Exodus Movement, Inc. ($EXOD)

Earnings Call Transcript · March 11, 2026

NYSEAM US Information Technology Software Earnings Calls 40 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Chris Merkel

Attendees
#1

Hi, everyone. Welcome to Exodus' Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. I'm your host, Chris Merkel. And with us today are Exodus' Co-Founder and CEO, JP Richardson; and CFO, James Gernetzke. During today's call, we may make forward-looking statements. The company cautions investors that any forward-looking statement involves risks and uncertainties and is not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may vary materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements due to a variety of factors. These factors are described in forward-looking statements in our earnings press release and our most recent Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission available on the Investor Relations portion of our website. We do not undertake any obligation to update forward-looking statements. As always, feel free to visit our social media accounts on X or Reddit to submit questions for our Investor Relations team after our call. Let's go to JP to discuss Exodus' fourth quarter and full year 2025.

J. Richardson

Executives
#2

Thank you, everyone, for joining. I want to try something a little different today. I've been told multiple times that my opening on earnings calls just doesn't sound like me. And I think that's a fair criticism. So we're going to keep this more conversational, a lot like how we speak publicly on interviews or even internally in company all-hands calls. So often, I love to tell stories and today is going to be no different. A couple of weeks ago, I took my kids skiing for the first time. A little boy, he's 7 years old. And so we're on the Bunny slope. And where they teach the young kids, and she could barely stand up. He kept falling over and over again. And I'm not sure many of you with kids can relate to this, but he kept getting up over and over again. And so ultimately, he asked about going from the lift on the mountain and to actually go down. And his mom looked at him and she goes, son, you're not ready yet. And your dad doesn't think that you're ready yet. And so he said to her, it's like, "I'm going to show him." Meaning me, of course. So me admiring his determination and said, "Okay, well, let's go. Let's go to the top of mountain. Let's check it out." So we all went up, and he's going up and he went down. And yes, he fell a couple of times, but he made it down without any issue, and it was actually really impressive. And so thinking about this moment with my kids and kind of heading into this call today because it's kind of a lot like what 2025 felt like for this company. The market kind of knocked us around stock price and Bitcoin price. It tested everyone's patience. And every single time, the team just kept building. Even when we get knocked down, just kept building, focused. So we're building the infrastructure that makes us less dependent on market conditions, these very market conditions in the first place. Let me walk you through what we built and where we're headed. Let's do a brief look back into 2025. 2025 was the most consequential year in the history of Exodus. This is because of what we built while the market has been pulling back. And as you remember, early 2025, it seems like an eternity now, we rang the bell on the New York Stock Exchange. And this ultimately being the New York Stock Exchange opened the door for more investors that couldn't touch us in the OTC markets. We announced Exodus Pay, one of the most important products in the company's history. And in November, we closed the Grateful acquisition, and this gave us a live payment sandbox in Latin America, where every lesson from Grateful is making its way back into Exodus Pay. And in the same month, we signed the W3C acquisition, and I'll come back to that in a moment. We expanded XO Swap to more signed partnerships. I'm going to talk about that even later. We expanded our tokenized equity to Solana through Superstate Opening Bell platform. For full year revenue, we grew 5% to $121.6 million. That growth came from improved monetization and B2B expansion, even as retail activity soften all the way toward the end of the year. Now for 10 years, Exodus was built on speculation. When crypto is up, we thrive. Crypto pulls back, we feel it, much like what we're seeing in the markets today. As a public company, the stock reflects this reality directly. And this model has served us well for a decade, but it's not enough anymore. Everything we did in 2025 was in service of one goal, and that's creating more revenue streams, revenue streams that don't depend on where crypto trades tomorrow. We are becoming a payments company, one that serves people whether Bitcoin is at $30,000 or $130,000; one that earns revenue from the daily financial lives of real people, not just trading activity, the product at the center of the shift is Exodus Pay. Most people use at least 3 financial apps, I'm guessing many of you on this call are going to be very familiar with this. No doubt you have a banking app. You have a payments app like Venmo or Cash App, and you probably have a brokerage app like Robinhood or Fidelity. Exodus Pay makes it one. We're building the product that lets people send, spend, invest and earn from a single interface. No seed phrases, no blockchain jargon, no L1, L2, which later on, nobody cares about that stuff. No complexity. Self-custody should feel as easy as tap to pay. And as its core, Exodus Pay is built on stablecoins. Stablecoins are the dollars that move at Internet speed, you may have heard of them. We are making stablecoins usable for everyday payments, groceries, rideshare, restaurants, anywhere where Visa or MasterCard is accepted. Again, from speculation-driven swap fees to revenue built on daily utility. And what's going to power Exodus Pay is the product of W3C. So let's talk about the W3C acquisition. It remains the centerpiece of our vertical integration strategy. Now let me remind everyone why this deal matters in the first place. So the first reason this deal matters. We get to own the full payment stack from self-custodial wallet to the spend card at the terminal. No other wallet owns end-to-end payment rails. The second reason is revenue diversification. Our revenue today is heavily tied to swap volume. The third reason is the B2B2C infrastructure for partners. W3C already powers MetaMask, Ledger, OKX and Kraken in their cards. Only in this infrastructure means Exodus can provide card programs and payment rails to other wallets and apps. This means more revenue from partners without acquiring those end users directly. And we remain confident in the ability to close in 2026 and are working diligently towards closing. Let's touch what seems these days on everybody's favorite topic, AI, because it's reshaping both how we build and what we build. Let's first talk about how we build. I actually write code every single day using Claude Code. Tasks that used to take me months now take me just hours. It's that wild how good these tools are these days. And so what's true for me here is true for our entire engineering organization. We are pushing hard toward a model where AI ultimately writes all of our code. So we're not there yet, we're not there yet. But the productivity gains we're seeing so far have already been quite significant. Now what we build kind of how we think about the future here is that we think AI agents represent an entirely new class of customer for Exodus. These agents are going to need wallet infrastructure. They're going to need to send money, check balances and make purchases. So it's easy when you think of payments apps like Exodus Pay, it's easy to think of the total addressable market is just 8 billion people in the entire world, right? But with AI agents, it will potentially be in the trillions because each one of these agents is going to need a wallet, and Exodus aims to be the default wallet layer for this world. Let's hit on XO Swap. XO Swap continues to be a meaningful volume driver. Q4, we signed -- in total, we have 18 signed partnerships, 11 that are producing, $416 million in Q4 volume, 26% of our quarterly total. This strength shows that our infrastructure is trusted by other major platforms like Ledger and MetaMask. And MetaMask just went live at the end of December with Solana. So following the close of W3C, we're going to be able to offer a card issuance as well to a lot of these partnerships that are using XO Swap, especially a lot of the new ones. So I want to leave you with this. Our revenue today does not yet reflect the magnitude of what we have built. We have invested significant resources, capital, talent, time, into infrastructure, acquisitions and product development that have not yet hit the top line. I understand this. I understand the patience it requires from you, our shareholders. I want you to understand what's on the other side. We are shifting from a company built on speculation through a company built on payments, on daily utility, on infrastructure that earns revenue. Every time someone taps a card, invest into the future, save for a rainy day or buys their groceries, that is the company we are building. So 2025 laid the foundation and 2026 is where it starts to come to life. With that, I'm going to hand it over to James to walk through our financial results. James?

James Gernetzke

Executives
#3

Thank you, JP. Let's start with Q4 and full year revenue and swap volumes. Full year revenue was $121.6 million, that's up 5% from 2024. Q4 revenue was $29.5 million, which represents a 3% decrease from Q3 and a 34% decline from the record Q4 we had a year ago. To put that year-over-year comparison in context, Q4 2024 was our highest revenue quarter in company history, in a quarter where we saw major industry catalysts like the U.S. election and Bitcoin topping $100,000 for the very first time. As a recent industry backdrop, Digital asset prices were also in decline for most of Q4 2025 after briefly enjoying early October highs. Full year swap volume was $6.89 billion, which is a 21% increase from 2024. This is a meaningful increase that demonstrates the underlying growth in the platform, even as digital asset prices declined. The Q4 swap volume of $1.59 billion was down 9% sequentially and down 32% year-over-year, tracking the broader market pullback. XO Swap, our B2B swaps platform, continued to be a significant volume driver for Exodus at $416 million of volume in Q4 or 26% of our total quarterly volume. Our growing B2B swap volume demonstrates that Exodus is increasingly a critical piece of infrastructure for the broader ecosystem. And with regard to staking and other non-exchange revenue, full year revenue from staking reached over $4 million for the year, nearly doubling 2024's total. Our improvements to Solana staking in particular drove this acceleration. This is recurring revenue that can be compounded for as long as the assets remain under stake. Fiat onboarding also saw a 28% increase in revenue versus 2024. Quarterly funded users, users who have actually put their money into Exodus, finished the year at $1.7 million. That's down 6% from last quarter and 11% from a year ago, reflecting the broader retail environment. Monthly active users at the end of Q4 were 1.5 million, down 35% from the previous year and unchanged sequentially. While monthly active users declined year-over-year in line with broader retail activity, our funded user base remained resilient, demonstrating the stickiness of our wallet. To pursue ownership of a full payment stack, during 2025, we funded $80 million of debt related to the W3C acquisition. While we initially used the Galaxy credit facility, we made the decision to pay off that debt prior to the end of the year. This resulted in the first reduction of our Bitcoin treasury in quite some time. And during Q1 of 2026, we have continued to sell digital assets as we prepare for the next disbursement related to the W3C acquisition. As we have stated in the past, we believe that our treasury, including our Bitcoin treasury is available to fund M&A and other growth initiatives, ultimately growing our Bitcoin treasury. On a related note, we continue to evaluate ways to demonstrate the power of tokenized equity. However, we are pausing our Bitcoin dividend plans as we are prioritizing M&A and other growth initiatives at this time. We remain committed to exploring opportunities afforded to us and our shareholders through the tokenized equities as their use continues to grow. And finally, expanding on JP's earlier note regarding XO Swap, MetaMask is a notable name that we signed towards the end of last year. Their wallet launch support in the final days of 2025 for Bitcoin. Initial results are slowly ramping up as MetaMask users gain familiarity with the new multichain functionality. Chris, with that, let's get back over to you for questions.

Chris Merkel

Attendees
#4

Thank you, James. It's time for our analyst questions, and I see we have Andrew Harte from BTIG.

Andrew Harte

Analysts
#5

JP, I thought your comments about agentic payments were really interesting. I think the idea was that agents are going to need the wallet infrastructure to operate out of. I guess can you just expand on the steps needed to go from where we are today, both in terms of capabilities or potential partnerships or integrations to make that a reality? That would be very helpful.

J. Richardson

Executives
#6

Yes, great question. So ultimately, when you want to enable agents to be able to transact with wallets and send stablecoins, what you want to be able to do is have a world where the company or individuals that are using or leveraging these agents can maintain control over their wallets. I mean I suppose what you could do, I mean, you could just set up an open claude on your Mac mini, right, and have it go hog wild with Exodus that would work today or should work today, right? But again, what you want is you want to be able to say like, okay, I have this massive amount of agents. And maybe I'm a company in the travel industry, right? I'm going to have a AI agent doing travel on behalf of consumers. Well, I need to be able to basically either give the consumer the ability to give access to, say, Exodus in that AI agent, or as a business to be able to give AI agent an access to a number of wallets that I have full control over and can control the keys as well. So effectively, what that means is that -- from the consumer perspective, again, I'm just going to step into the shoes of just like an Exodus Pay customer. That means having Exodus Pay or Exodus Connect directly to like a ChatGPT or a claude. Actually, that is something that behind the scenes, we've had working for a while, but we just -- we want to make sure that the user experience works really well. When it comes to the business side, again, that travel agent example, what that ultimately means is that we are going to -- would have to produce back-end software for these agents to be able to, again, view all these separate wallets. So there's a number of angles that we're looking at here. The one that we're most interested in the short term is empowering consumers that have, again, just Exodus on their phone and be able to connect to, again, like ChatGPT or even in some cases, maybe even an open claude as these become -- these agents become more commercialized and say, go ahead, spend up to $500. I want you to go look for a flight -- the best flight to, I don't know, Florida, right, whatever it is. So that's going to be critical and to make all that work well and to make sure that the limits and restrictions are in because, again, you don't -- like the worst-case scenario is if you say, okay, AI agent, you have full access to my wallet, be good with it. And then you find out it went and speculated and bought a bunch of Dogecoin from your entire wallet, you'd be pretty pissed off about that. So there's a lot of security controls that have to have and come in place as well.

Chris Merkel

Attendees
#7

Ed Engel from Compass Point is next up.

Edward Engel

Analysts
#8

I just wanted to ask some questions about the cost structure here. Do you mind kind of going through of the costs or some of the onetime expenses we might have had in the fourth quarter, whether to M&A or anything else to call out? And then would it be fair to assume that it might continue into 1Q or maybe in 2Q until the transaction closes?

James Gernetzke

Executives
#9

Yes. So obviously, we had the -- there's -- the legal cost, there's the interest associated with the Galaxy loan. That the interest, obviously, since we paid it off, is not going to continue. There are the -- some legal costs. As we go through the regulatory, there's certainly going to be some legal, but it's -- I would -- my assumption would be that it would be slightly less, but as we go through that process, but there still will be some for sure. And then let's see -- and sorry, and then you said some other onetime costs, yes, and then we have our standard -- the similar onetime costs that we've seen for non-M&A items from previous quarters. So yes, to answer the question, the M&A continues. We are still out there looking for other businesses and other opportunities. Obviously, we don't have anything to report at this time, and we're very focused on getting W3C closed and integrated. But that doesn't mean that we're not still working on a pipeline. But I would say that, in general, I would expect over the next quarter or so that the cost should be slightly lower than previous quarters, but not zero.

Chris Merkel

Attendees
#10

All right, we have Gareth [indiscernible] up next.

Unknown Analyst

Analysts
#11

I was wondering if you could provide some detail on the drivers to the improved monetization in XO Swap in the quarter. Do you guys think that there might be future opportunities for similar expansion? Or was this maybe more of a onetime event?

James Gernetzke

Executives
#12

Yes, let me start. I would say that -- in terms of XO Swap, we've grown the book of business in terms of the number of partners that we're working with. And as we grow that book, you'll see different -- you see different areas, different cost structures, et cetera, that come with it. And over time, that we'll see -- as that product matures, we'll start to get to a steady state. But we do expect changes in the short term on that as the book continues to grow. But we're pleased with the amount of new deals that have been signed and the work that is going on in that area. Now there are some -- as -- because this is a B2B2C product, we are relying on the partners. And so there is one partner that looks like it's probably going to stop operations over time. So you'll have those pluses and minuses, but I would say that we're definitely pleased at the direction and the amount of new contracts that have been signed in new partners that have come on.

Chris Merkel

Attendees
#13

We have Mike Grondahl from Northland.

Mike Grondahl

Analysts
#14

So sort of two questions, guys. One, I think you mentioned 18 signed XO Swap Partners, 11 operating. When do you think the next -- I don't know, that next wave, the next 7 are going to ramp up and any significant partners in that next wave? And then secondly, I would like to understand better kind of the go-to-market with XO Pay. Is that only going to be within sort of XO Swap and the trading customers or -- help us understand how we're going to see that XO Pay offering in the real world?

James Gernetzke

Executives
#15

Let me start with the XO Swap with the 11 and the 18. I think that we're seeing steady growth. And we're seeing it's steady growth right now. And in terms of significant names, we're pleased with the mix, the size of different clients that we're getting. Unfortunately, because it's a B2B product, they -- we need the clients' consent to share the names. So -- and I don't have any larger names that have shared consent to offer you, unfortunately, right now. But I can definitely say that, again, just to reiterate, we're pleased at the growth that we've seen in that and we're looking forward for that to continue over the -- for the rest of the year. So JP on XO Pay.

J. Richardson

Executives
#16

Yes. Let me hit a little bit more about the partners with XO Swap here. Even though that we cannot announce the names yet, the reality is, is that, yes, we have signed other big partners. And so we will be able to announce that in the future, which is going to be great. In addition to that, I think James had mentioned that's really important is that with the XO Swap partnerships, we have to rely upon the partner's time line. And so often what you see is that the partner in some scenarios, they might just enable like, say, just on one asset. And so you can swap from one pair to the other shoes, other pairs, and it doesn't have support for other assets and other blockchains. And so as we march forward and they get one go and like, "Oh, wow, this thing is working really, really well." Now let's enable it for these other blockchains and make it work really, really well there and just keep that trend going. So we're going to see more and more of that, and we already have seen that time frames that we'll be able to announce in the future. But that's -- I anticipate that will be the pattern moving forward. We will sign the partners, and then there's the time to integrate, they go live on one blockchain and then they expand out on a different -- additional blockchains. But as we mentioned, we have some very big names in the industry that we would have been working now with for quite some time. And so that becomes quite the strong testimonial as we start working with other partnerships. So I think that's just really important to call out. Now related to the question of -- so you referred to it as XO Pay, I'm assuming you were talking about Exodus Pay. So XO Pay, now called -- this is getting confusing, XO Pay is our Fiat on-ramp off-ramp. We have recently renamed that to XO Ramp to separate the confusion. So XO Ramp is to be very clear here. And you think that XO Swap is to allow people to swap from crypto to crypto. XO Ramp allows people to onboard into crypto via bank account or a debit card or off-ramp in time. So it's basically Fiat on-ramp offering. Exodus Pay again, is our initiative to as earlier in this conversation, I had mentioned that we are bringing the world of all these disparate financial apps into one single app, right? The biggest is banking, payments app like Venmo or Cash App and the broker's app, Robinhood or Fidelity, E*TRADE, whatever you use, all into one application with no crypto complexity whatsoever. So now when you ask about go-to-market, okay? So we had a very early test group that we experimented and we had conversations with people and events at East Denver. Initial feedback was really good. We're marching forward. In fact, you're going to see something this week that is going to come out about another event that Exodus Pay is going to be a part of. Again, it's about mainstream payments, allowing people to easily use assets like stablecoins anywhere in the world that Visa or Mastercard is accepted, right, that's really important. But the big aspect of go-to-market and how we think about XO Pay is that we want to align to big cultural moments. I'm going to say that again, we want to align with big cultural moments. Now I wish some of you were thinking like, oh, does that mean he's going to -- they go out and pull a trigger on a Super Bowl ad or something like that? We don't have any plans for that. You never know, but we have no plans for that whatsoever. But who knows? But when it comes to big cultural moments, there's things that you will see this year that will answer that question. And again, it's about being a part of mainstream conversations, mainstream payment experiences. So there's a lot more that we'll be able to unpack in future conversations. It's going to be great.

Chris Merkel

Attendees
#17

Kevin Dede from H.C. Wainwright.

Kevin Dede

Analysts
#18

It's tough for being a tech analyst and keeping your tech working. So JP, sort of a two-parter. I'm going to -- I think I'm going to ask Mike's question in a different way. The progress you're making with XO Swap, clearly indicates that you're embedding yourselves with complementary businesses, right? It's proving the B2B model that you've developed at Exodus. But with Exodus Pay, it seems to me that I mean, I hear what you say about leveraging cultural, big cultural moments, I get that. But you're taking on a sizable amount of risk in spending versus trying to build a consumer-facing app. And I'm wondering how you're going to approach that risk, how you plan to allocate capital to it? And how you expect it to roll out? And then I'd also like to hear about the roadblocks you have to see W3C complete and the time frame to that. I didn't -- you guys didn't offer much detail there.

J. Richardson

Executives
#19

Kevin, can you just unpack the risk a bit more? I just want to make sure I really capture your question clearly.

Kevin Dede

Analysts
#20

Well, in my mind, there's a little bit of controversy over Exodus' development in the B2B world versus a consumer-facing app. And Exodus Pay, I think, is the culmination of your consumer-facing initiatives. And that's clear through today's call. What's not clear is the resources that you'll dedicate to building a consumer-facing business arguably the most difficult thing to do in business. So I'm just wondering how you're assessing the risk and allocating capital in developing that capability.

J. Richardson

Executives
#21

Got it. Okay. So you're probably going to hate this answer, but I'm going to say it anyway. Exodus Pay is the evolution of what Exodus is today. We were born in the way that we thought about Exodus from the early days was all about empowering consumers to control their wealth. That was the piece of it. So from 2015, there was -- actually, I had a conversation with our Co-Founder, Daniel, just recently, and he was like JP, do you remember in the early days when we put our phone number inside the software? I'm like, yes, I do, wasn't that crazy. People would -- they call it like I'm eating dinner with my family, and my kids got spaghetti -- out of his mouth and the phones ringing nonstop. And I'm trying like, oh my gosh, I'm eating. I share these stories because Exodus was always a company focused on consumer needs, always. And it just at that moment in time, the technology wasn't quite where we needed it to be. Regulations quite -- weren't quite where we needed to be. Mastercard and Visa weren't quite where we needed them to be. The technology has now caught up where you don't have to think about the complexities of secret phrases and which layer you're on. You have to care about any of those things. The regulations have now started to catch up, especially with the Genius Act and embracing stablecoins, right? That's really key and critical. Visa and Mastercard, they see what's happening and then that's why with W3C, which will be a good segue to talk about W3C just a moment for your other question, but they see what's happening. That's why there is starting to be the rise of these crypto cards that allow you to connect the card directly to your wallet, your self custodial wallet, so you have full control and that you can go and you can tap to pay anywhere. So again, Exodus was always a company built on the consumer experience. So that -- I think it's just really, really important to highlight and call out. Now related to W3C, as mentioned in the opening statements, we're very committed to getting this done. And anybody that's been through acquisitions knows that there's all sorts of complexities that come with it. And -- with this acquisition, there's a number of subsidiaries that blend into ultimately what we're buying as a company. And each one of these subsidiaries has different levels of complexity that we have to ultimately address. James, I'm sure you can -- you've done a lot of -- a big part of this as well along with me. You can probably add some more additional color to this.

James Gernetzke

Executives
#22

Yes. I think on the regulatory -- I'm sorry, on the W3C front, we are in front of the regulators right now. And we are on the time line. We're progressing towards it on the time line that we brought up when we signed the deal. So I would say that. In terms of capital allocation, to just put a finer point on JP's comments, because Exodus Pay is the evolution of Exodus, I think that capital allocation, you should expect it to followed a similar path. And the things that we've said about our Consumer business going forward and in different fronts. But obviously, we've allocated a lot of capital to this W3C and the B2B side. So we still maintain that Amazon AWS playbook even with the W3C acquisition.

J. Richardson

Executives
#23

It might be important to mention to that per capital allocation, like one aspect that is going to be important here is that because Exodus -- even though we were focused as a consumer app, early on, it was more about those in crypto, right? And so you're going to allocate capital and like, oh, we're going to target crypto people. And there's a big market better pull back and not think about how to reach the mainstream, that was historically the thought process. But now shifting closer to the mainstream bear/bull market, it doesn't matter, right? Because Joe Plummer doesn't think about the price of bitcoin. Joe Plumber doesn't actually even care about the price of Bitcoin. Actually, Joe Plummer may not be our ideal target use case but it's going to be maybe a younger demographic, let's say, some 19-year-old watching college basketball on a Saturday or whatever it is, right? They may not really care about the price of bitcoin, but they definitely care about how they spend money and how they think about the future. And so we can't -- we still have to be thoughtful, but yet bold when it comes to capital allocation when reaching kind of that demographic.

Chris Merkel

Attendees
#24

Thank you. There are no more questions. So thanks to JP, James, and all of our analysts for submitting your questions. Please visit our social channels on X and Reddit to submit your questions for management, our Investor Relations team is standing by. Thanks for joining us today, and we'll see you next quarter.

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