AGT Food and Ingredients Inc. (AGTF) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
June 23, 2026
What were the key takeaways from AGT Food and Ingredients Inc.'s June 23, 2026 earnings call?
In the Q1 2026 earnings call for AGT Food and Ingredients Inc., management highlighted a robust growth trajectory with a consolidated adjusted EBITDA CAGR of 26% since 2021. Revenue for the quarter showed resilience despite a decline, with management indicating that initial disruptions from geopolitical events would be recaptured in subsequent quarters. The company maintained its optimistic outlook, emphasizing strong demand for plant-based foods and a strategic expansion into India, which is expected to enhance growth in their pasta business significantly. No changes were made to guidance, but management underscored the potential for increased revenues due to shifts in food security strategies globally.
What topics did AGT Food and Ingredients Inc. cover?
- Resilience in Earnings: Despite a decline in revenue, AGT reported stable earnings, showcasing the strength of its diversified business model. Management stated, "revenues declined, yet earnings were very stable," indicating a focus on free cash flow and adjusted EBITDA as key performance indicators.
- Expansion into India: Management expressed optimism regarding the new plant in India, stating, "we expect that India can grow in our pasta business, we're saying what took us 15 years in Turkey, we might do in 7 years in India." This strategic move is expected to leverage low operating costs and favorable trade policies.
- Impact of Geopolitical Events: Management acknowledged the initial impact of the Middle East conflict, estimating a $5 million to $7 million EBITDA hit in Q1 but expects recovery in subsequent quarters. They noted, "we can maybe go to the next question," indicating confidence in operational resilience.
- Long-term Market Opportunities: Management highlighted the growing demand for protein-rich and fiber-rich foods, driven by dietary shifts and global population growth. They stated, "Global food outputs have to grow by 50% by 2050," positioning AGT favorably in the market.
- Focus on Free Cash Flow: The company emphasized its commitment to free cash flow generation, with a CAGR of 30% over the past four years. Management noted, "future CapEx and dividends are funded through our free cash flow," reinforcing financial discipline.
What were AGT Food and Ingredients Inc.'s June 23, 2026 results?
- Adjusted EBITDA: $93 million (compared to $18 million previously, indicating significant growth.)
- Revenue: null (declined in Q1 but expected to recover in future quarters.)
- Free Cash Flow: $100 million (adjusted free cash flow growth of a CAGR of 30% over the past four years.)
- Debt-to-EBITDA Ratio: 0.5x (indicating a strong balance sheet position.)
- CAGR in Packaged Foods: 10% (expected growth in the Packaged Foods & Ingredients segment.)
- CAGR in Pasta Market: 6% (long-term growth rate expected in the pasta segment.)
AGT Food and Ingredients Inc. is positioned for continued growth with a strong focus on free cash flow and a diversified product offering. The expansion into India and resilience in earnings despite geopolitical challenges are key catalysts. Investors should monitor the recovery in revenue and the successful execution of the India expansion as potential risks and opportunities unfold.
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Robert McFarland
executiveGood morning, and welcome to the Annual Meeting of AGT Food and Ingredients Inc. My name is Bill McFarland, and I'm the Chair of the Board of AGT. This meeting is being held in a webcast format only. I'm joined today by Murad Al-Katib, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Kent Ren, Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary of the company; and Harley Ulmer, Global Corporate Treasurer of the company. We will start by conducting the formal part of the meeting, and afterwards Murad will provide a business update followed by a question period. Murad's presentation will appear on your screen so you may easily follow along, and it will be posted on the AGT website after the meeting. I have a few administrative details to cover before we get going. Registered shareholders and duly appointed proxy holders may vote online during the meeting by clicking the voting icon. If you cannot see the full text of the resolution, please scroll down on your device in order to see the resolution as well as the voting options. If you've already voted by proxy, there is no need to vote again during the meeting since your vote has been recorded in accordance with your proxy instructions. Given the virtual format of the meeting, we have appointed certain individuals to motion and second items of business in advance. In order for us to efficiently address any online questions on the matters to be voted upon. We encourage shareholders who are attending online and have specific questions on any item of business to submit their questions now. To enter a question or comment, select the messaging icon compose your question or comment at the bottom of the screen and then click the arrow icon to submit. Please note that questions submitted during the meeting via the online platform will be moderated before being sent to me. All questions will be addressed before voting closes. I now request that the meeting come to order. With the consent of the meeting, I Bill McFarland will act as Chair of the meeting, and Ken Marine shall act as Secretary of the meeting. I appoint Patricia Selby of TSX Trust Company to a form of proxy were mailed to shareholders of record as of May 4, 2026, in advance of the time required for such notice. I will dispense with the reading of the notice. The Secretary has also advised that a quorum is present. I further direct that the formal report of the scrutineer be annexed to the minutes of this meeting as a schedule. I now declare that this meeting has been regularly called and is properly constituted for the transaction of business. Voting at today's meeting for those that are entitled to vote and have not already submitted a proxy will be conducted by online ballot for each matter. I now declare the polls open on all items of business. If you submitted a completed proxy in advance of the meeting, you have already voted and are not required to vote again. Voting panel on your screen should now display the voting options for registered shareholders and duly appointed proxy holders. The voting panel will remain open until discussion, if any, has concluded on all items of business. I will then declare voting on all items of business closed. The first item of business is the presentation of the audited consolidated financial statements of the corporation for the year ended December 31, 2025, and reported thereon by PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP. A copy of such financial statements and the report of the auditors thereon has been mailed to each registered shareholder of record at the close of business as of May 4, 2026. We elected to receive the financial statements and report of the auditors. These documents are now placed before the meeting. I will dispose with the reading of the auditor's report. Noble by the shareholders is required or proposed to be taken with respect to the financial statements. The next item of business is the election of directors of AGT. Other nominations of persons for election as directors in accordance with the advance notice provisions of AGT's bylaws, the only individuals entitled to be nominated as directors at this meeting are the persons named as nominees in the management information circular and proxy statement prepared for this meeting. As there were no other individuals nominated prior to this meeting, those 8 nominees are Robert W. McFarland, Murad Al-Katib, Huseyin Arslan, Marry Garden, Cristoskasius, Brad Martin, JV, MRSA, Mary Lucie Moran. May I have a motion regarding the election of directors?
Harley Ulmer
executiveI make that motion.
Robert McFarland
executiveThank you. Could you make it formally Harley, please? Cooper's LP charter professional accountants be appointed auditor of AGT until the next Annual Meeting of Shareholders or until a successor is appointed at such remuneration [indiscernible] Thank you, Mr. Ryan. You now have heard the motion. Mr. Ryan, are there any online questions on this motion?
Unknown Executive
executiveMr. Chairman, there are no questions.
Robert McFarland
executiveAs a reminder, if you have previously submitted a completed proxy, you've already voted and it's not necessary to vote again online. We will pause briefly before closing the polls. [Voting] The polls are now closed, and I will ask the secretary to provide the report from the scrutineer.
Unknown Executive
executiveMr Chairman, I have received a report from the scrutineer. The shareholders have voted in favor of each of the items of business to be voted on at this meeting.
Robert McFarland
executiveThank you. Accordingly, I declare the election of each of the companies to the Board of Directors and the appointment of Pricewaterhousecooper, following the meeting, a report disclosing the final voting results of this meeting will be filed on SEDAR, and we will also issue a press release with such results. This now concludes the formal portion of the meeting. Accordingly, I declare this meeting terminated. On behalf of the Board of Directors of AGT, I would like to thank our shareholders, customers, employees, producers, suppliers and communities where we work for their continued support. As the formal portion of the annual meeting has now been completed, I will ask Murad to provide an update on the business. Please enter your questions during Murad's presentation by the online platform. This will assist in making the Q&A period efficient. To enter a question or comment, select the messaging icon compose your question or comment at the bottom of the screen and then click the arrow icon to submit. Questions submitted during the presentation via the online platform will be moderated and/or combined before being. [indiscernible]
Murad Al-Katib
executiveToday is an interesting opportunity and the core strengths of AGT and the investor opportunity today. So I want to just on Slide 2, refer -- next slide to refer to the forward-looking statements. We claim the protection of these cautionary notes for forward-looking information. On Slide 3, let's just talk about who we are today. AGT Foods is a globally diversified company that produces healthy plant-based foods. So we're a diversified leader in plant-based food and ingredients, this really does reduce our tariff exposure and the susceptibility of our business to policy changes. We are global. We're not just in North America. We are around the world, close to where the consumption is growing in many of our main products. Our integrated supply chain and scaled manufacturing footprint gives us that scale and cost advantage in particular in cost-advantaged jurisdictions like Turkey and India. We're a trusted partner to major brands by our R&D innovation and our private label store brand manufacturing platform. We've shown the resiliency of our platform with a proven model led by an experienced management team. Our consolidated adjusted EBITDA CAGR at 26% when comparing TTM Q1 '26 to the 2021 full year results. Over the past 4.25 years, again, strong resilient growth in the entire platform of AGT and our packaged foods grew also by a CAGR of about 27% and $93 million, a transformation of the business that allows us to deliver adjusted free cash flow growth of a CAGR of 30% over the same period to over $100 million adjusted free cash flow in the TTM period ended March 31, 2026. And as I said earlier, I just wanted to reiterate experienced founder-led management team backed by a committed long-term shareholder in Fairfax, these give us a strong base from which to grow. Let's look at Slide 4 now, the next slide. Two major segments of our business really complement the growth and margin profile and transformation of this business. Packaged Foods is the core growth driver centered around our branded private label and co-manufacturing opportunity. Pasta is where we are seen as a global leader in the production of global store brands where we're investing in the future with high-return projects, both with the capacity expansion that's completed in Turkey and new capacity that's being built in India. We work directly as a partner with household brands and global retailers as a part of their supply chain, managing the procurement of their wheat, the production of their pasta and I want to remind you that Pasta is a need to have in retail stores around the world. This is not discretionary consumption. It's everyday consumption that is repeated by the consumer. Our value-added processing segment is a key part of our integrated supply chain, offering efficiency and quality. And access to commodities around the world provides us with flexibility to navigate weather, pricing changes and grow our margins over time and the large component in our food security business is also in this segment, making up approximately 50% of this segment, where revenues as a preferred supplier to local governments and NGOs and multilateral agencies will continue to expand. Broad global customer base across multiple sales channels has given us strong resilient earnings in this value-added processing, demonstrated, for instance, in our Q1 results, where revenues declined, yet earnings were very stable. So free cash flow and adjusted EBITDA are KPIs in this segment and across our business, not revenue. We go to the next slide, Slide 5. And we look at the overall market opportunity, Pasta and pulses are stable. [indiscernible] have long-term growth rates of 5.2% in pasta, 5.7%. So call it close to 6% CAGR, in these particular segments. They're affordable, protein-rich foods with everyday use and repeat consumption, not discretionary consumption, strong health trends driving plant-based nutrition dense demand GLP-1 drugs are driving a change in consumer behavior around the world where dietary fiber and protein are not a fad. They are fundamental consumption and fiber-rich foods such as pulses with protein and fiber are natural ingredients for the growth of food in the world. Our growth is aligned to Asia, Africa, rising food demand and demographics with global population growth and global food outputs will have to grow by nearly 50% by 2050 a feet a growing middle class and key partners retailers and global brands are supporting this growth, along with food security and multilateral agencies. On Slide 6, very simple business strategy, expand our margins through shift and operational excellence. The mix shift includes growth in past a better-for-you products and the move to higher-value pulses like beans, chickpeas and are value added, scale our global platforms, new Turkish capacity to be 70% utilized by the end of 2026. We expect new mine out lines to be mostly utilized by the end of 2026. We expect growth and expansion in our better-for-you platform in '27 and '28, along with the new India platform that's being driven, adding about 90,000 tonnes of capacity to our footprint, our modular CapEx strategy will target 3- to 4-year paybacks with very strong return on invested capital and strong ability to deliver free cash flow driving our adjusted EBITDA growth in excess of 10% per year in the Packaged Foods & Ingredients segment. Future CapEx and dividends are funded through our free cash flow. All of these are fundamentals to delivering a strategy. On Slide 7, there's a clear path to adjusted EBITDA growth through targeted investments in construction today, we know where we're winning and Turkey and India Pasta is a growth driver, better for our food ingredients and then the efficiency and our diversification of our value-added processing segment. These are, again, doubling down on our highest-performing businesses, these are our winners. On Slide 8, strategy is in place. I can tell you, we're working right? We're well positioned in attractive, growing global food markets, and we've had success for several years. The CAGRs that we talked about earlier, 30% adjusted free cash flow growth 6% adjusted EBITDA growth in Packaged Foods on a CAGR basis in the last 4.5 years are showing that we are indeed winning and the strong financial profile with adjusted free cash flow being driven by packaged food growth in excess of 10%, will give us -- our experienced and committed to driving long-term shareholder value. So we're here and we're winning -- and the clear opportunity here is to drive shareholder value, strong alignment between management [indiscernible] and investors. And currently, as Bill said, with AGT valued at 6x adjusted EBITDA as compared to our comparator group at 9x and greater, we're at a point now where there's a great investment opportunity. I'm going to stop there now and take some questions. I think I'm going to just ask Bill to just wrap up for me.
Robert McFarland
executiveThank you, Murad. We would now be pleased to entertain any questions to enter a question or comment, select the messaging icon, compose your question or comment at the bottom of the screen and then click on the arrow icon to submit Mr. [indiscernible] are there any online questions?
Unknown Executive
executiveYes, Mr. Chairman, we have received the following question. What is the current and expected ongoing impact of the war in the Middle East.
Murad Al-Katib
executiveYes, I'll take that question. So again, a very timely question, a very dynamic situation. I guess we are in a great position now where there is a cease fire that seems to be holding discussions going on between the U.S. and Iran and the Switzerland talks. But I think I want to just kind of talk about what's already kind of what I would call water under the bridge. Governments are rethinking food security strategies and expected to increase future revenues. So we are seeing that the tail wins or the push after this Middle East war now, if stocks are depleted in the region. Initial Q1 disruption delayed our shipments hurt Q1 by approximately $5 million to $7 million of EBITDA. We are expecting that to be recaptured in the Q2 to Q4 period. So we're seeing that play out with robust shipments in April, May into June and continuing on in quarter 3. We've remained operational through the whole disruption. We're pleased the straight is open. But regardless, it hasn't been a big impact on our business. and it wouldn't be if there's a reversal. So the reversal that's going to happen now will only be positive. I mean even the oil future is coming down so drastically and dramatically will again lead to the normalization of freight rates in short order. Supply chains have adapted, shipments are rerouted. We're expecting it to take 2 to 3 months to get all back to normal shipping. But in the meantime, these multimodal land bridges and other things that are being done by large global organizations like DP World into the United Arab Emirates, these are continuing to make sure that products are flowing and governments are prioritizing food shipments over other discretionary goods. So in general, I think that what we'll see is there might be a little bit of what I would call ebbs and flows, but it's very manageable going forward. We can maybe go to the next question.
Unknown Executive
executiveNext question that we received is, why are you building a plant in India? And what is the opportunity.
Murad Al-Katib
executiveWell, again, I would say -- I mean, listen, India is a global giant and when I look at the alignment of Canadian trade policy with India, and I think that in general, the Modi government policies, there's been strong policy support under the Modi government for manufacturing in India. Good knowledge of the local dynamics exist as a Fairfax controlled company, and we have an ATP footprint in India with about 100 full-time staff on the ground in almost a decade of experience there. The strategic location of India provides freight advantages in the global markets. From Navasheva, India in the U.S. ports and into European ports, is almost -- a lot of cases, cheaper than local ground transport from local origination points in North America. So what we see is low construction costs, low operating costs, competitive raw material, great regulatory regime, and competitive position. It's done by 2027 there is a government in India that is moving quickly and our strategic position will be enhanced by being there. And we expect that India can grow in our pasta business, we're saying what took us 15 years in Turkey, we might do in 7 years in India. So we're quite optimistic that this is going to be a very successful venture. Maybe go to the next question.
Unknown Executive
executiveSo we have 1 more question. That's up right now. It's -- how is AGT different today than it was when it was public before.
Murad Al-Katib
executive[indiscernible] provides us flexibility and safety margin. I mean the decision by Fairfax to reduce the leverage in the IPO down to less than 0.5x debt-to-EBITDA, is what I would call a pristine balance sheet leverage position that I think is enviable in our sector. But I think that, that gives us the flexibility in the safety margin to make sure. And I said in my call earlier, we're going to be very disciplined on leverage. So ensuring that we keep that less than, call it, 1x debt to EBITDA as we continue to go forward and potentially even lower. There's significantly a much more diversification across our platforms and geographies. I remind people that the old AGD, when Mr. Modi put tariffs on in 2017 and '18, our earnings cratered, they went in half. I have to remind people that Armageddon happened in 2025. Trump to global tariff war, which was much more severe than the first time around, and then we followed that shortly after that with the Middle East war and look at our earnings, consistent. We are showing the resiliency why? [indiscernible] are not -- they're a big part of our business, but they're not the only business we do in value-added. We've moved into new clients, packagers, Canners, retailers, not just wholesale markets, our packaged foods is huge compared to where it was. When we were public before it was $18 million of EBITDA. Now it's $93 million and growing. And we've won like we're winning. We know where we're winning in pasta, better for you, and those segments. We were previously, again, not necessarily as focused on diversification of all those markets from a geographic perspective. So we have reduced exposure to single tariff or single market shocks, right? The goal in this, I guess, was an accident. This was done through investments as a private company to prepare us to be public again. We have a larger scale, manufacturing foundation is built. We need smaller modular CapEx products to drive the next phase of growth. And again, this is a free cash flow business. That's what we're focusing on today. low leverage, free cash flow, double down on the winners. So again, I think what we're going to prove over time is that the market will see us as a leader in pasta, a leader in protein-based packaged foods. And I think over time, we're hopefully going to become known as steady eddy, predictable business. That's what we're looking for. Any other questions in the queue?
Unknown Executive
executiveYes. Yes, there's one more. How big is the protein and dietary fiber opportunity.
Murad Al-Katib
executiveThat's a question that everybody will answer. Harley, maybe you can give a couple of perspectives on how big is the protein and dietary fiber opportunity.
Harley Ulmer
executiveAnybody that's been following anything with diet and nutrition, it's almost impossible to avoid seeing the vast demand for protein. We've had a fundamental shift in perspectives on diet and nutrition over the last little while, driven as much by the introduction and the vast adoption of GLP-1 drugs where people are looking now for nutrient-dense foods -- that includes everything that's high protein. And the extra piece that's picked up steam this year now is dietary fiber. So we're seeing now that as those drugs have had more widespread adoption, the food industry as a whole is really changing its focus and perspective. the fact that they're starting to go now on to generics and become available in tablet form as opposed to injection eminent in consumers' minds, and we are participating in that space, and we...
Murad Al-Katib
executiveNice that the global demand for food, studies have shown, as I said earlier, Global food outputs have to grow by 50% by 2050, just to feed the growing middle class. So as people get -- consumers get wealthier, at more protein. I think we also have to recognize that in the diets of the world, I always say North American consumers have a dietary problem because of choice. We make bad choices in the world, a lot of dietary choices in the mismatch in the protein deficiency and the fiber deficiency is actually availability and affordability. So you don't have to remind people that nutrient dense protein rich and dietary fiber rich pulses in everyday foods is actually an affordable choice that will actually, over time, have a significant dietary impact on not only health but also on the outcomes in the emerging markets. So I always joke, I say North American as we say we're going to get less pasta, we all live, right? In the world, they're eating more pasta why?. It's actually an affordable protein. I have to remind people, rice is 6% protein, Pasta is 12% protein, and it's affordable like rice. So I do think it's a great opportunity. No fabs, no trends that are kind of here today, gone tomorrow, which ultimately will play into our stability messaging. Any other questions in the queue?
Unknown Executive
executiveMr. Chairman and Murad, there are no further questions.
Murad Al-Katib
executiveAll right. I'll turn it back to Mr. Chairman.
Robert McFarland
executiveThank you, Kevin. I would like to thank everyone for attending the annual meeting. We are excited about the future of AGT, and we look forward to staying connected with all of our shareholders and stakeholders and appreciate your continued support. Have a wonderful day.
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