Enphase Energy, Inc. (ENPH) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

May 14, 2025

NASDAQ US Information Technology Semiconductors and Semiconductor Equipment special 61 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Good morning, and thank you for joining us on today's call to discuss Enphase Energy's business. With us today are Mr. Steve Gomo, Chair of the Board of Directors; and Badri Kothandaraman, the company's President and Chief Executive Officer. [Operator Instructions] Please note that management may be making forward-looking statements about the company's current plans and expectations with respect to its business, technology and products. Actual results may differ materially from current plans and expectations, so I encourage you to read our SEC filings where we discuss the risks inherent to our business. You will find detailed discussions in our filings with the SEC, including our annual report on Form 10-K for fiscal year 2024 and our quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2025. Please note that non-GAAP financial measures referenced during this presentation are reconciled to their most directly comparable GAAP financial measures found in the investor presentation posted on our website at investor.enphase.com. With that, I will turn the call over to Enphase Energy's President and Chief Executive Officer, Mr. Badri Kothandaraman, to give a short report on the company.

Badrinarayanan Kothandaraman

executive
#2

All right. Good morning, and welcome. Quick recap about Enphase. We were founded in 2006. Right now, 2,850 employees. The headquarters in Fremont, California, that's where I'm talking to you from. Our customers are distributors, distributors sell to installers, installers sell to homeowners, and we have very healthy relationships with distributors, installers and homeowners. 2,000 installers in the Enphase installer network worldwide as of March 31, 2025. And this is a special network, the Enphase installer network. This basically is a 3-tier network and the installers have to work hard in order to earn their way into this network. And it comes with both requirements as well as benefits. Approximately 81.5 million microinverters shipped. You can think about it as we have a total of 4.8 million systems. 81.5 million microinverters. So if you divide 81.5 million by 4.8, approximately about 17 or 18 microinverters per system. So that's the average number of microinverters per system. We are nearing the 2 gigawatt hour mark on our battery storage systems. Batteries are relatively new business for us. We started shipping batteries in 2016, and that was a very small battery, a kilowatt hour. And then we introduced a real big battery system, 10-kilowatt hour system in 2020. Our 2024 revenue was $1.3 billion. Cash flow from operations, $513.7 million in 2024, and we are quite profitable. Next page. Here, you see the relative challenges we have had in -- going from 2023 to 2024 and now in 2025. So basically, when the interest rates essentially went up and the macroeconomic conditions declined, we -- our revenues in 2023 started declining, and that is in the light blue bars that you can see. And then we found ourselves where we had a bloated channel. Therefore, we could not ship any more into the channel. And you look at the green bars in 2024, you see the green bars are quite low because what we did was to regulate and not ship excess into the channel, and we had to wait for the channel to bleed. So in 2024 and even towards the end of 2023, we started correcting. But then in 2024, you can see sequentially the green bars started to go up in Q1 to Q2 to Q3 to Q4. And now in 2025, the revenues are flattish there. And essentially, you can boil it down into 2 factors. This is -- in the U.S., it's macroeconomic conditions, high interest rates as well as the NEM 3.0 transition, which was very painful, but it's now behind us and installers have gotten adjusted to. So that caused a little bit of turmoil. Europe business also was a little challenging for us. And there also -- each country has its own nuances. I'm not going to go into that number. But for Enphase, what we are doing is essentially innovate, innovate our way out of this. You're already -- if you're following the company, you're seeing that our new product engine is very, very active. And our main focus is on building the world's best microinverters and battery systems. And I'll cover a lot more on our new products. Top right graph is gross margin. Despite -- typically in a company when the revenue goes down, gross margin usually goes down because there are a lot of fixed costs. So we have managed to keep that in check. We have a world-class cost initiative that focuses on even -- focuses on cents for microinverters because every cent matters there. That team is doing a great job. And you can see our Q4 of 2024, we were at 53% in non-GAAP gross margin. And even in 2025, the Q1, we reported 49% there. Our operating expenses in terms of dollars are in check. We have taken the appropriate actions in order to size our teams right for the revenue. And so not much to talk about there. As a result, our operating income is quite healthy. The green bars basically are hovering around the mid-20s. And in Q4 of '24, you see 30%, 31.5%. And even in a quarter -- a weak quarter like Q1, we make over 26% operating income. So we are highly profitable. Next. Core differentiation. These are the reasons why we think we are valuable is semiconductor integration and predictive control. Our microinverter basically focuses on continuous component reduction. So everything we do focuses on how to reduce the component count by heavy integration into custom ASICs, digital ASIC, analog ASICs. Predictive control allows us to have a single-stage microinverter and not the traditional dual stages competition. When you have a single stage, then you have less number of components. Less number of components means power dissipation is less. Power dissipation is less means your efficiency is high. And when the power dissipation is less, your quality also becomes very good. Our quality, one of the main reasons we are differentiated is our PPM, defective parts per million is 500 PPM. That's our target. That's 0.05%. Software-defined architecture. This is becoming more and more valuable for us and our customers, basically in -- I'll just give you an example there. I can actually sitting here in the room, I can simply press a button and I can take my system completely off the grid. What happens is when I press the button, the signal goes to the cloud, goes to the home router, then goes to the gateway on the gateway at the home and then instructs the appropriate device in the battery system to open up a relay disconnecting the home from the grid. So we are a complete IoT manufacturer. The important thing for you to know that, that base microinverter is only one hardware. We can morph it into various forms. We can adjust power, we can adjust functionality. We can produce any SKU we want. We can tweak it according to the regulatory conditions that exist in every one of those countries. So one hardware SKU and a software-defined architecture enables us to enter a lot of countries without any hardware. For example, for Japan, we just entered Japan, and we didn't have to do any hardware change there. It was all done in software. The last one on the right, we have always believed in an AC-coupled architecture. We believe the grid is AC, as you all know. And everything that we do is a distributed AC architecture. Our solar is basically 1 microinverter for every panel, all distributed so that if there is one microinverter that fails, the others actually produce. The same concept in the batteries as well. Each battery, for example, in our third-generation battery, it's got 6 microinverters in a 5-kilowatt hour battery. So if 1 inverter -- if 1 microinverter does not work, the battery continues to function. Modularity is key for us. Then people according to their needs can add things in time. Generator integration, for example, generators produce a sine wave AC can be directly integrated into our home energy management system. EV, the same thing. All right. Next. So the power of those 3 things, semiconductors, software as well as the Ensemble technology results in us having very high quality, fewer components, reduced thermals like what I said. We place extraordinary emphasis on safety, no high-voltage DC. Even in our batteries, while the competitors do high-voltage DC of several hundreds of volts, ours is not -- is low-voltage DC. LFP battery chemistry, lithium-ion phosphate, we are big believers of that. And right since 2016, we have stuck to LFP chemistry and everyone is now moving to LFP chemistry. I already talked about the modular design. The AC marketplace that we have gives us a lot of flexibility to expand systems over time, exceptional value. So higher efficiency. The AI-based home energy management is something new. It essentially now we are able to -- based upon forecasting your PV, based upon forecasting your consumption, we are able to apply algorithms in order to maximize savings. And this software is actually running for NEM 3. This software is running for homes in Netherlands where dynamic tariffs are active and a few other European countries as well. I talked about the supply chain efficiency, everything. The -- our philosophy of designing basically leads us to one hardware platform. We don't need to have multiple hardware SKUs, one hardware platform, software, tweak software for -- to handle individual regions requirement, for example. Because we are semiconductors, we go -- we can scale to deep submicron technology, and therefore, we can make things ultra low cost. And the net effect of all of that is we take customer experience very seriously. So all of these decisions are catered towards providing customers a great experience because a PV customer stays with us for 25 years. And a great experience is no phone call at all to us. And that's why we build very high quality into our systems. Next. This is what I talked about. Our quality, 0.05%. That's the reliability target for microinverters. Our customer service worldwide NPS, I talk about this number in every earnings call. 77% is a reasonable number. We are looking forward to increase that even further. We don't want customers to wait. Our target is always less than a minute. We are a little bit higher now, as I noted in the last earnings call, which we have already gotten under control. Pricing. So pricing, we have a dedicated pricing team. We price based upon value, and we have segmentation in these products. These products are segmented according to power levels. And of course, our product innovation I talked about, we have a separate ASIC design team that focuses on the next-generation ASIC. For example, IQ 10 will have a brand-new ASIC. That will be capable of taking us to a megahertz switching. It will take up, it will provide even more enhanced security, enhanced PLC functionality and a lot of other bells and whistles. And of course, supply chain, I talked about world-class costs. Our team has done an extraordinary job. For example, in the recent announcement of the tariffs, we didn't have to worry much about microinverters because we had already diversified the supply chain. And we are extending the same concept to batteries now. Okay. Next. Our business model and no big factories. We don't own any factories. It's a CapEx-light model. We rely on contract manufacturing partners. OpEx efficiency. We have a large fraction of our engineering workforce is in India, and we get extraordinary talent there in India, and we are able to get our OpEx under check. Okay. Next. This one is important. The global supply chain. We have 4 manufacturing sites today. 2 of them are in the U.S., in Arlington as well as in South Carolina, Colombia. So these 2 of them can do 5 million microinverters a quarter. 85% -- or I would say, 80% of our global microinverter shipments today are from the U.S. are from these 2 factories. Only 20% of our overall microinverter shipments made outside the U.S. So we are already running quite well in the U.S. factories. All microinverters now, if we bring out, for example, we plan to bring out IQ 9 later this year, and that will right away start in both those factories. We are leveraging the Inflation Reduction Act to bring high-tech manufacturing and jobs to the U.S. The production tax credit, also called 45X credit basically gives us incentives to make microinverters in the U.S. and that's a driving force, and that helps us to actually compensate for the very high cost of manufacturing in the U.S. Batteries. Batteries, the story is quite similar, but some nuances there. Our cell pack suppliers are still in China, and we are going through a globalization effort on batteries to diversify that. Basically, we are well into the process of sourcing cells non-China cells. And we expect to have non-China cell packs shipping early next year. In terms of manufacturing of batteries, we bring in the cell packs from China, but we make most of the other components in Arlington, Texas. So approximately, I would say, 30% to 40% of our overall battery shipments come from Arlington, Texas today. And that's relatively new starting in Q1 of this year. Okay, next. So advancing a sustainable future for all. This is what we do by definition. What we ship basically reduces carbon footprint. So the one figure -- only one figure I'm going to point out is 107 terawatt hours of clean energy production. It's a cumulative estimate based upon all the Enphase system managed data from 2006. So it's a big number. Right, next. Our strategy hasn't changed. build best-in-class home energy systems, which is microinverters, batteries and deliver them to homeowners through our installer and distributor partners, enabled by a comprehensive installer platform. What do I mean by best-in-class home energy system? You can see there the IQ microinverters. You can see the IQ combiner that's the -- that basically houses the gateway along with any combination of the PV circuits that come in. System controller, that basically isolates the home from the grid and the battery, of course. You also see the IQ EV charger there on the right and the Enphase app, the Enphase Cloud. So that's what we call as the Enphase Energy system. Okay, next. Go back to the previous one. I want to point out to you, this is what our fourth-generation battery is going to look like. That's the fourth-generation battery. You can see that the wall looks kind of empty now. We got -- the battery is on the right-hand side. That's a box of 10-kilowatt hour. The one in the middle is the combiner box that basically combines solar and batteries. And then you have -- if you carefully look at the meter, there is a meter collar there. And the meter collar is the way our -- it's a backup switch. Basically, there's a relay in the meter collar will open in the event of a grid outage. So our system is substantially simplified. This is the fourth generation system we are going to start shipping imminently. Next. Before that, a quick recap on our microinverter portfolio, world's first grid-forming microinverter. What does that mean? This microinverter produces power even in the absence of the grid as long as sunlight is still there. So it can do sunlight backup. So it can provide power even when the grid is not there, up to 384 watts residential market shipping to 58 countries worldwide. Most notable recently is Japan. IQ 9 is coming. So IQ 9 will be 10% higher AC power and IQ 9 will use gallium nitride technology. And IQ 9 will have 2 flavors: one, basically an incremental from the 384 and then one which is higher than the 480 watts that we have. Okay, next. There's another microinverter that we have in IQ 8 family that takes up the power notch, 480 watts AC power. This is for emerging markets as well as the small commercial market. So if you see all of the residential market in emerging countries, the version of this in IQ 9 would be a 548-watt microinverter. There's one more very important thing in the IQ 9 space, which I'll cover now is historically, we have not played in the 480-volt 3-phase market in North America. With IQ 9 and with the GaN technology, we are able to make 480-volt 3-phase -- small commercial microinverter. And that is the bulk of the small commercial market. All of that will be made in the U.S. right here, and that will be available by the end of the year. Next. Just a quick recap on the batteries. These were the -- the one on the left is our first generation and second-generation battery. The first and second generation where the identical functionality, but slightly different form factors. The one on the right-hand side is the third-generation battery. It's a 5-kilowatt hour battery with double the power of the first and second generation. And recently, we added 3-phase backup, big deal. For all the European countries, 3-phase backup is necessary. All -- for example, even in Australia, in India, other emerging markets, 3-phase backup is a requirement. And we started shipping 3-phase battery with backup early this year. Next. This is the fourth generation battery that I talked about. The fourth generation battery, what's the key thing? It makes backup seamless with the meter collar. The 10-kilowatt hour battery, nice power, 7 kilowatts of power. No system controller required because now you have a compact color, 30% more energy density than the prior battery, 62% lesser wall space than the price generation. LSP chemistry as usual, no dangerous high-voltage DC. We operate a low-voltage DC paired with the cooler and combiner, 15-year warranty. We have completed testing with PG&E and several other utilities, and that's coming imminently. Next. We recently made 2 press releases. One is for Germany and the other for Belgium. We are actually shipping the balcony solar product to Germany and Belgium, cool product. Basically, in Germany and Belgium, you can feed up to 800 watts AC into a wall socket. So we can do exactly that. And on our balcony gateway, we also have another auxiliary socket and which can support additional appliances. And let us say that the grid power goes out, then the power will still be available in the auxiliary socket of the balcony gateway where appliances can be plugged in so that they can stay powered even during a daytime grid outage. So that's -- we are going to roll that out to all countries in Europe as well as emerging markets. You can consider this as a small solar system anywhere from 2 to 8 panels. Okay. Next. We introduced the IQ Power Pack 1500. It is starting to gain traction right now. Energy security for the home, very important for places like Puerto Rico right now. Energy on the go. This is when you're off grid. Again, the same philosophy. You can call this as an Enphase in a box. It's a lithium-ion phosphate chemistry, 1.5 kilowatt hours, nice peak power, nice continuous power. It is connected to WiFi as well as cellular. It's got a lot of folks for you to connect and it's currently shipping to the U.S. and Canada. This is starting to do well for us. Next. Just go back to that. Just to highlight, we are going to now extend this power pack into various countries, and we are also going to have AC power pack extensions so that you can buy an AC pack extension for this main unit. Each would be a 1.5 kilowatt hour extension. Next. The IQ EV charger is a good story as well. We just started shipping our second-generation IQ EV charger to Europe, to 14 countries in Europe, 22 kilowatts, 3-phase. It can do green charging. It can switch between 3-phase and single phase. That's important, especially in Europe where not enough PV may be available in order to do 3-phase. At that time, it can switch to single phase, charge on single phase and then switch back to 3-phase. Dynamic load balancing. If your home consumes a lot more power, the EV charger can throttle itself to consume less. The MID meter is required for the -- for basically accounting for office-based EV chargers. OCPP, of course. And the last one is a very is a very interesting case as well. There is the concept of AC bidirectional, which is the inverter is already in the car. So the car can provide AC to charge the home. And this charger provides 15118 support for that. Okay. Next. Bidirectional EV charger. Now here, I'm talking about where it's a DC, meaning car provides DC and there is an extra box that takes a 1,000-volt DC from the car and converts it into 240 volts AC for the home. So that's this product. This product is -- will also use GaN fully, and we expect to introduce this product in 2026. Okay. Next. So in the home, now homeowners have solar, they have batteries, they have EV chargers, they have heat pumps. So how are they going to get all of these working? They have third-party EV chargers. Many in Europe have third-party heat pumps. They have solar systems, storage systems. So things can get confusing. So what we have is IQ Energy Management, which will support third-party EV chargers and heat pumps. It will bring it into our app, so homeowners can only use the Enphase app. They can use the Enphase app, and they can see everything about their EV charger, about their heat pump, about solar and storage, and they can have everything working in concert. And this is a big deal. As systems get complex with these 4 things, this becomes a requirement. Hot water heater compatibility is another big deal. Like, for example, in France, there is hot water heaters everywhere. And in France, for people who only have solar, it is not very lucrative today because there is feed-in tariff. Feed-in tariffs means whatever PV you export to the grid isn't compensated well. So you don't want to export any PV. Therefore, you want to conserve PV. The conserving PV can be done many fronts. You can add a battery, but you can also add -- you can also steer the PV to a hot water heater that you already have in the home. So we are introducing hot water heater compatibility there so that the self-consumption for people with solar only is substantially increased and their savings goes up. Okay. Next. The Enphase Installer platform, this one I'll cover briefly. Lead management, we did an acquisition called Solar Lead Factory, which we do provide leads to our installers. Solar Graph, this is a design and proposal software. We have around 1,000-plus installers on this platform. We generate -- we help them generate design and proposals. It's also connected to various financing platforms. Solar Graph has got an auto permit plan set where you can generate your permit plans in very quick time. So the 2, 3 and 4 are all Solar Graph, and we have enhanced Solar Graph in the last 3 years quite a bit. And then we have our -- the Enphase installer toolkit where we -- our focus is on improving commissioning time of our solar and storage systems. And of course, operations and maintenance is -- we bought another company, a small company called 365 Pronto. And we are helping installers with their O&M services with the Pronto platform. So our focus is on ease of doing business for installers and these tools, all of them from start to finish, they aim to provide that. Okay. Next. So just to recap, basically, we talked about technology. We talked about the semiconductor architecture, semiconductors software, AC-coupled architecture. We have over 400 patents globally, innovative products. That's our lifeblood. Innovation is our lifeblood. Solar, storage, energy management, EV chargers, that's what we are about. And we service a big market, a $25 billion SAM. And that number is going to grow as we enter into the small commercial market with IQ 9, that number will take -- will be up a notch, and we're looking forward to that. So that's it. Now I'll take questions.

Operator

operator
#3

[Operator Instructions].

Badrinarayanan Kothandaraman

executive
#4

Are there upgrade paths for current owners with older system minus from 2018? In that case, can the old inverter be recycled? Yes, the older inverters can be recycled. Yes, there are upgrade paths. We do have programs where we upgrade customers from older M-Series or even IQ 7s and they replaced with IQ 8. So I would have this person get in touch with us. We can take care of these. Recently, I'm happy that in the 3 or 4 years back in the shareholder meeting, there was a question on how can I make IQ -- you're introducing IQ 8, but they are not compatible to IQ 7 in the same strength. And my answer 4 years back was we had inclined it, and we wanted to introduce IQ 8. But I'm happy to say now that our team has worked hard on it. We just did a press release last week where IQ 7s and IQ 8s are compatible to each other now with the latest software and on the same strength. So that means that if you have a system with IQ 7 microinverters, if you want to add 3 or 4 more, you can easily add it to an existing strength you don't need another gateway. There is no complexity there. Any other questions? Yes.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#5

So it seems like one of your significant advantages is the innovation, the technology that you have, the R&D. And as you said, it's getting a little more complicated with the integrated energy management system and all the products. And sometimes it can be hard to articulate that advantage in a simple message to both the distributors and your customers. Have you guys thought about investing a little bit more in marketing or messaging to try to simplify that message and the advantages that you have in the marketplace?

Badrinarayanan Kothandaraman

executive
#6

Yes. Yes, we do. And the way we go to market is through our installers. And installers are the one who are sitting at the kitchen table and they basically articulate the value proposition. So for us, it is all about the installers, training the installers to make sure that they are positioned to sell this value proposition properly. In addition, the solar graph tool that I showed you actually incorporates all of these elements so that they can show a proposal in 10 minutes to the installers saying, this is what happens if you have a battery, if you have solar, if you have your third party, if you have your third-party EV charger, third-party heat pump, if you have this, this is how much money you can save. So we don't do -- of course, we don't do enough homeowner marketing. However, we have a huge installer network. In Europe alone, our -- I'm probably stating from my memory here, it's -- we work with 10,000 installers there. And we find that the clearer that they are, the higher the probability of a sale because homeowners are confused by that. I have so many options. So many options. So therefore, they are not going to make those decisions likely, meaning they're going to shop around, then they're going to understand the details and everything. But there's nothing like an installer coming and saying, this is the best in the market. This is the best in the market. This has got -- it's a one-stop shop. It's one company for everything. It's 24/7 open. It's got solar, it's got storage. It's got EV chargers. It can manage your heat pumps. It can manage your third-party devices. And here is the value proposition. That's our strategy.

Unknown Executive

executive
#7

I think it's also worth noting a point that Badri made earlier, and that is he went into detail on the microinverters. He went into detail on the batteries. He went into detail in the AC coupling. Most homeowners don't relate to that. That's where that software-based core comes into play. And that basically softens and simplifies everything that the homeowner has to deal with. From this app, I can load balance. I can turn my system on, off, change it, whatever the case may be. And I think that, that value is actually the most important value from the end user standpoint. All the points he was making about the technology, et cetera, et cetera. The installers use that because they have to have the second order understanding to be able to tell the customer how this works. But really, as a homeowner, the app softens all this and makes it extremely easy. This is the integration of all that technology. I understand that as a long-time investor, right? And I see it as a huge value. And I've worked for premier technology companies that have superior technology. And at times, it's been hard to simplify that message and translate that message down to the homeowner and down to the distributor and down to the installer. I think that's something you have to keep working on and refine that. We do have to find fresh sauce, boil it down, boil it down, boil it down. So it's like perfect. And everybody is articulating the same message.

Badrinarayanan Kothandaraman

executive
#8

We have a very good training team. That's their job is to basically make sure things are bone simple for installers. Go ahead, Neil.

Unknown Shareholder

shareholder
#9

I would want to help you understand a little bit this problem because this is also for me, essential, both as a shareholder but also a partner of Enphase. So if we remember at the beginning of the 20th century, there was a debate between Edison and Tesla about which type of current is going to be used, and AC 1. So in one sentence, what Enphase does is the following: Enphase delivers distributed solar systems based on AC current. None of the other companies in the world do that. So that's -- Enphase is the only company that actually delivers the system, a solar system with AC current from the PV module. None of them actually SolarEdge, Tesla, all of them are DC companies. Why this is important? This is important both from the efficiency point of view, from the safety of -- fire hazard. But also it's -- when you talk about homeowners, it's more natural to have already AC in the house instead of having a DC system, which is not as efficient. And I think this is one my advice, Badri, if I may, as a shareholder, we need to underscore more because that's a simple message in explaining the rest. On the other hand, the other important thing is the following, and I was talking to Badri about this thing. Enphase is not necessarily a solar company. Enphase is a semiconductor, software and cloud company with applications in solar. That's extremely important. And another thing which is extremely important, Badri, underscore that we're talking about one single SKU. All the other vendors, Tesla, SolarEdge, European guys, Huawei, which is actually in Europe, very important, all of them have different type of inverters for different type of installations. So this is what I would like to -- but again, this is my advice to talk to analysts for them to understand the difference between Enphase technology and the rest of the world. It's kind of the same difference between, if you want personal computers, smartphones and mainframes. Well, Enphase is on the side of distributed computing, smartphones, personal computers versus all the other vendors, we are still stuck into mainframe era.

Badrinarayanan Kothandaraman

executive
#10

There is one other question. Okay. In the U.S., what is the current payback period for the average homeowner who invests in an Enphase system? How has that changed from 2020? And where do you see that in 3 years? So basically, around, let's say, 2020, when the interest rates -- 2021, 2022, actually, when the interest rates were low. At that time, the payback period in California was around 3 to 4 years. And the payback period in Texas Florida, all of them were under 10 years, maybe around 8 years. After that, post the interest rates -- the interest rates going high, what has happened is the payback period has now gone a little beyond 10 years in Texas and beyond 10 years in Florida. Why? Because, I mean, it's relatively simple to follow is with the interest rates being high and with the electricity rates being not so high in Texas and Florida, the monthly payments are too much. and it doesn't pay back your system in less than 10 years. So in all of the places where the utility rates aren't as high, the payback has significantly -- meaning payback period has significantly increased as of today. And that's why those states like Texas, Florida have seen the demand fall. On the other hand, in the East Coast, the rates are not as high as California, but still high. And those are still okay today, payback, payback period, less than 10. California right now, with NEM 3.0, the payback is between 6 to 7 years. in California. Does it makes sense. The utility rates are high. The utility rates may get higher and solar plus batteries avoids you to import electricity from the grid. So that's the question there. How has that changed? And where do I see it in 3 years? So in 3 years, I mean, I see the utility rates continuing to go up. I do see that. So I do see the payback situation getting better and better. As a shareholder, I'm very interested in how Enphase is mitigating the risks of the proposed ITC rollback. And how is the dynamic tariff currently looking lower than envisioned at the last earnings call affect pricing. So the first one, just for the people who don't follow that question, there has been -- the reconciliation bill draft came out on Tuesday. And what that -- while the positives from that are keeping the 45X credit, the negative is elimination of the residential tax credits for cash and cash and loans effective 2026. And that's what this question is about. This is obviously not good at all, not good at all. And we are going to fight against this. The a lot of our installers, they rely on cash and loans. We got about 10,000 installers in the U.S. And I would say maybe the composition of business is cash and loans amount to about 40% of the business today. Lease is about 60% today. So that 40% is handled by thousands of installers. So it is going to create a problem with jobs. A lot of companies are going to face tough circumstances. And the solar market, it's going to be turbulent for a while because it has been done abruptly. Long term, I'm also not a believer in subsidy. I don't want subsidies for the long term. But when you do something so abruptly, you're going to have several installers go out of business. And that's what we are going to be talking about is an intelligent phaseout is a phased approach. for the residential tax credits. And that's what we'd like to have, and we are going to lobby along with several industry advocacy groups, which are coming together and do. I'll also pivot to saying one more that we are agnostic to any channel. We do business with lease providers. We do business with cash. We do business with loan. We don't pick anybody like that. We do business with many lease providers. So when the market moves to that, let's say, in 2026, we are confident that we'll get our fair share there. More lease providers are going to come into the mix. So while we think it is going to have a disruption for the short term because of the abruptness of it, long term, I don't expect any big problems. And also one more important thing is when you have the lease providers, they actually own the asset. So for the lease providers, the asset is very important that it's of good quality. want the asset that they own to be of good quality to have limited -- meaning lesser and lesser operations and maintenance. That is where our quality comes in. So we are the perfect target for somebody who wants a very high-quality product, so they can have it as an asset without much maintenance because we do everything for them upfront. So definitely, in the short term, it's -- in the short term, it is a little bit abrupt. We are going to fight against that. In the long term, we think we don't expect any material benefits for us.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#11

Would it ever make sense to acquire a leasing entity, subsidiary of Enphase?

Badrinarayanan Kothandaraman

executive
#12

If you think about it, I mean, I look at all problems long term. If we do it just because of the tax credit, this problem is going to happen again in 2029 because it's got to phase out for the lease providers, it's got to phase out in 2029. Ultimately, what is the solution to it? It is innovation. The cost of solar is $3 a watt. Homeowners pay $3 a watt here. They pay $0.70 a watt in Australia. They pay $2 a watt in Europe. And we have to figure out through both business process innovation as well as technology innovation to get that as an industry to a low number, so we can mitigate the effects of these subsidies. That's what needs to happen.

Unknown Executive

executive
#13

And all things being equal, these companies don't have the ROI that in data centers. So on average, it would drag us down.

Badrinarayanan Kothandaraman

executive
#14

How does Enphase persuade installers who carry both Enphase batteries and Tesla Powerwalls truly represent a clear advantage. To an knowledgeable homeowner, it's easy for a motivated installer to convince that Tesla Powerwall is cheaper because the homeowner does not understand peak power and the clear safety benefit of lithium iron phosphate chemistry. In fact, our installers, they understand everything proper. They understand everything very well. And they sell the benefits of Enphase versus competition. I'm not going to talk about -- talk much about Tesla. What has been a problem or I would say, an opportunity with our third-generation battery is grid, people buy batteries. I mean most people buy batteries because they save, okay? And therefore, the batteries can have 2 configurations, spend very less and get a grid tied battery, which has got no backup. That is true in all of Europe, by the way. That's how Europe operates today or go through a little more pain, but it's worth it to have proper backup, size your system correctly, size your loads correctly and all that. So we do well in one kind with the third-generation system, which is grid-tied batteries. And in our third-generation system, the cost of backup was a little bit high because of the extra components. And now we have eliminated that completely with the fourth generation system. We've eliminated the system controller. We have eliminated the labor there. We have eliminated with the metal collar, the labor portion becomes very nice and simple to add backup and the cost delta also is very less between no backup and backup. So the installers have been asking us for it, and now it is there, and we are confident they will sell the value proposition very well. We have had installer summits in the last month, and maybe we would have we would have introduced the fourth generation system to probably 500 to 600 installers already in the last month, and the reception is very positive.

Operator

operator
#15

Let me take one last question.

Badrinarayanan Kothandaraman

executive
#16

What are the hurdles to balcony solar for the U.S.? Well, Utah has solved a hurdle here, which is Utah is now allowing -- there are certain restrictions that are still there, but they are now allowing 1.2 kilowatts of AC to go into the grid. So this needs regulatory hurdle to get solved, but it is now starting with Utah. And in Europe, for example, 800 watts of AC can be exported to a wall socket from a balcony solar system. And we expect other states to soon follow the lead from Utah. We are going to be ready. We already have balcony solar now. We just introduced it in Germany and Belgium. We are going to introduce it in other -- all other European countries in emerging markets because it's really a small system. So that's it. We'll take this question as well. What's the install time difference between string inverter and microinverter for a typical project with pre-attaching panels to micro speed up installs. Labor is very expensive. And for TPO installers, they could install more houses in a day. Why not look into it? There isn't material difference between installing a string inverter and the microinverter. String inverter is high-voltage DC, so it comes with its own challenges. Microinverter is AC. And it's all plug and play. If you have ever installed an Enphase system, it is not complex at all. It is plug and play. The AC cabling is a nice trunk cable, therefore, and the microinverters are easy to handle. They can be plugged in. So that has not been an issue at all. in terms of pre-attaching the panels to the micros, we have tried that. That's called as AC modules. AC modules was a good concept. It saved a little bit. It saved a little bit of labor. And however, the downside with the AC panels is the versatility, which is basically the installers want the ability to match, to use whatever panel they want and whatever microinverter they want. And if you want them to attach it to the panel, then you kind of lose all the benefits that you get in a factory assembled AC panel. So for that reason, it has not taken up. And also, as you can understand that it's really not much value creation is there because you aren't fundamentally changing any hardware. You're simply attaching the microinverter to the back of the panel. So the value that is generated, it isn't very high. And so for that reason, although we sold quite a bit of it early, it didn't take off that much.

Operator

operator
#17

Well, thank you for your attendance today and for your continued support of Enphase Energy. This concludes our meeting.

Badrinarayanan Kothandaraman

executive
#18

Thank you.

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