Cidara Therapeutics, Inc. (CDTX) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

September 21, 2021

NASDAQ US Health Care Biotechnology special 101 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Good morning, and welcome to the Cidara Therapeutics R&D Day. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this call is being recorded, and a replay will be made available on the Cidara website following the conclusion of the event. I'd now like to turn the call over to your host, Dr. Jeff Stein, President and Chief Executive Officer of Cidara Therapeutics. Please go ahead, Jeff.

Jeffrey Stein

executive
#2

Well, thanks for the introduction, Tara, and good day, everyone. Thanks so much for attending today's event. As you can see from the agenda, we will provide some robust updates on both of our rezafungin and Cloudbreak platforms. In between, we'll have a brief interval where you can submit some written questions, and Tara will provide the detail on how to do so. But we'll kick off the program with rezafungin. Taylor Sandison, our Chief Medical Officer, will provide updates on our clinical programs, STRIVE, ReSTORE and ReSPECT. And will be disclosing some new data from a recently completed drug-drug interaction study, which is going to provide a good segue into the presentations from Dr. Mark Levis and Dr. Kieren Marr of Johns Hopkins Institute, who will discuss the challenges in the management of patients with hematologic malignancies and especially in AML patients who are on more recently developed anticancer agents. We'll end the rezafungin section with a commercial update from Paul Daruwala, who will share his perspectives on the commercial opportunity, especially in light of this new unmet need in the management of cancer patients. We'll then turn to the Cloudbreak program, where our Chief Scientific Officer, Les Tari, will provide some updates on the expansion of the Cloudbreak platform into RSV, HIV and SARS. He'll then turn it over to Eric Simoes at the University of Colorado, who will discuss the growing unmet need for new treatments and preventatives in respiratory viral infections. And we'll end the session with an update by Les on the expansion of the Cloudbreak platform into a new arena outside of antivirals. So I'd encourage you all just to ground to the end of the program to hear that important update. So here's an overview of our 2 platform programs, rezafungin and Cloudbreak. Rezafungin is in 2 Phase III studies. In August, we announced the completion of enrollment of the treatment study. This is the ReSTORE study in the treatment of candidemia and invasive candidiasis, and we are on track to announce top line data for that program by the end of this year. The prophylaxis Phase III study, the ReSPECT trial continues to enroll, and we look forward to providing an update on time to top line data after we've activated some additional clinical trial sites. The Cloudbreak program, the most advanced program is partnered with Janssen Pharmaceuticals, and we will provide an update on that program as well as the expansion programs in RSV, HIV, SARS, and as I mentioned, in a new arena where we'll be sharing some new data. So a little bit more detail on our 2 partnerships, both of which provide a source of revenue as we advance both programs. And as notable that both of these programs collectively could provide up to $1.3 billion in value as we advance. So let's kick off the program with a rezafungin update. And as you will hear from Doctors Levis and Marr, there is a clear unmet need in the prevention of viral -- I'm sorry, fungal infections in vulnerable patients, especially those with hematologic malignancies. And in addition, there is a large unmet need and continues to be an unmet need in the treatment of fungal infections on patients on current standard of care. This creates a substantial global antifungal market opportunity. And despite that big opportunity and the unmet need, there has been a 15-year void since the last drug was approved for the treatment of candidemia and invasive candidiasis and in the prevention of invasive fungal infections in vulnerable patients. So with that, will turn it over to Taylor Sandison, our Chief Medical Officer. Taylor?

Taylor Sandison

executive
#3

Thanks, Jeff. So let's talk about the rezafungin development program. There are 2 initial indications we are pursuing. First is in treatment of candidemia and invasive candidiasis as you see on the left, and the second is for the prevention of invasive fungal disease in the allogeneic blood and marrow transplant population, as you see on the right. Next. So we're pleased to report that we have completed enrollment of our Phase III treatment trial in August, and we anticipate, as Jeff mentioned, to have top line results for the study by the end of the year. And we believe the likelihood of positive top line data has been derisked by the positive results from the Phase II STRIVE study. The Phase III study was designed to mirror the Phase II. So let's look at the Phase II. This was a double-blind, double-dummy randomized-controlled trial comparing rezafungin to caspofungin, which is the first-line therapy for candidemia and invasive candidiasis. The rezafungin to caspofungin was a 2:1 ratio in this case and assessments were done for clinical and mycologic responses at days 5, 14 and 30. Next. While not powered for noninferiority, the STRIVE trial demonstrated that rezafungin had comparable efficacy and safety to the first-line agent. We also saw superior time to negative blood culture and improve clinical and mycological outcomes at early time points. So let's take a closer look at the key data. So this is 30-day all-cause mortality. This is the primary endpoint for the FDA for our Phase III. And this is the reason why we feel confident of the potential for positive results for the Phase III. In this analysis, we took the results of the dose group that's being used in the Phase III trial from the Phase II data and asked the question, if we use that data, will we have achieved noninferiority? And the answer is yes, and by a relatively large margin. What you see here is that the total mortality for rezafungin at day 30 was almost 9% less than what was seen in caspofungin. And the blue bar is the 95% confidence interval for that point estimate. The size of that we expect to be considerably shorter with the larger sample size seen in the Phase II. The upper limit of that confidence interval would be needed to be less than 20%, which is in the red dash bar on the right there. So you can see there's quite a gap. And in fact, if that upper limit of the bar was less than 0, then we could have said that rezafungin was superior to caspofungin. Next. So this is time to negative blood culture data from the Phase II. Rezafungin and caspofungin are both echinocandins but there are differences that are important to note. So rezafungin is dosed once weekly with a high front-loaded exposure and caspofungin is dosed once a day. So we think that is the difference there that makes the separation between the 2 lines. So the high front-loaded exposure is the ideal PK/PD driver for echinocandins. Really, that's the best bang for your buck in treating these types of patients. And we think that accounts for the superiority that you see here in terms of clearing candida from the blood cultures in these sick patients. So here's a deeper dive on some of the early results. So what you see on the left is a percentage of negative blood culture achieved at days 1 and 2, about 20% higher in the rezafungin arm compared to caspofungin. Also, the day 5 overall cure was about 20% higher in the rezafungin arm compared to caspofungin. And we can hypothesize that better early outcomes may lead to improvement in later outcomes. In this case, we saw a reduction of 5 days in the ICU stay between the rezafungin arm and caspofungin. And while this was unexpected for the Phase II and we don't know if we'll see it in the Phase III, we'll certainly be assessing it and it will be an important finding for both doctors and hospital decision-makers if it is, in fact, confirmed. So here is the program will review for Phase III. You see the study design looks very similar to the Phase II. This is a double-blind, double-dummy randomized-controlled trial, again, comparing rezafungin to caspofungin this time in a 1:1 ratio, with the same days of assessment for outcomes on days 5, 14 and 30. Thus, we believe there may be because of the similarity in design, we believe there may be similarity in the results. So let's talk about prophylaxis. The Phase III ReSPECT study for the prevention of invasive fungal disease and specifically Aspergillus, Candida, Pneumocystis in allogeneic [Technical Difficulty] to achieve the 12.5% noninferiority margin. The primary outcome will be fungal-free survival at day 90. Here's the current standard of care. All of these agents that you see here, the azoles, there's a lot of heterogeneity in there, the Bactrim, the dapsone, the atovaquone they all have worrisome toxicities that could impact the patients. So the idea is to replace all of these potential problematic agents with a single, safe, simple weekly dose of rezafungin. This is the study design for ReSPECT. This is also a double-blind, double-dummy randomized-controlled trial comparing rezafungin to the comparator arm, which are azoles or Bactrim the standard of care in a 2:1 ratio, with the primary endpoint of fungal-free survival at day 90. If successful, this could change the way BMT patients are prophylaxed and could also inform potential future use in studies in the leukemia lymphoma population who also require anti-fungal prophylaxis, but are now saddled with drug-drug interaction issues between azoles and some of the newest chemotherapeutic agents. So at this point, Dr. Levis and Dr. Marr will now discuss the unmet need for appropriate antifungal prophylaxis in the leukemia and lymphoma populations. Dr. Levis?

Mark Levis

attendee
#4

Thanks so much. I hope you can hear me. My name is Mark Levis, and I run the leukemia service here at Johns Hopkins, and so I thought I would give you a brief overview of what Kieren and I are dealing with in these patients. Next slide. So I show this to my incoming fellows every year to give them a grasp of this disease. We're talking about acute myeloid leukemia, AML, not a very common disease seemingly, comparing it with lung cancer, literally 10%. But across the street from me is an entire floor devoted pretty much to these patients. It's a very different disease than the typical cancer. I've shown here the age range. You can get this disease, in fact, they are pediatric patients. This disease occurs from age 10 to age 100. Yes, it's peaking in kind of working or near retirement adults. But it occupies a great deal of energy of any major medical center that treats this disease. Next slide. You want to think of us now as a trauma center. It's very analogous to that. So right now, this morning, I have asked for an urgent transfer from a patient from 2 hours away. Patients with AML are treated at these leukemia centers, regional areas, again, kind of like a Regional Trauma Center. I will occasionally have patients transferred by Medevac helicopter rapidly here. Because of the sort of catastrophic presentation, they can die of a very rapid white blood cell count, rising and clogging up their blood vessels or the opposite and low blood cell count causing infection. We just had a patient who stroked from low hemoglobin, low platelets causing bleeding. You've got to get these patients here rapidly, treat the disease quickly, put it into remission, and that comes with consequences of that treatment. But again, kind of think of a trauma center. Next slide. So here at Hopkins, it's about 180 new patients like this patient coming from 2 hours away per year, typically newly diagnosed coming for immediate therapy. And about half of them are what we call non-intensive. So even though this patient is coming urgently, we're probably going to treat her and I'll mention her in a moment, non-intensively, but quickly. The hospital stay is a month. We just kind of tell patients, you're going to be here for a month. And again, most of them are AML, but there are there's other subtype ALL. And again, we also see lots more that come here for second opinions that then go for bone marrow transplant. Next slide. So this is sort of the typical journey that a patient coming to our center undergoes. There's this first very exciting first month or 2 months, when they're coming to us sick, trying to die, we're trying to get them through an intensive course of treatment to put them in remission. And then about half of our patients are going to end up being referred for a bone marrow transplant. So we're giving them more chemotherapy while we're arranging that. And then towards the end of that 6- to 9-month period, they're undergoing a bone marrow transplant. Those that donor to go bone marrow transplant may continue on therapy either for months or even years. Next slide. Now if this 80-year-old person who's coming to us this morning, says, "No, I don't need any treatment. I'm not -- this is pointless." This is their expected survival. We just looked at a glance of 27 patients who kind of refuse therapy and the death rate is, you're dead in 2 weeks. This is not a typical slow-moving solid cancer. This disease will kill you quickly. Next slide. So this is the normal standard of care intensive therapy for a fit adult, meaning typically somebody under age 70 or 60. It's a regimen that's 50 years old, continuous infusion, high-dose chemotherapy. We basically reboot the entire bone marrow. AML is a bone marrow cancer. We reboot everything and then hope the good stuff grows back. We'll give an enormous dose of chemotherapy over the first week. Look on day 14, if the patient hasn't gotten so sick, they couldn't get more therapy. And if there's any residual leukemia, we'll actually give another slug of this stuff. And with this, we'll put 3/4 of patients in remission with our first try. Next slide. But this is the new thing. So this 80-year-old that I'm transferring from 2 hours away this morning, when I was a fellow decades ago, we would have said you were going to hospice my dear. We'll give you some transfusions, but you're going to die soon. That's not true anymore for 2 reasons: One, we have nonintensive therapy; but 2, coincident with that over the decades, and Kieren has been a large part of this, supportive care. Back to 20 years ago, I would be having to treat my patients up on the floor right now with this dreadful drug called amphotericin. We called it amphoterrible. It was incredibly toxic. It was one of our most important antifungal drugs, but it seems to be as toxic on the human as it was on the fungus. So now fast forward to today, what I'm showing you here is a trial proving a survival benefit for this new regimen. We call it [ Ace of Ven ] Venetoclax. And it clearly offers this 80-year-old coming to us. We're going to treat her with that. But we've got to get her through the next couple of months without her dying of infection, fungal infection being a principal one. And so I'm going to now turn it on over to Kieren.

Kieren Marr

attendee
#5

Good morning, and thanks, Dr. Levis for that review. It's my privilege to work for the Transplant and Oncology Infectious Disease Program at Hopkins. And as part of that role, it is my job to make sure that when Dr. Levis is treating leukemia that those patients don't die of infections. And there's a tension between the treatment of leukemia and the prevention of infectious diseases that I'm going to review that has become really much more of a dilemma while we've introduced more drugs to treat leukemia. Next slide, please. This table outlines in general, some of the infectious risks that are of concern, while we treat different diseases: AML, ALL, MDS and CLL. What I want to outline here is that even with the new and especially with some of the new regimens, there remain high risks for multiple kinds of infections, bacteremias, viral infections, and substantially fungal infections, which are associated with a very high mortality rate still, unfortunately. And because of that, we have, over the last several decades, addressed this problem by applying drugs prophylactically in people with high risks. Prophylactically, meaning before they have this infection, both because of diagnostic limitations and because of therapeutic limitations while we're trying to treat leukemia. So you can see here that AML and ALL are both higher risk conditions regardless, essentially of the therapies being applied, those are patients where we need to give antifungal prophylaxis to prevent candidal infections, mold infection, predominantly aspergillosis. And in some patients, pneumocystis, pneumonitis as well as CLL. Those are patients who have reasonably high risk with multiple different regimens as well. Next slide. Now the standard that we've been using for the last 20 to 30 years comes from the azole class of antifungals. Fluconazole started as the winner in prophylaxis because it did very, very well at preventing candidiasis. And in the 2000s and specifically in about 2007, 2008, we shifted some emphasis to the mould-active azoles, especially after this drug posaconazole was shown to prevent invasive fungal infection and improved survival in a randomized study that applied posaconazole to the other azoles in people with leukemia. There was also a partner study that showed similar effects with patients with bone marrow transplants that had graft-versus-host disease. Next slide. Now the problem is that these drugs are metabolized and significantly inhibit metabolism through the cytochrome P450 system in the liver. In some of these new drugs and especially venetoclax that Dr. Levis just described as a very valuable addition for treatment of AML. And venetoclax-based induction is used in about half of AML cases. This drug is metabolized by the cytochrome P450 system 3A4, such that other drugs that can inhibit that enzyme will lead to very high levels of the drug that can cause excessive toxicity. On the flip side, and as we try to resolve this tension of needing azole and venetoclax at the same time, it's been recommended that we can decrease the dose of venetoclax, but underdosing venetoclax may lead to treatment failures for the anti-leukemia effect. And so for these reasons, the field has largely shifted to echinocandins as the currently recommended antifungal prophylaxis for patients who are receiving venetoclax largely because it doesn't interfere with cytochrome P450 metabolism. However, those currently approved echinocandins have potentially an adequate anti-mold activity and all of them require daily IV infusion, which presents a substantial problem for people who need treatment for a long term. Next slide, please. And venetoclax is not the only problem. This is an exciting slide of many of the new drugs that have been introduced for treatments of hematologic malignancies. They've been -- there's a number of them that have been made by a number of different companies, and these are all drugs that interact with azoles to some degree, having the effects shown and the recommended actions in order to reduce toxicities that are associated with concurrent administration. The 2 of the most important right now that we're struggling with our venetoclax is we're emphasizing in this discussion on AML as well as ibrutinib, which is increasingly used for conditions such as CLL. In those -- with those 2 drugs, they recommend a substantial dose reduction of the venetoclax through the ibrutinib, if we're giving concurrent azoles. Next slide. So a lot of centers avoid those drug interactions by not giving the azole prophylaxis. So if we go back to Mark's patient who is receiving an induction period followed by multiple consolidations over a matter of months, what we're doing is we're giving these patients drugs IV echinocandins typically during periods of high risk with neutropenia. And if that patient is diagnosed with an invasive fungal infections, we may be forced to move to an azole in which we'll have to hold or dose reduce the anti AML therapy that can also be associated with bad outcomes with regards to our therapy for AML. Essentially, these patients are going on and off, on and off of antifungals, and we're seeing a lot of different problems with breakthrough infections as well as the potential toxicities associated with drug interactions. Next slide. So what do we need? We think we need an antifungal that has activity against Candida and Aspergillus. These are the most common and important infections in this patient population. And now we need the kinds of drugs that are not metabolized by the cytochrome P450 system and have, I would say, few or no drug interactions. However, we need to be able to administer them for the long period of time that these patients are getting these therapies if that's a daily drug, then it has to be IV and oral, so the patients can remain on the drug through periods of extensive risks even as an outpatient. And if it has a longer half-life, it can be IV, if we can enable weekly infusions. We also need few or no toxicities because the risk-benefit ratio for preventative drugs really needs to be in favor of a safe and non-toxic, antifungal medication. Next slide. So here, I'll hand it over to Dr. Sandison to talk about the DDI studies for rezafungin.

Taylor Sandison

executive
#6

Thanks, Kieren. So Kieren and Mark just described how the drug-drug interactions of azoles and the new chemotherapeutic agents cause a necessary reduction of chemotherapy doses in some cases, if you give them together, but it also causes a 1 to 2 log increase in the exposure variability of those chemo drugs, leading to increased risk of toxicity and increased risk of treatment failure. So the need for improved antifungal prophylaxis with drug-drug interaction -- without drug-drug interactions and without toxicities is clear. And to that end, and in preparation for future studies in the leukemia and lymphoma population, we just completed a drug-drug interaction Phase I clinical trial, looking at the effect of rezafungin on common chemotherapy drugs known to have substantial azole interactions. So next slide. So we start with -- I'll show you a couple of the results here. This is venetoclax. And again, just to give you an idea, az -- this, we're combininig with an azole, you'd expect a 5-fold or more increase in the levels of venetoclax when given with an azole. This is venetoclax alone in the gray line. Then you see venetoclax with rezafungin in the blue line. They basically overlay each other and demonstrate minimal to no interactions that would require a change in the chemotherapy dose. The same is seen for ibrutinib, again, if you go to the next slide, again, ibrutinib would expect to be 5-fold higher when given with azoles. So this is within 15% of the exposure, so minimal difference and the same amount of variability. Ibrutinib is a relatively variable drug, so the same amount of variability given with and without rezafungin. So we do not expect that this is a clinically meaningful interaction and no dose change would be required. So certainly, this kind of paves the way for us and looking to the future in terms of how we might look at rezafungin to be used in future studies, and the leukemia and lymphoma population. So with that, I will end, and I'll turn it over to Paul to talk about rezafungin commercial.

Paul Daruwala

executive
#7

Thanks, Taylor. All right. Next slide. So I have a 2-part talk. The first one is going to dovetail a bit on what Kieren and Mark and Taylor were discussing, and the second one is really the meat of the presentation that I'm going to give, which focuses on the rezafungin market potential. So the first area, if we can go to the next slide. I'm going to harp on this a little bit more because it's so important not just from a clinical perspective, but also potentially from a commercial one or an interesting angle. So as was noted, contraindications with azoles often require dose reductions of the oncology therapy by 50% to 88% to levels not well studied, not particularly helpful reassuring or potentially even effective. The growing number of drugs in the hematology setting is actually making the problem worse. So Kieren showed a list of currently approved drugs. This is showing you a number pulled from clinical trials of drugs in the pipe for AML, ALL and CLL, many of which may have similar interactions with azoles. And so this problem is not going away clinically and maybe getting worse. So we asked the question, do these dose reductions not just have a clinical dilemma, but is there a potential commercial one? And many of these companies selling these drugs are facing an interesting issue. So next slide. We took a look at 2 of them, ibrutinib and venetoclax. We look at the potential sales here that are forecasted $15 billion or more in 2027. And I'm just going to leave you with a question, which I think is an important one. which is what could the sales of these drugs have been or could they be without dose reduction and more importantly, could care be improved. And so we think there's an opportunity here potentially for rezafungin. So I'll leave you with that, and let's get into the forecast. So next slide. I'm going to start with treatment like Taylor did and then I'm going to move to prophylaxis and give you a little bit of an example forecast walk-through for illustrative purposes, and I think it will be helpful and informative, and we could take questions when we're done. So there are clear potential advantages of rezafungin in the treatment setting. And to highlight -- rehighlight the ones that Taylor mentioned, obviously, rezafungin is a once-weekly drug, but it's much more than a convenience play commercially. The front-loaded dosing of rezafungin does provide some opportunities for differentiation versus daily echinocandins in the sense that you're giving more drug at the site of infection, potentially clearing drug faster and getting a deeper tissue penetration for deep-seated infection. That also enables the opportunity for early discharge from a hospital, which is not just a pharmacoeconomic potential benefit, but also a safety one, getting patients out of the hospital earlier, and then the very obvious benefit of the continuation of echinocandins use into the outpatient setting for the treatment of candidemia or invasive candidiasis. Very difficult, challenging and not cost effective with daily echinocandins. Next slide. So when we have a look at the forecast, I have to be somewhat conservative in, let's call it, a base case, but we're going to assume for the purposes of this walk-through that restore our Phase III trial meets its 20% non-inferiority margin, and we do not have any other benefits, let's call it, some of the upsides that we'll talk about. So next slide. So this is kind of an important walk-through. The rezafungin fifth year example forecast you're going to see here as I walk through it. First, we're going to start with the inpatient setting. So roughly in the U.S. every year, there are about 1.6 million patients treated for suspected or documented candida or fungal infection in the inpatient setting. And some of these patients get more than one drug, so it's 1.9 million treatments. We're anticipating a targeted use in the inpatient setting for a variety of reasons of 1.5% share of the entire market in the inpatient setting. So it seems small, and there's some reasons for that. We know how challenging the inpatient setting can be from a reimbursement perspective, from a market access perspective. Next. So who are the patients likely to be on rezafungin? So Taylor talked about those being studied in the trial are those with documented infection, so they are not those with suspected infection. And if you look at the use of echinocandins today, the daily use of echinocandins, much of that use is for suspected infection. That's not what we're going after. That's empiric therapy. When a patient has a documented Candida infection, that's when rezafungin can come into play. We anticipate that around the time of launch, the most likely use is in patients who are stable, who have an isolate, that is azole nonsusceptible so they need an echinocandin versus being stepped down to an azole like fluconazole. And there's a possibility for early discharge, again, the safety and pharmacoeconomic benefit that rezafungin can enable. The payers in this setting, clearly, it's Medicare or commercial payers and the system that is enabled here is what we call a DRG or a diagnosis-related group, which is basically a capitated rate that the hospitals get paid for each patient. If the hospital ends up having to extend the hospital stay or pay too much to care for that patient, they lose money. And that's often the case, in fact, most often the case for patients who end up with a fungal infection, unfortunately. So the opportunity here to discharge patients earlier is clearly an interesting one, pharmacoeconomically and more importantly, for the benefit of the patient. Next. So I'm shifting to outpatient now. So roughly 40% of patients who are on a systemic antifungal for candida in the inpatient setting are put on one in the outpatient setting. So they're given a script at discharge. Typically, it's fluconazole because it's pretty cheap. Now that said, there are patients today, roughly, we believe, about 30,000 of them or more that get discharged on a once-daily IV echinocandin into the outpatient setting. So our contention is that many of those patients are the ones that we would typically get. Again, these patients are those that are azole nonsusceptible, so you can't step down to fluconazole and that's the main driver for the use of outpatient echinocandin. And then there are those that are azole intolerant or they have drug interactions or they're likely to be noncompliant on an oral therapy. In this setting, the -- there's the payer incentives change, let's call it. So Medicare and commercial are still the payers here. Under Medicare, IV infusion drugs like rezafungin are going to be reimbursed under Medicare Part B. Interestingly, the reimbursement there allows for infusion clinics to be incentivized to have a reimbursement that gives them 6% on top of the average sales price. So there is some benefit to the infusion for them versus, say, an oral med. So that creates a nice pull for rezafungin in that outpatient setting. Similarly on the commercial side. So that's an opportunity, and let's call it a lower barrier to entry in the outpatient setting with more incentives for rezafungin. It's an important commercial aspect here that we will be focusing on at launch and important to dive into further. So obviously, here, there are 2 kinds of patients those who would have started rezafungin in the inpatient setting and continue and those who would have started rezafungin in the outpatient setting as some clinicians and hospitals will decide to use a daily echinocandin until the last day of hospitalization and then give an infusion of rezafungin as soon as they step out. The average duration in this setting is about 2 weeks on an IV echinocandin. So that's what we've assumed for the forecast. Next slide. So what does this translate into in terms of a sample revenue build? I'm focusing on the 2 blue lines on the left, so the ReSTORE trial enables an opportunity for sales of 5th and 10th year sales, you can see here. So 10th year sales of $191 million in inpatient setting and $202 million in the outpatient setting after 10 years. It assumes a relatively moderate sized sales force, no serious warnings or precautions at launch in 1Q '23. And an assumed price of $2,700 for the 400 milligrams and a linear price of 200 milligrams thereafter, which would be $1,350 for the subsequent weeks. Next slide. So that was under the assumption that forecast -- if you will, was under the assumption that ReSTORE meets the 20% non-inferiority margin and had no other advantages. So that's our base case, and that's how we laddered up to those current sales with the current share assumptions for illustrative purposes. Here, I'm not going to walk through numbers, but I do want to put forward the idea that if ReSTORE looks a lot like STRIVE, where we did see some other benefits maybe unexpected, for example, and probably most importantly, the shorter ICU stay, we would anticipate that, that helps with hospital access. That's actually quite an important pharmacoeconomic benefit as every day in the ICU, you could save $3,000 or $4,000 for an institution and clearly put patients in a better place. So that actually would be quite an interesting upside from the Phase III if it's significant and if it looks similar to Phase II. The upside -- or the ultimate upside is superiority on the all-cause mortality, primary endpoint as defined by the FDA and that obviously would be quite significant as no echinocandin has been proven to be superior to any other in any major study. So let's shift to prophylaxis. So here, there are clear potential advantages of rezafungin as well, but they're different. As was, I think, discussed quite eloquently by Mark and Kieren and Taylor, the differences here are really around safety and tolerability and coverage and spectrum. So while we're not comparing ourselves directly to echinocandin in this setting, as Kieren pointed out, daily administration is challenging, not ideal, especially for patients who have that patient journey that goes on for potentially months. They also don't have Pneumocystis coverage in their label are well studied. That's an important differentiator. But the main competitors that we're really looking at in our Phase III, as Taylor outlined, our fluconazole and posaconazole and Bactrim, which is for Pneumocystis. So we're taking on 3 drugs with 1. The differences here really focus on fluconazole in the early part of that trial is -- does not cover molds, so whereas rezafungin does. That's a really important differentiator versus posaconazole, the Spectrum advantage here is that they don't cover PCP. So you have to add Bactrim to the mix. But as was noted, I think, in quite some detail, there are significant drug-drug interactions with posa. So there are other issues that we have advantages on from a safety and tolerability perspective. Next slide. So where does that net us out? We have the opportunity to have sales that build here on top of treatment with a prophylaxis indication in the BMT setting for the ReSPECT trial, you can see the sales here. And layering on top of that, as we further study the drug, there are opportunities for additional sales in the patients undergoing chemotherapy that, Mark, laid out such as AML and also those undergoing solid organ transplant, especially liver and lung transplants who are oftentimes at very high risk for fungal infections. Next slide. So I'll end with this. I think for those who love to dive into the numbers, there are multiple ways to triangulate, estimates and forecasts. I'm just giving you one here. I've used 2 analogies or examples: 1 is for treatment. If you look at the CRESEMBA launch, which is the latest antifungal to really launch in this arena. CRESEMBA launched with a treatment label, albeit in Aspergillus and Mucor for the treatment of those 2 pathogens. Those sales netted out to be $163 million in the fifth year versus what you can see for our estimate here about $180 million. So not too different in the fifth year. And I will point out that CRESEMBA launched into a genericized market with voriconazole being essentially generic at that point. It launched without a prophylaxis claim. It was forced to market. So you can see some of the analogies aren't too different from some of the ones that we're going to be facing. And yet, they've done pretty well, and that's in the U.S. alone. In prophylaxis, the other analogy we like to look at Noxafil or posaconazole, really is the mainstay, as Kieren pointed out, the U.S. sales laddered up to about $370 million in the U.S. alone. And that was with prophylaxis label. So we're looking at sales at about $350 million estimate, which is not too dissimilar in that 10th year. So hopefully, that helps to triangulate the forecast. And I'll end there. And with that, I turn it back to Tara.

Jeffrey Stein

executive
#8

Okay. So before we jump into the Cloudbreak section, we'll do our interim analysis and provide an opportunity for some questions. Tara?

Operator

operator
#9

Thanks, Jeff. At this time, we'll be conducting our first question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]

Jeffrey Stein

executive
#10

And Tara, I see, we do have 3 questions that we can jump into right now. The first is, would it be possible to show superiority in your Phase III study for ReSTORE? Taylor, do you want to address that one?

Taylor Sandison

executive
#11

Yes. It's certainly possible. What you saw from the data from the Phase II for the 400, 200 dose, if that was with the same end that we got in the ReSTORE -- for the ReSTORE study in the same data we would have achieved superiority. However, there's no guarantees for this. Every study is different. Whether do we expect that? I would not -- I wouldn't say so, but it's certainly a possibility. And given the similarities in the study, we hope to see something similar.

Jeffrey Stein

executive
#12

Taylor, you may want to elaborate a bit on -- in our analysis. Do we have a prespecified analysis amongst the secondary outcomes?

Taylor Sandison

executive
#13

Yes, we do. So yes, so for -- the primary outcomes of -- for the U.S. and Europe of all cost mortality and global response, we have a prespecified superiority analysis. And if those are achieved, we also have a prespecified superiority analysis in invasive candidiasis patients because of the improved tissue distribution, we think, for rezafungin. And separate to that, we will also be looking at time to negative blood culture.

Jeffrey Stein

executive
#14

Great. Another question, again for you, Taylor. Do you have any examples of other similar drugs where front-loaded dosing confers greater benefit?

Taylor Sandison

executive
#15

Yes. So it's a good question. I think most of the antibiotics are time over MIC, which is a different paradigm, different efficacy driver. But there are drugs like quinolones and macrolides and daptomycin that require -- that are about concentration. So it's a combination of the AUC that the overall concentration exposure and Cmax. So that's really what we're talking about. We talked about the high front-loaded exposure. It's the combination of the total exposure over the amount of time as well as the high Cmax that you get with so much rezafungin. These other drugs, they're dosed to maximize those effects, but of course, they don't have the half-life that rezafungin has. So because of the weekly half-life and the fact that it's not really metabolized to a great degree, we can give -- safely give very high exposures that really kind of accentuate those PK/PD-drivers of echinocandins.

Jeffrey Stein

executive
#16

Great. Another question. How important is pharmacoeconomic data to hospital decision-making? And perhaps we'll throw that to both Paul and Kieren.

Paul Daruwala

executive
#17

Okay. I'll go first. And so it depends, right? So for some institutions, extremely important. For others, not as much. And so the reality is that even if you have a superior drug in some cases, you may end up with a small market share, and it's just the economics of hospital decision-making, and it's the unfortunate reality, right? So I think we know that, which is often why we choose a conservative market share. That said, the pharmacoeconomic benefits, particularly as it relates to early discharge and the potential to actually save ICU beds, which is why you saw there is an upside, is quite important. And so we think that, that pharmacoeconomic benefit has to be linked to a clinical 1 as well, which is that extended hospital stay is not helpful, right? And we all know that. And so there's an opportunity to both have a clinical benefit as well as a pharmacoeconomic one. And so I'll turn it to Kieren.

Mark Levis

attendee
#18

Actually, I could chime in there. I sit on the formulary committee for when drugs are getting put on to our formulary like this. And yes, the exact price at each dose is listed very prominently in that committee. There's no way this drug wouldn't get pass that formulary. We actually put it almost as a form of the price and then, okay, enough of that. Does the drug work. Oh, yes, we want it. So I don't think it would have any impact. We'll take note of the cost. But if we think the drug has a medical use, which I think this one would easily, the cost is simply made note of.

Jeffrey Stein

executive
#19

Great. Great. One additional question here is how important is the pharmacoeconomic -- we answered that one. Can doctors comment on how important once weekly dosing is versus once daily? And Kieren, I know you made a comment on that. Would you care to address that one?

Kieren Marr

attendee
#20

The daily dosing for IV drugs is very problematic if treatment is for a long period of time. So that occurs in bone marrow transplant and AML patients that have persistent risks as well as organ transplant recipients. And so being able to give a drug once weekly in that scenario, especially if it's for a long-term therapy or preventative indication, that would be a real plus.

Mark Levis

attendee
#21

I can't even begin to say how important it is. I'm literally sending somebody out today on daily IV echinocandin, okay? These patients with AML and bone marrow transplant, they already have a central line. They're used to getting blood and platelets and all these drugs on a regular basis. But doing something daily at home is very different. They used to come in once a week and getting a transfusion. And so they want a drug that's just given in the clinic like that. So they come in once a week routinely for IV medications or blood. Going home and saying, "Hi, you're not going to learn how to give an IV medicine at home to my 80-year-old who really doesn't go over very well." And oftentimes, it's not covered by Medicare. And so they have to come in daily or we make up some ridiculous regimen where they come in 3 times a week or something to get the echinocandin. Now, everybody's eyes light up in leukemia when we hear a once-a-week drug. Oh, yes. Oh, please.

Jeffrey Stein

executive
#22

Great. And then finally, can you remind us of the data you have that gives you confidence in the mold PCP activity of rezafungin? So I'll direct that one to Taylor.

Taylor Sandison

executive
#23

Sure. I'll start, and then see if Kieren have any comments, too. She's very familiar with this data. So the data that we have is thorough nonclinical data. So I also note that the echinocandin, which obviously rezafungin is a member of, do have activity and work clinically against both of these pathogens. So the question is what about rezafungin. So rezafungin we've seen in comparison to the other echinocandins has a better distribution, improved distribution to the lungs, to the respiratory tract. And we think those higher levels are going to improve the anti-mold activity that we're going to see compared to, say, micafungin, which does have anti-mold activity, but does fall down certainly compared to, say, azoles. The -- for PCP, we've done a number of different studies with Melanie Cushion at University of Cincinnati, really top-notch researcher, NIH funded all that kind of stuff, who looked at comparison to Bactrim, which is the standard of care, really, the trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole and it was demonstrated even at very low levels, like 15 milligrams or so of equivalent of rezafungin for prophylaxing for Pneumocystis, it was equivalent to the primary standard of care. So we think at our levels of 400, 200 should be no problem for Pneumocystis prophylaxis in our patients in these populations. Kieren, I don't know if you have anything to add?

Kieren Marr

attendee
#24

I'll just add a little bit about the importance of the potential anti-pneumocystis activity of a drug like this. One is, it reminds me of history and that the first echinocandin was being developed as a pneumocandin. It was developed to prevent PCP, but that was later abandoned because it was thought to have no need. To that effect, Bactrim works great in preventing PCP, it just is not well tolerated by people. And this is -- for a long period of time, we get cytopenias, we get rashes, we get other toxicities with the drug, either that or perceived, and it's the first drug to come off of the prevention list. And for that reason, people like Catherine Cardona in Europe has shown that a great deal of pneumocystis breakthrough infection in various different populations is because people are not tolerating trimethoprim sulfamethoxazole. So we do have a real strong unmet need there regardless of the availability of a good drug. It's just not a tolerated drug.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#25

Yes. And the alternate that I use most commonly is atovaquone and that, I ask the patient, did you take your [ yellow pints ] today? It literally looks like yellow paint that you drink. And the patients wrinkled the nose and yes, I took it. Maybe they did and maybe they didn't, not a good option to go to back to Bactrim.

Kieren Marr

attendee
#26

GI toxicities we see.

Jeffrey Stein

executive
#27

Okay. So I see there are no further questions. And to the audience, we will have an opportunity to address other questions at the end of the next section, which is the Cloudbreak section. So let me launch into that program here. So clearly, the prevention and treatment of severe respiratory viral infections is in the news recently. You can see on the left, Moderna recently had their R&D Day where they announced a program on making a combination COVID-19 and flu vaccine and also will try to add RSV onto that as well. I can tell you, I'm a grateful recipient of the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine. Should these others become available, I would certainly look to receive that as well. And if by chance I were to get a severe breakthrough infection, I certainly would raise my hand to get the Regeneron monoclonal antibody cocktail. However, despite the fact that both of these companies have had a profound impact on society, there are really severe limitations to both vaccines as well as to currently available treatments. Les Tari, who is in this next section will highlight that unmet need. And why certainly, we at Cidara are very excited to advance our Cloudbreak platform a fundamentally new approach for the treatment and prevention of viral infections. So let me turn it over now to Les Tari, our Chief Scientific Officer, to walk you through some of the data that shows why we are excited about this program. Les?

Les Tari

executive
#28

Thank you, Jeff. We've made some exciting progress in our Cloudbreak platform. Let me show you where we are and where we're going. Cloudbreak molecules have 3 basic components. The proprietary Fc domain derived from a human IgG1 antibody, shown on the left, that we can engineer to extend half light or modulate immune effector function. To that Fc, as shown in the middle, we can conjugate -- we can stably conjugate small molecule antivirals. And in some cases, as shown on the right, we can combine those small molecule conjugates with antiviral peptide fusions that target different viral proteins. So this platform can be thought of as a molecular version of a Mr. Potato head toy. It allows us to generate inhibitor cocktails on a single molecular scaffold. The product molecules are called drug Fc conjugates or vaccines. In our research programs, we've demonstrated several potential advantages for this platform compared with vaccines, small molecules or monoclonal antibody therapies. The ability to modulate and increase the drug to Fc ratio can have a profound impact on potency. And the ability to install different targeting groups on the same molecule when we're targeting one virus, can improve spectrum and reduce the resistance potential or alternatively, it allows us to target different viruses with a single molecule. The limitations of existing influenza vaccines was one of the primary catalysts that inspired us to pursue DFCs. The tri and tetravalent influenza vaccines that are currently in use are based on annually circulating strains. And even if those are correctly predicted, they provide only limited coverage from season to season and Eric Simoes will highlight some of this. Their protective value in high-risk and immune compromised populations is worse. And that's a 50 million person segment of the population in the U.S. The IND candidates that we've generated in our flu program have the potential to address these key limitations of the current flu vaccines, and I'll show you some of that data after this. Our influenza DFCs demonstrate potent universal influenza activity, and they retain their activity in immune compromised hosts highlighting their potential to cover all strains in all people. A bonus feature with DFCs are the rapid onset of action, which makes them suitable for treatment or post-exposure prophylaxis for pandemic preparedness. Our DFCs are so potent that we believe we'll have the potential to achieve seasonal protection with low single doses at attractive costs. DFCs share favorable attributes with monoclonal antibodies. They have a long circulating half-life, and they can recruit the immune system to the site of infection, but they also have several upgrades when compared to monoclonal antibody therapies. The ability to control the drug to Fc ratio and install multiple targeting groups on the same scaffold provide multiple paths to candidates with exceptional potency and viral coverage or, as I mentioned already, single molecule drug cocktails, which could inhibit different viruses. DFCs are only about 40% of the size of monoclonal antibodies. And in preclinical models, that size difference translated to improved kinetics and overall distribution of our molecules to the site of action in the lung. We anticipate that tissue penetration of DFCs will also be improved compared with monoclonal antibodies for applications outside of infectious disease. So any of you who have worked in small molecule drug discovery programs appreciate how difficult an art that is. You invariably get stuck up and having to trade away potency of your best molecules to address problems with metabolism, safety or oral bioavailability to name a few parameters. Since our DFCs don't enter cells to any significant extent, we don't have to throw away our most potent molecules due to these issues, and we can focus our optimization primarily on enhancing potency. As you can imagine, translation of that potency to in vivo activity may allow us to move away from requiring IV administration for long-term protection intramuscular shots, so that our molecules can be used outside of the hospital with lower costs. Next slide. We were able to exemplify many of the platform advantages that I just described in our influenza program, where we have advanced 2 development candidates for seasonal universal prevention of flu shown here. We shared a wealth of data on these programs, which can be accessed with the link at the bottom of the slide. The 2 molecules shown here are identical with the exception of the FC domain, which in CD388 was engineered for long halfway. The entire program has been licensed to Janssen Pharmaceuticals and CD388 is moving towards an IND submission by the end of this year. I'll share some of the data that we've generated with our influenza lead candidates that highlight some of the strengths of the platform. The data that you'll be seeing was derived with CD377. Note that comparative CD388 data has been generating using many of the same experiments and it's very similar to what you'll see here. Here, we're looking at a pharmacokinetic study in mice that were subcutaneously dosed with CD377, where the concentrations of the compound in plasma and lung epithelial lining fluid or ELF fluid were compared over 2 weeks. Within the first 30 minutes, the ELF concentrations start to track with the plasma concentrations and the levels reached are high, about 60% of the concentrations that you see in plasma are reached in the epithelia lining fluid. This is in stark contrast to monoclonal antibodies where distribution to the epithelial lining fluid lags by as much as 48 hours and relative distribution to the lungs is typically much lower. Translation of this behavior to humans would position these molecules well to be used for treatment and pre-exposure prophylaxis in addition to prevention. The exceptional in vitro potencies we observed with our lead candidates has translated well to animal efficacy. Both molecules demonstrated durable, robust efficacy and infection models against multiple flu strains with low single doses. Here, you're looking at the results of a representative prophylactic efficacy study with CD377. It was administered to mice subcutaneously 28 days prior to infection with a lethal H3N2 viral challenge. Single dose is down to 0.3 milligrams per kilogram, so very low doses, were sufficient to fully protect the animals. Using this same model, we evaluated the efficacy of CD377 against multiple influenza A and B strains. Due to the broad spectrum and high potency doses of 1 milligram per kilogram or lower were sufficient for full protection against all the strains we tested when dosed 28 days prior. Getting protection for that long with such low doses in mice, highlights the potential for achieving seasonal long protection in humans with single low doses. One thing we wanted to establish early in this program was whether our flu DFCs have the potential to protect high-risk groups. We evaluated that notion preclinically using several experiments, including what you're seeing here. We compared the efficacy of CD377 and lethal challenge models in mice where you're looking at the results for immune competent mice on the left and severe combined immunodeficient mice on the right. In both cases, the same low-dose threshold was required for full protection, 0.1 milligram per kilogram doses. So they were protected in both backgrounds, highlighting the potential for CD377 to protect normal and high-risk individuals with the same doses. For broad use, in fluid treatment and prevention, particularly in prevention, a clean safety profile is essential. Here, you're seeing a summary of a non-GLP dose range finder toxicology study with CD377 in cynomolgus monkey, where at the highest dose tested, which afforded us more than a 95x therapeutic margin or predictive therapeutic margin, there were no adverse findings in any of the parameters shown on the right. CD388 is in the latter stages of GLP toxicology studies now in rat and monkey, and we're not anticipating a different outcome. For those interested, as I mentioned before, there's a link on one of the earlier slides to a more complete data package that you can look at. I'll now pass it over to Dr. Eric Simoes, who's going to tell you about the unmet need in flu, RSV and other respiratory diseases that could potentially be addressed with assets from our platform. Eric?

Eric Simoes

attendee
#29

Thanks very much, Les. So I will talk about -- can we have the next slide, please. So I'll talk about the major viral respiratory pathogens that affect us today and these are some of the major ones. The ones I will discuss are SARS-CoV-2 influenza and RSV. I think these are really the most important. The other viruses, Rhinovirus certainly are important, but 90-plus serotypes makes it difficult. The next slide, please. So we'll start with SARS-CoV-2 in the global situation. As you're all well aware, this is from the WHO website recently, last week. There are over 224 million cases confirmed. As you know, this is an underestimate because in many developing countries, cases are not really confirmed. Over 4 million deaths are certainly high numbers, if you account for the nonreporting in developing countries and 5.4 billion doses of vaccine administered. Unfortunately, not a lot of them in Sub-Saharan Africa and in the poorer countries in Asia. Next slide, please. Understanding that there are -- there really is an unmet need for SARS-CoV-2. There are over 442 clinical trials on 185 vaccine candidates ongoing as of this year. So there really are a lot of candidates that are being tried, but there are some problems with -- and you can see all the different platforms that have been used. The next slide, please. So I'm not going to go into great detail about any of the 3 topics that I'm going to discuss, but I will highlight some issues. So for prevention, we do have efficacious vaccines. There's no question that the Moderna, the Pfizer, Janssen, the J&J vaccine and the AstraZeneca which are very good. But Universal Global Distribution is a real issue. As you know, the places where there are the greatest unmet need are in Asia and Africa. Vaccines prevent against invasive disease. And this we do know, but it's less so against infection and even less so against transmission. And this is a very important factor that we have to take into account. So if one considers that people get infected after transmission, the only way to end this epidemic, despite what everyone else is saying is really to prevent transmission. And even places where mask usage is very good, you still have transmission of virus. For instance, in the Philippines, where I do some of my work, everyone has to wear a mask and a face shield, everyone, in public. But they haven't yet been able to control the epidemic. I was speaking to my colleagues yesterday. So that's one issue that preventing transmission is really a big issue. The second is there is an inevitably will evade the immune response. And I don't see an end in sight, unlike most of the other epidemiologists that are -- that seem to use or not to determine how long this epidemic is going to get over. The problem is very simple. The virus tends to evade the immune response. And as long as there's transmission, you're going to have new variants that will inevitably arise. It evolves and what everyone thinks that it will become a mild flu like illness. I don't think so. It will continue to be -- the pathogenesis is completely different from influenza and it's not going to evolve at least in our lifetime to become a mild illness. It's not going to develop the -- it's not going to become less and less pathogenic. Monoclonal antibodies, as you know, are available. Our Regeneron's antibodies certainly seem to work, but they are costly and of limited use. They have to be given -- they are certainly not used widely outside of the U.S. They are inconvenient. They have to set up specific centers to use them, but they certainly seem to work. Specific treatments are limited like remdesivir, corticosteroids seem to work, but there are dangers as you know, what's happening with fungal infections in India, it's because of the use of steroids. So there still is an unmet need. The virus is going to evolve. We are going to be -- to live with this virus for many years. And so there is certainly a role for limit as well as prevention. The next slide, please. Influenza has a large pipeline of candid vaccines, which are now available. These are from the CDC website. These are all the various trivalent and quadrivalent vaccines. In the U.S., it's mostly or almost all quadrivalent. In many other countries, it's trivalent or quadrivalent vaccines. But Universal protection is still elusive, it has to be given every year. The next slide, please. You can see that there is decreasing effectiveness over time. And this is quite well documented in -- the CDC has documented this by a series of studies. It is less effective for the elderly and the immune compromise precisely the group, but this seems to affect the most. The one vaccine that does seem to work better in children is a live attenuated vaccine, but it's not used very much. So there certainly is a big burden of disease, and there certainly is a big space for prevention. The next slide, please. So vaccines are available, there's no question about that. There are at least 40 different vaccines available. They're not very effective, as I just showed you. They have to be given annually. There is a reticence on parents to give annual vaccines to children because they know that those children need to leave to get it throughout life. And you can see there is a trend towards decreasing efficacy certainly with the current quadrivalent vaccines. The next slide, please. RSV is the next major challenge. At least for me, as a pediatrician, I think it's the most important virus that causes problems, not only in infants, but in -- certainly a major cause of mortality. Next to now coronavirus, I think it has a higher mortality in developing countries than influenza does, certainly in the pediatric population. There are several -- this is a snapshot from past that has been looking at all of the vaccines and monoclonal antibodies for the last few years. And you can see that the only marketed and approved product is palivizumab or Synagis, marketed by AstraZeneca. It's been around for 21 years. It was licensed in 1999. There are key candidates, AstraZeneca has now being marketed by Sanofi Pasteur, has a monoclonal antibody nirsevimab. Merck has monoclonal antibodies that are in trials. So does -- the Gates Foundation has a monoclonal antibody that is coming up. The next major one, maternal immunization. So to protect babies less than 6 months of age, the tactic of maternal immunization is certainly important. You will notice that the -- of disease for infants is in the first 6 months of life and the only way to protect them. A shot of a vaccine at birth is really monoclonal antibodies of passive protection from maternal immunization. So there are several candidate maternal immunizations in Phase III trials. They look very good, but there are problems with both of these. The next slide, please. So for instance, the greatest burden of disease is before 3 to 6 months of age. So if you look at the ICU admissions, the most severe disease, the most mortality and the Gates Foundation has a large program on reducing infant mortality due to RSV. We just had a big series of publications in terms of infectious diseases, just about that issue of mortality. And most of the mortality globally occurs in the first 3 to 6 months of life. And likewise, in industrialized countries, most ICU states are in children less than 3 months of age, infants. Long-acting monoclonal antibodies show promise, but there is one issue that -- because the monoclonal antibodies are targeted to a very specific epitope on the surface of the prefusion F protein, there are -- there is the possibility of escape mutants. Now this may occur with immune pressure or it may occur spontaneously. There was a Regeneron monoclonal antibody mortal that I work with very closely, that did not work against RSVB, and that was a pure spontaneous mutation that occurred, it started in China and went around the world in a year, right when we were doing the trial. And unfortunately, it worked against RSV, but not in RSVB. And that is a real possibility with monoclonal antibodies. Maternal immunization certainly shows promise, but our studies in South Africa, for instance, with influenza, immunization randomized controlled trial, 1 of only 3 that were done recently, shows a protection last about 3 to 4 months. The other issue is going to be maternal uptake for maternal immunization, but they do show promise, just because of the prefusion F that has been developed. There is still a major unmet need that is not yet being addressed with these 2 strategies, which is older children. They go to the outpatient, they go to the emergency room visits. And in fact, the emergency room visits in children 6 months to 2 years, is far more than the rate in younger children. And it probably equals the burden of disease of hospitalization. And it's not really been targeted at the moment. There's certainly vaccines being developed. Several vaccine manufacturers are developing vaccines for that group, but it's going to be a difficult one to address. Older adults, the burden, even though there are my colleagues in Rochester show a burden of disease, it's difficult to really replicate that -- those studies globally and most studies require 40,000 to 60,000 participants to show efficacy. So smaller studies probably won't do that. Vaccine immunogenicity is an issue in these populations in the old adults. For treatment, fusion inhibitors all seem to target the same pocket in the RSV prefusion F structure, which is fine. It seems to be a very specific confirmation, very specific pocket and all of the fusion inhibitors target that. Escape mutants are a possibility, but may not be. It may be one of the strengths because that pocket may be so important for the structure that if mutations occur, it may disrupt the structure. So -- I'm sure, treatment is best when disease is early. So for infants, diagnosing the disease very early before the immune response kicks in is really critical. In the older adult, it's difficult to actually show a role for treatment in the older adult. And an immune compromised, certainly, it's important. Certainly, it's easy to show it, show that it's RSV is a problem, but to treat RSV is -- that population. So I'll stop there with my -- with my unmet need for RSV.

Jeffrey Stein

executive
#30

Well, great. Thanks so much, Eric. Really and grateful that you had the opportunity to share your perspectives on this. So we'll wrap up the Cloudbreak section. And this is a great segue to less providing an overview of our advances in RSV, HIV, SARS as well as our new program. So Les, do you want to take it from here?

Les Tari

executive
#31

Yes. Thanks, Eric. Now I'll share some information on our platform expansion programs. The learnings and the experience and infrastructure we've built to advance the influenza program has allowed us to quickly progress new discovery programs in other viral indications. We've generated some exciting early data in RSV and HIV programs that I'll share, and we're starting a new SARS-2 program and programs outside of infectious disease that we're confident we can progress quickly. So let me share some of the progress highlights from our RSV program. As Eric pointed out, RSV presents a significant unmet need. In a recent -- in an alarming recent trend, as COVID-19 restrictions have been eased, there's been a large rebound in RSV infections with many children being hospitalized with RSV SARS-2 co-infections. If that outbreak translates to adult populations, we're in a typical year, almost 200,000 people over 65 are hospitalized with RSV in the U.S. Again, just reiterate that new options for the treatment and prevention of RSV are desperately needed. Here, you're looking at 3 different molecules. At the top, a peptide fusion that inhibits a late stage in RSV fusion with the host. In the middle, a small molecule conjugate where we've used a novel prefusion confirmation of the F protein inhibitor to the Fc. And at the bottom, a third molecule that combines both modalities. So it's an RSV cocktail, if you will. We are excited to see what would happen when we combine the 2 modalities on a single molecule, and the results didn't disappoint. If you look at the column on the right, where we're looking at EC50s, in cell-based assays, we didn't see viral replication with a combination molecule at the lowest concentration we tested with one picomolar, so it was exquisitely potent. The potent synergy we observed with the combination molecule translated to more than 4,000 full improvement in potency compared with Synagis shown on the right, which is the only agent on the market right now for prevention of RSV and high-risk inputs. Next slide. On a separate track, we leverage the additional degrees of freedom available to us with this platform that I talked about earlier, to focus our optimization efforts on the potency of our targeting groups. That allowed us to generate new single mechanism candidates, which target the F protein with significantly improved potency compared with our first-generation molecules that also demonstrated broad spectrum activity. Next slide. When we evaluated these molecules against a representative panel of RSV strains, we retained exceptional potency across the board. For most of the strains, it was less than one picomolar for all the compounds that we tested here. If you go to the next slide, we're in the process of installing these new optimized small molecule targeting groups to our peptide fusion Fc to generate what we expect to be some exceptionally potent new RSV drug cocktails. In addition, we are advancing the molecules shown there into animal pharmacokinetic studies and mouse efficacy models to validate this. While promising second-generation monoclonal antibody followers to Synagis, as described by Eric, are in mid- and late-stage clinical trials for RSV prevention in children, to translate this to the prevention to adults, large dosing volumes would likely be required for seasonal prevention, making them less practical for broad use in that population. Translation of the potency we're seeing with our RFC -- sorry, our RSV DFCs to efficacy in humans would reduce dosing volumes to levels where intramuscular dosing would be feasible, allowing DFCs to be used in an outpatient setting, and it could open the door for early treatment applications in adults as well. Let's move to our HIV program, where we're testing some interesting new candidates for long-term -- long-acting therapy and prevention. Given the high mutational frequency with HIV when it replicates, there is a perpetual need for novel treatments and maintenance therapies to stay ahead of resistance. There's a big push in the space towards long-acting regimens, using implants or subcu or IM injections to provide options to counter the fatigue of routine daily oral intake. From the standpoint of duration of coverage, our goal in the HIV program would be very similar to what we want to achieve with our influenza program, 4- to 6-month coverage with a single IM shot. Next slide. Using a similar philosophy to the one we used in our RSV program, we have generated single and combined mechanism conjugates with exceptional potency. On the left, you're looking at a schematic of a GP120 inhibitor conjugate that demonstrates similar potency to temp severe shown on the right, which is the first marketed drug with the same mechanism of action. We also have a viral envelope binding peptide fusion shown in the middle, which we've tested by itself and in combination with the GP120 inhibitor on the left, that's the molecule shown on the right. So it's another cocktail with 2 different mechanisms. Our combination molecule demonstrates superior potency, and if we go to the next slide, you can see that it has better coverage as well. When we evaluated our combination molecule, against the diverse panel of HIV strains, including strains with resistance to different classes of HIV therapies, you can see that there are 2 strains there that don't respond to temsavir. It stands out with superior coverage and potencies that are anywhere from 50 to more than 300,000 full better than temsavir. The viral clades and the co-receptor specificities of the strains represented in the panel in the last slide cover HIV strains found in the developed and the developing world. Work is now ongoing to evaluate our combination molecule and some other analogs against larger viral panels as well as pharmacokinetic profiling in humanized mouse and monkey to evaluate the potential duration of coverage and get a PK preliminary safety. In the next section, I'll briefly talk about our nation works to leverage the strengths of the Cloudbreak platform to advance new agents for the treatment and prevention of coronavirus and SARS-2. As has been discussed, while remarkable progress has been made to rapidly advance and deploy highly effective vaccines for SARS-2 prevention, protection of high-risk groups is still an unmet need, and there are other issues that Eric discussed that are problematic. And monoclonal antibodies have the limitations that were discussed, particularly in the treatment setting, and development of new effective treatments has lagged. Next slide. Using the same approaches that have been successful in our other antiviral programs, where we combine antiviral mechanisms on the same Fc, we're seeking to generate new molecules with pan-SARS -- pan coronavirus and SARS-2 activity. Next slide. We're in the process of screening different peptide and small molecule inhibitors for activity against coronavirus and SARS-2. We've already identified a peptide fusion with activity against one of the common cold viruses, coronavirus-OC-43, which is closely related to SARS-2 in some of the specific regions that we're targeting. In this case, it's fivefold more potent than remdesivir, which is the only approved SARS-2 treatment. We're in the process of evaluating different strategies and different molecules that target several different regions on the virus to inhibit viral entry infusion, and we will report new data on these as the program progresses. Once we've settled on the strategies we'll be using to address RSV and SARS, our next goal will be to exploit the modularity of our platform to combine all of these different modalities on one molecule for treatment and long-acting prevention of the 3 major respiratory viruses. Next slide. I'd like to finish by highlighting something that we're really excited about and new immuno-oncology program, which we feel will play to the strengths of the Cloudbreak platform. Developing treatments for oncology involves many of the same challenges as developing novel antivirals. Tumors can develop resistance in response to therapy, and they can employ multiple mechanisms to evade immune detection. And unlike the other programs I described, in cancer, we're targeting the host and toxicity is an acute concern. So you have to be careful with -- especially with small molecule therapies about toxicity. Next slide. Many of the attributes that make DFCs effective as antivirals have the potential to translate to immuno-oncology. The smaller size of DFCs compared with monoclonal antibodies could improve tumor penetration and efficacy against solid malignancies. And operating in the extracellular space and specifically disabling immune evasion in the tumor microenvironment has been demonstrated to dramatically improve side effect profiles compared with conventional chemotherapies. And most importantly, as shown on the right, combination therapy is a cornerstone in cancer treatment, and DFCs are ideally suited to address that. Installation of inhibitors of multiple immune evasion mechanisms on a single molecule could improve outcomes in a larger patient cohort versus monotherapies in first-generation ICIs. Here, we're looking at a 3D tumor penetration model from the paper cited at the bottom. The investigators here are showing tumor penetration of a HER2-positive targeting monoclonal antibody, and they compared it to an Fc domain that targets the same cells. By transitioning to the smaller modified Fc fragment, you can see that the depth and robustness of tumor penetration of the smaller fragment is superior to that of the monoclonal antibody. Since DFCs are similar in size to the conjugated Fc fragment that was used in this study, we expect to see similar relative improvements in performance of our DSCs relative to NAVs. Next slide. Here, you're looking at a schematic, highlighting the potential conceptual advantages of DFCs over monoclonal antibodies and small molecule therapies. The size and the attributes of DFCs place them in a sweet spot where they could enjoy the safety profile and the long half-life of monoclonal antibodies with a tumor penetration profile that's much closer to that small molecules. Next slide. We're currently evaluating strategies to inhibit several different immune evasion mechanisms at various stages of clinical validation, but where they've at least demonstrated robust preclinical validation, and we're off to a quick start. We tried conjugates that inhibit one of our targeted immune evasion mechanisms with similar potencies to one of the most advanced small molecules that's in clinical testing, shown on the right. We are very quickly able to do, they were so familiar with our platform. Cell-based assays and animal models will follow to fully validate the approach. And once we lead optimize -- we discovered lead optimized targeting strategies for each of the different modalities we're going after, combination DFCs will be generated and advanced. Next slide. In summary, you've seen that our Cloudbreak platform has strong momentum in multiple indications and shows considerable potential because it combines the best attributes of small molecule therapies and monoclonal antibodies, yielding a new modality where the product is greater than the sum of its parts. Here's where we're going. By end of year, we're planning to file an IND for influenza and initiate Phase I studies early next year. The manufacturing infrastructure and the process development we've done as well as the inquired know-how from our influenza program and our new programs have fed into each other. And that's helped us to streamline and accelerate our platform expansion efforts. The data from the influenza program and the new programs highlight the potential for this platform to generate highly differentiated solutions for the treatment of viral diseases in oncology. I'd like to thank you for your attention. And Jeff will close, and we welcome your questions.

Jeffrey Stein

executive
#32

Great. Well, thanks, Les. I think we can generally see a sense of momentum in our Cloudbreak platform. It started with influenza. And now it is being broadened to other viral diseases and now to oncology. And certainly, as you indicated, the learnings we got from the early influenza program is definitely being applied to our other program. So let me wrap up with where we started. What you heard today is a robust update on our clinical programs, including some new data from a drug-drug interaction study, which suggests that rezafungin would be an ideal prophylactic in the BMT area as well, potentially broader in other oncology settings. In Cloudbreak, we shared some data with you on the expansion into other viral respiratory diseases as well as in HIV, you heard from Eric Simoes, how there continues to be a substantial unmet need in respiratory viral infections. And then finally, we wrapped up with oncology, an exciting new area. And collectively, we think that Cloudbreak has the potential to be the long-term driver of value in Cidara. And so with a near-term Phase III readout coming up at the end of the year, IND filing for CD388 in influenza and the rapid expansion into these new areas, we're very excited about our near-term and long-term future. And with that, let me turn it back to Tara, and we can entertain some questions. Tara?

Operator

operator
#33

Thank you, Jeff. At this time, we'll be conducting our final question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] I'll hand it back to you, Jeff.

Jeffrey Stein

executive
#34

Okay. Good. We have several questions here. One, why has Cidara been able to create this Cloudbreak platform while others have tried and failed? So let me just start that at a high level, then I'll turn it over to Les for a more comment. So Cidara actually was founded in 2014 on this Cloudbreak immunotherapy platform, Asking the question, can this bispecific immunotherapy, which has really revolutionized oncology, could it be applied to infectious disease. So this has been under the radar since we have been advancing rezafungin forward now on the customer Phase III data. But in the background, we have been advancing the Cloudbreak platform. The current version where we are fusing potent antivirals or anticancer agents directly to an Fc was really developed about 3 years ago as we have been evaluating numerous approaches. So now it appears we've settled on something that really is quite effective. And Les, do you want to comment on why you think others haven't focused on this?

Les Tari

executive
#35

Well, I can comment on what I like about the concept. In influenza, it's been very difficult to generate monoclonal antibodies that cover influenza A and B. And we saw the opportunity with some great -- with a great target influenza viral neuraminidase where we could hit something, the only conserved part of the virus with a small molecule modality. And by fusing that to an FC, we have all of the benefits of a monoclonal antibody, but we can target something that is conserved across all of the different viruses. So it was -- and we see this opportunity in the other respiratory diseases as well.

Jeffrey Stein

executive
#36

Okay. Well, thanks, Les. Another question, is your arrangement with J&J exclusive? Or could you partner with other companies as well? J&J is a great partner. We have announced the partnership with them on influenza and that's a global partnership. They do have right of first negotiation, not first refusal, but first negotiation that expires at the end of this year on the RSV program. And so we have initiated those discussions with them, and we will see how those advance. And so great company to work with, and we've really had the benefit of that collaboration on influenza. Another question here, do you think more efficacious flu vaccines would increase vaccination rates? Let me throw that over to Dr. Eric Simoes since he is an expert in this field. Eric?

Eric Simoes

attendee
#37

And so that's a very good question. I think that's exactly what would happen. At the moment, when people look at the vaccine efficacy and if you look at people getting tired of getting annual vaccines, it's because the efficacy is so low. And it's not just academic issue, I think it's quite well known amongst the public that the vaccines don't seem to work very well. So if you had a very efficacious vaccine, even if it had to be given every season, you would certainly have a better uptake. Now the pediatric issue is a different story. As long as -- so there is a difference, right, with the DFC -- with immune evasion and changing of the immunity, the need for an annual vaccine is a little different. So there'll have to be a change in the mindset. But certainly, a more efficacious vaccine to answer that question simply, yes, a more efficacious vaccine that were in the range of 80%, 90% will certainly improve uptake.

Jeffrey Stein

executive
#38

Well, thank you, Eric. Another question, can you comment on how Cidara is prioritizing the Cloudbreak platform to treat respiratory viral infections? And let me take a first pass at that, and Les you can certainly supplement. The order in which we discussed the Cloudbreak platform today is basically the same -- coincides with how advanced they are. So influenza, obviously, most advanced, expect to file IND by the end of the year, followed by the RSV program and then HIV and SARS and then finally, oncology. So how we're prioritizing them according to their stage of advancement. And Les, do you have anything else to say on that?

Les Tari

executive
#39

No, you answered the question well. There's a whole matrix of things that we choose, technical feasibility, availability of good targets and -- the 2 -- the RSV and influenza programs stand out there. And also the oncology program stands out as something that we'll prioritize.

Jeffrey Stein

executive
#40

Great. We have a question for Taylor. Will Cidara conduct an interim analysis of the rezafungin prophylaxis trial? If so, when will that happen? And also when will U.S. sites open for prophylaxis trial?

Taylor Sandison

executive
#41

So we're -- I think we're not conducting an interim analysis. I think as the questioner is envisioning. We do have the DSMB meeting routinely to make sure in assessing unblinded data to make sure the benefit risk remains the same for all the patients that are in the trial. And we do have a blinded look at the overall outcome rates when we're halfway through the trial, and those 50% have exited to see if we need to upsize to increase from 460 to 600 to make sure we hit our mark. So it's a blinded look though. So it's not a true like unblinded interim analysis. And in terms of U.S. sites, so we expect the first U.S. sites to be open for prophylaxis by December, but the majority will be open in the first quarter of next year.

Jeffrey Stein

executive
#42

Okay. Great. Thanks, Taylor. Another question, would you commercialize your DFCs for immuno-oncology or seek partnerships there? So certainly, we have the full internal capability to take this program to the development candidate stage and also even into Phase I. So our goal at the moment is to advance that. That said, Cloudbreak clearly is a broad-based platform, which does lend itself for partnering different programs. So right now, our sole focus is to accelerate the oncology program and take that as far into development as feasible. So let me check for new questions. I think that is our last question. So Tara, I'll turn it back over to you.

Operator

operator
#43

Thank you, Jeff. This concludes today's webinar. You may now disconnect.

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