HealthCare Global Enterprises Limited (HCG) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

November 12, 2020

National Stock Exchange of India IN Health Care Health Care Providers and Services earnings 60 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the Q2 FY '21 Earnings Conference Call of Healthcare Global Enterprises. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Niraj Didwania, Head of Corporate Development and Investor Relations. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Niraj Didwania

executive
#2

Thank you. Good evening, and a very warm welcome to all participants to Healthcare Global Enterprises Limited Q2 and H1 FY '21 Earnings Conference Call. Today, we have with us Dr. B.S. Ajaikumar, Chairman and CEO of HCG, along with the management team to share highlights of our business and financials. We have uploaded an earnings update presentation to the stock exchanges and also shared the same through our mailers. Without further ado, I hand over the call to Dr. B.S. Ajaikumar.

B. Kumar

executive
#3

Thanks, Niraj, and a warm welcome to all the participants. We report Q2 FY '21 results with continued resilience amidst an environment struck with economic and social uncertainty brought about by the COVID pandemic. Strong performance of oncology centers in Tier 2, 3 towns, improvements across the board at our new centers across Mumbai, with Borivali almost under just operational breakeven at unit level and bounce back of Kolkata center, demonstrates that we have not only adapted well to the challenges, but also emerged much stronger, particularly in our oncology domain. The depth of our operating systems, internal efficiencies have allowed us to uphold our mission of maintaining continuity and quality of care for oncology patients across the country while minimizing revenue and cost disruptions to the extent possible. This is a testament of sustainability of our business model fundamentals, which includes focused delivery of comprehensive cancer care, creating last mile access on a pan-India basis, while being at the forefront of clinical, technological and digital innovations in the industry. With substantial deleveraging of our balance sheet, reduction in our losses across new centers on Y-o-Y and Q-o-Q basis, focus on free cash flow generation, we are excited to move closer to our inflection point that augers profitability and return accretive sales for the company. HCB will continue to strengthen its dominant leadership in oncology, fertility precision diagnostics, with dedicated team and pan-India presence, and this is committed towards value creation and social impact for all our stakeholders. Business updates for Q2 FY '21. Robust response to COVID-led disruptions across our business. Treatment of cancer patients continued with -- even though there were a lot of external interruptions across our oncology centers. And in spite of COVID, we were able to treat significant number of cancer patients. Multi-specialty hospitals saw improvement in occupancy on account of ramp up in both COVID and non-COVID procedures. Milann, our IVF business, saw bounce back across new registrations, IVF cycle revenue on a Q-o-Q basis. Oncology centers demonstrated strong resilience and ramped up across regions. Revenue of Hubli and Shimoga centers in Tier 2, Tier 3 cities in Karnataka grew 55% and 26 point -- 25.6% Y-o-Y, respectively. New oncology centers across Mumbai, namely Borivali and South Mumbai, clocked revenue growth on Y-o-Y and Q-o-Q basis with substantial reduction in losses. Nashik oncology center, establishing the highest quality and technology benchmarks per Tier 2 town, completed over 100 robotic surgeries in the current quarter. They entered unique collaboration agreement with Elekta, the global leader in radiation oncology towards introducing innovation linear accelerators, oncology information system in a very asset-light model. Center of Excellence in Bangalore in partnership with Karnataka government and COVID India Campaign launched the state's first of its kind plasma bank to combat COVID near-term and overall patient care across diseased segments over a long period. Milann, with focus on consolidation across geographies, discontinued operations of its IVF centers in Ahmedabad. Strand Life Sciences, our associate company focused on precision diagnostics, completed disinvestment of Gurgaon lab in view of COVID challenges and reported a profitable quarter. Now I request our CFO, Mr. Srinivasa Raghavan, to share his financial highlights. Srini?

V. Raghavan

executive
#4

Thanks, Dr. Ajai, and welcome to everybody. Effective 1st April 2019, the company has adopted Ind AS 116 lease standards, applied to lease contracts, existing on 1st April 2019 and all financials are as per Ind AS 116. The COVID uncertainties continued in Q2 as well. However, the business showed strong resilience, which is reflected in the quarterly growth numbers. Highlights for quarter ended September 30, 2020. Consolidated revenue was INR 2,479 million as compared to INR 2,785 million in the corresponding quarter of the previous year, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 11% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 28%. Consolidated EBITDA was INR 340 million as compared to INR 471 million for the corresponding quarter of the previous year, a decline of 28% year-on-year and a growth of 54% quarter-on-quarter. Consolidated operating EBITDA was INR 300 million as compared to INR 456 million in the corresponding quarter of the previous year, a decline of 34% year-on-year and a growth of 55% quarter-on-quarter. Operating EBITDA for existing centers was INR 329 million, a growth of 29% quarter-on-quarter, reflecting an operating EBITDA margin of 17%. Loss from new centers was INR 29 million as compared to a loss of INR 48 million in the corresponding quarter of the previous year, a reduction of 40% year-on-year and 52% quarter-on-quarter. Consolidated PAT was a loss of INR 223 million as compared to the same kind of a loss of INR 223 million in the corresponding quarter of the previous year. I now request your attention to Slide #9 of the presentation, please. Q2 '21, revenue declined 11% year-on-year, HCG centers by 8.8%, Milann centers 41.1%. Q2 '21 operating EBITDA, existing centers INR 329 million, which is 16.7% margin versus 21.5% margin in Q2 FY '20. New centers loss of INR 29 million versus loss of INR 53 million in Q2 FY '20. I now request your attention to Slide #10, please. H1 '21 revenue declined 19% year-on-year, HCG centers by 17%, Milann centers by 52.7%. H1 '21 operating EBITDA, existing centers INR 584 million, which is 16.2% margin versus 21.3% margin in H1 FY '20. New centers loss of INR 90 million versus loss of INR 91 million in H1 FY '20. I now request Dr. Ajaikumar to share the operating highlights, please.

B. Kumar

executive
#5

Thank you, Srini. I would now like to draw your attention to Slide 11 of the presentation. Revenue split for our business is 96% contribution by HCG centers and 4% by Milann fertility centers. Within HCG centers, Karnataka contribution to revenue is at 33% followed by Western India comprising of Gujarat at 30% and Maharashtra at 17%, jointly contributing a total of 47% of the total revenue, followed by East India and Andhra Pradesh at 9% and 8%, respectively. Tamil Nadu and North India contributed 1% and 2%, respectively, as of Q2 FY '21. I would now like to draw your attention to Slide 12 of the presentation. Strong resilience in revenue across centers located in Tier 2, Tier 3 towns in Q2 FY '21, Hubli 54.6% Y-o-Y, Nagpur 35.3% Y-o-Y, and Shimoga 25.6% Y-o-Y. New centers contributed revenue of INR 478 million Q2 FY '21 versus INR 373 million Q2 FY '20. I would like to now draw your attention to Slide 13 of the presentation. ARPOB for existing centers at INR 31,895 against INR 33,536 in Q2 FY '20. ALOS at 2.42 days shows marginal increase. Operating EBITDA margins impacted with scale up and losses of new centers. Existing centers operating EBITDA margin declined by 310 bps to 20.9% in Q2 FY '21 from 24% in Q2 FY '20. Looking at the geographies in Slide 14. In Karnataka region, the COE, Center of Excellence, revenue declined by 26.9% Y-o-Y. The COE ARPOB, INR 45,700 and 14.6% operating EBITDA margin. Revenue from international patients impacted on account of COVID restrictions, travel restrictions because of COVID. With respect to Gujarat region, revenue on multi-specialty centers declined by 6% Y-o-Y. 20.9% of the revenue for the region was contributed by COVID patients. EBITDA margin of oncology centers at 21.3% for Q2 '20. In Maharashtra, leading revenue growth amongst all regions with positive -- with a positive 11.8% on a Y-o-Y basis. Nashik center, we grew by 5.1% Y-o-Y, with operating EBITDA margin of 23.9%. Borivali and Nagpur centers showing strong revenue growth on the verge of breakeven. Nagpur has actually broken even. In Andhra Pradesh, centers across the region showed strong resilience and overall revenue constant Y-o-Y despite COVID restrictions. Focus on improving revenue mix through reduction of scheme business. In East India, existing centers across the region showed strong resilience with overall revenue growth of 2.5% despite COVID restriction. Existing centers operating EBITDA margin at 21.6% in Q2 FY '21. Coming to Slide 15, covering key highlights of Milann fertility business. Strong recovery in registration and IVF cycles over previous quarter revenue grew 80% Q-o-Q basis. Looking to consolidate and focus in Bangalore and North India regions in near term. Discontinued operations in Ahmedabad center. Now I request Srini to explain -- our CFO to explain the CapEx and debt highlights. Srini?

V. Raghavan

executive
#6

Yes. Thanks, Dr. Ajaikumar. With respect to the CapEx, we have implemented judicious control measures with respect to both routine and growth CapEx with most of our expansion completed. Total CapEx was INR 143 million for H1, which was largely with respective to HCG centers. With respect to debt, the net debt was INR 3,004 million a reduction of INR 346 crore, in other words [Technical Difficulty] a reduction of 54% quarter-on-quarter, which was out of the preferred -- preferential equity infusion transaction is a substantial reduction compared to the previous quarter. We have also separately earmarked INR 683 million to a payment of deposits and liabilities of Milann, and INR 55 million towards Africa subsidiaries. With a substantial deleveraging of the balance sheet and strong recovery towards the end of Q2 FY '21, we expect to maintain debt levels in this range or lower in near term and look forward to focusing on free cash flow generation. I would now like to draw your attention to Slide #17. We are not expecting any new centers for next few quarters. We do not have any committed new centers for Milann. We have embarked on stringent cost rationalization and CapEx management towards focus on cash generation in current times. Some of these measures should have long-term benefits as well. I would like to hand over the call back to Niraj.

Niraj Didwania

executive
#7

Thank you, Srini and Dr. Ajai for sharing the financial and business highlights. Please note, the comments from the management are intended to share qualitative perspective and insights. These should not be considered as financial or operating guidance regarding the business. We would like to now open the call to take questions from the participants.

Operator

operator
#8

[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Sudarshan Padmanabhan from Sundaram Mutual Fund.

Sudarshan Padmanabhan

analyst
#9

Sir, my question is, if you can throw some clarity with respect to the net debt. While I understand that there has been a sharp drop of debt from INR 650 crores to INR 300-odd crores, I believe that the overall transaction gives us over INR 600-odd crores. I also understand that it's in transit. So if you can give us some color with respect to how much money we have obtained? With respect to this conversion, how much money is expected to come over the next, say, 12 months or so? And why is that we are looking at debt remaining here because I would understand that with over INR 600 crores of cash coming in, and now with -- we will also be generating cash, probably the debt should move southwards even from here?

B. Kumar

executive
#10

Yes, Sudarshan, it will definitely move. And because we have partner models also, those are JV models, so I will ask Srini to answer your pointed question. Srini, can you take on this?

V. Raghavan

executive
#11

Yes. Yes. As mentioned, we received about INR 530 crore of debt -- I mean, preferential equity money in the first tranche and the remaining portion would come over in the next 12 months, that's point number one. And we have used some of that money to repay some of the debt amount at the parent level. So at the parent level, we have reduced most of the debt barring a few -- barring a small portion, basically, which would also eventually come down in the coming quarters. As far as the remaining portion of the debt is concerned, it is in our subsidiaries. And as Dr. Ajai rightly pointed out, those JVs are profitable JVs and some of -- most of them are profitable JVs. And they generate their cash -- enough cash to kind of repay this debt. And that way, as you rightly pointed out, the debt should start moving southwards from here on quarter-over-quarter.

Sudarshan Padmanabhan

analyst
#12

And also the put option, which -- to cut the INR 68 crores.

V. Raghavan

executive
#13

That has been kept separately. It's not considered in our debt number currently. The money that has been come that -- out of this INR 530 crores, we have earmarked separately the Milann liability and the African liability, which is not part of my debt calculation, but it's a separate money which we have kept it separately.

Sudarshan Padmanabhan

analyst
#14

The Africa money, if I can hear again? And then how much would that -- Milann is INR 58 crores.

V. Raghavan

executive
#15

Africa is about INR 5 crores.

Sudarshan Padmanabhan

analyst
#16

Okay. So overall, put together it's about INR 60-odd crores, INR 63 crores, INR 64 crores that is put together. So technically, we should see another INR 100 crore reduction, probably in the next couple of quarters.

V. Raghavan

executive
#17

Yes. It is possible.

B. Kumar

executive
#18

I was calling INR 73 crores, Sudarshan. The total of INR 68.3 crores earmarked for put option liability of Milann and INR 5.5 crores, so roughly 73 crores, INR 74 crores.

V. Raghavan

executive
#19

It is fair to estimate a good reduction from here around the number that you pointed out, Sudarshan.

Sudarshan Padmanabhan

analyst
#20

Sure. And sir, with respect to the operations, I think one is, definitely, there has been a very sharp improvement in the performance of the hospitals, specifically the newer hospitals. But when I look at the cost, I mean, broadly, the cost, specifically, this heads like -- when I'm looking at the medical consultation charges to the doctor, I mean that has kind of shot up quite sharply on a Q-on-Q basis and also the other expenses. My broad belief is that, I mean, if I look at the other hospitals who have been reporting numbers, these costs have basically been benign. So I mean, if you can explain a bit more about these costs, why are these costs higher on a Q-on-Q basis?

B. Kumar

executive
#21

Which are the costs, Sudarshan, you are saying, our costs -- operational costs performance or you're talking about...

Sudarshan Padmanabhan

analyst
#22

I'm talking about -- specifically, if I look at the employee cost on a Q-on-Q basis, it's up from INR 42 crores to INR 49 crores. And medical...

Dinesh Madhavan

executive
#23

Sudarshan, the last quarter was an aberration. So the last quarter cannot be used as a base. You have to compare...

B. Kumar

executive
#24

Because there was salary cuts and all.

Dinesh Madhavan

executive
#25

Last quarter, we had taken stringent cost measures to maintain liquidity, and the transaction was still happening. So last quarter to this quarter, you will obviously see a bump up. So last quarter is not the base you have to look at.

B. Kumar

executive
#26

The important thing is when you look at pre-COVID and now, our actual cost of operations has come down significantly. Maybe Srini, you can explain that.

V. Raghavan

executive
#27

Yes. Thanks for that. Sudarshan, in Q1, the COVID impact was pretty high. We embarked on a major cost rationalization across all cost lines, be it on salary, be it on rentals, be it on -- each and every line item, we embarked you know major cost rationalization because the revenues were also lower. When we started seeing -- in Q2, the numbers are moving up, we started releasing the cost in proportion to the increase in the revenue. That is the reason when you compare Q1 versus Q2, the costs are higher, it is not because we have given a higher salary increase or something, we have given the right amount of cost to our people basically, in terms of what otherwise, they were drawing in Q4 of last year basically.

Sudarshan Padmanabhan

analyst
#28

Sure. Sure. And...

B. Kumar

executive
#29

So Sudarshan, just to add to that, also remember that we took this measure, so we did not show any negative EBITDA. It was very important for us at that time that our operating EBITDA was above zero. So that is why we took that. Whereas taking a cue from your own statement, most of the hospitals reported negative EBITDA in the Q1. And we were one of the few ones which reported positive and we sailed through that. And of course, we got to funding afterwards. But in starting in September, whatever the adjustment were there in the salary, we normalized it because things started -- that is why -- that is how we have to think. And that is the reason it is -- you can see some change in the cost.

Sudarshan Padmanabhan

analyst
#30

And going forward, this will be the base. There will not be further escalation to this base in terms of cost?

B. Kumar

executive
#31

No, no, there is no planned escalation, you're right.

Sudarshan Padmanabhan

analyst
#32

Sure. And sir, with respect to the utilization, I mean -- and I mean, specifically, I'm talking about the existing hospital in Milann. I mean, how has the progression been in the month of October? I mean I am trying to understand that on a Q-on-Q basis, I mean, where is the utilization that is standing in with respect to the existing hospitals? So I think that is where we have seen some kind of a drop, the new hospitals have been doing well. Milann is still kind of -- while it's improved on Q-on-Q basis, it's still down?

B. Kumar

executive
#33

But Milann, you have to take it in strides because Milann was considered, as you know, was not in emergency. So the government had requested complete shutdown of nonemergency services. For several months, Milann was -- there was no value -- because fertility was considered nonemergency. So that is why we suffered quite a bit -- impact was quite a bit starting in the second part of March, April, May, June. So the recovery is happening. As of last month, October, we are reaching a point of about 80%, 85%. So people are coming forward, travel restrictions have improved now. So this is an expected run. Fourth quarter is...

Sudarshan Padmanabhan

analyst
#34

Hello?

Operator

operator
#35

I'm sorry to interrupt you sir, your voice is breaking up.

Dinesh Madhavan

executive
#36

Sudarshan, I think while Dr. Ajai gets back to answer your question...

Niraj Didwania

executive
#37

Dinesh bhai, we lost Dr. Ajai.

Operator

operator
#38

We are calling him back, sir, till then if you can continue that would be good.

Dinesh Madhavan

executive
#39

Yes, yes, please call him back. So on the quarter-on-quarter basis in terms of utilization, like consolidated, we had 28% growth quarter-on-quarter for the revenues, even existing center is roughly around 28% growth.

B. Kumar

executive
#40

Yes, Niraj, I lost my call, sorry, I am back.

Dinesh Madhavan

executive
#41

Yes, Dr. Ajai you can come back.

B. Kumar

executive
#42

So while I was just saying that Milann, we expect in the third -- fourth quarter to get back to ramp up to normal and definitely be profitable EBITDA at that time, okay? And regarding the other centers, Sudarshan, the main thing which has to be kept in mind is the ramp-up of international. For us, international was producing quite a bit of revenue contribution. So international is taking time. But the good news is that as of end of October, the government has instructed embassies to give medical visa. So we do expect the international patients to flow in provided there is smoother transportation. People now have -- from Africa have to come through Dubai. So as and when the direct flights start coming to Mumbai, Delhi, Bangalore, we expect better international patients. We are seeing some trend in the positive way. So this will actually improve the footfall and the revenue for centers like in Bangalore, which is a Center of Excellence and Mumbai certainly, and then Kolkata from Bangladesh. This is what we expect in the last quarter.

Sudarshan Padmanabhan

analyst
#43

So if I understand correctly, by fourth quarter as Milann normalizes and given that the cost has basically normalized, as the sales normalizes, we should be -- go into complete normal operation by fourth quarter. Is that the right assumption?

B. Kumar

executive
#44

We should, Sudarshan, provided second wave is not there. But just to be clear, that in United States, now the second wave has hit so hard, it is reporting about 200 cases -- 200 -- almost 200,000 cases per day. So India reached 95,000 cases per day and backtracked to 44,000 cases per day now. But imagine, if this goes back to 150,000 or 200,000 cases and -- so that is the concern we have. But on the positive side, India is doing very good. There has been a lot of articles about why India is doing good. And also the vaccine -- vaccination is supposed to happen in the month of December, both Pfizer and Oxford. So if this vaccination comes in India, and in India, the Institute of -- Serum Institute in Pune is working with Oxford. So I have some news that they are releasing the vaccine now for health care workers. If that happens, certainly, it will be very positive for the entire health care. And certainly, the COVID can become a history. So the next few months, we have to monitor, but I do believe the vaccination will come and it may not be answer for all strains, but certainly, it will be definitely more than a partial answer to overcome this COVID pandemic.

Operator

operator
#45

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Chandramouli from Goldman Sachs.

Chandramouli Muthiah

analyst
#46

My first question is on the cost side. We do about INR 1,100 crores in top line. So over the past 3 to 6 months from the initiatives we've taken on the cost side, is there any quantum of cost savings that you think are sustainable going forward? Just going back to the comment that had been made that there could be some long-term benefits from some of the cost initiatives that you're taking as a team.

B. Kumar

executive
#47

Yes, there is definitely cost savings. Srini, do you want to address that?

V. Raghavan

executive
#48

Yes, yes, yes. So until March '21, the journey towards cost rationalization would continue. And we are -- as I said, we are looking at each and every element of cost to kind of save it. For example, in some -- few cases, we have managed the rental deferment or reduction in rental. So those efforts would continue until March '21. And some of these benefits will also flow into the next year when we make the budget for the next year. It would be through a lot of consolidation exercise, around people, around some of the equipment and some of the assets, et cetera. So through that methodology, we would try to sustain some of the cost rationalization that we have done in the current quarter -- current year to spill over to the next year as well.

B. Kumar

executive
#49

I think the full impact of this cost containment will definitely be seen starting with the fourth quarter and the first quarter of next year, particularly in the shared services, HR and as -- what the real estate news, as you know, very well now lot of our corporate office and others, we have given away because work from home and other alternatives have been established. And these are all very positive going forward. And even we have initiated a lot of alternate energy. So these will have a lasting impact in cost containment, and we do believe this will substantially show improvement in our margins as we move forward. And I think the impact of this will be definitely visible as the revenue increases in the third -- in the fourth quarter, and particularly in the first quarter of next year, with the revenue increasing back to normal or above normal. With the costs actually showing less than what it was a year ago, 2 years ago, the margins will expand. And this is what -- and we are also looking at improving the mix. For example, how do we improve certain mix, which has a better contribution factor? That also we are working very hard to do that. And with all that coming together, the international patients also flowing, which we think there is a great demand now, I think that will definitely give a positive margin and positive -- and obviously, the EBITDA, which goes with that, will improve significantly. That is what our -- internally we are working on, that is what we think we'll achieve.

Chandramouli Muthiah

analyst
#50

That's helpful color. Just any number, ballpark number that you have in your mind as a target on the cost side?

V. Raghavan

executive
#51

Right now, I would put it this way -- instead of giving numbers, I would say that we would stretch our fixed cost to take more revenues in the system as we go along in the future quarters. I mean that's the way I would put it.

Chandramouli Muthiah

analyst
#52

Got it. Got it. Second question is on the trajectory of the normalization in the cancer business. So I remember last quarter, we said this in the month of August, it was the cancer care business was maybe down 20% Y-o-Y. For the entire September quarter...

B. Kumar

executive
#53

Chandramouli, we can't make out what you're saying. Can everybody hear? I am having a double voice here. I can't hear him.

Chandramouli Muthiah

analyst
#54

Hello?

Niraj Didwania

executive
#55

Doctor, we are able to hear -- is there another line that you can mute in your room? Srini, were you able to hear Chandra's questions...

B. Kumar

executive
#56

Yes, I'm able to hear him. I am able to hear him.

V. Raghavan

executive
#57

Yes. Yes. What is the question? Please, go ahead, go ahead.

Niraj Didwania

executive
#58

Can you repeat the question? Sorry, Chandra.

Chandramouli Muthiah

analyst
#59

Sure. Sure, sir. So I think in the previous quarter call, you indicated that in the month of August, we were maybe down 20% Y-o-Y on the cancer business side. And if I look at the entire quarter, for September quarter, I think our revenues as a company are down about 11%. So clearly, things are getting better sequentially. I just wanted to understand, for the month of September, exit run rate for the September quarter, what is potentially on top line for the company? And are you seeing sequential improvement in the month of October and November?

B. Kumar

executive
#60

Srini, would you like to answer that?

V. Raghavan

executive
#61

Yes. Are you asking about the projections for the future quarters?

Chandramouli Muthiah

analyst
#62

I'm just trying to understand exit run rate for the month of September, how much was the top line sort of down or did it grow Y-o-Y?

V. Raghavan

executive
#63

See, we don't normally give the numbers projection, et cetera. But let me kind of articulate this way to kind of give you a perspective. The point I want to make is, you know our pre-COVID numbers, remove the international business part of it, if you go to pick up, on the domestic business front, we are pretty close to our pre-COVID numbers from September onwards. I think that's a good indication to demonstrate that my numbers are picking up, and this is first time and in the coming months as well, provided there is no second wave.

B. Kumar

executive
#64

Also I would say that our main concern, as I said, is international. But for the international, we are close to 85%, 90%. We should be reaching that, as Srini said. So fourth quarter, if there is no second wave and all that, we should be reaching the pre-COVID level definitely.

Chandramouli Muthiah

analyst
#65

Got it. Got it. And just last follow-up on this question. International, if I remember right, it's between 10% and 15% of total revenue?

B. Kumar

executive
#66

International produced overall at HCG level about 5%, but in the centers, like Bangalore, it is about 18% of the revenue. And -- so overall, it is 5% to 6%. But in the main centers, it is higher.

Chandramouli Muthiah

analyst
#67

Right. So the understanding is that in the domestic business, you're normalizing, you're almost back to between 90%, 95% of what your pre-COVID run rate was?

B. Kumar

executive
#68

Correct.

Operator

operator
#69

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Sharan Pillay from Allegro Capital Advisors.

Sharan Pillay

analyst
#70

I had a couple of questions. My first question was related to the margins in our Karnataka cluster. I understand that it has been impacted by the Center of Excellence. I just wanted to understand what resulted in the Center of Excellence having such an impact on a quarter-on-quarter basis because the margins have fallen quite significantly Q-on-Q.

B. Kumar

executive
#71

I think the margin decline is primarily, as we said, because of international. When you look at the Q1 margin for Center of Excellence, for Q2, Srini, do you have that number?

V. Raghavan

executive
#72

Yes. So Doctor -- see, current, the revenue decline itself in Center of Excellence is about 27% Y-on-Y. And if you -- as Dr. Ajai just said, about 18% odd is the international business revenue generally as a contribution, which is probably down to 1% or 2% of the revenue now. So if you take that down, excluding international, in line with the region decline, the 12%, 13%. And obviously, all these hospital businesses, revenue decline, the costs don't go down immediately. So there is -- when there is a substantial revenue decline, they do dilute the margins because the cost structure still remains the same.

Sharan Pillay

analyst
#73

Okay. So if I'm understanding this right, the reason why Center of Excellence didn't see any of the actual impact from the international patients last quarter was because of the slight delay that comes in terms of the cost, right?

V. Raghavan

executive
#74

Yes.

Sharan Pillay

analyst
#75

Okay. Got it. My second question is also in terms of the margins, largely in terms of Andhra Pradesh. We've seen a significant improvement in margins there as well. Could you just allude to what resulted in there?

B. Kumar

executive
#76

Yes. Andhra Pradesh is steady because of the -- our centers maturing to some extent in Vijayawada, Ongole and Vizag. Also because of the COVID situation, the movement of people was not there for people going from Tier 2, Tier 3 cities to Tier 1. So because of that, we have seen substantial improvement, which we believe is sustainable as we go forward. And that is the reason, as we mentioned in my original presentation, that we have seen significant changes in Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities. And this has been a phenomena because of the COVID and people are not able to go previously, we would have taken that they were going to big cities, maybe they were coming to Bangalore, Hyderabad and other cities. So going forward, some of the feedback we've got locally and all, I think people would like to stay there only. So this may become a permanent fixture as we go forward.

Sharan Pillay

analyst
#77

Okay. And just one last question. In terms of our new centers, if I heard you correctly, did you say that Nagpur broke even this quarter?

B. Kumar

executive
#78

Yes. Yes. Nagpur has broken even and it is even profitable. And we think it is a sustainable model moving forward. We have now put in a team together there. There is actually organ-specific doctors working as a team and good oncologists, medical oncology, surgical radiation. And we have Dr. Ajay Mehta, a well-known surgical oncologist as our partner. So it has broken even, and it is doing even better than breakeven at this point. And even Borivali, as I said, is broken even, and we think it's a sustainable model. It will sustain in the next few quarters. Of course, we'll report in the next quarter about what is the level of sustainability. This is where we are. In South Mumbai, because the COVID was very rampant and the entire South Mumbai shutdown, we are beginning to recover. So we will go to pre-COVID level in the next month or 2. So things look very bright for the Mumbai and Nagpur segment at this point. And a lot of initiatives we have taken. We have -- with these initiatives, we do see growth happening there.

Sharan Pillay

analyst
#79

Yes. Just a follow-up. In South Mumbai, we had earlier guided to a Q2, Q3 sort of breakeven. Are we pushing that to Q4, Q1 FY '22? Is that a range that we should be working?

B. Kumar

executive
#80

Yes. It all depends on the COVID situation. So we were -- pre-COVID, we were supposed to breakeven in Q3. So we do believe that it has been postponed. Because as you know, anybody who lives in Mumbai knows entire South Mumbai went into like complete shutdown. And whatever later on the hospitals opened, and they became occupied because of the COVID patients. So now the transformation will happen between COVID to normal patients. So our -- South Mumbai is very well positioned because we are very onco-centric, and we are also factoring international patients there, which is not happening. But once these things come online, whether -- possibly, it will be Q4, we expect it to move forward in breakeven.

Operator

operator
#81

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Dikshita Jain from Christensen IR.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#82

Congratulations, sir, for the good set of numbers. Sir, I just wanted -- if you can throw some light on the Elekta partnership and how it would benefit our company?

B. Kumar

executive
#83

Yes. See, normally, what happens is we always try to buy an equipment, which is CapEx studies, particularly HCG being the very -- oncology is very CapEx heavy, look at the linear accelerators, putting in replacement, putting in new equipment, each equipment pay cost something like $1.5 million, $2 million. So when we look at all these, it's very CapEx heavy, that has been the history, as you know. In the past, we have done deferred payment scheme and all that. But still, it is debt on your books and still you have to service. So we have worked out a unique model, which we gave a press statement. And we were probably the only ones globally with which -- Elekta is a major company, Swedish company, which is involved in manufacturing of linear accelerators. So we came up with an idea really what it means is, why should we buy the equipment? We are actually in service industry. We serve the patient. We are operators of the equipment. We should not be really buying. But in the past, no company would allow that because they said, we need to sell it, make our profits and move on to manufacture others. So Varian or Elekta or Accuray, whichever company makes these equipment, or Siemens, which makes PET scans and all, they were more interested in selling and the CapEx comes on your books. But we decided as a pilot project, we should try, whereby we will be able to actually have a partner model with the group of Elekta. We worked very hard for over a year, whereby the Elekta Board decided that they will have a revenue share model. So the CapEx is then there is no minimum -- without any minimum guarantees or anything, we are able to get this equipment and share with them in the revenue. It may be per patient, it may be on the type of technology we deliver and all. So with this, 2 things happened. The positive thing is, as we go forward, as we start replacing, there won't be additional CapEx on our books. The somewhat little bit negative thing could be that our EBITDA can be little bit eroded, very minimal. But we have done all this calculation. Your ROCE will be better, your return on capital, everything will be much better. So taking that into consideration, we are trying this model for a few select centers to see how it works out. And if it works out good, obviously, this could become a model for the future. Or you can create a hybrid model where you have certain equipments in this certain -- under CapEx, so you generate both and take the best of both. So this is truly a pilot study in progress model because as some of you know some of our -- even though we are not doing new centers, some of our LINACs and all are coming for replacement. So this is what we thought we can do and not really look at the further CapEx to the company.

Operator

operator
#84

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Harith Ahamed from Spark Capital Advisors.

Harith Mohammed

analyst
#85

Can you give a bit on the expected CapEx for FY '21? I know we've had a very modest CapEx spending in the first half. So what is -- so what should be we factoring for the full year FY '21?

B. Kumar

executive
#86

Yes. We expect the similar pattern to continue. Most of it will be like for functioning center. As you know, we have not planned any new centers in the coming few quarters. So with this in mind, we don't expect the CapEx to change much from what follow through was happening in the first 2 quarters of this year. I think Srini, you can add anything you feel. Anything addition you want to do?

V. Raghavan

executive
#87

Yes. I think you said it correctly. Doctor and as we said in the earlier part of the discussion that we are continuing to monitor CapEx and ensure that we can keep it at the right level. So as Dr. Ajai rightly pointed out, we expect it to be at the same level as H1 and H2 as well, and that's going to be the focus in the future, so that we are able to generate cash internally.

Harith Mohammed

analyst
#88

And from an FY '22 perspective, are there any new projects that we should be looking at or some of that...

B. Kumar

executive
#89

No, '22 also will be similar, except we do have a project in Delhi, as you know Gurgaon, where we may complete, but that is coming up -- may come in towards the end of '22 or '23. So it also, to some extent, depends on how we ramp up our revenue and profitability. So I don't want to comment on that, but that is one center which will come up possibly in '22 or towards the beginning of '23. So I don't -- it may not come in '22 at all, '22, '23, yes. '22, it may come towards the latter part.

Harith Mohammed

analyst
#90

All right. And then post the recent equity inflation by the new investor and the new additions to the Board, are there any changes at the operational level or strategy level or leadership level that we should be looking at in the coming months?

B. Kumar

executive
#91

Yes. Right now, nothing has happened, but maybe on -- we may be announcing some in the next -- this quarter. As and when it happens, certainly, we will make an announcement. But nothing at levels, but there may be some changes at 1 or 2 levels, which we will convey.

Operator

operator
#92

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Amish Kanani from JM Financial.

Amish Kanani

analyst
#93

Sir, 2 parts to my question. One, you mentioned that we have a lot of international business that we have kind of lost. So if you can give us some sense of whether it has started, say, from September, October onwards? Or it will be a bit distance and should we be looking at international sites in metros starting, which probably can give us that number? Because I think you said 10%, 15% is the number that we've lost. And part 2 question, sir -- part 2 of the question in the same breath is we wanted to understand how long is this oncology treatment that we do and, say, a loss of 3 months, does it mean that what was lost is actually lost permanently? Or is there some element of pent-up and postponed demand that a cancer patient kind of gone through? So both on the domestic and the international side, if you can give us some sense? Of course, I know, sir, phase 2 of COVID is picking. But some thoughts on that would be helpful.

B. Kumar

executive
#94

No, Amish, it's a good question, and I will answer both. So let me take the international and include the cost of patients. See international patients, certainly, it's a loss because international patients who come to us are usually for second line, third line treatment because they would have undergrown first line treatment, failed on it, they come. So when there is a delay of 6 months or 4 months, they will not be surviving or they will go -- they will probably locally take the treatment whatever available. Take, for example, countries like Nigeria, Tanzania or anybody, right now, I got a call saying a Nigeria patient wants to come immediately with advanced disease. So these kind of things will not wait. So a significant proportion of international patients, suppose we are seeing 15 new patients a month in Bangalore, over a 6-month period, let us say, we see 300 patients, certainly, those 300 patients will not come. Who will come for you is the follow-up patients and new patient and some ways -- some people who are waiting. So roughly about -- you can say roughly about 30% to 40% may end up coming, but the rest of the 70% will not come. They are not going to come back. But on the first part of your question, when will the ramp-up happen in international, as I said, the end of October, government relaxed the rules for visa, medical visa, and we are now working with various embassies, like in Kenya, Uganda, Nigeria, all these areas, to see that there is a good flow of patients. We have already a waiting list of about 30, 40 patients who are coming from countries like Nigeria and about 30 patients from Uganda. So the flow is waiting to get the visa. Obviously, the visa is not easy. That takes days, particularly in the COVID, you have to get COVID test and all that will come. And then next comes the question of flight. We do know the flights are coming through Middle East. So that has to be smooth functioning and how long they have to wait, what are the restrictions from Middle East. We're going through the process. We have a separate division to deal with it, going through the process, but we do expect Bangalore, Mumbai and Kolkata to really improve by end of last quarter. I think it will reach like what Srini said, will reach about 30%, 40% or 50% of the normal flow. In the first quarter of next year, if there is no COVID wave again, it should get back to normal. In order with the question -- about the domestic question you had, about the ramp-up happening, yes, it's a common feeling even among investors, that if you have cancer, you wait 3, 4 months and you come in, suddenly rush through the doors if COVID has improved. Unfortunately, it is not so all the time. There are 2 reasons. One is the advanced cases, again, domestic are not going to wait. And suppose somebody is coming from a town, who needs to come to Bangalore or Mumbai from different towns, they will not be able to come and there is a collateral damage. We have done a statistical analysis of that showing about 28% of the patients are lost because of this collateral damage. They will not come back because they would have advanced disease, they would try to get local treatment, which may not be available, whatever they can, but they will never end up coming for higher treatment. Now with the airlines open and train services open, we are beginning to see better footfall, particularly in Bangalore and Mumbai. Mumbai, particularly, footfall is almost back to pre-COVID normal level. And Bangalore, as we all talking about, the domestic level has reached about 90% in month of October. So we do believe this is a good trend. If there is no second wave, I think we are going to see it. But will the previous patients come back and have a sudden rush through the doors of HCG? No, we don't know. And we don't -- definitely, 100% will not come. There may be an initial, in the next few months, bump up. But certainly, I don't think it will compensate for the loss of patients footfall we have incurred in the last 6 months.

Amish Kanani

analyst
#95

Wish you a very happy Diwali. And to the all team.

B. Kumar

executive
#96

Thank you.

Operator

operator
#97

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Kunal Randeria from Edelweiss.

Kunal Randeria

analyst
#98

Sir, just we offer various kind of oncology services, right? So I'm just wondering what parts of these businesses have recovered pre-COVID levels? Which part do you think will take a lot longer? So if you can just probably -- and probably even just quantify a bit the proportion to revenue. I mean, so that would help us understand a bit better as the recovery is taking place.

B. Kumar

executive
#99

I couldn't hear the question. Niraj, can you repeat it for me?

Niraj Didwania

executive
#100

Doctor, the question is that within oncology, there are multiple services like, let's say, surgical, medical, radiation. So is there any variation in terms of what has recovered now? And any numbers you can throw light on? That is the question.

B. Kumar

executive
#101

Yes. I think all of them are to recover slowly. See, we always look at surgery first. And then medical oncology is one which kind of recovers because it is not -- nonintervention. Patients can come as, say, daycare chemo and get it. So medical oncology will -- there are also patients who are already there on medical oncology recovers. But surgery on -- but radiation is very dependent to some extent on the surgery and the post-op recovery and radiation. So that recovers a little bit later. But the issue with surgery has been because of the COVID and the people going into the operating room, COVID fear of the patients, initially even that medical staff had a fear because as you know even in our HCG and elsewhere, lot of the doctors, nursing, the paramedical staff have been exposed to COVID. In our own center, over 200 people had it. So these are frontline workers, there is a risk. So we have to be -- in the beginning, the fear was there and how do we take protection? What are the things? What is the exposure? So we have to put a lot strict guidelines. If a patient comes for surgery, we have to get a COVID test, and we essentially wait for about 15 days before they are taken up. They have to be in isolation. So this is, obviously, normally, as you can see from this protocol, the delays are there in surgery. So even now the surgery is a laggard, and radiation is the second laggard, but picking up slowly. Medical oncology has picked up better. Going forward, we do believe surgery will pick up as the COVID decreases, if it does. So again, in the fourth quarter, as I said, we are expecting surgery to return back to near close to normal level and radiation will simultaneously come up.

Kunal Randeria

analyst
#102

Right, sir. Sir, any numbers you would like to share? I mean, what would be the proportion of sort of revenues for some of these parts?

B. Kumar

executive
#103

I think we are aware of that no, Niraj? We have about radiation -- surgery is about 28% of the revenue, no, Niraj?

Niraj Didwania

executive
#104

So broadly -- yes. So broadly, Kunal, these 3 modalities in a normal situation contribute about roughly 27%, 28% each. And then the balance is, consultations and diagnostics, PET/CT, pathology, all of that. So I would say that today, maybe surgery is probably a little bit lower than the other 2 modalities. And then it is location dependent. Because, for example, if the patient is local and we are comfortable then they are going ahead with services, but if the patient is traveling, then obviously, they are reluctant to travel right now. So that impacts the procedure also.

B. Kumar

executive
#105

But the good news is, I think, starting October, we saw a definite improvement in the places like Ahmedabad or even in Bangalore. The trend is up. In the beginning, the complicated surgeries were not done because of this COVID and the team effort and the patient, the post-op that they will -- what kind of infection there will be. But there is some other good things also, maybe not related entirely to your question. Going forward, what we are seeing is definitely less infection of non-COVID infection. This is something HCG has taken a very prominent role in analyzing, and we are going to be publishing some data. See, what happens is because of the stringent measures we are all taking to protect our staff and also the patients are taking preventive measures, going forward, based on some trends, I think definitely there will be decreased morbidity and mortality from infection. And as you can see, the number of non-COVID infections have actually decreased, bacterial infection, other viral infection because of the strict measures and even simple measures like strict hand washing, wearing a mask all the time. Recently, now the report came wearing the mask not only prevents you from spreading the disease to others, it also protects you. With all this happening and strictly now going forward, I think every health care professional will follow this. And I hope every individual who can follow this mask wearing, hand washing, certainly, the number of infections, flu types of infection, pneumonia will decrease. So the overall business for doctors may go down, that can happen. But obviously, cancer is cancer. I don't think cancer will be affected. But we do see this trend happening. It may be a sustainable trend.

Operator

operator
#106

[Operator Instructions]

B. Kumar

executive
#107

So Niraj, if there are no questions should we end, close this?

Niraj Didwania

executive
#108

Yes, we should wind up the call.

Operator

operator
#109

Yes, sir. We don't have anyone in queue. Would you like to add any closing comments?

Niraj Didwania

executive
#110

Yes. Thank you, everyone, for the active participation on call, and we are available to discuss offline if required. With this, we conclude Q2 and H1 FY '21 earnings conference call.

B. Kumar

executive
#111

Thank you very much, everyone, for participating. Thanks a lot. Thank you.

Niraj Didwania

executive
#112

A happy Diwali to everybody.

B. Kumar

executive
#113

Yes, happy Diwali and thanks. Thanks, Niraj. And thanks, everyone, for participating.

Operator

operator
#114

Thank you. On behalf of Healthcare Global Enterprises Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.

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