Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. (RARE) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

December 2, 2025

US Health Care Biotechnology Company Conference Presentations 41 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#1

We can get started. Welcome, everyone. I'm Yigal Nochomovitz, one of the biotech analysts at Citi, and welcome to our Global Healthcare Conference in Miami. So our next session is with Ultragenyx. We have the Chief Medical Officer, Eric Crombez. Eric, welcome. Thank you for making the trip. We've been covering you for many years and have been a lot of progress.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#2

So maybe we could start out just at a high level. You obviously have a very important catalyst coming up essentially imminently with setrusumab. So before we get into the details of that, just kind of set the stage as far as what is the opportunity there? You had and are continuing to have a lot of success with Crysvita, another genetic disease. So talk about what the opportunity is in osteogenesis imperfecta and how you're setting up for a market launch there?

Eric Crombez

Executives
#3

Yes. Great. And thanks for having me. So osteogenesis imperfecta, it is our near-term value driver. We've been talking about final data readout around the end of the year, and we've defined that as December or January. So we're certainly within that period now and is about as near term as it gets. So osteogenesis imperfecta, also known as brittle bone disease, and I think really illustrates the disease and the opportunity. The only currently available treatment to really stopping these patients from fracturing with very little to no trauma is bisphosphonates. Those are used off-label in the U.S. and most parts of the world. The truth is it's better than nothing, I think, as a treating physician making a diagnosis like this. with children and adults really fracturing on a very regular basis, multiple times a year, sometimes the no trauma, it helps. We certainly think we can do better with this antibody. This antibody takes out sclerostin, which really affects the balance between osteoblasts and osteoclast to build and break down bone as children grow and remodel and as adults remodel. So we really think shifting the balance towards osteoblasts, having the ability to lay down more collagen, increase bone mineral density and then the resulting reductions in fractures really will not only improve the fracture rate for these children but quality of life. It keeps them from leading a very protected sedentary lifestyle, allows them to become more active and not fracture. For us, for rare, it's a big indication. We think at least 60,000 patients in the geographies we cover. And really, for us, and really for anyone, a very unique opportunity to really repeat what we were able to do with the launch of Crysvita. Similar type of bone disease, similar type of effort we would need to launch and support that program. And certainly, while Crysvita was a very, very successful launch, we do think with those lessons learned and the opportunity here with the osteogenesis imperfecta, we could potentially do even do better.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#4

Okay. So you've generated obviously, a lot of data. You had data from MREYO and now you have your own data. So maybe you can just kind of walk us through -- summarize what that data is telling us and how that helps as far as looking at probabilities of success for what we'll get into the 2 studies, COSMIC and Orbit?

Eric Crombez

Executives
#5

Yes. So for us, this program did start with MRO. They did a small adult study called ASTEROID. That study, while technically not successful for them, did provide a lot of learnings and importantly, it provided us the opportunity to partner with them and bring this forward. So we started the development plan with Orbit. Orbit is a Phase II/III study. So we designed that to be a seamless study, which did mean we needed to design the Phase III part of that II/III study at the same time we designed Phase II. So it was with the strength of that Phase II data, 24 patients originally designed to understand safety better, pick a dose to take into Phase III that allowed us to take a fresh look at that Phase III with that data. It's what led us to plan for those interim analyses and now brings us to final data readout. With those 24 patients, we did see a 67% fracture reduction rate that was changed from baseline. All patients did respond very well. All of them had an improvement in the biomarkers we're tracking an increase in bone mineral density that did correlate and led to an increase in fracture rate in all patients.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#6

Okay. So can we kind of walk through what you've seen so far with the Orbit trial and how the design is different and what the goals are orbit versus Cosmic because as I understand that we're going to get both of those very soon.

Eric Crombez

Executives
#7

Yes. So with the success of the Phase I part of Orbit that immediately transitioned into the Phase III part, we selected our dose. We brought that forward into Phase II and enrolled an additional 159 patients into that study, 2 to 1 randomization, setrusumab to placebo and have been following those patients throughout. This study enrolled patients 5 to 26 years of age. And importantly, for us, same entry criteria, same overall study design, same endpoints that we had in the Phase II part of Orbit. So we weren't bringing anything unknown or untested into Phase III. We did think with the results and the safety profile, which has been very strong from the beginning. We could go down to 2 years of age and that's what really initiated in part, the second Phase III study, Cosmic. Importantly, and what I'm looking forward to with Cosmic is the generation of a head-to-head data set of setrusumab compared to bisphosphonates. Bisphosphonates is not approved in most parts of the world. There haven't been really well designed, conducted Phase III study. So you're forced to do a meta-analysis on the effect of bisphosphonates. So if anyone wants to have a conversation on the effect, the value of setrusumab versus bisphosphonates will now have a well-designed Phase III data set to have a data-driven conversation on the difference between those 2 products. So in toll, we'll be looking at really a full label children and adults. We haven't talked about the different types 1, types 3 and 4. So a really full label between Orbit and Cosmic at time of launch with both being successful.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#8

So do you need both of these studies to work? Or is there other ways where if 1 of them work, you would have a sufficient evidence for success? Can you just kind of talk through the differential thinking there as far as what you'd like to see or need to see to have a strong package?

Eric Crombez

Executives
#9

Yes. So I think -- I guess maybe I'll start from a regulatory perspective. And I think with 2 Phase III studies, you obviously have the scenario where both are positive. Two scenarios where 1 is postman the other is not, and then the scenario where neither works. In the scenario where Orbit hits and Cosmic has positive trends but doesn't hit, you still has a very, very successful product orbit still gives you a very full label. What you would lose without Cosmic hitting statistical significance is you would likely lose the ability to claim superiority in the label. So you would still be having a discussion on the totality of data on Cosmic on the benefit of setrusumab versus bizposemane, but it would be very hard to make that claim in a label without hitting statistical significance. In the scenario where COSMIC is positive, Orbit technically misattical significance, but again, has positive trends. The totality of the data tells you this drug works, you still have a positive Phase III study, and that's what you need to have a path forward with the FDA. So certainly, you're going to depend on the hitting statistical significant in Cosmic, that's your positive pivotal trial. You're going to want Orbit to still have very strong trends to still be able to see enough evidence from the totality to have a compelling discussion with the agency to still achieve a full label there.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#10

Okay. Now given you're comparing to bisphosphonates with COSMIC, what is the expectation as far as the benefit that bisphosphonates can bring to the table. And given the data that you've spent a little bit of time talking about before, the early data, what's the sense as to how much better you can do on AFR?

Eric Crombez

Executives
#11

Yes. So it is always challenging to try to understand the benefit of bisphosphonates. So when we really kind of look at all of the data out there trying to do a meta-analysis, if you will, we're thinking that the benefit of the bisphosphonates needs maybe somewhere around 20%. I've never heard anyone attribute anything near 30% treatment effect from bisphosphonates. So that's kind of the ballpark we're working in. Looking at change from baseline for the 24 patients enrolled in Phase I/II, we saw consistently a 67% fracture reduction rate, which is obviously great, and no one's going to debate you on clinical significance of that. We did power the study with the 159 patients enrolled in the Phase III part of Orbit that gives us greater than 80% power to detect at least a 50% treatment effect. So that does give us some room between 50% and 67% for something unexpected to happen something we couldn't plan for control for to happen. Certainly, clinically significant, I haven't heard, and I haven't heard anyone tell me if people are talking to that, that wouldn't be meaningful to them. I think 30% to 40% is kind of the lower range of what I've been hearing physicians say would be clinically meaningful to them. But certainly, with that consistent above 60% fracture reduction rate, we're expecting to be firmly within that clinically meaningful range for Orbit.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#12

Okay. And as you know, there's been a ton of debate as far as the interim analyses, which you did, the first one and the second one. And this is back and forth as to whether from a statistical perspective, whether they miss, they miss but it shouldn't impact the final. What's your view on that? How do you think about this final analysis in terms of the power and whether those 2 data points, which could have been very close and just missed by hair's breadth, we don't know. We'll know maybe we'll know at some point. How does that impact your thinking? Or does it impact your thinking as far as the ultimate likelihood of success? Or is it just that's the way the study was designed, and that's how it was done that way intentionally to give you those looks and you didn't necessarily know they were going to hit. We're not hit?

Eric Crombez

Executives
#13

Yes. No. And I think, to be honest and to be fair, I think in retrospect, we wouldn't -- I wouldn't support doing interim analysis one. I think, again, a lot of -- well, this really was driven on the really compelling data we saw in Phase II and it was a surprise to us. And we certainly thought with those 24 patients with these types of results, with 159 patients enrolled 2:1 that maybe we could do even better. So I think we can kind of set I want IA side, certainly a lesson learned there. But focusing on IA1, we did see a very good probability of success. That, to me, that probability of success hasn't changed. In retrospect, I would still do to having a positive data readout being able to file and gain approval that much earlier would have made a difference to the NPV of the program. And importantly to us, and I'm sincere in this, we have always been concerned about the patients randomized to the control groups for both studies who are out there fracturing, and we don't want them to fracture any longer than necessary. So if we could have been successful at IA2 gotten all patients on setrusumab, that would have been great. My guess, and I don't know is that we came really close but with an alpha spend of 0.01, we just hit it. And certainly, if it was 0.05 or 0.02, maybe we would have been successful. So when we were modeling our probability of success for the analysis or probably a successful final data readout, we took that all into account. We still like the negative binomial regression model. We think that's the right overall study design. We did take the opportunity to look in a blinded manner at the total fracture number we saw at IA2. We can model out what we would expect based on Phase II results to see in the treated patients. we can model out from natural history from patients randomized to control and their baseline. What we would expect to see for fracture numbers, it is what we wanted to see going into final Go read out. So -- the truth is our probability of success and my confidence hasn't changed since IA2.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#14

So just to make sure I understand correctly. So you looked at the blinded fracture rate at IA2?

Eric Crombez

Executives
#15

Yes.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#16

And it looked consistent with your -- what you would believe would be support a positive outcome At the end of the study or at some point?

Eric Crombez

Executives
#17

At end of..

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#18

Do you do that at the IA1? or did not.

Eric Crombez

Executives
#19

No. So I didn't look at IA1. Again, IA1, it was a high bar. I think, at that time, people said it was fine. People weren't really necessarily expecting those to hit. I think we were disappointed to miss IA2, and it was 1 thing we were confident that we could look at without introducing bias without having the FDA or any will be concerned that we are introducing bio. So it was one thing we thought we could look at. .

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#20

Okay. And now speaking, of course, an important question, you referenced at the NPV of the product. Assuming you hit final and you talked about scenarios but you have sufficient data to support filing the BLA there's an important deadline potentially in the fall of 2026 with the unclear situation with the PRV program. If it gets renewed, it gets renewed, great. But are you angling to get that filed before, so you could potentially have that third PRV, which could be valued as much as the latest trades, it's $150 million.

Eric Crombez

Executives
#21

Yes. So yes, so you mentioned the third. So certainly, I'm happy to come back to it, but we are confident with Sand Sleep and GST. We will be comfortably within the end of September deadline for approval OI that gets hard and it gets really tight. So the 1 thing we have said is that given the importance of AI to us overall as a company, given the value driver there, we are not going to rush cut corners, if you will. We're not going to compromise the quality of that data package to hit that date. So we certainly have risen to the occasion. I think that was exemplified by what we were able to do with the Angel and Aspire enrollment and try to get things done very, very fast. Certainly, there are tools, and we are very seriously looking into the use of AI to really analyze big data sets, do first drafts of documents and can that give you a head start. So we're looking at that but it is it is fair to say that, that is -- it's ambitious to try to hit approval by end of September, and we're not -- we will not compromise the quality of that file.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#22

Okay. but just to reaffirm, the data for both of those studies are end of this year? Is it definitively end of this year? Or could it be like beginning of January or...

Eric Crombez

Executives
#23

Well, so we've defined -- and we've been very clear, and we're going to be very clear, while we're out here talking that we've defined end of the year as December or January. So certainly, we're in it. So I guess to me is about as near term as we can get.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#24

In the locking have you locked the data? Are you still on the -- what exact step are you in, right?

Eric Crombez

Executives
#25

Yes. So we have acknowledged that the last patient has had their last visit. So -- and we have this conversation internally too, with the executive leadership team because it sounds like -- it always sounds like a lot of time. But when you map out home long it takes to chase down long lead time labs globally, chase down every query, sometimes cert another query and everything has to be chased on. And these are 2 Phase III studies. So when you map it all, it takes this time to do it. So we haven't said exactly where we are in the process but we are in the process.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#26

Okay. All right. Well, let's talk about some of the other programs because you started to mention the other. So just tell us about the other PRVs. So those are more I don't know if I should use the word assured, but likely or highly likely.

Eric Crombez

Executives
#27

Yes. No. And I think for me, it's -- when I kind of talk about our lead gene therapy programs for Sanfilippo and GSDIa, I'm actually not positive, which 1 is going to come first because we filed for Sanfilippo, we did receive the complete response letter. But with that response to this year all it's up to a 6-month clock. It's not the full 8-month review period. We said we're going to refile that in the beginning of next year. We have said that we started the rolling BLA for GSD1a, and we would finish that this month, so that starts in cc. So both of those would give us PDUFA dates comfortably within that last day of September deadline to achieve the PRV. I'm not sure which one will come first. The PDUFA date should be very close together. But if there's an upside to this any CRL but the CRL for Sanfilippo is that the FDA makes it explicitly clear what they require for refiling and they will not accept your package without really completing that to the letter of the letter. So we have a lot of confidence in exactly what we need to do that, and we're on track to do that. And then it really did inform the manufacturing CMC for GSD1a because both of those drugs are made at our gene therapy facility outside of the Boston Cambridge area in Massachusetts. The clinical data for both Sanfilippo and GSD1a has always been very strong. The FDA has actually remained and gone on the way to be complementary on the data set for Sanfilippo. So with the strength of the clinical data at the end of the day, that's what the label is, that's what the approval is, we definitely needed to work through the CMC and other findings. But to me, really derisk those programs and makes them both with a very high probability of success.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#28

I mean without getting into too many specifics on manufacturing and, of course, trade secrets but just at a high level, what were some of the learnings from the CRL for 111 that you've fed into to 401 that kind of improved the quality for that one.

Eric Crombez

Executives
#29

Yes. And we had the opportunity, we took the opportunity, and it was accidentally during COVID to build from a green site that new manufacturing plant from the ground up. So any findings, any learnings from the Sanfilippo CRL that has to do with the facility itself exactly is applicable to GSD1a and we knew all of it was fixable. We just needed to take the time to complete everything.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#30

Okay. Can you give us a snapshot of the market opportunities for both of those, please?

Eric Crombez

Executives
#31

So for Signet, we've been a little softer on patient numbers with that. We do think it's a little less well understood. It is a smaller rare indication. So we've been saying between 3 and 5 phase, 300,000 patients within the territory we cover GSD1a a little larger at 6,000 patients. So smaller compared to OI in Angelman but I think important. And to me, if you think about as a leg for the organization going forward, not to discredit or set aside what we've done commercially so far but OI being a leg, Angelman being a leg, collectively, the gene therapies can be another leg for this organization. And with Sanfilippo specifically, looking at what makes a successful gene therapy and what doesn't, I don't think it's that hard or that complex. To me, it goes back to unmet medical need. And in real unmet medical need and not kind of hand waving there but it's really these patients without any therapy or things that really don't work. And to me, the comparison is SMA. I mean, I think Sanfilippo is directly comparable with the unmet need and with those patients really stopping developing between 2 and 3 years of age and then really starting to lose ground with death in their teens or early really high need and there's no motivated family or a parent and a child with Sanfilippo. So I do think that will be a very successful launch. GSD1a maybe just a little bit below that with unmedical need. But these patients are still dependent on corn starch to avoid hypoglycemia, and that's hypoglycemia that can be life-threatening, especially in the child head year. So Again, we think the right programs to bring forward first for our gene therapy pipeline.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#32

You had a lot of interesting data on the corn starch and how it evolved was interesting as far as the reduction in the greater reductions in cornstarch as people became, as I understand it, more comfortable and more confident in the effect of the gene therapy. Is that basically correct? Can you kind of summarize that data and how that evolved? Because I think that's an important aspect of the value proposition.

Eric Crombez

Executives
#33

Yes. No, absolutely. And we talk about the reduction of corn starch. And to me, it's always important to talk kind of in full sense as it's a reduction of cornstarch while maintaining good glucose control. And that's what's important there. That's why we get these patients in trouble. And we really saw that clearly illustrated in the Phase III trial because it was a blinded Phase III trial. That is still the gold standard that really is the expectation for the FDA is to do blinded Phase III trials. These patients are told ad diagnosis, parents, children and then on the children grow to adults, they cannot miss their doses of corn starch. They need to wait during the night to take cornstarch because it can be life-threatening. And now you're telling them, you're in a blinded study. I don't know if you've been randomized to gene therapy or placebo, but I'm going to try to take your corn starch away. So the families were afraid the treating physicians were hesitant, if not afraid. So in the beginning of the Phase III, it was gentle titration off of cornstarch because it was blinded and they was really afraid of that real risk of hypoglycemia. Once we manage through that and we got into the open-label part of that, everyone knew there on gene therapy, we saw really great increases in reduction in corn search, much better results. And most recently, we had a new cohort of patients in Japan to support the approval in Japan. It was a defined court of patients. We had learned everything from Phase II, Phase III, all of those patients quickly came off of cornstarch, they're doing great. They're feeling fine, great glucose control. So we were able to take all of those lessons learned after many, many years and really show when we can do this in an unblinded fashion and apply these learnings, we can do it very quickly, and these patients can do very well off of corn start. So again, really great efficacy and then the safety has held up very strong as well.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#34

Okay. So that 1 is getting filed imminently.

Eric Crombez

Executives
#35

This month.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#36

This month. And then 111 Sanfilippo what's the exact time?

Eric Crombez

Executives
#37

Yes, we've said beginning of the year, but we've also said comfortably within PRV window with a 6, so it gives us a couple of months but it's the beginning of next year.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#38

Okay. And let's stay on gene therapy. There's another one, which is also super interesting, the copper excess copper storage disease Wilson's disease, so 701. So what's the -- summarize that, you're now in the pivotal study or you're close to it, Cypress?

Eric Crombez

Executives
#39

Yes. So Cypress is a seamless Phase I/II/III study. So that seamlessly goes through the phases of development. And we've taken our time because we've learned and what that allows us to do once we get to what's the equivalent of the Phase I/II part of it, this is similar to what we did with Orbit as long as we feel comfortable with safety, the safety holds up with what we've seen so far, and we have the dose. And in this case, really the immunomodulation regimen we want to bring forward to the Phase III part of this trial, we can seamlessly move through and not having to go through in the Phase II, not needing to do scientific advice in Europe. It saves you honestly about a year, and you're not standing up a whole new study. So overall, it does save time. We took the opportunity with the data we saw out of the original cohort, which did have a good number of patients coming off of their chelators doing very well. But here is exactly what I was talking about with successful versus something less than successful for gene therapy with key leaders doing a reasonably good job with Wilson disease, we want to make sure we're really bringing forward a gene therapy at a dose that can get the majority of patients off of chelators that we're really offering something better. I mean certainly with the gene therapy, if you're getting to the heart of the disease, the gene affected here is a transporter that either loads copper onto cereal plasma, which allows it to traffic normally in the body or pumps it into the bile system for excretion out of the body that gets at the heart of the disease versus chelator, which has to wait for excess copper to leak out of unhealthy hepatocytes, inflamed hepatocytes in order to bind that copper and pull it out of the body but we want to see the majority of patients coming off of chelators before we move into Phase III.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#40

Okay. And you're getting close to that goal or you're at that goal or...

Eric Crombez

Executives
#41

Yes. So that's what -- so that's what Cohort 4 is we went up on dose and increased the immunomodulation to include rituximab in sirolimus very -- it's an unblinded study. So -- we have not done a formal full analysis of the data, but I like what I'm seeing so far from that from those patients, and we'll see results from that new cohort next year.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#42

Okay. And just kind of going to the immunomodulation a little bit more. I mean the reason to choose Rituxan and sirolimus, what was the rationale for that? And what are you aiming to -- is it just liver injury? Or what exactly are you aiming to prevent?

Eric Crombez

Executives
#43

Yes. And well, so it's this whole -- I mean, yes, we can talk about safety events that have big and been important particularly for muscle when you're in those types of dosing. But we're really now for what we're doing here, we're talking about liver-directed gene therapy. And the increase in LFTs we see here for me are really it concerns something to think about for preserving efficacy and not really something we're about as a true safety event. So for GSDIa, OTC, Wilson, we have seen that increase in LTs with the gene therapy liver-directed. And to me, if you have an increase in LFTs, you're telling me that the immune system is attacking the hepatocytes have taken up the transgene and their damage and you're possibly losing the gene therapy because you have these LFTs linking into the bloodstream and steroids, while hopeful to not completely eliminate it. So if we can fully really damp down that immune response, retain as much of the transgene within these hepatocytes as possible you're going to see better efficacy in the near term. I also think it's going to help with durability in the long term as liver cells divide and grow. So there's a lot of different combinations, a lot of different B-cell and T-cell depleting drugs out there. I think a lot of people like this combination. It's being used in other cases. I think at a certain point, you need to do your studies and figure out what's best and then do the experiment, but we're happy with the results that we've seen so far with this combination.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#44

And is this layered on top of like a low dose like 5 milligrams prednisone or not?

Eric Crombez

Executives
#45

Yes. So this is in addition to the several months long.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#46

And then is this a similar regimen for the other programs you mentioned for 401 and OTC?

Eric Crombez

Executives
#47

Yes. So we have not started with -- we have not introduced this into GSD1a and OTC.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#48

I didn't think so. I don't think so.

Eric Crombez

Executives
#49

We could if we needed to.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#50

Why not?

Eric Crombez

Executives
#51

Well, I think we want to do the experiment with Wilson. I think we want to make sure this is the right combination. It's safe. It's the right thing to do. I do think this is certainly with going up on dose with Wilson and the battery immunomodulation. It should be at least additive, if not synergistic to really get the best efficacy possible. So we'll take these lessons learn and...

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#52

But there's nothing you saw in -- for OTC and 401, there was nothing you saw in the liver signal that suggested that would have been necessary?

Eric Crombez

Executives
#53

But we're still seeing some LFTs. And again, any time you're seeing a rise in LFTs you're -- I'm seeing an immune response that could be better controlled. Maybe it's not necessary in these diseases but I think we still -- I think it's the right thing to do to continue to look at ways to optimize all of these gene therapies.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#54

Okay. I mean, sirolimus is quite a strong immunosuppressant is there's been some concerns around opportunistic infections. Is that a worry? Or is that -- the way you're doing this is that you don't expect that to be an issue?

Eric Crombez

Executives
#55

Yes. It's not a worry. I mean I think -- that is why it's been hard for a lot of people to move away from steroids because steroids are a blunt instrument and work on all parts -- really all parts of immune system but that also makes -- also what makes them a good choice. And yes, all of these other immunomodulating drugs have their own benefit risk profile and some of them can have some safety findings, even if rare that I don't think we need to worry about, but we need to understand and study them in studies. So doing this in a well-controlled design Phase III trial, we're following these patients very, very closely is the right place to introduce us and learn.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#56

And if it's helpful and it does what you intend, would it be something you'd layer in post approval on some...

Eric Crombez

Executives
#57

That's possible potentially.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#58

Okay. OTC, that 1 is getting close to data. What's the -- tell us just a quick time line on that one?

Eric Crombez

Executives
#59

Yes. So that's also fully enrolled that Phase I/II part of that study earlier this year, we'll be looking for first pneumonia data readout earlier next year and then looking for a response with the patients who are fully able to come off ammonia savaging drugs later second stop.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#60

Okay. Okay. Now if we were having this conversation 5 or 6 years ago, we would have started with 102, but, let's do the...

Eric Crombez

Executives
#61

Yes, we'll become late Q1 or Q2, we'll be back to Angelman which will be good. We'll come full circle.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#62

Okay. So -- but you are getting closer. I mean, isn't the Phase III ASPIRE study enrolled now? So kind of just walk us through the design of that one, please? And then the other 1 is the AURORA trial, which is just starting, if I'm not mistaken. So what is the...

Eric Crombez

Executives
#63

Yes. So aspired leads and Aspire really as a Phase III study could stand alone -- and again, similar to OI, we don't like to and really don't bring untested things into Phase III. So to me, most importantly, for Phase I/II, we were studying patients with full deletions. So that means these patients are making no UBE3A. That means that, yes, they're going to be severe, but also very homogeneous and their expression of the disease. So it's going to give you consistent results and clear signals in your Phase III study. So Aspire patients with full deletions. But certainly and importantly, and we would never want to leave out a meaningful segment of patients and patients with other genotypes, missense mutations, uniparental disomianprinting defects make up somewhere between 20% and 30% of the total patient population. So we brought along Aurora as an open-label basket study to evaluate this ASO in that group of patients. So with the 2 studies together, have a very full label of patients affected with Angelman.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#64

So the end points let's -- can we walk through that. So you had explored your own sort of novel endpoint at 1 point, this multi-domain endpoint, and you had some conversations with the FDA. And they steered you in, I believe, a more classical direction to look at the Bailey 4, if I'm not mistaken. So just walk us through what the endpoints are. And what you want to see on those to be to have really a strong data set.

Eric Crombez

Executives
#65

Yes. No. And I think, I guess, potentially where we're going next is and then the comparison to what Ionis is doing. And I think it's important for us to understand that. We're both going for with primary end points out of the Bailey cognition versus expressive communication both evaluated by the Bailey you need to choose your primary endpoint, you want to power your study based on the primary endpoint and obviously be successful there. When we looked at the results our Phase I/II setting, and we took the opportunity to enroll a total of 74 patients. So for us, for rare that is a lot of patients in Phase II because we wanted to make sure we got dosing right and we understood what primary endpoint was but to bring forward because it is neurology, and neurology is always hard. The truth is, we could have made other choices from language behavior, gross motor, et cetera, cognition looked best to us. I also like cognition because it is foundational to the other skills you learn like language, behavior, sleep, gross motor. So you need that improvement in cognition as a foundation for all of those additional skills. Obviously, Aon has made the choice to bring forward expressive language, and that's what their results must have shown them. The truth is, if we're both successful in our primary endpoint, no payer, no parent, no treating physician is going to compare -- is going to care as long as you have the same data set, whether it was primary or secondary. So we both have results from the Bailey on cognition and expressive language, and then the other tools through the other end points. And you can look at the data head-to-head, no one's going to care what's primary, secondary. You just need to make sure you win on your primary -- for the FDA and other regulatory agency perspective.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#66

Okay. And what is the filing strategy? I know you don't have the data yet but what's the strategy? Aspire leads, as you said. And Aurora is supportive? Or does it come later? Or is it just...

Eric Crombez

Executives
#67

Yes. So Aurora is open label. Again, you do want that gold standard Phase III trial, a blinded controlled study, which Aspire is. And then with Aurora, foundationally, you need to show that it is safe in these additional patient population. And then you can bridge with the safety and efficacy data you generate in those patients. You can bridge back to Aspire and the results we generate there to really go for a very full label and they're able to treat all patients.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#68

If they both look good, you would hope for the deletion and mutation.

Eric Crombez

Executives
#69

Yes, our plan is for a full label. But I think it's -- again, it's important because I would never want to be in a scenario where we have this really successful drugs. And then it's limited to patients with deletions, you're excluding these other patients who also have Angelman and could benefit. So our plan is for a full label.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#70

Two other important topics. One is, of course, pricing of these. I know Emil has talked in the past about pricing, not necessarily to maximize price, but to maximize access and to provide good value for investors, but also good value for physicians and for patients. So just broadly, can you talk about how you might think about pricing, some of the ones we've talked about, the gene therapy, setrusumab? And then also with the FDA and the push to sort of accelerate some of the rare disease approval time line, how much of that is intersected with your direct dialogue with the agency as far as advancing some of these programs in gene therapy on an even faster time frame?

Eric Crombez

Executives
#71

Yes. I mean -- so I guess -- we're in the process for Sanfilippo. I mean that original filing still is active, and we'll get that response in and they have per PDUFA, they have up to 6 months to review. So they can certainly do better than 6 months. So we'll see with GSD1A, that's a standard priority review. So they can always go faster. I will say, particularly the patients who are really truly doing the day-to-day work. They've been very engaged. They've been very responsive. We have had high-quality interactions with people who truly understand these diseases, understand our filings. And again, it was nice to see at our most recent meeting with Sanfilippo that they remain very complementary of the clinical data, and that's been important. So we'll see. We certainly know that they're all very busy and stretched. But certainly, if they can beat those PDUFA dates great.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#72

I know you're not the CFO but anything you want to just quickly say, a snapshot on the financial situation of the company. And you had the recent monetization deal, obviously, with Elmer's for Crysvita. Anything you want to add there?

Eric Crombez

Executives
#73

Yes. No. I mean, I think from what I've heard people have thought that was a good deal that terms were good, certainly not having to start payments until January of 2028 gives us room to benefit from that revenue during that period. we've talked about achieving profitability within that time frame, and that's important to us. So it was nondilutive. We didn't have to make any decisions dependent on the stock price on any given day. And I think a lot of it was with the CRL for Sanfilippo, that did push out the monetization of the PRV. So with that type of opportunity, which was a very competitive opportunity in a competitive process there, we thought was the right deal at the right time to allow us to do what we need to do. And while we always want to be disciplined and mindful, we are looking forward to launching Sanfilippo, GSDIa very close together. OI will be very close behind that and then a data for Ansell been coming in the second half of next year. It's going to be in a very, very good way, a very busy transformative time for us.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#74

All right. Thank you very much, Eric.

Eric Crombez

Executives
#75

Right on the nose.

Yigal Nochomovitz

Analysts
#76

We covered everything.

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