Viatris Inc. (VTRS) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
September 16, 2020
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
David Risinger
analystSo good afternoon, everyone. This is Dave Risinger from Morgan Stanley. I'm happy to welcome Mylan to join our conference today. I just need to review a disclaimer quickly. Please note that this webcast is for Morgan Stanley clients and appropriate Morgan Stanley employees only. It's not for members of the press. If you're a member of the press, please disconnect and reach out separately. For important disclosures, please see www.morganstanley.com/researchdisclosures. And if you have any questions, please reach out to your Morgan Stanley sales representative. And I needed to first turn it over to Melissa Trombetta to read a disclaimer and then she'll pass it back to me, and we'll take it from there.
Melissa Trombetta
executiveThank you, David. Good afternoon, everyone. Just a reminder that during today's session, we'll be making forward-looking statements on a number of matters, including the proposed transaction pursuant to which Mylan will combine with Pfizer's Upjohn business to create a new company that will be named Viatris. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause future results or events to differ materially from today's projections. Please refer to our SEC filings for a further explanation of those risks and uncertainties and the limits applicable to forward-looking statements. Thank you, David.
David Risinger
analystGreat. Thank you, Melissa. And so I wanted to introduce the team that's on the line. So we have Robert Coury, who is Executive Chairman of Mylan and will be Executive Chairman of Viatris. And he's joined by future Viatris leaders, Michael Goettler, CEO; Rajiv Malik, President; and Sanjeev Narula, CFO. So Robert, let me pass it to you for some introductory comments, and then we'll take it from there.
Robert Coury
executiveThank you, David. And first of all, I can't express enough our excitement to be here today, and I want to thank you for setting this up. We have a very, very short window. I believe the investor base has heard me loud and clear from where I'm coming from. I'm even more excited today because today is the beginning of a transformation and a hand-off from me to the brand new management team as we get closer and closer to the close, which we believe is hopefully right around the corner with the announcements that we put out. So without any further ado, I'd like to turn it back over to you and allow the new management team to be as responsive as they can to you and your Investor base. So thank you.
David Risinger
analystGreat. Thanks, Robert. So Michael, maybe it would make sense to have you first start by discussing the recently posted presentation on the Mylan website with the road map and strategic plan for Viatris.
David Risinger
analystCould you talk about how that came together and your commitment to that plan?
Michael Goettler
executiveAbsolutely, David. And thank you for that question. Look, the presentation we put out describes our path to shareholder value creation, and we're really excited about this because it clearly demonstrated that Viatris is a new company, it has a new business model and has a renewed emphasis on shareholder value creation. And in fact, that presentation shouldn't have come as news to anybody because already in September 2019, 1 year ago, we put out a version of that presentation. And it stayed remarkably consistent because our shared vision and our plan and how Viatris will create shareholder value, we think is extremely clear. And of course, David, as you can expect, this was a collaborative effort between Robert, Rajiv, Sanjeev and me and many others in the company who contributed. So there really should be no doubt about each of our commitments to this plan, as well as the alignment to this plan, not only in the management team, but really by the whole company. But let me also talk a little bit about what it is. Our commitment to TSR, total shareholder return is very clear. Firstly, through our firm commitment to a dividend, and we said repeatedly 25% of free cash flow for the first quarter after the close. And secondly, we see significant potential for multiple expansion. And that path to value creation will really come in 5 stages. The first stage is an obvious one. We need to close. We need to get to closing. And as you saw, we recently received EU approval. So now it's really only the U.S. approval as the last remaining hurdle, and we're on track and confident for closing in the fourth quarter. Immediately after that, and that's the second step, we'll change the Viatris to Viatris' new business model, and that includes the planned initiation of the dividend, I mentioned, but it also includes putting our 2021 guidance on our Investor Day that is transparent to the investors, that takes into account all the puts and takes that we see in the business. And you can expect that by the end of February, early March. And I'll have Sanjeev talk a little bit later about the rationale for the timing, et cetera. Thirdly, we're going to be focused on business execution, right? And that means we need to bring the 2 companies together, integrate them while delivering and executing in a consistent, transparent and measurable way. On the integration, I can tell you that we're very pleased with the progress that we're making, and we're well on track. We're also confident in delivering $1 billion in cost synergies over 4 years, and that's an effort that Rajiv will lead, and maybe you can speak to that later. We're also going to be delivering on significant pipeline launches over the next 3 to 4 years and delivering on some revenue synergies, which could come in after year 2 by bringing the 2 portfolios together. So that's on execution. The fourth step, the fourth stage are our priorities and capital allocation after the dividend and after the debt paydown that we're committed to. And for all the future investment opportunities, we'll be very focused via the Global Healthcare Gateway, and this will not only fuel future growth, but also fuel returns to shareholders. And I just want to give you one example is the recent deal that Mylan did with Aspen. Now as a disclaimer, I'm looking at this still from the outside in. But based on what I can see from the outside, I believe this is a great example of what you can expect more from us in Viatris because it ticks all the boxes in terms of strategic fit, in terms of margin contribution and in terms of discipline and shareholder value creation. So bottom line, you take all of this together, what you can expect from us over the next 4 years is an EBITDA, earnings and cash flow growth story, all while we're strengthening our balance sheet, delevering and returning value to shareholders. And then after those initial 4 years, top line growth and operating leverage that continues to drive EBITDA and earnings growth and will have significant financial responsibilities. So if you look at this road map, the 5 stages and the financial profile that it creates in terms of stability that we have, the margins that we have, the investment-grade leverage, the dividend yield, I think it's clear that Viatris in the class on its own and the profile really speaks for itself and why there is significant potential for multiple expansion beyond creating -- returning value to shareholders through the dividend. And so with that, maybe, Rajiv, I could ask you to talk a little bit about the synergies.
Rajiv Malik
executiveYes. No, thanks, Michael, and good afternoon, David. Before you and I talk about synergies, let me just start by expressing my own optimism about this -- the strategy or this plan, which David you mentioned about. First, I feel confident about the top line trajectory. If I just take next 3 to 4 years, as I'm pretty close to the new pipeline and its potential contribution over the next 3 to 4 years, which is largely going to offset erosion of this business, potentially erosion of this business. Second, in terms of my confidence in the EBITDA growth, it stems from my optimism in our detailed synergy plans, which are in the process of being detailed out. We have identified for ourselves with target to achieve $1 billion over next 4 years, and we remain very confident about it. As you will know, both Mylan and Upjohn Pfizer have proven track records in synergy execution and realization. Let me give you a little bit of color about the drivers of the synergies. The first bucket being the cost widens and G&A. And as you know, Upjohn was in the process of being stood up, but will not -- now not need many of the corporate functions like treasury, tax, legal, extra. The second bucket with synergies from overlapping, selling and marketing infrastructure within several countries. The third bucket is about getting off the TSA. As you can imagine, Upjohn will be relying on Pfizer for transitional services for a period of time. So once you get up the TSA, there are some savings over there. And the fourth bucket will be the cost of goods. At this point of time, David, you can assume an annual run rate of $250 million year after year over the next 4 years to -- which will total up to $1 billion. And we plan on providing updates on synergy realization plans as we go along the way.
Robert Coury
executiveMaybe very quickly, Sanjeev...
Sanjeev Narula
executiveSo David, in addition of what I'd like to highlight that we are actively working on implementing or enhancing necessary governance, processes, tools and laying out the necessary infrastructure to support Viatris' new model. And I'm like Michael and Rajiv, very excited for Viatris to ready to go on day 1.
Robert Coury
executiveAll right. David?
David Risinger
analystExcellent. That's extremely helpful. And it would be, I think, also helpful just Sanjeev, maybe you could just comment on why we need to wait for guidance until late February, early March?
Sanjeev Narula
executiveSure. Sure, David. So as you know, we are operating as 2 independent companies. And due to legal restrictions, there is only so much you can share about each other's products and pipeline. There is so much visibility that you can provide to each other's operating plan. So therefore, what we're doing right now is building up our operating plans as independent stand-alone companies. But also, as Rajiv pointed out, planning for synergies and TSA cost and standup cost. As soon as we merge, which we expect it to be in Q4, we will consolidate 2 operating plans, complete necessary management reviews to finalize Viatris operating plan for 2021, which will form the basis of 2021 guidance. Additionally, and what the intention there is that guidance is going to be shared with the -- on the Investors Day, which is going to be end of February, beginning of March.
David Risinger
analystOkay. Excellent. And with respect to 2021 being the trough year, I was hoping that you could comment on some of the soft targets that investors have asked about on recent calls, the revenue of $18 billion, EBITDA of $7 billion. And what do you plan to bake into the numbers when you provide actual guidance for the first time early next year?
Robert Coury
executiveSo David, if I can just chime in for 1 second. Given that I have been really out in front, taking the lead on the soft numbers, directionally, where, again, I feel very strongly about I support to this day and felt that it was the right -- I felt like it was the right thing to do for the investment community from a fiduciary perspective. I do think -- I'd like, Sanjeev, if you don't mind, to answer his question. Why don't you independently share with you, Michael and Rajiv will take into consideration when you do give your guidance so that he understands your confidence level why we think that 2021, it will be a trough year, a base for us to grow from.
Sanjeev Narula
executiveSo -- sure. So David, so as I mentioned, so the way we are looking at this is a bottoms-up operating plan, consolidation for both companies that come together. And when that happens, we will consider all known risk and opportunities and many onetime events that have happened like Lyrica Generics entry in Japan to build the operating plan and therefore, arrive at the guidance. What you can be assured of that we will provide appropriate transparency in terms of what risk and opportunities have been built into those numbers and what are not and what is the rationale behind that? So I feel very confident. I believe that the guidance that we come out would recognize all the risk and opportunities that are out there.
Michael Goettler
executiveAnd that includes, obviously, all that's going on in China and all the other known risks that we know today or any other additional risk that we see at the time of guidance, I think the investment community needs to understand that we owe them that visibility, and they can expect that from us.
David Risinger
analystExcellent. Very helpful. And so maybe we can discuss the coming together of the 2 companies, there's obviously an opportunity for Mylan to bring its brands and branded generics into regions where Upjohn is located to help to offset genericization of certain Upjohn products. Could you just describe your strategic thoughts on those opportunities?
Robert Coury
executiveRajiv, why don't you take this?
Rajiv Malik
executiveYes. No. David, I'll take that. And I think Mylan has done a decent job with the brands that we acquired, whether through Abbott or Meda and we keep on -- we talk about Creon, Influvac, Dymista and what we have done with these brands. And from the market perspective, I think we are going to see our critical math in markets like Brazil, Russia, Turkey, Mexico, Korea, go to a different scale than what Mylan is stand-alone. Many of the -- this market segment makes about $100 billion in sales when you put them together and growing at about 6% CAGR, largely driven by the growing middle class. Given that health care agenda of these markets is driven by their concern around infectious as well as noncommunicable disease, and Viatris will have a lot of those products. So by nature, these markets are not generic generics markets, but they are largely branded generic markets are what we call LOE markets. Viatris infrastructure, I can tell you, will be well positioned to leverage the macro trends of these markets and drive the growth. That enhanced commercial and medical affairs capabilities of Viatris will also help to drive our growth strategy for these markets.
Michael Goettler
executiveAnd maybe, Rajiv, I can add. I think the revenue -- potential for revenue synergies and cost pollinization, that's just one of the many benefits of combining these 2 companies. And I think it's very clear Viatris is stronger together. I mean just start with the financial, combined the company as a much stronger cash flow, stronger margins, allowing us to immediately initiate a dividend, returning value to shareholders, strengthening our balance sheet. Just on the financial aspects alone, those -- these 2 companies coming together is much better. But then you add to that, the broadened geographic footprint of being in 175 markets now being truly global, a significant presence in China and other markets where previously weren't so strong, diversification of our portfolio, not only towards more branded products, which are now 60% of the total revenue, but also towards a more longer tail portfolio such as the biosimilars, the complex generics, high-quality manufacturing with now over 50 sites around the world, allowing us to be local, where we need to be local, technical expertise on the scientific side, the regulatory side, so we're truly excited about the platform that we're building by combining these 2 companies. And that allows us to not only be stronger for our own business, but also positions us well as a partner of choice for the future.
David Risinger
analystExcellent. That's very helpful, Michael. So then I was hoping to just transition to the generic business briefly. So for the Mylan generic business, could you just update us on the company's progress in addressing any FDA manufacturing concerns? And then I had another question about commercial opportunities.
Rajiv Malik
executiveSo, David, let me start addressing this compliance issues. State that, first of all, the quality of our products and the safety of our patients has been and will be -- will continue to be our primary focus. Anytime FDA or any other has authority, has questions about our operations, our industry overall, we always take an active role in developing solutions and address those concerns and maintain a proper balance between risk management and the patient access. The recent FDA warning letter issued to our API facility, primarily focused on our ability to anticipate and control the presence of nitrosamine impurities in our products. So let me put it in perspective, David. The products produced by Unit 7, which was under question, where the intrinsic risk of nitrosamine impurities was identified have not been shipped to U.S. since 2014. Nonetheless, we are committed to take all necessary steps to address any concerns FDA has and to resolve the compliance status at the site expeditiously. Mylan doesn't anticipate any interruption in manufacturing at our distribution from Unit 7 nor any significant commercial impact as a result of this warning letter.
David Risinger
analystExcellent. And then well, I'll just stick with you for one more question, Rajiv, before we pivot. So could you discuss U.S. biosimilar pushes and pulls? Maybe you could touch on Lantus and interchangeability? And also discuss other pipeline opportunities that you're most enthused about.
Rajiv Malik
executiveOkay. So let me start with the biosimilars. And although you are specifically going to ask me about U.S., I'm going to talk about a little bit global and then come back to U.S. because we view our biosimilar franchise as a long-term global opportunity and not just for U.S. as a market. We continue to deliver and enhance on our portfolio front from this perspective. And this is an attractive market, David. And due to nature of the marketplace, we see new competitors come in. So not every market is the same. Not every product is the same. So it will be not easy to paint it in one stroke. The U.S. landscape continues to evolve. Payer and provider dynamics are also evolving. This year, we also saw a little bit of impact of COVID on adoption of some of these products. For example, total Neulasta biosimilar market has remained flat at 28% despite additional competition, although our market share has slightly ticked up from 6% to 7%. Our focus is on having the right products at the right time with adequate supply. And so we'll continue to focus on these fundamentals, as always, and get it right. From a performance point of view, we have seen uptick in Ogivri, which is a biosimilar to Herceptin. For the last couple of months, we have picked up 3% to 4% additional market share. Now let me switch to Semglee, which is a exciting news. We're excited to bring the biosimilar to long-acting insulin to the patients. It's marketplace with enormous needs from patients' point of view, payer's point of view as well as health care systems. We'll be soon only player with the interchangeability. Also, we'll be the only ones with vials as a presentation, which is roughly 25% of the IMS or IQVIA market. Based on the strength of our scientific data, we feel pretty confident about the adoption of our product. And moreover, achieving interchangeability designation will provide additional level of confidence for patients, peers as well as providers with the recognition that there will be no concerns left regarding safety, efficacy or clinical outcome. But as we said, we see this as a slow ramp but sticky with a longer tail and see as a long-term opportunity. So let me take your third part of the question was pipeline. Take it -- put it in perspective that I'm speaking for the next 3 to 4-year horizon. Biosimilars will continue to be one of the key drivers, products like Avastin biosimilar to aspart, then EYLEA, Humira and when you go out a little bit beyond products like BOTOX, Toujeo or Perjeta will be in the pipeline. The other bucket where we continue to focus is devices, drug devices like generics Advair, and we are excited very soon we'll have Symbicort first to market opportunity. And how can I not mention Copaxone once a month, a great product, which we are very excited to have. But I'm -- as I shared in our last earning calls, I'm very excited with our potential opportunity around complex injectables. We have been working for years to build slowly and steadily, the development pipeline using technologies like depo gels, microspheres, liposomes, peptides. And today, we have almost 10 ANDAs under review with FDA. For products like Victoza, Invega TRINZA or Invega Sustenna, Venofer, glucagon. And I can tell you, firsthand as a scientist, that these are not easy to develop. These are not easy to manufacture, and they will be hard. There will be the products with a high hurdle and difficult to commoditize. So exciting pipeline as we look forward.
David Risinger
analystExcellent. That's very helpful. So maybe just pivoting to Sanjeev. So could you just discuss the mechanics of the 4 coming creation of Viatris. So better -- investors better understand how Upjohn will be merged into Mylan and some of the technical considerations?
Sanjeev Narula
executiveSure. Sure. David, there's a lot of work going on. As you know, we are separating from Pfizer. We were a division of Pfizer and integrated with Mylan. So all the necessary plumbing that is necessary, things like legal entity setup in countries, geography, all that has been planned and largely complete, and we're ready to go on, on day 1. Secondly, you also know that Upjohn was relying on Pfizer for a lot of the services, and we'll continue to rely on Pfizer until we absorb that infrastructure onto Mylan infrastructure. So we have extensive TSA arrangement with Pfizer. All of that have been largely planned and finalized. The third element of standup is the capabilities that we need for the new companies, including critical hires, all that have been planned and largely complete. So keeping all these things in mind, I'm very confident. We're all very confident. Still a lot of work to do that we will have a successful day 1 without any business interruption. Finally, as we closed on Q4 what the investors will see, the combination of Mylan's and Upjohn result, which will obviously will be released in conjunction with the Investor Day in the February, beginning of March.
David Risinger
analystOkay. Very good. And then could you just -- could you discuss the dividend plans, the GAAP free cash flow basis for dividends and likely timing of the first Viatris dividend?
Michael Goettler
executiveWhy don't you, Sanjeev, take the basis of the dividend and GAAP free cash flow. And when you're done, let me discuss the timing.
Sanjeev Narula
executiveRight. So David, as we've said that before, so the dividend will be based on free cash flow, which is a standard definition of free cash flow, which is the GAAP cash flow minus the capital expenditure. And both these items will be part of our disclosure. But that's the base -- the dividend percentage will be based on that free cash flow.
Michael Goettler
executiveAnd David, in terms of timing, I'm really kind of glad you asked that question because I have gotten that question from a few investors. So let me be clear. First, at the Board level, there is nothing more sacred than the commitment that we have behind this dividend once we launch it. I expect shortly after we close here in the fourth quarter when the new Board gets together, we will declare the new dividend policy. We will -- we'll definitely put out a release. I think that's extremely important that, that commitment is set down right upfront. And then what we said is that we would actually pay the dividend after the first full quarter after close. So if we close in the fourth quarter, the first full quarter end would be March 31, expect the Board to get together thereafter in the normal course to approve the Q and the results. The Board would then declare that dividend. I think we have to set a record date, a minimum of 10 days after our declaration. So you can put the timing together. And I believe that the dividend in the normal course has to be paid within 60 days of that declaration. So if you just do the timing of that, you should -- you could probably figure out when exact payment actually goes out, when the exact payment actually goes out. But I just walked you through how I see the iteration for the investment community say they know when to expect the actual dividend to be both declared and paid.
David Risinger
analystExcellent. And Robert, maybe just to wrap up, I think it'd be great to have you talk. I mean clearly, the leadership team it's been very helpful today, but it'll also be helpful to hear from you with respect to your plans to drive the strategy for Viatris as Executive Chairman.
Robert Coury
executiveSo yes. I mean, for -- as you know, David, with me, it's some other nature, but that strategy will be driven directly with the management team and the Board of Directors. I think in the presentation, I want you to know that we spent an exorbitant amount of time on the individual roles of everybody. I can't even begin to tell you how excited I am with this new management team. I can't even begin to express the complementary competencies that each one of us bring to the table. And I'll be honest with you. We're going to go from a company that spent 60 years, known for its manufacturing and operational excellence, really in a building phase. We were building the skyscraper for the last, like basically is the example of a construction site. And we all know what that looks like while you're building that Skyscraper. At Viatris, that building phase is done as the developer now delivers it to the new owner. You can expect it to be in pristine condition, and we want to go from a manufacturing, operational excellence to more known now as the commercial excellence I think that the combination between Upjohn and Mylan gives us exactly that enhanced capabilities on the commercial side than even what we've had before. So there's a high emphasis that we are now putting on becoming a much greater performance-based company, and therefore, the emphasis on commercialization, optimizing the each commercial opportunity to its fullest is the only way we're going to be able to achieve the ultimate results and metrics we set out for ourselves and meet our commitment to return capital to shareholders. And look, multiple expansion is going to be a very, very big part of this. It's not going to just be the dividend, return of capital and capital allocation and the competition, what I now call stingy capital that management will have to compete for because the Board will be just as inclined and satisfied to continue to pay down debt beyond even our targets that we set, increase the dividend or even buy our own shares back. So we feel that we are -- the strength of our starting point speaks for itself. And -- but I will tell you, there's not going to be anything that's ever going to bring multiple expansion to this organization without performance, performance, performance, execution, execution, execution in a flawless way. I think this management understands that. I think this Board intends on holding management accountable to that. We're all signing up for that. And you can expect all of our compensation arrangements to basically follow the philosophy and the strategy and directionally where we want to drive the company.
David Risinger
analystExcellent. So I think that's a great way to wrap up. Any other final comments you want to offer, Robert, before we sign off?
Robert Coury
executiveI am very excited, not just for the Mylan shareholder. I'm really excited to welcome the new Pfizer shareholders. I've had fantastic discussions with them as well. And I'm really excited for the Viatris shareholders as we go forward. I'm excited for the people in the company. I've never -- I feel there's a renewed robustness. I'm very sad, and our hearts go out to all the COVID people who are suffering as a result of this unbelievable global situation. And from our perspective, I don't want to forget that, but in a very perverse way, this delayed closure for us as we get ready to set up Viatris has really inured to the benefit of our opportunity to really pull together a management team that I believe is qualified, capable, motivated, cohesive and extraordinarily collaborative. And I think that's all going to show up in their execution and in the results. So thank you very, very much, David, for this opportunity.
David Risinger
analystExcellent. All right. Thank you, again, to you and the team. And operator, you can close out the call.
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