Becton, Dickinson and Company (BDX) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

November 16, 2020

New York Stock Exchange US Health Care Health Care Equipment and Supplies conference_presentation 30 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Frederick Wise

analyst
#1

Good morning, everybody. Welcome back to the Stifel Healthcare Conference. I'd like to welcome -- I'm very excited to welcome my friends from Becton, Dickinson: Tom Polen, President, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board; Chris Reidy, EVP, Chief Financial Officer, Chief Accounting Officer; and I'm sure Kristen is somewhere lurking in the background.

Thomas Polen

executive
#2

She's here online.

Christopher Reidy

executive
#3

Yes. She is.

Frederick Wise

analyst
#4

All right. Welcome, Kristen.

Frederick Wise

analyst
#5

It's been an exciting, I guess, that's the word, start to your tenure as CEO, Tom, maybe a little more exciting than you might have welcomed. But I thought maybe just start us off today because -- and I apologize for always returning to COVID. I feel like -- I feel sorry for company CEOs or every analyst who's starting, I had hoped that we would be heading the other way, but with the news -- just nonstop news about a second wave, it seems clear that a second wave is here. And if I'm remembering correctly -- and correct me, please, if I'm wrong, guidance didn't really contemplate or assume anything aggressive on the second wave front. Maybe remind us of your thinking. And more importantly, could you discuss some of the puts and takes? I know there's a mixture of maybe positive, if that's the right word, and maybe extra headwind from COVID. Maybe just talk us through all that. Where are we now? What are you seeing? Thank you again.

Thomas Polen

executive
#6

Yes. Sure, Rick. Of course, our guidance and earnings call was just less than 2 weeks ago. So in the grand scheme of things, we don't see things really changing more broadly. And just to clarify, our comment was that guidance didn't assume any major shutdowns or changes in procedural volumes, et cetera. And so I think that's another dynamic, not that there's a peak. But does that peak fundamentally or radically change the health care and procedure volumes and other things, and so I think we're not seeing that broadly at this point even as we see increases in cases. And again, we've just given our -- it's still quite fresh since we've given our guidance. Maybe I'll turn it to Chris to give any other color.

Christopher Reidy

executive
#7

Yes. Tom, thanks. And Rick, if you go back to the earnings call, one of the things we mentioned is that we do have a bit of a natural hedge with the Veritor testing revenue that could increase as a resurgence occurs. And we also have the investments that we were planning to make of the Veritor upside that we can flex as we watch. So to some degree, there's some buffer there. But just to be very clear, our guidance did not assume a significant resurgence, as Tom said, that would impact elective surgeries similar to what we saw in the third quarter of our fiscal year.

Frederick Wise

analyst
#8

Right. And again, I don't want to harp on it, but are you feeling incrementally more concerned, either of you, Tom or Chris, just given the resurgence? And does that raise -- create incremental uncertainty if it continues unabated? Again, just at a high level, how would you have us think about it?

Christopher Reidy

executive
#9

I think, as Tom said, he said it well, we were -- it isn't even quite 2 weeks since our earnings call and no updates or anything to make. So we'll see how things go.

Frederick Wise

analyst
#10

No. For sure. Obviously, the news that there might be one or more vaccines is incredibly encouraging for everybody. And Becton benefits uniquely. I know you signed a number of contracts. Maybe talk a little bit about that, and again, the implications for Becton, Tom.

Thomas Polen

executive
#11

Sure. First off, we're -- I think it's really positive news, obviously, both the Moderna news this morning and obviously Pfizer's news last week. So very positive across the board. Obviously, that's the most important thing: to get a vaccine now and then help stop the pandemic. As you know, we are committed to producing at least 1 billion incremental syringes. We've gotten orders already for 800 million. Those vaccines are critical. You got to get them out of the vial into the body. We're going to have a huge role in doing that. So we're producing around the clock. When you think about the scale, that means we're producing an extra 2,000 syringes every minute of every hour of every day, 365 days a week. That's incremental to the 7 billion a year that we normally produce of syringes, right? So the scale is significant. And as we shared on our Q4 call, right, we've got countries from around the world, whether or not it's the U.S., Canada, U.K., Germany, et cetera, as well as many nongovernment organizations that we've partnered with. And we would expect, obviously, as clarity on vaccine timing even increases further over the coming months, we'll see even further orders come in for that syringe demand.

Frederick Wise

analyst
#12

No. It sounds like there could be actually upside from that at some point. Leaving vaccines and turning to Veritor. Obviously, I'm excited. It's exciting news that Veritor exists and you're seeing such interest. You had guided us to $1 billion to $1.5 billion, if I'm remembering correctly, with another $400 million of other COVID test. Maybe just help us better understand how that plays out throughout the year. And I don't know if, Chris, that's more a question for you, sort of first half, second half. And maybe talk a little bit more if you would be so kind about the potential for price erosion. You've assumed it's going to move lower. But Abbott has a $5 test. Are you really thinking it gets that low? Again, maybe you could give us some more perspective.

Christopher Reidy

executive
#13

Sure. So you're right. The guidance that we gave on the Veritor piece was $1 billion to $1.5 billion. And we did say that you would expect to see most of that to be front end-weighted. Obviously, there's a lot of variables around how we end up with Veritor. It's the demand, obviously, the impact of vaccines, the competitive products, and as you mentioned, the price. The assumption that we had in price in the fourth quarter was $20 ASP and we actually did a little bit better than that. But we do think that it would be prudent to assume that there would be some pressure on price. But bear in mind, we should mention the competitors prices [indiscernible]. So we expect to see a premium or a digital product [indiscernible]. And so we'd expect there to be a price premium from that.

Frederick Wise

analyst
#14

Right. Right. And again, I appreciate your conservatism in talking about -- assuming, Tom, that the demand did not continue at this kind of rate for a sustained multiyear kind of basis. I get that. But maybe help us understand just your thinking beyond the appropriately conservative guidance about what the Veritor franchise could look like over the next year or 3 as we get past, hopefully quickly, the worst of COVID.

Thomas Polen

executive
#15

Sure. Just maybe a little bit of background. So last quarter, we're getting -- so we're getting, I don't know if you understand, it just started. I don't know if you hear that, Rick, or you're okay on your side. Okay. So it sounds like it stopped. The -- so overall, we've doubled our Veritor footprint, right, in the last quarter, from 25,000 units. And it took us about 10 years to get placements to over 50,000 units to date. And we expect continued strong placements in the months and quarters ahead. So as we've expanded that Veritor base, of course, not only are they doing COVID testing, but we would expect that creates a platform for other tests or flu or Strep, et cetera, RSV. And we are adding additional menu to the Veritor platform to take advantage of that broader footprint. So we've gone through as an organization and looked at where do we have a footprint today. Before the pandemic started, we had very limited, if any, presence in nursing homes, as an example. We now have 75%, 80% of all nursing homes in the U.S. have a Veritor. What exactly are the menu items that are appropriate for nursing homes? Same thing in other alternate sites that we weren't in before. And so we're just now putting several additional menu items into our pipeline. We'll talk about what those are at a later date as they progress further in our funnel. I think the other thing that we've seen since the first quarter after we launched -- so we launched in July. And at that point in time, we indicated we were uncertain around will there be any testing in FY '22. A couple of weeks ago on our earnings call, we shared that we believe that there will be testing continuing into FY '22. The extent of which is still uncertain at this point, but we have higher confidence that there will be some level of continued COVID testing at that point. As you know, we're also working very actively right now in a combination flu/COVID test. And so we think, again, over the long term, that combination assay will probably be the go-to product as you think about '22 and beyond as COVID will still be around likely. And you'll be looking now with flu vaccines and COVID vaccines to differentiate when you have those types of symptoms what specific infections do you have. Rick, you're on mute.

Frederick Wise

analyst
#16

I'm muted. So just for the echo, just in case. Awesome. One of the indelible audio images, I guess, of the quarterly call was you discussing how you called the divisional folks and said, we're going to spend more on R&D based on the excess -- extra profits from Veritor. You also said that -- I think, Chris, you might have said, you're going to have some of it flow to the bottom line. So 2 questions, one for each of you. Where are you investing? Can you give us any more concrete color about your priorities, Tom? And maybe, Chris, how much -- how are you thinking about that split? So of every dollar, you don't have to be specific, half and half? Or you can be specific.

Thomas Polen

executive
#17

Why don't you start, Chris, with the mix and then I can talk about where we're investing.

Christopher Reidy

executive
#18

Sure. So what we said was for the range of $1 billion to $1.5 billion, the investment is already incorporated in our guidance. And so the flow-through to the bottom line, we invested about 20% or so and let the rest flow to the bottom line. So that's already incorporated in the guidance. What we did say on the earnings call is that if we do see ourselves exceeding the $1.5 billion that we would up the investments that we make. And we'll see where we are at that time. It'll be certainly closer to the -- as we start getting visibility to the second and third quarters, but we would likely up that investment and it could be perhaps as much as 50-50. But we'll, again, see that as everything plays out. Obviously, that's just one of the factors as we talked about resurgence as another factor. And so we've got to balance all of those things appropriately.

Thomas Polen

executive
#19

Rick, if you think about where we're investing, so we're investing right in line with our strategy. We've talked about our strategy to drive growth and specifically, durable, consistent growth, mid-single digits. We've talked about our strategy to simplify, which is in part how we drive our operating leverage and margin expansion. And we've talked about continuing to strengthen our balance sheet. If you look at our investments, the #1 area of investments is in driving incremental growth. And so you'll see we've -- we're implementing in certain channel opportunities where we see -- whether or not it's alternate site or global expansion, but opportunities for us to further accelerate growth near term. We are investing incrementally in new R&D programs across each of the 3 different segments. You saw our R&D increased 8% in Q4, the highest by far that it's grown in the last 6 years. You'd expect to continue to see R&D investment as we look through '21. We're also investing, though, in accelerating initiatives like Project Recode, on our simplification programs, something we've talked about. Our goal to deliver $300 million in savings over the next 4 years, very much on track. And then the last one around strengthening our balance sheet and cash flow. We talked about -- for example, in Q4, we took the opportunity. We've been working on taking inventory levels down as part of our improvement in systems around forecast accuracy and being able to operate the company with less inventory. We've got $2.8 billion in inventory. There's some areas we can do better in that. Obviously, that frees up cash to reinvest in other purposes, but it creates a manufacturing variance when you do pause production to let the inventory come down. So we took advantage of Q4, for example, to do exactly that. We may do that again later in Q1, again, using some of the Veritor proceeds, making the company stronger in line with our strategy.

Frederick Wise

analyst
#20

If you recall, Tom, we met actually last December. I brought a group out. And I was really impressed with your commentary about Project Recode and some of the specifics around your plans after the cost inventory, improve margins in the process. And you indicated that you're making sort of steady progress. I've just been curious, has this extraordinary time led to more opportunity to accelerate or to expand? Could there be upside to Project Recode as we're currently understanding it? How are you thinking about the longer term?

Thomas Polen

executive
#21

It's going really well with Project Recode. I don't think we want to call upside yet, but we're very much on track with what we committed. So we shared there's really 3 major elements to it. One is network architecture, that's very much in line. We haven't accelerated that necessarily. Those are complex plant integrations. They're very much on track and they're fully funded and being executed. The portfolio simplification, simplifying our portfolio so that we can focus on driving sales in the most important products for customers and getting rid of some of the older ones that happen to take up more sustained engineering costs, regulatory requirements, take up inventory levels, et cetera, we've definitely accelerated that work due to COVID. It's actually a combination of EUMDR is a nice catalyst for that as well as having time with COVID, the marketing teams, in particular, across all 9 of our businesses, have dedicated resource driving that initiative. And then the third element of business process certainly has been continuing forward through COVID as well.

Frederick Wise

analyst
#22

Fair enough. One thing I -- you know that I've been interested in is looking beyond COVID, looking beyond this period, and I think both for Becton and others, what a normalized growth environment might look like. And you've talked about Becton 2025. How -- either one of you, how should we be thinking about your thinking there? And how would you have us frame normal growth top and bottom line margins? What are your aspirational goals? And how is that how is that concept evolving again as these months go on?

Thomas Polen

executive
#23

We've talked about that many times. Maybe, Chris, do you want to take that?

Christopher Reidy

executive
#24

Sure. So I would say, I'd point to, Rick, one of the reasons why we gave some sense of 2022 on the earnings call was to demonstrate that the base business is still solid and strong and growing. And so what we had said in 2022 was that base business would be able to grow mid-single digits. And that's before you take into consideration Alaris coming back. And obviously, that's a variable as to when it would come back in 2022. So taking that out of the equation, we think that the base business can grow that way. Now what happens to Veritor is another variable that we'll have to wait and see as how that develops. But we wanted to give a sense that the underlying business is strong. And I think that's an indication to the years beyond in '23, '24 and '25 that we can grow that base business in that ballpark. So that's one of the indications we want to give. So that's kind of how we're thinking about the underlying business. When you take out Veritor and Alaris coming back and all that kind of stuff, the underlying business is still strong.

Thomas Polen

executive
#25

And Rick, maybe just a bit more context is, of course, with the Bard acquisition, we shifted the growth rate of BD's underlying markets. So today, excluding kind of what's happening with the pandemic, markets are growing at about 4%, right? And that's higher than it was before BD and Bard came together. Of course, we had a strong pipeline coming into the pandemic. And as you know, we started the Growth and Innovation Fund, which is further accelerating investments in R&D. In addition to what we were already planning to invest in the Growth and Innovation Fund, we're using Veritor proceeds to further invest behind innovation. That's adding into the Growth and Innovation Fund beyond what we had planned at the beginning of the year. And then we've also shared, as part of our focus on strengthening our balance sheet and improving financial flexibility, part of the reason for that -- and our efforts around cash that I talked about are -- we are increasing our work on what I'll call inorganic innovation, tuck-in M&A. And you've seen us we did 6 tuck-in deals last year even in the middle of kind of the pandemic in the transition. That's actually the highest number we had done in the last 10 years from that perspective. And those are products that will drive growth in the future. We talked about some of those like point-of-care molecular platform or atherectomy, thrombectomy that we've gotten into or new digital solutions in our UCC business, creating smart Foley catheters. But we're continuing that work. You actually saw as already announce one acquisition in Q1 already of an alternate site software -- cloud-based software. It's a leading platform for moving Pyxis into the higher growth nonacute segment. That's very much in line with the strategy that we've been talking about around moving to where the care is heading outside of the hospital. And so we expect to continue to see those type of tuck-in acquisitions that are driving growth aligned with our strategy. And I think that combination of higher levels of R&D investment and then the robust pipeline we already have, combined with an increasing level of tuck-in M&A on top of solid growth markets that we already are playing in, give us that confidence around that mid-single-digit growth. And as Chris mentioned, we feel good about that for '22. And we would layer on top of that anything with Alaris coming back. Obviously, we would expect that to be incremental to that base of run rate.

Frederick Wise

analyst
#26

Just to pick up on that, Tom, one of the questions I want to ask you is this -- you've mentioned several times, and I think appropriately so, highlighting the pace of M&A since the start of the year. It's exciting. And that incremental tuck-in mindset, I think, is a good one. Is that pace -- are we likely to see that continue at the same kind of pace? Do you feel like the opportunities are there and we should imagine a pipeline? And do you have -- are you satisfied? This is one of the questions I want to squeeze in. I'm squeezing it in here. Do you feel like you have the right team of folks around you now to drive that process because that's a -- I feel like that's a change from maybe the BD of the past, that kind of outward not-invented-here mindset.

Thomas Polen

executive
#27

Sure. We do feel like -- so we've actually made some significant progress in developing our business development capabilities, both at the company level but also a number of new leaders in each of the businesses with dedicated M&A resources now at the business unit levels, which we didn't have in all cases historically. I'd say, obviously, Bard brought to us a very strong mindset around using tuck-in M&A and their approach to then bring those technologies in-house and iterate them. I think John DeFord was always well versed in saying 70%-plus of Bard's innovation pipeline came through tuck-in M&A that then they would do an amazing job at serially iterating. Might take Lutonix and then make a variety of different applications for the technology, different sizes, different locations. AVs, obviously, typical lower vascular uses, et cetera. So that's -- in that same spirit, we're accelerating those efforts inside of BD. And yes, we did spend quite a bit of time in FY '20 building those capabilities, building our funnel. And so we did come into '21 with a strong, robust funnel and we continue to be very active in that space. Only things, though, very much align with our strategy. The other thing we did in FY '20 as I was coming into the role is we took time to really step back and look at all the different markets that we played in today as well as those near adjacent spaces and which ones were the spaces where we believe that we can have a disproportionate competitive advantage, which markets were aligned with future health care trends. We're going to be growing above our market average. And so we prioritize each of those markets, those that we're going to be doubling down on both organically and inorganically, those that were kind of holding the fort on and those that we're de-investing from. And we've been reallocating both our organic pipeline, but also our efforts inorganically right in line with that work that we've done.

Frederick Wise

analyst
#28

That's exciting to hear. One thing I wanted to touch on today, maybe hoping to tempt you to expand on your comments on Alaris. I know -- Tom, I understand your reticence to say too much. But on the fourth quarter call, you emphasized your increased confidence in you're submitting in late fiscal second quarter or early third quarter. Any color on what's giving you that confidence briefly? But I thought one thing maybe that hasn't been explored is what's -- once it's approved from a demand sales action relaunch of Alaris or whatever the right words are, help us think about the impact, the contribution theoretically when that day, hopefully soon that happy day comes, how we should think about the relaunch of Alaris.

Thomas Polen

executive
#29

Sure. So as you mentioned and I said that I was even more confident in our submission timing for Q2, early Q3. I made that comment in on our last earnings call and certainly that remains very much the case. It's the reason why, obviously, we had another quarter of progressing our testing as planned, another quarter of dialogue with the FDA and feedback on our protocols, of which we've gotten all of that feedback. We had all that feedback at the time of the last earnings call. And so that's what gives us even greater confidence around that submission timing. In terms of when we do get Alaris back fully into the marketplace. So first off, we had commented that we don't expect any revenue from incremental revenue beyond what we're already providing for medical necessity, which will continue, of course, particularly with the pandemic, that will continue. And as we shared before, we placed over Alarises in over 1,000 hospitals, for example, in FY '20. We added to their fleet, particularly because of the COVID pandemic. And we would expect that we'll continue to add to their fleet in FY '21 but at a certain level. So we don't have a return -- a 510(k) approved version of Alaris returning in FY '21. We look towards '22 for that. The timing we'll confirm as -- once we get past the submission, we get a better sense of how it's progressing through the FDA. In terms of what do we think about in terms of pent-up demand, that will be an open question that, I think, let us get further through '21 to better understand. And the reasons for that, there could be variables. So last year in Q3, we did see a big peak in medical necessity orders because of the level of COVID. Obviously, that gave over 1,000 hospitals across the U.S. kind of a refresh in a way of some of their fleet. They have quite a few new Alaris units within their system. Depending on what happens as this peak occurs and as we go through '21 could have an influence in how many new pumps are added into the system in '21. Once we get past, I'd say, particularly this winter season, we'll have a better sense of how we think about '22 perhaps, particularly after the 510(k) approval.

Kristen Stewart

executive
#30

Rick, it's Kristen. I'll chime in here. But I think we also had mentioned on our earnings call that, at this stage, we don't think it would be prudent to model kind of that one-for-one return of demand or a big bolus immediately upon clearance. As Tom said, we have been shipping under medical necessity. And it also is unclear where hospitals' CapEx help may be at the time of our Alaris clearance as well.

Frederick Wise

analyst
#31

Very helpful. And maybe just -- we only have a couple of minutes left. But there has been an election. I think the outcome is clear. We'll see. But just at a high level for you, Tom, any implications that we should be thinking about for Becton? And maybe, Chris, to drag you in a little bit, should we be concerned about anything on the financial side related to tax rates or regulation or anything -- any early thoughts, positive or negative, either of you have that you want to share?

Thomas Polen

executive
#32

Yes. First off, obviously, probably the presidential election is one piece. The other one is who controls the Senate. At this point, it looks like 2 different parties may control the White House and Congress. That's still obviously to be determined and more to be understood as Georgia comes in the coming months. But assuming it is a split White House and Congress, I think that there may not be significant changes related to the number of the markets and the policies that we watch in particular. Most importantly, though, I think our policy priorities don't change at all, and that's around being able to bring innovative new medical technologies to market. That doesn't change regardless of who's in the White House or who controls Congress. And we're going to continue to be a key partner to the government's response to the pandemic as we are today.

Christopher Reidy

executive
#33

So Rick, to your question regarding tax rate, obviously, that's something we would watch. But if you think back to the last change of administration, what was said on the campaign trial was very different than what actually got enacted. So it's hard to look at that now. And again, very, very much a factor is who controls the Senate. So that's something to watch out for, but probably not something that will have an impact in the immediate future.

Frederick Wise

analyst
#34

Okay. Listen, on that note, thank you so much for taking the time. Really appreciate it. And thanks to you both, and thank you for joining the Stifel conference. Have a great day, guys.

Thomas Polen

executive
#35

Thank you, Rick, as always.

Christopher Reidy

executive
#36

Always a pleasure.

Frederick Wise

analyst
#37

Always a pleasure. Bye.

Read the full transcript via the API

You're viewing the first half of this call. Get the complete Becton, Dickinson and Company transcript — plus 248,000+ transcripts from 12,000+ companies, speaker segments, AI summaries and full-text search — through the EarningsCalls.dev API.

Get the API View API docs →

This call discussed

For developers and AI pipelines

Programmatic access to Becton, Dickinson and Company earnings transcripts and 248,000+ others is available through the EarningsCalls.dev REST API. Plans from $24.99/month — full transcripts, speaker segments, full-text search, and the recently-added /api/v1/transcripts/recent polling endpoint for ETL pipelines.