CSB Bank Limited (CSBBANK.NS) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

November 6, 2025

NSEI IN Financials Banks earnings 55 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the CSB Bank's Q2 FY '26 Earnings Conference Call hosted by YES Securities. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Shivaji Thapliyal from YES Securities. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Shivaji Thapliyal

analyst
#2

Thank you, Bhoomika. Good afternoon, and a warm welcome to all those who have joined the call. The CSB Bank management is represented by Mr. Pralay Mondal, Managing Director and CEO; Mr. B. K. Divakara, Executive Director; and Mr. Satish Gundewar, Chief Financial Officer. We specifically thank the management of CSB Bank for giving YES Securities the opportunity to host their result call. The management will first be making some opening remarks, after which, we will throw the floor open for questions. I now invite the management to make their opening remarks. Pralay, over to you.

Pralay Mondal

executive
#3

Thank you, Shivaji, and good evening, everybody, and thank you for joining the call. Firstly, I will cover briefly about the economic scenario and then quickly move on to CSB specifics. As we all know that the global trade negotiations across various countries have shown significant improvement in the recent past. It gives financial market some stability and hopes of returning to normalcy in a couple of months. FOMC has cut U.S. rates by 25 basis points. However, the commentary by the Fed Chairman was more hawkish than expected, leading to U.S. depreciation and some correction in the gold prices. Global growth focus remains subdued. Indian growth is expected to add approximately 20 bps over previous projections due to GST rate cuts and steps taken by the Central Bank. The inflation focus has been revised downwards. However, the projections for the next year are around 4%. The deposit growth lagged the credit growth in the system in September '25, showing signs of credit pickup. The CD ratio for the banking system went above 80% after around 6 months. The continuous lag in deposit growth has impacted the banking sector NIM significantly. We expect the banking system NIM to stabilize soon. And we also expect the liquidity to remain easy once RBI takes decisions on cutting rates further this financial year. Coming quickly to CSB specifics on our quarterly financial results for Q2, I feel that we have registered an impressive all-around performance on our Y-o-Y as well as Q-o-Q basis, both in terms of top line and bottom line. On the profitability side, net profit for Q2 FY '26 stood at INR 160 crores up by 16% -- 16% Y-o-Y and 35% Q-o-Q. Operating profit of the bank for Q2 FY '26 grew by 39% on a Y-o-Y basis and 27% on Q-o-Q basis and stood at INR 279 crores. NII up by 15% and 12% on a Y-o-Y and Q-o-Q basis, respectively. Other income registered a robust growth of 75% on a Y-o-Y basis and 43% on a Q-o-Q basis and constituted 24% of total income for Q2 FY '26. Cost-to-income ratio was at 63.86% as on Q2 FY '26, a tad lower than Q2 FY '25 and Q1 FY '26. NIM for the quarter improved to 3.81%, up 27 bps over Q1 FY '26. ROA for the quarter ended September stood at 1.33%, up 30 basis points over Q1 FY '26. Bank is holding the contingency provision intact and is continuing with the accelerated loan provisioning policy, which will enable the bank to move quickly towards ECL. On the liabilities front, we are improving the funding base. Deposit growth momentum continues to be faster than the industry and registered an increase of 25% Y-o-Y vis-a-vis a 10% on the industry. CASA growth was 9% Y-o-Y and the CASA ratio stands at 21.17%. We have sufficient liquidity buffers and are maintaining LCR at comfortable levels, average LCR of around 126%. Liquidity on the -- it's quite efficiently managed the liquidity risk. CD ratio stood at 88%, average LCR for the quarter is at 126%. NSFR ratio is at 116%. On the asset side, total advances grew by 29% Y-o-Y, significantly higher than industry growth of 11.4% Y-o-Y. All the asset verticals continue to contribute to the portfolio growth, the necessary groundwork for diversification of loan portfolio has been initiated and will pave way for balanced growth in the days to come. Yields on advances witnessed an uptick of 22 bps over Q1 FY '26 and currently is at 10.95 percentage. On the asset quality metrics, GNPA and NNPA ratios for the quarter was at 1.81% and 0.52% as against 1.84% and 0.62%, respectively, for Q1 FY '26. And PCR now stands at 84.14% with PWO and 71.62% without PWO improving over Q1 ratio of 80.46 and 64.5 percentage, respectively. Bank is holding a provisioning buffer of around INR 199 crores over and above regulatory requirements. Robust capital base is what we have been consistently following. So CRAR of 20.99% and Tier 1 ratio of 19.1 percentage, low proportion of discrete assets compared to the industry for us, primarily due to the gold loan. Shareholder value creation side, book value per share is at INR 261. EPS for the quarter is INR 36.67 and ROE for the quarter is at 14.46%, which is again a significant improvement quarter-on-quarter. On the distribution side, we have a network of 838 branches and 810 ATMs as on 30/9/2025. In conclusion, I'd like to say that we are approaching our scaled journey schedule for FY '27, targeting to emerge as a responsible midsize bank by FY 2030. I had mentioned in my last call that our team's highest priority during the previous quarter was on stabilization of the systems and processes that followed our complex CBS migration in May. Now we have almost stabilized and in fact, coming second phase of the tech transformation with renewed rigor with majority covering of OFSAA, OBDFBM, OBDX enhancements and various other projects we are starting to run like CMS supply chain, trade and all those kind of surround systems, additional surround systems that we are building. In addition to the 52 surround systems, we've already integrated with the Fc with the Flexcube system, which means that this is one of the major transitions and transformation we have seen in the industry over many years, coming from highly legacy system to the most modern system with all good surround system around it. So this will pave the way for our future growth. The results for Q2 reflects a strong momentum, both in terms of business and profitability, signaling the right advancement towards our vision. Our top line, both deposits and advances showed a strong Y-o-Y growth of 25% and 29%, respectively. The improvement in profitability is visible with a 39% and 16% increase in operating profit, net profit, respectively, over Q2 and FY '25, whereas Q1 FY '26, the growth was 27% and 35%. While our NII grew by 15% on a Y-o-Y basis, the other income ratio is 25% increase, which I have already mentioned before. As we move forward, the development of a profitable customer franchise is essential for the success of our vision. We are actively working to align our teams, products and processes to support this strategic priority, which will be critical in driving growth. Our key focus will be on rolling out now the detailed journey with the systems and processes in place now and it will enable us to achieve granular portfolio and unlock valuable cross-sell and upsell opportunities. As part of the preparedness, we have already implemented LOS for majority of the retail assets products. LMS is already in place. Automation scorecards are in place for credit decisioning wherever we're feasible. We are enhancing our BIU, which is business intelligence unit. Digitization of loan journey, products offerings like loan against securities, end use best consumer loans, et cetera, are work in progress. While we remain focused on our long-term strategic priorities, we are equally committed to achieving this year's target and we'll continue to work diligently to deliver on those expectations. Finally, I'll say that our 5 pillars on which we are building the Bank for the long term, starting with governance, compliance, customer orientation, technology and people and culture are firmly in place, and I'm very, very happy to report that some of these pillars are getting stronger and stronger, especially technology compliance, the culture and the governance. On the customer service side, with all the support systems we are building, in fact, we got awards, 2 consecutive quarters as the #1 bank in terms of best customer complaint management. So these are small achievements at this point of time because the size is small, but we think we'll be able to sustain this based on the technology transformation and the culture which you're building at the bank. With that, I'll stop here and we'll take questions. I'm joined by our Executive Director, Mr. Divakara and our CFO, Satish. So I have requested Satish to take a lot of questions this time because I think he has better grips on numbers than me. Over to you, Shivaji.

Operator

operator
#4

[Operator Instructions] The first question comes from the line of Akshat Agrawal from SMIFS Institutional Research.

Akshat Agrawal

analyst
#5

Congrats on a strong set of numbers. My first question is on margins. What is driving this sharp uptick in yields on advances surging 22 bps sequentially? Is it all because of higher gold loan growth? Or were there higher yields in the segment? And cost of deposits just came down 9 bps. So what kind of deposit repricing is left for third quarter? In terms of NIM trajectory, how do you see it moving in next 2 quarters? And then there will be a continued expansion if there are no further cuts? And do we see exit NIM by Q4 to be above 4%? That was my first question, sir.

Satish Gundewar

executive
#6

So, Akshat, this is Satish here. In terms of -- so you have multiple questions bundled into one single question. I'll try to address one by one. If something is left then you can again come back and ask a question. In terms of the advances yield, we have -- largely our business is divided into 4 large segments, the gold being the largest one with 47% composition in our advances. And we have seen not only that the portfolio has increased very strongly. At the same time, there has been improvement in our gold yields as well. So that is also one of the contributor. Apart from that, our wholesale segment has done exceedingly well in terms of the book also has grown very strongly, and we have been able to marginally improve the yields also in the Wholesale Banking segment. The next larger book is our BLG that is business lending group or the SME. There again, we have been able to maintain our yields. So basically, with the combination of these portfolio is doing well in terms of the top line as well as the margins in terms of the gross yields, we have been able to improve our overall yield trajectory. Secondly, in the overall portfolio, around 38% of the portfolio is only linked to some form of a benchmark, which is either MCLR or EBLR. So whenever the rate cut happens, the impact, especially on the gross yields is a little limited for our overall portfolio compared to other banks where this external benchmark linked portfolio is much higher. So almost 60% of our portfolio is largely fixed rate portfolio. So we get insulated from there. Coming to the cost of funds, within cost of funds, like we have multiple sources of funding, deposits, then we have refinance. We have also resorted to CD as well as FCY borrowing. Overall, our bulk deposit composition is little larger compared to the industry. And across each of our funding sources, we have seen signs of reduction in our cost of funds. In fact, what we have seen is that the falling -- the interest rates on the bulk funding are far -- fallen much -- I would say that sharply compared to the retail deposits. So that has also benefited us. In terms of the bulk deposits as well as the retail deposits, we have seen that incrementally that we are borrowing today, we have seen a fall in the cost of funds. So successfully -- basically, that impact has been on both the sides that in this quarter, we have been able to improve our yields. And at the same time, we have seen an improvement in the cost of funds, and that has got an impact on our net interest margin. Last quarter, we had made a comment in terms of that our NIM have bottomed out and that has really played out properly. So at the moment, we are at 3.81% of NIM. Going forward, probably we will be in this range of about 3.7% to 3.9% for the rest of the year, it may move from a quarter-to-quarter basis. It will be very difficult to really pinpoint exactly what is going to be the NIM for the full year. But for the rest of the year, we feel that we will be in the similar range of 3.7%, 3.9% kind of NIM.

Pralay Mondal

executive
#7

So on that NIM, I just want to add that what's happening now, as you know, that the deposit, while natural repricing is happening, because of tenor and things like that, depending on what is the tenor and we strategically took -- move from a high tenor to low tenor over the last 18 months in the bank. And hence, our average tenor has reduced and it was a strategic call which had taken because we knew interest rates are going to fall eventually. That will help us. But as we know that the fixed deposit rates are not coming down at this point of time anymore. Maybe it's a temporary phenomena or permanent, will know because of the liquidity and other various reasons, which is there in the system. And -- but yields are falling on, the -- especially on the wholesale side and things like that, right? I mean, there has been a very highly competitive market. Probably that's bringing the growth also back into the system. So from here on, I think broadly, the repricing that is going to happen on deposits, we were tenor. And yields on the MCLR has also started kicking in now because now it is almost 6, 7 months when the time has passed. So MCLR reduction has also started happening. Given that I think it will broadly be in the same range of 3.7% to close to 4%, 3.9%, that range will be there. So -- and it has exactly played out the way we had told last quarter that our NIM will improve, but now we are saying it will stabilize at these kind of levels.

Akshat Agrawal

analyst
#8

Very well, sir. And sir, on fee income, it was very strong this quarter, doubling year-on-year and 80% Q-o-Q. So can we get some color on key drivers? And is it sustainable? And treasury income was very weak. So do we see some recovery going forward?

Satish Gundewar

executive
#9

So in terms of the fee income, we have got multiple sources of fee income. And if you track for the last several quarters, our fee income trajectory has been pretty strong. This quarter also, our disbursement track was very good. Our disbursement during this quarter were very strong, and that has risen to good processing fee income also, which on a year-on-year basis also, the main source of our fee income is processing fee income that has grown by almost 83% has increased. Second is in terms of our insurance business is doing very strong, both in terms of the number of policies, the premium income. And that's the reason that, that has also grown very strongly. Other aspects of fee income because we are now well establishing our wholesale banking business, so transaction banking is a vertical, which is also giving us a good fee income. So across various lines, we have seen that the fee income has grown. And these are all granular kind of fee income, which we expect it will sustain over a period of time. And your next question was in terms of the treasury income. So treasury income is again a derivation of what are the yields in the market, and we have seen that during this quarter, we have seen some hardening of yields and that's why for most of the banks, you wouldn't find much of a treasury income. But we had certain -- some treasury income in the first quarter. In this quarter, there was not much of a treasury income. Going forward, based on the yields we'll be able to -- at the moment, it's very difficult to comment in terms of the yield trajectory. But let's see how the yields move and this is that treasury income may come in the next quarter, yes.

Pralay Mondal

executive
#10

And if I can just add, I think fundamentally, treasury income, obviously, it's a function of yield. But in case there are further rate cuts in Q3, Q4 whenever. So I don't see too much of MTM-based treasury income in Q3 also. So, maybe some will come in Q4, if we're lucky. But we are not depending on noncore income like treasury. So significantly, the -- almost 80%, 90% of our fees are granular in nature and hence, sustainable for the long term. And with retail assets and other businesses going to take off next year FY '27, FY '28 onwards, sustainability of this fee income will only improve. The other thing I want to mention is businesses like gold loans because the short tenor of the business. For example, if we have a book of INR 16,000 crores rough and ready, our disbursements is upwards of INR 10,000 crores. So fees is on disbursements. Similarly, some of the other businesses. So we had a very strong disbursement quarter across all businesses, whether it is SME, whether it is wholesale, whether it is gold and things like that. So given that, that also helped us in improvement of the processing fees in a big way. So there are multiple avenues. There are 5, 6 plus, of course, there are liability fee income. There are other trade tier fixed income, which is also there, which also has done well and it will continue to do well. Bank, of course, Satish has covered. So from all of that perspective, I think whatever fee income you are seeing, it may not grow every quarter by 40% and all that. But I think we'll sustain the kind of at least we can bake in around 19%, 20% of our overall income as fee income safely right now. That's the momentum we have picked up.

Akshat Agrawal

analyst
#11

Right, sir. If I could just squeeze in one more question. So OpEx growth was very high, driven by non-staff expense while cost-to-income ratio looked okay. Cost as a percent of assets increased to 4%. So with technology transformation now broadly complete with focus on stabilization and branches just increasing much forward in the quarter. So what's driving this elevated OpEx? And how do we see for the rest of the year? And in terms of the branch ramp-up, I mean, will we resume like 100 branches a year kind of thing for next year with slow branch expansion this -- like the rest of the second -- rest of the year for the second half?

Pralay Mondal

executive
#12

So I'll take this one. So see, I think -- Satish, correct me if I'm wrong, I think we are somewhere around 20%, 23% OpEx growth on a year-on-year basis, okay, on a year-on-year basis, which is pretty par, of course, because when you are growing the balance sheet by 27% to INR 50,000 crores, a 22% kind of growth in OpEx is par of course. And let's not forget that we are investing into the bank at this point of time. And full payback will start happening in FY '27, FY '28 onwards. So the cost to income as per our previous guidance, will be between 60% to 65% for another year or so. After that, it will start coming down and FY '28 onwards, it will sharply start coming down. So given that perspective, I think we are -- on the operating cost side, I think 22% quarter-on-quarter, okay? So yes, it is slightly high. Also, let's not forget that some of these technology costs are also OpEx costs. They are not all of it as CapEx. A large part of this is OpEx, not large -- a fair bit of it is OpEx, including the AMCs and all which has started kicking in for some of the stuff. So typically, somewhere around 8% to 9% of our overall OpEx will always be technology because until we start picking up the income and leveraging the systems. So I think it is sort of part for cost because on a year-on-year basis, yes, operating cost is around 35% growth, 22% is quarter-on-quarter, but I think we'll stabilize that. On the branch, we will add around 50 to 60 branches at this point of time on an average every year because we are pretty much reaching the critical mass around 1,000 branches, which we wanted to reach and then take a stock of situation and then we'll think from there. So we are thinking of around 50 to 60 branches every year.

Operator

operator
#13

The next question comes from the line of Mona Khetan from Dolat Capital.

Mona Khetan

analyst
#14

Yes. So firstly, on -- again, on the fee side, if I could understand how much is the cost...

Operator

operator
#15

Mona, I'm sorry to interrupt you, but when you are speaking, there is a airy distance. So can you please make sure that you are speaking in a better network area?

Mona Khetan

analyst
#16

Is it better?

Operator

operator
#17

Yes, ma'am, it is better.

Mona Khetan

analyst
#18

Okay. Yes. So I was on the fee income part, where, I wanted to understand the contribution of processing fees to this overall fee. The reason I'm trying to harp on this is because at 2.8% of assets, it's way higher than what we see in the industry, even for some of the large banks? And also, does it include any syndication income as well this quarter?

Pralay Mondal

executive
#19

Mona, Pralay here. No, as I said before, 80% to 90% is granular and sustainable. Maybe we may not be able to grow this much because I answered your question partially by saying that disbursement has been very high this quarter and fee is a function of disbursement. And also, let me tell you that because the regulatory guidance on [indiscernible] repledger has kicked in for the banks, we have taken a very conservative view. So we have started reducing that portfolio. And that will see that our retail has come down. One of the reasons I've already disclosed before that retail includes a fair bit of the [indiscernible] repledger business, which used to call it loan against security, okay? Now once we're replacing that portfolio and our conservative view is of the RBI policy interpretation is that we'll like to bring down the portfolio as much as possible by April, and we are not rebooking any, on renewal, we are not renewing anymore, okay? So it will run off on its own, and it's already started running off. So we have got a growth on -- of 37% on gold loan in spite of the fact, a fair bit of runoff has started happening on the repledger business, where you don't get much fees and what we are replacing it is by granular businesses where the fees are much higher. So that is one. Secondly, I think our TFX business has started doing extremely well because of transaction baking on the wholesale side, I think we have started getting a lot of business now and some of the other granular fees, so again, and treasury fee is not there. So primarily, it is granular fees and it is sustainable. On your specific question on syndication, we are working on some, but we have not -- this quarter, we have not done any syndication.

Mona Khetan

analyst
#20

Okay. And if I could understand, out of this INR 343 crores, so what is the component of processing fee?

Pralay Mondal

executive
#21

We don't give breakup as I said it before, also, we don't give detailed breakup on this. We don't disclose these numbers.

Mona Khetan

analyst
#22

But sir, because it's such a material part of your ROA, if you could start giving some clarity as part of the presentation on your fee bit as well. I think that will clear a lot of doubts as to where this is coming from.

Pralay Mondal

executive
#23

Don't have doubts Mona. Don't worry. Okay. I said this is granular. So it's okay. Your doubts will be clear. Like a lot of people had doubts that last quarter when I said that our NIM has bottomed out, but we have proved it, right? So have some trust on us, it is granular, okay.

Mona Khetan

analyst
#24

Sure. But I mean, this kind of number, we don't see in the industry. Even for say, stand-alone gold finances, we barely see any material fee line. So it's a little hard to digest. Secondly, on the ECL transition, just some quick thoughts from you. Also, if you could share the 012 book for the -- SMA 012 for the entire book, if possible, that will be useful?

Satish Gundewar

executive
#25

So Mona, Satish here. So the bank policy on NPA, the provisioning policy that we follow for nonperforming asset is much more accelerated compared to the RBI guidelines. And over and above that, also we carry some contingency provision, which we have specified in our earlier calls. So carry a substantial amount of additional provision compared to what the current norms suggest. And we have been also submitting our pro forma financials, which are based on IFRS norms, Ind AS norms to RBI. So from that perspective, if we see -- and the draft ECL guidelines also talk about various minimum base level provision, especially on the SMA book and all that. At the same time, we have some excess provisions. So largely, our assessment is that one will set off against the other. And there wouldn't be any material impact to start with when the ECL guidelines come into play. Even now, these are draft guidelines and the banks have submitted their suggestions to the regulator and the final guidelines are yet to come in. So at this stage, it will be too premature to really quantify in terms of what is the final impact that is going to come. But our initial assessment suggests that, that impact is not going to be material for our book.

Pralay Mondal

executive
#26

And also, Mona, if I can just add that SMA book, I mean, whatever stage 1, stage 2 whatever you call it, you must understand that we have a large gold portfolio in that, right? So that if you go theoretically and put exact numbers to the SMA book, primarily based on gold loans, that will not give the real picture. And even if you take the real picture theoretically what it is, it has no -- materiality of that impact is easily covered by our contingency provision, okay? Having said that, obviously, once this rule kicks in, we'll not have large SMA books in gold because if you can collect on 80th day, we can collect it on 30 day also, okay? So from that perspective, depending on what the priority of the bank is based on regulation, we'll do it. So we are still not seeing any major impact on ECL based on our internal calculations here. But let the guidelines get formally firmed up and then it will be a better time to discuss that.

Mona Khetan

analyst
#27

Sure, sure, okay. And also, we had 3 MSME slippages last quarter. And so is it fair to understand that two of them have already been recovered and just some color on that from your side?

Pralay Mondal

executive
#28

Yes. No. So I had said last time that one of the two slippages, which we had last time was more technical in nature. So within the first 10 or 15 days of the quarter, we already recovered some -- a large amount of that, right? So to that extent, and that's why you're seeing that our NPA numbers and all of that stuff has looked a little better. And this was -- we are quite comfortable and confident. And I don't know whether I told you in the last analyst meet or not, but I think I told that we will be able to recover because one was a little more technical in nature, which happened. So from that perspective, yes, we have recovered one of the two slippages which happened last quarter. The other one was conversation is going on, and we are pretty positive about it.

Mona Khetan

analyst
#29

Okay. So there were 2 accounts that slipped last quarter.

Satish Gundewar

executive
#30

Yes, that's right. [indiscernible]

Mona Khetan

analyst
#31

Got it. And just finally, on the PCR, there was a sharp rise. So is it more driven by higher provisioning requirement for unsecured loans or unsecured delinquency or how do we read the rise in PCR?

Satish Gundewar

executive
#32

So if you see our -- in the overall portfolio, our overall unsecured portfolio is, I would say, less than 3%. We have a small portfolio say, MFI, personal loan, education loan, they are very insignificant portfolio. So this is not on account of that. But as a bank, we have taken a call to accelerate our provision on some of these accounts. So it was a management decision to accelerate this provision, and that is the reason the PCR has improved.

Operator

operator
#33

The next question comes from the line of Vansh Solanki from RSPN Ventures.

Vansh Solanki

analyst
#34

My question is on net worth, even after having the INR 160 crores of profit my net worth has increased probably INR 50 crores, INR 60 crores only. So is there any one-off or due to revaluation reserve or something like that, why my net worth is not increased?

Satish Gundewar

executive
#35

So if you remember, last year, RBI implemented this new investment guidelines. So earlier, the AFS portfolio, any MTM used to directly go to the P&L. Now that AFS portfolio, any MTM goes to AFS reserve and AFS reserve forms part of the Tier 1 capital. So this quarter, the yields have gone up, and that's the reason that any kind of MTM pluses and minus going and fit into the AFS reserve. And that is the reason that the profit has grown sharply, but the impact gets muted at the capital level due to the MTM, which goes into the AFS reserves. That is all temporary because ultimately, it is not a realized gain or loss. Only this will flow into the P&L only when the realization happens. So this will keep happening based on the yield moments of the AFS portfolio.

Vansh Solanki

analyst
#36

Yes. And the other question is on my TD and incremental cost of borrowing. What is our highest rate of TD as of now?

Satish Gundewar

executive
#37

So term deposits anyway, all that is in public domain, somewhere around 7% is our highest rate of taking term deposits. That is all in public domain.

Vansh Solanki

analyst
#38

Yes. And we have also decreased the borrowing by INR 1,000 crores from INR 5,000 crores to INR 4,000 crores approx. So is it just strategically in nature or we have got so much term deposits in our bank so that we repay the borrowing, which is a higher cost of borrowing? Is that is the reason for that?

Satish Gundewar

executive
#39

No specific as such reason. Ultimately, it's the ALM management based on what is the demand, and we don't want to take deposits or borrowings and keep it in, say, government securities and things like that. But overall, in the borrowings, there is 2 components of that. One is our refinance borrowing, and other our FCY borrowing. So some of the refinance borrowings has matured during the quarter. And that's reason that the overall borrowings probably has seen a fall. But overall, from an ALM perspective, we manage that effectively in terms of whether we want to go in for borrowing or for deposits.

Vansh Solanki

analyst
#40

Okay. And just on the credit cost part that we are taking so much additional provisions continuously from last 1, 2 quarters at least. So what management is looking for a full year credit cost like from quarter 3 and 4 onwards, we are going to, I mean, we are looking not to take additional provision or our provisions will be continuing in line of 0.5%, 0.6% credit cost?

Pralay Mondal

executive
#41

So let me take this. So our -- generally PCR has always been in the between 70% to 72% in that range historically. And that's where comfort zone, 70% to 75% is what I have guided also in past. Because of these 1 or 2 specific slippages which happened last year, this PCR went down to 64%, 65% in that range, which was not comfortable to us. So we looked at opportunity to raise the PCR back to around 70% to 73%, which is our comfort zone. Once we have reached there like CD, our comfort zone is 85% to 90%. Now we have reached around our comfort zone. I think we'd like to sustain in this kind of zone at this point of time. And on the credit cost, I think, see, GNPA has come down by 2, 3 basis points. NNPA has come down quarter-on-quarter from 66 or something to 52, and credit cost has remained quarter-on-quarter similar, 53 basis points. I think we will probably -- we are trying very hard to get some recoveries done and bring it down below 50 basis points, but it will probably remain in the range between 40 to 50. That's what our attempt is at this point of time.

Vansh Solanki

analyst
#42

Okay. Yes. So the GNPA and NNPA has also reduced and also our PCR is approx 72% as of now. So can you just think that from quarter 3 and 4 onwards, the credit cost will not be higher as much as the quarter 1 and 2 in the second half, I can say.

Pralay Mondal

executive
#43

No, it will not reach there because what has happened is some of the unsecured loans and MFI and some of the other portfolio had slipped. And though that small portion of our portfolio because we have started reducing those portfolio size some time back. But still, nevertheless, they continue, right? So from that perspective, I think this year, anything around 40 to 50, somewhere we position ourselves at.

Operator

operator
#44

The next question comes from the line of Shivaji Thapliyal from YES Securities.

Shivaji Thapliyal

analyst
#45

I have 2 questions. I would like to sort of get a sense of how the bank is going to look like on a steady-state basis from an asset quality and from a growth perspective? I mean, firstly, on growth, we have a small base and we are growing faster than the system. So how far out into the future are we going to grow at a relatively faster pace? And what kind of CAGR can we really expect from a maybe 3-year standpoint? That is one question. And secondly, I think we have obviously grown quite healthily on the gold loan front and maybe we are still piloting on retail and other areas. But nevertheless, where can the steady state sort of slippage ratio settle at for the business model we are trying to build? And what will be the steady state credit cost for that business? Those are my 2 questions.

Satish Gundewar

executive
#46

Thanks, Shivaji, for your questions. Firstly, on the growth front, it will be primarily driven how well we can build our liability franchise because growing on the asset side is not challenging for us at this point of time because we already have a strong lever in gold and gold growth is not going anywhere. The wholesale, especially the real wholesale, which is the corporate banking at mid market or commercial banking is growing at a hectic pace because the base is very small there. And this year, whatever you have seen the growth on the wholesale side, which is around 28%, 29% on a year-on-year basis is actually happened in spite of the fact that our entire DA portfolio has come down to only INR 60 crores right now, which will eventually not be there at the end of the year, which was more than INR 1,000 crores at some point of time. So in spite of this fact and LCBD and all this portfolio has also come down significantly. And our financial market book also maybe we'll start growing again, but we have not grown this year so far, which is the NBFCs and all of them, which used to be a large part of our book. So we are realigning the entire corporate banking book in a different way. And hence, growth in corporate banking will be higher than what you're seeing right now because of these noises, which are there in the system. On the SME side, we have been a little cautious in the last 1 or 2 quarters because of various ecosystem the deals which are being talked about, et cetera, with the exports coming under some kind of pressure. So we are watching that space. And because we -- growth is anyway coming, so we have turned a little cautious on that side. But once we have clarity on the deals and the exports and some of the SME markets, we will get back because we have the levers to place that growth again. On the retail side, we are now having the systems now. So next year onwards, we'll start building the retail, both on the liability and the asset franchise and the customer acquisition. So the real part of the retail bank will start next year, if you ask me, because on the systems we had, we couldn't have built that -- those kind of businesses. Now we have it, now we can build it. And so from an overall perspective, growth of around 25% to 30% is a no-brainer for us from an asset perspective, but it will be constrained by the liquidity and the other situation in the ecosystem because we have to balance between LCR, we have to balance between NIM and growth, et cetera. So that will be the constraint. So if you are able to build up a good deposit franchise, we'll be able to grow easily between 25% to 30% for sustainable future. I don't know what is future, but at least 2030, we will be able to grow because some of the levers on growth with larger base, those levers will become more -- bigger accelerators for our wholesale, retail and SME. So that's on the growth front. The second question was credit cost. I think credit cost, we have given a long-term guidance between 40 to 50 basis points. Sometimes it will be higher, sometimes it will be lower, but broadly, we'll be in that range because now with some of the businesses, wholesale SME also being a material part of the book, one account there, one account there can swing a small balance sheet. But generally, on a yearly basis, we should remain between 40 to 50 basis points, and that has been my long-term guidance for a very long time.

Operator

operator
#47

The next question comes from the line of Yash Dantewadia from Dante Equity.

Yash Dantewadia

analyst
#48

So congratulations on a great set of numbers. What I'd like to know is have you -- I'm sorry, I missed the first 10 minutes of the call. Have you given a trajectory for the cost to income for the next financial year?

Pralay Mondal

executive
#49

I think we have always given that we'll be between 60% to 65% in that range. I think we'll remain there between 60%, 65% but FY '27 onwards, it will start coming down sharply.

Yash Dantewadia

analyst
#50

Right. And with our cost of funds, how is that going to move, especially if you are factoring in 1 more rate cut?

Pralay Mondal

executive
#51

So two things will happen there. One is the long-term borrowing book will start eventually coming down on the repricing. And deposit cost because we are -- if there is a rate cut, if there's enough liquidity, it's also a function of liquidity. If there is enough liquidity in the system then because we are a little more wholesale funded, we'll get more benefits in the short term. Though that's not our strategy. Our strategy is to build a retail franchise. But in the short term, it is benefiting us. Having said that, I think the cost of funds trajectory will now go down because of the repricing of the deposits because the fresh deposits are not coming down any further. I discussed this in the beginning of the call. And this will be in line with what the yield drop will happen on the EBLR and the MCLR portfolio. MCLR portfolio will happen irrespective of the rate cut because it is still going through the 100 basis rate cut through the MCLR. It is halfway through. And if there is one more rate cut, then EBLR portfolio will also get impacted. But the good thing is that our fixed rate business is around 60% and EBLR and MCLR together is around 39%, 40%. So to that extent, our impact will be slightly lesser. So on the balance, I think between cost of funds reduction and -- sorry, reduction and yield reduction, it will be sort of moving in parallel line to a great extent.

Yash Dantewadia

analyst
#52

Right. Also, look, I think most of our loan growth is obviously coming from gold loan currently, right? Let's -- and obviously, gold loan prices -- I mean, gold prices have done very well in the last 2 years. So that has obviously been a driver for us to disburse more amount of money. You said gold loan growth is not going anywhere. I heard that particular statement. Let's say, gold prices don't move and stay consolidate around here. Are we still expecting the momentum to continue? And if not, where is the next leg of growth going to come for CSB Bank other than gold loan, where else are we focusing and putting our energy towards?

Pralay Mondal

executive
#53

Yes. So if you look at, gold prices have only gone up in the last 1 or 2 years. But if you look at sustainability of our gold growth over the last 3, 4 years, take aside the FY '22 -- '21, '22 because that year that LTV thing was there, that 90% to 75%. Our sustainability of the gold growth has been uniform, okay? Maybe a little bit more, maybe, but not more than 5%, 6%. But what I see in the ecosystem is, ecosystem has grown by 120%. We have still grown by, say, 36%, 37%. When ecosystem is growing much lesser, we are still growing at that rate. So we do a very planned kind of an activity by which what we have done is we have brought down our LTV because we do a sensitivity analysis and accordingly, we bring down our LTV. So we are not chasing the growth on gold loan based on where the markets are. Our tonnage growth on a year-on-year basis is 4%. But I have this theory that tonnage growth will come back once gold prices starts going down because ultimately, the customer will need that much money for his cash flow or for his working capital or whatever. And a lot of gold businesses started happening, gold loan business on the SME side and working capital side and just not for consumption reasons. So the flavor of the gold business, gold loan business is changing. And I think we are playing to that to a great extent because if you see our number of accounts have come down, but our overall business has gone up significantly, especially...

Yash Dantewadia

analyst
#54

That is a sign that a huge portion like the tonnage growth that you pointed out. And you also pointed out that the number of accounts have not grown in line with the disbursements. Don't you think that's a sign that our loan growth is coming from a rally in gold prices, hence, people are borrowing more?

Pralay Mondal

executive
#55

No, no, no. Probably, I could not explain it properly. Please hear me again. I'm saying that the tonnage growth has grown, but customers have not grown. What it means is, tonnage per customer is also growing at a time when your values are growing significantly higher. My theory here is like this, that a customer needs INR 100, he will give lesser tonnage when he gets at a lesser grams of gold he has to give. But if he needs that INR 100 when prices comes down, he will give more gold. So that's the segment we operate. We don't operate -- that's why we are growing at a similar kind of rate where we are growing before, but the market has grown to 130%, 150%. We have not chased that growth. Coming to your impact -- will it impact our growth? Answer is no overall because even if prices comes down and our LTV is very good, so we are not taking any risk on the LTV. And hence, even in a difficult situation, where industry, which is growing at a very fast pace, in case there's a risk, we will be actually having a risk free kind of a portfolio, and hence, we can continue to grow. That's one. Secondly, we are not dependent only on gold loan business, right? Our wholesale is growing, which I just explained, our SME is growing, our retail will start growing from next year. So asset growth is least of my worries at this point of time.

Yash Dantewadia

analyst
#56

But sir, in retail, where are we going to focus?

Pralay Mondal

executive
#57

Retail primarily will focus on vehicles, CV, CE LAP, loan against security, and those kind of businesses. Right now -- and now our agri portfolio has stabilized. So now we'll start building our agri portfolio again, which is KCC, tractors, those kind of businesses. We are still not comfortable that much with the unsecured business. And unsecured we'll do primarily in-house on our existing customers, which we'll start building. So that's where the plan is, basically productive assets in retail where we have our end use understanding.

Yash Dantewadia

analyst
#58

Right. Where do you see our gold loan portfolio by 2030 as a total percentage of our AUM?

Pralay Mondal

executive
#59

Gold?

Yash Dantewadia

analyst
#60

Gold loan portfolio as a total percentage of our AUM by 2030?

Pralay Mondal

executive
#61

Yes. So there, I have changed light view on this one. Previously, I used to say it is around 20%, but a new segment is coming up in gold business, which we want to address, which is the SME segment. And that's why when I said ticket size is going up not by value, but by the requirement of the customer. What it means is now not going into a household, not going into consumption, not going into it -- there's a specific end use, which people are taking through gold loans for the higher ticket sizes, which are INR 5 lakhs, INR 10 lakhs and things like that. And that is a segment which is evolving right now. Given that, I would say that, that's almost like SME business with a loan against security, okay? With our cash flow, but you don't need to adjust that value that cash flow because you have a collateral. So that is a segment which is coming up which we are especially going to focus on now because I think that's a very, very good segment. The yields may be slightly lower, but that's a good business to be in. So I think we should be somewhere upwards of 25%, but below 30% is what our plans are in gold loan by 2030, especially because I think this 5%, 7% growth -- incremental mix will happen from this particular SME kind of a segment who will use gold as a collateral.

Operator

operator
#62

Ladies and gentlemen, we'll take that as the last question for today's call. I would now like to hand the conference over to the management for closing comments.

Pralay Mondal

executive
#63

Okay. Thank you. Thank you for your participation, and thank you for a great set of questions. I believe that we had a very, very good quarter. But I'm more excited more than this quarter with the kind of technology transformation journey and completely rebooting the bank again. The kind of work which has happened on the technology side is kind of giving us a lot of satisfaction and happiness. And we hope that we can build the bank in a very different trajectory, including franchise businesses in retail, SME and wholesale and gold, of course, remains as a key product for us. So thank you very much for participating, and look forward to see you again in next quarter. Thank you. Have a good evening.

Operator

operator
#64

On behalf of YES Securities, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.

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