Corebridge Financial, Inc. (CRBG) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

September 3, 2025

NYSE US Financials Financial Services conference_presentation 36 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Ryan Krueger

analyst
#1

Good afternoon, everyone. I'm Ryan Krueger, life insurance analyst at KBW. It's great to have Corebridge up on stage and Kevin Hogan, the CEO. Also want to acknowledge Elias Habayeb, CFO; Isil Muderrisoglu; and Josh Smith from Investor Relations. I got -- I worked on pronouncing that.

Ryan Krueger

analyst
#2

Kevin, so it's been about 3 years since the IPO of Corebridge. Can you discuss the progress that the company has made over that time frame and how you feel the company's position going forward?

Kevin Hogan

executive
#3

Yes, absolutely. Thanks. And first of all, I appreciate the opportunity to be here. Nice to see everyone. It's hard to believe, in 2 weeks, we'll celebrate the 3-year anniversary of our IPO. And I'm very proud of and very pleased with the performance of our team, our partners and our business since that time. We're executing on all of the strategies necessary to deliver on the targets that we set at the time of the IPO. We said we would deliver a 12% to 14% ROE. In 2024, we delivered that. We said we'd achieve a 60% to 65% payout ratio, excluding transactions. And we've been able to be delivering on that. And we indicated we would maintain the strength of our balance sheet at a 400% RBC ratio. And we've been able to grow the business while doing that. The 4 levers that we're pulling, the 4 elements of the strategy start with organic growth. And since the time of the IPO, we've been able to increase our sales -- annual sales volume on average around 30%, just as an example. The second element is balance sheet optimization. And through a number of transactions, including most recently our variable annuity reinsurance transaction, we've demonstrated a lot of optimization of our liability portfolio. But through the course of the last couple of years, we've also engaged in some attractive asset repositioning. We said that we would focus on expense efficiencies. And since the time of the IPO, we've reduced our annual run rate expenses by around $400 million, and we indicated we would engage in active capital management. And on top of that 30% growth in our annual sales, we've been able to return $6 billion to our shareholders since the time of the IPO, even before the proceeds from the variable annuity transactions. So we feel good that we're on track and delivering on all of our targets. We've also simplified the company since the time of the IPO. We have divested our international subsidiaries, and then we engaged in the big derisking transaction, generating $2.1 billion in proceeds on the VA sales. So we improved our risk profile, we improved our earnings quality. We are now a pure-play U.S.-focused retirement and life insurance provider. We go to market with 4 market-leading businesses. And each of those businesses are in a very strong position, and they're all supported by the same macro tailwinds that really drives the opportunity for our industry and for our company. And that's the aging of America, the fact that people realize they need to look after themselves and a very supportive adviser community. So with the economic conditions where they are, we very much expect to deliver on that 10% to 15% per year growth in earnings per share over time. And ultimately, we're 3 years old. Like many start-ups, we feel like we're just getting started.

Ryan Krueger

analyst
#4

Great. Well, you mentioned the variable annuity transaction a couple of times, I wanted to dig into that a little bit. There's a very large transaction you are doing with Venerable where you're exiting your entire variable annuity business on the retail side. Can you talk more about why you decided to do that, both strategically and financially?

Kevin Hogan

executive
#5

Absolutely. So look, variable annuity was an important growth engine for us for many years. And the reality is, is that customer interest, adviser interest started moving away from the traditional VA business quite a while ago. And this portfolio has been in decline and negative outflows for 8 years. So it's ultimately a kind of a declining asset, and we saw the opportunity to monetize that declining asset, and we're able to achieve a transaction that we believe has been very, very attractive for our shareholders. With the reality is that this type of business is not very well valued by our investors, it's not appreciated by our investors. So the multiple that investors attribute to it versus what we could achieve in a transaction were at very different areas. And that's why we believe this is the single biggest source of value creation we've achieved since the IPO itself. So ultimately, financially, it was very attractive with the proceeds of $2.1 billion. That's a multiple around 7x, ultimately, the earnings. I think that, that is really ultimately an attractive transaction, simplify the company, reduce the risk, create great value for shareholders. And with those proceeds, we are allocating the substantial majority of the proceeds to returning capital to shareholders in the form of buybacks, and I'll get back to that in a second. But we also are investing in further organic growth in our business and investing in capabilities to support that organic growth. So in terms of the actual transaction itself, we've closed on 90% of the value of the transaction, which is our legal entity in Texas, AGL. And those proceeds will go through the normal dividend distribution process from the insurance company to the parent. We expect to begin to put those to work in the fourth quarter of this year. And then we will continue the buyback program, and we expect that this whole transaction will be accretive by the second half of next year, and we'll get through the buyback program by then. So ultimately, I think this is a great source of value creation. That's an excellent transaction. We structured it in a way to protect ourselves from the various elements of risk associated with the transaction like that. And it's allowing our company, it's allowing our management to now fully focus on the future opportunities, which are many.

Ryan Krueger

analyst
#6

So you did the variable annuity transaction. You also divested your international businesses since the IPO. Is there anything else that could be a potential opportunity from a reinsurance standpoint that could create further value for shareholders? And what are the key criteria you look at when you think about things like that?

Kevin Hogan

executive
#7

Absolutely. We're always looking for opportunities to create shareholder value. Transactions are an additional way for us to do that. And as we look at opportunities, what we're looking for are transactions that are accretive, both in terms of economic value, but also structure. And so to the extent that there are opportunities similar to the transaction that we did on VA, where we can achieve attractive economics where we make the company better, and we're able to structure in a protective way the elements of this transaction, then we'll look at that as part of our available opportunities. And then in terms of how to deploy the capital associated with that, we'll also run that through our disciplined process of thinking about capital management at that time.

Ryan Krueger

analyst
#8

Moving to expenses. So you mentioned you've completed the Corebridge Forward program of the $400 million annual expense saves. What were the key things that drove those expense saves? And then do you see further room for more efficiency gains going forward, whether it be in dollars or more like an expense ratio?

Kevin Hogan

executive
#9

Yes, absolutely. So Corebridge Forward was our modernization and efficiency program we launched at the time of the IPO. There were 3 major components to it. The first was increasing our work with outsourcing partners. And ultimately, there's a process called compressed transformation associated with that. That's where we move the middle and back-office activities over to our partner. And then the process after that is to invest in automation and digitization of those underlying processes and then ultimately, to bring in more advanced tools like artificial intelligence to improve the customer distribution partner experience and position ourselves for the long-term future. So that outsourcing is an important contributor to the saves associated with the Forward program. The second element was our IT modernization. We moved all of our IT administration to 1 version of the cloud or another that allowed us to completely exit our data centers, and we sold our data centers. So we're completely out of that and of the infrastructure. And then the third element of Corebridge Forward is what I think of is hygiene. We improved some of our procurement practices. We rationalized our real estate footprint. In many ways, this was the rightsizing of the company for the business that we are, and that's just a jumping off point for us because in looking at the opportunity beyond Corebridge Forward, our intention is to drive down our unit costs. And so we continue to invest in automation and digitization, particularly in the finance and the actuarial areas. We recently completed and are in the process of completing an early retirement program, which start -- further repositions the company for the future. And a part of that will be additional savings that drops to the bottom line. But a part of it, we will use to continue investing in automation and digitization and building new capabilities for the long-term future of the business. All of these things will further improve our operating leverage. But I will add that whilst we've made dramatic improvement in expenses and a lot of progress, it isn't going to be linear all the time. And in fact, as we look at the second half of this year, we would expect that rather than our normal run rate, our compensation expenses are around $25 million higher than what our normal run rate would be because of the fact of our performance relative to our plan. But longer term, we expect to continue to drive our unit costs down, and that's going to happen through further automation, efficiency and organizational design.

Ryan Krueger

analyst
#10

Maybe just a quick clarification. Is the $25 million, will that be spread through the 2 quarters or it will be in 1 specific quarter?

Kevin Hogan

executive
#11

Yes.

Ryan Krueger

analyst
#12

Spread through the two?

Kevin Hogan

executive
#13

Yes.

Ryan Krueger

analyst
#14

Okay. I guess, shifting more to the growth side of the business. Individual annuity sales in the U.S. I think were around $250 billion for 15 straight years, and now they're approaching $450 billion. So they're up significantly. What would you attribute that to for the industry and for Corebridge? And when you look forward, do you think that the industry can continue to maintain that type of higher level of sales or continue to grow it going forward?

Kevin Hogan

executive
#15

Yes, I absolutely do. I think that the trends for the business continue to be very, very strong. Let's start with the macro drivers. So there's 3 main drivers. One is the aging of America. Peak 65, whatever you want to call it, 4 million people turning 65 this year and pretty much every year for the foreseeable future. And even looking beyond Peak 65, if you look at the shape of the demographic pyramid of the country, the shape even looking out to 2050 doesn't necessarily change. There's going to be a continuous recycling from the younger to the older population in a flat demographic pyramid. And that means that this opportunity for the industry is here to stay. The second element that is driving, I think, the conditions for annuities is the fact that people for the first time are finally coming to grips with the fact that they have to look after themselves for their own retirements. They have to look after themselves for that long-term financial planning because many of the available safety nets like defined benefit pensions, et cetera, just aren't there. And so that's driving a lot of the demand side of the equation. And then the third element is the adviser community itself. As the adviser industry continues to professionalize, as there's a new generation, a whole new generation of advisers have discovered the importance, the value of fixed income like investments as part of an asset allocation for a long-term savings plan, that's a third driver of the opportunity for annuities. And so those macro drivers, the tailwinds are there, and they're strong and long term. The second element is the fact that the economic factor most important to pricing annuities at an attractive level is really the 5- to 10-year part of the curve, the belly of the curve. And irrespective of what may happen on the short end, the reality is looking at the forwards for that 5- to 10-year area, it's going to continue to be a very attractive environment for pricing annuities for the medium term. And ultimately, then we look at our own business and the fact that we have a broad range of products and we serve a broad range of channels so that we're able to work through whether they may be competition cycles or market cycles, et cetera, we do expect long-term growth prospects in this business. And irrespective of surrenders, et cetera, with the in-force portfolios, we expect to grow our general accounts and to grow the spread earnings over time. So I don't think that this is a short-term trend with annuities. I think that they have a very important role to play in these long-term financial plans and the conditions are very, very attractive for the business.

Ryan Krueger

analyst
#16

I guess one thing that has happened as the growth has picked up and companies like Corebridge and others have had successes, more competitors have entered the space, particularly focused on spread-based annuities. Can you discuss your view of the competitive environment in annuities at this point? Is it causing much of an impact for you? Are you still able to earn the returns that you're targeting with good growth?

Kevin Hogan

executive
#17

Yes. So the way I think about rationality of competition is whether we can achieve our margins on the new business that we want to write. And right now, we are achieving the margins that we're looking for in that business and all of the products in that business. Some products are more subject to market cycles or external events than others, like fixed annuities, there's a little bit more volatile, but the long-term growth trends are there for index annuity and our most recent product, RILA, which is off to a good start, and I'll come back to that in a minute. So we haven't necessarily seen signs of irrational competition. Now we have a broad range of products, and we work through a broad range of distribution partners. And our strategy is to understand our distribution partners and how think about their strategies and to have enough options for them so that for whichever adviser it is working with a customer, one of our solutions make sense. And that's something that allows us to work kind of beyond some of these competitive cycles because from time to time, a particular competitor or another may choose a promotional pricing strategy in 1 particular channel or 1 particular partner, et cetera. We have enough options that we can focus on putting our new business capital to work where the risk-adjusted returns are the most attractive and the customer needs are the greatest at any given point in time. And we really do understand our distribution partners' needs. And this is, I think, an important differentiator. Around 10 years ago, we established a strategy to focus on the top 50 largest independent distribution organizations in the United States and to understand what their strategies are 2, 3, 4 years down the road so that we can build products and services to integrate ourselves with their strategies for the longer term. And that's led us to differentiating features in our products. So if you look at the retail annuities that we sell, around 40% of them have a feature which is proprietary to a single distribution partner. So we have a different access, a different relationship with many of these distribution partners that facilitates us competing through the cycle. And for example, our RILA product really benefited from the insight we gained working with those distribution partners because before even putting pen to paper on the product itself, we spent 8 months with our largest distribution partners, accessing their advisers and getting insight into what are the most attractive features of the products now in the market because it was a pretty robust market. And then what are the features that are not attractive, and then what might be features that are missing. And then we took all of that back. So when we launched our product, we had best-of-breed for all of the features that were attractive and supported by advisers. And then we layered on additional features which are differentiated for our product. And the response has been outstanding. Even though we launched the product in only late October, by the end of the second quarter, we had already done $1 billion worth of sales. And what I feel particularly good about is not only did we have that success in RILA, in the second quarter, we saw record index sales as well. So we're not seeing any kind of cannibalization effect across them. And then of the advisers that produce the RILA for us, 75% of them are advisers that have already produced other products for us, and 25% of them are actually brand new advisers to producing for us. So that's now an expansion of our distribution footprint, and we have the opportunity to work with them with respect to our other products. So this aspect of the relationship with our distribution partners and how that facilitates our product development engine and our field force that supports it is one of the things that facilitates us competing through these various cycles.

Ryan Krueger

analyst
#18

Great. Maybe shifting to the Group Retirement business. You've been talking for a while about this gradual shift away from spread-based business towards fee-based business. Can you expand on the dynamics that are going on there and how you feel the business is positioned?

Kevin Hogan

executive
#19

Absolutely. Well, I feel the business is positioned extremely well. And the dynamic that's going on is in the 403(b), 457 business, if you go back maybe 15 years ago, new teachers or health care workers, when they were enrolling in plans were almost always enrolling and putting their money into fixed account element of the 403(b) structure, conservative investors et cetera. And gradually, what happened is that the industry moved to an open mutual fund platform. And so the initial investment starting about 10, 15 years ago were going into the open mutual fund platform. Now the fixed account in the 403(b) is a spread -- essentially a spread business, whereas the mutual fund platform is more of a fee business. And so that is kind of the beginning of the transition. You can imagine people that started when they were younger, contributing to the fixed deposits continue to do so. And then now there were younger participants in a group mutual fund, or more recently, an advisory platform. And so the gradual shift that's taking place is that with the aging of the customer base because we've been in this business for decades, right -- are the people that really represent the spread business. And as they're utilizing their accounts that we see that spread business decline, and we're growing the fee income part of the business. And there's 3 parts to the fee income, right? There's the mutual fund platform, in-plan advisory and the out-of-plan advisory. Between those 3 sources of fee income, the asset base is already over $100 billion. And the trend that we've seen is that the majority of the earnings now comes from fee income in that business. And we're reinforcing our value proposition in that business because what happens is really the secret to this business is VALIC Financial Advisors, the 1,100 field force of professionals that we have in place that work with planned sponsors to ensure they have the right options available, they work with enrollees in the plans to make sure they're making smart investment decisions and investing what they should be at the right time. And then they have an opportunity to build that relationship over 20 years or 30 years to the point where that individual may retire and then engage in household asset consolidation, and that's where our advisers really become wealth managers for the upper end of the customer base that's there. And so that -- we have a career opportunity for advisers that includes all of those phases. And the part of the business that really is, I think, the most strategic is those 1.6 million customers that we have that have yet to retire. So we're investing in the adviser base itself. We're growing the adviser footprint for both the in-plan and the out-of-plan/wealth management part of the business. We're also investing in the digital tools necessary to improve the productivity and efficiency of those advisers. So yes, there's going to be a shift in the business from spread to fee income, but this is really a distribution opportunity and a wealth management opportunity as we enhance the tools that we have available to serve those participants in the plans as they age and retire.

Ryan Krueger

analyst
#20

I guess going back the other direction to spread again, one area that started to emerge, it may take time, but is in-plan annuities in 401(k) plans? I know you don't have a 401(k) business, but could there be an opportunity to partner with someone else and where Corebridge could be a provider of an in-plan annuity to be another avenue to grow guaranteed income?

Kevin Hogan

executive
#21

Absolutely. We've actually been actively exploring options for in-plan income for, I think it's over 4 years now. And we have a small team dedicated to that. I believe it's going to be a huge opportunity one day. But it's early in the manifestation of that opportunity, and there's different strategies that are being tried. In-plan annuities is one potential approach to it. That's been maybe the more common one, stripping out elements of benefits or guarantees and incorporating those into plans. There's a variety of different ideas as to how to structure an income benefit into a plan like that. And there are similar opportunities even in IRA platforms and other areas to unbundle the product in certain ways. And so we have a number of efforts going on where we're looking to test and learn about where the ultimate success is going to come from and the ultimate success will come. But I think we're in early stages, and the opportunity is very significant. You just look at the total of the defined contribution asset pool, it's absolutely enormous. And when you add on top of that, the macro trends, the aging and that people are aware they have to look after themselves, even the younger generations below the Baby Boomers are already aware of the fact that they have to look after themselves for that long term. And so I think that's going to continue to drive the need for things like in-plan annuities or unbundled products as part of investment platforms.

Ryan Krueger

analyst
#22

In the Institutional Markets business, one of the product areas is pension risk transfer in the U.S. The market has been a little bit slower in the -- at least so far this year. What do you think is causing that? And then how does the pipeline look going forward?

Kevin Hogan

executive
#23

Look, the pipeline for the U.S. pension risk transfer business continues to look very attractive. And I'll add that it does for the U.K. as well, and we participate in the U.K. as a reinsurer. And the reality is, is that the fundamentals are the reasons why pension risk transfer is attractive for plan sponsors to engage in are still intact, which is that plans are fully funded and their investors would like to see them out of the business of managing a large financial balance sheet exposure. And in our experience, once a company makes a decision to engage in a transaction, they very rarely reverse that decision. And there's lots of companies out there that have made that decision and are working their way through the process. Because these can be sophisticated transactions, they're complex and they do take time to manifest and develop. And that's why you don't necessarily see one every quarter or every 2 quarters, whatever it may be. The pipeline in the U.S. is as strong as we've seen it. Now one thing that can defer action is extreme volatility. So a sponsor that may have made a decision may make a decision to execute later when there's underlying volatility. We saw a little bit of that in the first half. But we continue to see an attractive position in this business. Now we focus on full plan terminations, which is a subset of that market. We made that decision over 10 years ago, and we invested in the administrative capabilities to support the optionality of full plan terminations. And our average transactions are, say, between $0.5 billion and $1.5 billion. We find the economics in the full plan terminations more attractive because there are fewer companies that have built that administrative capability to support those underlying options. So we feel great about our position in the U.S. and the U.K. I think that the reason why it was maybe a little slower in the first half is because of the external sort of volatility. And there is no structural change in the underlying opportunity for pension risk transfer.

Ryan Krueger

analyst
#24

Got it. You've also become a more -- a larger and more regular issuer of GICs. Is there any -- like, are there any practical limits to how big you could grow that business? And then are there any other similar spread lending type of products that you don't offer currently that you could offer?

Kevin Hogan

executive
#25

Look, we're very pleased with our performance in the GIC business. Before the IPO, this is one of the things that we indicated that we could do more with than before the IPO, and we promised to become a more regular issuer, and we have. We relaunched our FABN program. And as of the second quarter, we've issued over $1 billion for 5 quarters in a row. So we've really reestablished ourselves there. But we see opportunities beyond FABNs in the U.S. I'll quickly add that the GIC business is a very financially attractive business. It's a little bit opportunistic, but we definitely -- we transact GICs when we see margins in the mid-teens. And that's what we continue to look for as we incrementally grow that portfolio. We have more room in the balance sheet for GICs than what we've exercised on so far. But don't look to see us shoot to the top of the leaderboard. Like with everything, we will incrementally grow the GIC portfolio with discipline when we see the opportunities. Our liabilities are -- do not include a lot of optionality. So this is a low-risk business, the way that we've managed it. But we do see opportunities beyond the U.S. FABNs, including international issuance potentially and then areas such as private placements, et cetera. But there's a lot of different manifestations for spread businesses beyond GICs, FABNs, et cetera, and we're always open-minded to new opportunities.

Ryan Krueger

analyst
#26

In the Life Insurance business, I guess, can you talk about how it's performing? Also, what differentiates it from some of your peers that have generally been seeing more challenges in that business?

Kevin Hogan

executive
#27

Look, I think our success in the Life business goes back over 10 years ago when we invested in our data infrastructure and started building our automated underwriting capabilities. And then a couple of years later, we made the decision to reposition our product suite to move away from interest-sensitive products to focus on more middle-market products and to build our digital end-to-end capability to simplify transactions in that part of the business, and we've really benefited from that. We've outgrown the market 8 of the last 9 quarters. Our mortality has continued to be better than our pricing expectation more often than not. And we're seeing tremendous growth in that middle market digital platform. So we believe we have built a sustainable competitive advantage there. Our automated underwriting, 80% of our transactions go through without touching a human hand for those eligible transactions. So all of those things are contributing to the success in our Life Insurance business and the fact that we've been disciplined in risk management for many years in that underlying portfolio. So there's a huge opportunity in Life. There's a tremendous amount of underinsurance. There's an awareness of that underinsurance. And I think as technology makes it easier for people to say yes, we will continue to see incremental growth in the Life Insurance business. And that's very valuable to us because aside from the actual earnings that it generates, it's a tremendous source of cash flow. And so the cash flows as well as the earnings and incrementally growing those are extremely attractive relative to our position in the Life Insurance business.

Ryan Krueger

analyst
#28

Great. Nippon Life became a 20% shareholder in December. Other than their ownership stake, do you see any business-related synergies with Nippon as you work together going forward?

Kevin Hogan

executive
#29

Yes, absolutely. In the public domain that we've committed to each other to explore mutual commercial opportunities as part of their original investment in the company. And there's a number of areas we can do that. Nippon Life is a tremendous company. I actually was visiting them just a few weeks ago. And the amount of modernization they've engaged in since the pandemic is really quite something to see. And I think that there's a number of areas that we have opportunities to work with them. One is potentially in the product area. The products in our market, the products in their market are quite different. And the environment is changing in those markets. So there are things that we can learn from each other there. There's opportunities relative to investments and asset management that we have opportunities to explore. And then there's actual digital technologies and operational strategies and things like that relative to their modernization that we're exploring. So we have a structured process in place to evaluate these opportunities, decide which ones to prioritize, and at an appropriate time, we'll be happy to be more public about what some of those might be.

Ryan Krueger

analyst
#30

Now that we're a couple of months into the quarter, I'll ask one on variable investment income. Do you have any, I guess, more insight at this point into what the third quarter may look like or the back half of the year?

Kevin Hogan

executive
#31

Yes, absolutely. So look, alternatives are an important asset class to us, especially relative to some of our longer-dated liabilities, and they are illiquid periods. And we continue to believe that alternatives will deliver that 8% to 9% over time. We haven't necessarily seen that more recently. But if you look at over the last 5 years, we've regularly outperformed that benchmark. And we did have a strong second quarter. We explained during the earnings call why that was. As we look at the back half of the year, we've already indicated that we don't expect it to be consistent with that 8% to 9%. Part of that is the real estate equity market, where there's lots of green shoots, but not so much activity right now. And so where we are in the third quarter right now, based on what we've seen, we would expect around $50 million in alternatives, which is below that 8% to 9% target. But I'll also quickly add, the quarter is not over yet. And so by the end of the quarter, it could be a different number. But that's based on everything we've seen so far, that's where we are.

Ryan Krueger

analyst
#32

Got it. And then my last one was just on capital deployment. You've talked a lot about the 60% to 65% capital return ratio. One thing I guess we haven't really talked about much is M&A, bolt-on M&A. Is that something that interests you at all? Or are you really focused mostly on just organic growth, dividends, buybacks?

Kevin Hogan

executive
#33

Look, we're focused on creating shareholder value. And so we explore all options for the creation of shareholder value, and then we work things through our capital management tiering and priorities. We don't see any glaring holes in the portfolio at this point in time. We worked hard in the last 10 years well before the IPO and honing our business into the 4 U.S. market-leading businesses that we are. And so far, based on where our share price has been and where opportunities have been, it's been extremely accretive for us to engage in the capital management that we've been engaging in. And so we're not ruling out M&A. We don't see any necessary immediate opportunities, but we'll continue to be disciplined about our capital management.

Ryan Krueger

analyst
#34

Great. We're just about out of time, so I think we're going to wrap it up there. Thank you very much, Kevin, and to the Corebridge team.

Kevin Hogan

executive
#35

Thank you.

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