- I mean just as an example, we recently -- for our MPS-I program, we had a proof-of-concept study and we want to move it to a pivotal registrational study. We were accepted for parallel scientific advice, which means we can meet with the FDA and the EMA simultaneously. But they're not obliged to give us the same feedback.

David Nierengarten

analyst
#18

Yes, of course.

Bobby Gaspar

attendee
#19

All you're doing is meeting with them simultaneously. So we present a study design to both agencies, simultaneously. But they give very different feedback. What is acceptable for the FDA may not be acceptable for the EMA and vice versa. They do hear each other. So there's some level of convergence, but they still have different views. And so -- and when you're in these rare diseases and you don't want to be doing multiple different trials, when you can't do multiple different trials, want to do one global study that can then lead to approval, both in the EU and in the U.S., it's important that you get buy-in from both agencies. And so you're trying to walk this fine line between -- to developing a study design that is acceptable to both when they both have different viewpoints. So it's -- again, it's a challenge where we think for the benefit of patients, it's better to do it with one study rather than having to do -- I don't think it's possible to do it actually with multiple different studies in these rare diseases. So I wonder whether the agencies, especially in these rare diseases, need to think about how they interact with each other because it leads to complexities, which I think in the long term isn't good for patients, I would say, for the development of what are, again, as Philip said, kind of very -- as we've all said, transformational medicines, and maybe the agencies do need to look at that.

Emil Kakkis

executive
#20

Bobby, the one thing I would say is I worry about what the convergence is and what they converge upon.

Bobby Gaspar

attendee
#21

Yes.

Emil Kakkis

executive
#22

Because I always said, when you get 2 regulatory authorities together, you get the worst common denominator of both. And that honestly, we've used the differences to help advocate for what needs to happen, whether it's gene therapy or I would mention our Mepsevii program where the EMA set of a biomarker primary endpoint is the only way the program could be done when the FDA said you can't use it. Well, I got EMA advice first purposely knowing they'd be more practical and accommodating. When I told the FDA we're doing primary endpoint, urinary GAG, they did not like the biomarker endpoint at all, right? But we struggled to a place where we did the same study, but we had 2 different stat plans. But in the U.S., they wouldn't accept the biomarker, and they decided they would just look at our clinical data in totality and make a decision.

Bobby Gaspar

attendee
#23

Yes.

Emil Kakkis

executive
#24

But what I'm saying to you there is I use the differences as a way to get the practical solution achieved and then negotiate with the other authority. And I would say that's happening a lot. Different authorities, different positions, we find our way forward. And I actually am a little more averse to actually creating one entity because I just feel like it's going to end up being the worst of both. That would be the fear right now.

Andrew Obenshain

attendee
#25

I would echo that. And I think the experience of the European payers where you have the joint evaluation of France -- sorry, Benelux, Belgium and Netherlands or the Nordics. And we want to do exactly that, a discussion that raises the bar across all criteria and then each country goes off and tries to negotiate by themselves. And so I worry if the FDA and the EMA got together, you'd be in a similar circumstance.

Bobby Gaspar

attendee
#26

Yes.

David Nierengarten

analyst
#27

Right. Fair enough. Maybe since you've brought up reimbursement there, Andrew, obviously...

Andrew Obenshain

attendee
#28

What questions could you possibly have?

David Nierengarten

analyst
#29

Yes. Just a few hundred. But maybe we could -- I mean you're leaving Europe because they aren't going to provide a reasonable reimbursement scheme that would support a franchise, I think, is a fair way to put it. I mean is there any way around that? Would you ever be able to reduce your cost of goods in sense some future world where it would make sense to go back to the EU? Is that kind of a permanent issue with the EU on trying to negotiate prices you mentioned? You end up with leading, for example, in Germany, which has their own reimbursement system, hoping other countries follow to a certain extent. But then they do have their own opinion. It's kind of -- it's basically, is there any hope for the European market as a basically a rational market for these kinds of therapies for gene therapies?

Andrew Obenshain

attendee
#30

So I think yes, right? So our first step is actually just to look for a home for these products that we can put on top of an existing infrastructure where there's already people, there's already some know-how of quality and manufacturing capability and it has a regulatory infrastructure. Because those products, whether they're all in the group or separated out one by one, they could -- the economics couldn't work layered on to an existing infrastructure. Just carrying that infrastructure ourselves going forward wasn't possible. And we would get to a place over time, and we can see 2 things changing: number one, costs coming down over time; number two, some of these governments are starting to flex. They just haven't flexed enough yet. And I think there's discussions going on in the U.K. about a very esoteric term of discount rate. And in terms of the pathway that we went down, which is STA. And you -- the German government is going to be having discussions. It's just unfortunately COVID slowed a lot of these down. And we've just run out of time. We've been trying to get reimbursement for 2 years. So part of it is just an issue of patients. I think Bobby has had experience with the HST pathway in the U.K., and it's going through that now. That's a more flexible pathway for gene therapies. We unfortunately got put down the STA pathway, right? These are acronyms that basically just mean -- one means for super-rare diseases. The other one is for everything, including hypercholesterolemia. And so when you put down gene therapy down a pathway that you're also evaluating hypercholesterolemia through, it's a tough -- that's a tough way to go. So I do think that there are pathways in Europe. I do think that there will be changes. I do think that these costs will come down. So I do see a path forward for these gene therapies in Europe. It's just not now for bluebird. We couldn't -- simply could not just put a -- it could not afford it going -- we didn't care of that way going forward.

Bobby Gaspar

attendee
#31

Yes.

David Nierengarten

analyst
#32

Understood.

Bobby Gaspar

attendee
#33

Maybe I can just comment, David, because obviously, we do have Libmeldy approved in the -- in Europe, and we're going through these discussions, as Andrew said. I mean I think -- and in the U.K., we were put down the specialist route, which I think recognizes maybe some of the differences between what we're doing for an ultra-rare condition like metachromatic leukodystrophy, where there's really no treatment options available and beta thal route that, obviously, there is a kind of standard of care already in place. And so I think part of this may be an indication-dependent. I'd say we're going through that process with -- in the U.K. at the moment. And even in their interim decision, which is all a bit of a -- I think it's a bit of a process, they did acknowledge the devastating nature of the disease, the fact that the MLD represents a step change in what can be offered for these conditions. So I think there is an acceptance of the value of these medicines. But I think it is very much indication-dependent. And so -- and we're not there yet, but I am optimistic and encouraged by what we've been hearing so far. And I think we can move forward to having a successful commercialization of Libmeldy.

Geoff MacKay

attendee
#34

I think it's worth throwing in that before we get too pessimistic that I mean, Zolgensma and Luxturna have pretty solid reimbursement in Europe. I mean we have a bit of the inside baseball there because we've hired the teams for both. And so we're trying to leverage some of those learnings and are preparing for early HTA advice now. But sort of similar to the CMC discussion, the bar is high. But I think as long as we understand what the bar is, we can work towards it.

Emil Kakkis

executive
#35

Maybe what we should think about a little bit is the true population sizes we're talking about because I think that has an impact here in terms of the total financial hit to the system in comparing something like MLD versus thalassemia. I think this is a huge factor. It's just -- it's the same discussion we've had with [indiscernible]. And the people said 80,000 here was justifiable health care-wise. The problem was there's 5 million people with it. So that's the part that didn't work. And I think the size of the population is going to be a factor in Europe in terms of total hit to the health care system and how they approach pricing, I think. So [indiscernible] doesn't have a large established base. It's only a very narrow age range, and it's really incident population that you're dealing with only, right, rather than a large prevalent population. That's just a different situation, I think. So I do think that's going to be a key factor. Population size, total hit to the system is going to be a calculation that's happening for pricing.

David Nierengarten

analyst
#36

Maybe not to beat up on pricing, but it is a key question. I'd like to get your -- all of your impressions on does it help or hurt to have existing therapies in the space. For example, again, a gene therapy for hemophilia or a gene therapy for Fabry disease versus a gene therapy for MLD where there's no existing treatment. Is that -- you're setting aside what you're actually developing. Does it help or hurt to have via that existing therapy that are not? Maybe start with you, Emil, since you just finished up.

Emil Kakkis

executive
#37

Yes, the truth is if there's a really expensive existing therapy, then the economic case is easier. They've already stretched the health care system to cover it, and you're now replacing that. So with hem A for people on prophylactic Factor VIII, it's easy to make the economics work for a price point when some people are on almost $1 million a year already on Factor VII, for example. Where we're going with ornithine transcarbamylase and the pricing for the urea cycle drugs have risen dramatically in the U.S. so that there's actually an economic case you can make. So I think it does help if there's an existing expensive therapy that you're replacing and that the system is already accommodating those expenses. Then it gives you a place where you can remove some expenses and replace some of the different expense for a better therapy. And I think that can be helpful in that situation.

David Nierengarten

analyst
#38

Understood. Geoff, any opinion, especially since you have -- you're treating one set of diseases that have existing enzyme replacement therapies and then one in cystinosis where there's -- I mean, there are existing therapies, but they're really suboptimal to be honest, right? They don't really control the disease.

Geoff MacKay

attendee
#39

I think you've been too kind to ERT, David, but I do -- I agree that when there is preexisting direct cost offsets that you can very tangibly calculate what is the 5-year cost offset of getting a patient off PROCYSBI. It's $700,000 a year times 5. I mean it's pretty easy math as the beginning of the discussion. I mean I think -- I mean enzyme replacement therapies are maybe half that cost, but still formidable. And so groups like ICER or NICE, I think I'll oversimplify it a bit, but they'll begin with what are the X number of years cost offset and then can you provide any incremental clinical benefit via a very well-designed clinical -- rigorous clinical programs. But for us, at least at the starting point is that cost offset, you're starting in an advantageous position. So there are other hurdles and challenges having an existing standard of care, but certainly, the cost offsets are a big help on the payer side.

David Nierengarten

analyst
#40

Maybe, Bobby, any thoughts since you kind of de novo went with MLD as a...

Bobby Gaspar

attendee
#41

I think for us, it's the other side of the coin, there is no offset here. There's no comparator as to what it is. And we are having to articulate what the value of the medicine is. And so your -- MLDs are pretty extraordinary case, I think, because you're going from something where these kids are -- they're dying in the first decade of life, and it's absolutely awful. And there's nothing -- there's absolutely nothing out there. So something that is -- we've got kids now that are 10 years out of therapy who are going to school and functioning normally, et cetera. I mean just the difference is extraordinary. So -- and how do you value that? I mean it's -- and how do you reimburse that, et cetera? So it does present challenges. But I think what we're doing is kind of going through as rigorous a process as possible using the QUALY quality assessment so that this is something that the organizations are -- the agencies are familiar with, doing research around with families to understand what the burden of disease is, the health care system, what's the burden to the health care system. So there's a kind of totality of evidence that we can bring in as objective a manner as possible to the agencies to understand what that value really is. And as I say, the reception so far has been encouraging. We'll see what it kind of finalizes at in Germany, U.K., Italy, France, et cetera. But given some of the feedback that we've had, I think it's traveling in the right direction. The question is -- but yes, I think Emil's point is -- MLD is a very, very small population. And the burden on the total health care system is likely to be limited even if the price is high for that particular disease. And so when we get to really transformative therapies for very large indications, quite what will happen at that stage, I think we all are yet to face that prospect.

David Nierengarten

analyst
#42

And maybe that leads on to a question for Andrew. I mean is -- was part of the challenge with the reimbursement in Europe, the fact that there are -- again, I think they're very suboptimal, but there are existing therapies for beta thalassemia and sickle cell disease that are relatively low cost. Is that -- was it just too much of a gap between the existing therapies and the gene therapy that you were working on to commercialize? Or was there a fundamental disagreement on the value that you could provide?

Andrew Obenshain

attendee
#43

Well, I think in the U.K., we had 66 pages of patient testimony about the unmet need of the disease, right? It was an amazing patient support. It was almost a perfect storm of physician and patient and government pressure to say this is something that's really needed. I think what we're up against is some budget pressure from a lot of these governments really being hit by COVID. I totally agree with Bobby and Geoff that if I had to choose what type of products to bring forward when, one with high cost offsets, hemophilia, LSDs make a lot of sense. One is with really high unmet medical need and especially one that affects infants and young children is another one that makes sense. One that affects adults, in many cases, a population of immigrants in Germany, where there is a substandard standard of care, but there is a standard of care, it's transfusion chelation. If you had to design your first route through that probably would not be the one you would have chosen. And so we did get -- we were able to successfully argue about the severity of the disease. We were able to put into the models the cost offsets, right, like everyone does. But we were not able to get either enough years of therapy of those cost offsets. So we got somewhere between 15 and 22 years with almost no premium. So it just didn't -- and it doesn't -- if you, in fact, have -- we've gone through -- in the process of going through the U.K. process right now, but obviously, we've halted that. I think we actually figured out that if we had gone through, it's just an annual steroid chronic therapy, just by the models, the reimbursement offered will be much, much higher. So it's just a -- I think it is -- I think all the -- time this whole conversation together, I do think there are certain types of products and indications that are going to have a better chance in the system than others over time. And I think that the -- and I do think the systems will adapt, but it's going to take a little bit of time.

David Nierengarten

analyst
#44

I mean that's been a kind of this fundamental question, too, of how do you -- is 5 years the right number of years to consider for a payment system or an installment plan? Or it's 10 years or 3 years upfront, a little bit larger versus annualized costs like a Spinraza or something like that. I don't know what the right answer is. But I know that's been plaguing the conversations for quite some time. So maybe to that end in terms of thinking about the upfront -- again, the upfront cost -- I mean Zolgensma was launched, of course, with an upfront cost. Is that, again, reflective of the smaller incident population that you think the -- their success has been related to, Emil? Is that part of it, just to start off with you?

Emil Kakkis

executive
#45

No, I think so. I think it was also a dramatically horrible disease that had a dramatic result. And I think that always helps. A dramatic result is powerful. And so I think those are factors. And I would also say, though, it may have had success, it's not exactly everyone is getting treated either. So still not everyone with SMA are getting the treatment they should get. So I did think the dramatic result in young children is an important factor in it. But I think it's going to be hard to imagine that every -- all of these disease are going to have $2 million to $3 million therapies and have it all work. That's where the system is. And I think what we're seeing a little bit of them looking at the future and they're doing the ones you absolutely have to because it's too dramatic to avoid. And -- but I think the health systems are trying to worry about how this is all going to play out as multiple therapies are coming through the pipe. So I do think they're thinking bigger than the one in front of them sometimes.

David Nierengarten

analyst
#46

Yes. Now that's an unsettling concern, right? Maybe a bit of a question here on the future in terms of technology and future competitive threats or potential opportunities if you guys bring these technologies in-house. But I'm curious what keeps you up at night for future technological developments? Is it gene editing? Is it RNA modulators or other kinds of genetic medicines? Are there things we should be watching for or that you're watching for in your fields? Maybe, Philip, we can start with you on the science side.

Philip Gregory

attendee
#47

Sure, happy to. Well, I mean, just the first thing I'd say is that certainly the medicines that we've been exploring at bluebird are setting a very high bar with respect to the efficacy and the durability that's possible with these types of approaches. But I think more broadly, I think that -- I hope we're not done. I hope there's better ways to do this in the future and there may be, right? So we're certainly working on ways to improve how to obtain the cells that you need to transduce to achieve the outcome, working in way -- better ways to put those cells back to conditioning regimens that are necessary to get these cells to engraft. And we're certainly exploring direct in vivo approaches of lentiviral vectors themselves, right, certainly avoid either the mobilization or the isolation and engraftment process. So some of these obviously are further a field. But I think that the great part about, I think pretty much everybody on this call, is that there are some really exciting vaccines that are making a difference to patients. And because of that, we're starting to worry about how do you make it better, right? Before this, the question, does it work at all. And now we've got vaccines that are making a great difference. And now the question is how do we improve on that? And that's a great place to be.

David Nierengarten

analyst
#48

Maybe, Bobby, we could roll over to you.

Bobby Gaspar

attendee
#49

Yes, my view is we've got all of this extraordinary clinical data and we need to convert it into -- I mean I think we should -- there's a piece here of converting those into medicines that are the standard of care for these diseases. And that's the first thing we need to do. Let's do that, first of all, for a whole range of different diseases. As well as thinking about what the future might hold. Because I think if we continually start to change though or improve upon the technology, we'll never get to actually making these available for patients. And there are patients who need these kind of medicines right now. So the technologies that we're currently using may have been developed 10 years ago. But given the safety and efficacy that they've shown, we need to get these out there to patients and have them being taken up as a standard of care. So I think that's the first most important thing that we want to focus on. And then clearly, there is the potential to use this, I mean, whether it's gene editing, whether it's the use of gene-modified hematopoietic stem cells or other or kind of RNA technology, et cetera, there is the ability to use this for many, many other conditions as well. And so -- but that's going to take time. So that's why I think we have a kind of dual approach, which is let's execute and deliver on what we've got now and get those out to patients. But at the same time, let's think about where the -- what the potential for this is in other indications. And we've focused on hematopoietic stem cells, their ability to differentiate, to migrate, to participate. And so that's kind of a world we can explore. But clearly, Philip is exploring other areas, et cetera. But together, it's going to have potential for a whole range of diseases.

David Nierengarten

analyst
#50

Yes. Emil, the other question to you, too, with the nuance that I know you -- when you started Ultragenyx, you were almost technology agnostic, right? You were looking for the best medicines for the diseases. So as you look out there at some new technologies, I'm sure you're looking at, are there any ones that are exciting or that you're particularly excited about in the genetic medicines field?

Emil Kakkis

executive
#51

Well, we certainly started with more simple therapeutic technology, partly as a strategy, business strategy to avoid burning up all of our capital on platform development. And the idea was to build a sustainable company and then start investing, which is kind of what we have done. The challenge with new technology is it always looks superhot and s***, right, when it first comes out because all the downsides haven't gotten figured out yet. So there's one exciting result, there we go running, oh, that's the thing. And then when you get to the bigger studies, more people get treated, then something else comes up. But I would think, obviously, the one we get asked about a lot is CRISPR or gene editing, right? Is that the thing? And the Intellia result with TTR in the liver, in vivo gene editing, I think, is an exciting step. Question is there any other sides to the story yet? We've seen the first part, right? And it's a few people. And personally, we have not gone into the gene editing space because I think more of -- someone likes to follow things to get developed as opposed to be the pioneer. And I think there's a lot of companies pioneering that technology. And right now, we're in the watch-and-wait mode. We do think the things we have are safe and effective. And I'm not yet sure whether gene editing would add benefit to what we're doing, but I can see it being a thing that will come to pass, but I do think it's going to be another 5, 10 years of filling how to get it well. But I do think the one thing that perhaps could be important is getting more site-directed control and to be able to do it efficiently, I think is the key. So right now, we're watching and waiting. But I think that's the one I think people are wondering, is it really going to play out and how will it be used.

David Nierengarten

analyst
#52

And maybe, Geoff, also -- yes. I mean we talk a lot about some of the FDA versus EMA and all these other challenges. I mean it seems fair to assume that the similar challenges will apply to gene editing or some of these other genetic medicine technologies. Is that what you would see in the future as you see the other technologies develop to?

Geoff MacKay

attendee
#53

Yes. I mean we don't -- I mean, of course, like everybody, how can you not be excited about gene editing, but it's not a pancea for all indications. And I think where it fits, that's great. We're targeting diseases with multiple mutations where the gene is not doing as -- causing harm. So I think gene augmentation is probably here today and in the future. To me, it reminds me when I first got into this field. I was in Novartis solid organ transplant. And my -- the people that preceded me had taken 5-year survival from 5% to about 90%. But then there was like 10- or 15-year span where we were focused on reducing hypertension, reducing post-transplant diabetes, gingival hyperplasia. And I think that right now, gene therapy is working. It's working for lenti, it's working for AAV. On the lenti side, I think the biggest opportunity is not pivoting to the next big thing. It's how do we continue to improve and improve on, for example, the patient experience around conditioning. For AAV, how do we get past the liver tox immunogenicity issues. So there's -- it's very analogous. I think the technologies are working. Now how do we continue to refine them to truly take the mainstream?

Bobby Gaspar

attendee
#54

I think the other thing, if I may, David, is just I do sometimes think, to Emil's point, the new technologies and rather -- and especially the kind of gene editing and the CRISPR-Cas, et cetera, it is the cool new s*** thing. And there's the base editing and the prime editing, et cetera. But if you think about it, I mean, what it's doing is modification of the genome. And you go from very simply putting a new gene into kind of very fine-tuned kind of altering a single base without even making a double-strand break. I mean that's incredibly cool. It's incredible. But the end result, for example, in a condition like beta thalassemia is transfusion independence, and that's the clinical outcome. And the clinical outcome of transfusion independence can be achieved through a number of different technologies. And so the value is in transfusion independence. And just because you do it through base editing or through knocking down BCL11A or whatever it is, the end result is the same. So whatever those companies are doing now, they'll still face the same challenge in terms of value because you can't create any greater value just because you've done it through this particular technology. And you're still going to get over the hurdles of [ conditioning ], et cetera. So it's cooler and s*****, but the end result is the same.

Philip Gregory

attendee
#55

Yes. And I would actually add to that, Bobby, in that we know from the field of both AAV and those applications and in lenti what the durability of those outcomes are, right? And so yes, we've had the benefit of academic work from 15 years ago, right? There are patients that are still have transduce cells engrafted, contributing to all the [indiscernible] that are necessary and so forth. On the flip side, anything that's new is by definition new and you don't yet know what you don't know. I would challenge this panel to answer the question, had anybody looked up the word chromothripsis 3 months ago? And the answer is probably not, right? Like -- so yes, that's the recent on-target adverse event, a very double-strand break produced by gene editing technology. And so [indiscernible] half the field didn't even know what that was 3 months ago. So how significant is that? We don't know yet. We let play that out. It may be nothing, nothing to worry about, but it's something new. And so I think the field that we're in have that value of there's been tremendous exploration to date. And to the point that Bobby's made, we're now in that execution mode. Let's bring these patients -- let's bring these therapies to patients and make that a reality. And then we'll lift the whole field. We'll lift the CRISPR-Cas field as well because we'll be able to show that these are real medicines that can make a difference.

David Nierengarten

analyst
#56

I think some investors have forgotten perhaps that the team over at bluebird did have a gene editing program, right, in sickle cell, and you did have a patient reported. And I mean, maybe you could comment on your thoughts on comparing that set of data to the ZYNTEGLO or LentiGlobin data that you generated.

Philip Gregory

attendee
#57

So to be clear, what we have is actually an shRNA approach, also lenti-driven with Boston Children's. And to Bobby's comment, right, it was a different way of achieving the same outcome. There was no evidence it was superior and yet more risk. And so we chose to focus on the "more traditional path" the [indiscernible] path. Of course, day-to-day volumes of Boston Children's is still super excited about it, and we're still supporting that program. But it's -- we think that the -- we think that [indiscernible] looks pretty good.

David Nierengarten

analyst
#58

Yes. Fundamentally, it's the same output. I get it. Great. I think we have also asked some of the questions from the audience. So I think those were my questions for the day. And I think we'll give everyone the last 5 minutes back. And I really appreciate everyone joining here today. I really enjoyed the conversation. I hope the audience did too, and we thank you for your participation and the audience for listening in. And I hope you have a great rest of your day.

Geoff MacKay

attendee
#59

Thanks so much, David.

Philip Gregory

attendee
#60

Thank you.

Andrew Obenshain

attendee
#61

Thanks.

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