VICI Properties Inc. (VICI) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
November 18, 2020
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
R.J. Milligan
analystOkay. Good morning, everybody. This is R.J. Milligan with Raymond James Equity Research. Happy to present VICI Properties. And we're going to go through -- we're going to get Ed Pitoniak, who's the CEO, his view from 30,000 feet. But also on the line, we have John Payne, the President of the company; David Kieske, Chief Financial Officer; and Danny Valoy. And so with that, good morning, and I'd like to turn it over to Ed his 30 -- view from 30,000 feet on VICI Properties.
Edward Pitoniak
executiveThanks, R.J.. Thanks so much for hosting us today, and welcome to everybody who's on this call. We hope very much we can be sitting with R.J. personally next year in Las Vegas for the Fall NAREIT, God willing. Anyway, just to give you a quick introduction to VICI. We are a REIT that is about just a little over 3 years old. We were born in the fall of 2017, and our seat portfolio consisted of gaming real estate from the Caesars portfolio. We started with 1 tenant. We have been very busy over the last 3 years, telling our story. Telling everyone we can meet that we believe gaming real estate is the next great institutionalization story in American Commercial Real Estate, given its operating and economic characteristics. We've been very busy, as I say. We've raised $6 billion of equity to pay for $8-plus billion of transactions. We today have an enterprise value of about $20 billion based on a market cap as of yesterday's close of about $14.1 billion. We really love the real estate that we own. It is occupied by great tenants. And if I was going to synthesize our beliefs into one simple statement, we believe that REIT business models, that the quality of REIT business models is ultimately the aggregation of the quality of one's tenants' business models. We have 5 gaming tenants. And what these 5 gaming tenants have demonstrated year after year, but especially this year and especially within the COVID crisis, what they have demonstrated is operating ability, operating energy, operating dynamism that has enabled them to come through this crisis better than any other leisure, recreational or entertainment category. We have collected 100% of our rent through this crisis in cash. We went back on offense in June and then again in Q3. In Q3, we closed a $3.2 billion transaction with Caesars with Eldorado, which became the new owner of Caesars. We've posted one of the highest, if not the highest, growth rates of AFFO in Q3. We posted one of the highest dividend increases in American REIT management here also in Q3, 10.9%. And we are going to continue to grow. We will enjoy the benefits of our acquisition of Caesars Real Estate for the next 3 quarters. And over these next 3 quarters should post one of the highest growth rates in AFFO per share of any American REIT out there. So we give you a great combination of growth and stability based upon, again, the operating excellence and quality of our tenants in an incomparable consumer discretionary category that being gaming. R.J.?
R.J. Milligan
analystThat's helpful. Thanks, Ed. The -- you mentioned strength of the underlying tenants' operating business. You mentioned 100% collections through the pandemic. I think those on the line are probably more familiar with other net lease companies like a Realty Income or National Retail Properties, companies that have been around for a very long time and have done very well. Can you talk about some of the differences? And so obviously, you talked about the operating business of the tenant, which is very different. You're focused on gaming. You did talk about 100% rent collections. But maybe you can compare and contrast VICI's portfolio, whether it be asset size, maybe master leases and the use of master leases with VICI? And how that sort of differs from the traditional more retail-focused net lease peers?
Edward Pitoniak
executiveYes. I'll start off and then turn it over to our President, John Payne. I think one of the key things about gaming -- well, there's a few key characteristics, R.J., that have enabled us to outperform during this period, outperform in rent collection and outperform in stock performance. And that is that our real estate is occupied by operators who serve end users, who lack substitutes for what they really want to do within these assets. And moreover, these assets are critically important to the fiscal infrastructure of all the states they operate in. States were very focused on getting casinos reopened safely back in the spring. All of our assets did reopen eventually. All of our assets operated safely for the benefit of both the employees and the guests. And the operators, again, brought an energy to this. It really can best be described by John Payne, given the 22 years he spent with Caesars. So John, over to you.
John W. Payne
executiveGood morning, R.J. Good to be here this morning. Ed touched on this. I mean one of the advantages we have in our model is we have 5 tenants. We don't have hundreds of tenants. And so we get to know the details of their business. And as Ed alluded to, these businesses have reopened after the pandemic and, in many cases, are having record [ EBITDA ] levels, which is very different than many businesses, particularly in the hospitality space where you continue to hear operators talk about improving their cash burn. We have our tenants talking about how they're hitting record EBITDAR levels at some of their properties and expanding margins from 500 points, even up to some properties at 1,200. So it's a very different model. We get to know the inner workings of their business and understanding how they perform and how they've reacted, not only during the good times, but also during these very tough times.
R.J. Milligan
analystAnd can you touch on the use of master leases, and that's not something, that's as commonly used in the rest of net lease and STORE Capital does -- uses some master leases, not as common. Can you talk about the protection that provides VICI?
Edward Pitoniak
executiveDavid, do you want to take that?
David Kieske
executiveSure. Happy to. Thanks for joining us, everybody, this morning. So as Ed and John have said, we have 5 tenants. Caesars being the biggest that represents 83% of our rent. Within Caesars, we have 2 master leases. We have a Las Vegas master lease, which encompasses the Caesars Palace Las Vegas and Harrah's Las Vegas. And then we have 22, 23 assets in the regional markets, which is our regional master lease with Caesars. Both of those leases are guaranteed by the parent entity of Caesars, the top co entity. The rent coverage at the asset levels is sound. But when you take into account the wholly-owned stores that are in the rest of the Caesars portfolio, the top company corporate coverage, pre-COVID, was north of 3x. The other tenants we have, we have 2 assets with JACK Entertainment in a master lease, 2 assets in Ohio, which is a very, very strong market. We have a single lease with Hard Rock. We have 1 asset with Hard Rock, which has a parent guarantee from the Seminole seminal -- top Seminole Tribe. And we have 2 assets with Penn, 2 separate assets. Those are in single leases, but again, those are corporate guarantees from the parent entity of Pen. And then we have a small operators called Century Casinos, where we have 3 assets in a master lease. And again, those are -- have corporate guarantees from the corporate entity at Century. So unlike the broader triple net, all of our leases have corporate guarantees that benefit from the entirety of our tenants' businesses in the event there is a downturn. And has been mentioned on this call, we are one of the few very small handful of REITs in North America to collect 100% of the rent in cash throughout this pandemic.
R.J. Milligan
analystThat's helpful. Thanks, David. Can you guys talk about the growth of the company. Ed, you mentioned it in your initial comments about how much you guys have grown over the past just few years. Talk about some of the assets that you've purchased, the tenant relationships you've developed? And then what are you looking for in the future in terms of external growth?
Edward Pitoniak
executiveYes. John?
John W. Payne
executiveYes. R.J., we've been blessed in our first 3 years of growing this company. We've -- we started out with 1 tenant with Caesars, and they continue to perform extremely well and gone through a wonderful transition of the management team and they're poised to grow again. But we've added 4 different operators in that period to our portfolio. And David touched on it, earlier, we've added Penn National. We've added Hard Rock. We've added JACK Casino and a small company called Century. So we plan to continue to grow with our current tenants. But I wouldn't be surprised if over the coming year or 2, you're going to continue to see us add more tenants to our portfolio. Our portfolio is a nice mix of assets, as David touched on. We do have assets in the Las Vegas destination market. And we also have assets all over the United States where there's commercial gaming. And I think you're going to see continue to have that mix of assets as we acquire our new properties over the coming years. The final thing I'll touch on is we've spent a lot of time as we've done acquisitions to continue to build our growth pipeline. So what we describe as our embedded growth pipeline. We have ROFRs for 2 assets in Las Vegas. We have a ROFR with an asset in urban core of Baltimore. We have a strong foot call agreement with Caesars to acquire 2 wonderful assets in Indianapolis as well. And those are, again, how we describe our embedded growth pipeline. So if we don't do anything else, which is not really in our nature, we have these assets in front of us in the coming years.
R.J. Milligan
analystThat's helpful. And I would encourage any of the folks on the line to please submit any questions that you may have. We do have one question. Do you guys think the pandemic will cause states to look for more income sources unless -- thus lead to more opportunities. So I guess it's a double-edged short question, do you think that we're going to see more states legalize physical casinos? And would that be a positive from an opportunity side to acquire assets? Or would that be a negative in terms of increasing the new supply and maybe cannibalizing regional markets?
Edward Pitoniak
executiveYes. So R.J., it's a good question. And I'll take the second half and first before turning it over to John, and potentially Danny as well. We look at new supply generally as a net positive for us as a REIT. Insofar as net supply creates a need for incremental capital on the part of anyone who's going to take advantage of these new development opportunities. So again, we are generally very positive about new supply. Now I'm going to turn it over to John, who can talk about election day results and the degree to which those are a partial answer to this question in terms of what is really is to use John's phrase, the increasing mainstreaming of American Gaming. John?
John W. Payne
executiveYes. Pretty amazing, R.J., this past -- a few weeks ago, there were 6 initiatives in 6 different states regarding some form of gaming. All of them passed and all of them passed. I think the lowest approval was 63%. So to Ed's point, the movement and the approval of gaming across the United States is as high as it's ever been. And I think we'll continue to see that across the United States, whether that's in bricks-and-mortar edition casinos as we saw in states like Virginia that passed as well as Nebraska. Or you're going to see sports betting continue to grow across the nation state by state, which both of them are very excited -- exciting for our tenants, and we'll continue to make our tenants stronger, and it also could provide opportunities for us to grow our bricks-and-mortar real estate.
R.J. Milligan
analystThat's helpful. And John, you brought up sports betting. And that's obviously been a very topical theme. We've seen it in the stock price performance of Penn with our acquisition of Barstool, obviously, what DraftKings have done this year. Can you talk about what impact -- and you touched on it briefly, but what impact does sports betting have on your tenants, have on the actual physical buildings that you guys own? And your thoughts about the growth and possibilities there?
John W. Payne
executiveEd, do you want to take that or Danny, do you want to take that?
Edward Pitoniak
executiveWhy don't I start from the high level, and then you and Danny can get into more of the granularity of how sports betting economically works for our tenants and thus for us. And maybe to step back for a moment, R.J., if you look at gaming REITs and if you look at VICI specifically, we have been a good defensive choice in this period of COVID, right? We have outperformed during this period of COVID because our tenants simply have been in much better shape than so many other tenants and so many other asset classes across the triple-net spectrum. So it's great to be a defensive choice in a time of crisis. But then the question arises, well, how good a choice will you be as an equity pick when this crisis is finally over and it's time to play offense again. And so I think the 2 key themes that come out of 2020 for VICI are, number one, how well we have performed because of how well our tenants have performed during COVID, but the second big theme that is going to come out of 2020 is the degree which in 2020 iGaming and sports betting have revealed themselves as a powerful new secular tailwind behind American Gaming, right. It represents a whole new way of gaming, engaging with a potentially much bigger audience, a much bigger marketplace of potential visitors to casinos, not unlike what ESPN and regional sports cable did in terms of growing the fan bases of every major league team over the last 40 years, when you no longer had to go to the stadium to become a fan. But once you became a fan, you became more likely to go to the stadium. So again, 2 very powerful things in 2020: one, somewhat defensive in nature; one, offensive. And John and Danny can now talk about the degree to which it will help our tenants, not only strategically in the way I've described engaging a new generation, but economically as well. John?
John W. Payne
executiveI'm going to let Danny take that one.
Daniel Valoy
executiveYes, I'm happy to jump in here. Thanks. So look, actually, sports betting overall, it's a really big tailwind for the operators, as Ed mentioned. I'd say sports betting in and of itself isn't hugely profitable. You have a similar concept to what you have in poker, where the house effectively takes a rake for a percentage. In sports betting, the operators effectively make money by pricing the bets in certain ways. And so if you think about the biggest Sportsbooks on the Las Vegas strip, at properties like Caesars Palace and Bellagio, they generate somewhere between $5 million and $10 million of EBITDA a year. That said, there's a lot of ancillary benefit that comes from having that amenity. So sports betting has been proven in the regional markets and jurisdictions, like Iowa, to drive a significant increase in visitation to the properties. There's a property there that cited a 20% increase in foot traffic with the addition of a Sportsbook. Both Caesars and MGM have cited stats in Mississippi where with the addition of sports betting, food and beverage revenues have increased 200% to 300%, and there is a 20% to 40% increase in table games volume because there is a lot of crossover play. So I think one of the really big benefits here is sports betting drives, attracts an incremental customer and then really drives that foot traffic to the property and ultimately, helps our tenants to the online portion, obviously, accrues to the corporate entities of our tenants that ultimately makes them a better credit longer term. And for us, in a way, there is some ancillary benefit in our existing leases and that this new incremental revenue stream ultimately gets captured into the property P&L, and we do have a longer-term reset mechanism where we measure the revenue performance of the asset over a longer period of time and then align rent with that performance. So to the extent that things like sports betting and even online gaming potentially are additive, there is an incremental benefit there for VICI as well.
R.J. Milligan
analystThanks, Danny. One of the questions that I'm asking all of the companies during NAREIT is the potential or what we've already started to see additional shutdowns due to the spike in cases in COVID. And how do you think that impacts VICI or potentially impacts VICI? Obviously, we had an unprecedented closing of all casinos, all casinos, in the United States. VICI still collected 100% of rents and imagine that the answer is going to be whatever the shutdowns are, they're going to be more regionally focused and less impactful. But just curious what your thoughts are as we're asking all the companies as we go into this winter and seeing the unfortunate number of cases increasing. How do you think that impacts or potentially impacts VICI's business?
Edward Pitoniak
executiveJohn, you want to take that?
John W. Payne
executiveSure. Absolutely, and I understand that you're asking everyone about this. We completely understand that. The way we've looked at and our operators do it, obviously very different than March and April. We do believe that there could be some more shutdowns. You're seeing this in -- already R.J., in states like Michigan that have announced the shutdown of their casinos for 3 weeks. You see some hours being reduced in states like Ohio. But unlike March and April where there was complete shutdown and unknown, we do think there will be a tailored and targeted solution for these shutdowns. What is right for Michigan is probably not right for Louisiana. What's right for Louisiana is probably not right for Nevada. And I think you're seeing the governors and the state regulators understand that. So our teams, our tenants are prepared for this. They obviously have game plans that are already in place of how to shut down a casino, how to reopen it safely and soundly, how to have a place that's incredibly clean for the guests. And so we'll just continue to monitor it. We do expect that there'll be more of those, whether they're complete shutdowns or changing of the policies and procedures and the timing. And we're seeing some of that play out right now. But to your point, we have been fortunate to have very strong tenants that even when the casinos were shut down in March and April and May, we continued -- VICI continued to receive 100% of our rent. And our tenants are better prepared today than they were for the complete shutdown in March and April.
R.J. Milligan
analystCan you just touch on that, John, why are they better prepared? Or what steps of your tenants taken through this pandemic to increase their ability to pay rent? Which ultimately, as we look at the space, the unique part about gaming net lease REITs is that you can really underwrite the tenants and their ability to pay rent. Can you just talk about how that's improved despite the pandemic?
John W. Payne
executiveYes. I'll talk operationally because during the times they've been open, they've been able to generate more cash than ever before, particularly on the regions. But David can talk about their balance sheets -- David and Danny, about the balance sheets and what our tenants have done to continue to get stronger over this time. But R.J., as I talked earlier, as many other hospitality areas are still burning cash, the casinos that have opened up, in particular, in the regional markets because of the hard work of the tenants to reimagine how they operate, are running at all-time highs and all-time margins. So over the course of the summer and now into the fall, the businesses have been cash flow positive, again many at records. And we see that, they're obviously stronger. And then the final thing is they're prepared to operate the businesses with these restrictions in a safe environment with more cleaning staff, understanding what the restrictions are, new layouts of the casino floor, and they're just better prepared for the situation that we find ourselves. So I'll turn it over to David and talk a little bit about what the tenants have done during this time.
Edward Pitoniak
executiveDavid, just before you start, just to reemphasize the point, R.J. In the spring, regulators -- public health authorities, regulators and the operators had to work together to figure out once it is safe to reopen, how are you going to reopen? What are the safety procedures? And that required time that won't be required, to John's point, this time around, right. When the all clear whistle is blown, can get right back to business because you've done all the work last spring to figure out what it is going to require to reopen safely. David?
David Kieske
executiveYes. Thanks, Ed. And R.J., you've mentioned something that's critical. There is transparency into our tenants, right? 3 of our 5 tenants are public companies. So as an investor in VICI, you have a look-through to how our tenants' financial performance is based on their filings, based on their quarterly reporting. JACK and Hard Rock are private and -- JACK is a smaller private company. Hard Rock is obviously, a globe, a multinational entertainment company that has public debt. So there is some better transparency in our model versus the typical triple net model. And what you've seen from the operators is their ability to access capital, their ability to pivot on a dime, to shut down, take out cost of the system and then reopen from basically a zero-based budgeting standpoint. And if you just take Penn as an example, it was trading at $4 and change back in end of March, early April, and they had closed yesterday north of $65 a share. And they've raised significant amounts of capital, significant amounts, both equity and debt to bolster the balance sheet and to reopen. Caesars is similar, they had a big equity raise in June and another very big equity raise a few weeks ago, ahead of gaming -- sports betting acquisition around William Hill. So unlike the global financial crisis, the capital markets are wide open for the operators, and the operators are taking advantage of that to bolster their positions as they -- whether this pandemic better than any other leisure entertainment hospitality operator out there.
R.J. Milligan
analystThanks, David. That's helpful. And I would encourage any questions from the line. Feel free to submit them and take them in. Happy to ask those. I think the last topic I'd like to touch on is all the gaming REITs have talked about moving into non-gaming, more experiential assets and acquisitions. And VICI was the first to do a transaction outside of gaming. Just wondering if you could give us a little color on that transaction? The thought process behind it? And what do you think the opportunity set is beyond those for non-gaming assets?
Edward Pitoniak
executiveYes. I'll start out, R.J., and then turn it over to David. From the very beginning, VICI has been positioned as an experiential REIT. We were formed on the investment thesis that experiential real estate will prove to be a really great commercial real estate asset class deserving an institutionalization. And we -- because we are positioned that way, from the beginning, we created a board and we created a management team with expertise across a broad array of experiential sectors. And we've taken advantage of that expertise in order to be the first gaming REIT to actually allocate capital outside of gaming. It is a small first step, but we think a very indicative -- a powerfully indicative representation of how we think about experiential real estate and where we go from here. And to give you a little more color on that specific deal, I'll turn it over to David.
David Kieske
executiveYes. Thanks, Ed. Thanks, R.J. The transaction is around Chelsea Piers New York. And for those of you who don't know Chelsea Piers New York, very, very unique asset, 780,000 square feet, sits on [ 4 piers ], that does have a land-based component. But it's a very complex asset with a lot of levers, very similar to gaming, a further reason we're very attracted to it. And it's an asset that we've had a long-term history with. But just to give you some perspective, there's a golf driving business -- driving range business is doing phenomenally well. Very, very big fitness component to it that has opened up post Labor Day. Unlike other fitness assets, they have space. So they spread people out. Their customers are returning. It's a big field house, kids, sports, gymnastics, soccer, et cetera. There's a huge banquet business. Some of the best banquet space in New York sits right on the Hudson River. That has been closed given the pandemic. But the resiliency of this operating team is they've pivoted and used the space in other ways, shapes or forms. One specific example, they served over 100,000 meals a month, to frontline workers and pandemic workers just taking advantage of the kitchen that they have in there. And then there's a Marina business. There's a -- one of the biggest homeowners in the country. And then there's a Studio business, which has been going -- gamebusters for the just a global desire for content -- media content. So -- and the asset, as I said, has a 25-year operating history. They've weathered a degree of financial crisis. they've weathered 9/11. They've weathered Hurricane Sandy, which is one of the most impactful to their business. And they've been able to come through this and start to see through the other side being free cash flow positive. And just to give you a perspective, we were able to structure a loan, which funded $65 million on August 31, with another $15 million kind of delayed draw component if the business still needs it. We're the only debt in the capital stack, and we structured it as a debt instrument in a way that's a very safe instrument for both VICI and our investors to generate current -- consistent, predictable income. And then ultimately, we use our loan book, we have a loan on Caesars Forum Convention Center in Las Vegas. We have a small loan with JACK Entertainment as a way -- as a potential way to ultimately own the real estate. And so if there is a monetization event of Chelsea Piers New York, it -- we should have a seat at the table. Any event, the operators look to monetize that asset, if someday in the future. And the other thing, as we think about experiential real estate outside of gaming, we want to look at markets where we may not be able to own gaming assets because they're -- just the regulations don't allow gaming assets. As we think about the REIT in building a diversified portfolio of real estate, adding this as experiential on real estate in markets where gaming is allowed, produces a diversified revenue stream for us and helps protect us throughout these ups and downs of the economy.
R.J. Milligan
analystThanks, David. That's very helpful. Well, gentlemen, I think we're just about out of time. So I'd like to thank everybody for participating on today's call. And thank you, guys, VICI, for participating. I hope you guys have a great day.
Edward Pitoniak
executiveThank you, R.J.
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