Voya Financial, Inc. (VOYA) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
February 12, 2020
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Jay Cohen
analystSwitching between nonlife and life, getting a whole smattering today. Next presenter is Voya Financial, I'm pleased to introduce Rod Martin, Voya's CEO; and Mike Smith, Chief Financial Officer. Rod joined Voya in 2011 and, I would say, is the architect of the dramatic and positive changes that have occurred at Voya over the past 9 years. You had some help, no doubt?
Rodney Martin
executiveIt's a team sport.
Jay Cohen
analystRod has more than 40 years of experience in the industry. I think you hit 40 a couple of years ago. I had an update of that number, but it's more than 40. Mike...
Rodney Martin
executiveYou're right. I'm the old guy.
Jay Cohen
analystMike became CFO in November of 2016 and held several other leadership roles prior to his current position, including CEO of the Insurance Solutions segment and Chief Risk Officer, and he's been with the company for a decade.
Michael Smith
executiveOh, man.
Jay Cohen
analystSo you're an experienced individual as well.
Michael Smith
executiveYou'll have to put it that way. Yes, that seems like a long time.
Jay Cohen
analystThis is my 25th year at Merrill Lynch. So...
Michael Smith
executiveOh, really? Congratulations.
Rodney Martin
executiveCongratulations.
Jay Cohen
analystI know what it feels like.
Jay Cohen
analystLet me start with Rod. This is a little bit of a reflective-type question, but I think it's appropriate. So since you became CEO, talk about maybe 2 or 3 things that you are most proud of. And there's a lot going on, but in your mind, what really stands out? And then separately, sorry for the 2-parter, 2 or 3 things that you're looking for, for you and your team to improve upon going forward?
Rodney Martin
executiveSure. Jay, thank you. And again, it's great for Mike and I to be here with you. Look, looking back on the time that I've spent at Voya, it's really the from/to story. We inherited what you inherit when you prepare a business to go public and take a company public a couple of years later. And as you well know, we had a closed block of Variable Annuity business. So we had 5 other businesses, and we've now evolved with the recent transaction announced in December to a retirement asset management and employee benefit business, really a workplace and financial institution focused business. So I'm very proud about that transition. We've made some hard choices, and most importantly, I think, executed really well against those choices. With what we announced on the earnings call this year, we've been very active in returning capital to shareholders. We talked about $7 billion in 7 years, inclusive of 2020. We only had a $5 billion market cap when we went public, and that's probably $8.5 billion today. The culture that we built, I'm really proud of that. We made it a point, it was an objective of Mike and mine and the Board that we were building to get to parity on our Board, men and women. And we did that in 2.5 years. We've been very focused on sustainability. I'm really proud of something that we announced on the earnings call. Barron rates and ranks -- Barron's rates and ranks, as you know, the top 100 companies on that basis. We were not on that list 4 years ago. Two years ago, we were 46th. A year ago, we were 6th. This year, we were 3rd. And for 2 years in a row, the highest-ranked financial services company. And again, these are attributes. This is something that the organizations need to live and breathe, and it needs to be authentic, and it's measured in that way by independent people that measure those things. That matters in our marketplace, and we're happy to get into that later on. And I think we've really become really good operators. And I put that in the category of something I'm proud about and something, on the second part of your question, Jay, that Mike and I are really focused on. We announced the Life Insurance transaction. We said when -- at our Investor Day that we'd returned $1 billion of capital within 5 years in the Life Insurance business. We're actually doing that faster with the close of this Life Insurance transaction. And we're getting to the end point, what we communicated just yesterday on our earnings call, the $1.80 to $1.90 EPS growth rate by the end of 2021. So no change in date, and we're getting there without the Life Insurance earnings at that point in time. So again, we've been focused on really improving being good operators and focused on growing this business organically, and none of that has changed.
Jay Cohen
analystInvesting in businesses and exiting businesses is obviously a critical role for you and your team. What went into the decision to sell the Individual Life business?
Rodney Martin
executiveWhen we announced the transaction 2 years ago with Apollo that we did in the standing up of Venerable, the exiting of the CBVA business, we also announced at that time, we made a strategic decision that we weren't going to continue writing new retail life insurance, and that we would be good stewards of the capital we had backing that business, and we would return, as I just mentioned, at least $1 billion of capital within a 5-year period of time. And much like Mike and I did on the Venerable transaction that took 4 or 5 years in conversations with countless number of parties, we've been having similar conversations for many years on the Life Insurance piece. And part of it was an alignment of a partner and a party that had aligned interest, and we felt we had an appropriate value for shareholders and an appropriate total value. And what do I mean by that? We're standing up a new company, and all of the employees of this new company are our employees. And so it matters in a culture. Venerable, a good example, 300, 350 people, where our former employees stood up, and they've got a big, bright future at Venerable. And now literally, across the hall, they can see what an example of good looks like, and we're standing up a new company with resolution. And all of our employees are going to be given an opportunity. And it matters not only to the employees that are leaving, it matters to the 6,000 men and women that are staying how we treat those people. So we felt we had the right value for shareholders, we could accelerate capital faster, and we had a very good outcome for employees, the employees that are leaving and the observation of all that in terms of how we treat people, which are fundamentally part of the culture and the DNA that we build. Full stop.
Jay Cohen
analystWhen the company sells a business, people like me and our model, we just put a 0 by that business, but we always forget there are expenses associated with it.
Rodney Martin
executiveRight.
Jay Cohen
analystYou do have these stranded costs. I know you talked a little bit about this, but if you could talk about how you're planning on addressing the stranded costs.
Rodney Martin
executiveSure. I'll start and then will toggle to Mike, but I'd really point to look what we said we would do and now have done with the stranded costs associated with the CBVA transaction. We announced on the earnings call $250 million or more. And we announced on the earnings call -- that was the third quarter call. On the fourth quarter call, we announced that we've eliminated all of the stranded costs associated with the Variable Annuity transaction. We've got the experience and the model to do so. And what we're really guiding to is the $1.80 to $1.90 EPS by the end of '21, same place without the earnings benefit from the Life piece. And we will reduce the stranded costs associated with that to enable that outcome. And I think if you just look at what we've done in the last year, what we said we would do and what we've done gives me a lot of confidence in our ability to do so. And look, the movie is real-time. I mean we announced this transaction in December 20, whatever it was. We truly don't mean to do this a week before Christmas every time we do something like that. It just worked out that way. We are building out this with resolution, and we said we'd close this in third quarter. So we will know more at the end of the first quarter and certainly know most by the end of the second quarter about what the transition service agreements and the administrative service agreements will be and the duration of those, and then we will eliminate the rest of the stranded costs. Big picture I'd leave you with. With 5 legal entities are leaving, 15 administrative systems are going and 1 wholesale broker-dealer, Voya will be an extraordinarily more simplified organization. And I'll let Mike take it from there.
Michael Smith
executiveNo. Look, I think the way to think about this is we have the playbook. We deliberately -- when we were taking out stranded costs related to the Annuities business, we deliberately built a structure that we could reuse thinking ahead that there was likely to be a transaction at some point, and also it'd be just a great capability to have to continue to manage down our costs as the business evolves. So it was a very deliberate choice we made to invest in creating this infrastructure that allows us to realize that, right? So I think we've got a lot of work to do in order to pull together the plans to give you and others and shareholders kind of a clear idea of the path. What will happen in the near term is once we close the sale, there will be revenue from the buyer to help offset some of the stranded costs. We will -- then know the delta, and we'll start working on the delta as well as the transition services start to terminate, we'll eliminate those costs as well. So we'll give a pretty clear picture, I think, in a couple of quarters, but we've got some work to do and -- including agreeing with the other party on the exact structure of that.
Jay Cohen
analystSo with the revenues going away, you're taking down the cost. Should we think about some of these cost savings being reinvested? Or are you just getting these costs out because the revenues are gone?
Rodney Martin
executiveSo when we introduced the '19, '20, '21 plan Investor Day, so November 15, 2018, we anticipated as best one can at that time, the amount of investment we would need in what we knew to be the 3 ongoing businesses that we were going to retain. That's built into our plan, okay? You always evaluate are there other opportunities to further grow the businesses that you have, and we do that on an ongoing basis. We've got a big operating budget, and we look at that very critically. We're going to have a lot of capital post this. I mean look, we've announced already $1 billion in 2020. That's the $7 billion, 7 years. Mike, we're going to free up $1.5 billion or so for this capital, some of which needs to pay down debt. We generate 85% to 95% free cash flow. We've guided that we're going to be on the higher end of that range. Post the close of the Life transaction, our ROE is now going to be 15% to 16%. And kind of all of those things weigh into this.
Michael Smith
executiveYes. Yes, Jay, I think it's -- look, I think you could kind of drive yourself crazy trying to decide whether this cost save is being used for that investment. I mean we live in a very dynamic world, right? And so I think of it in terms of delivering to the bottom line, right? And we're very focused on getting the earnings per share at the end of '21 back to where they would have been had we not done the Life transaction without the risk.
Rodney Martin
executiveAnd returning that capital to you faster.
Michael Smith
executiveAnd we'll do that through expense saves. We'll do that through organic growth. We'll do that through capital management. And we've got plenty of flexibility around all of those to lean in one way or the other depending on how the world ultimately unfolds.
Jay Cohen
analystAnalysts love to drive ourselves crazy. We do it for sports, as you know. Let me bring up the question of M&A, right? I mean you have this capital. Arguably, you could spend it buying something else. Are there types of deals -- not a business, but a type of deal that really could fit in and you can execute on it?
Rodney Martin
executiveWe've used these examples previously, so it's not going to be new, but it's a fair question, and we'll answer it similarly. By way of example, with our Investment Management business, particularly our specialty categories that we've begun the market to other insurance companies, and that's got great momentum. We've also done that domestically and internationally. And we've used as an example, if we could find a capability, and by the way, they're not easy to find, that could be an extension of taking these existing domestic capabilities but distributing them internationally. Would that be something of interest? Yes. I've used that example before. Mike and I have. That would be an example. We've used this example within the retirement business. Top 10 players, a statistic you'd be well familiar with, 401(k) assets, top 10 players, 75% of the AUM today. There's 50 other players. It's a little bit like the political environment. At some point, candidates need to drop out. Those 50 other players, a reasonable question could be, "Is that really a core part of their business? And would those books of business become available?" And would we look at those blocks of business? We would look at those blocks of business, but we would do that through the lens of is that the best use of this capital. So that would be another example. One last one I do with IM, and we've done this. I mean we've added here and there some small investment teams to strengthen or add capabilities, and that remains open. There's a lot of change in that world, as you know more than we, and we've been viewed as a place that is attractive to be. So adding some capabilities on teams could be another useful outcome.
Jay Cohen
analystYou have these 3 main businesses, and people like me think about them separately. We model them separately. But there is obviously some cross-pollinization, if you will, between them. Can you talk about that? What the opportunity is for you to expand on those?
Michael Smith
executiveYes. Well, the most natural one, obviously, is in the retirement and investment management relationship, right? And the degree to which we're able to achieve a proprietary share of the assets under management. And so for us, right now, in terms of like funds, we're about 20% of the funds -- of mutual funds and retirement plans, our home team. If you add in the general account, which is part of retirement, that gets us up to about 40%. We think there's opportunity to continue with good performance to increase that. There are obvious pressures in the marketplace about fiduciary responsibility and optics and so on, but we think that we can do better than that. There's also I think, a lot of opportunity to work together between employee benefits and retirement. Employee benefits actually reports up to our Head of Retirement, right? So that creates just by, in and of itself, a degree of interaction internally. And they share resources, but they also work together as a distribution team, sharing leads, working collectively with key distribution partners. I mean we usually sell through intermediaries, right? And so we're able to leverage our presence on, say, the Willis Towers Watson platform or the A.M. platform or the Gallagher and not to leave anybody out but as examples. And so that is a way that we're able to drive value. We've also introduced health care savings accounts, and it's actually being driven out of our Employee Benefits division. But there's increasingly, I think, a realization amongst employers and employees that health care savings accounts, not flexible spending accounts, but the long-term health care savings, kind of where you can put in significant dollars every year and save it essentially forever. That is an alternative to retirement plan savings, and so there's an interesting connection there. We're able to get that up and running at very low cost, working with a third-party as an experiment. It's still early, but I think there are opportunities for us to continue to build connectivity there to create a more holistic experience. And you saw, I think, others, after we announced we were getting in a few other competitors in the retirement space, started jumping into the HSA space, too. So it's not going to be just the health care carriers providing health care savings accounts. It's actually more natural, I think, for us to do that.
Jay Cohen
analystThat's helpful. I want to talk about retirement. Any questions, though? A few questions, just raise your hand, we'll get a mic to you. Let's talk about retirement. For you, it does span a number of customer segments. You have small, medium, large. Looking forward, where is the focus? What products or areas are you most zeroing in on?
Rodney Martin
executiveLet me start, and I'll have Mike jump in. But I want to leave you with a theme. We are in what we refer to as market to market. So small, mid, large corporate record keeping, K-12, higher ed, government. And largely, the entire time we've been public 6-plus years at this point in time, if you think back macroeconomically, we've all -- this has been a pretty good period of time. All of those markets have grown very nicely. It is my view, Jay, that the strength and resiliency of the diversity of our platform hasn't fully been appreciated until we go through a market cycle. What do I mean? I'm not wishing for a market cycle. But I just -- life will happen at some point, and this will merge. And particularly, our presence in K-12, higher ed and government, those markets in a market cycle really stayed very stable, if not grow. And we are market leaders there. We've been enjoying very, very robust growth in our small, mid, and large corporate. And if obviously the economy slows down a little bit, would that be effective? Of course, it would be for us and everyone else. But I think the stability of the other isn't fully appreciated. And if it's not fully appreciated, it's probably not fully valued. And it's far more about our markets, our market presence, the relationship we have with advisers than it is specifically about product, but let me -- let Mike talk about product.
Michael Smith
executiveLook, it really is about service, right? That's what ultimately distinguishes us and the capabilities we're able to deliver. It's not a product solution. And so I think our platform gives us the ability to lean in where there's opportunity. Right now, the opportunity is full-service corporate. That's where we see the most growth. That's where we've got the most current traction. We've made meaningful investments in distribution to help penetrate further in that market. We're getting on to new platforms. So I think there's real opportunity for us to continue to grow that to the extent the economy moves in a different direction. Then we still got the tax-exempt markets and government markets that we can maybe lean in a little bit more at that time. But we'll be in a much better position than if we were solely focused and only had the one market.
Rodney Martin
executiveAnd again, if you think about the breadth of this distribution platform and the customers we serve, the $10-plus billion of recurring deposits that happen. And I mean really picture, we serve truly Middle America, in that -- I mean these are firemen, policemen, teachers. I mean just every day, Americans that are putting away $500 a month, $400 a month, $700 a month. And that money, they're not people, and I'm not trying to overgeneralize, that are watching CNPC and rebalancing in the afternoon. They're living their lives, and they're trying to save for retirement and live their families like we all are. And that $10 billion-plus recurring deposits is a significant momentum that just is -- it continues to grow in rapidly. And that's why one of the things we point to as a health indicator is the -- Mike, the 10% to 12% growth in trailing 12-month recurring deposits, and we were squarely in the middle of that metric this last year, as an example.
Jay Cohen
analystYes. So how do you see the needs of plan sponsors changing? And if you look forward, what are some of the structural changes that could happen to the retirement business, say, next 5 to 10 years?
Rodney Martin
executiveThis one?
Michael Smith
executiveLook, I think plan sponsors and what we're seeing is there's an increasing understanding of the value of these plans and the need to ensure that employees are going to leave in a good position, in the right position that they've been well served by this. I think in the past, it was kind of a, well, check the box, I've got a 401(k), I'm going to have a 4% match. I don't have to look at that anymore. I think now there is a real interest and increasingly so in ensuring that employees have access to the right tools, to make the right kind of investment decisions, to have the right kind of planning capabilities attached to that. I think also increasingly, you're going to see penetration of tools that help people make better decisions in the annual enrollment process as -- including the retirement plan. The retirement plan tends to be kind of a set it and forget it. You do it once. What we're seeing is tools evolving that are allowing folks to when they're making a choice between buying more life insurance or putting the money into a voluntary plan or taking a higher-deductible health plan, they also should think about what their retirement savings are, where they should lean in there. And so there are actually tools that are, I think, increasingly available electronically to help people make better decisions. I think you're going to see increasing adoption of that as well. And we're well positioned to -- and we're partnering with firms that do this actually right now.
Rodney Martin
executiveAnd you want people who have used this example. It may sound silly, but people spend more time choosing their Netflix selection for the week than they do in their benefit selection on these pieces. Now some of that's on the industry. Some of that's on the employer. Couldn't agree more strongly with the point Mike is making that there has been a huge difference, and part of it is with the employment environment and the need to retain top talent, they -- you just need to have a very attractive and frankly effective set of benefit tools. And we're increasingly being asked for proof of progress on how this is helping our people stay with the firm as opposed to leaving firm A to go to firm B.
Jay Cohen
analystSpeaking of Netflix to choose. No, I'm just kidding. So true with that, right?
Rodney Martin
executiveYes.
Michael Smith
executiveYes.
Jay Cohen
analystWe agonize over what the hell we're going to watch for TV when I sign off on my benefit. So I'm guilty as well.
Rodney Martin
executiveSo just think about it the next time you're rolling your benefits, and maybe you spend a little bit more time on that decision that week than Netflix.
Jay Cohen
analystGood advice. The Netflix, reminder. Let's just -- I want to just ask you about the SECURE Act. The passage there, how could that impact the business? Most people seem to think, oh, yes, it's going to be good, but not everyone. What do you think about this?
Rodney Martin
executiveI think it's going to be very helpful and attractive to us, partly because of our market for markets, but it's going to be attractive slowly. This is phased in over time. So I know people want to just say, "Okay, this happened. And so this happens to more and more." Part of this is being phased in over a period of time. We've been playing in this space -- in the multiple employer space for a while. We've got the tools and capabilities. There are some things that we and others are going to have to add and adjust to the regulation that's happening. But I would say over the long term, this is a very good thing for the industry. And frankly, for a retirement player of the size of scale Voya is, it's a very good thing for Voya.
Jay Cohen
analystIs there any risks associated with it, downside -- potential downside?
Rodney Martin
executiveI wouldn't put it in the risk category. It's an execution issue. I mean you think about -- you have plans that have been hardwired into retirement age of X and now it's of Y, and you've got to go back in and rewire everything to accommodate to. Everyone does. This is not just way to the regulatory environment, which is, by the way, the reason it's being phased in over time. So I wouldn't -- it's not a risk as much as it's just something that has to be paid attention to, like we have to, every time there's a regulatory change.
Jay Cohen
analystDo you have any questions out there? I must be hitting all the key issues. I wanted to move to employee benefits. Talk about the competitive environment in the medical stop loss business and how it's looking from a renewal standpoint.
Rodney Martin
executiveI'll let Mike do it. He used to run the business.
Michael Smith
executiveThank you. Look, we just completed our January 1 renewal cycle. About 2/3 to 3/4 of the business is on a January 1 effective date. So that's -- we're very busy in the underwriting for stop loss from about July through November as we're starting -- as we're working through quotes and making final offers. I think the market overall was rational. We felt like we were getting the rate that we needed. If you think back to Voya over the last 5 or 6 years, we've kind of gone through the full cycle. We had a couple of years in 2013, '14, '15, we had a really good experience. '16, '17, a little bit off, although not -- just a little above our target range. And then we've taken the steps to manage the block back to a level where we're now very confident that we'll be within our target loss ratio range. And we see -- everything that we see so far for the renewal cycle is that we're going to be able to maintain that. We're very comfortable with it.
Rodney Martin
executiveIn fact, Jay, on the earnings call, we increased our guidance of growth from our employee benefit business broadly, inclusive of obviously stop loss.
Michael Smith
executiveRight. The -- from 2018 to 2021, we had given a range of a 3-year CAGR of earnings and employee benefits from -- we said it would be between 7% and 10%, pretty sporty. But now we've raised it to 11% to 14%, so starting from the 2018 base. Largely, that's because 2019 was up 20% in terms of earnings growth, both from a just fundamental growth as well as strong underwriting performance. I think we expect -- no, we're not going to do level 20 from here, but we'll still do pretty well and get to that end point of around 12%, 13%.
Rodney Martin
executiveI'd add one other point that we talked about at our Investor Day, and I think some progress has been made on this. But at Investor Day, I shared and I think Mike shared, that we weren't -- it was our view that if you look at the way of the sum-of-the-parts basis and you looked at the last 4 or 5 commercial transactions in the group benefit space, I'm not sure our value was being fully appreciated in relation to what those transactions were. Just another transaction, not just a month ago, and that was just Life and LTD, we've only grown the business and increased the earnings guidance from there. I think we are closing the gap, but I'm still not -- I still think there's room for fuller appreciation of the value of what this business that generates a 28% or 29% ROC and earnings growth in this category is as it relates to Voya's overall contribution.
Jay Cohen
analystThat's a fair point. The voluntary market, Voya plans to grow there. You're not alone. There's a lot of other players that have this goal as well. So how do you attack this market knowing that it's somewhat crowded potentially?
Rodney Martin
executiveSo let me start because I'm going to brag about Mike for a minute. We -- 4, 5, 6 years ago, we were in early stages of this, and we've gone from there to, Mike, the seventh-largest-or-so player in the voluntary space. So I think we've made material progress. I mean we've gone from being not in the top 10 or perhaps not even top 15 or 20, to being in the top 10 and growing at a rate that enabled us candidly to increase the guidance from this segment at this point in time. And there's a couple of reasons for that. You're absolutely right, Jay, that there's a lot of people focused on this. And one of the things that we've -- we think the fact that we're in this stop loss business and the voluntary space is a nice combination. But one of the things that we learned, observed and frankly have responded to is, we do business with employers of all sizes, as you know, but it's generally 500 lives and above. And guess what, they keep their data in a lot of different ways. And I've overused this example, but sometimes, it comes in a shoebox with a whole bunch of stuff. And the company that can take the data the way they have it and produce something quickly back has been one of the pain points of how do people make more or less progress in this business. And Mike and the team figured that out 6 or 7 years ago, and we've been working at improving that. And candidly, that's been one of the things that has really stimulated the growth. We're not perfect, not in any way trying to describe that, but we've really made material progress in our ability to take data in the way they have it because they have it the way they have it and turn it around in a way that's the least intrusive from the standpoint of an employer and all of the discussions that they don't want to have about why they've got to reformat all their employment data and reformat everything to your perfectly structured blueprint that they could care less about. They just want the benefit. And the other thing that's happened with the voluntary space is with the advent of Obamacare and the higher-deductible medical plans, many, many of us have chosen higher deductible plans to manage family budgets. And they realize increasingly, employer, employee and adviser, there are gaps created by that. And these products help overlay and frankly solve some of those gaps, not as an entirety, and that's been an increasing reason for the adoption of this. And we see that in the small mid-space and frankly the large corporate space. The last time we talked about this, over half of the new coverage we put in place in 2019 was brand-new cover in the marketplace. In a mature market like the U.S., that's not something we talk about very frequently. It's usually company A is replacing company B as opposed to brand-new coverage that's being considered in the marketplace by an employer.
Michael Smith
executiveYes. I don't have a lot to add on that but ..
Rodney Martin
executiveYou built it. But you ...
Michael Smith
executiveI don't have a lot to add other than I'd just leave it with this. We're taking share in an expanding market. We grew 25%. Our in-force premium grew 25% last year, and that's actually probably a little bit down from the growth we've had before. But I think we're going to continue to see 20%-plus growth going forward in voluntary. It's going to be quite strong for us. And all the things that Rod talked about, our advantages in terms of how we're able to work with clients and the benefits administrators that they hire, our ability to continue to evolve our product designs and reflect the market needs and our ability to bring to bear new tools to help people make better decisions and bettering the enrollment process. All of that's going to add up to, I think, a really attractive future. And the whole market is doing well. I mean -- so it's a great place to be. That's why a lot of folks are rushing there, but it's not easy to get in, and it's not easy to break in. There are intermediaries that you have to have relationships with. You have to be able to deliver the goods. We've got the track record, and I think it gives us a head up -- head start.
Jay Cohen
analystYou're now in the top 10, you clearly have arrived and have appropriate scale.
Rodney Martin
executiveStay tuned.
Jay Cohen
analystYes. We've only got about 1.5 minutes left. All my questions are like 5-minute questions. But if we've got a quick one out there, we can fill one more question, if there is any. If not, why don't we end it here? Guys, once again, thank you very much for being here.
Rodney Martin
executiveThank you, all.
Michael Smith
executiveThank you.
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