Virtuoso Optoelectronics Limited (VOEPL.BO) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

November 18, 2025

BSE IN Consumer Discretionary Household Durables earnings 65 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Vinay Pandit

attendee
#1

Ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of Kaptify Consulting Investor Relations team, I welcome you all to the Q2 and H1 FY '26 Post-Earnings Conference Call of Virtuoso Optoelectronics Limited. Today on the call from the management team, we have with us Mr. Sukrit Bharati, Managing Director; and Mr. Sajid Shaikh, Chief Financial Officer. As a disclaimer, I would like to inform all of you that this call may contain forward-looking statements, which may involve risks and uncertainties. Also, a reminder that this call is being recorded. I would now request the management to briefly run us through the investor presentation, giving us the business and performance highlights for the period ended September 2025, the growth plan and vision for the coming year, post which we will open the floor for Q&A. Over to the management team.

Sajid Shaikh

executive
#2

Yes. Thank you, Vinay. Can we have the presentation please?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#3

Sajid, are you able to see it?

Sajid Shaikh

executive
#4

Yes, I can see but you'll have to go a little back I think. You have ran forward. So good evening, everyone. Thank you for joining this call. I think the numbers we have already declared. I'm just running through the same. So this is a comparison that is put on your screen, which compares H1 FY '25 and H1 FY '26 as a comparison. So at a top line level, the half year of '26 has been pretty similar or flattish in comparison to last year. We did about INR 305 crores of net sales last year. This year, it has been INR 298 crores. However, the good thing over here is that at an EBITDA level, the company has performed better. Even despite the fact that there is a slight dip on the overall number, the company has done about 13.5% more EBITDA. So versus INR 28.1 crores of last year, we have done about INR 38.9 crores (sic) [ INR 31.89 crores ] EBITDA margin. It stands at about 10.6% in terms of percentages, which is up by 163 bps. The primary reason for this has been a larger contribution from non-AC products. So as we move forward during the Q&A, probably we'll answer this in a little more detail. The PBT is slightly lower than expected. The PBT has come to about INR 7.8 crores, which is about 30% lower than last year. PAT level although seems much more lower, it is at 1.1% versus 2.4% that we did last year. But a large part of that can be attributed to the fact that there has been a huge component of deferred tax liability, which has come on, on the table here, which has brought down the overall PAT levels. So that's primarily broadly the numbers -- financial numbers for H1. Can you move forward, please? So this tells basically how we have grown over the years from '21 to '25. The CAGR in top line has been 43%. When we consider the PBT, the CAGR has been at 56% in absolute value-wise. EBITDA has grown by about 37% and PAT has grown by about 48% year-on-year over the last 5 years. Next slide, please. These are the annual statements. I think we can skip this for now. Way forward, Sukritji, would you like to take this?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#5

Yes. So good evening, everybody. And once again, thank you for being part of the call. So last quarter, of course, in terms of AC sales has been a little slow. Even though the demands are strong, we expect we have a strong order book also looking forward. The -- I mean, 2, 3 reasons, coupled with -- I mean, 2, 3 reasons. One, of course, season being bad, inventory was high. And second, there was -- there's a change in B rating. So newer specs were not released on time, which are being released now. So all the factors combined, I think Q2 was slower than expected for us. Anyhow, what we -- the way forward is as follows. We see a strong order book for the next 6 months or next 8 months for the upcoming season, which is a good sign for us. So we intend to sweat the assets, all assets that were created over the last 12 months, whether it is in Nashik, whether it is in Chennai or Sanand, we want to start doing that, point number one. Point number two is our backward integration continues to grow and become stronger. Even though sales were muted, we have continued to expand our capacities, and we are continuing investments because we believe this is only a temporary phase of 3, 4 months. And we will be back in full sale action by end of this month. So things on that side are good. So we have started our own new tool room for manufacturing tools and molds. We are also further expanding our EMS capacity, which I will further talk about ahead in the presentation. And that is what we are doing. As far as diversification of customer base and product segment was concerned, 2 years ago, we started the journey of diversifying from AC being our primary revenue driver. So now we are happy to share that we are diversifying not just within product segments, but also within customers for AC because now we have more capacity. Like we discussed during the last call, our capacity ramp-up is ongoing for 1 million pieces per annum, which is 10 lakh pieces. And next year, we want to further increase this to about 18 lakh pieces of CBUs of air conditioners, so which will be a major leap for us as far as capacity expansion is concerned. We are also happy to share that we have launched our ODM range of air conditioners in the market. And we are starting to work with additional customers because we have additional capacity, including our current customer in the AC segment. So we hope that we'll move up the value chain by not just diversifying products, but also diversifying customers within the same products. High potential categories. So we believe both compressor and commercial refrigeration are also high potential categories that will give us immediate growth. And commercial refrigeration has been picking up well. We have a steady stream of orders and a strong order book there as well for the next year. We also have an excellent set of customers that we are working with in the commercial refrigeration segment. So that is where we are expecting a good 35%, 40% growth, maybe higher because it's a smaller base to come from commercial refrigeration and compressors. We can go to the next slide. So the capacity expansion that I was talking about. So our current EMS capacity is about 400,000 cph, which is components per hour as far as line capacity is concerned. We plan to double that capacity to 800,000 cph by mid-next year. So this will be our first major investment in EMS post -- I mean, in the last few years because the major -- most of the investment was going towards air conditioners and commercial refrigeration. AC, like I mentioned, this year, we will complete our capacity of 10 lakhs, and we will start ramping our capacity towards 18 lakh. To this extent, we have recently also tied up with a factory which is available in Chennai, and we have taken that factory for operational lease for a period of 5 years, where we will manufacture -- we will start manufacturing of air conditioners from Chennai also in Q4, so which will also add to our geographical presence, and it will give us additional tool designs and tool platforms that are already available in that manufacturing unit. So that manufacturing unit, we will start operating from first week of January, and we plan to start commercial production by end of Q4. Water dispenser continues to be similar. Deep freezer, we are seeing a strong demand, and we will ramp up the capacity from 150,000 to 400,000 before the end of the next financial year. Compressor, our current capacity is about 2.8 million. And the order book for next year, we already have a 50% booking of capacity in compressors for next year. And currently, we are maintaining the same capacity. But if things are aggressive and the QCO policy continues where the government does not extend the compressor import restriction, then we will look at expanding the capacity within next year itself for compressor manufacturing. So that is where we stand as of today for our capacities. Growth drivers continue to be strong demand, of course. Overall, the demand has been good even though barring the last 3, 4 months. Localization continues to be a focus area for the government, not just for -- I mean, not just for ACs, but also they are now considering other components like compressors and other parts of refrigeration for the next round of PLI. So I think that is a good sign. We have a strong customer base, and we keep learning from them. And of course, the government is definitely active with all the policies, state policies and central policies. Right. So now as the company stands today, these are our primary verticals. Air conditioners, of course, continues to be still a dominant vertical as far as revenue is concerned. AC components is structuring well, both for our capital requirements and with what we are supplying to others. Washing machine, we plan to do. We have already done our pilot production lots. We plan to start mass production in a month or 2 once we complete our field trials. The refrigeration products. In deep freezers and water dispenser, I think there is a slight mistake in EMS. We need to get that corrected. In EMS, we are doing electronic controllers, and we are also doing LED lighting. In refrigeration, we are doing water dispensers and freezers. We have also started doing some assembly of refrigerators on the higher-end refrigerators for a couple of customers, which is an SKD assembly as of now, and it is still a small part, but that is also something that we have started doing over the last 2 to 3 months. Compressor within the subsidiary of VOEPL, VCPL, we have -- we are happy to share we have started commercial production and we have started supplies to our customers from that segment vertical. I think it was a very quick turnaround and start-up of a compressor plant. I think we were able to, from start to finish, do it in less than 8 months, for which I think the credit is due to the team heading compressors. VPPL has 2 plants now. One, of course, is in Chennai, which is operational and is generating revenue. That plant also has a good order book for the next 6 to 8 months. The plant in Sanand that we set up is in the trial phase now and will start commercial production maybe in mid or end of December. Some photos of our manufacturing units. So the compressor line and refrigeration, of course, is what has increased in the last year. These are the finished product verticals that I mentioned, semi-automatic being the new one and the latest one on the block and the compressors, of course, we have started commercial production. Components, like I mentioned, we are doing all of these components in-house, and we continue to strengthen on controller boards with the expansion in EMS. These are, of course, some benefits, I think we have as a company. One is backward integration in manufacturing. We are clear and focused about staying core to manufacturing. And working with larger brands and the leading brands, even multinationals is teaching us a lot, and we continue to learn. Location-wise, I believe we are well placed and centrally located, which also helps. PLI during the last, I think, 6 months, we increased our sanction from INR 50 crores to INR 100 crores. So that sanction also we were -- we've gotten. Right. Thank you. So that was a quick presentation about what has happened in the last few months. I think we can open the floor for questions. Thank you so much.

Vinay Pandit

attendee
#6

[Operator Instructions] We'll take the first question from Akash Jain.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#7

A couple of questions. One is on the AC part. This capacity expansion from 10 lakh to 18 lakh units seems to be a new development because in the last con call, I think we had not discussed expansion of AC more. And it's a little surprising because in the current environment, it's a little bit surprising. And by current environment, I'm not saying AC demand being weak. I think the current environment in terms of most of the OEMs have increased their own capacity for in-house manufacturing, right? We have seen that happening to Voltas as well with the big increase in capacity in Chennai. And so in such an environment where we are seeing a lot of these OEM guys getting PLI benefits and doing their own in-house manufacturing, how do you -- from a comfort point of view, what gives you comfort that we will be able to increase capacity significantly and utilize it? I think that's one part on the AC side. On the -- the second question is on compressor. I think you mentioned that is -- are you seeing a slight bit of risk in terms of the government again, simplifying the compressor imports and this whole trend of BIS on compressors and then pushing manufacturing in-house in India, do you see that getting postponed a little bit? What is the feedback on the compressor side and the policy decisions on compressor side?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#8

Right. So thank you for the questions. So first question, as far as capacity expansion is concerned, 2 things. Once -- since that now we are talking to more customers as far as AC is concerned, we see a stronger demand in the market, point number one. Point number two, for the next couple of years, I think the peaks are going to be very strong. And to cater to the peaks, you will need some buffer capacity. And if we don't have the buffer capacity, we don't want to be in a situation where we are not able to cater to our commitments to our customers during the peak season. So capacity expansion has 2 reasons. One is, of course, catering to peak requirements, which come in the next couple of years. That is one because customer satisfaction is very critical in those times. The second reason is that even though -- we believe even though some brands, like you mentioned, are taking manufacturing in-house, there are a lot of Tier 2, Tier 3 brands who are also growing aggressively. There are a lot of brands who have also decided to not increase their in-house capacity beyond what they have today. So in case the season -- I mean, in case we see a growth of 10%, 15% in the market, we will suddenly run short of capacity is our anticipation. So even though we may not utilize more than 50% or 60% of our capacity in the next financial year if we -- once we achieve that 18 lakh number. But in FY '28, we believe almost 70-odd percent utilization is possible for the expanded capacity. That was point one. Point two was as far as QCO is concerned, in our compressor plan, we expect that the government may give a few months or maybe a year's extension partially or completely for compressor imports. But looking at all the investments that have been committed in India now, both for rotary and reciprocatory compressors, I believe that the government will not unilaterally take back these QCOs. The current QCOs that have been reversed are more of -- more on the core metals. So I don't see it propagating across all products. But of course, this is a policy decision, so we cannot comment. As far as our capacity is concerned, we have already booked half of our capacity. And even if the QCO restrictions get extended with the capacity that we have, we are confident that we will continue to book it because customers get better service in terms of delivery. They don't have to wait for 3 months for delivery of material. After they give forecast, they can pick up material based on their comfort and availability. That is point number one. Point number two, in case of any service challenge support required, they have local support available. So import, as long as we match import prices, I don't see a challenge with capacity utilization. That being said, if QCO -- our margins, of course, will be lower by 2%, 3% if the QCO does not get extended, but I don't see a major hurdle in capacity utilization.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#9

Just one quick follow-up on this. So the AC plant, the new AC extension that you're doing in Chennai, will it be catering to only Voltas because obviously, Voltas is a big plant in Chennai now? Or is it going to be catering to...

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#10

Other customers. So we have already started tying up with additional customers who we have -- who we will begin supplying in the next month.

Vinay Pandit

attendee
#11

We'll take next question from [ Achu ].

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#12

Am I audible?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#13

Yes, please.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#14

Yes. I have only one question regarding REC, most of the big companies, they are saying there is slowdown in REC. So if you have contracted them in the recent time, you need to sell REC products to the partners, right? Have you had any conversation in recent times, like how is the demand going on? Is the inventory cleared up? What is the status of RECs I want to under to understand?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#15

So our general feeler from the market is that overall situation is improving as far as inventory is concerned. Second, the demand is -- I mean the overall industry is maybe similar or 5% plus/minus as against last year. So there is no major degrowth, but because of the policy shift as far as the table change is concerned. And second, because people planned for a much bigger season, there was a temporary buildup of capacity. I see all of that regularizing by December, January because everybody started planning for the upcoming season, and we already have a good order book. So I don't see that being a challenge.

Vinay Pandit

attendee
#16

[Operator Instructions] We'll take next question from Sidharth.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#17

Sir, my first question is on the washing machine side, sir. What capacity are we looking for the washing machine? And what will be the realization? My second question is on the compressor. Sir, what kind of revenue should we consider in FY '26 and FY '27? Because if we are targeting 50% of our order coming from compressor, that is close to INR 200 crores. Is that number right? And sir, my third question is regarding the inventory. So what kind of inventory is in the channel? And can you also give the breakup of the INR 300 crores in H1?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#18

So washing machine, we are looking at a capacity of about 200,000 to 250,000 pieces per annum, with a utilization of about 50% to 70% in the next calendar year. Realization value, one washing machine sells for about INR 6,000. So anywhere between -- I mean, INR 60 crores to INR 100 crores is what we're looking at from washing machine in the next year -- calendar year. That was question number one. Washing machine, we are doing 8 to 9 kilos category as of now to start with as far as the product is concerned, semi-automatic twined up. Second question with regards to compressor, yes, with a 50% capacity utilization, we are looking at a number -- revenue number of about INR 200 crores coming from compressors in the next calendar year. Third question, as far as inventory in the channel is concerned, we may not have the most accurate figures, but inventory is still slightly high, but it is -- I think people have already started building up inventory for the upcoming season. So I would not say that inventory should now be a cause of big concern. I think people have started preparing for the season. And up till March, unless the next season is delayed or slowed or something of that sort, we still will continue to get strong requirements from the market.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#19

Right. Sir, the last question, sir, what will be the H1 breakup in terms of segment?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#20

H1 breakup, 50% of our revenue roughly came from air conditioners. 15% to 18% came from commercial refrigeration, about 20% came from EMS and the remaining came from components.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#21

Okay. And sir, year-on-year, what was the degrowth in AC?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#22

Year-on-year degrowth in AC would be about -- H1, about 30%, 35%.

Sajid Shaikh

executive
#23

75% last year, it has gone down to 52%.

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#24

Correct, yes.

Vinay Pandit

attendee
#25

We'll take the next question from Arun.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#26

I wanted to ask last year, the AC numbers, we have gone down by 30%, 35% approximately. So what makes us believe that next year will not be similar? I mean, how are we optimistic on this? And based on the INR 7 crore investment which we made in Chennai, what is the revenue and profit potential in that? So that is my first question, sir. Could you...

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#27

So a couple of things. One, this year, like I said, the anticipation of a bumper season increased the inventory, which I think the industry has sort of learned from. So I don't think the same exact mistake will happen or not a mistake, but the exact mismatch will happen next year, point number one. Point number two, apart from the industry, the table change is expected. So that was second reason of the slowdown, which is not going to happen next year. The third thing is earlier, we were only an OEM where we were dependent on one large customer -- one primary customer for most of our AC business, which is changing this year, where we have become an ODM and we have our own lineup of product lines, and we are looking at multiple customers. So all the 3 factors combined gives us confidence that we will have -- plus the order book that we already have for the next 6 months is much stronger. So that gives us confidence that next year will be significantly better.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#28

And the INR 7 crore this thing, investment in Chennai, what could be...

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#29

Correct. So Chennai, the investment, the operational lease that we are taking is to ensure that we have additional capacity in Chennai. It will add about 2.5 million capacity for air conditioners. So we can realize roughly about INR 400 crores from that facility.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#30

So this is per year, sir?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#31

Per year, yes.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#32

Okay. Great. Sir, one last question. For the other products, I mean, which we are entering like compressors, et cetera, do we already have customers, I mean, available with us? Or are we pitching it? Like, for example, Voltas was our existing for AC. So I mean, is that the same customer or we are expanding to multiple?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#33

No. Fortunately, now we have customer tie-ups for all products that we are doing.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#34

Okay. Great, sir. Any names like which could be...

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#35

We will refrain from names, but we have good multinational customers in all segments.

Vinay Pandit

attendee
#36

We'll take the next question from Garvit.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#37

Sir, coming back on QCO part only, just to understand more, you mentioned current QCOs are taken back on core metals. So what does that mean, sir? And how we are not going to be affected because of this? Because you mentioned 50% is already booked. So just trying to understand earlier we used to speak about we will get the orders because the Chinese compressors are getting banned or maybe not able to match the quality and that is why they will not be -- they will mandatorily be forced to get out of the country, right? So now how you are picturizing our capacity to be utilized going ahead with these QCOs are taken back?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#38

So a couple of things. One is the compressor market as it stands today has 2 directions for us. One direction is just the assembly part, which we are doing now, which is the final leg of manufacturing that we are doing for compressors. For doing this, the advantage that we can give to the customer or we are giving to the customer is better delivery time lines, more just-in-time sort of delivery, point number one. Point number two is local support. So as long as we, with our partners in compressors, are able to match landed prices of customers when they import vis-a-vis China, we don't see a problem for them to buy locally. They have certain advantages. They get better payment terms and they get delivery when they need. So to that extent, capacity booking, like I mentioned earlier, I don't see it being a challenge. That being said, if the government enforces QCO, we see that -- we expect a vacuum in the market, which will help us probably get better rates in the market and will also help us in backward integrating in the compressor value chain. So as far as capacity growth is concerned, compressor capacity will grow on 2 factors: one is the assembly capacity that we have for the final leg of manufacturing to grow that; and second is to backward integrate the component ecosystem for compressors. So if the QCO is implemented, we will backward integrate very quickly. If the QCO continues to get extended, we will first establish the last mile manufacturing capability. We will ensure that we have a robust supply chain with our customers. And if the customers are satisfied, then we will grow the grow the business, and we will invest more in it. So we -- the compressor QCO, which was extended by 1 year last year is due to -- that the extension is due to lapse in March 2026. Post March, we are anticipating some extensions to come, whether it is for a few months, whether it is for partial quantities, whether it is for certain models, we are not clear. But once we have clarity on that, we will devise our further expansion plan. But current capacities, we don't see a problem for the next 12 months at least.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#39

Got it, sir. And what kind of margins do we expect here? Like we mentioned 50%, we will be getting the revenue, right, [ INR 200 crores ]. So what kind of EBITDA margin we'll be doing on that?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#40

So EBITDA margins, we are expecting anywhere between 5% and 8% as of now, depending on which model and product mix.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#41

Got it. And secondly, about the guidance. So what is our -- are we going to revise our guidance for this year and next year as compared to the earlier numbers? So if yes, what are those numbers, sir?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#42

The guidance remains similar. We are expecting about INR 800 crores to INR 900 crores top line this year.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#43

And about next year, sir?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#44

Next year, we will share it in due course.

Vinay Pandit

attendee
#45

We'll take the next question from Akhil.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#46

So actually, my answer -- my question got answered. I had the question on the same lines. So as we see this compressor unit getting -- so the production of compressor will get onboarded and this operational lease getting into play, so a lot of units will get onboarded. So I wanted to ask on the same lines, like what will be the guidance, as you told, because in the last call, if you remember, we gave a guidance for INR 950 crores to INR 1,000 crores top line, right? So what is...

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#47

Actually, after Q1, we had said INR 900 crores plus/minus INR 100 crores. But yes, so I mean, looking at the loss of growth in the first H1 -- I mean, in H1, I think INR 800 crores to INR 900 crores would be a more accurate number.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#48

Okay. Yes. And the margins, we are looking at 7% to 8% margin?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#49

EBITDA, we are looking at about 9-ish.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#50

9-ish, okay. Okay, fine. And do we have a guidance for next year also, like anything for next year?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#51

Not yet, not yet.

Vinay Pandit

attendee
#52

We'll take the next question from Kunal Tokas.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#53

Am I audible?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#54

Yes, you're audible. Thank you.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#55

Sir, just wanted your guidance on the PAT margin for this year.

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#56

PAT margin, anywhere between 2% and 3%.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#57

For the full year despite making a suboptimal margin in the first half?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#58

For the full year, yes.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#59

Okay. And can you also give a breakup of CapEx in value terms by segment for FY '26 and FY '27?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#60

I don't have the exact numbers. But to give you a rough idea, '26, we are looking at a CapEx of about INR 100 crores overall, INR 100 crores to maybe INR 110 crores, which is spread across AC and compressor and primarily AC compressor and EMS. So 50% would be AC, about -- sorry, 40% AC, 40% compressor and about 20% on EMS as far as this year is concerned. Next year, we are still finalizing our CapEx numbers. Primarily, we are slightly -- we are still contemplating the exact CapEx amount for the compressor vertical. But barring the compressor vertical, I think we are looking at a CapEx of about INR 50 crores going in air conditioners and another INR 50 crores going in refrigeration is what we are looking at overall next year apart from compressors.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#61

And just a clarification in how much would the CapEx be for half 1, first half?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#62

About INR 70 crores.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#63

Okay. That you have already spent in the first half?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#64

We have already spent, yes.

Vinay Pandit

attendee
#65

We'll take the next question from [ Achal ].

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#66

Yes. Am I audible?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#67

Yes, you're audible. Yes.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#68

I wanted to just check your perspective in terms of for the season, CY '25 season, right, what would be the industry volume? And how much is in-sourced versus outsourced in your opinion? And how has that changed over last year? If you could give some sense on that? And then I'll ask a follow-up.

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#69

So I've been -- may not be the best person to answer this. But I think last year, the number was about INR 1.5 crores totally. This year also the number expected is between INR 1.5 crores and INR 1.6 crores as the overall segment is concerned. As far as in-sourcing and outsourcing is concerned, my estimates would be about INR 0.8 crores would be in-sourced and the remaining is outsourced is our estimation.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#70

And has that changed according to you or not really compared to last year...

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#71

I think some capacities are definitely coming online, but effectively, capacities coming online will not be much, much higher. So anywhere between INR 0.8 crores to INR 0.9 crores, I would say, is in-sourced and the remaining is outsourced.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#72

Are you talking about CY '26 season? Or you're talking about CY '25 versus '24?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#73

'25 versus '26.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#74

Okay. Okay. So instead of INR 0.8 crores, it could be INR 0.8 crores to INR 0.9 crores for next year is what brands would make in-house. Have I understood right, sir?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#75

It is my assumption, yes, yes.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#76

Okay. Okay. Number two, I wanted to just check in terms of the cost as we are in the process of finalizing the contracts, et cetera, what is the extent of cost inflation? And if you could break it up in terms of metal cost and nonmetal cost.

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#77

So major cost inflation has happened because of increase in copper prices. Copper prices from an average of $8,000, $8,500 per tonne has gone up to now almost $11,000 per tonne. Effectively, the impact of $1,000 per tonne has an impact of INR 500 on our BOM effectively for a typical air conditioner. So an increase of $3,000 has an impact of almost INR 1,500. There has been some positive impact also, whereas sheet metal or whatever steel has -- or mild steel or steel has not increased or they have reduced partially. Some polymers have also reduced. So the net impact, I believe, is about $1,000 to $1,300 on a typical air conditioner.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#78

So what happens in this case in terms of the pricing, is the entire $1,000, $1,300 is getting passed on, the customer is picking up the bill or we have to share some part of the pain?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#79

So I mean, it depends on -- it varies from customer to customer, of course. Customers where we have a quarterly pass-through pricing, there it gets passed on because it gets averaged out in their overall purchase. Where we are finalizing orders for 6 months or 9 months or full season, there, of course, we have to bear at least part of it, if not the entire amount. But normally, where we bear the risk, we try to have better margins or better I mean, conversions -- slightly better conversions to hedge that risk also.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#80

Right. Just a clarification, sorry, if I'm going deeper into it. So the average realization for REC for a full unit for us would be somewhere around INR 17,000 to INR 18,000?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#81

Yes, correct.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#82

So -- and we make about 9% on that in terms of the margin, EBITDA level margin, sir?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#83

Correct.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#84

So that gives INR 1,600 per unit kind of margin. And if we have to bear even INR 500 or 50% or 40% of this inflation, our margin can take a 25% knock. So when you are looking for the margin estimation for FY '26, what have we budgeted? Have we budgeted a flat margin versus Y-o-Y or we have budgeted already some correction in the margin given the cost inflation?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#85

So AC, we have budgeted some correction in the margin for the coming year. But fortunately, the other products are adding -- they have a slightly better EBITDA, so which is -- overall, I think we will continue to maintain 9% EBITDA. AC may drop by a little bit, but the average will still be 9%. And this is a temporary drop again because there was a huge volatility in copper. Once it corrects and if copper goes down, let's say, then maybe you make it up also. If you see a blended average across the year, it does not have as strong as an impact as you are calculating on paper today because we also don't buy raw material at only the peak. We also buy it over a period of time. So the average impact normally is not more than -- I mean you asked me absolute delta, so I told you absolute delta. But normally, the impact will not be more than INR 300 to INR 600 or INR 700 averaged across the year.

Vinay Pandit

attendee
#86

We'll take the next question from Sidharth Jain.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#87

So one thing, what is the peak debt that you'll anticipate to go to in the coming year, because we have another INR 100 crores plus of CapEx planned for next year, excluding the compressor part. And so what is the debt level that we anticipate to see next year?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#88

So debt -- our basic guideline is that we want to be -- debt to equity, we want to stay below or around 1 is our guideline as far as debt is concerned. If there is a gap, we will look at raising equity, of course. But our internal guideline is that we want to be around or less than 1 as far as debt to equity is concerned.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#89

Understood. And right now, our AC composition as a part of our total revenue is around 75%. Where do we see that moving in the next year? And in that also, how much would be from the primary client? And how much do we see that coming from other clients because wily started discussions and I guess you will start supplying from the coming months as well?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#90

So next year, we see about 70-odd percent coming or 65% to 70% odd coming from AC again, next financial year. And that is the whole AC vertical. Within that, we will have a split against 4, 5 customers. So the largest customer probably out of the 100% AC pie would be about 50-odd percent.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#91

Understood. Got it. And one just operational thing to Sajid. By when can we expect that we start trading on the main board? Any intimation from the exchanges or what are the communication that is going on with them?

Sajid Shaikh

executive
#92

So we have already started the process. The documentation, et cetera, is being reviewed. We're just trying to see if everything is there. I mean we are compliant to every -- because there's been a new guideline that has come along in the month of October. So we are also trying to just juxtapose our position with that and see. But I think we are on course. Let's see if everything is okay, we should be able to make the application before the end of this month.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#93

Okay. Application, how long does it generally take after the application?

Sajid Shaikh

executive
#94

That's up to the exchanges, but I think anywhere between 2 and 4 months is our expectation.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#95

Understood. And also like our current capacity in ACs is around 10 lakh units, and we plan to take it up to 18 lakhs, out of which 2.5 lakhs will be from the Chennai plant that we've just taken on lease, correct? So the balance that we have, where do we plan to put it up in Nashik only or some other location?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#96

In Nashik itself.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#97

Nashik, got it. And one more thing in the compressor side, like if that QCO gets extended or if that -- sorry, if it doesn't get extended, then even our assembly because we might be importing it from China as well because our partner is a Chinese player. So will we be allowed to import the components and assemble and then supply because won't that be restricted in these norms?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#98

No, no. So these norms don't restrict components. And there was some ambiguity around that, but that has also been clarified by the government. So there is no issue on the components.

Vinay Pandit

attendee
#99

We'll take the next question from Nishita. We'll take the next question from [ Shreyans Jain ].

Sajid Shaikh

executive
#100

Everyone could do just one, one question now because we have got a long list and reducing time. Thank you.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#101

Am I audible?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#102

Yes, audible.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#103

Sir, first question, we have already commenced our deep freezer facility. How has it ramped up in 2 quarters? And what could be our capacity utilization for first half?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#104

First half, of course, is off-season for freezers also in general because the seasonality is similar to what is there in AC. So our capacity utilization in the first half was only about 35%, 40%. And in the second half, we are looking at a capacity -- I mean, we will hit full utilization at peak in Q4.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#105

Okay, sir. So what is our peak capacity utilization for deep freezers, sir?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#106

So we can make about 11,000 to 12,000 freezers per month.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#107

Okay. Perfect. And sir, on the ODM part, are we in talk with any customers on the ODM? And how much margins improvement do we see in ODM, sir?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#108

This year, I don't see too much. But over time, I expect -- I mean, we hope to at least get a 2% to 3% overall improvement in margin with ODM becoming more and more of our portfolio.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#109

Okay. Perfect, sir. And one last question, sir, in REC segment, have we added client or we are only in talks, sir?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#110

We have already added.

Vinay Pandit

attendee
#111

We'll take the next question from [ Hitendra Pradhan ].

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#112

Sir, my question is what was our revenues against H1? I was a bit surprised with the margin uptick this quarter. So can you give us the breakdown of different categories?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#113

I think we discussed this, about 50% came from air conditioners in H1. 15% to 20% has come from commercial refrigeration and the remaining has come from components -- sorry, EMS is another 15% and remaining has come from components. Because AC is a lower share, EBITDA margin is higher because most of the other businesses have better EBITDA margins.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#114

Right. And sir, previously, just a while back you mentioned that the AC EBITDA margins are around 9% but as per the previous calls, the understanding was that it is 6% to 8% depending on the indoor and outdoor, so 6% to 8% is...

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#115

So 6% to 8%, you're right. I said overall EBITDA margin this year, we are expecting about 9%.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#116

Correct. Correct. But the AC EBITDA margins are 6% to 8% depending on the...

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#117

Correct.

Vinay Pandit

attendee
#118

We'll take the next question from [ Harshal Parekh ].

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#119

I had a question. Can you elaborate like what are the primary factors which is contributing to the degrowth in the sales? I mean, specifically, what is the biggest headwind you are facing?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#120

I mean the only headwind is AC sales. I mean there is no other headwind. Other segments are, of course, all growing. We are growing in refrigeration. We are growing in -- I mean, compressor, of course, is new, but we've started sales there. EMS is growing. So the only headwind, of course, is in AC sales.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#121

Okay. Okay. And can you provide the segment-wise or geographic breakdown of the degrowth? I'm trying to understand where the pressure is the most.

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#122

Pressure how -- I mean, sorry, I don't understand the question properly.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#123

Can you give me a segment-wise detail about the geographic breakdown also of the degrowth?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#124

We honestly don't get a geographical or we don't have a geographical breakdown of where our customers are selling the product. So we may not be able -- I mean, I don't have an accurate picture of that.

Vinay Pandit

attendee
#125

We'll take the next question from Pawan.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#126

Am I audible?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#127

Yes, please.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#128

Sir, in Arihant conference, you gave -- you indicated a target of INR 2,000 crores in FY '27. Is that target still intact?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#129

We hope so, but we'll confirm maybe Q4 about our guidance for next year.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#130

Okay. Sir, do you see any opportunities in HVAC side like heat exchangers? And are you planning in that zone?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#131

Opportunity means we are, of course, expanding capacities. And we do supply some components, but of course, not a major chunk. If there is any gap, we are happy to serve customers. But that is not really a core area that we are looking at a lot of growth coming from specifically for us.

Vinay Pandit

attendee
#132

We'll take the next question from [ Kaushik Krishna ].

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#133

Sir, am I audible?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#134

Yes, please.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#135

Sir, are we in line with the competition or are we lagging behind in terms of order or margin or anything? Do we have any comment on that?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#136

I hope we are at par, but no comment.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#137

Okay, sir. You have talked about the debt. Are you planning to deduct the debt reduction -- planning for debt reduction?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#138

Not in the immediate future, no.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#139

Okay, sir, one last thing. What is your long-term aspiration for the company, sir, for big picture, maybe in 5 years or 10 years or anything?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#140

See, I strongly believe in the manufacturing potential of the products or segments we are part of. And I also truly believe that as a country, we need to have strong manufacturing companies which can make things locally and make them well. Of course, export aspirations and all of that, that is definitely there. But India by itself is a massive opportunity. And we want to be part of the journey of Made in India or Make for India or however you slogan it. But we believe in that mission, and I think there is a tremendous potential. So if you see the segments also that we are getting into, either there is a vacuum in those segments or there is a massive growth and anticipation in those segments. So we are clear we want to be core to manufacturing. We want to be clear that we expand our manufacturing capabilities, both in terms of volume and in terms of variety, and we want to continue doing that.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#141

Okay, sir. Sir, one last thing. Sir, are you planning to launch any high-margin products in near future?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#142

High margin, yes, we have. Of course, in our product mix, there are products with better margins. But the challenge with the high-margin product is the value is lower. As of now, we have not been able to crack that ideal product where margin is also high, volume is also high and growth is also high. So that is still something that we want to figure out. But yes, in our entire product portfolio, there are new product segments which are better in margin that we are creating. There are certain niche variants of commercial refrigeration. There are some higher variants of air conditioners that we are working on. There are certain EMS products which give us better margins or lighting products that give us better margins. So there are products which gives you a very good margin. But of course, the value or percentage of these products is lower. And hence, it does not stand or show so explicitly in the P&L or balance sheet, but we will continue working towards that.

Vinay Pandit

attendee
#143

We'll take the next question from Nitya Shah.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#144

I just wanted to ask about the customer concentration. You mentioned you've got some new customers in the AC segment. So say, in FY '27, what percentage of revenue will you get from Voltas versus now what would be the difference?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#145

Now, of course, it's close to 100%. Next year, we anticipate somewhere between 40% and 60%.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#146

Okay. So the size of the orders is very large from the new customers, right? Is my understanding right?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#147

Yes. I mean a decent size volume, yes.

Vinay Pandit

attendee
#148

We'll take a follow-up question from Sidharth Jain.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#149

Yes. Sir, you mentioned that FY '26, we are looking at INR 800 crores to INR 900 crores of revenue top line. Sir, could you provide us with the segmental breakup of this? Is washing machine and compressor contributing this year?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#150

Compressor, there will be some contribution. I think about INR 30 crores odd will come from compressors out of the entire top line. About INR 150 crores to INR 200 crores will be from EMS. About INR 100 crores, close to INR 100 crores will be from refrigeration and the remaining will be from air conditioners. Washing machine, we are not expecting a large number in this year.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#151

And sir, this INR 100 crores includes the water dispenser as well?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#152

Water dispensers as well, yes.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#153

Right, sir. And sir, my last question, you mentioned that in-sourcing, outsourcing is INR 0.8 crores, INR 0.8 crores. Sir, what will be the installed capacity on this, both for in-sourcing and outsourcing?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#154

Again, I may not have the most accurate numbers, but I think in-sourcing capacities will be close to 20% or 30% higher in terms of what is getting manufactured. So in-sourcing capacities are more or less, I would say, occupied. The outsourcing capacities for the remaining INR 70-odd lakhs, the outsourcing against that, I believe, would be anywhere between INR 0.8 crores to INR 1 crores. But again, the actual utilizable capacity and all of that is still a question, but that would be the estimate that I would have.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#155

Basically, sir, the industry size will be INR 2 crores between both in-sourcing, outsourcing.

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#156

Slightly less than INR 2 crores, but yes, close to it.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#157

Right, sir. And sir, what will be the peak utilization of plant because summers are 100%, but overall, for the full year, it will be close to...

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#158

So AC, looking at the current extreme trends, which I think will become less extreme in the next 2, 3 years, looking at the overall trends in e-commerce or whether it is even in retail and with the growing purchasing capability of people with the reduction of GST. So we see that -- I mean we are hopeful that the peaks will not be as strong in the next 2, 3 years. That being said, during peak utilization -- during the peak season, we hit full capacity utilization. Almost everybody, I think, across the industry hits peak utilization. The challenge that we see with the strong peaks is that capacity utilization crossing 70%, 75% or 65%, 70%, let's say, 70% is difficult because off-seasons go as low as 20%, 30% or 10% for a couple of months. And then you see a peak of 100%. But once the seasonality reduces, then this 65%, 70% can become 75%, 80%, which is a very good capacity utilization for this product -- for a product like air conditioner definitely.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#159

Sir, just a basic question, sir, storing is out of the question for ACs like in the...

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#160

No, people do store, but you can only store so much. I mean with the market size increasing so much, I mean, you can store a few hundred thousand pieces depending on the strength, financial muscle that you have. But you can't store beyond that. I mean even large corporates have a limitation in how much they want to put in inventory. That is point number one. Point number two, now with the growing numbers and local available capacity, nobody wants to also stock. It is more convenient to buy when you really need it. So if capacity is available on tap, nobody will want to stock because that directly or indirectly adds to your cost.

Vinay Pandit

attendee
#161

We'll take another follow-up question from Arun.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#162

Sir, out of the current product line or the upcoming product lines, which is the products where we see the biggest opportunity of, let's say, China Plus One or any India being the second part where India is not producing much and the biggest opportunity is coming. So out of -- like what would be those -- can you share a couple of examples or any such things?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#163

So in our current segments, I think I would say compressor is a blue ocean scenario for us as of now because in India, out of the 22-odd million compressors, this I'm talking about only refrigeration compressors that we are getting into. So out of the 22 million refrigeration compressors that are consumed every year, which is growing at 6% to 8% CAGR, the market, about 14 million to 15 million are imported. And out of the 7 billion, 8 billion that are manufactured are majorly manufactured by Korean brands and also by one Indian multinational. So these are the 3 primary players in that segment. Apart from that, the 14 million to 15 million gap exists today in the market. So we believe that if the government policy supports, that can be a very explosive growth segment for us in the next couple of years.

Vinay Pandit

attendee
#164

We'll take another follow-up question from Hitendra.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#165

Sorry, sir, I have no further questions.

Vinay Pandit

attendee
#166

We'll take another follow-up question from Garvit.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#167

Sir, just wanted to ask in FY '27, what can be the mix profile? I'm not asking for the guidance, but just wanted to understand like which segment likely to contribute what percentage of revenue?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#168

I think I mentioned this also, about 65% should come from AC next year consolidated, 65% to 70%, let's say, about I think 15% will continue to be refrigeration, 15%, maybe 20% and similar percentage for EMS also. Compressor maybe about 10-odd percent next year.

Garvit Goyal

analyst
#169

Where are the dispensers and also?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#170

Dispensers are part of the refrigeration category.

Vinay Pandit

attendee
#171

Due to the shortage of time, we'll now take the last question from Pawan.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#172

No, sir, I do not have any questions.

Vinay Pandit

attendee
#173

Next question is from Kunal. Kunal is on mute.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#174

Am I audible?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#175

Yes, please.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#176

Okay. Just 2 quick questions, sir. First, what is your PLI benefit you expect for this year? And what was it in half 1? And in EMS, what are the major products?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#177

Right. So PLI benefit this year is expected around INR 20 crores for the company. That is one. Second is EMS, of course, lighting is one major category for us. Then we are doing some controllers for appliances, whether it is air conditioners or we are also doing some controllers for BLDC fans. We are also doing some control boards for EV charging boxes. So I mean, EMS as a facility, of course, can do a wide variety of products. So -- but these are the major products that we are currently operating it. So controllers for appliances, lighting and other smaller EMS options like -- products like EV chargers and others is what we are doing.

Kunal Tokas

analyst
#178

Lighting and controllers will be what percentage of the EMS business?

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#179

Lighting and controllers about 80% together.

Kunal Tokas

analyst
#180

80%. And sir, what is the PLI benefit received at the end of the year or...

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#181

So we accrue it at the end of the year, and it is received in the first -- in Q1 normally, Q1 or Q2.

Vinay Pandit

attendee
#182

I would request management to give any closing comments.

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#183

I appreciate and thank you all for taking the time in the evening and joining our call. We look forward to a good FY overall and a strong order book. And thank you so much again for being here. Thank you.

Vinay Pandit

attendee
#184

Thank you. Thank you to the management and all the participants. This brings us to the end of the call. Thank you.

Sukrit Bharati

executive
#185

Thank you.

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