Dominion Energy, Inc. ($NEE)
Earnings Call Transcript · May 18, 2026
Highlights from the call
Dominion Energy, Inc. (NEE:US) held a merger conference call on May 18, 2026, announcing a strategic all-stock merger with NextEra Energy. The combined entity is projected to have an enterprise value of approximately $420 billion and aims for adjusted EPS growth of 9% or more through 2032. The merger is expected to be immediately accretive, with a commitment to maintaining affordability and reliability for customers, alongside a $2.25 billion bill credit for Dominion customers over the first two years post-closing.
Main topics
- Merger Overview: The merger between NextEra Energy and Dominion Energy is positioned as a historic opportunity to create an industry leader with enhanced scale and operational efficiency. Management stated, "We expect this combination would also deliver a compelling long-term shareholder value proposition, anchored in strong visible growth."
- Customer Benefits: Management emphasized the commitment to customer value, including a proposed $2.25 billion in bill credits for Dominion customers over the first two years post-closing. This is part of their strategy to ensure affordability and reliability, as noted, "This combination is great for customers."
- Growth Projections: The combined company anticipates a regulatory capital employed growth of 11% and adjusted EPS growth of 9% plus through 2032. Management highlighted, "We expect to more than double the size of our combined company over the forecast period."
- Operational Efficiency: The merger is expected to enhance operational efficiencies through combined scale, allowing for better capital deployment. Management stated, "The combined company will be better equipped than ever to leverage scale and reduce operating costs as it efficiently invests smart capital."
- Regulatory Landscape: Management expressed confidence in navigating the regulatory approval process, citing a lack of operational overlap and a focus on customer benefits. They noted, "We have no asks, right? We are going into this regulatory approval process for the first time with no ask."
Key metrics mentioned
- Enterprise Value: $420B (Projected enterprise value post-merger.)
- Market Capitalization: $249B (Estimated market cap of the combined company.)
- Adjusted EPS Growth: 9%+ (Targeted adjusted EPS growth through 2032.)
- Regulatory Capital Employed Growth: 11% (Expected annual growth rate through 2032.)
- Bill Credits: $2.25B (Proposed bill credits for Dominion customers over two years.)
- Annual CapEx Spend: $59B (Expected annual capital expenditures from 2027 to 2032.)
The merger between NextEra Energy and Dominion Energy is positioned as a transformative event for both companies, promising significant growth and operational efficiencies. Investors should monitor the regulatory approval process and the realization of projected synergies, as these will be critical to the success of the merger and the future performance of the combined entity.
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
OperatorGood morning, and welcome to the NextEra Energy and Dominion Energy Merger Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the call over to Mark Eidelman, Director of Investor Relations.
Mark Eidelman
ExecutivesGood morning, everyone, and thank you for joining the special call regarding the combination of NextEra Energy and Dominion Energy. Today's presentation includes references to non-GAAP financial measures. Please refer to the information contained in the slides accompanying today's presentation for definitional information and reconciliations of historical non-GAAP measures to the closest GAAP financial measures. With me this morning are John Ketchum, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer of NextEra Energy; Bob Blue, Chair, President and Chief Executive Officer of Dominion Energy; Mike Dunn, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of NextEra Energy; and Steven Ridge, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Dominion Energy. This morning, we'll provide a transaction overview and discuss how we're forming the industry leader. Then we'll discuss why we believe this combination is good for customers, our team, our communities and shareholders, then we'll discuss the anticipated time line to close and key takeaways. With that, I'll turn the call over to John.
John Ketchum
ExecutivesThanks, Mark, and good morning, everyone. I can't tell you how excited I am to be in Richmond alongside Bob and his team at Dominion Energy. This is a historic day for our storied companies and for America. Our country is at an inflection point. Demand for electricity is increasing unlike anything we've seen in generations. Today, energy infrastructure projects are larger and more complex than ever before. Practically every corner of America needs power solutions, not someday, but right now. Speed to power is critical. So too is maintaining affordability and reliability for customers. Unfortunately, a one-size-fits-all solution doesn't exist. It's not that simple. Meeting different customers' electricity demands requires different approaches and different solutions. The complexity of this moment is as real as it is unavoidable. At the same time, the opportunity set is enormous. Meeting it requires us to enhance our customer value proposition. That starts with scale. Not for the sake of size, scale must translate into capital and operating efficiency, which simply put, enables us to buy, build, finance and operate more efficiently, all to deliver more reliable and affordable electricity to our customers. That's exactly what we fully expect combining NextEra Energy and Dominion Energy would do by uniting 2 industry leaders with 238 years of collective experience. Importantly, the experience for our customers would be seamless. The Dominion Energy name isn't changing nor as how we operate locally, serve our customers or engage with the community. The same leaders and the same teams customers know and trust will continue serving Virginia, North Carolina and South Carolina. Through this combination, Dominion Energy and NextEra Energy will have access to an industry-leading platform and a robust balance sheet. This means projects can be built even faster and more efficiently. Meeting demand without sacrificing reliability or affordability. NextEra Energy and Dominion Energy are already world-class utilities, serving millions of customers across 4 states. But we believe we can accomplish more together than we can apart. Combined, we'd be #1 in America and total power generation the world's leader in renewables and energy storage, America's #1 gas generator and second largest nuclear generator. The list goes on and on. When you add it all up, you see this as a unique situation where 1 plus 1 equals 3. The combined company would serve 4 of America's fast-growing states in constructive regulatory environments. We would expect to grow adjusted EPS at 9% plus and regulatory capital employed at 11% through 2032, anchored by a massive more than 130 gigawatt large load pipeline, which is more than 3x the total installed capacity of the entire state of New York. The combination only enhances our growth visibility with more than 15 ways to grow across a combined enterprise that's more than 80% regulated and growth drivers evenly balanced between regulated and long-term contracted businesses. Both companies put our customers and teams first as well as the communities we serve. Bottom line, we strongly believe that all stakeholders will benefit immensely from this combination. Let me start by providing an overview of the transaction. We expect this to be a tax-free all-stock merger that would create a company with an enterprise value of roughly $420 billion and a market cap of roughly $249 billion. Importantly, we expect the transaction to be immediately accretive at closing. NextEra Energy shareholders would own approximately 74.5% of the combined company, while Dominion Energy shareholders would own the remaining approximately 25.5%. This combination is about bringing together 2 exceptional companies for the benefit of our customers, which is why the combined company will maintain continuity in leadership, board representation and headquarters. I'll serve as CEO of the combined company. Bob will serve as President and CEO of Regulated Utilities. Leadership at those regulated utilities would remain the same as it is today, with Ed Baine leading Dominion Energy Virginia and North Carolina; Keller Kissam, leading Dominion Energy South Carolina; and Scott Bores leading Florida Power & Light Company. The combined company would have a 14 member Board of Directors with NextEra Energy appointing 10 of those members. I would serve as Chairman. We would mutually appoint 4 directors from Dominion Energy's Board of Directors with Bob Blue serving as one of the 4 directors. The combined company would trade as NextEra Energy on the New York Stock Exchange. This transaction builds on a strong legacy of dedicated service across Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina and Florida. The combined company will continue to put customers first and maintain a commitment to affordability. That would start with $2.25 billion in proposed bill credits for Dominion Energy customers in Virginia, North Carolina and South Carolina spread out over the first 2 years post closing. The combined company would offer 18 months of job protection and 24 months of compensation and benefits protection post close for Dominion Energy employees. We expect to more than double the size of our combined company over the forecast period. We expect there to be good jobs for many years to come for our talented teams across the 4 states we serve and across America where we have operations. The combined company will continue to foster strong relationships with local unions in Virginia, North Carolina and South Carolina. The company is also committed to our communities and with increased charitable giving in Virginia, North Carolina and South Carolina by $10 million annually for 5 years post close, which we expected to happen in 12 to 18 months, subject to regulatory approvals. The combined company would have one of the highest adjusted EPS growth expectations and one of the strongest balance sheets in the industry. NextEra Energy's existing dividend policy would remain in place for the combined company. Dominion Energy shareholders would receive a one-time $360 million taxable cash payment distributed equally across outstanding shares at closing. Until then, Dominion Energy would maintain its existing dividend policy. We expect the combination would enable more efficient access to capital for the benefit of our customers, which I will lay out in more detail in a moment. If approved, this combination would create a company with unmatched scale, capabilities and opportunities across the utility and energy infrastructure sectors, enabling us to keep bills affordable over time. We're taking the nation's largest utility, most experienced and capable energy infrastructure builder, the most efficient operator and NextEra Energy and teaming that up with another world-class utility sector leader and management team and Dominion Energy to serve 4 high-growth and constructive rate regulated jurisdictions. With unparalleled data and data analytics capabilities, the combined company would be optimally positioned to build the right projects at the right time, in the right place, driving what we believe is one of the industry's strongest customer and shareholder value propositions. To really put our size and scale into perspective, consider this, the combined company's enterprise value would make us the third largest company in the energy sector in America behind ExxonMobil and just barely behind Chevron and bigger than the next 2 largest power companies combined. Together, we would serve 4 states with a combined $4 trillion economy, which would be top 5 in the world if they were in their own country. And Virginia electricity sales grew twice as fast as the national average from 2021 to 2024. Both South Carolina and North Carolina are experienced a surge in population growth, which is expected to accelerate over the next 3 years. And South Carolina continues to be oen of the most attractive states for manufacturing. The combined company's scale and expertise will enable us to deliver reliable and affordable power supporting economic development in all 4 states. That's because building new energy infrastructure creates jobs, building and maintaining affordable and reliable power attracts new residents and businesses, which then requires new infrastructure, and the cycle repeats. We know this because we serve the rapidly growing state of Florida for more than a century, making smart strategic capital investments to build new energy infrastructure for the benefit of our customers. And we've done it while staying laser-focused on operating efficiently. It's why FPL's bill today is 30% below the national average and is only expected to grow 2% annually through the end of the decade. The combined company's unmatched scale and operating platform would enable us to meet electricity demand while maintaining affordability across Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, and South Carolina. Now I'd like to turn things over to Bob.
Robert Blue
ExecutivesThank you, John. First and foremost, let me just say this combination is great for customers. Dominion Energy's customers are at the heart of everything we do every single day, just like NextEra Energy. We're as committed as ever to delivering low bills, high reliability and outstanding customer service and this combination will enable us to continue to do so over the long term. The collective strength of both companies enhances both our scale and the combined strength of our operating platform, enabling Dominion Energy to accelerate and more efficiently deploy capital to deliver even more reliable and affordable electricity for the benefit of our customers. As John laid out, the stakes couldn't be any higher. Demand is coming from all sectors of the U.S. economy. Meeting this moment requires a company to buy, build, finance and operate more efficiently. It's easier said than done. It requires scale, deep skills and experience across the energy value chain, together with the ability to leverage technology. That's what NextEra Energy and Dominion Energy together can bring to the table at a time when projects are only getting bigger and more capital intensive. Let's start with being able to buy more efficiently through a robust and wide-ranging supply chain. The combined company scale enables significant buying power and with an expected annual CapEx spend of roughly $59 billion from 2027 to 2032, that buying power only increases, providing the ability to drive capital efficiency across the supply chain on parts and equipment. We've built a lot too. In just the last 5 years, NextEra Energy and Dominion Energy have built more power generation than the next 25 largest utilities combined by a wide margin. Remember, our companies have been building energy infrastructure for more than a century, learning with every project and fine-tuning our engineering and construction capabilities. And because we build so much, EPCs are at the ready to support our projects at a more competitive price given our buying power, which means more certainty on project time lines at a lower cost. As a combined company, we expect this should only get better. Together, we expect the combined company would be able to finance projects more efficiently. We expect NextEra Energy's credit ratings to be reaffirmed. We also expect Dominion Energy Virginia to receive a ratings upgrade from S&P at closing, which should lower financing costs for Dominion Energy customers over time. At the corporate level, Dominion Energy is also expected to receive credit upgrades, which would enable more economic refinancings as maturities occur. We also expect a 100 basis point improvement in the combined company's downgrade thresholds at S&P and Moody's and an improvement from Fitch. The combined company is committed to maintaining a strong balance sheet and its current credit ratings. The overall strength of our balance sheet is more critical than ever to cost effectively build energy infrastructure for the benefit of our customers. Lastly, we expect the combined company will operate more efficiently, leveraging our combined operating platform over more assets with lower costs substantially. Every new megawatt developed would be more efficient to build and operate. And then you layer on top of that, the benefits of scale from our combined 110 gigawatt fleet which is already the largest in America. That massive scale would only get bigger given we expect to more than double the size of our combined fleet by 2032, but it's more than that. No company in our industry can leverage data, analytics and technology better than our combined company using real-time information and proprietary algorithms to anticipate issues before they occur. Fixing equipment before it breaks is less expensive than replacing a failed part. It's not an accident that the combined company's nonfuel O&M on a dollar per megawatt basis is significantly lower than the national average. The combined company will be better equipped than ever to leverage scale and reduce operating costs as it efficiently invest smart capital, helping drive affordability. That's important given the combined company expects to grow regulatory capital employed at 11% for the benefit of our customers. And it's not just power generation, smart capital investments in grid hardening, smart grid technology and remote operations translate into higher reliability and lower cost for our customers. A stronger, smarter and more resilient energy grid also speeds restoration after storms. All of these are core tenets of our operating platform. When you put it all together, buying, building, financing and operating more efficiently by leveraging our combined platform adds up to a huge win for our customers today and tomorrow. That's because scale and a strong balance sheet matter more than ever in our industry. It's the winning formula to building projects faster and more efficiently. This combination is also good for our team and the communities we serve. We understand that our duty to serve extends well beyond generating and delivering electricity. We're committed to being key community pillars. Both companies have a legacy of giving back, volunteering 173,000 combined hours last year alone. The combined company would enhance our charitable contributions, part of a long-standing commitment to make our communities a better place to live, work and raise a family. And we would remain committed to supporting low-income utility assistance programs, helping customers and families and hardship keep the lights on. This is in lockstep with our core values. Both companies have so much in common. Safety would continue to be central to everything we do. We have a customer-first mindset. We're committed to excellence. We do the right thing, and we treat people with respect. We share a culture of continuous improvement to find ways to get even better for our customers and our communities, and we would operate with a one team mindset with the humility of understanding that being -- providing a critical service is an honor and bigger than any one of us. As John mentioned earlier, we're committed to maintaining a strong local presence with dual headquarters in Virginia and Florida, along with Dominion Energy's operational headquarters in South Carolina. We'll continue to offer our employees meaningful career opportunities across the enterprise and at a growing company. Our people are our greatest asset. And everything we accomplish every day for our customers is due to the efforts of our industry-leading teams. For all these reasons more I could not be more excited about this combination. Now I'll turn things back over to John.
John Ketchum
ExecutivesThanks, Bob. I couldn't agree more with all the points you just made. For those same reasons and more, we expect this combination would also deliver a compelling long-term shareholder value proposition, anchored in strong visible growth. The combined company is targeting 9% plus long-term adjusted EPS growth, supported by 11% regulatory capital employed growth and high-quality cash flows growing in line with earnings. As I said at the outset, we also expect the transaction to be immediately accretive at closing with a clear path to sustained value creation driven by scale, disciplined investment and execution. As we've discussed this morning, the combined company would become what we believe is an unmatched industry leader positioned to capture an opportunity set that has never been larger. A rate base of $138 billion would be the highest in the industry, reflecting smart capital investments to serve our customers with affordable and reliable power solutions. The opportunity set is enormous, and we believe we can deploy roughly $59 billion of smart CapEx on an average annual basis for the benefit of our customers to provide the energy solutions they need. Our pipeline with large load customers alone is more than 130 gigawatts. To put that in perspective, our entire portfolio today is 110 gigawatts. As a combined company, we have more than 15 ways to grow. Importantly, our forecasted growth is visible and balanced between our regulated and long-term contracted businesses. At the core of that expected growth would be the combined company's regulated businesses. The combined company's regulated capital investment would be about 80% higher than NextEra Energy on a stand-alone basis. From there, we would expect the combined company to grow regulatory capital employed at about 11% annually through 2032. These are smart, disciplined capital investments that benefit customers. We expect a big piece of that growth will come from population growth and large load demand. In fact, we believe the combined company will have the unmatched opportunity to be the leading partner for large load customers in the U.S. Remember, these are customers who spend capital at a 4:1 ratio to our investment. They can't afford to commit that sort of investment unless they have confidence that an energy company can deliver. That starts and ends with a strong balance sheet, which is exactly what our combined company would bring to the table. It's also important to remember Dominion Energy has served the world's premier large load market for more than a decade. That experience, combined with the increased execution capabilities of the combined company, would be invaluable, and both companies are committed to both serving large load customers and maintaining affordability for existing customers. And that means large load must pay their fair share. To meet this increased demand, we believe there's an opportunity to more than double our combined generation fleet with as much as 260 gigawatts of installed capacity by 2032. This would provide us with enormous scale that we expect would lead to enhanced capital and operating efficiencies for our customers. We expect the combined company's scale and diversification would be built on strong, regulated and long-term contracted cash flows. And the combination would add another layer of diversification, spreading the regulated portfolio across 4 distinct regulatory jurisdictions. Underpinning this business mix and growth would be the combined company's strong balance sheet. It's foundational to everything we do. Whether markets are up or down, it's what has allowed NextEra Energy to consistently invest at scale and at a lower cost driving exceptional customer and shareholder value. In the simplest terms, the stronger our balance sheet, the more efficiently we can fund growth translating to real customer benefits. Strong diversified cash flows minimize the need to issue equity and allow us to fund growth more efficiently. We expect our equity needs to be modest by any measure for the combined company. We expect to issue about $4 billion of equity annually through 2032, which is roughly 7% of our annual CapEx, less than 1% of enterprise value, approximately 1.6% of our expected market cap and about 1.2% of the company's expected average daily trading volume, all while having one of the most attractive adjusted earnings per share growth rates in the industry. Bottom line, we expect the combined company will be well positioned to improve our strong adjusted earnings per share growth. We expect 9% plus adjusted EPS growth through 2032 for the combined company, and we are targeting that same growth through 2035, all off the 2025 base. Through this combination, we believe our growth is more visible and diversified than ever before. Combining NextEra Energy and Dominion Energy only strengthens that outlook. Moreover, we expect this combination to offer additional opportunities to drive upside growth. We believe the combined company can become the go-to partner for large load customers enabling us to expand and accelerate large load opportunities across our 4 regulated utilities and across America. With NextEra Energy's world leadership in battery storage, there's a potential to accelerate Dominion Energy's capital plan to meet Virginia's storage goals while removing capacity deficit and a reliance on the PJM market. These are just 2 examples. Now let me walk you through the path to close. The transaction requires customary regulatory approvals at the state and federal levels. It's a well-defined and expected path for a transaction of this scale. I feel terrific about our ability to close the merger in 12 to 18 months. As we wrap up, I can't stress enough that this is a defining moment. The country needs more energy infrastructure built faster, more efficiently and more affordably than ever before. Combining 2 great American companies can better achieve the speed and scale this moment demands. Dominion Energy brings a talented and experienced team, strong operating capabilities, 3 premier regulated utilities across 3 high-growth states and a leading position in the country's most critical large load market. NextEra Energy brings a proven utility operating model, the sector's broadest all forms of energy development platform a robust supply chain with unyielding buying power and one of the strongest balance sheets to deploy capital faster and more efficiently while leveraging data and technology better than any power company in the world. Each is strong on its own, together were even stronger with the ability to buy, build, finance and operate more efficiently. That's good for customers. It's good for employees. It's good for our communities. It's good for shareholders. And I know I speak for Bob when I say I couldn't be more excited to get started. We'll now take your questions.
Operator
Operator[Operator Instructions] We'll move first to Steve Fleishman with Wolfe Research.
Steven Fleishman
AnalystsCan you hear me?
John Ketchum
ExecutivesYes.
Steven Fleishman
AnalystsCongrats to everyone. The -- John, maybe just there's a lot of strategic rationale here that makes a lot of sense. You arguably are the industry leader already before this deal and had kind of downplayed doing utility M&A. So I'm curious kind of what shifted in your strategic thinking that this made sense or do you like this made sense overall, acknowledging all the strategic rationale you did give.
John Ketchum
ExecutivesYes. Listen, I mean the strategic rationale and the industrial logic are extremely sound. But Steve, when you think about what we have been able to build at NextEra with the scale and the operating platform that we have in place and the ability to leverage technology, if you think about being able to add that and combine it together with another industry leader, it makes us even stronger. And so when you think about those scale benefits, you think about that operating platform, you think about combining the best practices of outstanding utilities with terrific growth opportunities, it's a real opportunity to monetize and optimize the scale and operating platform, the operating efficiencies and the capital efficiencies that we have already very successfully built at NextEra and those only get stronger when you combine a company with the capabilities of Dominion Energy. And when I think about what this does for shareholders, it couldn't come at a better time and for customers because power demand is higher than it has ever been. And so when you think about leveraging those capabilities that I just talked about that only get enhanced and stronger with this combination. It creates an enormously powerful unlock. And we talked a lot at our investor conference about our 12 ways to grow. Now we add Dominion's capabilities of growth and all the growth potential that they have. We have 15 ways to grow now. That's incredible growth diversity that's balanced between regulated and long-term contracted. It gives us regulatory diversity across 4 fast-growing states with very constructive regulatory jurisdictions, a large load pipeline that's second to none at 130 gigawatts plus with the world's best large load market in Virginia. We have a chance, a real chance through the combination of all the skills and the operating platform these 2 companies bring together to really drive speed to power, right, which is so important, not only in these 4 states, but across the country to alleviate that supply-demand imbalance, which will really help customers making bills more affordable. And then you think about the 11% regulatory capital employed growth, the 80% regulated -- 90% to 95% regulated long-term contracted combination of the business, the balance sheet uplift with 100 basis points improved the downgrade threshold, the uplift, 1 notch upgrades for Dominion Energy and Dominion Energy in Virginia, the ability with confidence to be able to come out and grow at 9% plus, not only through 32, but targeting the same through 35, the incredible combination of the culture, the talent, the skills, the management team. These 2 teams really work all together, and they fit together like a perfect puzzle. And we're #1 in just about every category. And we are the only ones out there really building across the United States. We are a builder at our heart, and we're going to bring development skills that I think are really going to help drive affordability for customers across these states. So when I think about it, it's striking to me the value creation for all stakeholders involved. Again, this is a perfect unlock. It's good for customers. It's good for the communities we serve. It's good for employees, and it's good for shareholders. And that's why we looked at this and said, "This is a no-brainer."
Steven Fleishman
AnalystsGot it. Ticks every box. I guess. So just one other question. Just could you talk to how you are comfortable with the offshore wind?
John Ketchum
ExecutivesYes. I mean, absolutely. So when we look at the offshore wind, I think the Dominion team has just made excellent progress on [ sea valve ]. It's on track, scheduled to go in service middle of next year. They already have 14 turbines that are delivering test energy. We know once you've achieved that milestone, you're in really good shape in bringing that project in COD. And you look at the last call that Dominion had and they actually brought the CapEx plan down from $11.5 billion down to $11.4 billion. So as we looked at it, we feel very good about it. We feel like that project is online. And given the investment that's been made there, it's the right thing to do to finish it.
Operator
OperatorWe'll take our next question from Nicholas Campanella with Barclays.
Nicholas Campanella
AnalystsCongrats to everyone on the transaction. I appreciate the time. So I guess I wanted to ask just about the merger process specifically as you kind of progress through the approval process in Virginia and the Carolinas, our understanding is there might have been a Virginia biennial. And just, I guess, how do you think about just rate case strategy as you're getting through the merger process.
Robert Blue
ExecutivesNick, it's Bob. So in Virginia, the expected time line, the statutory time line is up to 6 months. So we file -- if we expect to file in July then you're looking at a decision from the Virginia Commission in January. Our next biennial filing is after that. So we don't believe there's going to be a conflict or an overlap there.
Nicholas Campanella
AnalystsOkay. And then I guess just this kind of marks a more formal entry into Virginia, obviously, in Dominion zones, specifically PJM, and I get that it's regulated size and scale, but just now that you're in PJM, maybe just kind of talk about how that impacts near 12 ways to grow? And if you should see additional kind of upside on the near side from participating in the battery build-out for that happening, the gas buildout that's happening in that zone and unlocking those constraints.
John Ketchum
ExecutivesYes, absolutely, Nick. I mean as we look at it, I mean, there's an incredible opportunity here. Given that we're the world's leader in battery storage, the legislation that was just passed by Virginia, there is a tremendous opportunity to meet that capacity short quickly by deploying battery storage in the right places. And there's no better combination of being able to do that given our expertise and our supply chain position around batteries, the software we've been able to develop around optimization. We know what a big impact battery storage can have and how quickly it can have it on capacity short positions. And so when we look at Dominion in Virginia with the PJM short capacity position, the reserve margin short position as well. I think there's a real opportunity to accelerate investment and accelerate investment in smart way for the benefit of customers to alleviate some of those capacity payments by deploying battery. So big PJM opportunity. And I also think, look, a lot of the changes in the construct that continue to get bandied about in PJM, I think it's going to be up to the incumbent utilities to really help drive and solve the problem here and it creates an enormous opportunity to build more generation, which Dominion is already doing to help solve some of the issues that PJM is facing. I think more of these opportunities are going to inure and accrue to the rate-regulated utilities that are in PJM, which is another attractive part of this transaction. And that's all good for customers because to the extent that we're building generation in our own backyard, we're bringing batteries forward and alleviating that capacity short and the volatility that goes along with it. That is just a terrific answer for customers. And again, taking the 12 ways to grow to 15, this is a big part of it. And I think we also have an opportunity to really try to help accelerate some of the large load queues and and get more generation online quicker, which will really help drive growth and bring customer bills down in Virginia. And we're going to do that in a very responsible way. Both companies firmly believe that large load has to pay their own fair share. You've seen that in Florida with the large low tariff that we already have in place. We just had a statute that was passed that basically reinforces the importance of that large load tariff. Virginia is no different. South Carolina is no different. North Carolina is no different. That's the mindset that we will bring, but there's just incredible growth opportunities and a chance in this increasing power demand environment to really drive smart capital investments for the benefit of customers to drive affordability.
Operator
OperatorWe'll move next to Julien Dumoulin-Smith with Jefferies.
Julien Dumoulin-Smith
AnalystsNice to be done. I got to hand it to your strategic rationale, a pretty clear cut here. In fact, if I can follow up on Nick's line of questioning and talk about the regulated rate base growth. I mean you guys both had about a 10% number here. Previously, you're talking about 11% combined. Can you talk about some of the delta there? What is driving the increase in the combined overall rate base growth? I presume this is more of a focus on Bevco and unlocking them from a technology perspective and certainly storage comments early, but I just wanted to confirm what is changing when you think about the capital spending plan.
John Ketchum
ExecutivesYes. I mean a few things, Julien, I'll start and I'll turn it over to Bob as well. But when I look at this, first of all, is the balance sheet unlock. I mean you think about bringing these companies together, freeing up an additional 100 basis points in the downgrade threshold metric, getting the upgrade in the credit for Dominion Energy and Dominion Energy Virginia. We've got the balance sheet capacity to do it, which creates more opportunities for us going forward. You start to think about the scale and the operating platform and the ability to invest capital even more efficiently combined with that balance sheet strength that -- those are the things that really lead to the acceleration of the CapEx opportunity that really has us excited about the opportunities to get more generation online that we think benefits customers over the long term. And sure, while this is an opportunity in Virginia, it's also really important that we continue to drive large load growth in South Carolina and North Carolina as well, but do that in a way that protects the general customer base again through large load tariffs. But you look at South Carolina has always been an economic growth engine, and we think that the investments that we can make can make South Caroline even more attractive from a power price standpoint for companies to relocate because economic development is so critically important in that state as it is in Florida, as it is in Virginia and as it is in North Carolina and up and down the Southeast corridor, where you're seeing a lot of new investment for manufacturing and industrial concerns on top of the large load opportunity that we've seen around data centers. Bob?
Robert Blue
ExecutivesYes, everything John just said, I completely agree with. I think he is analyzing it correctly. I mean there's no -- I don't think it's any secret that we're seeing rapid growth in sales in Virginia and in the Dom zone. We have a robust plan in order to meet that demand. But with this platform, with the ability to buy, build and operate and finance more efficiently. We've got opportunities on behalf of our customers to serve that load. And I think, Julien, you correctly highlighted one particular area is in storage where the general assembly just added new storage requirements for us, which we think are going to be great for our customers and being able to work with NextEra and this combined company on that, I think, is really going to benefit our customers as we serve them better, and we'll deploy capital faster that way.
Julien Dumoulin-Smith
AnalystsAwesome. If I can quickly follow up here around you talked about unlocking Virginia here with storage, how do you think about that unlocking more load growth, right, vis-a-vis data centers, right? I mean there's been a lot of talk about the congestion regionally. How do you think about actually accelerating and enabling Virginia? You guys seem mutually aligned with your state regulator around this, it would seem one of the more important dynamics around approval. But can you speak to that a little bit?
Robert Blue
ExecutivesYes, it's continuing to be important for us to be able to serve all of our load, all of our customers large load included and making sure that we do it in a way that is fair to our residential customers. We've been doing that well. As John pointed out, we have a large load tariff in Virginia. Our plans continue to be to make sure that all of our customers pay their fair share, but to the extent that there are benefits to the larger scale and the new platform, that's going to benefit all of our customers, and we're going to make sure that it does.
John Ketchum
ExecutivesYes, Julien, I would add to that, speed to power. That's what we do. That's what we do at NextEra. We find ways to get generation online quickly, given the development expertise that we have and the tools that we have and the scale in the operating platform, we also have the ability to do it cheaply and in a way that makes sense for customers and to find those right investment opportunities that, as Bob just said, makes sense for large load customers that don't hurt or drive up bills for the general body of customers that we have a duty to serve, and that's critically, critically important. And I think about just back to the Florida example, this is not a mystery on how to unlock. I mean we have been very successful in meeting speed to power, making smart capital investments in the right spots, but also maintaining affordability. And that comes down to the ability to invest capital smartly on the generation and transmission solutions that make sense, but do it in a way that leverages that scale, that operate in that capital efficiency and an operating platform, which is second to none. You think about a company that's #1 in just about every category it is going to be really, really tough for any of our peers or any of our competitors to do it quite as efficiently as we can. And it's an exciting opportunity, not only for Virginia, South Carolina, North Carolina and Florida, but for everything that we do across America.
Operator
OperatorWe'll take our next question from Bill Appicelli with UBS.
William Appicelli
AnalystsCongratulations. Just a question around the cash flow profile, the asset recycling numbers are down a little bit. And I was just wondering if does the scale unlock the ability to monetize some of the tax credits or reduce the need for tax equity? Do you have a higher taxable income base going forward? Can you just sort of speak to that?
Michael Dunne
ExecutivesSure. And it's Mike here. As we look at the capital recycling that has come down. I think one thing when you look at the investments that we're making, we are making investments that we think are attractive for our shareholders. And so we generally want to maintain those assets for the long term. As you look at what the business mix creates, it creates a situation where we are now 80% plus regulated and that creates a long-term stability for the growth of our business. In addition, as you do look, there are some tax benefits that occur, incur to our benefit as such that we will be able to utilize tax, use more taxes on our balance sheet than we would have on a stand-alone basis at NextEra Energy. So when you combine those pieces with the reduction in the downgrade threshold from S&P from 18% down to 17% and Moody's from 17% down to 16% and the CFO at the total debt basis and the improvement at Fitch, you have a situation where our key rating agencies are really approving this transaction. They like what this is doing from a regulated mix. They like what this is doing from a diversity. And then when you look at the benefits to our cash flows, there are some tax benefits that allow us to monetize more tax credits via the company and put a little bit less reliance in terms of what we are selling to -- or utilizing the tax equity.
William Appicelli
AnalystsOkay. All right. That's clear. And then just on the $2.25 billion rate credit, I guess, how is that being funded? And has that sort of been captured here in the financing plan?
Michael Dunne
ExecutivesThat is captured in the financing plan. I would note that as the agencies have viewed this overall transaction, you're viewing those rate credits as a onetime piece and a onetime event in nature and not part of our ongoing FFO to debt or CFO to debt, respectively. So as we do work through this, what you will see is that, as John mentioned, we have $4 billion of average equity issuances to do per year. I would not expect that to change materially during those first few years, such that it's going to be relatively ratable across the entirety of the period.
Operator
OperatorWe'll move next to David Arcaro with Morgan Stanley.
David Arcaro
AnalystsCongratulations. I was wondering if you could speak to whether there are any infrastructure opportunities that might traverse between your service territories as we look more regionally to the Southeast U.S., like whether there are pipeline or transmission plans that could be envisioned.
John Ketchum
ExecutivesYes, absolutely. I will take that question. So when you look at opportunities that we have through the Southeast and the chance to combine the scale and the platform that we have in place and all the development capabilities that we have across really the energy value platform, the growth opportunities are substantial across technologies. I wouldn't want to make comments today about what kind of opportunities that could create for pipeline investments. That's obviously a separate business that looks at opportunities outside the regulated context. But when I think about the platform and I think about the combination of capabilities that we're able to bring together just a lot of opportunities. And one that comes to mind is large load, David. You think about the footprint that we have across the United States in 49 states where we do business, just -- and all the success that we're having with hyperscalers today, there's not only a chance in these 4 states to accommodate hyperscale build-out in any smart way, right, like I said before, through large load tariffs that protects the general body. Large load has to pay their own share. It always starts and ends with that. But if we can find the right investment opportunities in these 4 states with 130 gigawatt plus pipeline, I think that provides a direct opportunity for us. And then when I think outside of the U.S., and you add those 2 together, it only strengthens the relationships and the partnerships that we have. And we've had a lot of success, for example, with the data center hubs. We've talked about what's happening with the 2 federal hubs that we've already been awarded in Texas and Pennsylvania, the same data center hub philosophies being brought to Florida. We could look at those same build-out opportunities in Virginia, for example, as well as a way to accommodate large load coming on. But again, this has to be done in a way that doesn't compromise affordability for our general body of customers. But there are just so many different ways this combination will help support a company that is involved in every part of the energy value chain. There's nothing that we can't do on our own. There's no capability that we don't have. There is no company in America that looks like us and with this combination there's no company that can drive value across our stakeholders quite like this business can, whether you're thinking about customers, which we always put first, the communities we serve, the employees and the shareholder value proposition in the industrial and strategic logic behind this transaction.
David Arcaro
AnalystsOkay. Excellent. That's helpful. And I was wondering, could you speak to how accretive you expect the deal to be maybe in the near term? And as we're thinking about the 9 plus percent growth and that being up from 8% plus. How does that maybe come in? Like when do you start to realize that? Is that every year in your EPS plan now going forward, you would expect that? Or is it back-end loaded? Just how you would expect that to be shaped?
Michael Dunne
ExecutivesYes, Bill, it's Mike here. I think as you know, we said this deal is immediately accretive. And the way that I think about this from a NextEra shareholder value perspective is that we have moved from having 12 ways to grow to having over 15 ways to grow. Those 15 ways to grow our balance between both our regulated growth and our growth in Energy Resources. And so therefore, we have multiple more ways to grow, more diversity and a higher long-term growth rate, one in which we have, as a management team, collectively moved up 100 basis points and have shown that financial visibility between now and 2035. So when we sit here and say, what is that value creation to our shareholders, we think that it's significant. And then as John also mentioned, there are multiple upsides to where we sit today, particularly, as John mentioned, with 130 gigawatt data center pipeline and ability to have speed to market, data center hubs across the country, four utilities are all in strong, growing economic growth with constructive regulatory jurisdictions and a team that is 100% focused on finding solutions. We think that the addition of Dominion in combination with NextEra is going to create that 9% plus through 2035 and beyond. We both feel very strong about our stand-alone plans. But combined, we think that the value is undeniable.
Operator
OperatorWe will take our next question from Nick Amicucci with Evercore ISI.
Nicholas Amicucci
AnalystsI just had one kind of quick one. Just John, you had kind of alluded to your confidence in being able to close in 12 to 18 months. Just any kind of color we can provide around that, just as we think about, obviously, it will be kind of under regulatory scrutiny and just a lot of hurdles to get by just what drives that confidence and why kind of a quicker than probably most would have expected timeframe to closing?
John Ketchum
ExecutivesYes, Nick, absolutely. So first of all, I think we have really tried to thoughtfully structure this transaction. We put customers first, and I think that shows in the structure that we have put together with the Dominion team. And when you think about this transaction, it's a totally different transaction at a totally different time under totally different circumstances with a totally different management team and a totally different approach. We -- what's different for us this time is we have no asks, right? We are going into this regulatory approval process for the first time with no ask. We're not asking for a generation plan to be approved. We don't have other asks. So no ask. That's a big difference. Second, we're providing immediate customer benefits with the $2.25 billion in bill credits. And then as you think about beyond that 2-year period with those bill credits with the world-class scale and operating platform that we have, that's going to really help with affordability over the long term as we invest capital to meet increased power demand needs in these 4-growing states. And I think another really important part of this is we're going to have management continuity. I went through our approach on how Virginia and South Carolina and North Carolina are going to be managed. Local operations are going to be retained. It's going to be the same team and the same faces that customers know and trust. We're going to have a dual headquarters, Juno Beach and Richmond. We're going to have an operating headquarters in Casey, South Carolina. It's a culture of putting customers first in everything that we're putting forward in our proposal. And community support, we're increasing the community support by $10 million a year for the first 5 years. Low income support is going to be a big part of what we follow. It's very important to us. It's always been very important to us in Florida. It's always been very important to Bob in Virginia and South Carolina and North Carolina. So that's culturally the same between both companies. And we're a combined entity that's capable of offering all of the above energy solutions that make the most sense for our customers. And importantly, there's no operational overlap here. So when you start thinking about approvals, I mean there's just no operational overlap at all. And look at Dominion, Dominion has got a great track record and experience in moving transactions forward that makes sense for customers. And these are 3 very important states for Dominion that they've been serving for quite some time. We're looking forward to partnering with them on our approach to all 3 states. And we feel really good about the value proposition that we're bringing forward and ultimately, the states will decide. But I think we've really tried to be thoughtful about the benefits for not only customers, the communities we serve and employees as well.
Robert Blue
ExecutivesIf I can just jump in for a second here. This is Bob. I think John described it correctly, this deal was built with customers and stakeholders in mind. And as John pointed out, we have some experience at Dominion Energy on getting deals closed, whether it was Questar or SCANA or the divestitures of our LDCs. This was a real focus of our Board from the very beginning after John approached me about a combination. And so we feel very good about the way the deal has come together with the focus on customers and communities that gives us a high degree of confidence. One thing I'd say that we've done well over the years in getting transactions closed is working with partners on the other side who we were confident in their ability to work to get the deal closed. And so we took that very much into consideration here as we thought about this combination.
Operator
OperatorAnd this does conclude the Q&A portion of today's call. Thank you. This also concludes this morning's conference call. You may disconnect your lines, and enjoy your day.
For developers and AI pipelines
Programmatic access to Dominion Energy, Inc. earnings transcripts and 32,000+ others is available through the
EarningsCalls.dev REST API. Plans from $24.99/month — full transcripts, speaker segments,
full-text search, and the recently-added /api/v1/transcripts/recent polling endpoint for ETL pipelines.