Banco Itaú Chile (ITAUCL) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

August 6, 2026

SNSE CL Financials Banks earnings 56 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Banco Itau Chile Second Quarter '26 Financial Results Conference Call. This presentation and the earnings release are available on our Investor Relations website. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the conference over to Matias Valenzuela, Head of Planning and Corporate Strategy.

Matias Valenzuela

executive
#2

[AI Agent] Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining our second quarter earnings conference call. I would like to note that the voices used in this presentation were generated using artificial intelligence. My name is Matias Valenzuela, Head of Planning and Corporate Strategy at Itau Chile, and I am joined today by our CEO, Andre Gailey; our CFO, Emiliano Muratore; and our Chief Economist, Andres Perez. I would also like to remind you that this presentation may include forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from those discussed. As always, we report under our managerial model, which reflects how we allocate capital, manage risk, and assess performance internally. This framework provides a transparent and consistent view of underlying earnings and aligns management decisions with shareholder value. For additional detail, please refer to our management commentary. With that, I will turn the presentation over to our CEO, Andre Gailey. Good morning, Andre.

Andre Carvalho Gailey

executive
#3

[AI Agent] Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. Let me begin with the key developments of the quarter. We maintained strong commercial momentum with growth in both loans and deposits, outpacing the Chilean banking industry. This result underscores the resilience of our franchise, the strength of our client relationships and our continued progress toward our strategic objectives. In Chile, improvements across our main revenue lines helped offset the more challenging conditions seen earlier in the year. At the consolidated level, Colombia's higher profitability made a meaningful contribution to our results. In June, we received approval from the Competition Authority for the acquisition of Klap, followed by approval from the CMF in July. We expect to begin consolidating the business during the fourth quarter of this year. The acquisition will strengthen our payments and merchant acquiring capabilities, broaden our presence across the merchant ecosystem ,and create new opportunities to deepen client relationships, generate fee income and leverage transactional data to develop new financial solutions. We also completed the sale of our Colombian retail banking business to Banco de Bogota. The divestment advances the strategic repositioning of our Colombian operation and supports a more focused business model centered on the segments where we have stronger competitive advantages and greater potential to generate sustainable returns. Finally, Extel once again ranked us first for best research team in Chile. Itau BBA also secured the top position in both Latin American macro research and Latin American research. These recognitions underscore the quality of our teams, the depth of our analytical capabilities and the value of the insights we provide to clients and investors across the region. Let me now turn to Colombia and provide more detail on the divestment of our retail banking business. Before the transaction, our Colombian retail business operated with a market share below 3%. This limited scale constrained our ability to dilute costs, acquire clients efficiently, and generate returns in line with our cost of capital. Even under a reasonable operating scenario, we estimated that the previous business model would generate an ROE of between 5% and 10% compared with a cost of capital of approximately 15%. Since announcing the agreement in December 2025, we have executed each stage according to plan. On July 28, we completed a capital increase of approximately USD 75 million in our Colombian operation. From a consolidated perspective, this represents an internal reallocation of capital rather than an additional economic cost for the group. In July, we also recognized approximately USD 158 million in nonrecurring expenses associated with the transaction. Effective August 1, approximately USD 2,011 million in assets and USD 1,499 million in liabilities were transferred at book value. As a result, we received approximately USD 512 million in net cash proceeds with no economic discount applied to the net assets transferred while releasing close to USD 1,185 million in risk-weighted assets. For the remainder of 2026, we expect to incur approximately USD 18 million in additional nonrecurring expenses, mainly related to completing the separation and transition activities. As part of the separation, Itau entered into a transition services agreement under which it will temporarily provide certain operational and support services through the end of 2026. This arrangement will ensure business continuity and facilitate an orderly migration following the transfer of the retail portfolio. At the consolidated level, we expect the overall impact on our capital ratios to be virtually neutral as the capital released through the asset transfer should offset the associated one-off charges. The transaction creates value through three main channels. First, it reduces the capital allocated to a business generating returns structurally below our cost of capital. Second, it improves the expected return on the capital that remains invested in Colombia by concentrating resources on businesses where we have stronger capabilities and competitive advantages. Third, it increases our financial flexibility and strengthens the management of capital, liquidity, and balance sheet risk. From a balance sheet perspective, the divestment reduces structural mismatches by better aligning the duration and composition of our assets and liabilities. With the longer duration retail portfolio transferred, the remaining corporate loan book will have a shorter duration, allowing us to manage liquidity and interest rate exposure more efficiently. Following the divestment, our Colombian operation will be focused on corporate banking and treasury. We expect the repositioned franchise to generate an ROE of between 10% and 15% by the end of 2028, supported by a more focused business model, disciplined execution, and more efficient capital allocation. Under our current profitability assumptions, we estimate an economic payback period of approximately 3 to 4 years. Overall, this repositioning should result in a more focused, flexible and structurally profitable Colombian franchise with a clearer path toward returns consistent with our cost of capital. With that, I will hand the floor to Andres Perez, who will walk us through the macroeconomic outlook for Chile and Colombia. Good morning, Andres.

Andres Perez

executive
#4

[AI Agent] Good morning, Andre. Good morning, everyone. On this slide, I will provide a brief overview of Chile's recent economic performance and outlook. Economic activity remained weak during the second quarter, extending the softer momentum observed at the beginning of the year. The weakness reflected temporary disruptions in specific sectors, together with subdued credit growth, fragile labor demand, and weaker household confidence. Accordingly, our macro research team revised its GDP growth forecast to 1.3% for 2026. For 2027, growth is expected to accelerate to 2.8%, supported by a stronger investment cycle, elevated copper prices, and measures aimed at reducing barriers to private investment. Inflationary pressures increased toward the end of the quarter with annual inflation reaching 4.3% in June. Recent currency depreciation and higher international oil prices have added to short-term risks, although weak domestic demand, labor market slack and anchored inflation expectations should limit the persistence of these pressures. Under this scenario, we expect inflation to end 2026 at 4.1% and converge to the Central Bank's 3% target during 2027. Against this mixed backdrop, we expect the Central Bank to maintain the monetary policy rate at 4.5% through 2026 and 2027. This level allows the bank to balance renewed inflation risks against still weak activity while retaining a data-dependent approach to future decisions. On the currency front, we forecast the Chilean peso at approximately CLP 900 per U.S. dollar at the end of 2026, and CLP 880 at the end of 2027. The currency may continue to face pressure from narrow interest rate differentials with the United States and swings in global risk aversion. Even so, strong copper prices and a sizable trade surplus provide an important external buffer. In summary, the Chilean economy continues to face a demanding near-term environment, characterized by weak activity and renewed inflationary pressure. At the same time, stronger investment fundamentals and progress on pro-growth reforms support a more constructive medium-term outlook. Turning now to Colombia. Economic activity was stronger than expected during the second quarter, supported by resilient domestic demand, services, and manufacturing. Consumer confidence reached its highest level in a decade, while retail sales, imports and consumer lending continued to show solid momentum. Consequently, our macro research team revised its 2026 GDP growth forecast upward to 2.5% from 2.3%. For 2027, growth is expected to moderate slightly to 2.3%, reflecting tighter financial conditions and a gradual deceleration in activity during the second half of this year. Despite the stronger activity, the inflation outlook remains challenging. Annual inflation reached 6.1% in June and is expected to rise further, ending 2026 at approximately 7.5%, mainly due to persistent services inflation and higher food and energy prices associated with El Nino. Inflation is then expected to gradually decline to 5.8% in 2027, remaining above the Central Bank's 3% target. This backdrop implies that monetary policy will remain restrictive for longer. Following the 75 basis point increase in June, which brought the policy rate to 12%, we expect BanREP to continue tightening and reach a terminal rate of 13% during 2026, although risks lean toward a lower terminal rate. A gradual easing cycle is expected thereafter with the policy rate declining to approximately 11.5% by the end of 2027. For the Colombian peso, we forecast an exchange rate of approximately COP 3,400 per U.S. dollar at the end of both 2026 and 2027. The recent appreciation has been supported by high interest rate differentials and a decline in the country's risk premium. Even so, fiscal execution remains an important variable to monitor as the incoming administration begins implementing its consolidation strategy. In summary, Colombia combines stronger-than-expected economic activity with persistent inflationary pressures and restrictive monetary conditions. This environment reinforces the importance of disciplined risk management and supports our strategic focus on more resilient and capital-efficient businesses in the country. Emiliano Muratore, our CFO, will now continue the presentation. Good morning, Emiliano.

Emiliano Muratore Raccio

executive
#5

[AI Agent] Thank you, Andres, and good morning, everyone. I would like to begin with a few highlights in digital innovation, culture, and market recognition. Starting with digital innovation. We continue to enhance the client experience through new capabilities. For individual clients, we introduced voice-activated bank transfers in our app, making everyday transactions simpler, faster, and more intuitive. We also launched the new Itau Empresas app, providing corporate clients with a simpler, faster, and more secure experience together with enhanced self-service capabilities. Culture remains a fundamental enabler of our strategy. For the third consecutive year, Itau Chile was recognized as one of the best places to work for LGBTI plus talent by Equidad CL Pride Connection and the Human Rights Campaign. In addition, employee satisfaction reached 85% in June 2026. These achievements reflect a highly engaged and inclusive organization which is essential for attracting talent, executing our strategy, and consistently delivering a better client experience. We also advanced our sustainable finance agenda by completing a $30 million sustainability-linked loan with Caja Los Andes. The transaction reinforces our commitment to supporting clients in achieving their sustainability goals and demonstrates our ability to deliver financial solutions linked to measurable targets. The market also recognized the strength of our businesses and teams during the quarter. Euromoney named us Chile's Best Investment Bank for DCM, while our asset management subsidiaries received 3 awards at the 2026 [ Premier Salmon ]. As Andre noted, Extel ranked us first for best research team in Chile, while Itau BBA secured the top position in both Latin American macro research and Latin American research. Together, these recognitions highlight the quality of our advisory capabilities, the depth of our market expertise, and the value we provide to clients and investors. Turning now to loan growth in Chile. Our loan portfolio expanded 9.6% year-on-year and 2.4% quarter-on-quarter, clearly outperforming the banking industry, which grew 4.3% over the last 12 months. This result was also above our full year guidance range of 6% to 8%. Growth continued to be led by our commercial and mortgage portfolios, reflecting the strength of our franchise and disciplined commercial execution. We achieved this while maintaining a selective approach to origination and consistent risk control despite a still demanding macroeconomic environment. Looking at the segment breakdown. In commercial lending, the portfolio grew 9.5% year-on-year and 2.2% quarter-on-quarter compared with industry growth of 3% year-on-year. This was the third consecutive quarter in which we outperformed the industry on both a year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter basis, supported by stronger client activity, sustained origination, and deeper relationships across our target segments. In consumer loans, the portfolio grew 0.5% year-on-year, but declined 2.3% quarter-on-quarter. This reflects our continued selectivity in the segment, prioritizing risk-adjusted returns on portfolio quality over volume growth. Even so, new money origination continued to expand, while the portfolio mix improved as we reduced exposure to refinanced and renegotiated loans. In mortgages, we maintained our leadership position with growth of 12.6% year-on-year and 4.3% quarter-on-quarter, significantly above the industry's 5.7% annual expansion. This growth increased our market share by 56 basis points over the last 12 months, reaching 9.1% and reinforced our position as one of the strongest performing banks in the segment, supported by our mortgage value proposition and high participation in the Fondo de Garantias Especiales program. Turning now to our funding base and assets under management. On the funding side, deposit growth remained strong. Deposits continue to be a central pillar of our strategy, and an important driver of deeper client relationships. In Chile, demand deposits grew 12.8% year-on-year, significantly outperforming both the banking system, which expanded 7.1% and our peer group, which grew 6.1%. This positioned us as the leading bank within our peer group in demand deposit growth over both the last 3 and 12 months, reflecting continued progress in our principality strategy. Growth was broad-based across client segments. Demand deposits from individuals increased 5.9% year-on-year, above the system's 3% growth, while deposits from companies expanded 16.7%, well above the industry's 9.2%. Time deposits rose 15.5% year-on-year compared with 4.3% for the system. This result reflects our disciplined funding strategy and ability to maintain a balanced and diversified deposit mix. Assets under management increased 12.0% year-on-year, supported by sustained net inflows and favorable commercial activity. We also continued to diversify our funding sources and expand our access to international markets. During the quarter, we completed our first international public bond issuance under our MTN program denominated in Swiss francs. The issuance broadened our global investor base, provided access to a new currency and market and increased the flexibility and resilience of our funding structure. The next slide summarizes our main performance indicators for the quarter. Our consolidated loan portfolio reached CLP 30.8 trillion, up 3.4% quarter-over-quarter and 11.3% compared with the second quarter of 2025. In Chile, loans totaled CLP 25.2 trillion, increasing 2.4% quarter-over-quarter and 9.6% year-over-year, reflecting continued commercial momentum across our portfolios. Consolidated financial margin with clients reached CLP 335.7 billion, increasing 5.8% quarter-over-quarter, while in Chile, it rose 3.5% to CLP 254.3 billion. Commissions and fees increased 19.1% quarter-over-quarter at the consolidated level and 17.1% in Chile. Cost of credit remained broadly stable. At the consolidated level, it decreased 0.6% to CLP 75.0 billion, while in Chile, it increased slightly by 0.8% to CLP 58.4 billion. Consolidated recurring net income reached CLP 108.9 billion, increasing 42.1% quarter-over-quarter and 10.3% year-over-year. In Chile, recurring net income rose 25.0% to CLP 89.4 billion. This drove recurring return on tangible equity up by 3.4 percentage points to 11.4% at the consolidated level and by 2.5 percentage points to 11.6% in Chile, reflecting stronger earnings momentum during the quarter. Turning to financial margin with clients in Chile. It increased 3.5% quarter-over-quarter to CLP 254.3 billion, although it declined 3.2% year-over-year, resulting in a net financial margin with clients of 3.2% for the period. The decline in the margin rate also reflected the increase in available-for-sale securities during the quarter, which diluted the ratio despite the recovery in nominal client-related revenues. The quarterly improvement was driven mainly by higher average loan volumes and wider spreads in the corporate segment. The funding mix also contributed positively, supported by growth in demand deposits, while derivatives management and client FX transactions delivered solid results. The year-on-year decline was primarily explained by narrower loan spreads and the lower average monetary policy rate. These pressures were partly offset by stronger derivatives and FX activity with clients. Taken together, the quarter showed a recovery in client-related revenues supported by stronger commercial activity and a more favorable funding mix, even so margins remained below the levels recorded in the same period last year. Turning to financial margin with the market. The result remained negative at CLP 2.4 billion, but improved materially from the CLP 8.9 billion loss recorded in the first quarter. Throughout the first half of the year, the banking book delivered consistent results, reflecting disciplined management of our fixed income positions. However, this positive contribution was more than offset by trading performance, which continued to be affected by a volatile market environment. For the second half of the year, we expect the banking book to remain a stable contributor. Our priority will be to restore profitability in trading while maintaining disciplined risk management. Turning now to commissions and fees. Fee income reached CLP 49.6 billion in the second quarter, increasing 17.1% quarter-over-quarter and 3.6% year-over-year. The recovery was broad-based and supported by stronger commercial activity across most of our key businesses. Insurance brokerage revenues increased 47.5% quarter-over-quarter, driven by higher income from consumer credit-related insurance. Fees from credit operations and guarantees grew 5.3%, supported by stronger trade finance activity and greater momentum in the commercial segment. Financial advisory and other fees increased 18.4%, reflecting higher transaction activity and improved credit card revenues. Asset management fees rose 6.4% quarter-over-quarter and 18.7% year-over-year, supported by growth in assets under management. Commissions, therefore, represented 16.4% of operating revenues during the quarter, up from 15.2% in the first quarter. This higher contribution supports a more diversified revenue mix and reflects continued progress in deepening client relationships across our businesses. Turning to cost of credit. It totaled CLP 58.4 billion in the second quarter, remaining broadly stable quarter-over-quarter and declining 11.3% year-over-year. The cost of credit ratio remained at 1.0%, at the lower end of our guidance range. The quarterly evolution reflected higher provisioning associated with stronger loan growth in Itau Corporate. This was partially offset by lower provisions related to rating adjustments and changes in collateral, together with solid recoveries from sustained collection efforts. Asset quality indicators remained controlled. The total NPL ratio closed the quarter at 1.9%, broadly stable and below the level recorded 1 year ago. Consumer NPLs increased moderately due to higher short-term delinquency, but the portfolio continues to show a structurally improved risk profile, supported by a healthier client mix and lower levels of refinanced and renegotiated loans. Commercial NPLs continued to improve, while the mortgage delinquency ratio remained stable despite the strong growth of the portfolio. Finally, the NPL coverage ratio increased to 139%, reinforcing the strength of our provisioning position. Turning now to noninterest expenses. Noninterest expenses totaled CLP 140.4 billion in the second quarter, increasing 4.3% quarter-over-quarter and 5.0% year-over-year. Personnel expenses increased 3.2% quarter-over-quarter, mainly due to higher severance costs associated with headcount reductions, performance bonuses and inflation adjustments. Year-over-year, the increase primarily reflected higher expenses related to our long-term incentive program, driven by the higher average share price during the period. Administrative expenses rose 6.1% quarter-over-quarter, driven by higher advisory and consulting expenses, IT and telecommunications costs, and operational losses. Year-over-year, the more moderate increase of 1.6% mainly reflected higher marketing expenses, operational losses and IT-related services. Revenue growth outpaced the increase in expenses during the quarter, driving a 168 basis point sequential improvement in our efficiency ratio to 46.6%. We remain focused on disciplined cost management and structural efficiency while continuing to invest selectively in technology and the capabilities needed to support our growth strategy. Turning to Colombia. Our operation delivered a significant improvement in the second quarter. On a constant currency basis, total financial margin reached CLP 104.4 billion, up from CLP 85.9 billion in the previous quarter. The result was supported by financial margin with clients of CLP 86.5 billion and a strong CLP 18.9 billion contribution from financial margin with the market. Commissions and fees rose to CLP 11.1 billion, supported by stronger advisory activity during the quarter. Higher revenues and disciplined cost management drove the efficiency ratio down to 53.5%, its lowest quarterly level in recent periods and a significant improvement from 64.4% in the first quarter. This translated into recurring net income of CLP 20.4 billion, up from CLP 5.1 billion in the previous quarter. Recurring ROE reached 10.6%, reflecting a significant improvement in the profitability of our Colombian operation. Turning now to Slide 16. Our capital position remains strong, supported by disciplined capital management and consistent earnings generation. As of June, our CET1 ratio stood at 11.5% following the payment in April of dividends equivalent to 60% of 2025 net income. Even after the distribution, our capital ratios remained within the bank's risk appetite. Our CET1 ratio also remained above the 11.2% median of our peers, leaving sufficient capacity to support sustainable business growth and execute our strategic priorities. In July, the CMF issued a second draft regulation for public consultation, proposing changes to the methodology for measuring market risk-weighted assets. Based on the regulators' estimates, these changes could reduce market risk-weighted assets across the Chilean banking system by up to 36%. While the ultimate impact will depend on the final regulation and each bank's portfolio composition, the proposal could improve capital efficiency across the Chilean banking system. Turning now to the performance of Itau Chile's stock. Over the last 12 months, our shares delivered a cumulative return of 63.4%, outperforming both the 52.9% weighted average return of our peers and the 34.6% return of the IPSA. The share price increased from CLP 12,900 at the end of June 2025 to CLP 21,000 as of July 31, 2026. Over the same period, our price to tangible book value multiple expanded from approximately 0.8x to 1.2x, reflecting growing market recognition of our progress in profitability, capital discipline, and strategic execution. We also broadened our sell-side coverage with Bank of America, initiating research coverage of our shares. The addition should further increase the visibility of our investment proposition, deepen engagement with investors and support the liquidity of our shares. On the final slide, let's review our performance against our 2026 guidance for Chile. Loans grew 9.6% year-over-year as of June, above our 6% to 8% guidance range and reflecting sustained commercial momentum across our priority portfolios. The average financial margin with clients stood at 3.2%, slightly below our guidance range of 3.3% to 3.5%, mainly reflecting the lower interest rate environment and pressure on lending spreads during the first half of the year. The sequential improvement observed in the second quarter, together with a more favorable outlook for spreads, supports better prospects for the second half. Commissions and fees grew 3.3% year-to-date, remaining below our full year guidance of 12% to 14%. However, the 17.1% quarterly recovery reflects stronger commercial activity and improved momentum across our main fee-generating businesses. Looking ahead, we have a robust pipeline for the second half of the year, although execution will depend largely on market conditions and transaction timing. Cost of credit remained well controlled at 1.0%, in line with guidance and supported by sound asset quality and disciplined risk management. Noninterest expenses increased 2.8% year-to-date, above our guidance of approximately 2%, mainly reflecting specific personnel and administrative items. Looking ahead, we expect the expense base to remain well controlled through year-end with full year growth ending in line with our guidance. Our managerial effective tax rate stood at 14.9%, broadly in line with our guidance of approximately 15%. Our managerial tax guidance excludes any potential effects from the proposed reduction in the corporate income tax rate, including the resulting remeasurement of deferred tax assets. If the legislation is enacted under the terms currently proposed, we estimate a nonrecurring impact of approximately CLP 30 billion to CLP 40 billion. Finally, RoTE reached 10.4%, below our 12% to 13% guidance range. Although first half profitability was affected by the challenging market environment and pressure on financial margin, the recovery in revenues and earnings during the second quarter provides positive momentum as we enter the second half of the year. To conclude, the second quarter delivered solid business growth, a meaningful recovery in earnings, and continued progress across our strategic priorities. We entered the second half of the year with a stronger franchise, a sound capital and funding position, and confidence in our ability to continue generating sustainable value for our clients, employees, and shareholders. This concludes today's presentation. Thank you for your attention and continued trust in Itau Chile. We will now be happy to take your questions.

Operator

operator
#6

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Ernesto Gabilondo with Bank of America.

Ernesto María Gabilondo Márquez

analyst
#7

Congrats on your results. My first question is on the tax reform. So if we assume a normalized inflation of 3% over the next years, how should we think about the evolution of your effective tax rate with this new tax reform? My second question is on your return on tangible expectations for the year. As you pointed out, you're still expecting something around 12% to 13% for the year. The return on tangible equity stood at 10% in the first half. So just wondering what will be the drivers to reach your guidance? How comfortable do you think it could be, I don't know, between the low or the high end of the range? And also after the completion of the sale of the Colombian retail banking business, how do you see that helping to improve the sustainable return on tangible equity on a consolidated basis? I know you're guiding that you are currently in Colombia at 5% and that it could go in the next 3, 4 years to a much higher ROE. But on a consolidated basis, how should we think about that helping you to think about your long-term return on tangible equity?

Emiliano Muratore Raccio

executive
#8

This is Emiliano. Thank you for your question. First, regarding effective tax rate for 2027, as you pointed out, so inflation going down would take the effective tax rate up. But now with the fiscal reform or the reform that the government is passing in Congress, that should tend to balance out and to have more like a flat effect on effective tax rate when the reform balancing out the decrease in inflation. It's also worth noting that this year, we have the negative effect on deferred tax assets of the reform that we estimate to be between CLP 30 billion to CLP 40 billion in tax for 2026. It will be like a one-off and then we will benefit from the lower taxes going forward. And as you must know, it's a gradual reduction from 27% to 23% in 3 years. So at the end, definitely a net positive for the bank going forward with this one-off effect in 2026. Regarding the drivers for second half ROE, I would say that main driver is financial margin with the market kind of normalizing to a more long-term level, and that should take us to -- as of now, we keep the 12% to 13% range. I mean, it will depend on how it evolves during the months to see how higher or lower we are within the range, but we keep the 12% to 13% range as of now. So you can kind of take a midpoint the best guess today, but still some months to go and to see how high or low we are. And regarding Colombia, I know, Andre, if you want to comment?

Andre Carvalho Gailey

executive
#9

The overall impact on the banks will depend on the size of Colombia. With the elections in Colombia, we expect the opportunity to grow the operation there. We also have the challenge to reduce our costs and to reach a better efficiency ratio in Colombia. It will be a gradual process, but looking at a longer term that will help Chile and Colombia, the consolidated to have an ROE that we expect to be above the 15% consolidated ROE in line or above.

Operator

operator
#10

Our next question comes from Alonso Aramburu with BTG.

Alonso Aramburú

analyst
#11

I just wanted to follow-up on the comments regarding Colombia and your guidance for 2028 of 10% to 15% ROE. Just wanted to see if you can give us some color on how to bridge where you are today to that 10% to 15%. So how should we think about the second half of this year, let's say, excluding the one-off expenses and 2027? Is this a transition in which you go to from, let's say, 5% to 10% or 7%, 8% and then to the low-teens? And what's delaying this improvement for a couple of years? I guess you mentioned this efficiency issue. Is that what's delaying this improvement to be quicker in the results?

Andre Carvalho Gailey

executive
#12

The 2 main drivers, as I mentioned, is the scale and efficiency. The first is to grow the portfolio, and we believe that Colombia has a positive trend over the next years. And we, as a niche corporate and market actor will be able to grow above the market, and that will allow us to dilute the current cost structure that we have. On the other hand, even though we made significant efficiencies and are making during 2026, we will have additional efficiencies to be made during 2027 and 2028. So that will help us both by growing revenues and by reducing costs to increase our utilities and to -- during those 2 years to grow our ROE consistently. So that's the main plan. I think that when we look at the variables, I think everything is in place for us to follow that path.

Alonso Aramburú

analyst
#13

Okay. But is it fair to say that the profitability of the business following the divestment of these assets and liabilities, loans and deposits is already more profitable or it's still a similar profitability to what you had in the last couple of quarters, what you have today in Colombia?

Andre Carvalho Gailey

executive
#14

The current corporate operation in Colombia is already above our cost of equity. The problem is that we have now to dilute all the other costs that are now borne only by the corporate transaction, the corporate operation. So we believe that over time, we'll be able to grow and dilute costs and that will help us to quickly reach the ROEs we mentioned before.

Operator

operator
#15

Our next question comes from Daniel Mora with CrediCorp.

Daniel Mora

analyst
#16

I have a couple of questions. The first one is very simple regarding the Colombian operation. Do we expect additional nonrecurring expenses in 2027, or all the nonrecurring expenses will be executed in this year in 2026? That will be my first question. And the second question, it's regarding fees, observing that the fees have been below guidance. What will be the drivers that you expect to improve the net fee growth in Chile in the second half of this year? Do you expect insurance brokerage and also financial advisory to keep the positive momentum that we observed in the second quarter?

Emiliano Muratore Raccio

executive
#17

Daniel, thank you for your question. First, regarding nonrecurring in Colombia, basically, no. I mean, we don't expect any further nonrecurring beyond 2026. So all the nonrecurring will be recorded. Most of them already in July and the rest in the coming months of 2026, but no further nonrecurring for the future. And regarding fees, I would say that basically 2 drivers. First, advisory fees. I mean, all the corporate finance, M&A, DCM pipeline is very strong. Even though it hasn't already been reflected in the actual results in the first half, but we do have a good pipeline and execution, and that will be one of the main growth second half compared to first half. And then the economic activity in the country gaining momentum in terms of consumption and employment and all that, that is basically what we are assuming in the GDP growth prospect for the year being one of the drivers, too. The number of clients is also picking up. I mean, all the investment we are doing in brand and in marketing is impacting our ability to increase the number of clients. So basically, I would say that those 3 drivers. Advisory fees significantly higher in the second half with good visibility of that in the pipeline we have. Second, economic activity supporting consumption and economic activity in general. And third, the good growth in the number of clients going forward.

Daniel Mora

analyst
#18

Perfect. Very clear. Just one last question regarding fees. The insurance brokerage that we observed in the second quarter presented any nonrecurring positive effect? Or should we expect this line to continue presenting the results that you already presented in the second quarter?

Emiliano Muratore Raccio

executive
#19

Yes, there was around like CLP 3.5 billion one-off effect regarding the model we have for provisioning the fees we grant -- the fees we charge when we grant the loan and then some of them, we need to pay them back when the client prepays the loans or it basically enters into restructuring. So there's an actuarial model. There was a recalibration of that model in the second quarter that basically implied a CLP 3.5 billion of better fees for the quarter. I mean, without that, we were more in the mid-single-digit growth. And that's the level we see picking up more closer to double digits going forward.

Operator

operator
#20

Our next question comes from Yuri Fernandes with JPMorgan.

Yuri Fernandes

analyst
#21

I have one regarding margins, the spread from clients in Chile, it's tracking below your guidance. Just checking if you believe you can go to the guidance here. Second Q is kind of an inflection point and things should improve. So any view on -- and again, this is not the market NII, just the client NII that has been tracking lighter. And then I have a second one regarding your cost of risk, right? Because this is on track. This is doing fine. But we note some higher NPLs on consumers in Chile. So just checking if like given the economic outlook should be better, if you're also comfortable with your cost of risk guidance.

Emiliano Muratore Raccio

executive
#22

Yuri, thank you for your question. I mean, starting with the second one, yes, I mean, we are pretty comfortable with the guidance in cost of risk. I mean, all the work we have been doing in the consumer portfolio, reducing the restructure and refinance is basically showing in the cost of risk numbers, and we are confident with the 1% to 1.1% and maybe even targeting the lower part of the range. So we are confident. And as you said, even this with the economic activity and GDP growth, we have been seeing that it has been softer than expected, but going forward should be a tailwind for cost of risk. So yes, we are comfortable with that. And in terms of client NIM, basically, what we took us below our range in the first half is the competitive environment, especially in commercial lending, where we have seen strong competitive pressure. Going forward, we expect to be within the range, closer to the bottom part of the range for the year, basically because, as I said before, the base case scenario for us is that the economic activity will rebound starting from the third quarter, and that should take out part of the competitive pressure we are experiencing now. And second, because all the growth we are seeing in checking accounts and demand deposits also should help us on the cost of fund of clients, and that should take us to the range, even though closer to the lower part of that range for the full year.

Operator

operator
#23

[Operator Instructions]

Emiliano Muratore Raccio

executive
#24

There's a question from Antonio regarding how the nonrecurring cost of the Colombia transaction would affect dividends. I mean, as we pointed out before the transaction, in terms of capital ratio, the transaction in Colombia, it's kind of neutral because even though we have a lower net income, we also are reducing the risk-weighted assets. So basically, the transaction as a whole doesn't affect our capacity to pay dividend as a dividend per share -- on a dividend per share basis. What it implies is that the payout ratio on the basically all-in net income should be significantly higher and to have a payout on the recurring part in line with the 50% to 60% that we paid last year.

Operator

operator
#25

Our next question is also from Daniel Valenas, and it's the following. Given the retail plus retail fees, would you no longer record from day 1 while the OpEx reduction should be gradual. Should we expect negative earnings from Colombia in 2027 as a transition year?

Emiliano Muratore Raccio

executive
#26

So I'm not sure if I understood the question. Let me read it. So first, there's a question regarding the impact in July of the -- in terms of P&L. Basically, all of it, the $150 million, it's impacting P&L in July. The capital injection is kind of indirectly related to the transaction because it's having to do with the P&L impact of the transaction because, as I said before, the P&L impact is counterbalanced by the reduction in risk-weighted assets. But we do execute the capital injections to support the growth of the business going forward in the new corporate segment, and that's why the capital injection was executed. And the OpEx reduction for Colombia, I would say that even though there is a gradual transition in terms of efficiency cost efficiency ratio, as Andres mentioned before, in general, let's say, just the one-off we are paying now in July will affect cost immediately starting in August, and there is some further efficiency to capture during the next 12 to 18 months, but most of it will impact immediately.

Operator

operator
#27

[Operator Instructions] Thank you. This concludes today's presentation. You may disconnect now, and have a very nice day.

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