CSB Bank Limited (CSBBANK.NS) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
August 13, 2025
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the CSB Bank Q1 FY '26 Earnings Conference Call hosted by YES Securities. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I would now hand the conference over to Mr. Shivaji Thapliyal from YES Securities. Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Shivaji Thapliyal
attendeeThank you, Muskan. Good evening, and a warm welcome to all those who have joined the call. The CSB Bank management is represented by Mr. Pralay Mondal, Managing Director and CEO; Mr. B.K. Divakara, Executive Director; and Mr. Satish Gundewar, Chief Financial Officer. We specifically thank the management of CSB Bank for giving YES Securities the opportunity to host their result call. The management will first be making some opening remarks, after which we will throw the floor open for questions. I now invite the management to make their opening remarks. Pralay, over to you.
Pralay Mondal
executiveThank you, Shivaji. And thank you, everybody, for joining the Q1 FY '26 call of CSB Bank. I will start with the global scenario and then get into CSB specifics. With the global -- global trade is impacted by uncertainties of U.S. [indiscernible] tariffs and other countries. Though USA has announced the new tariffs, individual countries are still negotiating, making the outcome uncertain. This uncertainty is getting reflected in currencies, rates and commodity prices. U.K. and EU have cut rates while USD -- U.S. Fed continues to hold on its rates. With weakening data in the U.S., it is likely that trade will cut rates further in the coming months. Global growth focus have been revised downward by major focus in recent months. India growth has been steady over the quarter. The series of liquidity measures taken and the rate cuts announced by RBI has brought the rates down on assets and liability both, transmission has been good so far. Liquidity in the banking system has remained in surplus, supporting the financial stability. The inflation focus has been revised lower. However, the projections for the next year are above 4%. The deposit and credit growth in the system is evenly balanced right now with deposit growth on the rise and credit growth on the decline as compared to previous year. The pattern has impacted the banking sector NIM significantly. We expect the banking sector NIM to stabilize soon and the liquidity remain comfortably. RBI may cut rates further in this fiscal year in the wake of uncertain trade negotiations with the U.S. Now coming to CSB specifics. On financials, the quarter gone by will be recorded as one of the most exciting quarters in our SBS 2030 journey in view of the challenges through the efforts and dedication we put in what we achieved. I'm happy to share that all of us have successfully migrated to the new CBS Flexcube and rolled out 50-plus around systems with 12 within the CBS system, which makes it to 62 surround systems without losing sight of the balance growth in the bank. It has been an extremely exciting quarter for us from an execution of this long-awaited transformation journey on the technology side, and all of us has been very, very busy focusing on this particular aspect this quarter because based on this only, the future of the bank will be rebooted. Coming to financials, specifically on profitability, net profit for Q1 stood at INR 119 crores, up by 5% year-on-year. Operating profit of the bank grew by 28% on a Y-o-Y basis and stood at INR 220 crores. Other income registered a robust growth of 42% on a Y-o-Y basis and constituted 19% of total income for Q1 FY '26. Cost-to-income ratio was lower at 64.70% as on Q1 FY '26 as against 67.69% a year back in Q1 '25. Despite the interest rate transmission dynamics between advances and deposits in a falling rate scenario, NIM could be maintained at 3.54%. We do not expect NIM to go around further from this level. ROI for the quarter ended [indiscernible] stood at 1.03 percentage. As we know, our bank has a history of continuing to grow the ROA through the quarters and peaks in the Q4 of the year, and this year also we'll see the same trend. Bank is holding the contingency provisions intact and is continuing with the accelerated loan provisioning policy. On the liability side and the funding base, deposit growth momentum continues to be faster than the industry, grew by 20% Y-o-Y amidst an industry growth of around 10%. CASA grew by 13% Y-o-Y and the CASA ratio stands at 23.49 percentage. We have sufficient liquidity buffers and are maintaining an LCR at comfortable levels. We have been efficiently managing the liquidity risk because in Q4 of last year when liquidity was significantly negative, the bank took a call to manage the liquidity risk carefully. As that risk is coming down, we now see our CD ratio at around 92%. Average LCR for the quarter has been around 123%. NSFR ratio is around 120%. On the asset side of the business, net advances grew by 31% Y-o-Y, again significantly higher than industry growth of close to 10% Y-o-Y. All the verticals have started contributing towards the asset growth with gold, corporate and SME portfolio registering a Y-o-Y growth of above 30% at 36%, 32% and 31%, respectively. Retail loans other than gold grew by 19% despite a deliberate moderation in agri, MFI and other unsecured loans, and we have been doing it for the last 18 to 24 months. Yield on advances for Q1 FY '26 is 10.73 percentage. Regarding the asset quality metrics, GNP and NNPA ratio for the quarter was at 1.84% and 0.66%, respectively, as against 1.69% and 0.68 percentage for Q1 FY '25. PCR now stands at 80.46% with PWO and 64.52% without PWO. Bank is holding a provisioning buffer of around INR 194 crores over and above regulatory requirement out of this, around INR 105 crores is contingency provision. We have a robust capital base, CRAR of 21.71%, Tier 1 ratio of 19.92%. Low proportion of risk-weighted assets compared to the industry, which is 40 odd-percent. Shareholder value creation, the book value per share is at INR 258 right now. EPS for the year is [ INR 27.42 ]. ROE for the year is 10.9%. Like ROA, ROE also progressively grows for us quarter-on-quarter, kicking in the fourth quarter and which again, this year will be no exception. On distribution, we have a network of 834 branches now and 800 ATMs as on [indiscernible] '25. In conclusion, I'd like to say that our topline, both deposits and advances has shown strong Y-o-Y of 20% and 31%, respectively. Compared to Q1 FY '25, our CASA book grew by 13%. All the 3 asset verticals with retail, including gold loan, SME and Wholesale Banking grew by more than 30% over Q1 FY '25. On the profitability, while our operating profit grew by 28% on a Y-o-Y basis, net profit increase was at 5% due to slightly higher slippage and resulting provisions. However, we have recovered a decent amount subsequently, and we have already recovered a fair bit already in this quarter in Q2 and expect portfolio quality to improve in this quarter itself. If I look back and review the journey we completed in Q1 FY '26, I proudly say that the CSB team has done a remarkable job in truly short span of time, duly balance in the tech transformation and growth. We have achieved what we expect for in building the platform for future. We have built a solid foundation for scaling the bank in terms of business and customer experience as we go along. Given the complexities involved in such a massive project, it will take a couple of months more to fully stabilize everything. Once the systems are stable, we will kickstart the scale phase with a lot of confidence as we'll be in a better position to serve our customers by providing innovative customized products, straight-through processes, seamless digital experience, higher operational efficiencies, et cetera. We'll also be benefited at lower cost points and additional revenue streams. Thus we'll start the journey of becoming a respectable [ mid-size ] bank by 2030. And hopefully, we can execute to reach that mission ahead of our targeted timeline. As I have told in the past that as a part of our SBS vision, our sustained phase and build phase is expected to get over by FY -- beginning of FY '27. And the real scale phase and the most exciting part of the journey is going to start from FY '27 beginning. And FY '27, FY '28, FY '29 and FY '30, these 4 years, we'll take the bank to a completely different spectrum. I'm happy to report that based on the technology transformation journey, we have done successfully. And one of the best which our partner says they have seen, we are actually ahead of curve in terms of what we had planned and targeted. And hence, rebooting of the bank from our infrastructure capability, systems, processes, technology, people and products will be complete, and our scale journey will begin starting FY '27, and all of us are excited for that journey. With that, I hand it back for questions. Thank you very much.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Bhavesh Kanani from Svan Investments.
Bhavesh Kanani
analystThis one is on the noninterest income. So essentially, last 4, 5 quarters, we have seen NII remaining flat. And it is the noninterest income, which is allowing us to do higher OpEx and still report the growth at the bottom line. However, for some odd reason, the disclosures on noninterest income split has been discontinued in FY '25 itself. So would appreciate if that is available to the public in general. That was one. And two, within that, if you can add some color on specifically the fees and commission line. While in past, you have shared that a large part of that is driven by insurance distribution income. Some color on the potential penetration that is still pending as we reached out all the branches with ability and skill set to sell insurance or there is still some room left, which can be helpful in FY '26 in terms of growing the fee income? And lastly was on liquidity. While excess liquidity has come off sequentially, one would have imagined a little more reduction given that our loan book growth is quite healthy. And instead on the liability, we see that other liabilities have gone up sharply. So some color on that would be helpful.
Pralay Mondal
executiveBhavesh, last question, I didn't understand. What does it mean?
Bhavesh Kanani
analystSo sir, essentially, when we met last time, the story was that we had amassed excess liquidity in Q4 given the situation back then. And now that the liquidity situation has improved at system level, that would allow us opportunities to normalize the excess liquidity which will allow us to fund growth without really taking hit on the NIM. That reduction in excess liquidity is quite small. I think, about INR 200-odd crores compared to a loan book, which has sequentially grown by a larger extent. It appeared to be the case where we have funded the loan growth by increasing liabilities and that too is coming from -- not from borrowings or deposits, but there is a staff increase and other liabilities, which has reached -- which has crossed some INR 2,000 crores odd. So I was just wondering what is leading to that increase? And incrementally, your sense on -- to what level liquidity can be paid down without really disturbing the 5% or 6% kind of liquidity we have usually maintained.
Pralay Mondal
executiveGot it. Got it. I understood, Bhavesh. So let me try to respond each of these questions. On the NII which is noninterest income and overall income, as you rightly said, that we -- when we met, I have said already that as a bank, we are not very focused on noninterest income in this bank around 2, 3 years back. And last 2 years, we have put conscious effort to put focus on noninterest income. It's just a matter of cycle that, including noninterest income, overall income, then other part, which is the interest income has not been growing very well which is part of the cycle because as we grow at such a rapid pace, there is some contraction of NIM, which you can see. And because, as I said before, that liquidity, given where it was in fourth quarter, we said that we'll not take any liquidity risk. And from that perspective, we did take excess fund, which ensured that we didn't know that time that liquidity situation will change in the ecosystem. So to that extent, we are carrying that cost through and which is to some extent impacting on NIM to some extent. So that is correct estimate. Coming to noninterest income kind of a color, insurance income continued to do well. Generally, our PSLC income in the fourth quarter goes up a little bit, and then it normalizes first quarter onwards. Our core fee income, which is typical if you look at it -- if it's overall noninterest income is 19% -- it generally varies between 17% to 19%. Last quarter it was 21% last quarter to last quarter means Q4. But generally, it's somewhere around 17% to 19%. But core income is around 14% to 15%. We don't keep the PSLC in the core income. That's why you will see that this quarter, our overall noninterest income has come down a little bit compared to Q4. Coming to your question that would we be sustainable? I think it is going to be more than sustainable because once we have given the technology transformation news to you, you know that next year onwards we'll start scaling up our transaction banking business and our retail assets business, which are all fee-oriented businesses based on fee -- based on transactional fees and processing fees and many other fees so that will grow. Insurance is a function of penetration into customers. And next year onwards, we'll start building our customer acquisition significantly because huge amount of focus will be on customer acquisition. And as more customer comes in, penetration on a larger base will be higher. So we will continue to do well in insurance business. And we are going to implement after this, CMS, trade and supply chain systems immediately after the talking, we are working on that. And all of that will help in transaction banking business because we have built up a very good wholesale team and wholesale portfolio. So the transaction banking business will also have 2 phase. So I think as we grow the overall basic core book, our fee business will continue to grow, and there is no really one-off on that. We are sitting on a very large, given our size, fairly large AFS book, and we didn't max it out this quarter, because we know that yields will come down eventually through the year. And from that perspective you will continue to see noninterest income continuing to grow. On your second question -- second question, I've already answered on insurance, that we will continue to do well on insurance, you'll see that. And on the liquidity question, I agree with you. What I said is also right, what you are saying, let me respond. If you look at our CD ratio this quarter, it has come to 91%. And generally, it was around 83%, 84% in that range -- 84%, 85%, 86% in that range. One of the reasons exactly what you're saying we have done is we've said that the liquidity risk in the system is lower, and hence, we must start efficiently using the liability better, and that's why we said that with the limited risk on the liquidity side, we will use it better. That's why the CD ratio has gone up a little bit, but we'll bring it down to somewhere between 85% to 90%, but we'll -- somewhere in that place. Previously, my guidance was between 80% to 85%. Now my guidance is between 85% to 90%, in that range will keep it at the size of a balance sheet and with the liquidity comfort, which is there in the ecosystem. And I've always said that our liability franchise is not yet to the level where we want it to be. And that journey will start. We are waiting for the serious migration to happen. After this, the products will get implemented. And next year onwards, we'll see the liability franchise growing at a very rapid pace. That will really not only help our liability book, more importantly, we will have more customers through who we will acquire and build the businesses. That's why we are starting to build our retail asset products and more retail liability products, current account products, trade products, all these things, which are building CMS, all these things we are building to build that franchise. Until that happens, we are -- last year, we did depend on FCY borrowings, we did depend on CDs. And to that extent, that support will required for another 1 or 2 years, while in parallel the liability franchise build, because you know that liability franchise takes 2 to 3 years to build. So that's broadly what my response to your question, sir.
Bhavesh Kanani
analystThat's certainly helpful, sir. Just repeating the same request that if the mix of noninterest income is disclosed like we used to do in FY '24, that would only add to the wonderful plans that we have, and it will add to the confidence. And...
Pralay Mondal
executiveSure. I'll check with our CFO on this. Okay.
Bhavesh Kanani
analystAnd the last data keeping one was the other liabilities. Is there anything to look into that number which has seen sharp increase sequentially?
Pralay Mondal
executiveNo, there is...
Satish Gundewar
executiveThe other liability, what we are talking about is the INR 2,600 crores that you see on 30 June is transitionally balanced, because the reconciliation happens with a one day lag and then it get adjusted with our balance with RBI. So it is not something which is a permanent nature. It is just a 1-day thing when the reconciliation then happens, then it gets settled.
Bhavesh Kanani
analystOkay. That's helpful. I hope you will share the disclosures on noninterest income on exchanges or on your website?
Pralay Mondal
executiveOkay. Thank you very much for your question Bhavesh. Next...
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Mona from Dolat Capital.
Mona Khetan
analystSo firstly, I missed your opening remarks. So sorry if I'm repetitive. On the slippage base, INR 139 crores, what would be the quantum of unsecured loans out of this, if any? [indiscernible] MFI, yes.
Pralay Mondal
executiveSo I don't exactly remember that number. But broadly, I can tell you that our unsecured book overall is around 3% of the overall book. So it won't be more than INR 20 crores, INR 25 crores, Satish is seeing -- looking for that number. But it is there, but -- as a percentage, it is high, but the book itself is 3%. So it is not significant. But yes, it has increased the 3 businesses, which is unsecured personal loan, MFI, a little bit of credit cards, agri and MFI. These businesses had a little bit of a slippage, which is around, I think, somewhere close to -- I was right around somewhere around INR 25 crores to INR 30 crores, okay? So our largest slippage, I think to address your question, our largest slippage has been in SME this quarter a little bit. And that's primarily due to 3, 4 accounts. And also, let me also say that what has happened this quarter is because we are very busy on the migration there was the -- availability because you know that to manage the NPA and to understand everything we need data every day. Those data were taking a little time for us to completely reconcile and get it. So by the time we got it, we didn't get enough time to manage the NPA well in SME business. As we talk while SME business had a slightly larger slippage, but one account with INR 25 crores, we have already -- not one account, but one or two accounts with INR 25 crores we have already recovered as we are talking today. So -- and there are 2 accounts which happened where there were some challenge, somebody, the owner died and something happened, et cetera, where the next generation is taking over the business. But all these are good news in SME is that all these are fully secured, and this will not really go bad at any point of time. So as the business starts going back, this does not worry me. So through the year, this should be able to recover. Otherwise, I think overall, there is not much of any exceptional slippage in any other portfolio. This has happened only in 3, 4 accounts where already a INR 25 crores has been upgraded. So that's the answer to your question.
Mona Khetan
analystSo fair to say that out of this INR 139 crores, INR 25 crores got upgraded so far already?
Pralay Mondal
executiveYes. Yes.
Mona Khetan
analystAnd also just on the unsecured, is it partly led by FLDG cover against some of these assets, which is resulting in delayed recognition or something, if I'm reading it right?
Pralay Mondal
executiveWhich one?
Mona Khetan
analystOn the unsecured loans, which is, I guess, [ PL ] and some of the MFI portfolios are probably had some FLDG cover. And is it the delayed recognition coming because there was some cover initially and now it's above that cover, which is why the recognition?
Pralay Mondal
executiveSo no, I don't think that is an issue. In general, what happens is FLDG is only in one business, which is in MFI. In no other business, we have FLDG. But we have collection efficiency related incentives linked to that. So some costs will come down. In case they cannot, but they're trying hard to get it right. But otherwise, if you look at it, we have been consistent in retail loans, if I look at it over the 4 quarters, 5 quarters actually. June 21, September 24, December, March and June 25, every quarter is between INR 23 crores to INR 27 crores, okay? So it's not that we have seen any major escalation happening suddenly. Also, agri and MFI has also been more or less similar across the last 3 quarters. So there is absolutely no aberration in any other product. And if you look at it, our slippage in June 24 was INR 103 crores, and now it is INR 136 crores. Out of the INR 136 crores, already INR 25 crores recovered. So to that extent, there is no exception, exception in anything anywhere. Yes, we had 2, 3 very strange situations in the SME portfolio, which had nothing to do with credit underwriting, which has nothing to do with trend, nothing to do with an industry situation. It is just pure accidental kind of a situation where somebody died or something happened. So we are working with them, and these are all very well covered. So I'm not so worried about the slippage this quarter, frankly. But yes, on the -- on the retail loans, what goes, a lot of that will not come back, but that has been the story for the last 5 quarters.
Mona Khetan
analystGot it. And secondly, when I look at the cost of deposits, I understand a large part of it was bulk deposits. And given the sharp decline in rates on the bulk front, I believe the expectation was the [ cost of deposits ] will come down and yet seeing it rising, which is unlike what we are seeing for the rest of industry in general. So how do I read this? I mean we -- I was really surprised to see the cost of deposits rise during the quarter, because I would expect on the bulk deposits to reprice at lower levels, right? And your deposit growth has declined. So yes, how do we read this?
Pralay Mondal
executiveNo. So, Mona, you're absolutely correct in your question. So you will see that playing out in our portfolio as well from Q2, Q3 onwards. So 2 things happened here on the deposits. One is that a lot of these bulk deposits and a lot of these businesses we did because a lot of our assets business growth last quarter because we are not growing at 10%, we are going at 31%. So a lot of this business grows, especially on the wholesale side. Retail comes every day. Gold loans comes every day, but wholesale SME comes a little bit rear-ended. So to fund that deposits, we had taken a lot of bulk deposits in the last end of the quarter which was in March. After -- and by that time, there is no clarity about the liquidity positions, what the RBI was looking at. So given that, that cost in that quarter came only for 10 days, 15 days, 20 days maximum. That cost has taken us through the whole of quarter over the 90 days. And that partially has done. We have got a 6 basis point increase in cost of funds, that primarily has contributed to this. The other thing which has happened, I was analyzing this, that a lot of older deposits because before -- once the interest -- we knew that interest rates are going to fall, we stopped taking long-term deposits like 3 years, 4 years, 5 years, et cetera. But we had some deposits which are old which started maturing and hence, got repriced even if it is a lower rate -- started repricing at a higher rate than what they were initially booked their contracted rate a few years back, okay? So these 2 events happened. Having said that, I think all the -- but if we had a parameter by which we could show you that how our contracted rates from -- for the last quarter, incremental year, okay, either in term CDs or it is on bulk deposits, you're absolutely right. We are doing better off. What it means is Q2, Q3 onwards, we'll start seeing a drop in our deposit costs.
Mona Khetan
analystOkay. And also, if you could share what would be the expectation from a full year perspective on NIM and ROA?
Pralay Mondal
executiveCan you speak a little louder, Mona? Sorry, I can't hear you.
Mona Khetan
analystSorry. If you could share your outlook on the NIM and ROA for this fiscal?
Pralay Mondal
executiveYes. So for us, typically, what happens is, let me take the ROA point first. If you look at it, year-on-year, our ROA has come down from 1.27% to 1.03%. But on a quarter-on-quarter, it has come on significantly more and that is how it will play out this year also because our ROA keeps increasing every quarter, and it culminates at a much higher level in the end of the year. For example, last year, we -- in Q1, we were 1.27% and we ended the year with 1.79%. So this year also, I think on an average, we should be somewhere around 1.5%. That was my guidance and we will retain there. On the NIM, we have surely bottomed out now. So we will be between 3.5% to 4%. Why -- what gives me this confidence? I'll tell you, I'll give a logic to this is, a, our cost of funds will start coming down because as you rightly said, bulk and CD rates are coming down and our bulk is around more than 35%, 40%. So from that perspective, it will, in a way, help us because retail will not come down that much compared to bulk. So we think that our cost of funds will start showing better trends. The other thing what will happen is -- also on your previous question, I want to also say that we tactically moved out some of the current accounts out of our base because we said that we want to build a proper current account franchise based on transaction banking, et cetera. So that also increased our cost of funds a little bit. Now through transaction banking, wholesale and other businesses we'll start building the current account. That will also give us a little better cost of funds. And thirdly, because of the EBLR portfolio, is around 20%. EBLR plus T Bill is around 17%. And our MCLR is the only thing, which is around 20%, which will reprice through the year -- reprice downwards through the year. Our fixed book is around 60%. And hence, we will have dual advantage on that front that yields will not come down strongly, and our cost of funds will come down a little well. Given that I'm very, very confident that we will be in the range of 3.5% to 4%.
Mona Khetan
analystSorry, how much is the EBLR which you've mentioned?
Pralay Mondal
executiveEBLR is around -- EBLR plus T Bill linked which, from a cost of funds -- sorry, cost of interest -- interest cost is similar -- sorry, interest expense is similar. When it comes down, the interest rate comes down, it is around 17%.
Mona Khetan
analystAnd just one question. So if I look at your fee lines, the core fee lines ex of the treasury gains, are there any one-offs in the last fiscal, not this quarter, but in the last fiscal, in terms of syndication income or something because it looks like fee to assets is settling at a lower level?
Pralay Mondal
executiveYes. So last -- yes, we had 3 syndications done so far. We have got a very good wholesale team now and very good quality wholesale business has started coming into the bank, and that is shown with the kind of growth, which you have got both on the corporate banking and in the mid-market side this year. In a year when we actually almost run up INR 1,000 crores of DA portfolio. Okay, which we represented the wholesale part of the bank for whatever structural business we have put. So that team did put 3 syndications, one more syndication as we are talking, we are doing. So we are doing those kind of deals, yes, where we -- because given our size of our balance sheet, we cannot take a INR 500 crore exposure, right? So we don't take more than INR 150 crores or INR 100 crores or whatever and rest we sell down to -- and some of the sell down happening to larger banks as well -- top 3 banks and top 4 banks, et cetera. So yes, we had some syndication fees last year. Also, as you know, that we have got -- we are net -- sorry, net sellers in PSLC market and a lot of that stuff we do in the last quarter of the year. And that's one of the reasons our ROA and our fee income is significantly higher in the Q4.
Mona Khetan
analystGot that. Just one last clarification. So what would be the income from these 3 syndication deals for last fiscal?
Pralay Mondal
executiveThat we can't share. That is too much details. But yes, I shared as much as I could, we have done 3 syndication deals. We are working on the fourth one.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Yash Dantewadia from Dante Capital.
Yash Dantewadia
analystYes. Sir, my first question is regarding the NIM guidance that you just gave. Don't you think your guidance is very wide?
Pralay Mondal
executiveVery what?
Yash Dantewadia
analystVery wide. The guidance is very wide.
Pralay Mondal
executiveYash, I can only tell you that we live in a world today where we don't know what happens after 21 days, okay? So in that kind of a scenario with global turmoil and global uncertainties, it's better to be safe than sorry later. So it is wide. If you want me to be more sharper, I will say that we will be somewhere in between of that curve, but it will vary from quarter to quarter. So if you take for the full year, I'm hopeful that we should be somewhere in between of that, which is somewhere around [ 3.7% ].
Yash Dantewadia
analystSir, can you please tell me if you factored in your rate cut in this? If you have, what kind of rate cut have you factored in with the NIM guidance -- the current NIM guidance?
Pralay Mondal
executiveSee, I'm not an economist, so I cannot factor in the rate cut. But people are saying I'm reading that given where the inflation is normalize it for the base effect, okay. And given that there are enough global uncertainty, which we don't know which way it will play out. Everybody says that there is a reasonable chance of one rate cut somewhere around between September to November. So if that plays out, we have factored that in because we are lucky that our EBLR linked and T Bill linked portfolio is only 17%. So that rate cut, even if it happens, to impact it on MCLR will go to next year, okay -- next financial year...
Yash Dantewadia
analystI'm assuming you factored in 50 basis points, right?
Pralay Mondal
executiveTwenty five -- 25 basis points...
Yash Dantewadia
analystOkay. Yes, yes. My next question is regarding your loan book sort of -- by the end of this year, how do you think the mix is going to look between gold loan -- between all the sort of gold loan, LAP, et cetera, SME, secured/unsecured. Could you just give some guidance on how you're kind of envisioning the loan book to look like by the end of this year?
Pralay Mondal
executiveYes. So if you look at it, what has happened this year, what you have already forecast is 1 percentage, it has gone up in the gold, and that has got from MFI and Agri business, okay? Because that is something which slowed down and that -- I mean, by that mix percentage formula, it went to gold. What I see now onwards is wholesale will -- maybe go up by another 1% or 1.5% or 2% this year. So let's say, wholesale is around 23% now. It may go up to 25%. I don't see our MFI, agri and retail going up that much. If at all, it will remain at this level, maybe a few basis points here and there it can come down also. Because our real retail journey will start from next year. We won't take risk in this environment at this point of time. Our SME may go up by 50-odd basis points compared to where it is today, it is around 13% right now. So we should be seeing somewhere between 13% to 14%. And I think gold will continue to be where it is. I must mention here one thing that our retail portfolio, what we show also includes loan against securities, which has some gold loan. And that gold loan based on the recent RBI circular, we may have to do differently. And, hence we may have categories differently. And hence, that itself will bring down the retail again further and may -- with that may come back to gold. So gold for very different reason, not technical reasons, it may go up a little bit. So in short, what it means is retail will come down further because of this technical reasons, LAS will come down. And LAS is typically around INR 2,000 crores right now for us, which is around INR 2,000 our of INR 35,000 crores is LAS right now. And that probably will come down significantly, and that may move some part of that to the gold, some part of that will move to the wholesale and some part of that could move to the SME.
Yash Dantewadia
analystRight. Right. Sir, my last question is regarding your sort of exit ROE and ROA. I know you guided for an exit ROA. But if you could just also guide for the exit ROE for this financial year?
Pralay Mondal
executiveSo we will aim for, as I said, and this is consistent, I've been telling over the years. ROA 1.5% and ROE 15% is something, which is like [Foreign Language] for us, we have to achieve it and we'll aim to do that.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Shivaji Thapliyal from YES Securities.
Shivaji Thapliyal
attendeeSo a few questions from me. So firstly, on asset quality, so well, traditionally, our book was not so mature. And therefore, it's not really throwing up slippages, even now slippages are compared with the broader banking universe is still under control, but nevertheless, some slippages are transpiring. So where would we put the credit cost guidance for the full year? And where would we put it on a steady-state basis, say, from FY '27 onwards? That's question one. Secondly, from an OpEx standpoint, you have been making guidance in the past in terms of a glide path, I would like some reiteration or really some -- any -- if there is any further color on how things are shaping up off late in that regard and where the number might end up for the full year this year and where we are probably going to head FY '27 onwards? And thirdly, on the loan growth front, there, we have a small base and I think growing 20% plus has never been a challenge in that sense. But nevertheless, any -- what is the internal aspiration there from a 3-year perspective? If you could give us some color on that. Those would be my 3 questions.
Pralay Mondal
executiveThanks, Shivaji, for the questions. So I'll go one by one. On the credit cost, general guidance always has been -- I am just repeating like a record that our GNPA will be less than 1%, NNPA will be less than -- sorry, GNPA will be less than 2%, NNPA will be less than 1%, and credit cost will be less than 50 basis points. That has been our overall vision till FY 2030. We have been, of course, much lesser than that. Even this quarter, we are lesser. And our guidance for this year is GNPA, NNPA and credit cost all will be lower than where we are in Q1. That's for sure, okay? Unless, of course, we don't know the global uncertainty on the Trump tariff, what it comes. I'm just not taking that into consideration. If that happens, then we have to recalibrate. Second part of your question is on OpEx glide path. If you look at it carefully, our OpEx glide path is going down to 50%. By 2030, we hold on to that because our real story will emerge from next year as our liability franchise starts building, along with the cross-sell on assets, fees and transaction banking and wholesale and SME, all of it together. So the real orchestra will start playing out from only next year, and we'll start seeing results FY '29 onwards. So I'm pretty much holding onto the glide path of 50% on OpEx side -- cost to income side. And if you look at it, this quarter even, our Y-o-Y growth on operating expense is only 12%. So we have been pretty conservative in terms of our operating expense the time when we are massively investing into technology. So to that extent, we are very conscious of productivity and operating cost. The reason our cost to income has gone up slightly, on a year-on-year basis, it has come down. On a quarter-on-quarter, it has gone up a little bit is, of course, because of the income and other income and everything has come down a little bit. So once the ROA starts going up back to 1.5%, this still itself come down to some extent. But the real glide path will -- sharp glide path will be FY '28 onwards, and we are pretty confident of reaching 50% by 2030. On the loan growth, on a 3-year basis, I think we'll have a reverse trajectory. With every year growing our loan growth will only go up. Why? Because even now we can grow faster than what we're growing in loan, let me tell you. Our constraint is liability. And once our liability franchise starts building up, because based on bulk and based on cities and based on [ FCU ] and based on whatever little bit we are doing on the retail side, et cetera, you cannot have a sustainable growth on the asset side. Additionally, as the retail part of the franchise starts growing, also, we are pretty clear that wholesale and SME also has to bring in liability because they have a safe funding target, especially on current accounts, especially on low-cost funds, et cetera. Once that starts playing out, we will be able to grow faster. And because multiple products will start playing out. Like last year, our wholesale started. SME has been going -- going on for the last 2, 3 years. Retail part of this story will start next year. So -- and gold will continue to grow as it is growing. So given that, suddenly, you're seeing if you look at consistently, we see our SME, wholesale and retail, all 3 grew by 30% plus. And this has never happened to the bank. And when I say retail I include gold in that. So 3 franchise, each of them growing 30% plus, shows that we have the sustainability. And now we have got the rhythm of building that business. Our cost income on the liability side, and we are fully focused on that. And once we build that, our credit growth, which is right now somewhere between [ 20% to 25% ] safely and maybe above [ 25% ] also if our liability allows us, then next year onwards, as our liability franchise becomes better, we will do better growth on asset side. So we are pretty focused. We don't have a capital issue. We have enough -- our CRR is on the higher side. So from all aspects, growth is not a problem for us.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Rishikesh [indiscernible], an individual investor.
Rishikesh
attendeeI think most of my questions have been answered. Just wanted to ask regarding the ROA guidance. Previously, it was like in the range of 1.5% to 1.8% for the entire FY '26. But right now, you just mentioned that we will be touching around 1.5%. So in -- are we like having 1.5%, I mean essentially reducing the guidance? Is it?
Pralay Mondal
executiveThanks, Rishikesh, for your question. So what I said was 1.5% ROA and 15% ROE is our [Foreign Language]. So we cannot go beyond that. But we -- if we have that opportunity, we'll do higher than that. Having said that, we all know the environment we are in today. Not only us, if you look at the entire ecosystem, there are challenges in the ecosystem. And there are known unknown challenges and unknown known challenges right now, which are mostly coming from global uncertainty. Given that, I think we'll be happy to be around 1.5% this year. But our guidance of 1.5% to 1.8% is for our SBS 2030 journey. I'm 100% confident that we will achieve that vision of 1.5% to 1.8% and maybe we will be closer to 1.8% as our retail assets and other franchisees starts picking up and our overall cost of funds starts -- sorry, the cost of -- cost to income starts coming down and we leverage the branches and our franchise better. So our guidance of 1.5%, 1.8% in past also is over SBS 2030, which is again the glide path or whatever rise path, whichever way we look at it, but this year, given the overall global uncertainty, 1.5% is something, which we should achieve, and we'll be happy about it.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Yash from Dante Capital.
Yash Dantewadia
analystSo my question is mainly regarding your gold loan yields. How do you see your gold loan yields moving from here?
Pralay Mondal
executiveSo our gold loan yields typically has been within 11.5% to 12%, depending on which products we're looking at it. Because of the regulatory guidelines now that has come which is now very clear. It's no longer draft, no longer any guess work, it's very clear black and white. We know what business we can do, what business we cannot do. And hence, I think our higher-yielding businesses will grow a little more because the loan against -- loan against securities business, which was more [ repledger ] kind of businesses that comes slightly at a lower yield. So from that perspective, I think we should not see a fall in yield in our gold loan. I think we should be somewhere around 11.8% in that range we'll target.
Yash Dantewadia
analystYes. And sir, my last question is regarding your cost of funds. What kind of exit in cost of funds do we see by Q4? How do we see this number? You said it's going to come down, but do you have an estimate that you can share?
Pralay Mondal
executiveVery difficult, boss. The way situations are evolving, one day, the yields are -- sorry, 6.2, 6.3, one day is 6.5, 6.6. So how do I know which way it is going. But broadly, the way we are looking at it, I think from the current level, a 20 basis points dropped is minimum which we can aim for in my view.
Yash Dantewadia
analystRight. And as far as this technology platform and whatever you've been working on in the last maybe, I think, around 2 years, if I'm not mistaken. What is this going to kind of help us the most in? And what percentage of our collections are online today without the help of physical or -- physical collections basically?
Pralay Mondal
executiveI'll answer the second question first. Our CIO is sitting here. I'll invite him to give you some broad perspective of what we have done and what we plan to do and how it will help because he and his team has worked very hard. So let him also talk to -- on this call and what we have achieved. But on this collections thing I can tell you is that while I understand the digital collections and all that, of course, we are invested into that. We are into tele calling collections, all of that together. But our overall retail book is very small, okay, which is -- which requires all this straight-through process collections and all that. That is very small today, we are building that capability, but that opportunity itself is small. And given on the credit card side, we -- because we don't have our own credit card product, we do it through Jupiter and all that. They have their collection set up, which they do, which has all online and everything and offline, of course. So you cannot do recovery with on online. So given that, we are preparing for ourselves, but we don't have that portfolio size to test that as much, but we are building that. SME and wholesale and those kind of businesses, you need mostly legal, technical, all those kind of things to collect. And that's where our legal teams are very strong. And our primary recovery and collection on the SME and wholesale side is handled in -- on an offline mode and on man-to-man connection. So that's the way it works. On the technology, I'll just say one line and then I'll hand it over to Rajesh. It will help everybody, okay? Because we must understand that we are coming off a legacy system where you cannot add one more product, then the system doesn't work, okay? What we had in [ Marvell ]. Our premium liability product, I tried to introduce, it could not be introduced properly, okay? We didn't have transaction banking products. We didn't have CMS. We didn't have trade. We didn't have supply chain, okay? Our mobile banking, net banking was functional but on OBDX, we are moving at a very different level, okay. Our entire digital ecosystem, our ServiceNow platform, everything what we are doing is very differently. Our data centers today are having 2 data centers along with 2 India, which are most sophisticated and the best placed. We are on 11G on Oracle platform on the database. Now we are in 19C which is the lates. 11G is not even supported. So that kind of a transformation we're doing and it will help every business on the wholesale side it will help to the transaction banking. On treasury side, also it would help for the transaction banking and some of the other systems they are implementing. But it will maximum help in retail acquisition of new customers, SPP, onboarding, creating various services, various products because why should the customer come to me if I don't -- I'm not able to give personalized STP, different kind of services with a good onboarding system and processes. We have created an ecosystem around it through our VRM which is virtual relationship management, all these systems are ready. We have contact centers. We have created everything. We are just waiting for this connectivity to happen through the technology. Once -- SME it will help in a big way. We are going to launch our new corporate net banking in the next 6 months, 6 to 9 months, which will help us in a big way, both SME and corporate banking. And of course, retail assets, LMS, LOS, all of that stuff was not in the bank before actually. I mean how could we run our retail assets business without these products -- without these systems. So all of these are now going to be functional. So given that it will help retail the maximum in my view. And gold loan is a functional business, it is most touch and feel systems and better efficiency does help. We are also working on a Neo for our acquisition platform and which is digital. I think we are going to make significant investment there to upgrade it because our main focus will be on customer acquisition and the retail because liability franchise has to build up. We are going to launch various current account products now, now that we'll have the systems and processes. And once we have the corporate net banking in place, it will be a different leg altogether, what kind of current account will do. So that's a flavor on what we are planning to do on the business side, okay? But just requesting Rajesh Choudhary, who is our CIO, who has led this entire tech transformation for the bank to give a 5-minute snippet on what we have done and what we plan to do and how it would help the bank. Over to you, Rajesh.
Rajesh Choudhary
executiveYes. Thank you, Pralay. I think you covered quite a lot. But I think in a quick summary, what we have done is we have overall the entire technology ecosystem in the bank, setting up 4 data centers, building new core banking, which just went live in the month of May along with 50-plus different surround systems. It has been a massive transformation, and that's what all the partners who have been working with us, they tell us that they haven't seen something of this kind. Of course, there are a lot of core banking transformation, which seems happening, but so many systems going live together is something very unique. So at this point of time, we have brought systems in place for the business. So like we are now ready to create products and build capability for doing business for all the respective business lines. We have also built capability to do the right compliance in the right regulatory work. So there is a significant amount of regulation what we have for deal with. Cybersecurity, information security, we have to ensure that the entire ecosystem is safe for our customers, for our employees and for the banking industry as a whole. So we have put all the elements in place. And with respect to channels, with respect to payments, everything is overall. So we have got everything brand new, and we are ready to deliver it to our customers. And we will keep optimizing this. We will keep investing further, but the major overall has been done and we are all geared up to do more and more business on this.
Pralay Mondal
executiveWhile you're talking about the regulatory framework, we have implemented a new [ FRM ] system, implemented a new compliance system. So almost everything is fresh and rebooted the bank from a technology perspective, Yash.
Yash Dantewadia
analystYes. Sir, one last question before we drop off. Could you just give me the secured versus unsecured breakup of the book currently?
Pralay Mondal
executiveSo unsecured can be seen in 2 ways. Retail unsecured is only 3% of the overall bank's booked. But then when you look at secured some of the unsecured businesses are the best secure business. If you do business in Tata, if you do business in Jindal, which you have done, by the way, okay? They are more secured than secured businesses actually. So if I give you that ratio that may not be the right representation. What is called...
Yash Dantewadia
analystNo the retail one is more convenient.
Pralay Mondal
executiveRetail one is 3% and SME, we almost never do unsecured business. So that's broadly what it is.
Yash Dantewadia
analystSo out of the entire -- you said you've recovered INR 25-odd crores, and you think you're going to recover more, right? So SME what was...
Pralay Mondal
executiveBut that will take time, that will happen through the year. The rest will happen through the year because the business has been restructured. But the point is they're all secured businesses, they are well collateralized. So this will -- the money will not go anywhere. But we obviously, SME how you run the businesses you don't immediately call back the loan and say that give me the money or I'll sell your property. You have to help them in rebuilding the business. That's what we are doing. But these are recoverable. That's the point I'm making.
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, that was the last question for today. I will now hand the conference over to the management for the closing comments. Over to you, sir.
Pralay Mondal
executiveThank you very much. We had a wonderful conversation, and thanks for patiently listening to us. Look forward to our next quarter analyst call again. Thank you very much. Have a wonderful evening.
Operator
operatorThank you. On behalf of YES Securities, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.
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