Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ALNY) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

September 14, 2026

NASDAQ US Health Care Biotechnology conference_presentation 34 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Michael Ulz

analyst
#1

All right. Hello, everyone, and thanks for joining us at the Morgan Stanley Global Healthcare Conference. I'm Michael Ulz, one of the biotech analysts here, and it's my pleasure to introduce the team from Alnylam Pharmaceuticals Up to my left, Yvonne Greenstreet, CEO; and to her left is John Kennedy, Senior Vice President of Global Commercialization and Lead of the [ GTR ] franchise, which I know a lot of people are interested in. So happy to have you both here. But just a reminder, it's the fireside chat. If anyone has a question, if you raise your hand, we can try and address them in our discussion. But before we get started, I just need to read a quick disclosure. For important disclosures, please see the Morgan Stanley research disclosure website at www.morganstanley.com/researchdisclosures. If you have any questions, please reach out to your Morgan Stanley sales representative. And with that, maybe I'll just hand it over briefly to Yvonne to make some comments, and then we can hop into the Q&A.

Yvonne Greenstreet

executive
#2

Well, thank you so much. It really is a pleasure to be here to be here with John. As many of you know, Alnylam is the leading RNAi company. We have a commercial stage TTR franchise business that's growing very rapidly. We have a rich pipeline with a number of potentially transformative medicines that will be delivering some exciting catalysts over the next year or so and a real pleasure to be here to dig into the questions you may have for.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#3

Yes, great. Thanks for that, Yvonne. And you touched on it already, but you've had a very strong TTR cardiomyopathy launch. So maybe we can start there, and you can describe what's driven the success so far.

Yvonne Greenstreet

executive
#4

That's a great question. We're very proud of what we've accomplished with future, particularly for patients with TTR cardiomyopathy in Q2 this year. we crossed the $1 billion of revenue in just one quarter. And I think that's particularly impressive given that we achieved the cardiomyopathy indication in March of 2025. So really, really strong progress. And I think that's driven by a number of key drivers. I think the first is the strength of the data that we generated from the landmark HELIOS-B study where we delivered impressive results with respect to Arco's mortality in all the different subgroups in the study and severity types and patients receiving stabilizers or not. And really, I think it's been this body of evidence, which we've continued to enrich them with additional analyses looking at cardiac structure and function, looking at the benefits on extra cardiac manifestations that I think really provides a compelling proposition for physicians to prescribe AMVUTTRA line. And then you put that together with a quarterly subcutaneous administration, which if you like, provides physicians with certified adherence because you're really going to get the benefits from the drug. If you actually take the drug. And I think the profile of AMVUTTRA has been very well received by physicians and supports its position as first-line monotherapy. I think the second key driver is really around access. Again, it's great to have delivered a successful study and have a medicine that's safe and efficacious. But patients have to be able to receive a medicine. I think we've done a really good job being able to ensure that there's unencumbered access really to AMVUTTRA as first-line therapy and most patients are able to get access to AMVUTTRA with $0 out-of-pocket costs. And we've really focused on trying to make this convenient for patients and 90% of patients can access AMVUTTRA within 10 miles of their home. So I think really strong setup from an access perspective. I think the third point is really around physician preference and what's been remarkable to us actually is that physicians who experienced AMVUTTRA who prescribe AMVUTTRA, prefer it and we have a greater than 50% market share with physicians who have used an future. So that's really very, very encouraging. And then the final point I'd add make is just around the market. This is a rapidly growing market, hugely underserved. And so whilst we've made terrific progress with AMVUTTRA, I'm really excited by how much there is ahead of us in terms of helping patients with TTR cardiomyopathy.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#5

Makes sense. And recently on the earnings call, you reset expectations around guidance for the year. So maybe talk about some of the dynamics behind that and what you've been seeing as the launch progresses.

Yvonne Greenstreet

executive
#6

Yes. So that's a really great question. Yes, we revised our guidance on call to $4.2 billion to $4.5 billion for our TTR franchise. That's a $200 million reduction at the midpoint. And that was really driven by a greater understanding of the evolution of the market, particularly as it relates to second-line demand. When we launched AMVUTTRA in 2025, there were clearly a number of patients with pent-up demand. There are patients who are progressing. They are waiting for a new treatment. And so when we look to the mix of our business in 2025, it was pretty more balanced between first line of patients that have just been digress TTR cardiomyopathy and getting a treatment for the first time and patients who were second line, who are already on treatment. And what happened as we went into 2026 is that really has normalized, if you like, and stabilize. So we've gone from a mix of business that's been pretty well balanced between first line and second line to now a business that's really approaching what the market -- where the market is, which is 80% first line and 20% second line. So we're trending in that direction. So really, our focus is, therefore, on making sure that we continue to establish AMVUTTRA as first-line opportunity for patients. Now some patients who continue to progress will benefit from an alternative therapy. And some physicians when they have to think about how to best treat these patients, we'll think about either adding in an additional therapy. And if they're on seize the only opportunity is a silencer like an future or they will think about this in combination.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#7

Makes sense.

Yvonne Greenstreet

executive
#8

Actually, asked a question about the market fundamentals. And maybe just to touch on that a little bit because I think it is worth emphasizing how strong the market fundamentals are? I already talked about access I've already talked about the needs in the marketplace with 80% of patients yet to be diagnosed and treated in a market that has roughly 200,000 patients in the U.S. and 500,000 patients around the world. And so a need to really help these patients get diagnosed and treated and really also the first line momentum that we're seeing. So I think strong market fundamentals as we look out beyond 2026.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#9

Makes sense. And I also want to just touch about on some of the pricing dynamics and maybe how that's evolved through the launch and then this 340B question that's coming up now.

Yvonne Greenstreet

executive
#10

Yes, John, do you want to touch on pricing on 340B?

John Kennedy

executive
#11

Yes, absolutely. So in terms of pricing, we have said since launch, and we've been very consistent that we anticipate a modest and gradual reduction in net price just as the volume and experience accrue over time. And that's really what you saw in '25 and '26. And so that's been what we said, and we see that as the outlook. For 340B, there's a proposed rule change. And obviously, that is gone through the comment period. There's been quite a few voices that have spoken up about that. Particularly on the provider side, there are some very strong voices against that. And so I think it still remains to be seen what will actually come from that comment period and actually what happens with the proposed rule change. That said, even if that were to move forward, I think the other variable is how providers will change their behavior and there are options. So there are eligible accounts. They -- anyone can purchase at list price. There are also these alternate sites of care, which we have really built a robust network to make sure that patients have optionality in terms of site of care. And so those are built for volume and built for buy and bill. So there is optionality on the other side of that. And I would say the most important thing is we're focused on AMVUTTRA access. And we see access and utilization across sites of care.

Yvonne Greenstreet

executive
#12

So that's the bottom line for me whatever happens, we're going to make sure that patients who need AMVUTTRA track going to be able to access.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#13

Makes sense. And when do you think this will kind of come to an end November? Does it keep dragging on? Or just like this all play out?

John Kennedy

executive
#14

Historically, when there's a rule -- proposed rule change, we expect that in November, somewhere in November is usually when those things are kind of concluded, but it remains to be seen.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#15

Yes. Understood. Maybe we can shift gears to another area of focus, data from the cardio transform study and kind of what that means or doesn't mean for silencers maybe share what you learned from the detailed results and maybe how it might impact AMVUTTRA or not?

Yvonne Greenstreet

executive
#16

The cardio cardiotransform study was really very interesting. And I think the outcome was driven by a number of key factors. I think one was the depth of TTR knockdown that was achieved in the study. I think the second was around the patient population that was enrolled in the study. And I think the third was around endpoint selection. What I think was probably most surprising to people was actually the relatively poor TTR knockdown that was achieved by [ aplontersen ] in the study. I mean, less than 70% kind of mean TTR knockdown compared to what we've seen with Aura in Helios-B of 81% mean TTR knockdown. And that 11% is actually a meaningful difference. And to me, what I think is really quite interesting is that probably what we've seen is a little bit of a dose response set of studies, if you like, in this space for patients with TTR cardiomyopathy. [ Better ] knockdown leading to better outcomes, less good knockdown, leading to less good outcomes. I think the other aspect, just going back to the sort of patient selection for the study. that it's quite clear that when you're thinking about a stabilizer, the best opportunity for patients is to treat patients early we're treating them with a stabilized. So when the hearts already had a lot of deposition of amyloid someone going to take longer for that to resolve. And we saw this in HELIOS-B actually where patients who are at an earlier set of their disease saw better outcomes, and that's a really, really important point. And actually, in cardio transform and a similar finding there as well in the cohort of patients who are NAC Stage 1, so earlier stage of their disease. Actually, [ Epion ] test was able to deliver a positive result, which would have achieved statistically nominal significance. So I think there's something around patient selection that is really, really important. And the last point is around the endpoint. I mean the HELIOS looks an all-cause mortality endpoint. Now we know that TTR cardiomyopathy is a multisystem disease. It affects the harbor it affects other parts of their body. And people die from the broad aspects of the disease. If they have heart failure, they get ammonia, they die, they're weeks, they fall. And so if you're going to have an endpoint, I think it's helpful to have an endpoint that is able to measure all the aspects that impact mortality. And I think the other thing is having an event-driven end point is also helpful so you can make sure you crew enough events you're able to see a difference.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#17

And I guess what feedback have you gotten more recently from physicians since the detailed results -- is there any impact on AMVUTTRA or not? And I guess we did our own dock call and the view was no impact. So just curious what you're hearing out there?

Yvonne Greenstreet

executive
#18

Yes. So I mean I'd just like to say a little bit HELIOS speed does stand alone in this study. I mean it was a landmark study, delivered very impactful results. And I think the other point to make is that silence is not all silences. You have ASOs and you have [indiscernible] What's been quite interesting actually, when you've looked at a number of programs, AGT, APOC3, PCSK9 and now eplontersen is that actually performed better than ASOs. And I think people are beginning to understand that, that different study, different drug, not surprising if you get a different result. So I think as we speak to physicians, and we've done some surveys, they're really not seeing huge implications to their daily practice based on the cardio transform study. But obviously, it's our job to make sure that we're able to get out there and educate physicians on the strength of what we have in the HELIOS-B study and the compelling profile for AMVUTTRA.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#19

What about this dynamic between the stabilizers versus the silencer? Is that kind of the same view like no real impact or change there?

John Kennedy

executive
#20

Yes. I mean I think there are some that are trying to characterize the study as something that it wasn't designed to do. But in terms of just general practice, maybe the way I can answer it is we actually did a survey of cardiologists, general cardiologists that are caring for these patients in this category. And we actually did it between the press release announcement of the failed trial and before ESC. So if you think about it, that was the moment of probably the highest uncertainty. And we did a survey and essentially asked does anything change? Especially with regard to your current behavior and your perception of silencing. And the short answer is overwhelmingly no. Now since we went to ESC, we now have so much more data. And I think the conclusions are generally what we see. It probably worked , but it matters how well you silence and we have a better product, and that came across, I think, very clearly at ESC.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#21

Yes. Makes sense. Maybe you can talk about some of the OUS dynamics you're seeing and how that might play out this year?

Yvonne Greenstreet

executive
#22

We're thrilled that we're able to make AMVUTTRA available to patients around the world. I think the launch has gotten off to a great start in markets like Germany and Japan. We recently effected a commercialization agreement with B1 to make sure that we can work towards making AMVUTTRA available to patients. In China, obviously, we need to get through the regulatory process first, and while these are all different geographies and they have their different systems, the different pricing and reimbursement systems, different access considerations, I think one thing is clear that patients with TTR cardiomyopathy are not sufficiently diagnosed and not sufficiently treated. And so there's a huge opportunity as we think about building this business. Obviously, in the U.S. but also around the world to meet the needs of so many patients out there.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#23

Yes. Makes sense. Maybe shifting a little bit related but nucresiran? Obviously, lots of questions around that and implications of the cardiotransform. You shared your views on the data. I guess, on this study -- how are you thinking about the implications there?

Yvonne Greenstreet

executive
#24

That's a really good question. I think the first thing to say around nucresiran we're obviously evaluating nucresiran study that's called TRITON CM. It's a large cardiomyopathy study. Nucresiran has 95% TTR knockdown. That's the best of any program that's out there. And we think that's going to play through into improved outcomes. So we definitely have a molecule that is incredibly potent. I think that's the first thing to say. I think the second is that we've been developing medicines for patients with TTR amyloidosis for many, many years and have real insights from all the studies that we've got. We've got patient level data from our HELIOS-B study. And that allowed us to be really thoughtful about the design of Triton CM and we've actually built in a lot of the learnings that were then validated when we saw the data from cardio transform in terms of patient selection in terms of the end point and so we feel that we're in a really, really good place with respect to Triton CM. We're obviously continuing to enroll that study. Obviously, also very thoughtful about the fact that this is an incredibly important study for the company. And so we're going to we're going to sweat the details, as we always do right. And we're going to think about whether there's anything that we need to do to modify the study truly falls into 2 buckets. One is thinking about the patients that we enroll, enriching for certain types of patients potentially, maybe increasing the size of the study. That's another option. And those are decisions that we would have to make pretty soon whilst we're still in this enrollment period. And obviously, if we make those decisions, we communicate that broadly. The other approach might be to think about the analytical plan, a little bit like we did with HELIOS-B. And that's a decision that we can make at any point in time over the duration of the study. It's probably something that we think about kind of later in the course of the study. But I think it's really important to kind of just, I think, underscore that actually, the learnings from cardio transform to a certain extent, have actually strengthened our conviction around the design of the Triton cardiomyopathy study.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#25

If you decide to make some fine tuning to the study, I guess when would that happen? And then I guess, related to that is, obviously, there's a lot of interest in probably the baseline characteristics because those are going to matter as we try and think about the probability here. I guess when might you share those? Or what's the thinking there?

Yvonne Greenstreet

executive
#26

So if we do anything different with enrollment. I mean if you remember, I think it was earlier on this year, we announced that we were upsizing the study, we're adding other 500 patients to the study, and we announced that as soon as we'd made that decision. So if we're making any changes to enrollment, that's something that we would communicate before the end of the year. But as I said, if we're refining the stats plan, we can do that in any point in time. So I wouldn't expect that we would be communicating anything on that front in the near term.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#27

Increase in the confidence is that about monotherapy effect? Is that combo effect? Is there some way to there some limit on background TAF you can have to be successful? I know these...

Yvonne Greenstreet

executive
#28

So what -- I mean, it's important to just say what we're trying to achieve with the study was actually to affect a broad label for nucresiran the way that we have done for AMVUTTRA. And therefore, it's going to be important. There'll be study a range of patients in the study, both monotherapy and combination therapy. Really, the goal is to make sure that we deliver a successful study which could then meet the needs of patients with TTR cardiomyopathy, whatever types of patients those are.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#29

Yes. Another question that comes up for TTR cardiomyopathy is just the impact of generic [ tafamidis ] in 2031. And maybe you can just share the latest thinking there and the impact to your...

Yvonne Greenstreet

executive
#30

Yes. We'd originally thought that generic [ tafamidis ] would become available in 2028. And now we understand is more likely to be 2031. And actually, that's a pretty good thing for AMVUTTRA reduces the pricing pressure of having a generic coming to the market sooner. And it allows us more time really to establish and but to continue to establish on future is the foundational therapy for patients with TTR cardiomyopathy. So we think it's actually a good thing for us. The other thing is actually the timing juxtapose is really nicely with the acres the TRITON CM study because we will be delivering data for the polyneuropathy Triton PM in 2028. And then for Triton CM, round about 2030. So it's actually all comes together rather nicely.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#31

And maybe last question on TTR. I guess as you look sort of near term through the next couple of years, just the key drivers of growth to really push the frontline use up. Is it just helping find more patients more quickly? Is it more occasion around the profile? What's -- what are the key?

Yvonne Greenstreet

executive
#32

So I think if I think about -- I'll step back and then I'm sure John will add some color. But I think about, okay, what are the key drivers of the business over the next period. And you're absolutely right. I think the really important thing is to establish abuts first-line monotherapy and obviously do that in a number of ways in terms of continued evidence generation, continued education of physicians, continued support around patient identification, diagnosis and helping patients get through the various care pathways so they can actually receive treatment. So that's really, really, really important. I think the second area is around continuing to help grow the market. when you've got a market where 80% of patients are undiagnosed and untreated. I think it's a really important opportunity and obligation for us to continue to educate physicians and improve the diagnosis rates and improve the treatment rate. So investing in helping to grow the market is also very important. I think the -- when we think about educating physicians, I think what we also need to do is to broaden the prescriber base. So I said, physicians who use AMVUTTRA prefer. We're currently addressing about 1/3 of the prescribers out there. And so there's a lot of runway. So we're investing in broadening the prescriber base as well as obviously also deep link prescribing within physicians who are already prescribing in it. And then you touched on markets outside the U.S., and we'd like to continue supporting patients who live outside the U.S. and so continued geographical expansion is going to be very important to us. And we spend a little bit of time also talking about crestal. I think AMVUTTRA is a very important medicine for Alnylam. It actually is a method that's going to allow us to fund a very exciting pipeline that we're developing and build the company. So we really are aspiring to ensuring that we are leaders in the TTR space. And we like to be leaders for a long time. And so developing our third generation with an increase, as I said, much better, much 95% TTR knockdown is another important aspect as we think about the long-term opportunity for the TTR franchise and Andrea data was there anything else?

John Kennedy

executive
#33

I mean you covered all the levers. I mean just for color commentary, what I'd say is this category is rapidly -- so that's patient volume, but it's also just the number of prescribers that are involved in the category, and that's why being able to expand the prescriber base is important, we're doing more. So we're actually -- we have more physician engagement with more people in the field, more investment. And then the other investments to drive diagnosis, we're not doing this alone. We feel compelled as we aspire to be the leader to do more to drive diagnosis, but we're doing that in partnership with others. AI is an AI provider is one example, the American Heart Association, et cetera. So those are partnerships we're building.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#34

And Yvonne, you brought this up pipeline, which we got about 8 minutes left here. So maybe we can dig in there a little bit and you've got a bunch of updates later this year, but maybe just high level, maybe just talk about pipeline and kind of what -- what do you think investors should focus on there?

Yvonne Greenstreet

executive
#35

Yes. No, I'm really excited about the progress of the pipeline. As I said, a number of important catalysts this year. So I'll start with the first, which is our Huntington's program and I know I don't have to convince any of you here how much unmet need there is for patients with this disease that's been described as being a combination of ALS and Parkinson's and Alzheimer's and the [indiscernible] nothing out there for these patients. And we have at Alnylam, a program, which we believe has a really important mechanism of action where we're able to address not just the full on Huntington gene, but also the [indiscernible] which is increasingly being implicated in the pathophysiology of the disease. So we think we put something in our hands that could be really impactful and I think this has been supported by some of the data from [ uniQure ] a natural history study, which showed the importance of actually having this exon 1 fragment. And this is program. It's a intrathecally. It's probably going to be a couple of times a year. We'll be getting Phase I data in October. So it really is imminent, and we're hoping that they will be able to demonstrate safety and tolerability. We'll be able to demonstrate we'll be able to understand PK/PD, we'll be able to measure Huntington learning through CSF. And so if this program is successful, we think we'll be able to move it very quickly into Phase III. I think there'll be a lot of support for trying to progress this medicine towards patients. So something that we are kind of very excited about, and we hope to be able to move rapidly forward. And there'll be more information being presented at the ED meeting in October. So just around the corner. So I would ask you all to stay tuned. That's a really, really exciting program. Probably the second program to touch on is called ALM 6400, what we call our plasminogen program. It's for bleeding disorders. And really it's got again, a really interesting approach where it can stabilize clot and the potential here is to be able to stabilize clot and, therefore, reduce bleeding without any thrombotic risk and there's some good genetics and biological evidence for this. And the other kind of exciting thing about this program is the mechanism of action could apply across a range of different bleeding disorders. So we're starting with a study in patients with hereditary hemorrhagic [indiscernible] and I'll talk a little bit more about that, but we can we're also then in a Phase II for actions with on Wheeler brands disease. So you can see how start off with one indication that we start to kind of go after one indication after the other with bleeding disorders. So if we have a Phase II ongoing in patients with HHT. And there, we're measuring numbers of bleeds in these patients, various of bleeds. These are patients actually that have incredibly severe nose bleeds. GI bleeds and require the often anemic that acquire transfusions. Those are really significant unmet medical need for these patients, which we hope to address with this particular program, and we'll be able to complete this Phase II study shortly. And if we're able to move this program into Phase III, it's something that actually could also move very quickly. You don't need large outcome studies to measure bleeding. So we're pretty excited about this.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#36

So you just quickly touch on the bar for bleeding, like what's a meaningful decline in the bleeding rate or any particular bar you're looking for?

Yvonne Greenstreet

executive
#37

We'll come back on that as we get the results, but clearly, we only want to progress a program that's going to have a significant benefit to these patients. So it's not just the numbers of lease, but it's also the fact that these patients are anemic alter transfusion. So you also have to think about are you able to reduce the hematological support that these patients require.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#38

Got you. If we just keep going with the pipeline, just the obesity program and your strategy there and when we might see some data?

Yvonne Greenstreet

executive
#39

Yes. So a lot of people are excited about it. There's a lot going on. We're hoping to be able to demonstrate that we're able to deliver our sRNAs and to adipose tissues. That will be a first for us. So that in itself will be a significant milestone. And when we think about what the opportunities are in obesity, you really thinking about beyond [indiscernible] how can you think about better quality weight loss? And as we think about our strategy, it will be thinking about the monotherapy, it will be thinking about in combination with other siRNAs, we'll be thinking about in combination with [indiscernible] as well where sensors are not that we're able to think about how we can progress our pipeline in creative ways to meet the emerging needs of patients. with obesity. And again, we'll be getting sort of proof-of-concept data later on this year. So we're eagerly looking forward to that.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#40

Yes. Great. And maybe we keep going with the pipeline. So [indiscernible] Maybe just give us a quick background there, and I think you're going to have a webinar later this week.

Yvonne Greenstreet

executive
#41

Yes. The webinar coming out on to encourage you all to [indiscernible] Look, I think that best has the potential to transform how hypertension is treated because hypertension is not just about lowering blood pressure. It's about the durability of lowering blood pressure is that continuous control and one of the other issues with patients who are receiving treatment for hypercenters area adherence. They just so take their tablets. And here, we can conceive of infrequent dosing of subcusanas allusions to really maintain continuous control for these patients, restore nighttime dipping, reduce variability, and we believe that all of this will lead to better outcomes for patients. It's not just about blood pressure low. It's about improving outcomes for patients. So we have a large outcome study ongoing where we hope to be able to demonstrate this over the next few years.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#42

Great. Maybe I can ask on another hot topic, the AI topic John, you mentioned some ways you're using it in diagnosis, but any other ways across the company are using it to accelerate development or things like that?

Yvonne Greenstreet

executive
#43

Well, we're using AI broadly across the company as many organizations are to improve our efficiency, improve our productivity. Obviously, some of the approaches that John touched on, on the commercial side of our operations, also very excited that we signed an agreement with a company called inceptive nucleic who are helping us think about how we can combine their frontier models with all the data that we have with respect to sRNAs and actually see whether this could help us accelerate innovation and be able to move our incredibly already productive R&D engine even faster.

Michael Ulz

analyst
#44

Yes. Okay. Great. Looks like we're just about out of time. So why don't we end it there. And on and John, thanks so much. Appreciate your time.

Yvonne Greenstreet

executive
#45

A pleasure. Thank you very much.

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