Andritz AG (ANDR) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

October 6, 2026

WBAG AT Industrials Machinery investor_day 195 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Matthias Pfeifenberger

executive
#1

Good morning from ANDRITZ in ANDRITZ, the place of our regions 174 years ago and also where our headquarters is, a warm welcome to the ANDRITZ Capital Markets Day 2026, and thank you for joining today. I'm Matthias Pfeifenberger from IR, and I will guide you through the day. 100, actually more than 100, we have 120 registered participants, bankers, analysts, investors and our Board members, and we are really pleased to have this level of participation. Speaking of investors, we have our largest shareholder here in the audience and our Chairman. Please give a hand to Dr. Leitner. I hope you have enjoyed the corporate video. It's what we do at ANDRITZ and what we stand for. And before I walk you through the agenda, let me highlight what we try to accomplish today. We like to present you ANDRITZ from a different perspective with a focus on the two areas that you see on the slide. So please enjoy. I hope you had an espresso pulled because it will be a day of full of information. And now let me guide you through the agenda of today. I need to click. So first, we're going to start with Executive Board on a strategy update followed by the financial update, we present new medium-term financial targets to you, our positioning in energy businesses and also our digitalization strategy followed by Q&A. We will then resume the morning with a focus on our energy businesses in detail and the deep dives on large Pulp & Paper, our Metals diversification strategy and then end with closing remarks and key takeaways before launch at 11:30. In the afternoon, we have the pleasure to open the new ANDRITZ Experience Center for you, showcasing ANDRITZ capabilities in automation, digitalization and AI and guide you through customer value cases and digital solutions and will also have a tour of our manufacturing site. We will divide you into four groups, two of them running on one track AC, followed by the manufacturing and then the groups will basically reverse. You're already assigned to your group on the VIP cuts we distributed, so see the individual agenda items there below. Then we will come back to this presentation room. And you will be distributed Fair World presence, and there will be transfers to Graton Vienna Airport. Before the AC visit, there will be a safety instruction and you will also get safety equipment in this room. And now it's an even greater pleasure to introduce our speakers to you. Please welcome with me the ANDRITZ Executive Board, our CEO, Dr. Joachim Schönbeck. Our CFO, Vanessa Hellwing, our CEO, Pulp & Paper, Jarno Nymark. And last but definitely not least, our CEO, Hydro Power Frederic Sauze. Yes. Click nice for us. And now it's my pleasure to welcome Dr. Schönbeck to the stage with initial remarks and an update on our long-term profitable growth strategy. Dr. Schönbeck, please join me on stage.

Joachim Schönbeck

executive
#2

Thank you, Matthias. Good morning. Ladies and gentlemen, not too many ladies in the room, but some -- that's very good. So thank you very much for coming all your way to Graz, to join us here for the for our Capital Market Day. And if we move now right into the middle of it. We believe that ANDRITZ is relevant and will remain relevant for the industry. We have, I would say, diversified and well-balanced portfolio through Pulp & Paper, Metals, Hydropower and Environment & Energy. While Pulp & Paper represents about 40% of the business volume, Metal, Hydropower Environment and Energy fluctuate at the moment around the 20% with Hydropower on a very steep increase in terms of volume and relevance for the group. What is driving ANDRITZ is the need for electrical energy, for renewable energy, for circular economy and for digitalization. This has been developed over the years, and we believe these will be strong drivers for the business to come. And while we hear a lot many people or also investors say that Pulp & Paper is very is very boring business, wood biomass, basically is the only renewable raw material that has a critical meaning for the industry. And therefore, we believe being in that business with a long expertise and understanding and developing how much more you can do from wood than just paper is really -- is a key asset. And as we are not -- even though we report every quarter to you, we are -- we go beyond the quarter and we will go beyond the year and we believe that on the long term, a lot of these technologies we are currently developing and have developed will be very relevant. So we are coming from ANDRITZ, here is where you are where the company has been born, but we believe we are a true global player. We don't even have the majority of our employees in Austria, it's 12%, and we are -- I would say, we are regionally well balanced among the globe, 14% in China, 14% in Germany, 15% in North America, 13% in South America. I think that is well balanced and we are driving -- we are basically driving the trend out of Europe further on, bringing as much value at close our customers as we can. We have about 30,000 employees in 280 locations in more than 80 countries, which is a strong value proposition to our customers knowing that wherever they go, we probably are already there and can help them. We are particularly proud that we managed a couple of years ago to surpass on our manufacturing footprint. The emerging markets have now the majority and that trend is continuing as we are shifting value add close to our customers into the emerging markets. We are leading well diversified industrial group. We do what we do with leading technology positions. We are in attractive niches that are big enough for us to grow and small enough not to attract too many others. We have significant barriers for entries, new competitors through a very extensive and good references and we have a long-lasting customer relationship, which secures a lot of our business model. We in each market we are in, we only -- actually, we only have a few customers. So also for us, it's important to deliver to behave well, because we cannot lose the customers. And therefore, I would say, it provides a good discipline for us. We have a global setup, which for our business model is very important. We can execute locally. We can source locally, and we can keep a good customer proximity. Developing the service business is one of the well-proven growth engines. For ANDRITZ, we have now 45% service revenue. We had an increase in service revenues of 8% compound annual growth rates now for many years. This not only provides a closer tie with the customer, but it also lowers the cyclicality of ANDRITZ business over time. We have a strong balance sheet and we are financially as independent as you can be in this world. We believe this is a critical qualification to do large-scale projects over significant lead time because also our customers, they want to be sure that the supplier exists not only at the beginning, but also at the end of a project. We, as I know from many discussions with some of you that what we call the diversification is not always what we really love. But what is holding our group together is a, I would say, a good operation model, providing complex customized projects to our customers worldwide. And you need to have a certain volume and you need to have a certain also financial stability to do that trustfully and reliably and that is what our customers -- what our customers like bringing complex projects to, I would say, many remote parts of the world require certain skills, requires local expertise, requires a robust business model, and it also requires that you can -- that you enable exchange of information inside the group because the countries are very different. The industries are different, but also the countries at front. And when you know your way around in Uruguay, you for sure do know you we in [indiscernible]. So you need to be aware. And I think we can bring a lot of that to the field. We exchange on joint customer relationship but also on best practices in project management, supply chains, but also local partners for installation, civil works is a very valid point. So we believe that from that setup that we have, in particular, in that respect, our business and our customers benefit a lot from our I would say, structured approach into different industries. Our business model has also, I would say, true financial benefit for our investors. We operate extremely asset-light. And we can convert good margins in a very, I would say, very efficient capital utilization resulting in a, I would say, very high return on invested capital. If we compare it to our WACC, it's a very solid gap, but also if we compare it to our peers, I would say it's quite an impressive figure. We have -- we select very carefully on our value-add debts in particular and manufacturing. We are heavily engaged in the engineering because this is where we create the value for our projects for the customers. The margin progress also uplifted the return on the employed capital. And through that, we can generate steady cash and provide significant shareholder returns. So we believe this is a -- it is a good model and the variety of industries we are serving is benefiting here in particular. If we look back to our last Capital Market Day in '24, we can see today that the businesses we are in, they are in a, I would say, different cycle than there have been two years ago. We are in Pulp & Paper. And in Metals, we are basically in the beginning of a cycle, which we believe is good for the future to come. In particular, in Metals, which is a lot of your concerns, we see light at the end of the tunnel. In Hydropower, we are climbing up. We don't believe that we reached the summit yet, as we see a good future to come. Where we are a bit unclear where the market is in particular, when it will develop favorably is on the green hydrogen and carbon capture where a lot of the expectations on future growth has not materialized over the past two years, and we will come to that a bit later. As what -- let's say, we did what we could do, we developed technology and we are ready to deploy that when the markets will come. What is truly a game changer for ANDRITZ is the, I would say, this significant energy exposure and the demand of the world for electrical energy and for renewable energy is definitely driving our business to an extent we did not expect a couple of years ago. We have approximately EUR 3 billion of our revenue is energy related. Of course, the majority 2/3 of that is driven by Hydro, but also all other business areas have a significant exposure to the energy market, it's Metals, Pulp & Paper, and Environment & Energy. It's the business we are doing in the energy, is well diversified over several steps in that value chain. It's related in power generation, grid stability, electrification and e-mobility as well as energy transition, storage and decarbonization. So we can basically -- we can benefit from all these areas and a lot of investments need to go on there. You can see that the share of our energy exposure has increased over time, and we expect more to come. We will go in a deep dive. We will go into the details what we are doing in which area. Our underlying strategy has not changed. We focus on customer service, digital and decarbonization as the main drivers. We want to grow in revenue, we want to grow in profitability, and we want to grow in our service share. That's very simple, and it's not changing and most probably will not change very quickly. If we see how the growth has been driven in the past could be an indication for the future, we definitely see the significance of service, while our total revenue grew by approximately 4% over the years. Service revenue increased by average 8% annually, that is a very good trend. The margin expansion over that time by more than 200 basis points also driven by the strong growth in service revenue. And when we see where does the growth come from, is it about -- it's almost 50% organic and the other 50% coming from NA. Disciplined M&A, for sure, is a strong growth accelerator for ANDRITZ, it always has been and it will continue that way. We basically focus in four areas. The first and foremost, and basically our historical M&A agenda is complementary technologies. So we try to complement our offerings towards our customers to complete the value chain to provide them a one-stop solution and provide them a better service than they had before, that is not only good in terms of the customer that they know us that we have a reputation in those markets, but it's also a significant element for us to derisk M&A processes because we basically know our targets already for many years. We know how they behave in the certain industries. We have a feedback also from the customer side. And through that, we have maybe -- not maybe, we definitely have more successful M&A and less riskier targets than many others. So we understand their products, their culture and the risks and the risks are lower. We have a good track record with three to five acquisitions per year. And since 2018, we invested EUR 1.5 billion here, and we believe, with a very good return. The next main area where we focus our acquisitions on is customer service because if we want to grow in customer service, we also have to understand that all customers that have planned are already serviced by somebody. So acquisition is a very natural way to grow into these markets. You can see that the portfolio expansion is across all business areas, definitely a heavy weight is the acquisition in Pulp & Paper, but it's also as it is the largest business area that is very good. We had -- in last year, we had, we'd say, particularly successful year in M&A with six major acquisitions that we made this year. Unfortunately, we did not report anything yet. So growth in Service business, as I told you, is a key priority and a key driver of our equity story. 8% compound annual growth rate over the past 7 years is a good track record. We grew over that time, we grew the Service share from 35% to 44%. And of the total -- of our total revenues, we have worldwide, we have about 120 Service locations with more than 7,000 people dedicated to serve the customers. And what you probably have not been aware of so much the Service market usually is 5 to 8x larger than the capital market. And with the volume, the market shares we have there, it's basically always the opportunity for us to grow and that is particularly attractive for us as on the capital market with the high market shares we have in many areas, we cannot grow against the market. When the market goes up, we will go up and if markets go down, we will go down. And that's the burden of being a market leader and having a high market share. we will grow further. We will grow our market share in the existing fleet. So also the good capital business that we are doing is growing this field. We will move more into operation and maintenance models for our customers, that, I would say, tightens this life cycle partnership and also our customers more and more understand the value of leaving the maintenance and in some areas, also the operations to the OEM who understands the technology and the design to a very large detail. We employ digital solutions to provide a better service with in particular analysis of the assets and also predictive maintenance approaches. And of course, we will continue to look for M&A targets in the Service area. We are serving basically with a strong portfolio we provide field services for all our customers, on-site repairs, emergency supports, training and consulting. We heavily engaged into spare parts and consumables, there is a huge demand, fast-turn items and there are many critical components where we need to be very close to our customers. We do retrofits and upgrades on a regular base as an order of magnitude for industrial assets like we are producing, you usually spend our customer spend usually the original investment amount within the first 15 years once more. So there is a significant business behind that. And that is -- that's also sometimes larger real -- larger projects, we need to run with the systematic of a capital project. And then what I said, operational and maintenance, we are working on service contracts for the O&M predictive maintenance in the AI-powered digital solutions definitely will provide us in the future, a better position in that area than what our customers usually can provide. In the -- if you look to the Service revenue share, you see that in Pulp & Paper, we already reached the 59%, which is very high, partly that's first half '26, partly because the capital is lower than we like to have it. On the other side, also 50% is quite high. If you look at Metals, we are only at 29%, which we can say it's a pity. But on the other side, it's a big opportunity and growing the Service share in that market also was the 50%, definitely provides good opportunity to increase the profitability. Overall, the target midterm is to reach the 50% of our revenues in the Service. And you can do your mathematics yourself, if we keep the [ 8% ] when we reach 50%. But as I said, capital revenue is more fluctuating. Therefore, the numbers are not that predictable. But you can see Service revenue share constantly rose over the past years, but also the absolute value of the Service revenue increase. And that is what is really important. It makes our business more robust makes the returns more stable and a bit more predictable. Maybe that is something that investors like to see. On the digital side, we have -- I would say, we have two different approaches to the digitalization in ANDRITZ. The one is our vision and mission for our customers, what we provide for our customers. We want to be a leading partner of our customers for digital solutions, fulfill the customer needs with the final target to enable the autonomous plant and raise the productivity. That is basically what we are focusing and developing around our customer solutions. And then we have an internal perspective to provide the ANDRITZ organization with the right digital set up, the state-of-the-art tools and technologies to provide good solutions to the customer. And that's basically standing on three pillars. The one is a secure foundation and that first and foremost is operational resilience and service security need to deploy our tools highly efficiently and to create a competitive advantage through what we are doing. And if we go maybe into a bit of a detail, AI is in everybody's mouth. And I would say, also in ours. And if we would characterize where do we stand between our peers who are some of them are, I would say, very AI-euphoric, and some are very AI-cautious, I would say, we are right in the middle. We are very pragmatic. We definitely are a first mover, but we do everything we do against measurable business value. We have chosen a 4-step approach. We moved in very early beginning of last year to onboard as many of our employees to AI tools. We have now more than 10,000 AI users in the company on a regular basis. And we gave a lot of freedom to our people to develop to, let's say, play around with the new tools to see what can be done. And what came up. We have now more than 10,000 agents that are regularly used, which tells us that a lot of creativity is within the people. We are steering that through our AI Competency Center, they govern an orchestrate what is being done and they connect the people who are working on similar topics. And through that approach, we could then create some of these key areas where we wanted to really excel and get a competitive advantage. That is what we call the ANDRITZ engineering assistance, where a lot of activities have been combined. There is this analysis of terms and conditions from the customer, knowledge preservation plays a big role, field service agent, contract assistance and also the entire area of quality management with the NCR analysis and the lessons learned, vast amounts of data resting there and probably there are too much for a human to really go through. And then we have in the middle, we have this one step, we call Accelerate. This is where we where we work with our partners, in particular, the software providers in the engineering area because they provide good AI solutions we can connect, and we can work on that. So from that point of view, we believe we are on a good path there. And we at least this is what we have been have been told by others that for an engineering company we are moving well ahead. For you that might be also important to feel safe with what we are doing in our IT that we are -- security is a solid base of our IT system. We basically provide a security by the design of our systems. We have a significant cost advantage if it comes to cyber insurance on retention level and insurance premiums, we are well below industry average. On the certification and compliance, we -- I would say we are really good. No major nonconformities have been reported through these audits and we are on a measurable maturity level on the CIS-18, ranging from [ 0 to 5 ], we have a target of [ 4 ], which is considered very high in class for in industrial company like ours. We are currently at 3.5 and by end of the year, we will be at 3.6. So we protect the group and to ensure that also tomorrow, we are able not only to deliver the solutions to our customers, but also on time, pay all the salaries of our people. Looking to our customers, we're having -- we are looking from basically to move our customers on their path from automation to autonomy. We have, in our global automation, we have more than 100 locations with more than 2,000 employees, 12,000 installed base, systems installed with our customers. And we are focusing on the assets, keeping them productive throughout the lifetime. We want to turn the complex processes, our customers are running into stable and predictable operations. And we want to convert the operational data into a measurable efficiency improvements. All that we do with a target to a fully autonomous operation and our experts will provide more details to you in the Experience Center that we will see in the afternoon. On the financial side, we talk in our Automation business. We talk about roughly business volume of EUR 800 million, which has been grown with 10% approximately over the past 5 years. That's the speed and the growth rate we would like to keep. And we are working in three areas. The one is the classical automation, electrification, which is basically the basis you need to set in order to get something moving. We are moving then in with smart products, especially robotics and vision systems. These are the most the most drivers as well as advanced analyzers. And then we move to Digitalization. Digital Twin Solutions, operator training simulators, physics-based simulators to really test new ways to run the operation without risking the assets. So these are the areas that we are working in. To implement that, we have developed an open vendor-neutral automation platform, we call Metris. And here, we are running on top of the shop-floor level, which is provided by the major automation suppliers. We are running our models for asset optimization, process optimization and operational efficiency. So basically, it's the shop-floor level provides the network on which is running, and we are providing the Netflix content to make it better to have an idea how that works. We are delivering I would say, a strong customer value through this Metris approach, we -- on the process optimization, we can reduce the OpEx by up to 20%, increase the output by up to 3%, through asset optimization and life cycle management and driving the operational efficiency 10 percentage points up. And that is all without major hardware investments that's only basically through analyzing the data, choosing better set points at decreasing downtime of the assets. We have our business model, we go through supply contracts. We have performance-based contracts but we also have software as a service contracts. On the AI journey for our customers, we believe we have been early mover. We joined with [indiscernible] data science company from Germany, we took an equity participation already in 2018. We have now machine learning implemented in our Metris all-in-one platform. You will see about that in the afternoon. We have innovative products, moving computer vision into autonomous operations. And we are happy that it has been externally recognized when we received this Intelligent Manufacturing Award from Microsoft, which was a nice recognition of what our people are doing. On our ESG, there is not a lot of new things to report to you. We have set up last year our new sustainability program, enabling the green transition, supporting people to grow and govern with integrity. That is what we want to achieve. And we have set up KPIs to measure the progress in these dimensions towards 2030, that impact revenue, that greenhouse gas emissions accident frequency rates, women in leadership positions. And on the governance side, we are very much focused on our supply chain. Short update where we are. First half '26, we are well on track in all dimensions. And so we are confident that we will meet these targets by 2030. Also, our ESG performance has been externally recognized the [indiscernible] rating agencies have increased their the ratings. And in particular, I want to point out this top 5 rating of ECOVADIS, which is really a good achievement of our teams. We had high hopes for several new technologies that we have presented to you on the last Capital Market Day. And if we put it in short, we had one of these new products that really met market -- our expectation that the synchronous condenser here the market really developed very favorably. Then we had three areas: the side streams, the biomethanol and the textile recycling where we could see a decent market, not a brilliant market, but some progress. And then we had three technologies, the green hydrogen carbon capture and the battery, where we did not see the market developing in a way that we expected that, and we will come to that in a bit detail. So we also provide you today with new midterm targets financially. These are the targets now we have set up for 2029 and we are targeting for revenue of EUR 10 billion and a comparable EBITDA margin of 10%. And you might be, as you're all quick in mathematics, you might be surprised about the high ambitions we have because it would require a stronger growth than we had in the past. First of all, we want -- of course, we want to be -- tomorrow, we want to be better than yesterday. But also, we have a particularly strong backlog in our orders. And we also see that on the cyclical side in the markets, we are in a better position than we have been two years ago. And just for the books, these will replace the 2027 targets we have put out. But of course, we continue trying to achieve that. But the new targets are now the one for 2029. On the -- we also reviewed the corridors, the margin corridors for the four business areas, and we have uplifted the business area Hydropower and Metals that has been increased by 100 basis points each. So Hydropower now is targeting 8% to 10% comparable EBITDA and Metals is starting 7% to 9%, while Pulp & Paper remains stable. We have harmonized Environment & Energy also to this 2 percentage point bracket, and we have lowered the 13% of our margin to 12%. So that's -- even though it has been revised, I would say, it's still on a very strong profitability side, well above the 10%. We believe -- why we believe we can achieve that. We have a backlog well above the EUR 12 billion. That's the strongest in our history. We have more favorable positions in the cycles. We see a continuing strong growth potential in Hydropower, and we also see that on the Metal side, we have -- we will collect some fruits and harvest from the heavy restructuring we made over the past years. That's -- with that, I'll come to my end, and I would like to hand over to Vanessa, our CFO, she will give you more guidance on the financial strategy update of the group. Thank you very much, and we would be available for Q&A later. Thank you.

Vanessa Hellwing

executive
#3

Yes. Thank you, Joachim, and warmly welcome here in Graz and also online wherever you are. So we just heard from Joachim that long-term profitable growth remains our key objective. And I would like to start here directly with our ROIC steering, we here ensure that our growth really creates value. As many of you know, in the last few quarters, we have focused a lot on ROIC and economic value creation and ROIC is indeed embedded in how we assess our business, investments and M&A opportunities. And our metric here is deliberately clean, without any adjustments and full goodwill intangibles. We are prepared also to accept temporary ROIC dilution when we see a clear strategic or financial rationale behind this. And this is also what you could see in last year, '25. What remains important for us here is that over the time, we keep a healthy spread above our WACC on the ROIC level. So in fact, we could increase the ROIC by 550 basis points since 2018. And also increasingly, we use ROIC as a monitoring tool for our M&A targets, which we evaluate in terms of their impact to the ROIC of the group. And I will also come to that later. So the resilience of the model is very important here. Even in weaker times, ANDRITZ has historically generated substantial returns and you can see this here on the chart in 2019 and 2020, we had huge restructuring measures and the impact is seen here also in the gray bars where we are indicating the comparable EBITDA. And even with this, still the floor has always been nicely above the WACC. In 2025, we had quite concentrated M&A spend, as you might know. And you see a bit of a dip from this and already can also see the recovery in the first half of this year is visible. So we think we are operating at a quite industry-leading value proposition also amongst our peers. And our steering will certainly remain focused on this KPI, making sure that we use our capital to grow with sustainable value. And that also brings me directly to our capital allocation because with our strong returns and the cash generation, this gives us a significant strategic flexibility. Our capital allocation, we actually see as an integrated framework of four parts, which over the years are pretty well balanced. As you can see here, we are looking at the combined figures from 2020 to '25 and see here that, of course, share buyback is naturally the smallest and most opportunistic part of this instrument. And for M&A, we predominantly do bolt-on deals. However, we do have the balance sheet capacity for larger strategic transactions. But as always here, also the discipline on target selection remains across the priority. So we obviously dedicate also a relative fixed part to our dividends with our progressive policy and a target payout ratio of 50% to 60%. And you may remember that we increased our dividend per share to EUR 2.70 in '25, and that was the seventh increase in a row. On the CapEx side, Here, the main part was 40% over the years. As you know, we are quite an asset-light model, and that also means that our CapEx for maintenance is structurally quite moderate. So what comes on top is basically selective capacity expansion also for service, which is very important for us and then also for IT investments, digital infrastructure and sustainability of customer-related investments. We are actually frequently asked about our M&A strategy and Joachim already elaborated on the strategic criteria. Let me also share some view on the financial perspective here. Generally, we buy, we improve and integrate, we create synergies and thereby, we create value. Synergies and operational improvements can effectively reduce the acquisition multiple in about three years. What you see here and the businesses that we acquired since 2018, at the time of acquisition, had an aggregated EBITDA margin about 380 basis points above ANDRITZ margins. So these numbers are revenue weighted, not only simple average of the takeover multiples. And that clearly shows that our M&A strategy has obviously not just added incremental revenue but has consistently also contributed to improve the margin profile of the group and thereby is our main lever also to profitable growth. You can also see from our balance sheet that we have acquired in a very disciplined manner, leaving goodwill and intangibles on quite a low level of our total balance, especially if you see this in comparison to our direct peers. And this also translates very well back to our ROIC effectiveness. And speaking of strong financial headroom on our balance sheet, this is also, as you can see, much stronger compared to our direct peer group. Which, in fact, brings me also to the next slide. Financial headroom remains significant with our strong financial position, EUR 600 million net liquidity and close to EUR 1 billion gross liquidity and an additional flexibility that is provided through our revolving credit facility of EUR 500 million. So even theoretically considering a leverage indication of 1.75x. Our additional transaction capacity, it could be more than EUR 2 billion. And this is ready and available through strong commitments of our core banks. Thank you for this at this time. So we are not indicating here that we will do a large-scale M&A transaction anytime soon. But if the right strategic opportunity comes along, it shows our balance sheet gives us the ability to act. We have also shifted our focus in the recent quarters to operating net working capital. And our objective here is not to minimize net working capital at any cost. This is to optimize while protecting also our profitable growth project execution and especially our supply chain security. On the contract, working capital, of course, the clear target here is to structurally stay negative over the project life cycle, and this is with strong order intake and advanced payments of our customers very well supported. Trade working capital on the upper side, we, of course, optimize it, but not to the expense of profitable business and supply chain resilience. You have seen significant supply chain disruptions and geopolitical events in the last years, and we can consider that this also might continue to a certain extent. So therefore, net working capital can deliberately increase here, where we see service activities requiring availability of stock. We have geopolitical risk really justify additional safety stock and also we have locked execution requires it. And fluctuations on the backlog, this can be about EUR 300 million quarter-over-quarter, that's what we can expect with our business model. Following frequent conversations in our investor meetings and also in some earnings calls last year, I would like to shed some light on a more structural topic here, which is, in fact, very close to my heart. We have embarked on a global transformation initiative over the last two years and have started the One ANDRITZ program last year. So this program is about the enterprise architecture of our support functions. And based on actually three pillars, which is legal entity optimization, business shared services and also the residual SAP rollout at ANDRITZ. The clear objective is here to maximize the degree of automation based on standardization and global data and financial governance in order to approve accuracy achieving more real-time data access and thereby also enabling faster financial analysis. This goes very well hand-in-hand with our overall digitalization strategy, that Joachim just introduced to you. So this is not a restructuring program. It is about building an operating and financial backbone that allows ANDRITZ to grow without adding further complexity and to easily scale tools and best practices globally. And I mean with a history of almost 175 years, constant transformation actually should be part of the daily operation, especially for the central functions. So we have grown significantly during the last decades and need to reconsider lean structures from time to time. And talking about the development of the last decades, you might have heard that ANDRITZ also celebrated the 25th year anniversary of being stock listed at the Vienna Stock in June this year. And as a reflection of our long-term profitable growth story, we really created substantial shareholder value in this period. And so since the IPO, ANDRITZ has increased its workforce 7x from 4,000 to 30,000 employees, revenue 8x from EUR 1 billion to EUR 8 billion and earnings 16x, from EUR 40 million to approximately EUR 700 million in reported EBITDA. And of course, we expanded our global presence to more than 80 countries. We generated 6,600% total shareholder return, including '25 dividend payments worth EUR 211 per share in total. So we substantially outperformed also our peers in Austria and European indices and reached an all-time high share price in the anniversary year just two weeks ago. So I could close my part now with this wonderful marketing remark here. But as a CFO, I probably cannot have a presentation on the 6th of October without current trading information on Q3. So let me briefly share this. On a preliminary basis, our order intake in Q3 should have remained on the level of the last eight consecutive quarters, which is above EUR 2 billion. And we have had the opportunity here to book another large-scale hydro order in Slovakia, very great success. We reiterate here our fiscal year guidance for '26 and see ourselves well between our target corridors for growth and comparable EBITDA margins. So ladies and gentlemen, I thank you very much for your attention, and I would open the floor now for any questions and I would ask you Joachim to join me on the Q&A.

Matthias Pfeifenberger

executive
#4

Thank you, Vanessa. Thank you, Dr. Schönbeck, for aberrations and the strategy update. [Operator Instructions] Please, we'll take the first question from the room, Akash.

Akash Gupta

analyst
#5

It's Akash from JPMorgan. I've got a couple to start with. The first one is for Joachim, you mentioned that the service market is 5 to 8x larger than new equipment yet in -- if you look at whole division across the higher service share we have in Pulp & Paper at 60%, which would indicate like either you are having very low penetration or maybe your current offering may not be able to cover all the service opportunity. So maybe if I can ask like the question, like, is this like what is driving this low aftermarket share compared to the opportunity? Is this the portfolio that may be lagging the building blocks that you might need to capture all or something else? So that's the first one to start with.

Joachim Schönbeck

executive
#6

Yes. I think it's very a combination of all. We are definitely not offering all the services we would like to offer currently, but there is also a resistance of our customers to outsource each and every service the assets need. So in some regions and outsourcing of maintenance is very frequently done. And in some areas, it is considered core competitor. So that is definitely driving that. But as I said, there are also many offerings we would like to provide, and we do not provide today, and that is the growth opportunity for tomorrow. And our teams are constantly working on that.

Akash Gupta

analyst
#7

So maybe we can say this 5 to 8x is more like theoretical addressable market, not the...

Joachim Schönbeck

executive
#8

That's the total market, considering what is spent on the asset over the entire lifetime. And there is also very some, I would say, high labor intensive, low value-add low-margin business, which we probably do not really like to go after, yes? So this is -- but I would say the market is there. And besides profitability view, every activity we do together with our customers is basically increasing our customer proximity and tightening the partnership with the customer, which is also a value. So we are exactly evaluating in our strategic planning with the divisions exactly where to go in, what to invest. We're building new service centers to move close to our customers to do that.

Akash Gupta

analyst
#9

And then maybe a follow-up on your automation business, and thanks for sharing some numbers. I think it was interesting to note that the business has grown at a CAGR of 10% in the last 5 years. And I think if you look at the numbers from automation players, Clearly, this is a much higher growth than what we have seen in the market in the last 5 years. Maybe a question I can ask, how much of this growth that you have seen in automation is organic versus inorganic so that we can compare with other automation players.

Joachim Schönbeck

executive
#10

The majority is organic. We have made thing two acquisitions, if I recall, majority is organic. And if you're starting low, you also know that it's more easy to grow at higher rates, yes.

Akash Gupta

analyst
#11

And maybe last quick one for Vanessa. On the CapEx outlook, and given the growth in Hydropower, you may need more expansion there. So when we look at the, let's say, CapEx in the next three years, should we expect anything different as a percentage of revenues than last three years?

Vanessa Hellwing

executive
#12

Yes. So we definitely have invested already started to invest in capacity expansion for Hydro to cope with the demand that we have. So you will see some increase, but not substantially.

Patrick Steiner

analyst
#13

Patrick Steiner, from ODDO BHF. Two questions from my side. Firstly, on your 2029 EBITDA margin target of 7% to 9% for the Metals division. How much is coming from Service revenue growth in terms of a better margin -- better mix from expected market improvements and further from cost improvements and efficiencies? That's the first one. And the second one, your 6.6% revenue CAGR to EUR 10 billion in 2029, should we again expect roughly 50% or a little bit less coming from M&A?

Joachim Schönbeck

executive
#14

We were -- so starting from the back, we will continue our M&A strategy. So we expect to end up also in the same 50-50 share that we had. On the Metal side, I would say majority comes from the much better cost point we have. We have lowered our breakeven substantially through the restructuring. And then we have significantly improved on order execution. So I would say the majority maybe comes from that business. The Service growth has been slow, as you saw it in the -- on the Metal side over the past years, we do not expect that we can accelerate that heavily even though we are pushing hard. It's market is not very easy to accept new offerings as both major customers grow steel industry and automotive industry are themselves under very high cost pressure. And so that also limits us there. So to put it together, 2/3 from the capital side, 1/3 from a different split.

Matthias Pfeifenberger

executive
#15

Daniel Lion in the back.

Daniel Lion

analyst
#16

Daniel Lion Erste Group. Could you -- just a clarification on your '27 targets. Are you canceling those targets, but aiming to reach them nevertheless? Or are you keeping the targets in place in addition to the '29 targets? Just to make sure how you meant your statement.

Joachim Schönbeck

executive
#17

We think that if we have one target out in the financial market, one should be the official target, and that is what we have now put out for '29. And as I said, we are working on achieving the '27 targets anyhow. And they are well on the way to the '29 targets. I say that's clear. But I think it's a bit -- would be a bit confusing if we have too many targets out. This is why I said they are replacing the '27 targets.

Daniel Lion

analyst
#18

So we're still expecting to reach them even if it's not officially stated? Okay. And then the second one, could you maybe provide a breakdown or split on Automation Service business within the divisions or at least some kind of comparison how automation services may be different in profitability itself? And yes, just to get a better feeling on how they contribute maybe overall?

Joachim Schönbeck

executive
#19

We'll think about it.

Matthias Pfeifenberger

executive
#20

Thank you. I think we have one question in the conference call, Ben here in the room.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#21

Benjamin Timon from Bernstein. One question, if I may. Regarding your 9% to 11% margin range target, you focus on 10% at midpoint. I just wonder what has changed compared to the calculations that you did in 2024 because back then, you went out and you initially said EUR 10 billion revenue, approximately 9.5% margin, now at midpoint, we're at 10%. And also, back then, the Environment & Energy business was, I would say, not in an early down cycle, but it clearly is now because of the weakness in your [indiscernible]. So I was wondering what gives you the confidence that maybe the Hydropower demand, which is a lower-margin business than the EE business can get you towards 10% in the medium term.

Joachim Schönbeck

executive
#22

I would say, the major the major difference is that the growth that we saw in E&E basically came from the new products, which do not provide as much service as we are moving into the installed base and also the first of its kind projects usually don't have the profitability peak. So this is why we expect now better margins to come even though hydro is on the margin side lower than E&E. It is increasing. We have made substantial, I would say, progress in the restructuring of Metals. And that is what gives us the confidence to go for the 10%.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#23

Perfect. Maybe one follow-up question is on the Metals business. You upgraded basically your margin or your midterm margin targets there by 100 bps. And I think the restructuring is basically over in, let's say, 6 months, remember during the earnings call that H1 is going to be over. What -- at the same time, you mentioned that volumes are still relatively soft. You expect that in the next two years, we see a volume trough. So where is the margin improvement coming from if it's not coming from volumes?

Joachim Schönbeck

executive
#24

We probably have -- I was unclear. We reported in the last call that we see an improvement in the market this year in steel and by end of the year for the automotive market, and that is basically confirmed. So we see project activity and usually that project activity then results also and some orders to be placed. So -- and from that, we have with a lower breakeven point, we have a good basis for this margin expansion.

Matthias Pfeifenberger

executive
#25

I think we have time for one from the webcast, I think this should be one.

Operator

operator
#26

The next question comes from Sven Weier from UBS.

Sven Weier

analyst
#27

My two questions. The first one is also on the 2029 guidance because you have a point target for the revenues of EUR 10 billion, well understood but you guide a range of 9% to 11% on the margin. And I was just wondering what's defining the lower end of that range in the high end? Is it you may be uncertain about the divisional contribution in that year? Or what is the final range? And the second question is just coming back on Services. You already alluded to Metals, and it's difficult to raise that share, but what about Hydro? I remember that there's been also a long-term goal to raise the Service share in Hydro. I think will shift. Do you see currently that it will be easier to raise the Service share of Hydro?

Joachim Schönbeck

executive
#28

Yes. Vanessa, can you say, where we have the range on the EBITDA margin and the point on the revenue?

Vanessa Hellwing

executive
#29

Yes. So you actually pointed this out quite rightly. So of course, we will also have a shift in volumes and Hydropower is heavily improving and also with this a bit lower, increasing the margin and thereby we have this race to see how we further develop with Hydropower until '29 in the combination with the other segments that we see. Yes. So that's basically the argument here. And on the Hydropower service share, will you elaborate on this?

Joachim Schönbeck

executive
#30

Yes. Hydropower share is structurally increasing over the time as I would say, especially in North America and in Europe, the increase in Hydropower is usually done through modernizations and rehabilitations. So this is where the service margin is the service volume is increasing in Hydropower. New builds mainly happening in South America, in Africa and in Asia.

Matthias Pfeifenberger

executive
#31

Thanks a lot. I think this concludes the first Q&A session. We are slightly behind schedule. So I would ask you to come back here at 950 and 10 minutes for a short coffee break. Thanks, Dr. Schönbeck, Vanessa for the elaborations.

Joachim Schönbeck

executive
#32

Thank you. [Break]

Unknown Executive

executive
#33

[indiscernible] Flexible hybrid solutions, lying batteries and Hydropower that we also offer through our hybrid controllers. The grid stability is also under pressure because there is a huge retirement of traditional fleet from gas, from coal, from oil worldwide which is putting a lot of difficulties on the grid because all those rotative power, which were massive on the grid, providing inertia are disappearing are not replaced by photovoltaic and wind which provide little [indiscernible] short circuit contribution. So although there are some electronic solution to these features, Hydropower is also very well positioned together with our Syncon to give those additional features, which are needed in the grid on very sudden basis and the blackout in Spain two years ago is a good example of grid, which are performing very well, which can failed due to impact on voltage and frequency. AI data centers are also, as I said, a major driver even if it's isolated, but that provides some difficult features because they need continuous stable power to operate and therefore, only thinking that PV will fuel those, AI is not sufficient. They need additional features, which are given by grid operators or by local grids. So triggering a lot of utilization of gas power, and we are also well positioned here because we are one of the top 5 suppliers for generators, coupled with gas turbine from our past, and we have been increasing that recently. I will come back to it. The aging of the fleet. It's not a new topic. More than 40% of the Hydropower fleet installed worldwide is older than 40 years old. They were designed to operate in baseload power when now the needs of these grids are completely different. They require flexibility, they require storage. So conversion to a conventional plant to open storage, it's quite frequent. There are plenty of needs on the grid on the system that are there. Funding is not an issue. G2G organizations are very active giving better facilities for renewable projects and fostering not only the funding, or the financing of projects, but also development programs in innovation again on grid stabilities and so on. And there is a lot of private funding available worldwide. We connect a lot of our customers with those available funding and that works pretty well. What is very important is this hydropower industry developing market contracting models. So we come only three years ago, or let's call it, five years ago from a traditional buyer to supplier relationship through a contract, which were highly nonflexible to now two different things. One is early contractor involvement. I've mentioned that in the last CMD, we were looking at it as a starting phase. This has increased exponentially. The early contractor involvement is a very nice feature. You will see it on my presentation of [indiscernible] storage, reducing lead time, enabling more collaboration and derisking the project significantly for the investors and for us. So this is a win-win situation that more people are taking. It started with Hydro-Quebec. Now new utilities in Europe are doing it. And worldwide, India is using it very, very actively. The second aspect, use partnership. So Hydro-Quebec started with a partnership working chunk-by-chunk, rather than buying the full EPC project in one shot. They will buy first, the engineering development then when the engineering is completed, we move together with the supply part of the contract on open basis where origin of supplies are shared decisions are made where to buy what in parallel or not. And this is clearly derisking the project. But the most important part is on-site installation, which is always a very difficult exercise to plan in the long run for projects which last up to 6 years, 7 years. And therefore, this is ordered separately. So it started very well. We have benchmarked that with plenty of our customers worldwide, and this is adopted more and more. The last point is important, digitalization linked to our lifetime asset management. It has been reported before. it's an environment where our customers are widely equipped. They are knowledgeable, they run there, they operate their power plants. They maintain them, most of them being large government-owned utilities but we see in some aspects with more private investors coming, people with less knowledge about operation, requiring more of those services. We are already using our data from many decades to be able to optimize design, to optimize operation mode and predictive maintenance. This is coupled with digital twin that are more and more used to simulate relationship from these power plants with the grid. And this is very useful in this continuous evolving environment. And I said last night at dinner that most of the headaches are with the grid operators today more than the generators because they have to deal with all those intermittency frequent variation of the grid, and they need solutions and features for that digital twin house for them to simulate different utilization of our assets. Cybersecurities at the heart of the worries of the generators or the grid and we are thankfully from development from the past able to provide solutions. So how do we respond to those market trends? If you remember, two years ago, I introduced the fact that cyclicity of hydro would need us to do something else in addition to prevent that in the future. and to enable us to grow. So we introduced this grid evolution dynamic, and I will expand that a bit more, coupled with our traditional long-lasting service approach to the market. Our ambition is to grow revenue to EUR 3 billion in this area, which went down to EUR 1.2 billion just before COVID. So this is a strong ambition for the coming 3 to 5 years. But as you see, the result from 2025 are on its way. And this year, will continue in that similar positive trend. In Hydropower Solutions, we are clearly #1 in revenue, in none of plants or units or projects sold our Chinese competitors are well positioned, but they only dedicate their attention to turbine and generator activities. The rest is contracted with other companies which make them lower in revenue, and they are very much centered in China. Ourselves, we are clearly covering the rest of the market in all continents. In Grid Solutions, our ambition is to grow this business from a low 300-digit revenue to EUR 1 billion. Obviously, this amount is not included in the EUR 3 billion. This is going through organic developments that we are currently preparing and through acquisitions that we are actively seeking. And in Service, we -- as I said, we have, through our global network of representation in more than 25 countries, the local attention region by region to our customers, not only for Service, but also for capital project development and cooperation. So going through a snapshot of what are our products and solutions that we offer on the market, the First one is Pumped Storage. We discussed it in the last CMD. It has grown exponentially. As I said, China is ordering between 10 and 20 power plants per year, pumped storage plants per year. Last year, it was 22 in 2025. They are growing towards 30 plants per year until 2035 at very competitive prices, low margin. We take their some share, very limited compared to what was the share given to non-Chinese companies 5 years or 10 years ago, but we are still present in this market. Behind China, the rest of the world is equivalent to the Chinese volume. Most of it is driven by India, where we see big plants, mainly driven and invested by private investors compared to what we are used to in the past, the government-owned utility, which was a bit more difficult to work with. So we have a very strong attention to those private investors who are now moving even outside India, a bit more easily than the Chinese investors. The -- and we see a balanced market for the rest of the world. In Europe, it's mainly conversion of existing into pumped storage, but we see in Southeast Asia, a lot of push. We are running a very big project in the Philippines, called [indiscernible]. We are tendering significantly in this region. The Americas is a bit slow in the north and in the south, but plants are there, and they will have to get there sooner than later for their grid stability purposes. So our position is clearly a #1 position, we have commissioned over the last 2 years, 2 power plants, 1 fixed speed in India, 1 variable speed in the [indiscernible] working well. We are solving some technology difficulties on some projects, but the evolution of this market is very positive. We are well positioned with standard technology, which give us a mid-triple-digit revenue landscape for these solutions. What are the solution here? As I said, standardization is key because pump storage compared to a conventional hydro power plant is not so sensitive to efficiency. So you can come with a reasonable size of equipment for a given site and implement it on a more standard base. So this is clearly the Chinese market. They are always very standard, 300-megawatt units, but we see worldwide, three ranges of pumped storage, the big ones, 350-megawatt Europe, which is more 150, 250 megawatts. So between those three stable ranges, we are enabling to standardize, which when you couple that with early contractor involvement, and partnership makes the project much faster. So the clear topic here, I can give you an example of one of the running plants in India, [ Pinapuram ], that we commissioned beginning of last year. The project was a total of 5 years compared with the 6, 7 years that we see for a plant of 4x250 megawatt plus 2x 150-megawatt basically, the first two years of technological development for us was made in parallel from the customer closing their permitting side and the financing side. So this time, which is normally sequential was made in parallel at reduced cost for the investor, and we save two years on that. Then the installation of the six equipment, full term team, our customer was taking care of the civils, took 2.5 years so which is very agile. And when we look at some regulations in Europe, in North America, still a challenge, but this is achievable in a country like India where 5 years ago, we were struggling. And then 6 months for commissioning one unit one by one. So that gives around 5 years of a full project, which makes in terms of competitiveness of pumped storage versus battery, a good start. And obviously, we are investing a lot on reducing those cycles and the cost. I will move to the next -- sorry, I will skip this one. The next one are Hydropower newbuild solution, still an important player in the market. So what do we do there? Different kind of [indiscernible] that you will see today in this workshop here. Obviously, a lot of runoff river solutions, Kaplan, small size or bigger size. So this is still a very active market. This is basically, again, worldwide. We see more development in Asia, in Africa and in Latin America than in Europe. And so we have very big projects like [indiscernible] projects on the Mekong River, which are huge Kaplan being installed on a very fast-tracked project. And we do have a lot of compact Hydro solutions, medium size that we sell all over Europe, selecting profitable projects. Our position here oscillates between #1, #2 year, it depends on big projects, but we are clearly on a leading position as well. The next one are modernization and service. So I group that modernization can be of different style, the very big ones, where a plant with 6 units is fully modernized, looking for more output power, looking for more efficiency to produce more megawatts with less water, looking for flexibility because, as I said, hydro power is not so much anymore used as base loss power, but as regulating power. So the operators require this flexibility to stop and start the units when they want to reduce the load, increase the load in a flexible manner, and this has impact on the design of our equipment, both mechanical, electrical and electronic this -- the very large projects for us are classified as capital projects. They are quite big, quite long lead time. Customers will give us access unit by unit, not to stop the operation of their running plan. However, this is part of our service attention to the market. The rest of the market will be more on single system intervention. So we do a lot of modification, of automation turbine generator. And we provide, as I said, before lifetime support to our customers with different solutions, digital and mechanical. Will accelerate a bit. Turbo generators, it's a niche market. Those are equipment running behind gas turbines. So we provide those equipment to some of the gas turbines suppliers, technology suppliers is specifically to one where we have close relationship, and we are developing investment to both here in Europe between Hungary and somehow in India to be able to provide these turbo generators in a growing business, which is mainly driven by grid stability first because gas turbines are very flexible, but also by AI data centers. And so the market for gas turbine, you know it, it's mainly centered at the moment in North America, in the Middle East, but somehow starting to expand in other regions of the world. I will finish with the Grid Solutions. So in grid, we started and Joachim mentioned it as a growth initiative three years ago, to use our knowledge on generators, technology to be able to design and produce synchronous condensers, which are basically generators working in short-run the grid to absorb excess of energy coming from intermittent power in special peaks and prevent blackout like in Spain. This started very actively in Australia some years ago in Brazil, but we are now seeing country by country the growth. We got a significant amount of project last year in Europe in isolated grid to start with, like Ireland, U.K., but progressively, all countries are developing the investment. We are booking -- we have booked this month projects in Spain. We are actively developing Europe. India, we are -- we have been selected for the first in [indiscernible] project in the country, and we will see that, and we are running a few projects in North America. So this is a temporary device to stabilize our grids. And this is our backbone of our grid strategy. And from there, what I explained is that we are developing organically solutions to attend substations because the use of substation is completely different than it used to be 5 years ago. So that requires modernization in automation system in new device, and this is an area of possible growth through M&A. So in conclusion, we are attending a booming market that we expect to continue mid-run even long term, mainly driven by this grid stability positioning where Hydropower is the only renewable energy enabling more wind or solar power, driven by security of energy from different countries, looking more at endogenous electricity supply than supply relying on import of gas or other technologies. Then we have a good complementary strategy with grid, as I explained, enabling us to look at stabilizing this level of revenue or, let's say, reaching it in a sustainable manner, even if there is some drop in Hydro, as we have seen in the past. And then our historical and long-term oriented service base is our core business. We are continuously investing on that, being close to our customers. And that's probably one of the reasons of our success to listen to the customers and be present when they have capital plan. So this concludes my presentation for Hydropower Solutions. I will hand to Jarno Nymark for Pulp & Paper. Thank you.

Jarno Nymark

executive
#34

Thank you, Frederic. Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and it's my pleasure to shed you a bit of the light of what we do in the Pulp & Paper area regarding the Energy business. And this is namely our Boiler business and the related Services. And if we start with the recovery boiler for the pulp mills. And those who know a pulp mill typically call this the heart of the pulp mill because the heart shall never stop, and this is the same with the recovery boiler. And we are the global leader within recovery boilers. We have the largest operating boilers. I think the four largest are operated by us. And within the last 10 years, we have supplied the market with over 40 recovery boilers. Of course, the recovery boiler size is very depending on the production of the mill. So you have the extremely large boilers and then you have also the smaller boiler and especially the smaller boilers that we are supplying currently to the Chinese market because they are integrated mills. And of course, the delivery project type also varies from our EPCC in Latin America to EPC in Europe to EPS in Asia Pacific and North America. But there is no pulp mill without a recovery boiler today. And I'm sure that you're all wondering what does the recovery boiler do. It's a simple process. So it takes the black liquor, the so-called linking from the cooking process, we burn it and we generate energy and also recover the chemicals so that the chemicals can be reused in the pulping process. So as you can see, the recovery boiler can render a pulp mill from a big energy consumer to a net producer of energy and at the same time, improve the sustainability footprint significantly. And if we look at the growth drivers for the Recovery Boiler business, it's clearly you can see it is related to the increase of the production in China, Asia Pacific, but at the same time, also the possibilities for retrofits and looking at the improvements in the chemical recovery but also in the energy efficiency to produce more from the existing recovery boiler. And the USPs in this area is like the rest of any of the pulp mills. The key strengths that we have in the recovery boiler areas are the proven technologies the high efficiencies and the long running times without the stoppages because typically, a pulp mill stops every 15 or 18 months and the recovery boiler has to stay open during that time. and then the ease of operation and the fast ramp-up curves on the boiler. And of course, with this large installed base, there are also potential then for the service business and not just the upgrade but also the maintenance repair because it has consuming or wearing parts that needs to be changed in each of the annual shutdown. Then if we look at another boiler type, so let's talk about the power boiler business for a few minutes. So power boilers in fact, turn a diverse range of fuels into sustainable power, steam and heat. So as you can tell, they are not only related to the Pulp & Paper industry. So this is -- the power boilers are used in a rather diverse set of end markets. And so the power boiler converts biomass, sludge, residuals, waste-derived fuels into the steam, heat and power. And we offer complementary technologies for these various industries. So the type of the boiler varies on what is the fuel that will be burned. And here, we see a market that is expected to continue to grow significantly in the next few years. And then this is also driven by the decarbonization, the increasing of the planned sustainability footprint and especially also that we have customers replacing fossil fuels with biomass. And this, of course, gives the opportunities for new modernizations of these large conversions. And if you saw in Joachim's presentation with some of the mergers and acquisitions that we have done, for example, last year with the acquisition of Diamond Power, these are products, the suit blowers, which are very well. These are the mostly used in the recovery boilers and the power boiler areas. Compared to the recovery boiler and you compare the power boiler, here, you have more competition than just a few competitors in this area. But we are among the leaders in this industry, in the power boilers as well. And really to mention again that the power boiler serves multiple industries, Pulp & Paper is just one of these industries, but we work also work with utilities, independent power producers, with municipalities and district heating for waste and sludge to energy. And we are not just a power boiler supplier. We're actually a power plant supplier because the recent reference that we have done is really from the fuel feeding combining the automation, electrification and including also the turbine. So we have a leading solution for any type of the fuels to be burned in our boiler. And that was a short summary on the Pulp & Paper, then I would like to hand over to Joachim for the Environment & Energy and the Metals side. Welcome, Joachim.

Joachim Schönbeck

executive
#35

So thank you, [indiscernible]. And indeed, we can continue with Environment & Energy and with Metals where we have also significant exposure to the energy market. I would say, first and foremost, definitely what we call Clean Air technology to clean the fume gases to the level we like to have in order to feel comfortable in the environment of a power plant. And that's basically dedusting the majority, you probably majority here is too young to really remember when it was for power -- for boilers without dedusting. But then, of course, deceleration and the nitrification which are the main drivers for flu gas and Clean Air technology. So that's a particulate and gases emission control that we are doing. Then another important part there is the heat recovery because we want to make sure that we can recover as much heat back from the flue gases as possible in order to increase the overall efficiency of the power plant. And then that what has been developed in that division is the carbon capture because that is also something the CO2 from the flue gases can be absorbed and recovered start or utilized whatever the lawmakers allow in the various regions. So we are doing that business for many years. We would say we would say that we are globally, we are #1 supplier of these technologies, and we are historically, I would say, a very strong position in Europe. We moved strong into India over the past 10 years. And we have made an acquisition last year in the U.S. also to participate a bit stronger in that market. We see a strong trend of stricter emission controls. So we see potentially good business to develop. And you might be surprised, but I can tell you against all prejudice we have, the stricter emissions do not origin in Europe, the region in China. And that is also something very important. If we don't go there and participate in these projects, then we will end up in a couple of years. We will end up with competitors who can reach much stricter emission control limits than we can. So therefore, we like to be also in this Chinese market. What is our strength? I would say definitely is a complete technology portfolio especially if we go to multistage processes like what you need to do with the dedusting and if you have catalytic reactions like you need in denitrification. So there are a couple of challenges to be done. We have an installed base of more than 6,000 units worldwide where we can develop the service, which we started a couple of years ago. So therefore, we see a good way forward. What is definitely the Champions League in Flue gas treatment is the waste-to-energy applications where we also are happy to report that we are at least globally, we are the #1. What is particularly challenging here is that at the end, you do not know the fuel. And if you do not know the fuel, you do not know what is in the emission, but you need to be sure that nothing leads the stack that you do not want to have in the air. So therefore, that is a growing market. It's for sure, it's a competitive market. And the waste to energy, we see also a structural increase as the restrictions to landfill waste is increasing. It's not only is growing and growing in Europe but also other parts of the world, this will become a predominant position. Then we have in Environment & Energy, we have developed this green hydrogen. As already said, we had higher hopes for that than what has materialized over the past years. However, we were able to build up a strong technology position over that time. We have been awarded two major projects. One is for Salzgitter, it's a steel company in Germany. It's a 100-megawatt unit. We are at the moment at the end of installation and starting commissioning plant will be operational in 2027, and we have been awarded a smaller unit, 12.5 megawatts from Austrian company, RAG. That's the largest gas storage facilitator in Europe, and they need the hydrogen to buffer what they call in Austria, the [indiscernible], which I'm not able to translate with my limited command of English language. So these two projects are important for us. I think we have with these projects and with a good start-up we will establish a good position in that industry. We are already acknowledged as one of the serious players who cannot only provide technology, but also deliver a project in time and in quality. And as I said, most of the money is spent on our side. We need to get the plants up and running. Whatever happens in the world or in lawmaking in the society, we can hibernate these activities without too much cost on our side. But I think the good thing is the technology is ready whenever the market will come, we are ready to provide it. What is good that what is missing in these markets is more the, I would say, regulatory framework as well as some infrastructure for the green hydrogen. Also in same schemes are unclear. However, without these incentive schemes, there are viable business orders for the green hydrogen. I think that is important. But of course, you made the cake even sweeter with some incentives and no investor would like to have that passed by. Another area where we have a significant exposure to the energy side is our Pumps business. And there are three main activities that we do on the energy side. The one and probably the most important is the main reactor pulling pump for a nuclear plant. That's a business ANDRITZ is doing for about 50 years. And I think in Europe, we are definitely a leading supplier of that technology. You will have the pleasure to see one of these pumps on the workshop tour. And it's really a machine. It deploys several thousand cubic meters per second, because if there is an emergency in a nuclear power plant, you better want that the water is moving at high speed. So you will be impressed then. The second main application we have is the small to midsized pump storage, where we are supplying pumps and for some of the projects going on in Austria, we are currently in having active projects. And then, of course, several auxiliary pumps in the nuclear thermal and hydro power plants. That's also part of our portfolio there. We see that market strongly growing with approximately 30% and in total until 2030. And that is significantly driven by the renaissance of nuclear. On the Metal side, we have two main exposures to the energy side. The one is what we call the battery. And to be very clear, we are not manufacturing batteries, and we don't want, but we are -- we have moved into the development of production equipment to produce batteries. And we've done this through an acquisition and then on that platform, made some development and innovations. We are currently, I would say, we are one of the leading suppliers of manufacturing equipment for lead acid batteries. We are, I would say, #1 for pilot lines for lithium iron production machines, and we are developing into production equipment for lithium iron mega factories. We have built, delivered and commissioned one of these lithium iron mega factories in Germany. It is operating. However, we have to admit it's -- even though it's what you call a mega factory, it's small compared to what the large Asian providers have built up. And we are also, I would say, behind in technology, what they have. They have -- we have to admit they are 10 years ahead of us. And now we have to apply what we have learned from the Asian suppliers that we need to start the know-how transfer the other way around because we do not believe that it's that it's good to be fully dependent and not have that production capabilities in Europe. So this was an area where we invested. We had higher hopes and we made a clear misjudgment of the market to come. And also, we made a clear misjudgment on how far away and well advanced our Asian competitors are. We keep that on a development basis for the lithium ion we move into service of the lithium iron mega factories, which are installed in Europe and which are currently operating with more or less problems. And we want to close that gap to our -- to the market leaders in that area. By -- during that time, it is -- these developments are financed by the, I would say, solid development on the net asset business, which is running well. The second exposure we have in Metals to the energy side is the electrical steel. As you know or you don't know, electrical steel is a high silicon alloy carbon steel. It comes in two ways, grain-oriented or not grain-oriented brain-oriented is what you need for still parts, meaning transformers, the nongrain-oriented you need for rotating parts or whatever is connected to a motor. We have about 20% of the world market is grain-oriented and 80% is non-grain-oriented. We have a strong position for the non-grain-oriented #1 or #2, however, you slice down the market. Why are we -- why is our equipment so important for that business? For -- to increase efficiency in these electrical machines, the reduction of the steel thickness is one of the main drivers of the efficiency as we have rolling mills that can roll this brittle and hard material to very low signals better than our competitors can do we have -- we enjoy a very high market share, and we believe that we can develop that. Just to give you an idea, normal standard for electric meters, you see in cars today, is a material thickness of 0.3 millimeters, and we have now one project under execution. One will to deliver rolling down to 0.03 millimeters. That is a quantum gap in efficiency. And I tell you, handling of that material is not very easy. So we see there is more to come, and we are happy that we are a good partner for the industry. And by that, I like to finish. And I think we have a Q&A now or not?

Matthias Pfeifenberger

executive
#36

Yes. Thanks a lot Mr. Sauze, Mr. Nymark and Dr. Schönbeck. I'd like to welcome you back stage, and we conduct the second Q&A session. First questions may be in the room and then moving to the webcast. Akash?

Akash Gupta

analyst
#37

Maybe a question on growth in hydropower, I think you mentioned a revenue target of EUR 3 billion in 3 to 5 years. And then I think you also mentioned there is up to EUR 1 billion growth revenue target for grid-related businesses. So that up to EUR 1 billion is on top of EUR 3 billion? Or is that part of that EUR 3 billion?

Frederic Sauze

executive
#38

Part of the EUR 1 billion are in the EUR 3 billion. This is what we do in synchronous condenser. The rest should follow with our organic development or through M&A. So it's an ambition more than a commitment. That's our vision of how this market, which is huge in transmission and distribution could be attended through that.

Akash Gupta

analyst
#39

Okay. And maybe a follow-up on hydropower margins. I think we have seen with some other power equipment companies who are investing massively in production because of the strong demand. They all are seeing some dilution on margins because you have to take upfront cost before the new production kicks in. So when we look at Hydropower performance in the next three years, are we going to -- like does the target include some kind of dilution from these extra costs that you need to take upfront before the new production comes online?

Jarno Nymark

executive
#40

It does because this is the business model. But as I said, through early contractor involvement and partnership, we managed to derisk that significantly. And obviously, our ambition is to reach the upper side of this bond in future.

Matthias Pfeifenberger

executive
#41

Additional questions? We have one question in the webcast, I think.

Operator

operator
#42

The question from the Sven Weier from UBS.

Sven Weier

analyst
#43

I got two questions, if I may. The first one is on the [indiscernible] because there in the slide, you say you expect a book to bill of over 1, whereas on the grid side, you have over 3.5x. So I was wondering why you're not putting in a bigger figure for the books of [indiscernible] turbos given the dynamics in the market. And the second question I had is that your #2 in Hydropower plants. So do you consider for it being bigger than you on that end?

Frederic Sauze

executive
#44

So turbos are pretty standard models. So we manufacture them upfront, most of the subparts and the lead time is around one year. So we managed to have quick turnover of our turbo orders. For Grid Solutions, this is, as I said, mainly related to synchronous condenser, which for us is the hardware plus the systems around into substation, making it slightly longer lead times. So that's to explain the difference between the two. One is product, the other one is more solution.

Matthias Pfeifenberger

executive
#45

On the margin...

Sven Weier

analyst
#46

We don't get the order so much in advance on the turbos and then on the grid side.

Frederic Sauze

executive
#47

Yes. So margin side for the turbo are growing significantly because demand is moving up. We are also developing service attention to our own fleet. And therefore, we are seeing gradual increase of margin. It's a very low OpEx business, mainly working on order management. And market share of voyage and ANDRITZ.

Joachim Schönbeck

executive
#48

Yes. So over the -- since the last CMD, we have seen a big increase of market share for ANDRITZ worldwide outside China, as I explained, the main reason is our traditional service attention. So we're organized in 9 regions, which are roughly 4 hours flight from any customer headquarters or power plant. And from this tradition, we obviously -- they are very much present to help developing capital project, selling capital projects and executing them. So I think that's the strategy which position us as clear #1. We also have been successful in the past in on-time restructuring to maintain profitability. And now as market leaders, we drive the profitability increase within limits in the market.

Matthias Pfeifenberger

executive
#49

Okay. Any residual questions in the room? Okay. Now that seems not to be the case. So thanks for your interest. We're back on track and continue right away with the deep dose. Thank you, gentlemen. I ask Mr. Nymark to stay on stage. Thank you.

Jarno Nymark

executive
#50

Thank you. So I will now give you a short but deep dive into our Pulp & Paper business, but then especially a focus on the Pulp side of our business. But if we look at our total portfolio within the Pulp & Paper area, last year, we were the largest business area with 38% of the revenue, double-digit profitability and with a large service share of 59%. We may maintain a #1 to #3 position in all of the areas that -- where we are active across. But we see that we are clear on the Pulp side of our business, both in the large scale mills, but also with the smaller integrated mills in China. If we look at outside the Pulp capital, we're also strong with our complete service and especially here on our Pulp Service side, we see a number one, benefiting from the installed base that we have. But it's also worth to mention that our service on Pulp & Paper side is not only for our own installed base, but we work with any of the installed base in the market. But also then strong on the non-volume side, but also fiber preparation, but then very well positioned for the growth also on the tissue and the Board side. And I think on the board side, I mean, there's a lot of discussion about overcapacity on each of the grades. I mean our exposure is not that large to that area. But Beginning of the year, we have received an order for example in [indiscernible] where we will supply a complete board machine, including the stock operation, and this is basically to the end of the winder. So combining all of the acquisitions that we recently have done in our Pulp & Paper area to supply a complete full line. And then of course, last but not least, I mean, our Pulp & Paper automation side. We do not report this separately. It is a part of our project, but also a part of our service business. And you will have the possibility in the experience center to learn more about the value-added solutions that we provide to our customers than in the afternoon. But if we look at the market. I mean the global megatrends are supporting the volume trajectory in the Pulp & Paper markets. And of course, this is driven largely by packaging and the hygiene sector. So we have the demand of sustainable packaging, replacing plastics and then also the e-commerce and the increase per capita usage also in the emerging markets. The shift from the mature markets to the more the southern hemisphere, especially on the virgin, the pulp production continues. And we also see that short fiber from the southern hemisphere is also replacing the long fiber from the traditional Nordic producers. And then, of course, we see also that more and more of the pulp fiber is used in man-made cellulosic fibers like lyocell and this is predominantly always the short fiber. So of course, our Latin American mills are, let's say, the cost -- the most cost competitive, lowest in cash cost in operation. But clearly, we see that the Chinese integrate is increasing its [indiscernible] And then, of course, I mean, it's a lot about technology, but I think that it's a lot about the people and the footprint that we have so that we really have a very competitive wood basket. So -- and this will also -- so hopefully, these will also proceed. But of course, we are ready to execute on the mentioned projects in South America. And looking at the size and the concept of the current mills, I think we should be in a very strong position because we have existing references for identical mills in the region. And of course, once the project goes ahead, looking at a 3-year lead time for the projects. And of course, on the margins, I mean looking at the low single-digit levels, but then a rather large EBITDA contributor to our business. But with this, I have to be remind, I'd like to remind that I think that on the Pulp & Paper, we're not doing too bad without having any of these large orders in South America. So I mean, of course, we have a strong Service business. We have a big installed base, so we have opportunities to grow. And just to look at -- to show a little bit of proof on some of our recent success that we have had, and this is a project together with Suzano Cerrado, and this was a project from '21 to '24. And we supplied all of the process islands to this -- the main process islands this mill. And it was an EPCC contract, so we had the responsibility of the civil and the installation. And with the start-up of this mill, we set a new benchmark in the industry regarding the startup curve of pulp mills worldwide. So we reached within less than 90 days, we reached the nominal production. So the daily nominal production, and this is a mill producing 2.5 million tonnes a year. And the learning curve was reached within 161 days from the mill startup. And the first year of production reached a 92% of the design capacity. And the second year will be over the design capacity of the mill. So really after 100% of the annual capacity was reached 3 months after the operation. So of course, this shows our capability to execute large projects in South America. And therefore, we feel that we have a good position for the next mills going forward with the proven references. But then if we move to China and as mentioned, our market share in the Chinese pulp mills is going ahead of our global market position. So you see that we are in Asia Pacific, over 70% market share on Pulp while in the worldwide, a bit less than 60%. And as capacity growth is shifting to China, we are converting these project opportunities into orders. Of course, currently, there is a decline of the use of wood in the construction industry and which has allowed the Chinese customers to invest in upstream pulp mills. But of course, we have to remember also that China actually has the largest forest so that there is forest available. So currently, approximately 50% of the forest is from their own and 50% comes from [indiscernible]. This is based on recent discussions I had last week with the customer. So this is how they have it. But we also feel that or we see that the growth of imports to China will still continue, but it will be at a lower rate than historically. And we have actually been one of the main equipment supplier to -- or played a very key role in all of the projects that have been executed in China in the last past years. And I see that our success relies as anywhere in the world on the technology edge, but very much of our local manufacturing footprint, and the presence that we have in China. The more projects we complete, the more references we collect. And we feel that there are additional projects opportunities in the market in China and looking forward to convert these also to orders. And irrespective of where the Chinese integration trend will end up. We think that growth in pulp imports will still take place in the future. Good. Thank you. Short update on the Pulp & Paper side. Now I would like to hand over to Joachim for a deep dive in Metals.

Joachim Schönbeck

executive
#51

So thank you, Jake, and after being in the beautiful world of Pulp & Paper, I now guide you to the at least beloved business area, we have the Metals and to finish with that. So where we are with our Metals business, just a small recap. We are basically offering the full production line downstream of the hot rolling process for steel and aluminum, the pickling cold rolling, annealing coating, finishing and welding and then transferring these plates or strips into the presses and from the parts that to a large extent from automobiles afterwards, but also surround your dishwashers, washing machines or furniture, whatever you have. We have about 1/3 to 2/3 split of the business between the strip processing and the metals forming part, we have about 1/3 to 2/3 in the volumes between service and capital. As I said, largest potential. We are regionally -- we are very well balanced. We have 30% Europe, 30% in the Americas, we have 30% in Asia and 7% rest of the world. So it also gives a clear indication that we are basically supplying with all existing and all emerging partners in that industry that it be on the steel side, on the aluminum side or on the automotive side. And if we see -- look at our exposure to the customers, I would say 30% is -- we are relating to the steel cycle, 30% to automotive, 30% to general industry and then battery and defense make up another 10% of that business. We -- I would say we have the operational turnaround in progress, but we see that we reach, I would say, a business set up a capacity that matches with the market that we have. We have strong market positions where we play. We are definitely #1 press manufacturer globally and also with an extremely long history. We are on the processing side, we are clear, number one. We are -- on the cost side, we -- I would say we came a long way. We are under restructuring, in particular, in Schuler for the last 5 years minimum, maybe even longer. And we have now set up with the right capacity for the European market, for the American market and also for the Chinese and Asian market. That is, I would say, that is good and combining that with the cycle that we see currently in automotive and steel that investment is going to happen puts us in a good position for a solid improvement of the business. If we look a few years back, we can see that we made significant reduction in our capacities. We reduced in metals forming in Schuler, we reduced head count by around 30% over the past years. In total, our reduction was 20% and that's the net number. I can tell you that in Germany, we reduced almost by 30%, but we increased our capacities in India and in China to accommodate the shifts of our markets. So we believe we're coming out of that restructuring more efficient. We have a lower breakeven point and our cost base is definitely more competitive. What should not be overlooked and makes me also proud to see that over the past 6 years, we could continuously improve the operational margin of that business. And that going on under constant restructuring shows that not only the business model works out, but also the management team in place knows what they are doing. And there is no risk that things are falling apart or flying around, so we believe that we can continue to increase these margins. Now that the turnaround has been done we also complemented the business with some acquisitions, and we believe we have good prospects to grow the margins to the 7% to 9% corridor that I introduced to you. We have other areas where we can expand and we want to expand the business, too. And the first and maybe most prominent like to inform is the defense side. That is clearly a growth market in Europe. We do not see in the current environment, we do not see too much business outside Europe there. But in Europe, we see that there is a demand growing. It's an industry we need to get used to, works a bit different than the markets we currently know, but I think we get our way in. At the moment, we see that a mid-double-digit euro business in our metals and we trust that we can grow it to small to mid triple-digit million business over the next years. We have a wide, maybe not wide, but we have a significant portfolio of products that we position ourselves for the defense I think it's important to understand, we are not a direct defense contractor. So we are not contracting with the Departments of Defense or the supply chain of these departments. But we are we are supplying capital goods to the defense contractors. That is the -- that's basically the business the business model we are doing. And what is currently what is currently driving our business is the forging business. That goes first and foremost to [ Shell ] line. So that is the outer part of the ammunition which is a wear part at the moment in high demand. And we need to -- companies need to refill their storages, but there are other engine components for aerospace composite structures for naval vessels, but also defense energy storage as I told you, the battery activities we are doing, the batteries, you need and a drone has a complete different characteristic than a battery you need in a car and also the, I would say, the appetite of the contractors to procure the production equipment from outside Europe is limited. So that opens some opportunities for us. So that is one of the areas where we are investing, and I think we have good -- we have -- with our exposure to heavy machinery, we are well positioned in. In that, if we look to recent acquisitions, we acquired very happy that we could acquire Chinese company, Sanzheng. We acquired 51% of the assets. They are a provider of induction heating equipment. And we believe -- so first, it's a perfect fit. We learned them through a project. As I said, that's part of our derisking M&A strategy. We know the partners. We know what they are doing. We -- we worked with the equipment. We also understood that there is a good cultural fit with their -- with the way to do business. And there are 2 main reasons that we're striving that acquisition. The one is that we see a lot of heating solutions in the metals industry is moving from combustion solutions to electrical heating solutions. And among the electrical heating means induction is definitely on the efficiency side, the best available technology. So that was a strong driver for that. But we also -- and this is how we met Sanzheng, we have developed together with them several crucial heating applications for the production of the silicon steel grain-oriented, nongrain-oriented. And therefore, we can now provide the entire technological chain from -- out of one hand. So I think was a very good acquisition developing according to the business plan, and we are quite -- we are quite happy to have them on board. And next step is then to move also outside China to provide the technologies to our other customers in Asia and the rest of the world. I would like to finish with a particular I would say, outstanding project we have done for BMW in Munich. We -- it's the first time in history that complete press line was refurbished with only using planned downtime of the equipment. It went over a period of a year -- but there was not a single minute used that where the production assets needed to be stopped. It was a great project required a lot of planning, a lot of cooperation between BMW and our teams. It was extremely successful, and it really saved a lot of money, if you do not need to stop your production to get that read, we believe, and also BMW believes this is the new blueprint for how press lines will be refurbished in the future, and we believe that we are well positioned here. Having said that, I would like to thank you for your attention and hope you join me in my firm belief in the future success of the Metals business. Thank you.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#52

Thank you, Dr. Schönbeck, and Mr. Nymark for the deep dives on Metals and Pulp & Paper and we'll now conduct our last Q&A session. I would ask the [indiscernible] to join Dr. Schönbeck on the stage, and we'll take it from the room. Akash.

Akash Gupta

analyst
#53

Maybe starting first with a couple of questions on Pulp & Paper and Metals. So maybe on Pulp & Paper, I think it's good to see the details on this China win, but I'm more curious on how does the scope of work margins and revenue per unit of output compares in China versus, let's say, outside of China? And on the same topic, could you utilize your factories in Europe for these Chinese projects? Or everything has to be built locally? And then on the metals, it's quite encouraging to see margin expansion or margin upgrade in the medium term. But maybe if Dr. Schönbeck, if you can talk about what is driving that improvement, how much of that is coming from metal forming versus metal processing is one part doing more than the other? And how much of that is also coming from some of the new opportunities like in defense that could be margin accretive?

Jarno Nymark

executive
#54

On the pulp and paper side regarding on the CapEx. I mean, of course, the projects in China are EPS projects. And so it's really the main equipment. And typically, with the Chinese customers, I mean, they're very CapEx-oriented, it's not even the EPS that we traditionally would do in Europe. So it's even a smaller scope on those projects. So of course, I mean, comparing a mill where we have or EPC, I mean it's a big difference on the machinery and equipment. But if we -- and the utilization of our workshop in Europe, yes, I mean, for example, if I take the recovery boiler, we have 2 locations where we can manufacture the pressure, the bottom pressure parts because this is critical that you have your own manufacturing for, and this is what we are utilizing, for example, in our workshops in Europe and producing. But majority of the equipment is produced locally.

Joachim Schönbeck

executive
#55

So metals, it's a mixed picture. I would say both are increasing, but transforming and metals processing, and they're increasing nicely. Profit level in metals processing is a bit higher than it is in metal forming. And I would say the majority comes from lowered breakeven points or more competitive cost position, much better project execution on the run, not losing as much margin towards the end of the project. And definitely, the mix plays a role with the new businesses, for example, defense also improves the margins.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#56

I would also like to follow up on the metal side. Given your guidance raise now to 7% to 9% EBITA margin, is the understanding correct to see the 7% without increasing scale of the business? And what would you expect or require a revenue level in order to reach -- or is it rather a question of mix than revenue overall?

Unknown Executive

executive
#57

I see it as a mix also this range is the precaution to what is happening in the markets. We're giving you a guidance for '29. I don't know what is happening tomorrow, so there is some uncertainties also priced in. But if the economy runs well, if markets are good, if we get some tailwind, then I see more towards the 9%, yes. If another war starts next week, with some further disruption, maybe more than 7%. So I would say that is the range we do what we can. And as I said, we see project activities. We see project announcements yes. So we basically -- we continue to be optimistic and prepare for the worst.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#58

And then maybe a follow-up on the defense side, you mentioned that you could grow the business towards a triple-digit business, maybe also '29. Given the long lead times of defense, actually, you should have quite a good visibility on how this business should develop going forward. So what is the visibility do you really have? And also in terms of margin accretion from this business now into 2030 or '29?

Unknown Executive

executive
#59

Unfortunately, our visibility is not as good as we would like to have it. That definitely depends a bit that we are new in that market. And as I said, this market, they work differently than the traditional markets we are in. And I think it would be early for me to say that we fully understood all the rules.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#60

Patrick?

Patrick Steiner

analyst
#61

Thank you very much for the presentation. Two questions remaining from my set first of all. What are the most important factors in ramping up a large pulp mill for you? Why were you so quick and successful at [ Curado]. And the second one is on the Metals division. Would you expect a tailwind from a strict European regulatory environment for steel production? Should it be reflected soon in the order book? Or what's your thoughts on that?

Jarno Nymark

executive
#62

I would say that the start ramp-up curve in [ Cerrado], of course, as I mentioned a few times on the technology, but I think a lot comes to the project execution and the project execution capabilities and then also a very strong cooperation together with the customer. So I mean, it's we don't do it alone. We do it together with our customers. So I think that, that -- as we have executed with Suzano, we have executed except, for example, the Tesla [ gas ] project really to know the team. So I think this is really supporting that to have a fast execution.

Joachim Schönbeck

executive
#63

So metal side, C-band all our European customers, they connect investment decisions with effective ski band procedures in place. So I would say, looking for the next 2 to 3 years, it's probably supportive. How supportive it is on the long run? I don't know, because I believe that if we're trying to protect the markets to an unhealthy extent that at the end, backfires. And you know that the steel industry is not the most profitable -- so I think that is where we have to be maybe where we have to look out.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#64

Thanks for the questions in the room. I think we have Sven on the line.

Operator

operator
#65

The next question is from Sven Weier from UBS.

Sven Weier

analyst
#66

Just 2 questions on the Pulp & Paper side. I was just wondering what visibility you have on China, how long this project answers integrated mills in China will still continue? And do you see that further delaying the greenfield projects that we have in Latin America? And the second question is, I guess, globally, we might actually walk away a bit from the integrated model and people buying more market pulp, if you think that this could then actually accelerate the LatAm projects?

Unknown Executive

executive
#67

Thank you, Sven. Thank you for good questions. I mean, looking at the projects that we have ongoing in China, at least we see for the next couple of years that we see that there are the activities -- of course, there's a lot of the big producers already in China, I mean, are investing, but there are a number of mills still that are not yet integrated. So we see on that side. Of course, that's a typical discussion that I have every week with our South American colleagues and customers. I mean, how long will this continue in China and what is -- so for sure, this is delaying some of the decisions. But as we saw, I mean, the market pulp of virgin fiber, it is growing. The consumption is growing because you have also other application than just the hygienic or the tissue and the board. So I mean, with the growth of manmade cellulosic fibers, lyocell. So you have other applications which are growing as well on that. The last question is I did not fully understand on the market pulp.

Sven Weier

analyst
#68

Yes. I think when we look at our recent pulp and paper meetings we had, we get a sense that some of the integrated mills globally might actually start buying market pulp rather than being integrated just because of the pulp price being relatively low. I mean that's then obviously helpful for taking some of the market capacity, I guess?

Unknown Executive

executive
#69

I guess this varies and depends a lot in what region that we are discussing. And I think it's also -- there is a lot to which are the grades that are integrated. Is it unbleached long fiber, short fiber. So I think this varies a lot on that side. So I cannot just give a general overview on that topic.

Akash Gupta

analyst
#70

Couple of follow-ups. The first one is on data center. And I ask one of my colleagues to count how many times you mentioned data center in presentation. And apparently, it's more than 15x yet I haven't seen you're talking about data center being as one of the key growth driver of Andritz story. I mean there is some mention here in revenue target where you do see like pockets of significant growth in data center among your other end markets. But maybe just to talk about like when we look at from this data center AI, holistically, what sort of opportunity do you see there? Because I guess there may not be direct benefit, but there may be indirect benefit. So maybe if you can talk a bit about how do you see the growth prospects thanks to the data center CapEx growth that we see out there. And then the second one is on M&A. I think we have seen very limited action this year, and now we are in an environment where interest rates are going to go up, which may have an impact on the value of some of the assets out there. So like what needs to happen for us to see a bit higher M&A activity like could we see in back end of this year or it will be more likely next year when we see a meaningful step up on inorganic growth?

Unknown Executive

executive
#71

The data center, as I mentioned, relies on stable supply of electricity to operate continuously. And therefore, they have difficulty to obtain these supplies from the grid. And at least as backup, but very often as main generation source, they invest in their own power generation supply, which is mainly gas turbine-driven today. When we look at the financials of our gas turbine technology supply worldwide, data center represents less than 20% of their supplies today. And the -- most of the suppliers go to the grid environment, grid stability, so flexible power generation, more than data center. At the moment, the growth, as I mentioned, is mainly North America and in the Middle East, with very strong visible investment still to be seen in other regions of the world. Is this short-term bubble? Is it a long-term continuous investment this -- for this, as I said, we rely on the gas turbine supply market.

Akash Gupta

analyst
#72

Maybe if I can ask you for a year, like we have seen some hyperscale expensive [indiscernible] -- sorry, just to -- so we have seen like some hyperscalers that are paying premium to utilities for expensive nuclear power in Europe. I guess here in Europe, we also have a lot of hydro resources and there is a big opportunity to increase overall performance or like the capacity of those. So do you see those type of projects coming in your pipeline where maybe some utilities are more keen to go ahead and refurb their installed base because they can increase amount of power they can generate and then they can sell it to data center customers at a premium above the current wholesale prices.

Unknown Executive

executive
#73

Yes. So for massive concentration of data center, nuclear supply base load can be considered for sure in some specific areas where they have access to this energy. As I mentioned, hydropower is deemed renewable power, enabling to regulate the other intermittent renewable power from wind and solar, which are growing, but not necessarily highly reliable to supply quality, stable energy to a data center. So I don't see a link so much with hydro between hydro and data center. This is for us mainly through our turbo generator business.

Unknown Executive

executive
#74

M&A. We constantly look for targets that fit, which targets which I explained to you. But you need somebody who wants to sell the asset you like to have, and you need to agree on the price. So it's a bit difficult sometimes on the timing. We see the rising interest rates and we expect that probably would have a positive impact on the M&A market at the moment, the expectation on the proceeds on the seller side are still very high. And we have -- we have a history of discipline to M&A, not to overpay. If it is -- if we are talking about a must-have acquisition that would harm hundreds, if it comes into the wrong hands, then we definitely would be also ready to pay a premium. But if it's, don't get me wrong, if it's a nice to have acquisition that would be a good addition, then there is no need for us to spend a premium. And if we have too much money, we initiate a share buyback.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#75

We have another question in the webcast Daniel.

Daniel Lion

analyst
#76

One more on AI. Could you maybe give us a rough split of how much you supply directly to clients in terms of turbo generators and how much indirectly? And what does this change in economics? And what's the strategy actually going forward? Do you want to increase actually your direct share? Or are you fine with supplying basically through the 2 market leaders here?

Unknown Executive

executive
#77

It's 90-10. So most of our contracts are with gas turbine technology companies. So it's indirect cell. We are plugging our generator behind their gas turbines. The growth is -- the 10% is likely to grow through, let's say, emergency supply of generators in case of failures through service, as I mentioned before, but still in a very reduced manner, this direct business. Because at the end, you need the full turbo generator island to generate electricity. You cannot sell a generator on its own.

Daniel Lion

analyst
#78

And would you expect the profitability to be margin accretive for the whole segment going forward?

Unknown Executive

executive
#79

It's still a very competitive segment with many solutions, global solutions. So I would expect similar to what I've mentioned for new hydro power plant build some improvement, but probably this is the segment with less opportunity compared to pump storage compared to some grid solutions, which are of better opportunities.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#80

[indiscernible] from the -- question from the webcast?

Operator

operator
#81

We have a written question from [indiscernible]. You describe synchronous condensers as, in some respects, a temporary solution for grid activity. How do you think about the longevity of this market? Could grid forming inverters or other power electric solutions eventually reduce the need for synchronous condensers and over what time frame?

Unknown Executive

executive
#82

So yes, it's definitely potentially a temporary solution because at the end, it's evacuating excess of energy on the grid, and this is not efficient and markets will look at better utilization of those excess of electricity like storage or like more electrification of other processes. As I mentioned, there are 2 ways to regulate the market for absorption of over energy. The [ SynCon ] are the more the electromechanical ways to do it. And then there is power grid, grid forming approach made of inverters and batteries, which we are also looking at. This is part of our growth potential for our grid solution environment. So this I see that complementary still for a reasonably long period of time because until the power generation new form of supply is stabilized the grid still needs those evacuation of energy systems. So both for [ Sinon ] and for grid forming, this will be a long-term run.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#83

Okay. I think this concludes our first part of the Capital Markets Day. I'd like to thank the audience in the room and on the webcast for the attention and the interest in our executive spot for the very exemplary presentations. We will now have a well-deserved lunch. I expect you back here at 12:30 for safety instruction for a very interesting tour on the afternoon in our Andritz Experience Center and site tour, and I would like to hand back the word to Dr. Schönbeck for final remarks on the first part.

Joachim Schönbeck

executive
#84

So Matthias, thank you. Yes, we provide you an update on our strategy, how to increase the service, go further on the digitalization and develop new technologies for the decarbonization area. We gave you the prospect that we will not change our pause on our M&A. So that will be part of our growth machines. We provided new targets for '29. The EUR 10 billion revenue and 10% comparable EBITDA margin and excuse my short thinking on that. as we have 2 percentage margins on the business areas, the mathematics conclude that -- and this is why we have given the guidance there around the 10%, but the target is the 10%. Vanessa explained to you on our capital efficiency and our well-balanced capital allocation, which we also will stretch out to the future. And Frederic and [ Jake ] gave us impressive presentation of the exposure to the markets in the energy sector. And I think the good development and also the good outlook in hydro really is exceptional, and Andritz is in a very good position to capture on that. On the deep dive in Pulp & Paper, I think the main takeaway is that -- there is a good business, a very profitable business and a well-managed business in Pulp & Paper even without a large order from South America, a large order we received was 2021. The outcome is this [ Cerrado ] project, [ Jake ] explained about. It provides not only a good basis for further service business and also provides a comfort for the customers that they know that we can achieve things. On the metal side, I have the -- I'm brave enough to tell you that the restructuring is done, will be finished in the course of next year. And that with the regain competitiveness, we can increase and improve the margins further. And with that, I would say, enjoy the afternoon where you can see a lot of tangible products in the manufacturing and a lot of intangible values communicated to you on the automation and digitalization. And from that, I enjoy your lunch. Thank you.

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