Charter Hall Group (CHC) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

August 21, 2025

ASX AU Real Estate Diversified REITs earnings 63 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Good morning, and welcome to the Charter Hall Group 2025 Full Year Results Briefing. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded today, Thursday, 21st August 2025. I would now like to hand the conference over to your host today, Mr. David Harrison, Managing Director and Group Chief Executive Officer. Thank you. Sir, please go ahead.

David Harrison

executive
#2

Good morning, and welcome to the Charter Hall Group Full Year Results for Financial Year '25. Presenting with me today is Sean McMahon, our CIO; and Anastasia Clarke our, Chief Financial Officer. Turning now to the group's earnings. Operating earnings for the full year was $385 million, which translates to a full year OEPS of $0.814 per security, growth of 7.3% over the prior year and consistent with the growth trajectory accelerating with today's FY '26 guidance of $0.90 per security, which represents 10.6% growth over '25. The group's return on contributed equity continues the multiyear 20% plus rate at 20.8% on a post-tax basis, further accelerating with today's FY '26 guidance. We have also continued 14 years of 6% DPS growth in FY '25 and have guided for a further 6% in FY '26. Group funds under management over the year rose from $80.9 billion to $84.3 billion, and property FUM has risen from $65.5 billion to $66.8 billion at 30 June. Acquisitions and development activity more than offset divestments with stable net valuation movements across the platform. During recovery cycles, we typically see asset value growth first driven by rental growth, then amplified by cap rate compression, typical in falling interest rate cycles. Our balance sheet remains in a strong position with 6% net gearing, which I note is based on tangible assets, a $2.7 billion property investment portfolio that is well diversified by sector, tenant WALE/lelease expiry spread, rent growth diversification and tenant credit covenant quality, something becoming more topical with corporate delinquencies throughout some parts of the alternative property sectors. We retained dry powder, both on balance sheet and $5.9 billion throughout the platform to take advantage of healthy vintage buying that exists, which will drive earnings growth across our 3 earnings segments. Growth in our wholesale investment management platform has been pleasing during the year with the $1.3 billion in equity raise for our prime industrial fund, CPIF. The CCRF $2.5 billion gross capacity launch announced in August, and our appointment to manage Challenger Life's $2.1 billion direct Australian property portfolio. This year, we celebrated Charter Hall Group's 20-year history as a listed A-REIT. During this evolution, we have moved into the ASX 100, getting close to top 50 by market cap, being included in the important global property REIT index, EPRA/Nareit grown our FUM from $1 billion at IPO in 2005 to $86 billion. But most pleasingly, we have driven earnings per share significantly from IPO to what is today's FY '26 guidance of $0.90 per security. As one would expect, the EPS growth has driven growth in our market cap from $264 million at the 2005 IPO, to $10.5 billion today. Over this period, CHC shareholders have enjoyed a 15.2% per annum total shareholder return, almost 2x the TSR of the whole ASX 200 and more than 2.7x the TSR of the ASX 200 A-REIT index, of which CHC has been a long-term constituent. We're proud of this track record delivering the highest TSR in A-REIT index over the last 2 decades, while sitting within the top 10 TSRs within the whole ASX 200 across all industries within that cohort of the ASX 200 companies listed during that 20-year period. Australia's population is growing at double that of the OECD average. Supply of new development in all of the sectors we operate in is below long-term averages and new supply is contracting as a percentage of existing supply in every sector. As demand continues to grow through economic expansion, this bodes well for strong rental growth for existing assets, particularly as many are independently valued well below their replacement cost. FY '25 was clearly the inflection point. We're now seeing transaction levels rising, property cap rates stabilizing after a period of expansion and market benchmarks returned in aggregate, returning to positive capital valuation increases. The Investment Management business secured $3.4 billion of gross equity inflows for the financial year, which is more than double the total gross equity raised for the 12 months in FY '24. Whilst in the first 6 weeks of FY '26, we have already secured gross inflows equal to the whole of '25. Gross transactions for the year were $6 billion or $6.1 billion with $2.9 billion in acquisitions and $3.2 billion in divestments. Acquisitions and development more than offset divestments. And moving forward into FY '26, we anticipate acquisitions to materially outpace residual divestments. We've delivered strong EPS growth over the last 10 years, as I mentioned earlier. And we continue to drive consistent distribution growth, which have averaged 10.4% per annum over the last 10 years. We continue to retain approximately half of our annual post-tax operating earnings, which we reinvest into growth in property and development investments, providing us with capital to originate, warehouse and co-invest alongside our external capital partners to drive total returns for CHC and its capital partners, which also drives growth in property funds management earnings. This self-funding growth model has avoided the need for us to raise new CHC equity for a decade. Slide 10 provides an overview of the diversity of our equity sources. We retain a total $84.3 billion in funds management with 75% of equity sourced from the wholesale or unlisted institutional sector, close to 15% from our 3 listed managed REITs, CLW, now virtually trading as its last stated NTA, CQR and CQE, both of which are well on their way to a similar milestone, whilst 10% of property funds management sits within our Charter Hall direct business with over 20,000 retail and high net worth clients and the largest footprint of unlisted real estate funds from this segment of investors nationally. Property funds under management grew from $65.5 billion to $66.8 billion during the year. Acquisitions and development more than offset divestments with valuations remaining stable. Since 30 June, our property FUM has risen further by 5% or approximately 5% to $69.4 billion. The launch of CCRF provides a further $1.5 billion of capacity to increase its initial scale of $1.3 billion, while subsequent closes for CCRF will likely grow equity inflows and hence, further capacity to grow the convenience retail fund portfolio via judicious acquisitions. Our appointment to manage Challenger Life's AUD 2.1 billion direct real estate portfolio is another important growth in our institutional investor roster, which now exceeds 125 institutional or wholesale investors in our unlisted wholesale property platform. Slide 12 displays our property funds under management platform in more detail. As you can see, wholesale investors provide about 70% of the entire platform, equity. The investment management business manages over 1,600 properties with 98% occupancy and a WALE of just under 8 years. We're Australia's largest manager in the office sector, largest third-party industrial asset manager and now also the largest in the convenience retail sector with $16 billion in total. It's also noteworthy that our social infrastructure platform has grown to about $4 billion in size or just under 6% of our total FUM. Turning to equity flows within our funds management business on Slide 13. With asset values below replacement value -- sorry, independent valuations below replacement value, severely constrained supply and a growing population, forecast returns are attractive across all of the sectors we operate within. We are seeing a reassessment by many of our clients of the risk reward available in many so-called alternative sectors, including private credit, meaning we have witnessed a growing appreciation of the attractive current vintage returns available in traditional well-managed core sectors in which we operate. We see an acceleration of this demand as interest rates fall and the sobering returns in some alternatives bring capital back to property core sectors. This trend is evidenced by the $3.4 billion of gross equity inflow we attracted in the whole of FY '25, doubling FY '24 and then further equity flows in the first 6 weeks of FY '26 of circa $3.2 billion. During FY '25, we secured 14 new wholesale institutional investors and have seen 41 existing wholesale investors invest further equity into the platform. We raised over $11 billion in gross equity inflows in '23, '24, '25 and the 6 weeks of FY '26. Slide 20 -- sorry, Slide 14 summarizes our current industrial platform with 7.2 million square meters of lettable area and about $26 billion in FUM, managing Australia's largest third-party managed industrial portfolio, Scale matters in most sectors, but particularly industrial, where major customers want to have multiple asset and multiple state relationships with their landlords. The platform is in excellent shape with a modern, highly occupied long WALE portfolio. Leases renewed over the financial year recorded an average 21% increase in passing rents. Our development pipeline remains exceptionally strong at over $6.9 billion with an accelerating land bank of planning approved sites that are yet to be committed. The recent $1.3 billion of equity flows into CPIF is indicative of continued investor demand for I&L. Slide 15 summarizes our office platform. We own and manage Australia's largest office portfolio at $24 billion and a whopping 2 million square meters of lettable area. To give you some context, it's the whole of the Brisbane CBD. During the year, we had strong leasing momentum with 227,000 square meters of lease deals across just over 200 transactions. Effective rents outpaced face rents with the platform retaining 95% of its tenant customers in their existing or expanded footprints. Our portfolio remains modern with a high occupancy of 96%, well ahead of market and many peers. Weighted average rent growth on leasing deals closed continues to be a healthy 3.6% per annum. Charter Hall retains significant capital each year, and this provides opportunity for our balance sheet property investment portfolio to take advantage of market conditions and acquire assets for long-term ownership and future capital partnering with our funds and partners. The credit quality of our office portfolio is second to none, with 36% leased to government and 1/3 of 50% approximately leased to high credit quality customers, ranging from all the major domestic and global banks 5 or 6 industry super funds and major corporates such as Amazon, BHP, Telstra, Suncorp, Amex, Shell, Endeavour and even our friends at Centuria sitting at the top of Chifley. Turning to Slide 16, we provide a snapshot of our convenience retail platform. This platform manages $12.4 billion in shopping centers and net lease retail assets or $16 billion if you include our long WALE Bunnings portfolio. We were pleased to announce the launch of the convenience retail fund recently with $1.8 billion in equity commitments, which gives a $2.5 billion of asset capacity, of which $1.3 billion is already secured. And note that several investors are in advanced due diligence for further commitments this calendar year. The convenience retail sector is an immense opportunity for Charter Hall. Whilst we are the largest owner, it is very fragmented from shopping center ownership through to net lease assets such as servos, pubs, Bunnings and the like. We have recently secured another $290 million long WALE portfolio on a sale leaseback from Bunnings, which has grown our overall Bunnings portfolio to approximately $4 billion. We've accelerated growth in pubs via the successful non-HBI Board recommended takeover of HBI, which has delivered strong net uplift in value and rents for CQR and Host Plus. We continue to grow the convenience shopping center portfolio with recent acquisitions, including the triple supermarket-anchored Chullora Marketplace Shopping Center, Waverley Gardens and Miranda Shopping Centers in Melbourne, whilst we are well advanced on other acquisitions. The sector provides a higher initial income yield than other sectors combined with attractive rental growth prospects and given the constrained future supply with most major supermarket anchors at all-time lows of new store rollouts, we see natural population growth and constrained supply providing really healthy returns going forward in this sector. Convenience retail within inner and middle metro locations in our major cities is becoming incredibly difficult to replicate given the dearth of available land with acceptable zoning, size and main road frontages required for a typical shopping center to succeed. The living or build-to-sell portfolio that we are cultivating and have secured significant planning approvals on several projects will further source convenience shopping center opportunities within these projects. On Slide 17, as Australia's population continues to grow, the need for all types of essential services is only going to rise. Our social infra portfolio has been quietly growing in recent years and now totals approximately $4 billion in scale, which is just under 6% of our total FUM. We have 100% occupancy within our assets on long WALE and the majority of our leases are triple or double net leases. Our listed REIT, CQE recently reported very strong uplifts on its market rent reviews of over 10%, and we are pleased to see its strong re-rate in the market over the last 12 months, joining CLW and CQR as top quartile TSR performers during 2025. Slide 18 covers our cross-sector tenant relationships. The top 10 -- 20 tenants of our platform represent 55% of the total platform income. Today, we have over 4,500 tenants collecting over $3.3 billion in net rent per annum. We were very active during FY '25 across a range of customer-centric strategies with our tenants. We've been busy renewing leases, expanding leases, expanding our tenant relationships across sectors. And as always, we are in constant dialogue on sale and leaseback opportunities, which continue to bear fruit for Charter Hall Group. With the increased national focus on productivity and improving company profitability, we anticipate sale and leaseback activity to accelerate as corporates drive their balance sheets harder to deliver growth for their shareholders. Maybe the same will happen with governments at all levels. Charter Hall has both the focus and capacity to be absolutely the provider of choice to our tenant customers and a solution provider, not just a landlord. With our insights, cross-sector scale and platform footprint, being able to enhance the productivity of our tenants through built form real estate strategies, we provide an attractive partnering opportunity for such customers, both existing and prospective. Partnering with our tenants on a long-term basis is a core pillar of our strategy. I won't dwell on the Slide 19 and the transaction slide other than to say it was another busy year with $6.1 billion in transactions. As I've indicated earlier, I don't expect this level of activity to slow down. Slide 21, we provide a snapshot of our property investment portfolio. $2.7 billion portfolio retains exposure to over 1,500 properties with a high 97% occupancy, a WALE of 7.6 years and a weighted average rent review of 3.2% on average locked into our leases. Cap rates remain broadly neutral over the year with the weighted average discount rate now sitting at a relatively high 7%. We're very confident with our office platform and in fact, have taken the opportunity to secure some high-quality, long WALE fantastic vintage acquisitions over the course of the last 12 months, which we are confident we will be able to then attract capital partners shortly. I'd also like to remind the audience that we use our balance sheet for both property investments, which may be a warehousing or short-term investment until we bring in capital partners. We also use it for development investments to create DI earnings. But most importantly, the vast majority of our portfolio over our 20 years as a listed group has been there to co-invest alongside our fund investors and partnership investors and in the REITs and in the direct platform to show strong alignment so that we're not competing with our fund investors. I'll now hand over to Sean to continue the presentation.

Sean McMahon

executive
#3

Thanks, David, and good morning to everyone on the call. Our development pipeline now totals $17 billion. Our development capability and track record has been a key strength of the group for over 30 years. Developed to own next-generational assets are highly accretive to long-term returns for our investor customers. Development activity continues to drive modern asset creation, providing property solution for our tenant customers and enhancing returns whilst attracting capital to our funds and partnerships to deliver on strategic objectives. Development completions totaled $0.9 billion in the last 12 months. And notwithstanding completions, the pipeline continues to be restocked and is currently $17 billion, a $3.7 billion increase over the half. There are currently $5.3 billion in committed developments with 79% of committed office developments pre-leased and 94% of committed industrial and logistics developments pre-leased. This financial year, we have generated a $3.9 billion pipeline with living and mixed-use projects that have now obtained strategic planning approvals, optimizing existing holdings and providing optionality to grow in the living sector. Noting David's previous comments on Australia's strong forecast population growth, we expect that the creation of new investment stock and opportunities for our investment management platform will continue to feature prominently. Turning to Slide 25. Over financial year '25, our industrial platform completed $879 million of developments with a WALE of 9 years. Two major new sites were acquired over the financial year, one in Brisbane, one in Melbourne. The combined completion value of these sites is over $740 million to be completed over the next few years on a staged basis. We currently have $2.4 billion in industrial development projects committed and underway. Our total pipeline of future industrial investment-grade stock now sits at a material $6.9 billion. Charter Hall has one of the largest industrial footprints in the nation, comprising over 20 million square meters of land, and we are focusing our efforts to maximize value for our investor customers from the land we own. Given the scale and diversity of our land holdings, there are multiple key data center sites existing within this industrial land bank. There are a number of data center sites in focus that are located within availability zones, we are in the process of unlocking significant power supply and associated planning approvals over the next few years. Importantly, we retain optionality to sell as powered land at a material premium to industrial land values or negotiate long-term ground leases with hyperscalers as we've done before or alternatively develop powered data center shells on a selective basis. The group has been active in the digital infrastructure space over the last 5 or so years and currently has $1.9 billion of FUM, primarily comprising of a portfolio of 37 Telstra data exchanges and other data centers along the Eastern Seaboard. Notably, our digital infrastructure portfolio of assets are 100% land value to capital improved value. This is very different to new generational data center assets in the broader market that have a land value of 5% to 10% of capital improved value, which naturally have significantly more terminal risk, unlike our existing digital infrastructure assets. Now turning to Slide 26. Today, we call out our largest iconic development underway, Chifley Square in Sydney, alongside other major office projects at 360 Queen Street Brisbane and 15 Sydney Avenue Barton. The Chifley precinct, which includes the existing North Tower and the South Tower where construction is progressing well, will eventually hold a value of approximately $4 billion. The project is Sydney's premier office address and will be Charter Hall Group's largest asset with a combined net lettable area of 110,000 square meters. This project is scheduled to complete in mid-'27 and is owned by various Charter Hall managed wholesale investment vehicles who are participating in the investment with the objective of long-term retention of this iconic asset. As you can see, the group has been busy delivering new high-quality office developments across Australia, anchored by government and Tier 1 tenant covenants. Turning to Slide 27. We continue to drive our industry leadership across all facets of ESG, demonstrated by recent GRESB global and regional awards with 18 of the group's funds in the top quartile and our listed entities achieving an A ranking under the GRESB public disclosure rating and a AA MSCI rating. Pleasingly, we have now installed 86 megawatts of solar power across our platform, and this equates to sufficient power for approximately 20,000 homes, and our green loans now exceed $8 billion. From July '25, our whole platform operates as net zero through existing on-site solar and renewable electricity contracts. I'll now hand over to Anastasia to discuss the financial results in more detail.

Anastasia Clarke

executive
#4

Thank you, Sean, and good morning. Before commencing on the actual results, I would like to update everyone to a statutory accounting change this period due to the group adopting the new accounting standard AASB 18, which will mandatorily apply in Australia from 2027. The standard introduces a new statutory operating profit measure and improves our statutory financial results disclosure by separating income from our co-investments, which are fund distributions from net fair value movements, which are primarily property revaluations. Charter Hall's segment operating earnings in the group's earnings summary on Slide 29 is not at all impacted by adoption of the new accounting standard. With application of AASB 18, the fair value of our listed co-investments in CLW, CQR and CQE are now carried at their listed closing trading price at balance date compared to each fund's underlying NTA. Prior year results in both the annual report and our presentation have been restated accordingly. At 30 June 2025, the overall statutory impact to the group is a lower reported NTA of $5.26 compared to what otherwise would have been $0.21 per security higher at $5.47, reflecting the trading price discount to each fund's NTA back at 30 June 2025. Operating earnings post tax of $385 million reflects strong growth on the comparable prior period of $358.7 million, particularly given the headwind of reduced funds under management at commencement of the financial year driven by negative revaluations and asset divestments. We have been able to hold top line FM EBITDA earnings flat despite some revenue reduction through expense savings from disciplined cost control measures taken in 2024. PI EBITDA contributed $292 million, growing 7.8% and DI EBITDA grew 11.5% to just over $40 million. Net finance cost has increased modestly to $114.6 million due to property investment deployment, increasing net debt, offset by lower weighted average cost of debt resulting from RBA interest rate cuts. Tax expense has reduced by $6.4 million because of capital efficiency initiatives, including the cross staple capital reallocation of $400 million during the year and the high proportion of the fully franked dividend of the distributions paid. Top line group EBITDA growth, coupled with net flat depreciation, finance and tax costs has contributed to the strong operating earnings growth in FY '25 of 7.3% FY '25 has seen the turning of the revaluation cycle with negative revaluations turning to a slight positive, resulting in Charter Hall reporting a statutory profit of $327.7 million compared to the prior year statutory loss of $217 million. The group's operating earnings post tax grew 7.3% to $0.814 per security. Distributions grew 6% to $0.478 per security. And when you add franking credits, both from the ordinary dividends paid and the noncash special dividend, security holders earned a gross DPS yield of 8.2% for the year despite the group maintaining a modest earnings payout ratio of 59%. Turning now to Funds Management earnings on Slide 30. Investment management revenue has reduced this year due to lower FUM at the commencement of the year and performance fees in FY '25 compared to FY '24. Property services revenue has grown 15%, primarily due to increased leasing volumes and associated capital works, which drive leasing fees and facilities management and project management fees and an overall increase in property management base fees. The benefits of the cost discipline initiatives undertaken in FY '24 are fully realized in FY '25, delivering net savings of nearly $20 million and a reduction on prior year net operating expenses of 13%. The lower FM revenue, offset by the operating expense savings have together delivered FM EBITDA of $271.5 million, in line with prior year. Now for some remarks on the balance sheet and return metrics. The group's balance sheet has grown as a result of net deployment into property investment during the year, which was funded from retained earnings and a reduction in cash held. The additional property investment and lower cash has resulted in a modest increase in gearing to 6%. The group maintains a strong financial position as reaffirmed by Moody's of the group's credit rating, Baa1 stable outlook. Available liquidity of $700 million provides substantial head stock investment capacity for further deployment into property investments. Return on contributed equity has increased to 20.8%, in line with operating earnings growth and a continuing focus by Charter Hall to maintain a capital-light balance sheet. Growing returns is fundamental to ensuring the business deploys our own and our partners' capital optimally. The group's disciplined focus on return on capital outcomes ultimately generates long-term value for our investors. Turning to the overall funds platform debt profile on Slide 32 to provide an update on liquidity and investment capacity across the funds. The group maintains $5.9 billion in cash and undrawn liquidity, which alongside committed equity is available for deployment into investment opportunities in each fund. The group has had a record year with our treasury team refinancing and sourcing new debt of over $13 billion of the $30 billion debt platform. This important activity continues to fund growth in the platform alongside equity capital deployment, but has also been astutely focused on widening loan covenant headroom, extending loan maturity dates and driving lower all-in margins and fees. Our lending partners, including both domestic and international banks, continue to increase their credit appetite to lend to the Charter Hall platform. The strength of the group has driven increased credit volumes with margins tightening by approximately 15 to 20 basis points. The combination of lower margins, expiry of historic low rate hedges Active targeting of market conditions to add competitively low rate hedging and RBA rate cuts have together resulted in containing the cost of debt to 4.5%. We expect our targeted activity and further RBA rate cuts to drive a lower [ WACD ] over time, becoming a tailwind to earnings growth in our funds. The group retains 8 investment-grade credit ratings with either Standard & Poor's or Moody's with platform average leverage stable at 36.9% and all balance sheets continuing to be prudently managed. In summary, the group has delivered a robust earnings result for FY '25 and is positioned well to continue its earnings growth trajectory across all business lines whilst remaining focused on maintaining strong balance sheets and investment capacity. I will now hand back to David to provide earnings guidance for the group.

David Harrison

executive
#5

Thank you, Anastasia. Turning now to Slide 34 and our outlook statement. I'm pleased to advise that due to strong performance within our Investment and Property Service business, today, we have announced strong EPS guidance growth. Based on no material adverse change in current market conditions, FY '26 earnings guidance is for post-tax operating earnings per security of approximately $0.90, which represents 10.6% growth over FY '25 earnings. I'd also note that this earnings guidance is without any expectation for performance fee revenue. FY '26 distribution per security guidance is for 6% growth over '25, continuing a 14-year history of consistent 6% annualized EPS growth. That now ends the prepared remarks, and I invite any of your questions.

Operator

operator
#6

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of David Pobucky with Macquarie Group.

David Pobucky

analyst
#7

Just the first one around the comments about the optionality to grow into the living sector. If you could please just expand on that a bit and the opportunities that you're seeing in the space.

David Harrison

executive
#8

Well, I think for some time, we've been saying that we've got quite a large captive portfolio of potential residential projects. We -- as we have done for years, we add to our development pipeline uncommitted projects when planning approvals are secured. We have secured planning approvals for a few different projects. The various outcomes of those will either be we introduce capital partners and do what are predominantly build-to-sell projects, some of the mixed-use that might have shopping centers sitting below residential. The other part of the strategy is to add value to assets that sit within the platform. And if those residential approvals provide an opportunity for us to bring in capital partners that are prepared to fund major residential projects, that's basically the way we're going to exploit it. But at all times, we're looking to add value to the assets that sit in the various funds. We've also got a pretty strong conviction around lack of supply. It's no secret Australia is in a housing crisis with a shortage of supply. And quite often, one of the reasons we have a competitive advantage is we have income-producing brownfields land that doesn't need its head off while you're going through the planning process. So that's basically how we're going to prosecute it. on various assets in the right markets nationally.

David Pobucky

analyst
#9

And just my second question around FY '26 guidance, not including performance fees. I just want to ask what's testing in the following year and what's accrued in performance fee-paying territory?

David Harrison

executive
#10

Well, we have, for years, provided a schedule of the dates that particular partnerships or funds have performance fee testing. So I'd just guide you to that.

Operator

operator
#11

Our next question comes from the line of Simon Chan with Morgan Stanley.

Simon Chan

analyst
#12

David, you just did the CCRF fund quite successful. Can you talk to us about inflows and I guess, interest from offshore investors into not just Australia but onto your platform? Like how are we viewed as a destination at the moment? And do you feel that interest from offshore is actually going to pick up and drive growth further over the next few years?

David Harrison

executive
#13

Thanks, Simon. Look, the convenience retail fund is no different to the other raisings that we've done over the last 12 months. We've completed a lot of inflow into our prime industrial fund, CPIF. As a rough rule of thumb, 50% to 60% of those equity commitments are domestic. And obviously, sort of 40% to 50% are offshore. As I said on the call, we finding both our existing customers and new investors, both offshore and domestically are seeing the same thing we're seeing. Australia screens on a risk return basis, one of the best markets in the world to invest in good commercial core real estate. And I think that appetite is going to accelerate. I think there's a -- what has happened in the last few years, the denominator effect has meant for most pension funds, sovereign funds, their listed equities portfolios have risen. Their real estate allocation has come down as a result of that denominator effect. We're also seeing quite a lot of our clients tell us that they're underweight office. And both -- universally, both domestic and offshore investors are telling us that they are massively underweight where they want to get to in convenience retail. For 3 decades, most institutional investors have sort of invested at the large end of the mall space, call it, the discretionary retail space, and there's been an awakening over the last decade as to the outperformance of convenience retail versus the large malls. You only have to look at the MSCI index where our convenience retail portfolios have doubled the TSR or IRR of the large mall funds in that MSCI index. So I think we're going to see an acceleration. We have some peculiar positive attributes about convenience retail in this country compared to many other major markets. And I think that's going to continue to attract foreign capital. And as I said, I think there's a very large, if you like, movement of particularly domestic capital moving down the food chain from the sort of discretionary end to the, what I would call, safer nondiscretionary convenience retail space. So yes, we're happy with the first close on CCRF as we do with all of our wholesale funds, there will be progressive equity closes. So I think that will grow in scale, both in terms of total equity invested and -- when we introduced modest gearing up to 30% in that fund, I think it will continue to evolve and will become one of our larger funds.

Simon Chan

analyst
#14

David, in previous conversations, you've mentioned about also a different product, a diversified fund. Is that on the back burner? Or is there no interest for that type of product at the moment?

David Harrison

executive
#15

No, I think there is interest. To be honest, I'd get knocked over in the rush if I had an unlisted wholesale version of CLW. Our concept of a diversified fund is obviously playing to our strengths. There'd be a lot of triple net convenience retail. Clearly, we're the largest player in prime office and third-party industrial in the country. So yes, we've got the capacity to create that. I think we chose to go with the convenience retail fund first, but a diversified wholesale offering, I think, is definitely on the cards and going to be attractive. And investors want choice. The MSCI index has shrunk from 3 diversified funds to 2. And I think investors are wanting more choice in that MSCI index, which is why we're sort of hopeful of CCF getting included in it. And I think we've already done some diversified partnerships, DVP1 and DVP2. And I do think there's going to be demand for what I call a charter hall style diversified wholesale fund, and that's something we'll continue to work on.

Simon Chan

analyst
#16

Potentially in F '26, David?

David Harrison

executive
#17

That's like asking me about compositional guidance, Simon, you know better.

Simon Chan

analyst
#18

Yes, you never give that. Yes, yes, yes. Good one. And just my final question for Anastasia. A fair bit of cost outs obviously achieved this year. You flagged that at the half year, too. Is this the new base now for you to grow off? Or will some of the -- or is it further cost outs? Like how do we think about that for '26?

Anastasia Clarke

executive
#19

Yes, it is, Simon. The '24 savings are fully reflected in the '25 figure. So it is a good base number for you to work from on a go forward. Now obviously, you got to apply certain levels of inflation assumptions to the nonemployee costs as well as wage growth to employees. And we're doing a little bit of modest investing in our front end of our business. But we've also been able to pass on inflation and wage increases through recoveries to our tenant customers. So we'd expect to continue on that basis.

Operator

operator
#20

Our next question comes from the line of Tom Bodor with UBS.

Tom Bodor

analyst
#21

David, just was interested in the -- just touching on the equity flows again. Fantastic to see good progress across CCRF this year. But I'm interested in when you think listed and direct business flows will pickup?

David Harrison

executive
#22

Look, in my career, it almost always happens that the direct flows accelerate as interest rates fall. If you look at the open-ended funds we've got in the direct business, if you invest in those, some of them are providing 8% to 9% distribution yields. That's attractive. The direct business has got a number of new fund offerings out in the marketplace, which we expect will attract capital. And in the listed REIT space, I don't think it matters in any cycle. I don't think REITs internalize, externalize, whatever you want to call it, can raise equity unless they're using that capital to drive earnings accretion for the investors. So as interest rates and the weighted average cost of debt keeps falling. We're seeing quite a wide spread between the yields you can buy on assets and the all-up cost of debt. And as the cost of capital for the REITs improves, I think the REIT sector generally will see equity raisings over the next 12, 18 months, but it's going to need to be for accretive acquisitions. Otherwise, there's not going to be support for them. So -- and so I won't sort of comment on our own REITs, but I think as a general comment, I think the REIT sector will move back into a phase over the next 18 months where those with the cost of capital that can use it and grow accretively through acquisitions, will get support from their investors.

Tom Bodor

analyst
#23

That makes sense. And then just a follow-up on the wholesale fund space. We've seen some pretty well-publicized press around potential changes in management rights at fairly sharp fees. I'm just interested in whether you're seeing any pressure across your own platform in the context of those fees being proposed by other managers looking to take management rights from competitors.

David Harrison

executive
#24

Well the first comment I'd make is that if you've grown your funds and delivered outperformance for your investors, you're not going to be on the same fee pressure that you're on if you're a Bruce manager and you've not performed or you've had a lack of high-quality governance. And then when you're out there trying to buy funds under management, the investors are going to be expecting you to accept lower fees because you haven't spent 20 years creating the portfolios in the first place. So I don't think those of us that are in the space where we don't have reputational issues or we have grown organically wholesale platforms and delivered for our investors have the same pressures that other, what I call bruise managers may have. So there's a lot of talk in the market around this leading to fee pressure. I just like to look at it as there's haves and have-nots and those that have delivered for their investors are going to be under less pressure. And we're certainly not interested in trying to buy business by doing it at cost recovery type fees. So I think we've got a franchise that can attract capital at a reasonable level of fees. And ultimately, all the beneficiaries of pension funds get tested on total performance, net of fees. So if you can perform and outperform your peers, then I think you're going to get equity support from investors.

Operator

operator
#25

Our next question comes from the line of Richard Jones with JPMorgan.

Richard Jones

analyst
#26

David, just in relation to CCRF, obviously, you've had lots of equity committed so far. Just wondering if you have a rough guide as to how much DD is still being done and how big that equity inflow could be with the existing investors still doing the work there?

David Harrison

executive
#27

Look, it doesn't matter whether it's CCRF or CPIF or CPOF. We've got prospective investors and existing investors doing DD all the time. In relation to CCRF, obviously, we had a first close. Not all of the interested investors could meet that timing. So as happened on every fund we've launched in the last 20 years, some people come in at second or third closes. And that's what's happening at the moment. As I said earlier, I think both domestic and offshore investors are accelerating their interest. And then there's going to be some investors, as I also said earlier, they're going to wait to liquidate investments they've got in other funds, not ours, but other funds. And as they get that redemption capital, they'll be looking to put it into convenience retail funds because I think there's a big demand shift to get set in the convenience retail space. As Ben Ellis outlined on CQR's results, operating metrics are as good as we've seen in decades in that part of the shopping center space. We obviously are very big believers in net lease retail being the biggest player in the country. So CCRF will have a sort of 80% target towards convenience shopping centers and up to 20% in net lease retail. And I think that's an attractive proposition. So I suspect I'll be sitting here in a year answering the same question saying, yes, we've got ongoing people doing due diligence on the fund.

Richard Jones

analyst
#28

And in terms of the opportunities for deployment, you've called out $2.5 billion as the current capacity at 30% gearing. How quickly can you put that to work?

David Harrison

executive
#29

Well, as we announced previously via both CQR and CHC announcements, we picked up another 3 shopping centers recently, a $290 million Bunnings sale and leaseback portfolio. It'd be very rare in Charter Hall for us not to be doing due diligence on something every week of the 52 weeks a year. So I'm pretty confident of deploying judiciously. We've got the largest transaction team across all sectors in the country, lots of opportunities. And I would say, let's say, unlike the larger end of the mall space, in the convenience retail space in shopping centers, it's a very fragmented market. There's a lot of syndicate and private ownership. If you look at -- we bought Chullora off a private family office. Waverley Gardens and Miranda were off syndicators. And a lot of the syndicators have closed-end funds and they have to sell at the end of their 5-year period or 6-year period. So we think the opportunities to grow in that universe are very strong. When I look at our $16 billion in convenience retail nationally, I reckon we're still less than 5% of the total universe of investable assets. So it's a big growth market. And yes, I expect that we'll be continuing to pick up assets from syndicators, private investors. And if you look at the history over the last 15 years, we've also done a lot of work on sale and leaseback with major retailers. And I think we'll continue to buy off other institutions. And so yes, so I think it's a multifaceted approach to sort of selecting assets. But -- as we've done in the evolution of all of our wholesale platform, just because we've got the capacity doesn't mean we're going to spend it stupidly. So we're pretty disciplined on what fits our criteria and the sort of pricing we're prepared to pay. So I don't think anything has really changed.

Richard Jones

analyst
#30

Sorry, just one more quick one. Just you gave some details around what you might do around the living center pipeline. Just interested in potential timing of deployment. We've seen obviously a number of listed real estate companies talk a lot about their resi pipeline, but probably not progress at all that much. Just interested in how prospective your pipeline is.

David Harrison

executive
#31

Richard, I'd prefer to just tell everyone when we've done it and we've started construction then speculate when we're going to do it. So it's -- I think I articulated how we're looking at it. So I'm not really going to provide any guidance on volumes and completions. I prefer to be doing it in the rear mirror rather than sort of providing future guidance on volume and timing of residential projects.

Operator

operator
#32

Our next question comes from the line of James Druce with CLSA.

James Druce

analyst
#33

I'll be quick because we're coming up on the hour. Just one for Anastasia. In your guidance, is the pretax EPS growth this year going to be in line with the post-tax EPS? Or are you still getting more tax savings coming through?

Anastasia Clarke

executive
#34

Nothing to call out, James, on the taxation line itself. We're going to continuously try and focus on discipline to contain the growth in it so that we're getting a positive jaws effect across all of operating earnings and therefore, having EBITDA outgrow our cost base, but nothing to call out on tax there.

James Druce

analyst
#35

All right. And David, just on divestments this year, is there anything to call out in terms of how we should be thinking about that line item compared to last year?

David Harrison

executive
#36

Well, I'll tell you what I tell all my investors, I think it's a great vintage to be buying assets, and I think it's equally bloody crazy to be selling assets. So we there potentially will be some divestments, but I don't think it will be anything like the volume you've seen in the last couple of years.

Operator

operator
#37

Our next question comes from the line of Suraj Nebhani with Citi.

Suraj Nebhani

analyst
#38

Just a couple of quick ones. Firstly, David, on the living pipeline, is it possible to identify which sites have been included? I know Press has quoted Elizabeth Street site going in potentially. Is it possible to just provide a bit more clarity there? And what's to come, I guess?

David Harrison

executive
#39

Well, it's obviously public knowledge because we did a media release on the Stage 2 approval on 201 Elizabeth Street. It's also public knowledge. We've got a planning approval on a large-scale project in Brisbane next to Bowen Hills station and walking distance to all the Olympic infrastructure that's going to be invested up there. And there's a few other sites. We've got a planning approved project at Westmead, which is the sort of third stage of a 3-stage joint venture development that we've done for years with Western Sydney University. And there's a whole range of other things that are not in that number that are not yet planning approved that will get planning approved progressively over the next 12 months. So that's the sort of color I can give you.

Suraj Nebhani

analyst
#40

Okay. And maybe just one quick one for Anastasia. There was like a big skew in property investment earnings half-on-half. Can you just help explain that, Anastasia?

Anastasia Clarke

executive
#41

We did have more divestment, if you like, in property investment in the first half, and we've actually today announced that we've exited our incubation debt strategy around private credit. So that was exited early. And then the deployment of PI over the period was actually much more weighted to December onwards, and that's why you're seeing that skew of PI earnings increasing in second half.

Suraj Nebhani

analyst
#42

Okay. So for '26, would you say second half is a reasonable kind of starting point?

Anastasia Clarke

executive
#43

It's very much opportunity led. So that's a better question for David.

David Harrison

executive
#44

Look, Suraj, as I've just said, I'm pretty high conviction on the cycle going forward. So we will be increasing our balance sheet deployment and driving PI earnings accordingly. And in virtually everything we've ever done eventually then brings in external capital and it gets recycled and it gives us further capital to further invest. So yes, we'd be expecting that to accelerate.

Operator

operator
#45

Ladies and gentlemen, I'm showing no further questions in the queue. I would now like to turn the call back over to Mr. David Harrison for closing remarks.

David Harrison

executive
#46

Okay. Well, first of all, thank you to all of our team here at Charter Hall. It's always so much fun doing results, particularly when you've got 4 listed REITs. So thanks to the team. And obviously, we look forward to catching up face-to-face with investors over the next couple of weeks. So we will undoubtedly talk again then. Thank you.

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