Universal Display Corporation (OLED) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

January 10, 2023

NASDAQ US Information Technology Semiconductors and Semiconductor Equipment conference_presentation 26 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#1

Good afternoon. Welcome to the 25th Annual Needham Growth Conference. My name is Jim Ricchiuti, senior analyst at Needham, in the research department. It's great to be back to a live event. Thanks for joining us today. So I'm pleased to have a fireside conversation this afternoon with Universal Display and delighted to have both the CEO, Steve Abramson here as well as CFO, Brian Millard. We also have Darice Liu in the audience, who's Head of IR and Corporate Communications. So gentlemen, thanks. Thanks for joining us today.

Steven V. Abramson

executive
#2

Thank you.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#3

So let's go right to the news this morning. There was some news on blue. Please take us through some of that, if you will.

Steven V. Abramson

executive
#4

It will be our pleasure, Jim. It's a pleasure to be back here. Pleasure to start to get around and through the pandemic even though the viruses around pandemic [indiscernible]. The release we did this morning was, we refer that we're on track for a 2024 launch of our phosphorescent blue materials, and we validated that our 2022 guidance is still intact. And now I'm going to turn it over to Brian, who can give some more color to that.

Brian Millard

executive
#5

Sure. Yes. I think as it relates to the 2020 -- I'm sorry, the blue specs that Steve just referenced. In the early 2022, the company had set out a goal of achieving certain improvements in the lifetime efficiency in color point of the blue material that we've been developing. And so the 2022 year-end goal was really achieving those improvements over the course of 2022. Certainly, more work to do in '23 to work with our team as well as with our customers' teams to continue to improve upon the molecule that we've developed to date to achieve that commercialization in 2024, but feel like we're really well on the way to achieve that, and we see a clear path to have 2024 commercial material in the market.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#6

And one of the things we've tried to get a sense of -- because we looked historically at green. Is that a good way to think about how blue potentially could scale?

Steven V. Abramson

executive
#7

I'm not going to do really well to hear [ my feet ], right? We got this going for us. So in general, we hit volume. We're expecting the quantity of blue to be substantially equivalent to the quantity of green in volume. In terms of the ramp, back when we did green, there was one customer and basically one product. There's now multiple customers and multiple products. So it's part of the conversations that we're having with our customers of what is the -- what are the specifications of the specific products that they're looking for? What are they looking for first? How do we scale it up and things of that nature.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#8

And one of the challenges we've had as we thought about blue is, to what extent is this a technology advance that will appeal more to the manufacturers of mobile devices? Or is the opportunity as, is it a significant opportunity when we think about large area displays?

Steven V. Abramson

executive
#9

So we think it's a significant area across the board. Everybody wants blue. I'm going to turn it over to Brian.

Brian Millard

executive
#10

Yes. I mean I think there's opportunities really across the board. Certainly, the efficiency, the ability to have less power consumption, that's a huge opportunity for smartphone market as well as for IT applications like tablets. But really in television, we also see there being a lot of opportunity as well as in addition to the efficiency, we think that there's a visual benefit to the blue as well that can be realized that would apply across really every application.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#11

And the other major development was the agreement with Samsung. Another -- so look, again, I know this is tough to comment on, but give us a sense as to how investors should think about that agreement, maybe the timing of it as opposed -- because in prior negotiations, we've seen things drag on?

Brian Millard

executive
#12

Yes. Yes. So I think the company has had a 20-plus year relationship with Samsung. So I think the new contracts from our perspective are certainly kind of an inevitability. We just need to kind of work through the contracting process with the customer. It was signed in early December, which was great. We were happy to sign it before the expiration of the prior contracts that doesn't always happen. But we're happy to get there and feel really great about the contract and the ramp forward for the next 5 years with Samsung.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#13

But the contract, if I understand it, did not have a provision for blue?

Brian Millard

executive
#14

That's right, yes. So we have had a red and green agreements with Samsung for a number of years. So we kept to that, and we'll have a separate discussion with them on blue. We continue to collaborate really closely with their team on blue. So at the right time, we'll make sure the contracts are in place to enable the commercial launch in '24 that we referenced.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#15

For the outsiders, do we think about this as not necessarily a negotiation that is -- that time critical because of this. When you're going to be planning to have this in the commercial markets? And so that gives you a little bit more flexibility in terms of this negotiation process?

Brian Millard

executive
#16

That's right. I mean, I think today, the fact that we don't have a blue contract with Samsung or any of our other customers today is not necessarily any issue related to the work that we need to do with them to continue to develop the product and get to a place where we're enabling the commercial launch in '24, and at the right time, when we need the contracts in place to be able to sell them commercial material, we'll have them in place, but those are all conversations we're having with Samsung as well as others.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#17

Okay. Yes. The prior agreements, we all know they built into those agreements are price breaks -- volume price breaks. And that's been a consideration, I think, as people have looked at your gross margins. And so I guess the question is, as we start to see the market -- OLED market, it's certainly not mature, we're still in a pretty strong growth trajectory, but how should we think about volume price breaks?

Brian Millard

executive
#18

Yes. Yes. So I think certainly, the industry continues to grow. We would expect, in the years ahead, we're going to sell significantly more material than we have in the prior years. So along those lines, you would expect ASP per unit to decrease based on those volume price breaks that you've alluded to. That said, we've been able to maintain really strong -- we fill pricing power in our contracts, feel very comfortable with the pricing structures. And on the cost side, we're continuing to identify ways we can get more efficient and effective as well as achieve more operating leverage in the business as we grow and produce more in the future.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#19

The -- I wanted to go back to '22 when -- coming out of Q2, I think you clearly saw signs that the market was softening, and so you revised your guidance as did a lot of companies on the weakness in the consumer electronics market. What -- I'm curious about when you reported your Q3 results, and today again you reiterated your guidance. And it's almost counter to what we've been hearing in the market. And I'm just curious, how much visibility have you been getting from customers? Or is this the range you felt comfortable enough?

Steven V. Abramson

executive
#20

We've been getting -- so we get our visibility on a regular basis from our customers, from our field team, and we also look at some of the macro analyses that you and other people do. So we felt comfortable when we lowered our guidance in Q2 and things were still moving on track in Q3 and in Q4 along the lines of what we had seen within those parameters. So that felt reasonably comfortable there.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#21

Okay. LG, one of your big customers as we all know, has said, the expectations for the TV market have been reset. What -- as we think about that opportunity because there's still a question as to how big a percentage of the overall market does OLED dual leads get in the TV market? Is there any takeaway that we should be reading through in terms of the choppier demand that we saw from LG?

Steven V. Abramson

executive
#22

So OLED TVs are maybe 2%, 3% of the market right now. You have LG, most of them. Samsung, just coming up. I think your definition of choppy is exactly that we had the last 3 years of the pandemic and with China has become very choppy, we had a great consumer electronics move up in the early parts of the pandemic, and it's been slowing down ever since. But we think in the long term, OLEDs are the technology of choice for basically all electronic displays. It's just a question of how it evolves.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#23

Yes. And Steve, I think you mentioned you were at CES?

Steven V. Abramson

executive
#24

I was at CES.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#25

So maybe talk to us a little bit about what your observations were coming out of CES?

Steven V. Abramson

executive
#26

Well, having been at the OLED industry's inception and when we're trying to sell little green dots, this is going to be the future of displays to go into people's booths and to see everything from 97-inch OLED TVs to micro-OLED TVs and everything in between to see foldable laptops, to see foldable phones on all different folds, fold in, fold out, fold up, fold down, to see slidable, to see all of these innovations, which are made possible really only by OLED, is just extraordinary. So that was really exciting. The show itself wasn't that exciting. I mean I'm used to having 200,000 people. There, there were less than 100,000 people, but the OLED piece was great. When you walk into LG's booth on the floor and you see there, it must be hundreds of OLED TVs with the nature symbols, and you're going through the water, and you're going through the forest. It's just -- and it going through the universe. It's just extraordinary, if you've never done it.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#27

And we also get the question about Samsung and what their strategy, how they -- how do you -- from where you sit, obviously, a customer of yours, in terms of the direction they're going?

Steven V. Abramson

executive
#28

So we support all of our customers. We love all of our customers equally. We think Samsung is great. We think LG is great. We're supporting all their TVs. We'll support the development projects. I did not mean to exclude the Chinese customers because we think they are great, too. So it's our job to support our customers and make sure we can deliver them the energy-efficient, long lifetime color point technology that they need to grow their business.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#29

But again, the -- if we look at the overall share of the market that OLED TVs has gotten, it's clearly a premium product. You go back so many years on this technology. Has this been your expectation that this is where we would be, and that there's going to be another inflection that drives the overall growth?

Steven V. Abramson

executive
#30

Well, I certainly think -- on TVs?

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#31

Yes.

Steven V. Abramson

executive
#32

I certainly think there will be another inflection, if not inflections. I mean the road to OLED TVs has been filled with lots of bumps and bruises. I mean, first, it was price and then it was brightness. And now we have price and brightness and then you hit the pandemic, and it costs $6 billion to build an OLED TV plant. But the fact that Samsung is coming along now is fabulous. So in our facilities, in Ewing, we have LG TVs, we have Samsung TVs, we have big LG TVs, we have transparent TVs. You can come and see them all. So we think this is just the beginning of a long road.

Brian Millard

executive
#33

And I think we've also seen the price of OLED TVs from a consumer perspective come down pretty significantly in recent years, which is putting it within reach of a lot more customers. So I think as people look at, okay, my TV just burn out and ready for a new one, let's go to Best Buy or any other consumer retailer and see what's out there. I think that the OLED is much more appealing and within-reach option than it was years ago.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#34

We're also seeing more introductions on -- for IT applications. What are you seeing in that market? Is that -- is some of the news we've even seen in the automotive market? If we combine that, does that have the potential to move the needle? I mean these are larger displays than mobile devices, if you aggregate these newer applications?

Brian Millard

executive
#35

Yes, absolutely, especially -- I mean looking at TVs alone, right, if you can increase penetration from the 2% to 3% today to, let's just say, 10%, that's a significant increase in the square meters that are being used relative to 8% increase in, say, smartphones, just based on display size alone. So I think that we can achieve that. If we can achieve that penetration, that's a huge increase in terms of the size of displays that are using OLEDs and have a great benefit for us.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#36

Have you -- you guys have a pretty good window on what's happening for -- and certainly on IT side. What's your sense in terms of the newer -- how many new OLED monitors we're seeing whether they're monitors or tablets? Are we at a stage now where that's becoming an increasingly important marketing feature?

Steven V. Abramson

executive
#37

I think you're starting to see drips and drives in there now. I mean the IT market is about 2%, which includes all of that, but you're seeing some additional capacity build. So starting around 2024, we think you're going to start seeing that move up fairly significantly.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#38

Okay. So '24, I mean if we think about blue and some of these markets...

Steven V. Abramson

executive
#39

'24, there's so much more.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#40

But that's also a segue for what we're hearing at this conference and what we're reading in the paper is that again, clearly, there's signs of weakness, some softness in consumer electronics. And I don't think some of us and myself included, necessarily appreciated even the impact of the lower utilization at the Shannon facility. Walk us through some of that impact.

Brian Millard

executive
#41

Sure. Yes, certainly. So Shannon in Ireland, we, in early '21, secured this site for increased -- additional manufacturing capacity. It's a 16-acre campus, has a lot of great capability there and was really key for looking at where the industry is going, where we knew our manufacturing footprint needed to grow to meet that demand. And so securing the facility was key. We brought on the initial phase of it middle of last year, middle of '22. And with that, it's been underutilized to date just based on where current demand is, based on the macro factors as well as us needing to continue to kind of ramp up from there. So it's right now about $1 million of overhead cost per month that we're incurring that's due to underutilization of that facility. That said, we fully know that we need that facility to secure our growth plans going forward and having it as part of our networks are really key capabilities. So we're confident in the years ahead as we produce additional material there and can achieve the -- absorb that overhead into a greater number of units that will be able to increase margins.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#42

Is that -- is there a way to think about what we need to see in terms of quarterly revenues to see that play out where it's not? It's not a drag or it actually fulfill some of your prior expectations when you guys first made that decision?

Brian Millard

executive
#43

Yes. We're not in a position to put an exact revenue target to it, but I think it's just a matter of increasing volumes of material sales. We are being really disciplined in how we look at bringing additional phases of that manufacturing site online. So we brought on an initial phase. We're obviously looking at bringing additional phases on over the years ahead, but are making sure we're not getting ahead of ourselves and doing that too soon and incurring additional costs greater -- sooner than we need to.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#44

And were there any considerations with respect to blue as you thought about that?

Brian Millard

executive
#45

We do. Shannon is a site where we would expect to be able to produce our blue products. So that is -- having that additional capability and capacity is key.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#46

Okay. The other side of this equation is, as we think about capacity adds, and clearly, with some of the news we're hearing in terms of demand, there's the risk that some of the capacity that we were anticipating could slide to the right. And again, if we look at past cycles, how much give and take as they've been in initial capacity expectations for some of the display makers, whether in China or additional capacity in Korea? How is the macro environment influenced what has happened in the past? And is there anything that we can take away in this current environment that might give us some clue as to what capacity plans could look like?

Brian Millard

executive
#47

Yes. I mean I think it's reasonable to assume that everybody is looking at their investment plans more carefully now than they might have a few years back just based on the current situation. So -- but we don't think there's going to be a significant pullback. We still know that 2024, there's going to be a significant investment needed to achieve the additional IT market being tablets, laptops and monitors that we know are going to adopt OLEDs. So we know there's additional manufacturing capacity needed to achieve the growth plans that a lot of the OEMs have for OLEDs and additional adoption of OLEDs. It's just a matter of, is there a slight shift? So we're -- we'll provide quarterly updates on that as we go forward through the year, but reasonable to assume that there might be a little bit of a shift on that.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#48

Yes. Correct me if I'm wrong, normally, just sometime is it with your Q4 results that you typically give some sense on that? Don't...

Steven V. Abramson

executive
#49

We generally give some updates on the capacity growth. We'll give some updates in February, and then we usually do them in 2-year increments. And as you recall, we do our capacity growth. And then some -- this has been since the beginning, some things move forward, some things move back. They don't move it backwards, but they move forward more slowly than the other one. Sometimes they accelerate. And that's all dependent on the individual customers, what they're seeing coming down the pike. So we'll talk about that, I guess, in February.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#50

Okay. And then maybe just on the topic again, of larger area displays. Let's talk about what's been happening on OVJP. Maybe for folks in the audience, just go through what that entails, what it potentially could mean for the company longer term?

Steven V. Abramson

executive
#51

Brian, do you want to try?

Brian Millard

executive
#52

Sure. Yes, so OVJP is a printing technology that the company developed a number of years ago. We continue to scale up that manufacturing -- that process and manufacturing. We're currently at Gen-4 substrate size that our project really involves direct printing onto a substrate as opposed to a deposition method of printing, which would enable large substrate red, green and blue side-by-side printing. So we've currently done a proof of concept of the Gen-4 size. We're looking at scaling up to Gen-6, and ultimately, we need and want to partner with one or more of our customers as well as equipment manufacturers to get a pilot line on to a customer floor and continue to identify additional improvements and enhancements to it from there. But the ability or the potential for it is huge to be able to print red, green and blue side by side for a very large substrate, which has been a challenge for a number of companies to date.

Steven V. Abramson

executive
#53

Just to give some additional background. Before Brian joined the company, inkjet printing or printing large area TVs was always the Holy Grail. Remember, back then, there were some companies that no longer exist, that was their stick. What we said when we looked at the inkjet printing was, it was never going to be able -- to be technically effective because of the solvent you'd never be able to get the performance. So we took our materials, and we said, okay, let's see if we can drive print materials. And we all remember from high school physics that when you have gas molecules, they bounce around, and you can't figure out how to get them to stick. And we figured out how to get them to stick. And then -- so we did it on Gen-6 -- 6-inch tool, and then we said, actually during the pandemic, hey, this is doing good, we should accelerate. We formed a subsidiary in Silicon Valley to move it up. Now we're using Gen-4 substrates. The key is to be able to create a brighter display because you won't need color filters or quantum dots and be side by side. So it could be more cost effective so that you can expand the TV market. And then we would make money from selling more materials into the market as well as getting some piece of the action from the sale of equipment off.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#54

What kind of interest are you getting from some of the equipment companies? Or is this -- what's going to drive this? Is it going to be the display maker that -- which is the equipment...

Steven V. Abramson

executive
#55

I'm thinking it's probably going to be the display makers. They're the ones who want to make the TVs and TVs are really important, and there aren't that many display makers. So it's -- we're talking to all the people, talking to the major equipment manufacturers as well as the display makers. But this is really a way for display makers to get into that TV market in a different way with a cost-effective technology. It is a few years out. I mean we've been -- it's going to happen in the future company for a long time, and now it's happened for the last 10 years. OVJP is still going to take a few years.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#56

Any milestones that we need to look for that we should be looking for?

Steven V. Abramson

executive
#57

I think one of the next milestone is going to be some type of partnership on OVJP.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#58

Okay.

Steven V. Abramson

executive
#59

And -- I'm sorry, partnerships on OVJP and their technical approaches, technical advances. So what we announced last fall was that we're able to print not only the emissive layers, but we're able to print a prime layer as well. So we're able to print more than one layer. The goal is to print all the organic layers, for example. And we're able to print the emissive layers with essentially the same performance that we have in our standard VTE. So the technology is moving forward. We're talking to the business people, and we'll keep on -- keep you abreast as it happens.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#60

Okay. This is probably, Brian, a question for you just recently joined and assumed the title of CFO. What are your impressions that you could share with us, at least in terms of how we might think about capital deployment and company has in the past done some M&A, right? How could we -- buybacks, what's the range of options? And how should be talking about it?

Brian Millard

executive
#61

Yes. Yes. No, good question. So yes, I joined about 4 months ago. I've been very happy over the last 4 months with the quality of the organization, the people. Clearly, we're in a great spot and have a great technology and materials and a lot of bright future ahead with blue and some of the other things we just talked about over the last about a bit of time here. On capital deployment, we certainly -- we have a significant cash balance approaching $850 million. We are always looking at the market for M&A opportunities and ways to invest and grow the business, whether that's internal R&D, acquiring businesses, patent portfolios, what have you. We also established a few years ago UDC Ventures, which is a small VC within the company, and we have made some investments in the early-stage companies, which enables us to participate in kind of the broader ecosystem and see what's out there in some adjacent areas of interest to us. So we'll continue to identify ways to do that. And then in terms of returning capital to shareholders, we do have a dividend program in place, which we've continued to increase annually over the last few years. And we do think about buybacks. We meet regularly with the Board and management and discuss that. But to date and for the foreseeable future, we continue to feel like the dividend program is the best way to return capital.

James Ricchiuti

analyst
#62

Perfect. I think we're going to wind it up there and let you guys get on to your next meetings. Appreciate it. Thank you.

Steven V. Abramson

executive
#63

Thank you, Jim.

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