Dropbox, Inc. (DBX) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
August 9, 2021
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Steven Enders
analystOkay. Great. Thanks, everybody, for listening in today and being here. I'm Steve Enders. I'm on the software research team here at KeyBanc. Today, we have Tim with us from Dropbox. Tim, thank you so much for being here.
Timothy Regan
executiveThank you, Steve. Excited to be here.
Steven Enders
analystGreat. So maybe just to start off, Dropbox, I think has been a pretty big part of most people's lives on the call for a while now. You mentioned 700 million users at this point. Maybe to start off, can you just walk us through some of the evolution that the company has gone under in the past couple of years?
Timothy Regan
executiveSure. So as a reminder, we went public in 2018, but our company has been around for about 14 years, actually. So today, we do have over $2 billion in ARR and, as you mentioned, over 700 million registered users. And in the last couple of years, we've taken a number of steps to position Dropbox for long-term success. Maybe first on the people side. Last year, we introduced a president structure under Timothy Young, where we brought our engineering, product, design and go-to-market teams all under his leadership, and so that's really increased our product release velocity and driven greater alignment across those teams. And we also are shifting to what we're calling virtual first, where individual work will be done remotely, and collaboration work will be done in our offices, which is also accelerating our shift to lower-cost locations. And then maybe on the product side, Drew refers to the shift to distributed work as being as significant as the shift to mobile or the shift to cloud, where we see a massive opportunity in front of us to build collaboration software as people will need collaboration tools, both during and after COVID. So really, we've been developing and cultivating a much more diverse portfolio of products where we have that foundation in file sync and share. But in the last 2 years, we've introduced a lot of new features such as passwords, vault and computer backup. We've introduced new SKUs such as the Family plan, a new Transfer SKU, and we've seen strong growth in our Professional SKU. We've also added eSignature capabilities with HelloSign and advanced sharing capabilities with DocSend, and we've released many other enhancements that are really helping to drive our revenue growth. And then on the financial side, we set forth long-term targets at the start of last year, including operating margin targets of 28% to 30% and free cash flow of $1 billion annually by 2024. And then we initiated a share repurchase program, where now we've repurchased nearly $1 billion in shares since the start of last year. So overall, we're in a strong position on all 3 fronts, really, as evidenced by this past quarter where we beat and raised on all of our guidance metrics. We raised on our 2021 revenue guidance by about 1 point where we now expect 12% year-over-year growth. We raised operating margin guidance by over 1 point where we now expect margins of 28.5% to 29%. And we raised our free cash flow guidance by $40 million where we now expect free cash flow between $710 million and $730 million this year.
Steven Enders
analystOkay. Great. That's great. Thanks for the intro, Tim. Just want to take a second to say for those listening on the webcast, if you have any questions, please feel free to use the box at the bottom of the page, and we'll make sure to get to those as they come in. So Tim, I just want to touch a little bit on some of the M&A that you've made recently. I think most recently was DocSend. Can you just kind of walk us through the rationale for DocSend and how it kind of ties together with the rest of the Dropbox portfolio?
Timothy Regan
executiveSure. So first, as a reminder, DocSend is a secure document sharing and analytics company that we acquired in March of this year. And at the highest level, this continues to move us along the path of becoming a multiproduct company with functionality that centers around our core strength, which is in content, where we have over 550 billion pieces of content, and we continue to offer our users more capabilities around what they can do with that content. So specifically, DocSend complements our product strategy, particularly in the areas of sharing, where sharing is a strength for Dropbox as our users take hundreds of millions of sharing actions each year with our current capabilities. And sharing is retentive as teams that share retain at much higher rates relative to teams that don't share. And then it's viral as far as expanding our network to potential new customers. So really DocSend checks many of the boxes we look for with M&A, fits our go-to-market strategy as well as far as having a focus on self-serve and on customers in the SMB and mid-markets. It also fits within our financial objectives, and they are a cultural fit as well. Their CEO is actually an intern at Dropbox before starting DocSend.
Steven Enders
analystInteresting.
Timothy Regan
executiveAnd the team did really well this last quarter, outperforming expectations, and overall, we see a big opportunity in front of us.
Steven Enders
analystOkay. No, that's great to hear. I guess kind of similarly, HelloSign was also a recent acquisition. It seems like there's been a big change in that part of the market and quite a bit of competition there. But how do you kind of think about the competitive landscape for that? And what are kind of the big differentiators for HelloSign versus some of the other providers out there in the market?
Timothy Regan
executiveSure. So maybe to start with Box. So they tend to focus on the enterprise side, where our strength is in freelancers and SMBs. As a reminder, 90% of our business is self-serve, which has proven to be a highly efficient sales motion for us. As far as differentiators, first, we offer our customers the full workflow solution. So if we think about the workflow of an eSignature process, a person that typically needs to create and find a document, share the content, collect the signature and then ultimately store the document, where Dropbox has tools and solutions to help with this entire workflow without ever having to leave our platform. And then second, we have a massive scale. Again, we have over 550 billion pieces of content. So that gives us a sizable base of files for potential signature, and we're taking advantage of these synergies as HelloSign is now the default signature option on our platform. Then another point of differentiation is security, where people trust Dropbox with their content, and we've moved to enhance this strength recently by introducing qualified electronic signatures, which is a key capability in the EU. So overall, pleased with the progress we're seeing with HelloSign. Pen and paper signatures are certainly challenging right now, where, again, we're seeing a lot of movement in the eSignature space. Even the SEC is now accepting eSignature where I signed our 10-Q last week via HelloSign. And ultimately, we saw eSignature requests grow 75% year-over-year, which was against a tough comp from last year, given COVID tailwinds we saw.
Steven Enders
analystOkay. Interesting. Interesting on the SEC part of it. I feel like they're one of the last ones who'd be innovating there. So...
Timothy Regan
executiveRight. I used to have to print and save my web signature, so I'm happy we're evolving a little bit.
Steven Enders
analystYes. Good to see them modernizing a little bit there. Okay. And just on the M&A front, I guess how do you kind of think about the cross-sell initiatives with DocSend and HelloSign incorporating that in the -- directly within the core Dropbox experience?
Timothy Regan
executiveSure. So on HelloSign, we introduced a native integration last year where HelloSign is the first option if a user wishes to send a document for signature. So the user gets 3 free signatures before they hit a paywall. And then we also launched a bundle of our Professional and HelloSign products in Q1 as we've seen a rise in freelancers creating and sharing content recently, and we think that the SKU really caters well to that trend. And then we also launched HelloSign in 21 additional languages, so really expanding our international capabilities. And then as far as DocSend, our team is now cross-selling DocSend along with Dropbox and HelloSign products. And we're starting to offer in-product prompts for DocSend as well, highlighting DocSend's control and analytics capabilities as users share content. And ultimately, we do see many opportunities to sell bundled or stand-alone solutions to our customers and excited to work through this in the coming quarters and months.
Steven Enders
analystI guess just on that part of it, I guess, what kind of adoption have you seen so far with the cross-sell initiative with DocSend? I know it sounds like it's pretty early, but it seems pretty compelling that you're able to execute on that.
Timothy Regan
executiveYes. It's great. Again, the team outperformed expectations. It is in the hands of our sellers. We're working to learn from the HelloSign experience as far as really developing synergies and trying to take advantage of those synergies as fast as possible. So we are working through these in-product prompts. So again, this is a major area of opportunity for us. DocSend growing well. We want to invest in that, and that's part of what we're going to be investing in, in the back half of the year.
Steven Enders
analystokay. No, great to hear. I guess just as you think about the investments going forward, how do you think about balancing organic growth versus implementing M&A? I guess do you have -- how do you think about the bandwidth in the pipeline to do more about -- throughout the year?
Timothy Regan
executiveYes. We'll continue to explore both, for sure. And as far as organic initiatives, we're seeing traction with SKUs such as the Professional SKU. That's up 30% year-over-year. And our Family plan, and we want to continue to drive momentum in those areas. And of course, as we just touched on, we're in the early days of working with HelloSign and DocSend, and much more to do there to capture their respective market opportunities. And as far as M&A, we're in a fortunate position to be very -- to have a very strong balance sheet, and that was enhanced by the capital raise we had earlier this year, and we, too, also generate significant free cash flow. So lots of opportunity on the M&A front, where we're certainly open to talent acquisitions, product acquisitions and, of course, business acquisitions, where I look to DocSend and HelloSign as good examples of the types of businesses we're interested in, those that are complementary to our product road map, those that have go-to-market strategies that align with ours and, of course, good cultural fits now. Of course, we need to remain disciplined on valuation, but again, M&A will continue to be an important part of our long-term growth strategy.
Steven Enders
analystNo. That's great to hear. [indiscernible] are made some pretty solid acquisitions there. So excited to see how that develops going forward. Just on the earnings call, you mentioned about improving the sharing experience, especially within mobile. Can you elaborate on what you're doing there and how to think about this going forward?
Timothy Regan
executiveSure. I think this is a good example of how our team is monitoring where and how our customers are using our products, and we're working to make it a better experience for them. So a growing number of our users are accessing Dropbox on their mobile devices, where nearly half of all new basic users are coming from our mobile channel, and sharing content is one of our users' most preferred and frequent workflows. So in Q2, we increased the visibility of this blue share link button, and we invested in making our upload speeds faster. And we also rolled out camera uploads to all of our basic users. And so as a result of these enhancements, we saw a 15% increase in link sharing, and our CSAT scores appreciated materially in both the App Store and the Android store. So this is also helping Dropbox as far as sharing spreads Dropbox virally to new customers. We found that users who send and receive content upgrade and retain at much higher rates.
Steven Enders
analystOkay. Great to hear. We're trying to get some questions rolling in here. So just for those on the line, keep populating that, and we'll make sure to get to them. But just before we jump to some of these, I wanted to ask about the monetization strategy with Dropbox. And kind of what are the core areas that you're focusing on to optimize the user experience and onboard process to drive some better conversion rates?
Timothy Regan
executiveSure. It's interesting that as related to the onboarding process, in the past, when a user came to Dropbox, we really only displayed our team's plans. So now we actually do a much better job of trying to understand the needs of the customer, and we then surface the plan that best matches their needs. So this is really helping to drive the adoption of our Pro SKU and our Family plan, and this is also helping with retention as placing people in the right plans from the start helps with -- helps again with retention. And so we've also made a few optimizations to our self-serve engine this past quarter that help to help drive results with our Professional SKU. And one was introducing Pro to users that were in the Plus checkout process, and then another was extending the trial length from 14 days to 30 days to give users more time to understand the benefits of that product. So these seemingly small changes helped drive a 15% increase in trial starts. And then, yes, as far as converting users from free to pay, there are many reasons that our users convert One is paywalls. Storage is one. So as users reach their storage limits, they're prompted to convert. And we did recently release camera uploads to all of our basic users, whereas these users are uploading photos and videos to Dropbox. This will start building towards that storage limit. Other paywalls include device limits where we have 3 devices that may be connected before hitting a paywall. And then last quarter, we rolled passwords into our basic plan where users get 50 free before they hit a paywall and need to convert to a paid plan. We're also introducing new SKUs. We've talked about the Family plan, Professional plan, our Transfer SKU as well. So in some ways, just getting back to the basics, making the product better, we talked about some of these mobile and sharing experiences, trying to make it a more cleaner and intuitive product experience for our customers; and then, of course, adding capabilities as far as what you can do with your content. So HelloSign, DocSend, again, great example. So all of these are really helping to contribute to conversion.
Steven Enders
analystOkay. Now that's great to hear. And I just wanted to touch on some go-to-market strategy for a minute here. How do you think about the partnerships that you have out there or building with the freelancer communities as part of this partner initiative?
Timothy Regan
executiveYes. Certainly, we continue to invest in our partnerships. A few stats, maybe. Basic users are 2.5x more likely to convert to paid if they adopt our ecosystem apps, and our paid teams that are active with our integration spend 35% more money with Dropbox. So clearly very important for us. One example on how we're investing in partnerships and how we're serving our freelancer and creative users is with Adobe, where now with our latest product integration, a creative user can leverage Dropbox, transfer directly within Photoshop to easily and securely deliver files to clients. Then another good example of Zoom, where Zoom launched their App Marketplace in July, and Dropbox Spaces was featured in the new Zoom App Marketplace, where the app is a surface that does link Zoom and Dropbox. And now when customers are on a Zoom call, the Spaces app provides a collaborative workspace to take notes, attach files and track action items during a meeting. So we're in the early innings here and excited to iterate on that experience, but ultimately and certainly expanding our capabilities and our opportunities through these partnerships.
Steven Enders
analystOkay. No, that's great to hear. We're trying to get some questions rolling in, but I just want to touch on one area real quick before jumping in there. Just turning to ARR metrics a little bit. How should we think about the puts and takes there of some of the net new per-user metrics than just general ARPU? How does some of the newer packaging that you've rolled out like Family plans impact this dynamic? And I guess, how do you kind of think about the levers that you can pull to kind of focus more on ARR growth going forward?
Timothy Regan
executiveYes. Great question. ARR is our primary metric, is focusing on driving errors how we actually operate our business, and it's less impacted by short-term trends. And I think that what we're seeing this year in paying users and ARPU really illustrates why we focus on ARR as opposed to these price and quantity metrics, specifically with the Family plan. This plan includes 6 licenses for friends and Family for roughly $20 a month. So that's a tailwind to paying users but a headwind to ARPU. And then conversely, as part of our strategy this year, we're no longer pursuing large paying user deals that carry low ASPs, which is a headwind to paying users but a tailwind to ARPU. So at times, we have these competing dynamics between these 2 metrics, which, again, that's why we primarily focus on ARR, where, on a constant currency basis, we reported last week that we added $54 million in net new ARR in Q2, and that's a sequential increase after normalizing for the DocSend acquisition, so up from Q1, and Q1 was actually up from Q4. So Timothy and his team are doing a really nice job here. And some of the key drivers of that increase, again, we talked about improved retention across our SKUs due in part to some of those improvements we talked about in our mobile experience; strengthen our Professional SKU, which was up 30% year-over-year; the continued performance from HelloSign and DocSend; adoption of our Family plan and optimizations that we've made to our self-serve onboarding process. So a lot of things going well that Timothy and his team are driving.
Steven Enders
analystOkay. That's great to hear. And I guess just kind of on that point, we had a question come in, in dynamics. And there has been nice growth in ARPU here. How do you decide when and how to raise prices? And how do you think about the long-term pricing power that is in the core Dropbox business?
Timothy Regan
executiveSure. So yes, pricing is certainly one of the tools we can use. We saw in 2019 and 2020 when we rolled out a price increase across our Plus SKU that users will stay with us through a price increase. We saw stable churn, stable retention despite that price increase. So it's definitely -- we have that pricing power. Now we want to do it thoughtfully, and we tend to only do a price increase when we've added sufficient value to our products. And so this is something we stay very close to and pay a lot of attention to, to make sure that if we do raise prices that, again, customers will stay with us. So this is not something we're planning this year. It's not factored into our guidance, but I think this is one of the levers we can pull at the appropriate times. And this is where we assess, again, that we added enough value. Will the market accept it? Will we do testing when it comes time to raise prices? And this is something we'll consider in the future but not a major component of this year's guidance.
Steven Enders
analystOkay. I guess maybe similarly, how do you think about the mix of -- or managing the packaging of solutions as part of this and either rolling out a new plan or adjusting some of the one that's there before you end up in a paywall or have to raise up to the next year?
Timothy Regan
executiveSure. I think this is one of the fun parts about this diverse product portfolio we're creating, whether it's our own SKUs that we're developing or whether it's DocSend, it's HelloSign. And so we're trying to figure out the right pricing and packaging as we pull these together or keep them separate. We talked about earlier this bundled Pro Plus HelloSign SKU that we're introducing. And so we're trying to make that a more seamless experience for our customers really as received pockets of freelancers, and we figure out tools that may best serve their needs, That's when we'll introduce these pricing and packaging changes. So I think this is one of the interesting challenges that we're facing. It's figuring out the right permutations of our SKU set. Perhaps for those that are interested in what they are today, at the back of our investor deck, which is on our website, we have the list of Dropbox SKUs, the list of HelloSign SKUs and DocSend SKUs. So you can see how they operate on a stand-alone basis. And again, this is what Drew and Timothy and I are -- and, obviously, our teams are constantly looking at to figure out how do we price, how do we package all these components in the most compelling way. And then once we make a -- develop a hypothesis, if you will, we certainly do a lot of testing to see if it's resonating with our customers and, of course, reiterate based on that testing. So this is a fun challenge that we're up against as we develop this diverse product portfolio.
Steven Enders
analystNo. It sounds like it and definitely a point that we'll be paying attention to going forward there. I had another question come in. You mentioned that you're seeing a change to hybrid might be as strong as the change to mobile. I guess where is this kind of commentary coming from? What is the opportunity that you see here? And what's the biggest change in the behavior that you're seeing out there?
Timothy Regan
executiveSure. I think really what we're seeing is that people are going to constantly need software to help them with distributed work, and it's not just through COVID, right? People after COVID are going to need collaboration tools because a lot of folks are not going back to work full time or they're not going back to work as it was pre-COVID. So this is where it's a big opportunity for us to continue to iterate, continue to develop solutions that help people get their work done in this remote distributed environment. And maybe one of the trends that we are seeing is this, call it, rise of freelancers, this rise of folks that are perhaps starting their own new businesses as they've learned or decided in this past year that, hey, maybe it's time to try something on their own. And so that's where we're really leading into our Professional SKU. We continue to see that up 30% year-over-year. Again, HelloSign another great example, where the old way of just pen and paper, someone will walk into your desk, that's really been limited in this past year. And so eSignature continued to take off. And so what that's really what we're doing, is trying to develop tools and capabilities that serve what we see as this future dynamic as far as remote distributed work that all of us are -- have been living this past year and likely the majority of us will be living in the future.
Steven Enders
analystOkay. I guess how do you kind of think about -- I think you touched on some pieces in there, but how do you think about building that in natively into the solution set? Are there kind of other products that could be coming down the pipeline? Or just how do you think about creating a better experience for mobile as part of this?
Timothy Regan
executiveWell, again, I think this is where we're monitoring all the trends that we're seeing as far as people using the mobile devices, how are people engaging with the product now, certainly seeing sharing taking off. And so we're trying to make that much more easy to utilize. If anybody has the opportunity to play with their Dropbox device, a blue sharing button is really everywhere. And so this is what we're doing. We are trying to see how customers are engaging with us and then make it an easy-to-use experience. And so a lot of our products are centered around this that we've released in this past year, and we are working on other products that we're excited about. We haven't spoken of them yet publicly. They're still in their early stages of development, but there's several others that are making strong progress. But again, this is where we're monitoring the trends in the industry, monitoring trends of our user base and iterating on all of our products to figure out how do we pull these together in the most compelling way for our customers.
Steven Enders
analystOkay. Great. And we'll definitely be looking for some of those new releases coming out and what's in the pipeline here. And thanks again for those online and have been putting their questions in. It's been great so far. Just want to touch a little bit on how you're thinking about the margin, the strong margin performance in Q2. How do you think about kind of the plans to invest in the back half of the year? If you can kind of give a little bit more color here where kind of the biggest focus areas are for your investments.
Timothy Regan
executiveSure. So we've made incredible progress on profitability. We actually achieved a record 32% operating margins in Q2, and that's an 11-point improvement over last year. And we raised our full year margin guidance by more than 1 point to 28.5% to 29%. It's about a 7-point improvement relative to last year but certainly very focused on maintaining a healthy balance of revenue growth and profitability. And again, we're seeing several areas of our business doing quite well, and we want to invest in those opportunities. So we certainly plan to invest in these growth areas such as DocSend and HelloSign. And what we're going to do, we're going to add R&D headcount in the back half of this year. And we also have some additional marketing campaigns to drive awareness of both our core Dropbox offerings as well as HelloSign. And we will invest in other organic and inorganic initiatives that do carry a compelling ROI. But maybe lastly, we should still remain very committed to staying on course with our long-term targets of operating margins of 28% to 30% and a free cash flow of $1 billion by 2024.
Steven Enders
analystOkay. No, that's great to hear. And I guess maybe just to touch on there. The impact in 2Q was particularly strong there. I guess anything to kind of call out there for the upside to -- that happened in the quarter?
Timothy Regan
executiveYes. So if you think about 32% operating margins we had in the second quarter, key drivers there, obviously, our revenue performance would beat our top line revenue guide by $5 million or so. So that was certainly helpful. The lower headcount base that we're operating under this year, lower facilities costs as we shift to this virtual-first model, which is saving on that front. And so there's many different tailwinds. Maybe one area to call out is attrition. So similar to many other companies, we did see a bit of a spike in attrition in the second quarter, but I think the real strong news is we're also seeing now hiring really pick up. And one of the interesting aspects of that is that's accelerating our shift to lower-cost locations. In the first half of this year, more than half of our hires were outside of San Francisco, Seattle and New York. So attrition did have a bit of an impact on the second quarter, but this is where we are seeing, hey, what's really working in the business and being disciplined and thoughtful about assessing those investments and deciding where we're going to allocate our R&D dollars, where we're going to allocate our marketing dollars. And so we're seeing that hiring pick up, and we're going to invest in that, and that's going to help us hit our longer-term targets.
Steven Enders
analystOkay. No, great to hear. I guess just kind of on that front, you made a shift to being a virtual-first company. How has that been translating so far? And I guess how is that helping your hiring initiatives? It sounds like you are seeing a pickup there. But I guess what kind of impact is that having in terms of the talents that you are able to attract into Dropbox?
Timothy Regan
executiveSure. It's really been interesting, I think. So a lot of people are excited about this virtual-first option we have. If I think about some of the recent new hires I have on my own team, our new VP of Finance lives in Philadelphia. Another member of our IR team lives in Texas. A person on the technical accounting side that we just hired is in Ohio. Others are excited to be able to work from Spain if they want to in a given month. So we're finding talent that's really excited by this virtual-first motion that we're going to be experimenting with or working through. And I think we did have this moment of opening up our studios, which is our office footprint. So we are retaining a subset of our office footprint for that group collaboration. And we -- unfortunately, we opened for a month or so. The Delta variant spiked, and so we've had to close the offices until that subsides. So we're still figuring out how does this work from that collaboration in-office studio perspective, but I think from a hiring perspective, we're really finding folks that are excited to be here, excited to work under this virtual first model. And again, this is really also accelerating our shift to these lower-cost locations.
Steven Enders
analystOkay. That's great to hear. It looks like we're running up against the against time here. So Tim, really appreciate you spending time with us today, and glad you could join us for our conference.
Timothy Regan
executiveThanks, Steve. Really appreciate it, and thanks, everybody.
Steven Enders
analystBye.
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