Clariane SE (CLARI) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
February 25, 2025
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorHello, and welcome to the Clariane 2024 Full Year Results. My name is Laura, and I will be your coordinator for today's event. Please note, this call is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] Today, we have Sophie Boissard, CEO; and Grégory Lovichi, CFO as our presenters. I will now hand you over to your host, Sophie Boissard, to begin today's conference. Thank you.
Sophie Boissard
executiveThank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen, investors, good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to the Clariane Group's 2024 Annual Results Presentation. I'm Sophie Boissard, CEO of the Clariane Group. And together with Grégory Lovichi, the Group new Chief Financial Officer since October 1, I would like to present Clariane's results for the '24 financial year. Let's start on Slide #5 with the 4 main achievements of the financial year that had crucial stakes for Clariane. First achievement, we have maintained a very solid operating performance, validating the relevance of our strategy and the relevance of our diversified business model. Second achievement, our financial performance is starting to recover as reflected in a 30 basis points improvement in our operating margin, together with a sharp rise in our operating cash flow generation of above EUR 100 million. Third achievement and despite a rather turbulent environment, we have successfully executed the first 3 steps of our 2-year plan designed to strengthen our financial structure and to restore a normal access to financing that was at stake end of '23. And we are making significant progress with the ongoing disposal plan, which is the fourth and last part of this plan, a disposal plan of around EUR 1 billion to be completed by December '25. Currently, 50%, more than EUR 500 million has already been achieved and the second half of this disposal plan is undergo and will be finalized by the end of '25. Finally, and this is the fourth achievement, we have recently agreed with our banking partners to amend and to extend to 2029, our syndicated loan and to set up a new real estate credit line. I will come back to this major agreements in a few minutes. All these 4 achievements give us a solid platform for 2025 in order to continue to improve our margin, actively pursue our deleveraging and to install the company on a sustainable and profitable growth path. On Slide #6, let me now give you a look at the key figures of 2024 financial results. Revenue at EUR 5.3 billion was up 6.6% on an organic basis, confirming the strength of our diversified business model. EBITDA pre-IFRS 16 and excluding the scope of consolidation sold was EUR 605 million, an increase of 1.2%. It is slightly higher than the guidance we had provided to the market of stable EBITDA in amount. Excluding the contribution from real estate development activities, which was very strong in '23, growth was 9.2%. And on the same basis, EBITDA margin was up 30 basis points at 11.3%. This result is attributable to organic growth in revenue and to efficient cost management all along the year. Our net profit from continuing operations pre-IFRS 16 turned back to profit at plus EUR 5 million to be compared with a loss of EUR 49 million in '23. Net profit group share pre-IFRS 16 again was a loss of EUR 20 million compared with a loss of EUR 63 million in '23. And this loss is entirely due to the capital loss on the disposal of Les Essentielles which is a Service Residence Business in France, which was sold at the end of June '24. Now let's look at the cash flow statement on the right-hand side of the slide. Generation of operating cash flow reached EUR 400 million in '24 to be compared with the EUR 288 million in '23, and this is due to a significant improvement in working capital of EUR 84 million. The net financial debt, excluding debt related to rents was reduced by EUR 409 million to EUR 3.5 billion at the end of December. As a direct consequence of this debt reduction, the OPCO leverage ratio has fallen from 6.2x in '23 to 5.8x in '24, which is an improvement of 40 basis points. Please note that in line with the agreement reached with our banks on the syndicated loan, we will be guiding on this ratio from now on, which takes all debt compartments into account and which bring clarity in the readings of our balance sheet. Grégory will come back, of course, in detail to this. Last, but not least, the value of our real estate portfolio stands at EUR 2.6 billion against the backdrop where the downturn in capitalization rates has stabilized. This results testify to the success of the measures we have taken in '24 to strengthen the group's financial structure and to put it back on the path of controlled growth and value creation. On Slide 7, I would like now to highlight the progress we've made in terms of extra financial performance and ESG policy, which in our business is, of course, of critical importance. Let us start with the social performance indicators. First of all, when it comes to our patients, our Net Promoter Score again this year reached plus 44, by far the best score in the sector in our various countries and activities. Let us now turn to our employees. Clariane has been awarded Top Employer Europe certification for the second year running. We are actually the only company in the sector of care to receive this recognition for the quality of our HR policies, which are core. We are continuing to strengthen our training policies with a record 13% of employees enrolled on the training force leading to a qualification this year, mainly nursing qualification. And these initiatives have a dual benefit for the company. On the one hand, they enable us to meet our need for skilled labor in the shortage market through our own training programs for nurse and assistant nurses, mainly. And on the other hand, they enable us to guarantee our loyal employees' prospects for promotion and development in all our geographies marked by strong labor shortage. As a result, half of our managers are promoted from within, and we aim to reach 75% by 2026. Indicators related to occupational health and safety are also developing very well with the frequency rate of workplace accidents falling to 31 in '24 to be compared with 41 in 2022. And we, of course, need to go down further. In terms of gender diversity in a company where actually more than 80% of the workforce is a female workforce, we have exceeded our '24 targets with 53 of women in top management and 38 in group and country management board. In terms of environmental performance, we reached a key milestone with the validation in June of our greenhouse gas emission reduction target by the SBTi initiatives, science-based targets. And by the end of '24, our energy-related CO2 emission has decreased by 15% compared with '21, in line with the trajectory set of minus 30% for '26. Finally, and this is the G of ESG with regard to governance, which is an essential condition for our performance, especially in an activity as sensitive and exposed as ours, I would like to highlight 2 important developments that took place last year. Firstly, the changes that have taken place within the Board of Directors following the reorganization of the shareholding structure last July with the arrival of 3 new directors, representing the new shareholders, a Board which nevertheless remains composed of a majority of independent directors. Secondly, I would like to mention the growing role of our Advisory Board, which has helped include representatives of the stakeholders committee in each country. Through its regular exchanges with management and with the Board of Directors, the Advisory Board makes an essential contribution to defining our priorities and are currently measuring our performance. And once again, this year, our Advisory Board would present its work and conclusion at the Annual General Meeting. Through our ESG policy, which are applied in the same way in each of the group's countries, we strive to be faithful and consistent with our purpose, which is taking care of each person's humanity in times of vulnerability. And we strive to fully respect our commitment to consideration, fairness, innovation, proximity and sustainability. Let's now move on Slide 8 to the plan we issued end of '23 in order to strengthen our financial structure. As you know, on the 15th of November 2023, against the backdrop of shuttered access to debt markets, we announced the launch of a 4-part plan to strengthen the group's financial structure. This 4-part plan to reduce the group indebtedness include action to strengthen equity and the disposal program of around EUR 1 billion in gross proceeds. The main aim of the plan scheduled for completion by the end of 2025 at the latest was to enable the company to regain normal access to credits. So one year on, where do we stand? The plan is proceeding according to the schedule we defined. All the actions designed to strengthen the company's equity were fully completed in '24, including the successful capital increase carried out last July for EUR 329 million and EUR 230 million via real estate partnerships. That leaves the final component, the asset disposal program, which is already well advanced with EUR 504 million realized by '24 out of a total target of around EUR 1 billion of gross proceeds. On Slide #9, you see a little bit more of the disposal program. Through the program of disposal of nonstrategic assets, we aim to refocus the group on its core geographies where we have the most growth perspective and its 3 core business, and we aim to accelerate the debt reduction and the reduction of the OPCO leverage with the objective of bringing it to below 5x at the end of 2026. In '24, we successfully completed the sale of our U.K. operation and real estate assets and the hospital at home activities in France. And we also carried out various real estate assets or portfolio disposal in other geographies such as Italy, Spain and to a certain extent, France. These transactions were carried out at good valuation in the market context that we know that is not so easy based on EBITDA multiples of between 11 and 13 '24 values. As in '24, we are currently making progress on several transaction processes in parallel. These transaction streams involve assets of varying size, both real estate and operating assets. By doing so, we are maximizing our chances of completing this program under good value condition and reducing our leverage. On Slide #10, I would like now to say a few words on the major agreement found with our banks. So in parallel with the disposal plan, we arranged and extended our syndicated loan, which was due to mature in May 2026. The aim of the negotiation that we started in Q3 '24 was twofold. Firstly, we wanted to rebalance the early repayment condition applicable in the event of asset disposal. And second, we wanted to extend our maturity in order to regain visibility and to normalize access to the debt markets. And actually, we've been able to reach both targets with the negotiation. First of all, we have adjusted the early repayment condition. Our new syndicated loan stipulated that -- our old syndicated loans, sorry, stipulated that 75% of the proceeds from the sale had to be allocated to repayment of term loan maturities. This provision had been redefined before the sale process was announced, and it was necessary, of course, to rebalance them and to adjust them to the magnitude of the disposal program. And that's exactly what we did through the agreement reached with our banks by reducing the close from 75% to 40%. In return, we are committed to gradually repaying our RCF, which is fully [ drawn ] go down and reducing the total amount of the facility to EUR 625 million, and we have added in parallel a EUR 150 million real estate credit line. According to the agreement found with our bank partners, the group will now use Wholeco leverage instead of OPCO leverage plus LTV leverage. With the Wholeco leverage, we aggregate corporate and real estate debt, and we are going to communicate from now on only on Wholeco leverage, the guidance to the market. Finally, the syndicated loan negotiated at market rates is now indexed to ESG objectives, reinforcing the alignment with the Group CSR commitments I spoke of previously. The restructuring and extension to '29 is significant because it allows us to regain normal access to the debt market. It was a major ambition that we set ourselves for 2023, and I consider its success a key achievement for '24. In this respect, I would like to thank our 22 banking partners for their renewed confidence. Let us move now on the income statement that I will comment together with Grégory. Firstly, you see on the Slide #12, the performance of each of our geographies. And the slide shows the extent to which growth is balanced across all regions, illustrating both the strength and the diversification of the group's business model. France delivered a 5.5% organic growth, and it reflects 3 slightly different dynamics. For elderly care, retirement homes that represent half of our activities in France, they were -- they delivered a very strong growth momentum, driven by a recovery of 2 points in occupancy rate and a good price momentum. We are also seeing very strong activity in the home care segment, whether for a pretty fee franchise or for shared housing in [indiscernible] rural areas. And however, growth was a little bit more moderate in the health care specialty care sector due to the impact of a change in the pricing framework for rehabilitation and mental health, but the new framework is now in place in '25 and '26 will be clearer in terms of further growth. Germany posted one of the group's strongest growth rates, thanks to a twofold effect of volume and price recovery following the very heavy penalty related to inflation we suffered in terms of operating costs, which was compounded by a time lag in adjusting regulated prices. We are now well on the way to turning to normal profitability, and Grégory will comment later on, on the margin, and we are well positioned for the future in this major geography for us. Benelux region, meaning Belgium and the Netherlands continue to enjoy strong growth momentum, underpinned by growth in all segments, notably with the opening and ramp-up of new capacity in the Netherlands. Italy's top line growth is more moderate due actually to a full capacity installed base in the medical and social sector. Today, in Italy, growth is mainly driven by health services and outpatient care, financed by supplementary health insurance. This is where growth will come on from the future. Lastly, Spain posted the strongest organic growth. The minus 5% declined in reported revenue in this region was only due to the disposal of activities of the United Kingdom that were reported together with the Spain revenue. Let me give you a few explanation by segment. So you see here on the Slide #13 that the revenue growth in '24 reflects a balanced momentum across all the group's businesses with organic growth average at 6.6%. If you look first at the nursing home segment, which accounts for 62% of revenue, recorded organic growth of 7.2%, so more than the average of the company. The growth was very evenly balanced between volume with a plus 2% occupancy rate improvement in average and price that is returning -- that is actually reflecting the favorable impact of growing specialization, greater medical intensity in generative care and supportive price regulation that takes better into account the complexity of care delivered. The second segment is Specialty Care, encompassing both post-acute and mental health in France, in Italy and in Spain, and it accounts for just over 1/4 of revenue. It posted slightly more modest organic growth of 3.9%, driven by the rise in volume in outpatient care. And the final segment is home services and shared housing, which account for 12% of our business volume and recorded the strongest organic growth with an increase of 9.4%. This growth was driven by the year-after-year success of our [ pacific ] network franchise in France. On Slide #14, let me give you a few comments on the occupancy rate in elderly care that is, of course, a critical metric for this segment of activity. As you can see here on the slide, we are starting from the low point of 2022, which marked the end of the acute phase of COVID pandemic. Slide 24, the average occupancy rate has risen to well over 90% with continuous growth across all geographies. This trend accelerated at the end of the year with an average rate of 91.4% in December 2024, an improvement of 2 points compared with December 2023. I will now hand over to Grégory for the rest of the income statement. Grégory, the floor is yours.
Grégory Lovichi
executiveThank you, Sophie. Ladies and gentlemen, good afternoon. So let's start by looking at the revenue bridge on Slide 15. So Clariane's revenue growth in 2024 was driven by 3 complementary factors. First, the volume effect contributed EUR 122 million, representing a 2.5% increase, mainly supported by higher occupancy rates in nursing homes, then the positive dynamics of health care activities in France and Spain and last, but not least, the growth of home care services in France. Second, the Price & Mix effect had a positive impact of EUR 204 million, plus 4.1%, reflecting strong tariff adjustment across all regions, particularly in nursing homes with notable contribution from Germany. Third, these positive effects largely offset the negative perimeter impact of minus EUR 91 million, resulting from asset disposals across all our geographies as well as a decline in real estate development activity at [indiscernible]. Overall, this growth dynamic demonstrates the resilience of the group's model, which effectively combines volume expansion, price adjustments and a strategic refocus on priority markets. On Slide 16, the EBITDA performance in 2024 varied across geographies, illustrating the group's adaptability to different market conditions. In France, EBITDA was margin fell by 70 basis points, excluding real estate due to a lower contribution across this real estate development activities and the impact of the reform in specialized health care services. Conversely, Germany recorded a spectacular over 21% increase in EBITDAR driven by tariff catch-up, improved occupancy rates and efficiency initiatives, resulting in a 240 basis point rebound in margin. Benelux, EBITDA remained solid with a 7.2% increase, although margins contracted slightly. Italy posted a 30 basis point margin improvement, supported by a high occupancy rate. Spain saw a strong improvement, reflecting better operational performance in that region. At group level, the EBITDAR margin reached 21.8%, down 50 basis points due to disposals and real estate arbitrage, but this margin improved 30 basis points when excluding the real estate development contribution supported by business growth, tight cost control and the ongoing recovery in Germany. On Slide 17, looking at EBITDA evolution in '24, the results reflect a mix positive drivers and external pressures impacting profitability. Higher volumes contributed positively with a plus EUR 30 million impact. The price effect generated an additional EUR 204 million, supported by tariff adjustments across all geographies, but this was offset by cost inflation of EUR 171 million, particularly due to rising consumption costs in France, Germany and Benelux, as well as by the end of COVID subsidies in Germany. The net impact of this factor on EBITDA was EUR 21 million with no effect on margin. Changes in scope driven by asset disposal had a negative impact of minus EUR 17 million. Additionally, lower real estate development activity reduced EBITDA by EUR 53 million. As a result, group EBITDA reached EUR 605 million with a margin of 11.5%, representing a 70 basis point decline from 2023. However, when adjusting for real estate and disposals, the margin increased by 30 basis points, confirming the resilience of our model and our ability to mitigate inflationary pressures. Let's now move on to cash flow. On Slide 19. In 2024, the strong cash flow generation enabled a significant reduction in net debt, which decreased by EUR 435 million or EUR 409 million, excluding IAS 17. Operating cash flow was up by EUR 112 million over the period, helped by a significant improvement in working capital requirements and disciplined investment in maintenance. This was a key factor in the reduction in net debt. This improvement was also driven by the successful execution of the financial restructuring plan, which proceeds from the capital increase in September of '24 and asset disposals completed during the year. Lower development and M&A CapEx also contributes with spending reduced to EUR 184 million from EUR 315 million in '23. Overall, excluding maintenance investments, the group invested around EUR 240 million. Net of sales and leaseback, this amount is slightly below EUR 200 million, in line with our expectations. Net proceeds from disposal contributed EUR 391 million, further strengthening the group's delevering capacity. Certain factors partially offset this positive impact. First, dividend payment and other outflow increased notably due to the deconsolidation of Ages&Vie. Then financial charges rose significantly, whereas 2023 has benefited from the hedge unwinding. Lastly, the contribution from real estate partnership was lower and the repayment of the EUR 90 million ORA linked to the U.K. disposal also weighed on available cash flow. Overall, the strengthening of the financial structure allowed the group to reduce debt while maintaining investment at a level aligned with its development needs and deleveraging objectives. Let's now turn to the balance sheet. On Slide 21, the gross real estate portfolio value stood at EUR 2.6 billion at the end of '24, down EUR 395 million year-on-year. This decrease was mainly due to a EUR 309 million [indiscernible] impact following asset disposal in the U.K., Netherlands, Spain, France and Belgium. Market effects also had a negative impact of EUR 150 million, combining a EUR 59 million positive indexation effect and a EUR 203 million negative impact from an increased cap rate, which reached 6.4% versus 5.94% at the end of '23. Investment totaled EUR 58 million, supporting the maintenance and modernization of the real estate portfolio. This evolution aligns with the group's strategy of portfolio optimization and financial discipline, ensuring a prudent approach to investment and asset management. Slide 22. The group's financial structure significantly improved in 2024 with a substantial reduction in Wholeco leverage, which decreased from 6.2x at the end of '23 to 5.8x at the end of '24. This improvement was driven by the positive impact of capital increases and asset disposal completed during the year, together with improvement in operating cash flow. OpCo leverage remained stable at 3.8x, while the loan-to-value ratio dropped from 61% in 2023 to 57% in 2024, reflecting the reduction in our debt. This trajectory confirms the group's ability to reinforce its financial position and secure its refinancing commitments in an increasingly demanding environment. Then on Slide 23, the debt maturity profile was strengthened through extending maturities, providing the group with greater visibility over its financial structure. The maturity of the syndicated loan and the new real estate financing was [ extending ] on to May '29, subject to the repayment, refinancing or extension of EUR 300 million in debt before February 2027 as well as EUR 480 million in maturities scheduled for '28 before May 2028. This proactive approach allows the group to extend the average maturity of its debt and secure its financing sources. I will now hand it back to Sophie to conclude on our outlook for the current fiscal year and the 2023-2026 period.
Sophie Boissard
executiveThank you very much [Foreign Language]. So turning on to our outlook for '25 and for the period '23-'26. We are confirming the group's trajectory of growth and improved financial performance. To be more specific, in '25, we expect organic sales growth of around 5%, underpinned by strong momentum both in price and in volume, particularly in France, Germany and by ramp-up effects in the Netherlands and in Spain. This growth momentum, combined with tight control of our operating costs in the context of lower inflation of around 2% will underpin growth in pre-IFRS 16 EBITDA of between 6% and 9%, enhance an increase in our margin. In terms of our financial structure, we are aiming to reduce our Wholeco leverage to below 5.5x, thanks both to the improvement in financial performance and to the effects of the remaining part of our disposal plan. These financial objectives are, of course, accompanied by extra financial objectives. We aim to maintain the Net Promoter Score NPS at the same high level that we delivered until now. We aim to maintain the number of degree courses at over 7,000, and we aim to pursue the reduction in the frequency of work-related accidents and in our carbon footprint according to our SBTi trajectory. In terms of our midterm objective for the period '23, '26 as a whole, we are confirming the target we gave one year ago at our Capital Market Day of an average annual growth rate in revenue of around 5%. We are also confirming the improvement in margins with a target increase of 100 to 150 basis points by '26 pro forma for disposal and '23-'26 scope effects. And we expect the Wholeco leverage to be below 5x at the end of '26, consolidating the group's financial structure and the recovery in operating performance. Our ESG commitment remains also unchanged on those we communicated one year ago. The achievement of our refinancing plan, the strong business momentum and the strong fundamentals of our business portfolio means that we can look forward to '25 with a great deal of focus and confidence. In '25, more than ever, we will remain focused on our purpose, taking care of each person's humanity in times of vulnerability. Thank you very much for your attention, and we remain with Grégory together are ready to answer to your questions.
Unknown Executive
executiveSophie and Grégory. We have a first question on the disposal process. Could you give an update on the disposal process? You mentioned that there are several transactions that are ongoing. Can we expect large or smaller operations over the year to come?
Sophie Boissard
executiveSo we take actually from the '24 experience that we come out with good outcomes if we are able to drive in parallel several transaction processes of various size. And this is exactly what we are doing currently. We have several disposal streams ongoing covering all our geographies and actually encompassing both operating assets and real estate assets or the combination of the two. And we are going to be, I would say, very opportunistic in the one we will push to the end, provided that they contribute to the deleveraging. This is where we are, and we are pretty confident to complete the program in good terms and condition and to contribute to deleveraging process.
Unknown Executive
executiveWe have another question here on the web chat, which is regarding the credit rating. I have a question. Do you intend to -- does Clariane intend to obtain credit rating? Does the company intend to call a selling hybrid bond this year?
Grégory Lovichi
executiveYes. Thanks for the question. So as we are mentioning, after the extension of maturities with our banking partners, the group and to consider any other opportunities to extend the maturity of its debt. And in that program, we may as well review to have a credit rating or credit rating could be an option. That was the first point. Yes, the [ sterling ] agreed was not called last year. Therefore, the step-up is now in effect. And the next call date is in June 2025. And I think we'll -- we have -- not any new announcement to make on this instrument.
Sophie Boissard
executiveAt this stage. So we are really focusing on executing the last part of the plan in order to consolidate our financial structure. And so we are going step by step plans as we said.
Unknown Executive
executiveSophie, Grégory, we have 2 questions from the live webcast. So please, would you hand the mic for the Alexander.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] we'll now proceed to take our first question from Alexander [indiscernible] of Bernstein.
Unknown Analyst
analystI just have a quick one. If you could explain a little bit how you expect the dropdown of price increases into your EBITDA margin? How is that going to evolve? Because we had a big offset of input cost increases that have basically offset the price hikes in the just reported year. So should we expect a little bit more operating leverage coming through in the coming years?
Sophie Boissard
executiveYes. Thank you very much for the question. Yes, I think that we have actually been able to cover -- more than cover the cost evolution, thanks to the catch-up we've done in the pricing, but it was actually mainly covering price inflation, especially in Germany and to a certain extent also in France. The next price increase, and we do not have a complete knowledge of how the price increase is going to look like in France. We are still waiting for the final index to come. And hopefully, since the bill passed a few days ago is actually guiding on a plus [ 4% ] increase of the index, both for elderly care and post-acute. So actually, we expect that the price, the rate increase for '25 are going to contribute to a little bit more than what we have anticipated to the margin recovery.
Unknown Analyst
analystVery clear. And then just a quick detail on the Netherlands occupancy rate. I know that we're coming from a lower point now because you have a new facility opening there that was dilutive to your occupancy rates. What should we expect on that front in the Netherlands in the next couple of years? Should it go up to like above 80% and towards 90%?
Sophie Boissard
executiveYes. I'm expecting actually on mature facilities in the Netherlands. Of course, it's smaller size. So smaller size means, of course, if you miss one resident, you see it on the occupancy percentage. But one can expect something in run rate between 85% and 90%. So there is still a significant growth contribution in the Netherlands with actually a pretty good contribution from a price point of view. So it's a growing and contributive geography for sure.
Unknown Analyst
analystAnd what's the time line to get to that 85%, 90%, two years, three years.
Sophie Boissard
executiveFrom the first day of opening is two years.
Operator
operatorAnd we will now take our next question from Ethan Garber of Imperial Capital.
Ethan Garber
analystJust seeing that you've got a little under EUR 600 million of maturities this year, is it still an open opportunity as it had been in the past for Schuldschein holders to swap into something resembling the syndicated loan facility? And you already answered another person's question about the hybrid British pound per that could be callable this year. Is that the same answer that you may not plan action on the other hybrid as well that's coming due next year -- that rather is callable next year, the 7/8. And that's my question.
Grégory Lovichi
executiveThe maturities for 2025, you need that part of it is linked to the factoring that we will roll forward for an extension for longer yes on this one. And then the real estate debt as well, we will roll it for a longer year as well on maturities. So what we need to have in mind for 2025, it's a low year in terms of maturities. We don't have a lot of reimbursement of maturities this year. And this is the first point that we have in terms of the debt, and this is the way you need to read the maturity.
Unknown Executive
executiveIf we go back to the questions in the webcast. We have a question on the real estate partnerships. Could you kindly explain the bridge mechanism within the real estate partnership? I seem to see that you have had EUR 230 million of cash in. However, there seems to be a cash out of EUR 134 million.
Grégory Lovichi
executiveYes. So if you refer to the Page 19 and your question refer to the Page 19, you see that you have capital increase of plus EUR 172 million. So this is a net around we get a cash in of EUR 300 million from the capital increase. And then we made a reimbursement of EUR 90 million in terms of ORA following the U.K. sale with real estate partnership after the sale of the platform. So it's a net between plus EUR 300 million, minus EUR 90 million. And this is the way you need to read this capital or real estate partnership on the line on the Page 19.
Unknown Executive
executiveWe have some questions around the EBITDA and the EBIT guidance. What would be the 2024 EBITDA pro forma for the disposed EBITDA to date? Is the [ 2026 ] guidance for the EBITDA net of disposals? And then the same question would apply to the leverage guidance as well. Is it net of disposals or not?
Grégory Lovichi
executiveOkay. So the first question on 2024 EBITDA, the perimeter of the scope effect on 2024 EBITDA was EUR 17 million and mainly U.K. and some activity actually in France. So that EBITDA will be lower EUR 17 million compared to what we have shown due to the scope effect first. Second question on the guidance, the guidance on EBITDA is a pro forma guidance, meaning that it will always need to be treated from the disposal and scope effect. And last, but not least, on the leverage one, leverage guidance is an absolute guidance, taking into account the disposal program. So that was for the 3 questions.
Unknown Executive
executiveWe have a question on the refinancing, which is similar to one we had earlier. Is there any opportunity to refinance the Schuldschein or other bonds going forward? And is there any financing pressure still around?
Grégory Lovichi
executiveSo like we are mentioning 2025, and you can see as well, 2026 are [ lower ], if I may say, in terms of amount to be reimbursed. So we have 2 years. The next big moment will be 2027 with the extension of the financing of the [indiscernible]. And meaning that from now on, we will continue to work and look any opportunity we have on the market to access to new instrument or new financing for the next year.
Sophie Boissard
executiveAnd so we are going to work on a very pragmatic and opportunistic way in order to best use the 2 years to come.
Unknown Executive
executiveThank you very much. We have a question on the net financial debt of EUR 3.445 billion and the EUR 650 million of the EBITDA. I think there are some questions on how exactly the leverage ratio is calculated.
Grégory Lovichi
executiveSo the calculation -- the basis of the leverage that is the leverage ratio you are mentioning is the debt of EUR 3.374 billion, meaning that is the net debt the [ JV ] receivable deduction. And on the EBITDA side, there are still some contractual adjustments you have on your EBITDA, but you need to retain the EUR 605 million EBITDA as a kind of a basis before the adjustment we have contractually negotiated with the bank.
Unknown Executive
executiveThank you, Grégory. The next question is around the investments, i.e., the development CapEx, the M&A CapEx, sorry, and real estate. What do we think that this will look like as we go into 2025 and to 2026?
Grégory Lovichi
executiveSo on the CapEx side, we remain for the maintenance around 2% of the total turnover that will be allocated to maintenance CapEx. And we confirm the approx EUR 200 million for development and other M&A CapEx for the year to come. So we confirm what we have mentioned already and what we have delivered this year.
Unknown Executive
executiveAnd maybe we have another question here on the growth range to come in 2025 of the EBITDA. We see this as being guided between 6% and 9%. Can you tell us the main drivers of that EBITDA growth?
Sophie Boissard
executiveYes. The EBITDA growth will be very much about the contribution of the recently opened capacities in Spain, in the Netherlands and to a certain extent, also in France with the outpatient care on the specialty care. So there will be the new -- the additional volume contributing plus the regaining of roughly 2 points of occupation in volume, both France and Germany, are the only geographies where we have a significant upside in volume to come in existing network in elderly care. So that's for the volume part. And this volume is, of course, contributing to the margin because it's actually a better usage of existing operating cost in place. There is only a marginal additional cost to be allocated here. And most of the top line growth is going to come from the repricing also expected further repricing in Germany. So the second part of the offsets of the time line we had -- we suffered in '23 and that we started to recover in '24. So there is this pricing contribution, as I said before, this is going to be to offset more of the operating cost. And that's the second part. We have started -- we have launched mid-'24 a performance plan called Better Support, where we are actually actively managing the operating cost, be it the staff cost and the cost of labor in general or the supplier and the procurement part plus SG&A, and this is also going to support very significantly the margin recovery. So we have several levers to make sure that we do not only deliver growth, additional revenue, but this is more than transformed into EBITDA and into cash.
Unknown Executive
executiveThe next question is more specifically on the SMR activity. Can you tell us more about the SMR clinic reform and quantify the effects on the top line and the margin for French Specialized Care? How would you see furthermore going forward, the margins for the SMR clinics? Can we see this improving going forward?
Sophie Boissard
executiveIt's actually -- so SMR is representing EUR 600 million of revenue. So it's a significant part of the specialty care in France and it's significant at group level. Last year, we had actually to follow a complete change in the regulation there coming from a day -- a payment per day, based index on the rate that was actually defined per specialty clinic by clinic. And so the authorities decided to come for global budget. [indiscernible] designed based on an index that is supposed to reflect the level of specialty and the local environment. So this has been a complete reshuffling of the pricing environment for this activity, and there has been a lot of mistake or uncertainty in the tariff framework that we -- that has been actually costing us some percentage points in terms of margin and representing roughly something around EUR 15 million to EUR 20 million of EBITDA missed last year, very much because of this confusion created by the new tariff scheme. In the meantime, meanwhile, the French authorities have actually acknowledged that they've done some mistake, and there will be a catch-up delivered in the rate framework and allocation for '25. So this being, I would say, corrected I think -- and globally, we are going to have a lot of upside for this scope for 2 reasons actually, because we have 80 post-acute clinics in France located in the various regions. We are more and more seen as a critical partner for hospitals that are pushed to reduce the average duration of stays and also have to rely on the post-acute facilities to do post-acute parts. And second, there is a growing demand on the outpatient. And we have been able to open, thanks to the large CapEx plan we delivered in the previous year, we have been able to open outpatient units in all the facilities. So going forward, I see actually a lot of opportunities in terms of further volume growth, especially on the outpatient. And now that we have a stabilized price environment, we can, of course, also use -- better use the case mix in this post-acute segment. So my vision here is that it is going to contribute again to a margin recovery in France. What we -- the 2024 was kind of about 70 bps of margin downwards for France related to this new SMR tariff scheme. We target not only to recover the 70 bps of margin, EBITDA margin, EBITDA margin gap, but to actually, I would say, in the next 2 to 3 years to see a significant upside coming from the outpatient development in all our facilities. We are targeting an outpatient growth, just to explain, it's representing currently something like 13% to 14% of revenue, and we expect at least a 15% to 20% growth in the next 2 years on this specific price of the activity. So this will be for sure dilutive in terms of margin.
Operator
operatorNext question is coming live from [indiscernible].
Unknown Analyst
analystMaybe for the first question, I'll follow up on the conversation you just had. Could you elaborate in terms of the new pricing regime, how does it -- it sounds like it's fixed for each clinic. So how are you going to benefit from the volume increase that you mentioned, in particular, in outpatient care?
Sophie Boissard
executiveVery good question. Actually, half of the regime is fixed. So I mean, each clinic gets a fixed budget that is related to the specialty that are provided in the clinic and half -- the remaining part is related to the activity. So I would say on the full -- on the inpatient part, actually, we are capped by the capacities that are authorized. On the outpatient part is actually very much more flexible where the more we deliver outpatient care, of course, there is a patient need there, the better we benefit from it with a limited amount of capital to be deployed. I hope it's clear enough.
Unknown Analyst
analystYes. A few questions from me, mainly on the cash flow statement. So maybe with disposals first. So 2 questions there. One is, you mentioned that you've realized EUR 504 million of disposals in 2024. Now when I look at the cash flow statement, I see 2 numbers in there. In the presentation, I see EUR 391 million inflow. And in another cash flow statement, I see EUR 286 million inflow. So I just wanted to clarify the difference between these numbers and maybe understand what the leakage is or maybe there is some sort of timing difference that is not being captured there.
Grégory Lovichi
executiveVery good question. On the -- what we say is that we secured EUR 500 million of disposal. When you see the cash flow statement of EUR 391 million, part of this will be cashed in, in 2025. And so you have kind of a cutoff effect between what we have secured and what has been cashed in, that's the point. And with the other net, you have some net of calculation of reimbursement of debt. This is how you bridge the gap between the secured cash flow statement and the last [ position ].
Unknown Analyst
analystOn the [ R&V ] receivable, the EUR 71 million, could you please clarify what is the expected collection of schedule for that or timing?
Grégory Lovichi
executiveI would say this one, we mentioned it. It's more for a calculation of the loan to value. I think it's something that we need to see at the calculation for the ratio that we have in agreement with the bank. This is why we mentioned it.
Unknown Analyst
analystBut is this something that you're expecting to collect or no?
Sophie Boissard
executiveYes. This is exactly facing an external debt that we have on the balance sheet and as that has been put back to back with [ ADV ], which, as you know, was consolidated before and is no longer consolidated. So it's really just, I would say, an accounting effect of the deconsolidation that is then obviously canceled through the treatment.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. Then on the CapEx, could you please comment on the development CapEx in particular? So as you spend this EUR 200 million per annum, can you give a bit more color as to where you're seeing the most accretive opportunities? How many incremental rooms is the EUR 200 million equivalent to? And sort of what ROIs do you target for this spend?
Sophie Boissard
executiveActually, we have a pipeline to be executed in the years to come, mainly the remaining part of the outpatient development in the clinic. So it's less rooms than actually additional capacities that are going to support further growth in that segment. And we actually aim to increase the capacities roughly of 1% on the elderly care year-on-year in the next 3 years. So that's basically what the maintenance -- what the development CapEx, sorry, is about. And of course, there are some -- that's a very limited one because we've done the most of it, some upgrading program that are not reflected into additional capacities, but into better pricing of the service we offer to better yield, especially for France. And basically, that's the core of this program. So 1% capacity plus outpatient in the specialty care.
Unknown Analyst
analystGot you. And I know that you have, at least in some of the previous reporting, you had sort of untapped real estate equity partnership lines with a couple of institutions. Are you using those facilities as well to finance these developments?
Sophie Boissard
executiveYes, you're right. We have one major partnership with Banque des Territoires in France that is going to be the key vitals to develop this additional outpatient capacities for specialty care for post-acute care in France. There are currently 5 projects ongoing there. So this is -- this vital is co-owned but deconsolidated. And actually, we are doing the development for. So we are actually the ones that are delivering the project for this vital.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. And lastly, if I may, 3 quick financial questions. So on the nonrecurring items, you had EUR 100 million last year. It seems a little bit high. So maybe just to understand what drives it and what we should expect for next year. Two is with the rigid and the capital structure, what's the total estimated interest spend in 2025? And third question, more of a technical one, but what is the methodology to calculate this EBITDA, excluding real estate development, which is, I think, a new metric?
Grégory Lovichi
executiveOn the first one, the noncurrent expenses decreased compared to last year. 2024 is lower than 2023. Mainly what you have is EUR 67 million linked to gain and loss of disposal of assets, part of the disposal plan. Then we have EUR 50 million impairment of assets, totally noncash, remaining are related to reorganization as mainly linked to the disposal program. On the second point on the financial expenses, and we mentioned it as well on the [ CP ] we have an increase of EUR 20 million this year linked to the usage of the revolving line plus increase in margin. And then we have as well some effect in 2023 coming from the unwinding of the hedging. This was one-off in '23. We don't have it anymore in '24. And [indiscernible] in '24, if we continue to deleverage, we will not fully use the revolving line. So it can help you as well to see where we go. And last, but not least, your last question was on the EBITDA before development of real estate. We just took over in 2023 an extraordinary items with a peak of gain on this real estate development. We did the same in 2024 and the net of the 2 gives you the like-for-like performance.
Sophie Boissard
executiveBut we are not creating specific EBITDA. It's just to reflect actually the fact that the company is actually improving its operating performance on the core business, which is actually operating nursing home and specialty care facilities. And we have -- and this is, of course, more volatile, a complementary activity, which is related to the development activity when we are producing new buildings. And this is, of course, a very cyclical and volatile. So what we just wanted to show here is that '23 has been very much fueled by the last part of the development activities since we have reduced very sharply the level of investment and will continue to do so, the contribution of real estate development activity will remain very limited. And like-for-like, I think the right vision of our operating performance needs to be focused on the core of what we do, which is actually operating care and specialty care facilities.
Unknown Executive
executiveWe have another question on the webcast. Are the assets that you're selling being leased back? And if so, could you provide guidance on the leases in terms of balance sheet and P&L and price? What is the cap rate on the assets that are being sold and leased back?
Grégory Lovichi
executiveSo yes, we've done around EUR 50 million of leaseback transaction in 2024, which means that in accounting treatment, we enter into a rental agreement and we register IFRS 16 debt in front of the duration of the lease. And this transaction were done at cap rate close to the cap rate we used to value [indiscernible].
Sophie Boissard
executiveSo definitely, yes, the rent can be calculated by using the cap rate we are communicating geography by geography. So there are no extraordinary rent effort. We make it according to market condition and making sure that the effort rate is below 50% of the EBITDA are generated on these assets. That's our, I would say, common practice here.
Unknown Executive
executiveThere's a number of questions on both the debt maturity schedule and the refinancing strategy. So I hope you don't mind, I'm going to sort of list them here, and hopefully, we can cover [indiscernible]. So there is a question on the maturity schedule on the term loan and the RCF. Has this already been reduced? And how can we look at that? Does the RCF have to be undrawn for the [ ACF ] if they could be extended in February '27 and May 2028. So those I think are the main questions on the SFA. On the debt maturity schedule, we will have another question about the other debt. I think you mentioned this earlier, but it's worth maybe going over what is the EUR 199 million of other debt that's on the -- that's in 2025? And what's the strategy to refinance the public debt? And are you concerned about the cost of debt? I appreciate there was a lot of questions there. Let me know if you want me to come back.
Grégory Lovichi
executiveMaybe on the first one, not the first one. I want to say on what we have into the other corporate debt, it bridge the gap with why we say we have a low amount of maturity in 2025. So EUR 190 million out of the EUR 199 million are factoring, meaning that we expect to roll it over. So this is the point. This is why we need to reduce it. It's mainly then the [indiscernible] and real estate debt that we have in 2025. Then the second question about the maturity and the term loan. Yes, in this maturity schedule, it is pro forma of the new agreement and therefore, shows the reduction of the term loan and the RCF in 2026, which is the latest possible date for investment. Then on the RCF, yes, we have a plan of disposal and cash generation. So the plan and according to our plan, we expect to replace the revolving line notably on that line. And on the financing, and Sophie mentioned it as well, we are on a step by step what we say, the extension of the SFA with the bank. So the first step, it allows us then to ensure we have the best access to the market for the next 2 years to come. So the idea is to say the first step was to extend the maturity with our banks so that we have 2 years to have the best access to the market for the 2 years to come.
Sophie Boissard
executiveAnd when it comes to the cost of debt, actually, we are significantly reducing the indebtness, thanks to the plan. And so I would say we are going to -- if you compare to where we stand -- where we stood '23, we are going to compensate the increased interest rate by more -- by a significant deleveraging and reduce -- reduction of the amount of debt by EUR 1.5 billion at the end of the plan.
Grégory Lovichi
executiveAnd we expect as well our credit spread to contract.
Unknown Executive
executiveSophie we have no more questions. So if you want to conclude.
Sophie Boissard
executiveYes. So thank you very much for your participation. I just want to wrap up and say again that '24 has been a pretty intense year where we were not only able to recover in terms of operating performance with the first recovery in the operating margin of 30 bps, but namely to execute on the plan to strengthen our financial structure. So this is definitely why we look forward with confidence. We have the chance to operate on a segment and on market where actually the fundamentals are very well oriented. We see that the needs are there, the demand is there, and we tend to be a major element on the public health answer to demographics and chronic patient challenges. So that's why actually based on the quality of the portfolio, a very strong commitment of the team, we are after the, I would say, the challenging '23, the recovery '24, looking at '25 with great confidence. Thank you very much for your attention.
Operator
operatorThank you. This concludes today's call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
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