Amber Enterprises India Limited (AMBER) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

February 12, 2024

National Stock Exchange of India IN Consumer Discretionary Household Durables earnings 59 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to Amber Enterprises India Limited Q3 and 9-Month FY '24 Earnings Conference Call. This conference call may contain forward-looking statements about the company, which are based on the beliefs, opinions and expectations of the company as on date of this call. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties that are difficult to predict. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Jasbir Singh, Executive Chairman and CEO and Whole-Time Director of Amber Enterprises India Limited. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Jasbir Singh

executive
#2

Hello, and good morning, everyone. On the call, I'm joined by Mr. Daljit Singh, Managing Director; Mr. Sudhir Goyal, our CFO, Mr. Sanjay Arora, Whole-Time Director of ILJIN Electronics; and Mr. Sachin Gupta, CEO of RAC Division. We have uploaded our results presentation on the exchanges, and I hope everybody had an opportunity to go through the same. This year has been a year of transformation at Amber. As you all are aware that we have been into business of manufacturing of room air conditioners since beginning and have been maintaining our dominance in this industry since we got listed in 2018. Unlike other sectors, this sector underwent major structural shift in last 2 years. First, we got impacted by 2 COVID waves in 2020 and 2021 when COVID hit us in the peak of the season. Then competitive landscape changed where we saw many new players entering B2B space in RAC sector. And finally, all the major customers decided to shift assembly businesses in-house and started constructing their own facilities. Most of them have already shifted to in-house manufacturing. Two more customers are expected to start in quarter 1 and quarter 2 of next financial year. Looking into the structural shift in our sector, we proactively realigned our strategies in tandem to our customers' decision and took a cautious call on diversifying our portfolio. Firstly, we shifted towards supply of components to room air conditioner customers with our goal of maintaining our share of business in this sector of 28% to 29% in value terms. We are glad to announce that we have been able to maintain our share and are hopeful to continue maintaining it. Furthermore, we opted for going for non-room air conditioner components like components for telecom, smart meters, automobiles, refrigerator compressor parts, washing machine parts, microwave parts, et cetera. Today, our room AC contribution has come down from 72% in 2018 to 38% and will further reduce in coming years to come. We also diversified our electronics PCBA portfolio to different applications apart from consumer durables. We added hearable and wearable sector, telecom sector, auto, smart metering and now further expanding into defense and industrials. Plus we acquired Ascent Circuits for expanding our portfolio into PCB boards for various applications. Furthermore, we strengthened our railway portfolio. Apart from supplying air conditioners, we entered into doors and gangways and pantry systems and further now expanding into couplers, interiors, toilets, pantograph and papis through our recently announced JV with Titagarh. With all the above initiatives in respective divisions, we have laid a very strong foundation for robust growth for coming decade. Each division has multibillion dollar opportunities in the years to come. Financial year '25 will be the year of execution and customer approvals for our new initiatives in PCB and railway business. And we expect all the initiatives to start paying dividends from second half of FY '26 onwards. As we are undergoing this transformational journey, a couple of quarters may witness fluctuations in top line. However, we are very strongly confident of maintaining our growth trajectory in our bottom line in the next financial year and years to come. Also, we are confident of maintaining our guidance of ROCE levels of 19% to 21% range in the next 3 years, that is FY '27. I would now like to take you through highlights of recent announcements made in Electronics and Railway division. Ascent Circuits, Amber Group has acquired 60% stake in Ascent Circuits Private Limited, through ILJIN Electronics for consideration of INR 311 crores, subject to adjustments as stipulated in definitive agreements. This acquisition will aid us in manufacturing of printed circuit boards and help us develop capacities and capabilities for single-sided, double-sided, multilayered and RF PCBs. Through this acquisition, we will be able to cater diverse set of customers for various applications, that is aerospace and defense, medical, energy solutions, automotive, telecom, data centers, consumer electronics, IT, lighting, et cetera. Further Amber via Ascent Circuits also signed an MoU with South Korea's Korea Circuit, which is a YoungPoong Group company to manufacture Flex, HDI, semiconductor substrates, PCBs, thereby enhancing PCB manufacturing in India. Korea Circuit is the pioneer of Korean PCB industry and has pioneered various PCB solutions including HDI, flex, semiconductor substrates, multilayer, double-sided and single-sided PCBs in last 45 years. These solutions find applications across diverse sectors such as mobile industry, IT industry, semiconductor industry, home appliances, consumer electronics, aerospace and defense, medical, energy solutions, automotive, telecom, data centers and more. The recent acquisition of a majority stake in Ascent Circuits, followed by signing of this MoU with Korea Circuit, places Amber in a unique spot and positions it as a leading player in the electronics EMS space thereby opening a myriad of new business opportunities. However -- moreover, it enhances Amber's EMS portfolio by increasing local value-addition and fostering backward integration into passive components of PCB assemblies. This aligns seamlessly with the Atmanirbhar Bharat vision of Government of India and is consistent with the group's strategy of strengthening backward integration for its EMS play across diverse applications. We clearly see our Electronics division becoming Amber 2.0 strategy that has exponential growth opportunities in the year to come. Now I'll talk about Sidwal and Titagarh announcement. Further, Amber, through Sidwal, has posed a strategic partnership with Titagarh Rail Systems Limited to enter the train components and subsystem business in India and Italy via a 50-50 joint venture, SPV named Shivaliks. Titagarh Rail stands as a front runner in the rail rolling stock domain, excelling in both freight and passenger rolling stock. Besides being renowned manufacturer of railway wagons and metro coaches, Titagarh is actively engaged in prestigious projects, including Vande Bharat trains, Surat Metro, Ahmedabad Metro and Poona Metro. Both Sidwal and Titagarh Rail will invest INR 120 crores each into this joint venture, and will establish a new facility in India dedicated to manufacturing critical railway components and subsystems utilized in railway and metro coaches. Additionally, the SPV will make investments into Titagarh Firema SPA, which is an associate of Titagarh Group based in Italy. Government of Italy's investment arm Invitalia will also be making new investments of EUR 17 million in Titagarh Firema, for which an in-principle nod has already been obtained. Firema is a premier designer and manufacturer of passenger trains in Italy, boasting a distinguished legacy spanning several decades with an order book nearing EUR 1 billion for new coach production. Together, Titagarh Rail and Sidwal will support the growth of Firema via combined management expertise as well as improving cost competitiveness by supplying critical components from India, which are produced by both the groups. We are already in advanced stage of discussion for obtaining technology for such components from global leaders, including Europe. The components would include coach interiors, coach toilets, kitchens, seats and other important railway subsystems. The JVC would target to achieve a wallet share of at least 20% value per coach by way of developing components and subsystems, which are fitted on these coaches. The strategic partnership in Firema will not only facilitate Sidwal's entry into European market but will also give Sidwal a preferred access to Firema's own demand. This division is also set to become Amber 3.0 strategy going forward. I will now take you through the consolidated financial highlights. On the revenue front, for 9 months FY '24 revenue stood flat at INR 3,924 crores on a Y-o-Y basis. We have reported revenue of INR 1,295 crores in quarter 3 FY 2024 versus revenue of INR 1,348 crores in Q3 FY 2023. On operating EBITDA on 9 months FY '24, operating EBITDA stood at INR 285 crores versus INR 271 crores in 9 months 2023, a growth of 5%. For quarter 3 FY '24, operating EBITDA stood at INR 82 crores compared to INR 89 crores in corresponding quarter last year. Operating EBITDA is before impact of ESOP expense and other nonoperating income and expenses. Operating EBITDA margins for 9 months FY 2024 stood at 7.3% versus 6.9% in 9 months FY 2023. PAT of 9 months FY 2024 stood at INR 40 crores versus INR 56 crores in 9 months FY 2023. For quarter 3 FY 2024 PAT loss stood at INR 1 crore versus INR 15 crores in Q3 FY 2023. Increase in depreciation on account of CapEx incurred and finance cost increase due to debt and higher cost of finance, which led to PAT loss. CapEx for 9 months FY 2024 stood at INR 262 crores at consol level. Coming the divisional highlights, we shall now take you through all 3 divisional highlights, which are as follows: Consumer Durable division. The Consumer Durable division has reported total revenue of INR 2,810 crores for 9 months FY '24 and INR 932 crores for quarter 3 FY '24. The operating EBITDA stood at INR 174 crores versus INR 170 crore in 9 months FY '23. While we have delved into these figures extensively in previous discussions, it's essential to reiterate that our business model is currently undergoing a significant transition. Thus, conducting year-on-year comparisons might not provide an accurate depiction. With many OEMs bolstering their in-house manufacturing capabilities, we have strategically shifted our focus towards component manufacturing. Consequently, although it may seem that our revenues in these divisions have experienced a 3% and 5% Y-o-Y decline for 9 months and quarter 3, respectively, it's crucial to consider the context namely the decline in finished goods sale compared to the previous fiscal year. Typically, orders for finished goods commence in late October to prepare for the upcoming business season, while orders for components usually kickstarts in January to February to minimize inventory holding periods. We expect margin expansion in this division due to our shift of strategy towards components, and we expect to maintain our share of business of 28% to 29% in value terms in this division. On Electronics division, shifting gears to the Electronics division, it has reported total revenue of INR 757 crores for 9 months FY '24 and INR 241 crores for quarter 3 FY '24. Operating EBITDA increased to INR 36 crores versus INR 30 crores in 9 months as compared to 9 months FY '23. Despite witnessing a 7% Y-o-Y in the revenues for 9 months FY '24, there was an 8% decline in quarter 3 FY '24. As previously mentioned, we have recently done 2 strategic onboarding in Amber's ambit Ascent Circuits and Korea Circuit, which will significantly contribute to the top line and bottom line of the division going forward. Further, we have onboarded large smart metering business and customers in automotive segment. Though we anticipated all the customer approvals by quarter 3, however, it took longer time than we expected and also one of our customers opted for job work basis to start with in Phase 1. Since now we have received all the necessary approvals and expect good growth in coming year, we foresee this division to increase its margin going forward and doubling the revenue in next 2 financial years. Additionally, with YP Group joining hands in Ascent Circuits, we shall be able to cater to semiconductor and mobile sector, thereby opening new growth opportunities in the years to come. On the Railway Subsystems and Mobility. This division has demonstrated a decent performance with total revenue of INR 357 crores for 9 months FY '24 and INR 122 crores for quarter 3 FY '24, showcasing Y-o-Y growth rates of 15% and 11%, respectively. For 9 months FY '24, operating EBITDA stood at INR 76 crores versus INR 71 crores in FY '23. The order book for this division stands at a commendable INR 1,160 crores plus LOI from Titagarh for framework agreement of Vande Bharat, Surat and Pune Metro will further offer order book strengthening by around INR 850 crores, thereby taking our order book visibility to close to INR 2,000 crores. While quarter 3 FY '24 revenues may appear slightly subdued compared to quarter 2 FY '24 due to unforeseen delays at the customer's end, it's imperative to understand that we currently only cater to 5% of bill of material of the entire rolling stock. Therefore, the readiness of the customer in terms of balancing rolling stock directly impacts our supply chain dynamics. These temporary hurdles notwithstanding, they do not, in any way, impede the overarching vision or strategy of the division. Looking at the modernization and expansion plan of Government of India in the segment of Railways and Metro, we are optimistic towards opening an addressable market size of almost about INR 75,000 crores to INR 80,000 crores in next 5 to 6 years. Taking a very conservative approach of addressing about 20% of this total addressable market, we foresee an exponential growth in our railway subsystems division in next 4 to 5 years. In order to achieve this growth, Sidwal shall be setting up a new greenfield facility in Faridabad for existing product portfolio capacity increase and also plan 2 more facilities through SPV, one for interiors and other for couplers, gears, pantograph and other subsystems. Total CapEx for this expansion in Sidwal shall be around INR 200 crores to INR 225 crores, which will be done in the next 2 financial years. In essence, our company now boasts multiple robust growth engines, necessitating a holistic perspective when evaluating our business performance. Amber's evolution beyond its traditional focus on the RAC industry is evident and our steadfast commitment to diversification ensures that our dependence on any single industry continues to diminish steadily in the years to come. With this, I would now open the floor for Q&A.

Operator

operator
#3

[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Natasha Jain from Nirmal Bang.

Natasha Jain

analyst
#4

Thank you, Jasbir sir, for that detailed opening commentary. It was quite helpful. Yes. My question is on the Consumer Durables segment. Now I understand that you mentioned that you've gone through segmental reporting change and so on and so forth. However, see brands have reported good volume growth, right, in quarter 3, so in comparison, we have registered a degrowth. Now what I want to understand is, was most of the sales out of the inventory already present with the channel and therefore, no primary sales at the OEM level? Or there is also some bit of in-house manufacturing by brands, which has led to compression in your overall revenue? That's my first question. And my second question is you did mention that component sales would now start from the fourth quarter. That's how it goes. Now that we're already done with half of fourth quarter, how was the shelf filling quarter for you? And how are you seeing the demand in terms of the entire fourth quarter? Sir, those are my 2 questions.

Jasbir Singh

executive
#5

Yes. Natasha, you're right, some of the brands have shown -- almost about 7 brands have shown positive numbers. And almost about 25 other brands have shown muted numbers. But yes, being a B2B company, we are the first one to get impacted and last one to rise when it comes to inventory level management at the brand level. So brands did face issues in quarter 1 when the unseasonal rains disrupted this whole sector. And so they started liquidated their inventories in quarter 2 and quarter 3. And quarter 3 end by almost about 15th of December is when we saw uptake starting happening. And since we -- some of the brands have already started their factories, so they have shifted the assembly businesses in-house. And that's the reason why our top line number is looking muted, because finished goods' top line is basically having some pass-through components like compressors and all. Whereas in components, that is not the case. So right now, we are now supplying more of components than the finished goods. And our structural shift has already happened. I think 2 more customers which are pending, they will start their facilities in coming financial year. And post that, the complete dust will settle of all the in-sourcing versus outsourcing and the structural shift which has happened in this sector. We are very optimistic of maintaining our margins -- increasing our margins because of our shift in the strategy. And as you rightly said that January is when we started getting orders of components, and now everything is online and track.

Natasha Jain

analyst
#6

Understood, sir. All right. And sir, just one more question in terms of the strategic alliance that you mentioned about Titagarh Rail Systems. Now you said that you will be targeting 20% of the BOM cost. Sir, any kind of translation in terms of value there? And what services exactly would you provide in the international market? So would you manufacture those stuff there itself? Or would you manufacture it domestically and ship it out? How will that work?

Jasbir Singh

executive
#7

So I'll give you a little brief on this. One Vande Bharat comprises of 16 passenger coaches. And one passenger coach cost -- a metro car or whatever you want to call, metro car or passenger car, it costs around -- the bill of material is somewhere about INR 6 crores. Currently, we were only addressing air conditioners till now, which was in the range of INR 25 lakh to INR 30 lakh depending on model to model. But with our additions of doors, gangways and pantry system, we have taken this wallet share to almost about INR 75 lakh to INR 80 lakh. Now with this announcement with Titagarh, where we are bringing up interiors, toilets, seats plus we are getting into couplers, gears, pantograph and other railway systems, we will be able to address almost about INR 2 crore per car on that front. So you can imagine Indian government has already announced 3,000 new Vande Bharat Express to come in next 5 to 6 years. And if we even take conservative approach, we'll put 2,000 numbers of Vande Bharat and almost 600 coaches of metro cars, which are newly built every year, you can imagine the kind of addressable market we have opened. To answer your second question, we will be manufacturing these components here in India. While we have got a preferred purchase agreement with Firema Italy, so we will be supplying these components from India. Currently, we were trying from last 2 years to go global in Sidwal but because of lack of experience of even single train supplied outside India, we were not getting orders. In one of the large orders, which we were likely to get in Washington, we lost it because of the lack of experience, though we were L1 there. So this announcement of Firema will help us to bridge that gap and also open up global doors for Sidwal as well as for the new SPV which we'll be creating with Titagarh.

Natasha Jain

analyst
#8

And sir, leaving aside the addressable market, what could be...

Operator

operator
#9

Sorry to interrupt, ma'am. May we just request -- yes. The next question is from the line of Aditya Bhartia from Investec.

Aditya Bhartia

analyst
#10

My first question is on the Electronics side, wherein you mentioned that there were some delays from getting customers onboarded and getting some approvals. If you could give us some more details about what's really happening over there? Our usual Consumer Durables kind of business should have -- should not have gotten impacted, whatever we were thinking was in addition of that. So is it that we are seeing some challenges on the Consumer Durables side as well? And amongst all the additions that we are doing, where exactly are we positioned? And how you are seeing growth for that division going forward?

Jasbir Singh

executive
#11

Aditya, in ILJIN and Ever in the especially consumer durable applications, which we were giving, we got impacted because we are one of the leading solution provider in the air conditioner space. And since air conditioner went through non-seasonal rains and there was -- inventory got stuck up, and so brands also ended up having inventories of this component. And hence, the air conditioner part of the PCB, that saw a decline, where -- while we were expecting a growth there. However -- plus the new components, which we -- the new customers which we onboarded, especially on the smart metering side and auto side, we were expecting that we will get approval by quarter 3, wherein it took longer time. And now we have recently -- just in February 1st week, we have received the approvals. And now things are on track. Plus the inventory levels of air conditioner PCB also has been exhausted at brands level so we think that now it is coming back to track. Plus one of the customers initially to begin with because they were -- this is the first interaction with us so they opted to go for the job work basis rather than on the sales basis, which is completely understood at our level, so we opted that, okay, fine, not a problem, we can shift later on. That's the reason why top line is looking muted. But now it is on track, and that's why we have given a guidance that this division will double its revenue in next 2 financial years. So we started our journey with air conditioner PCB. And then we added refrigerators, washing machines, microwave, water purifiers and fans. This was for consumer durable applications. Then we added hearable and wearables. Then we also added telecom products. And now we have recently added smart meters. And the process of approvals is underway for the defense and aerospace and industrial business, which we expect to come in FY '25. Plus the bare board PCB Ascent Circuits has opened a new Pandora box for new growth opportunities for us because that is the first level of backward integration you need to do in PCBA. And with that, we have opened up a new category of product profile. So we are expecting this division to not only increase its margin, we started this -- a history of that was 3% margins. Now we have already touched to almost 5%, but we expect within next year itself, this division will cross 7%, 7.5% margins. And of course, with the good ROCEs in hand, this division is expected to grow very robust growth in coming years to come.

Aditya Bhartia

analyst
#12

Sure. Understood, sir. And when you are speaking about doubling revenues, you are considering revenues of acquisitions that we have also done?

Jasbir Singh

executive
#13

Yes. Ascent Circuits last year did about INR 279 crore, financial year. So this year, I mean, since we entered into in February itself that revenue will not come up. But next year, yes, it is also expected to grow in 15% to 20% range, plus all these initiatives which we have taken in PCBA business will also grow and that's how we are expecting to double the revenue.

Aditya Bhartia

analyst
#14

Understood. Perfect. Perfect. And on the basic...

Operator

operator
#15

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Bhoomika Nair from DAM Capital.

Bhoomika Nair

analyst
#16

Sir, just in continuation to this PCBA segment. When we're talking of doubling the revenue profile over the next 2 years, this is -- I just want to get a sense on only also the NOISE JV, how that is panning out? And is that inclusive of the bare PCB board? And in terms of the Ascent Circuits, how is the working capital profile going to change? Because initially, both ILJIN, Ever did have lower working capital. So does that profile change? So that's question number one. Question number two is on the overall investments that will be required in the PCBA perspective because in this business because we are having a INR 3 crore -- INR 300 crores kind of an investment in terms of the acquisition, but will that require more CapEx? And when I look at it, there's INR 300 crores that is going into Ascent roughly, about INR 120 crores that will go into the Sidwal JV with Titagarh and there will be further CapEx for Sidwal expansion per se. Obviously, there will be increase in revenues and profitability, et cetera. But does that mean that there will be towards these 2 businesses something like a INR 700 crores, INR 800 crores kind of investment over the next 2 years?

Jasbir Singh

executive
#17

So Bhoomika, for the first question on the NOISE JV, the doubling of revenues doesn't include NOISE JV part because that's a 50-50 JV, so we will not be able to consolidate revenues. However, we will be able to consolidate some PAT levels in line to the percentage of equity we hold. That is going fine. NOISE have -- as you all must have heard that they have signed an agreement with Bose. So Bose has invested in NOISE and now they are moving towards premium segment. So we are pretty excited. Our facility with NOISE is moving on track. We will be starting that facility by mid of April. And that's how -- that's when it will start. And we expect decent revenue to come in, in the very first year. They are talking of very big numbers. I think but -- somewhere about INR 800 crores to [ INR 1,000 crores ] is something which we expect to begin with in NOISE JV part. But that is not on the consolidation of ILJIN and Ever. Now talking about the investment part of Ascent Circuits, Ascent is a profitable business with cash positive business. It is like Sidwal business, where the net working capital days are almost about 100 days right now. But since we saw the similar trend in Sidwal, where we were able to bring it down. Since the profitability is very high, we expect that it will be ROCE accretive for us, and it will not be a dampener on the working capital days moving forward. But yes, for the defense and aerospace businesses and for industrial businesses, that is where some lack of net working capital days will be there. We still have to experience that as we move forward. But we expect that we will be able to bring some efficiency there. On your investment -- question on the investment part, looking into the Sidwal plus bare PCB board, right now, we are still looking towards what strategy to take, whether to go for semiconductor substrates and also mobile substrates and HDI part. Then after that, we will decide on what kind of CapEx that we have to do in this along with YP Group. So as we speak, our team today is sitting in South Korea to even -- to finalize those numbers. I believe by next 15 to 20 days' time or month's time, we will be able to have a clarity on what capacities and which sectors to go for the first phase of expansion. Already, 12 acres have been allotted by ELCOT, by this Tamil Nadu government for Ascent Circuits, which is about 6 kilometers ahead than the current facility. So we will be expanding our portfolio there. But the investment amount is yet to be figured out. Also, YP Group is also going to put up equity stakes there. So that will also -- they will also infuse some equity there. I think probably we will be able to answer your question by next quarter in more detailed format because we are also still in that initial phases of deciding how much CapEx to be done and what category of products to be brought in there. As far as Sidwal is concerned, yes, we have told that we are going to bring 3 new facilities, one greenfield facility for expanding the capacities of Sidwal products; doors, gangways, pantry systems and also air conditioners that will be put up in Faridabad. We have already got approval of 5-acre plot in Faridabad from HSIIDC and we are expecting allotment very soon, and then we'll start the construction. And plus 2 facilities, one for interiors and one for the other railway subsystems will be set up. One in brownfield expansion and one in greenfield expansion. But the CapEx in that is not much. I think the amount of INR 120 crores, which we are putting in the SPV will take care of those investments in those zones.

Bhoomika Nair

analyst
#18

Okay. Sir, just in terms of Sidwal...

Operator

operator
#19

Sorry to interrupt, ma'am -- yes. The next question is from the line of Rahul Gajare from Haitong Securities.

Rahul Gajare

analyst
#20

I have 2 questions. One on the mobility business. And I want to know, we are talking about the opportunity on Vande Bharat through Titagarh, but on the metro, do we have tie-ups with the likes of BEML, Siemens, Alstom, Bombardier? That's the first question. The second question is on the CapEx side. We have spent over INR 2,000 crore in the last 10 years. And we are looking at the significant CapEx given that we've spent almost INR 260-odd crores in the first 9 months. You did indicate in the opening remarks, you want to get to ROCE of 19% to 20% from single digit, can you just take us through how will you reach from single-digit ROCEs given the CapEx intensity that we can see in the next couple of years? So those are the 2 questions.

Jasbir Singh

executive
#21

To answer your first question, Rahul, we already are supplying to BEML, Alstom, then CRRC and now onboarded Titagarh, plus all the 3 railway divisions railway manufacturing facilities, ICF Chennai, RCF Kapurthala, Raebareli -- MCF Raebareli so -- and plus all the divisional parts on the DCW and all, plus we are also supplying to locomotives as well, both Siemens and GE. So on the customer front, we are already approved there. We are just -- we just need to expand the product offering by increasing our wallet share. To answer the question on the second part on the CapEx intensity, since all these new initiatives are higher-margin businesses with a high ROCE businesses, like Sidwal per se today, is sitting at about 22% of EBITDA margin with close to 40% of ROCE business. Electronics, again, is at about 27% of ROCE business. And furthermore, by the initiatives which we have taken, we are going to increase the margins in the business. And on the Consumer Durables side also because of our strategy shift in the customer -- on the component side, the margins are expanding. So because of high margin businesses and high growth on -- plus the operational leverage on the plants, we will reach to the ROCE level of what we have guided.

Rahul Gajare

analyst
#22

So even consumer at 5-odd percent, because that's what we've seen in the 9 months numbers.

Jasbir Singh

executive
#23

Consumer was used to be...

Rahul Gajare

analyst
#24

Sorry, not -- consumer and electronic, both are at closer to 5%.

Jasbir Singh

executive
#25

So Consumer has now come to about 7.3%, and electronics by next year will cross 7%.

Operator

operator
#26

The next question is from the line of Dhruv Jain from AMBIT Capital.

Dhruv Jain

analyst
#27

So on the RAC side, right, so you mentioned about the in-sourcing trends that are going on. So just wanted to understand that even in, say, F '25 and the fourth quarter, will we see similar kind of trends then flattish kind of growth and this will only -- double-digit growth will only start happening in F '26. Obviously, things are dependent on the season, but some thoughts will be helpful, sir.

Jasbir Singh

executive
#28

Dhruv, on the top line side since finished goods will be on the declining trend, yes, you may see some fluctuations or muted or quarter -- 2 or 3 quarters. But on the bottom line front, you will see a complete growth path moving forward, as guided earlier. So we don't see any disruption on that side. Top line is because in the finished goods, we put compressors, add gases and other things, which is completely passthrough to us, which is not required. And I think as mentioned in the opening commentary, that we are very hopeful and we are maintaining our share of 28% to 29% on the value terms. As far as that is happening, we will be able to grow in line with the industry growth moving forward.

Dhruv Jain

analyst
#29

And sir, on these 2 inorganic initiatives that you have taken, right? So just wanted to understand what kind of a revenue potential and margin that we can see in terms of improvement. And if you could even talk about Ascent's 9-month performance? And how should we think about it in the next 2 or 3 years? And just one clarification there, on the Electronics side, you mentioned that you will go to about 7%, 7.5% margin. So does this include the Ascent because we understand that the margins there are much higher?

Jasbir Singh

executive
#30

So Ascent 9 months it is performing fine, they have done INR 206 crores with almost INR 42 crores of EBITDA -- almost about 19% to 20% of EBITDA levels, which is very high for this kind of business sector. Yes, it will be -- consol of Electronics division will reach to 7%, 7.5% moving forward. Both PCBAs as well as the bare PCB board put together will be there on an EBITDA level.

Dhruv Jain

analyst
#31

And sir, just on the acquisition side, right, how should we think about, say, the railway JV in terms of numbers, right? So you are committing about INR 120 crores, but if you can just help us in terms of how you think that this will play out in addition to Sidwal's existing business?

Jasbir Singh

executive
#32

You see Sidwal, we acquired in May of 2019, when top line of Sidwal was INR 167 crores, and it was a 15% EBITDA company. So this year, we are likely to touch about INR 475 crores to INR 480 crores or maybe a little more than that, with again, 22% of EBITDA. This number has a potential to go to at least 4x to 5x or maybe more in next 4 years' time. That is the potential what brings on the table, plus the subsidiaries will have different kind of revenues, the SPV, where we will be having 50-50 JV with Titagarh. That is another Sidwal in making, where we will be consolidating the PAT numbers, but not the top line numbers. So overall basis, if I see, Sidwal has a good growth book. And due to this Titagarh onboarding, we've added the order book of almost about INR 850 crores to Sidwal, where we'll be supplying doors, gangways, plus our air conditioners to Vande Bharat and Poona Metro and Surat Metro. Plus, of course, this opens up a door for the global play. So it's going to be positive for both the organizations and strengthening and leveraging each other's strength to create synergies.

Dhruv Jain

analyst
#33

And sir, if you could just spell out Sidwal's order book currently?

Operator

operator
#34

Sorry to interrupt, sir. Please follow back the queue for several participants are waiting, please. The next question is from the line of Sonali from Jefferies India.

Sonali Salgaonkar

analyst
#35

Thank you for the detailed explanations for the questions earlier. Sir, my first question is you did mention that you are undergoing a transformation in your RAC business. So I know this question was asked earlier, but if you could give some more color on it, how many more quarters should we expect this kind of consolidation in your RAC business? So -- and when can we expect the normalcy to come in the top line, say, because of the added components business?

Jasbir Singh

executive
#36

Sonali, on the RAC front, it's very difficult to predict right now because 2 of the customers are still to start their facilities. We were expecting that they will start their facilities in this quarter, but which did not happen. So there is a little lag there. They may start in quarter 1 or quarter 2 or maybe quarter 3, we don't know. But whenever that happens, they will start the assembly businesses in-house. And that is when our component strategy will kick in with those companies. So you should expect that at least 2 more quarters to have these fluctuations on this RAC front. But components are very much in track. Those companies who are taking -- who are right now building their facilities have already taken us onboard for component supply. And our factories are also getting ready along with them. Whenever they will start making finished goods in their factories, we will start supplying components. So I think post quarter 3 basis, you should look at the normalcy on -- because all -- whichever brand had to put up a facility will be over. And post that, the normalcy should come up in RAC sector.

Sonali Salgaonkar

analyst
#37

Understand. So from H2 FY '25, is that correct?

Jasbir Singh

executive
#38

Yes.

Sonali Salgaonkar

analyst
#39

Okay. Sir, my second question is of your new initiatives, Ascent and Titagarh, your tie-ups with them, what is the kind of upside very approximately that we can expect?

Jasbir Singh

executive
#40

On Ascent, we have done 2 things. One is we acquired 60% in Ascent, and secondly, we have also signed MoU for partnering with YP Group, Korea Circuit of South Korea. It is a $12 billion group, they are one of the leading players supplying to mobile industry as well as semiconductor industry there and specialists in HDI boards. So they are very keen. And with both of them put together, we are -- we have opened up a good opportunity for this business sector. Right now, this bare PCB board is largely getting imported and nobody is making mobile PCBs here, and nobody is making semiconductor substrates here, plus the -- you must have heard antidumping duty has been levied and the file is just awaiting the final notification to be out. Already DGFT has recommended 30% antidumping duty on these products from single layer to 6-layer basis. We expect that, that notification should be up and out by March. So that will open up this whole complete import substitution for us. Currently, if you see almost about $3.8 billion worth of bare PCB boards are getting imported, plus ongoing growth in electronics sector, where every sector is having more content of electronics, be it automobile, be it consumer durables, defense, aerospace, aviation, whatever sector you see, the content of electronics is increasing on yearly basis. So today, if we see there is a lot of opportunity which opens up because of Ascent Circuits and our association with YP Group.

Sonali Salgaonkar

analyst
#41

Understand. Sir, any quantification you would like to state at this point, both either in your numbers or the TAM, total addressable market?

Jasbir Singh

executive
#42

Well, I mean, as I explained that about $3.7 billion is getting imported, so we'll see how -- which part of it to go in. But I think by next quarter onwards -- after next quarter, we will be very clear on which capacities we are building up and how much TAM we are going to increase for this division moving forward, looking into the semiconductor lines now you must be hearing a lot of announcements of semiconductor and OSAT businesses. Those -- both the businesses need these bare PCB boards. And we are one company which is ready to deliver that. But it will depend on when their factories are getting ready. If they are getting ready by FY '27, then the -- a lot of opportunity will open up there. But currently, also, if I see currently, almost $3.7 billion getting imported. That itself is a very big opportunity size for Ascent.

Sonali Salgaonkar

analyst
#43

Understand. Sir, last question on your...

Operator

operator
#44

Sorry to interrupt, ma'am. We just request you to return the question queue as several participants are waiting for their turn, please. The next question is from the line of Indrajit from CLSA.

Indrajit Agarwal

analyst
#45

Indrajit from CLSA. I have 2 questions. First, on Electronics division. Can you help us understand what proportion of the revenue as you report today is from RAC-related Electronics and what is non-RAC related Electronics? Just to understand what kind of decline that we have seen in Electronics can be attributed to RAC.

Jasbir Singh

executive
#46

So Electronics basically contribute about 19% in the total consol revenue. And in that, almost about 25% is air conditioner PCB boards.

Indrajit Agarwal

analyst
#47

So even if that would have declined by, say, 10-odd percent, it means that non-RAC Electronics would also have declined because of the order pushback that you talked about, is that correct?

Jasbir Singh

executive
#48

No, the decline was more than 10% because of the inventories which brands were keeping with them. Now since the inventories have been liquidated, they have started buying from us again.

Indrajit Agarwal

analyst
#49

Okay. That is helpful. Secondly, on your transaction with Ascent, currently, are you sourcing any bare boards from Ascent? Or -- and also related to that, is Ascent's entire sales in domestic market or do they export also? Just to understand the import substitution...

Jasbir Singh

executive
#50

We, as a company is not buying anything from Ascent because our customers need to approve Ascent first and then they will allow us to start. After our acquisition, 4 of our customers have already visited and now they have started the approval process. I think in next 6 months' time, it will -- we will receive the approvals, and we will start buying for our captive use. Secondly, yes, they do exports, almost about 20% revenue of Ascent comes through exports at the moment.

Indrajit Agarwal

analyst
#51

And last actually a follow-up on that. Is the entire product portfolio of Ascent enough to satisfy our requirement of bare boards? Or do you still need to source it from other avenues?

Jasbir Singh

executive
#52

It will depend on which customer gives them the approval. So if -- yes, but as far as the product lineup is concerned, they can deliver all the kind of products which we are using captively for us.

Operator

operator
#53

The next question is from the line of Arafat Saiyed from InCred Research.

Arafat Saiyed

analyst
#54

This is Arafat from InCred. Sir, just want to understand more about Ascent, what's the current order book of Ascent? And which sector this company is focusing mainly into? Because if you look at the margin of 19%, 20%, nobody makes any PCBA board and all. So I just want to understand more on that.

Jasbir Singh

executive
#55

Well, Ascent Circuits has a very good order book for next 2 years, almost about -- they are sitting at an order book of close to about INR 800 crores. And we expect them to grow in a decent manner, plus we are likely to add new categories of bare PCB board along with YP Group in Ascent Circuits. And that will expand their order book from what they have today -- over and above to what they have today.

Arafat Saiyed

analyst
#56

Okay. And sir, next question on your revenue mix. So right now, AC is around 38%. So I just want to understand how this mix will change over the next 3 years considering various things happening on non-AC side especially railway and again PCBA, so just want to understand more about the revenue and EBITDA structure with FY '26, if you can guide on that.

Jasbir Singh

executive
#57

So RAC used to be 72% in 2018, which has come to 38%. We expect RAC to go down to almost about 28% to 30% in next 2 years, and the other businesses to move up. And that's how other businesses have better margins. So we expect the margin also to improve on the consol level.

Arafat Saiyed

analyst
#58

Okay, fine. Any guidance on that sir? If you can quantify that, what exactly you are looking in terms of margin, although you're looking to double the revenue for your Electronics? And also if you can guide on that, what kind of margin are looking for FY '26?

Jasbir Singh

executive
#59

Well, all the divisions are at this margin profile, I think we are at almost 7.2% in the Consumer Durables division. We will be touching 7% plus in the Electronics division by next year. And railway mobility is at about 20% plus. So all divisions are at different stream and at a good growth prospective. Like in railways, I have explained that by this announcement, we have opened a good TAM for us. And it is the -- if you see on the Vande Bharat Express, very few Vande Bharat Express will be delivered next year. But next to next year, the numbers are going up. And by FY '27, the numbers are exponentially going up. So our revenues in that stream also will go to -- in line with the requirement of Indian Railways.

Operator

operator
#60

The next question is from the line of Koushik Mohan from Ashika Institutional Equities.

Koushik Mohan

analyst
#61

Sir, you -- in the call, you mentioned that you would be putting up and this thing for INR 2 crores of worth products you will be coming for Vande Bharat. Sir, but according to my knowledge, 1 car value is around INR 8 crores. So you are telling the INR 2 crores divided by INR 8 crores, [Foreign Language] 25% of the total the value of the car you are going to contribute? And how much would be your share on this? And how were you able to get such a big contribution towards a car?

Jasbir Singh

executive
#62

Yes. So INR 8 crore is the selling price of the rolling stock people. If you see the bill of material, it is about INR 6 crores, INR 6.5 crores. And out of that, we'll be addressing INR 2 crores to INR 2.5 crores. How we are going to get it? We were currently supplying air conditioners. Now we have added doors, gangways, pantry system, which has taken our wallet share to about INR 75 lakhs per car, plus we are adding the couplers. We are adding interiors. We are adding toilets, and we are adding passenger announcement systems and pantographs. Moving forward, we will be adding brakes also, but that is not right now. That is a little later. But even if we talk about all these initiatives, we will be able to address to INR 2 crores to INR 2.25 crores in 1 Vande Bharat car.

Koushik Mohan

analyst
#63

Sir, INR 2 crores, INR 2.5 crores is a very big number according to me because if we talk about INR 6.5 crores as the one entire manufacturing cost, you are telling that 30% you're contributing. So...

Jasbir Singh

executive
#64

If you talk about only interiors costs somewhere about INR 40 lakhs, INR 45 lakhs. Then pantograph is there, then toilet is there, plus doors and gangways are there. We've already reached INR 75 lakhs. So INR 2 crores is not a problem at all. We have seen the numbers. And along with the Titagarh team, we have identified those things. So INR 2 crores to INR 2.5 crores is -- looks doable.

Koushik Mohan

analyst
#65

So what margins do be made in there...

Jasbir Singh

executive
#66

If you actually see what our competition is doing in Knorr-Bremse and Faiveley. They are highly profitable companies in India supplying all these multi-products in railway subsystems, having almost about 35% of -- 30% of EBITDA businesses, with good ROCEs business. So this space was dominated by multinationals. We will be able to bring in a Make in India story for all these sectors.

Koushik Mohan

analyst
#67

Sir, what margins do we make here?

Jasbir Singh

executive
#68

It's in the range of 20% to 22%.

Koushik Mohan

analyst
#69

20% to 22%. Sir, and the last and final question.

Operator

operator
#70

Sorry to interrupt sir, I just request you to follow back queue as there are several participants are waiting, please. The next question is from the line of Anupam Goswami from SUD Life.

Anupam Goswami

analyst
#71

Sir, now that you are focusing more on the non-AC parts, where do we see the growth in the top line? Do we have a better sort of growth than earlier? Are you envisaging some stronger growth than earlier? Or do we see some slowdown in that now that the AC part is coming down in proportion?

Jasbir Singh

executive
#72

It's very difficult to predict on the top line basis because on the component side also, we have some subassemblies where customers do take subassemblies. Sometimes they don't do take subassembly. Similarly, in the Electronics division, we have seen similar kind of a trend. So predicting and guiding on top line will be very difficult. But yes, as guided earlier, on the bottom line basis, we see a very, very strong growth moving forward.

Anupam Goswami

analyst
#73

Okay, sir. And sir, last question on -- we have been a little beaten down with interest cost and depreciation. When do we see that coming -- absorption in our ramp-up and a better bottom line margin?

Jasbir Singh

executive
#74

By next year, you will start seeing that.

Anupam Goswami

analyst
#75

Okay. And our asset turn will also improve that way?

Jasbir Singh

executive
#76

Yes, that's right.

Operator

operator
#77

As that was the last question, I now hand the conference over to Mr. Jasbir Singh for closing comments.

Jasbir Singh

executive
#78

Thank you, everyone, for joining on the call. I hope we have been able to address all your queries. For any further information, kindly get in touch with Rohit Singh or Strategic Growth Advisors or Investor Relations advisers. Thank you, and have a good day ahead. Thank you very much.

Operator

operator
#79

Thank you. On behalf of Amber Enterprises India Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.

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