Helios Towers plc (HTWS) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

August 13, 2020

London Stock Exchange GB Communication Services Diversified Telecommunication Services earnings 60 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Kashyap Pandya

executive
#1

Good morning, everybody, and thank you for making the time to join us for our H1 2020 trading update. Joining me on the call are the 2 duos as usual, albeit they're in their different capacities in their new roles that we announced during the last month or so. Tom Greenwood joins us as Chief Operating Officer; and Manjit Dhillon is our Interim Finance -- Chief Finance Officer. And I'm Kash Pandya, CEO. I'm going to move on to Slide 2. The agenda of the call, we'll cover off the highlights of the performance up to H1 2020. We'll talk a little bit about the Senegal transaction and then go into our financial performance. And at the end of the call, there will be plenty of time for questions and answers through our call coordinator, Adam. Moving on to Slide 4, key highlights for half 1. Well, look, we continue to deliver a solid, strong revenue growth. Our half year came in at 7% revenue growth, delivering $204 million year-over-year. And as you'd expect with the business model like ours, EBITDA has grown faster than the revenue has, growing by 10% points in terms of adjusted EBITDA coming in at $109 million year-over-year, and that's also allowed us to grow our margin by 1 percentage point to 53% EBITDA margin. In terms of cash generation, again, as you'll remember, we've been growing our cash portfolio, free cash flow over the last few years. And we've increased 12% year-over-year this half year to $89 million. So they're the financial key metrics that we report on. In terms of our operating metrics around site growth, we've seen good momentum on site growth at 3% and 6% tenancy growth at just under 15,000 tenancies for our portfolio of a little over 7,000 towers, giving us a tenancy ratio of 2.1x tenants per tower. We've also announced a number of acquisitions in the last few weeks. The largest one, which we announced yesterday, which we're going to go into a lot more detail. Tom is going to take us through that. But at a high level, we've signed an agreement to enter Senegal and acquiring just a little over 1,200 towers on the financial numbers that we quote on this slide. We've also added a couple of in-market M&A, small ones, in South Africa, Eagle Towers as well as in Congo Brazzaville, Airtel towers, the Warid portfolio that they haven't sold. And so we're very excited about continuing to do M&As in our existing markets. And this is something that will continue to occur in the markets we're already in. And we can touch on a little bit about the M&A strategy during the presentation as we go forward. As you would have seen in terms of our financing structure, we've got a much more efficient financing structure in place now. Thanks to Manjit and the finance team, we placed the severance of [indiscernible] [ the 7% ] coupon, which is a lot more efficient than the previous [ 2.98 ]. In addition, we've got a $200 million term loan facility in place as well as an [ RPF ] of $70 million. And this is all capacity for us to continue to drive M&A and expand and deliver on the strategy we've articulated a number of times over the last 12 months or so. And part of that focus on M&A and expansion is the organization changes are made in July with appointing Tom Greenwood from the CFO role he had to Chief Operating Officer. And this is really with a view that we have a lot going on, on our expansion process. And actually, Tom and the team have signed their first deal since Tom taking on the role in July. So good momentum starting to see. Moving on to Slide 5. Well, look, we continue to deliver on what we say. We've changed this slide from the previous slide. We used to have showing consecutive quarter-on-quarter growth, and we think that it's time now to focus on 3 key metrics for the business in terms of EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA growth, portfolio free cash flow and ROIC. It's not to say that we don't and aren't going to continue delivering quarter-on-quarter growth. Actually, Q2 of 2020 is a 22nd consecutive quarter of growth. But we think that this slide is a better way of showing the business' performance going forward. Some 7% EBITDA -- adjusted EBITDA growth last quarter annualized coming at $205 million -- now compared to $205 million compared to full year 2019. In terms of portfolio free cash flow, we've delivered $173 million, some 2 percentage growth since full year '19. And our ROIC is at stable and around the target we've set the business set ourselves between 14% and 15%, reflecting our growth in free cash flow, but also reflecting the recent acquisitions and the growth investments we're making. And we will continue to report on a quarterly basis, as I said, on these 2 KPIs. Moving on to Slide 16. Look, I'm sure you're very interested in the way our business has performed during the COVID-19 pandemic that's taken hold across the planet. One of the advantages we have is the business model we operate in. And what we found, while we've been very focused in keeping our staff and our partners' staff safe in the environment we're in currently, we've continued to execute and actually improve our performance in terms of customer service. So in terms of field operations, we already had an isolated field operation while, typical, our field engineers travel around in their 4-wheel-drive pickups on their own to go to sites to do maintenance. And that has continued that in a year [ glitches at all ]. We moved our staff -- office-based staff to homeworking in mid-March across all our markets, and that has continued. We see this as an ongoing process for the remainder of this year. In terms of our revenue and liquidity, well, we still have close to $3 billion worth of contracted revenue ahead of us and a little under 7 years of contract life on average remaining. So a pretty predictable revenue stream and EBITDA stream as far as we're concerned. And as I said earlier, our liquidity position is solid. We have access of close to $500 million between cash and undrawn debt facilities to drive expansion and organic growth in our business. In terms of customer rollouts, while we've seen a little bit of a slowdown in Q2 when the severity of the lockdown was impacting our markets, we're starting to see freedom -- a freeing of the lockdown, and we're expecting more tenancies to occur in the second half of this year. And that's why we're holding our full year guidance of between 1,000 and 1,500 for tenancies to be put on to our towers over the course of 2020, which is not dissimilar to what we've been delivering over the past few years. Supply chain management, well, part of our strategy has been to really focus on our supply chain over the last few years. We have 12 core suppliers that we work with for our core strategic components to drive OpEx as well as CapEx investments, and we've seen no impact on that because we've been proactively ordering on a 3-month advance stages anyway. And finally, in terms of rigor and monitoring, we have a weekly update with our Board and executive management reviews on the impact of COVID-19 on a daily basis, utilizing all the digital solutions you'd expect us to utilize in terms of video conferencing, mobile apps to monitor maintenance activity, cloud-based systems, et cetera. So just reiterating, full year guidance is maintained for our business, albeit the virus is causing the world some challenges, but we're managing to work through these in our markets. Now moving on to Slide 7. We wanted to give you an update on our sustainable business strategy road map. We talked a little bit about this in Q1 as well. I want to first emphasize that we already have a sustainable business model in what we do today in Africa by bringing digital connectivity to rural communities and helping these communities to get access to simple things like educational materials, health care advice, banking and commercial data to help agriculture products to be sold at a cost-effective pricing as an example. And we are continuing to focus our strategy on the 3 pillars outlined on this slide around business excellence and efficiency to lead the way in terms of power uptime and connectivity reliability. Access to the network in our markets to the investment into new towers and expansion of the network in the markets we operate in, and that allows social economic development of the communities we serve. And of course, we have focused over the last few years, actually 5 years or so, in empowering and investing in our staff and our partner staff. To the extent, I'm proud to say today that in Africa, 100% of our staff are Africans, and 96-plus percent of our staff in the markets we operate in are from within those markets. And that's come about because we've really looked at investing in competency building in our colleagues who live and work in Africa. And these 3 strong pillars are underpinned by strong governance values that we established from 5 years ago. These values being integrity, partnership and excellence in everything we do. During Q3, we will be deploying KPIs and targets that we will communicate with our internal and external stakeholders. We're planning face-to-face meeting with investors, shareholders during Q4 to take all our -- those who are interested in taking calls with us on our sustainability strategy. And we will have a sustainability business report in our Q1 results as part of our annual report to give you confidence that we're taking this matter with the seriousness it needs. Moving on to Slide 8, recent developments. Well, look, I touched and mentioned our operational focus. I'm pleased to say, during the last 6 months, we hit, in June, our record power uptime performance. And we measured this in the form of downtime per tower per week. And we actually hit 1 minute and 3 seconds downtime on average across 7,000 towers downtime per tower per week. And this is a milestone we've been working hard to achieve for a long time. And it speaks to our target of Lean Six Sigma levels of performance. 95% of our towers now achieving Six Sigma levels. And just to reiterate what that is for us, that's 2 seconds downtime per tower per week, demonstrating our continuous focus on deploying the Lean Six Sigma methodology across our portfolio. In terms of Board governance, well, I'm pleased to say, effective from now, we are a compliant Board. We have now acquired independent nonexecutive directors, 2 shareholder directors, 2 Executive Board members and an independent Chair. And we're also pleased that we've now added 2 non-execs over the last few weeks, Carol and Sally. And now, we have a gender-diverse and ethnic-diverse Board as well, and we'll continue to strengthen our Board when the right opportunities come about. Regarding Tanzania listing, some of you may have been aware that there was a local requirement for infrastructure and telecoms license holders in Tanzania to list 25% of their local entity on the Dar Stock Exchange. I'm pleased to say that legislation, effective from 1st of July, in Tanzania was changed so that no longer tower operators in Tanzania need to list their stock on the stock exchange in Dar. Not that we were concerned about that, we always thought that this was going to be something that would come about, and it has done literally a little over a month ago. And in terms of our M&A strategy, I'm going to really let Tom talk about our entry to Senegal and the detail about that transaction in the next slide. But I just want to emphasize that we're very focused as a management in expanding our organization into new markets. We remain confident about delivering on what we articulated during the IPO. And that is to go from 5 markets to 8 markets or more over the course of the next 5 years. And actually, now we've entered or about to enter Senegal as our sixth market. And our tower count is still targeted at 12,000 or more over the next 5 years. And we're excited about moving forward on that, take the eye as well. So on that note, I'm going to hand over to Tom.

Tom Greenwood

executive
#2

Thanks very much, Kash. Hi, everyone. So I'm on Page 10 now of the presentation. So as Kash mentioned and as you've seen, we announced yesterday a major acquisition for us, our first major acquisition post IPO. And hopefully, there will be more to come on that. So this acquisition is exactly in line with our growth strategy. It meets all of our investment criteria. It provides very good diversification for us and will be immediately accretive to earnings when it comes on stream. Moving on to the transaction highlights on Page 11. So the transaction overview sees us acquire just over 1,200 sites for EUR 160 million. And then also, we have a commitment for 400 build-to-suit sites over the next 5 years, and there's an earn-out of 40 million attached to the delivery of those orders. which again, is great. So overall, that would see us have around 1,600 sites in Senegal, and that obviously excludes building any other sites for any of the other mobile operators there. Our counterpart of the transaction is a mobile operator called Free Senegal. They're the #2 in the market with 26% market share. And they're backed by Xavier Niel, the Iliad founder, as well as some minority investors. It's a very solid counterpart with good growth ambitions for the country as well as the sites that we're buying and the build-to-suits that we have committed. This deal comes with a 15-year initial term service contracts with renewals thereafter. So very long-term contracts and with all the usual features which we have in our contracts, including automatic escalations and things like that. The currency of Senegal is the West African francs, which is obviously pegged to the euro, which is great. So a lot of hard currency-based revenue for us here in this transaction. In terms of day 1 financials. On a run rate basis, the asset is expected to deliver EUR 32 million of revenue and EUR 16 million of EBITDA on day 1, and we're expecting a lot of further growth on top of that in the months and years thereafter. Financing, we will be financing this through cash on balance sheet and available debt lines. And closing, we expect probably in Q1 after the usual conditions are satisfied. We've already set up our 100-day plan, which is already in motion, which will see us set up in the country with an office and get staff on board and the usual things like that. Moving on to Slide 12 now, a look at how this deal meets all of our criteria. So Senegal is a very exciting market in West Africa, with a population of around 16 million people, with a 5% GDP growth forecast and 3% population forecast. So very high growth, as with -- which is one of the things we look for in acquisitions. It has a very attractive mobile operator landscape in the country, 3 strong operators, all with decent market share. We have 3 that -- our counterpart, which is 26% market share and is the #2 in the country; Orange, which is the #1 with about 50%; and Expresso, which is the third with about 21%. So a very good competitive environment. And of course, we will be the only independent tower company in the country with a view to serving all 3 customers as they deliver their growth plans over their next phase of their business. The currency, as I mentioned, is very attractive, pegged to the euro and a low inflationary environment, with inflation typically at around 1% over the past 5 years. So very much similar to the euro zone in that respect. There's a big power infrastructure gap in the country. Average subscribers per point of service is around 4,500, which compares to about 1,100 in the U.S. So we think that as the proliferation of mobile expands in the country, as more 4G comes and 5G one day, there will be a reduction in that KPI there, which will -- which -- as the networks become more dense over time, which is great news for us as a tower company. Finally, the mobile penetration is around 50%, growing at 4% per year. And of course, last but not least, and most importantly, this still is accretive to our group returns. Moving on now to the next page, Page 13. Just looking at how this supports our 5-year vision, where we set out last year at IPO, of course, to expand from 5 markets to 8 markets and 7,000 sites to 12,000 sites over the next 5 years. And clearly, this acquisition is a very good stepping stone in that direction, moving to 6 markets and moving to about 8,500 towers. And as mentioned before, we would be aiming to build on this acquisition with others in other markets over the near term as well. Now moving to Page 14. So what is the asset that we bought? Well, it's a very strong asset. It's the second largest tower portfolio in the country with 1,200 sites. And of course, that will be 1,600 sites once the build-to-suit commitment has been rolled out. One of the most attractive areas of this asset is the tenancy ratio is very close to one time, as we see in other markets where tower companies don't exist. Typically, mobile operators don't particularly like sharing towers with each other. And so you often find networks with a very low tenancy ratio, which is exactly what we've done here. And of course, the first thing will be to try to get that tenancy ratio up by selling space and services to Orange and Expresso. The financial KPIs I mentioned before are there. And then on the left-hand side here, you see the slight spread and locations around the country. Obviously, a lot focused around Dakar, which is a big urban center in Senegal. And around 70% of the sites are urban, which is great, and 30% rural. So that is slanted towards urban a bit more than our group average, which is excellent. And about 53% of greenfield and 47% rift off. The rift off is principally being in the urban centers, particularly Dakar. And these sites will be very attractive, we think, for the other mobile operators in the country, particularly as densification is required for 4G and 5G, which will be coming soon. Next, moving on to Page 15. Here, we see our pro forma KPIs based on this deal. So site count, as I mentioned, going up to, at the top end, 8,700, including the 400 build-to-suits. Revenues going up from 409 to 447, and EBITDA going from 220 to 239. And I should note that these revenue and EBITDA numbers are just related to the 1,200 sites on day 1. They do not include the revenue and EBITDA from the 400 build-to-suits, which are contracted. So there's a bit of upside there. Next and finally, we move on to Slide 16, again, just looking at what this does for our group from a customer and currency point of view. So first of all, customer, as you know, we have a good spread of customers at the moment. And this pro forma for this acquisition of these 3 come in at 8% of our overall group total, Vodacom, Airtel, Tigo and Orange still being our major customers across the group. And then from a currency point of view, you see the increase in the euro-based currency that we have there up to 13%. So overall, our revenues, from a hard currency perspective, moved from 59% as currently to 63% with this transaction. So overall, a very good addition to our portfolio. So with that, I will hand over to Manjit to take us through the financial section.

Manjit Dhillon

executive
#3

Thanks, Tom. Moving on to the financial results, and starting on Slide 18. Here, we summarize the main KPIs, which I will be talking through over the next few slides. So on Slide 19, we see continued upward growth in our tenancies. Over the last 12 months, we added 806 tenancies across our portfolio. And the quarter-on-quarter growth of 329 tenancies is driven predominantly by in-market bolt-ons in South Africa and Congo Brazzaville and steady organic tenancy growth. Tenancy growth for a tower business is now the completely linear and comes in fits and births, and we expect there to be a strong rollout during H2. Our tenancy pipeline is strong. And as mentioned earlier, our full year guidance has been maintained, and we expect to see tenancy growth for 2020 being in the range of 1,000 to 1,500 tenancies, with the majority of that rollout expected towards the end of the year. On Slide 20, looking at our revenues and EBITDA. We've seen solid growth in Q2 with revenue growth of 5% year-on-year, flat quarter-on-quarter, and EBITDA growth of 10% year-on-year and 2% quarter-on-quarter. Our adjusted EBITDA margin is set at 1 percentage point to 54% and just shy of our target range of 55% to 60%, which we expect to hit by the end of the year. If we move on to Slide 21, you'll see the usual breakdowns provided, which are very consistent from previous quarterly update. Our customer mix, FX mix and operating company split are largely unchanged, with 86% of our H1 2020 revenue coming from Africa's big 5 mobile network operators, being Airtel, MTN, Orange, Tigo and Vodacom. 59% of our revenue was in hard currency, be it the U.S. dollar or euro pegged, which translates to approximately 65% of our EBITDA being in hard currency, which provides a strong natural hedge for the business and which is further complemented by our annual inflation escalators, which we have in our contracts with our customers. On to Slide 22, a look at our gross profit per tower and operating expenses. Gross profit per tower has stepped up by 7% year-on-year, demonstrating the continued operational leverage of our platform. As we continue to increase our number of co-locations, we will see significant bottom line flow-through from these incremental tenancies, increasing our gross profit per tower and further increasing our EBITDA margin. Operating expenses have decreased slightly in the quarter. And as a percentage of revenue, it has reduced to 32%, a record laid for the group. Moving on now to Slide 23. And here, we look at CapEx. And for H1 2020, our expenditure was $38 million. As we have increased tenancy rollout during H2, we should see CapEx also increase. And as Kash mentioned earlier, we are reiterating our full year guidance. And for CapEx, that means we expect to incur $110 million for organic CapEx investments, of which $20 million to $25 million is related to maintenance and corporate CapEx. And we also expect to incur $30 million for inorganic in-market bolt-on acquisitions, and we have deployed $10 million of this during Q2, which related to the Eagle Towers acquisition in South Africa. And we do expect to announce more in-market acquisitions in due course. Moving now on to Slide 24. And here, we show a summary of our financial debt. We were pleased to announce in June that we were able to refinance our debt facilities and thereby reduce our cost of funding as well as raising additional facilities for growth opportunities. We successfully raised the $750 million senior unsecured notes with a coupon of 7% payable semiannually. That's a reduction of 2.125% from our [ major ] bonds people. The proceeds were used to refinance the $600 million 2022 notes, repaid the $75 million drawn term loan and covered transaction fees with excess funds going to the balance sheet for general corporate purposes. In addition, we increased our RCF facility from $60 million to $70 million and raised a new $200 million term loan, which will be used for expansionary purposes and general corporate purposes. As of H1, our net leverage was 3x and continues to be below our target range of 3.5 to 4.5. However, we expect to be within our target range within the short to medium term as we start to draw the facilities for utilization for our expansionary growth. Finally, on Slide 25, our cash flow. Our cash conversion continues to be very strong at 82% in H1 2020, which is a 16 percentage points improvement since 2017, representing a significant increase in cash conversion. We've also seen an improvement in net receivables, with net receivables days reducing by 12 days from the end of 2019 to now being 45 days. And as we said in previous quarters, cash receipts can be lumpy, and we've seen some inflows in the quarter. But generally, net receivables days remains broadly stable versus FY '17 and FY '19. And with that, I'll pass it back on to Kash to go through Slide 26.

Kashyap Pandya

executive
#4

Thanks, Manjit. So this is the last slide before we go to Q&A. Look, summarizing the H1 results. So we've, first of all, delivered on our acquisition growth strategy and -- but that's not the end of the delivery. We continue to look at, and we'll continue to add more markets in due course. We've delivered robust operational performance in H1. We've improved our -- significantly improved our balance sheet, extended our maturity in terms of our debt structure. And we've got a lower cost of debt, which provides more capital for expansion and organic growth. We've got a robust organic and inorganic pipeline, and we're very excited about continuing to drive the growth of our business in those 2 dimensions. And finally, we maintained our full year guidance, and we see improvement coming in the second half of the year in terms of tenancy growth. So on that note, I'm going to hand over to Adam, our conference coordinator, to help with the questions. Thanks, Adam.

Operator

operator
#5

[Operator Instructions] We have our first question. It comes from Giles Thorne of Jefferies.

Giles Thorne

analyst
#6

My first question, acquisition. It would be useful to get a feeling for how competed that process was, and why, in your view, you feel like you were ultimately chosen. Now price will obviously be a feature of that. But any other qualitative commentary around why you were the winning bid would be useful. Secondly, sticking with Senegal. It would be useful to understand the nature of the assets that you bought. The number of rural split is useful. But if we could also have some color around how the sites look under the criteria of overlap, consolidation, and you need zones, some language you previously used, that would be very useful, too. And then my final question, sticking with the theme of M&A. I wanted to get your comments on the latest Ethiopia headlines where we've seen the government move to block some telecom infrastructure operators buying assets or being part of the Ethiopia privatization and overall market liberalization. I'm guessing it's hard for you to comment, but getting your comments nonetheless would be useful.

Kashyap Pandya

executive
#7

Thanks. Thank you for the questions. Well, let me take a first aspects on the Senegal competitive dynamics and why we were chosen. And then I think I'll let Tom pick up on the other aspects of Senegal, and we'll touch on Ethiopia at the end. So on those, I think, first of all, we believe, and we're not aware in terms of hard data, but we believe all 3 independent tower operators in that [indiscernible] would have been involved in this transaction, looking to enter Senegal. Why? As the first mover advantage, we're the only independent player now in Senegal. Low levels of penetration with 3 customers operating there with success. And the currency, these are compelling reasons to want to enter set as far as we're concerned. So I think we've competed with a number of all of the tower operators in Africa, but I'm sure there were other players involved with private equity backing as well. Why I do we think we were chosen? Well, we think that we were fast up the block in terms of the process. We maintained the momentum in terms of the BD activities with the other side. But I think also our reputation over the last 10 years of operating in Africa and the ethos we have on customer service and partnership really played into the selection process. And we're pleased that we recognized our performance in other markets in the way we operate Tom, do you want to pick up on the other aspects of the transaction?

Tom Greenwood

executive
#8

Yes, absolutely. So look, in terms of the portfolio itself, as mentioned, Giles, it's 70% urban, which we like. Now in terms of the splits on the assets and how we classify them, we haven't released that publicly, but we would expect over a 5-year period that we get to roughly 1.5 tenancy ratio. And today, it's at 1. So it's roughly 0.1 each year is what we would anticipate.

Kashyap Pandya

executive
#9

And Ethiopia, Giles, yes, we've also picked up on the media. About our assessment is, first of all, that this is actually [indiscernible] telecom's CEO, who's made the comment rather than the official government line. But our experience operating in the continent is that there will be some ups and downs. But Ethiopia will end up liberalizing because it needs to in terms of being able to expand the basic mobile infrastructure needs to provide to the population. So we're still keeping momentum there. We're still maintaining our presence. And if it's not during the course of this year, it's likely to be the course of next year when M&A licenses are issued and tower infrastructure license are issued. And we still remain very positive on Ethiopia.

Giles Thorne

analyst
#10

Okay. And is Ethiopia within that 12,000 target?

Kashyap Pandya

executive
#11

Ethiopia is, but there are a number of other markets. In our view, that target is for the end of 2025. In our view, the pace and the sort of the intensity of M&A over the last 6 months has picked up. In addition to Ethiopia, we're looking at a number of deals. And we're very excited about actually, as Tom mentioned being ahead of the M&A target for the strategy.

Operator

operator
#12

Our next question comes from John Karidis of Numis.

John Karidis

analyst
#13

Well done on finishing a very hectic and successful quarter. I just wanted to ask one point of detail. So you said that because of the Senegal acquisition, your revenue share from hard currency goes from 59% to 63%. What's the equivalent move at the EBITDA level, please? So from 65% to what? Is it 70% or more than that? And then secondly, I'd be very grateful if you could talk around the various issues that may have caused revenue growth in the second quarter to differ from the revenue growth in the first quarter. I'm sure it's something to do with COVID, but more color from you would be good. And also, I'm aware that you have a number of hedges or escalators against tower costs and local inflation. But unfortunately, they don't match the end of quarters or the end of years. So is it the case that you were hit during the second quarter because of these things? And -- but you're likely to sort of catch up in the very near term?

Kashyap Pandya

executive
#14

Thanks, John. Manjit, do you want to pick up on those questions?

Manjit Dhillon

executive
#15

Yes, absolutely. So on the first question about the EBITDA split, we'd expect that to be broadly around the 70% mark. But we'll provide that since we close as well. But yes, increasing from 65% to broadly 70%. On your second question about the revenue being flat. Really, the main reason for that was the majority of tenancies came in later in the quarter and really came in, in the June month. And so we should really see that revenue picking up within Q3 as we get a full quarter's worth of revenue coming from those. And on the escalation points that you raised, yes, sometimes you may see a slight discrepancy in timing between when a price may move when the escalator kicks in. But when it comes to fuel, in particular, the majority of our contracts are on a quarterly basis, and so the differential should only be 1 to 2 months at a maximum.

John Karidis

analyst
#16

Is it at all possible to get some sort of -- if I may, sorry, ask one follow-up question. Some sort of list? So in the past, we've asked you about M&A targets. And you've given us a very long list of names. Is there any chance of figuring out roughly what the sort of top 5 priorities might be or opportunities in the next 6 to 12 months, please, Kash?

Kashyap Pandya

executive
#17

Sure. Look, we are -- it's difficult to say because it's still competitive out there, John. But we are very, very active. I mean, I think in the past, we've quoted that we've got over 20 M&A opportunities we're tracking and involved in. And I would say that we're intensely involved in between 7 to 10 opportunities today. And so -- but beyond that, it's difficult for us to say in more detail because we want to carry on doing what we did in Senegal, being very aggressive and take advantage of some of these opportunities.

Operator

operator
#18

Our next question comes from Alexander Vengranovich of Renaissance Capital.

Alexander Vengranovich

analyst
#19

I have a couple of small questions, I think. First one, I've noticed there was some strong profitability improvement in Ghana in the second quarter this year despite some like weakness in revenue in U.S. dollar terms. Can you just comment on the reasons behind this strong improvement? Second question is very a quick one also on South Africa. In your real press release, you kind of provided sort of a 0 adjusted EBITDA for the quarter for South Africa. I just wanted to understand whether it's actually 0 or you just preferred not to provide any additional details on South Africa? And the third question is on the accounting treatment of Senegal acquisition. So as far as I understand, the deal is supposed to be closed first quarter next year. Should we assume that you will start accounting for the acquired site only once the deal is fully closed?

Kashyap Pandya

executive
#20

Thanks, Alex. I'll pick this one. So with regards to the Ghanaian EBITDA margin improvement, so really, that's driven by 2 factors. The first one has been some growth in colocations in that market, so really driving some of the top line there. But really also a key driver here is going to be some of the OpEx improvements we're having. And the operational excellence program, which is still ongoing across our markets, and that's really one of the main drivers there. With regards to Senegal, the main driver here -- sorry, the main time we'll put this into our accounts will be upon closing. So we'll expect to start accounting for Senegal after Q1 of 2021 as soon as that is fully leased in the business.

Alexander Vengranovich

analyst
#21

And as for South Africa EBITDA?

Kashyap Pandya

executive
#22

Sorry, on the South African EBITDA, it's actually 0, so it's flat for the quarter. So that's why you've seen it as being that nil on the statement.

Operator

operator
#23

Our next question comes from Florian Henritzi of Bank of America.

Florian Henritzi

analyst
#24

I had 2. So firstly, also on the Senegal deal. I was just wondering, given you have no deliberate sort of the first figure years since your IPO, how should we think about the pace of the deal flow going forward? So should we expect things maybe to pick up? Or is it still likely more gradual given the sort of challenging environment we have with COVID? And then, I guess, by definition, you only pursue sort of value-enhancing deals for yourselves. But if you were to rank the Senegal deal now versus other opportunities you're looking at, I would be interested in how that would stack up in your view?

Tom Greenwood

executive
#25

Yes. Florian, it's Tom here. So look, for us, the Senegal deal is a very attractive deal. It's value accretive. I don't want to put that on a scale of other deals because, obviously, that's very commercially sensitive in competitive processes. So no comments on that. But you can be sure that it's a very value-accretive deal for us. In terms of deal flow, again, just to echo what Kash said, there are a number of opportunities going on right now, predicting timing of these can sometimes be a little bit challenging given all the parties involved. But our ambition is to sign more in the near term, certainly the potential to do that is there. And the potential to significantly surpass our 5-year stated target is also there if we convert some of these. So I won't give exact timing, but the ingredients are there to make it happen in the near term.

Florian Henritzi

analyst
#26

Yes. Okay. And just a second one. Also on sort of the firepower you're always talking about. I guess the Senegal deal will consume sort of a good chunk of -- I think you previously mentioned around USD 300 million to USD 350 million if you -- if we keep some of the cash on balance sheet. So while I appreciate your business generates plenty of cash organically, and I was wondering how you think about sort of external financing options. And if we could expect you to come to the capital markets, either debt or equity any time in the near term? And in conjunction to this, maybe just -- I was just wondering, I mean, if you were to hypothetically lever up to your sort of the upfront on your leverage [indiscernible], so to the 4.5x, I'm assuming average deal multiples you've paid in the past, what would be the sort of the total firepower you have then? And how many towers could that buy if you have some numbers here?

Tom Greenwood

executive
#27

Yes. So the short answer is, yes, we would go to the capital markets, but I'll let Manjit talk you through.

Manjit Dhillon

executive
#28

Yes. So yes, as you rightly say, we have about $300 million, $350 million of firepower as it stands right now. That's a bit between cash on balance sheet and the available debt lines that we have. Our priority would be to utilize the debt first. So as we start to, as you say, increase our leverage up to a range of 4.5 within the equity markets to potentially raise further capital, and given the amount of opportunities that we have available now in terms of our M&A pipeline, it is certainly in excess of what we've currently got in terms of our available firepower. So certainly, we would be looking to do further raisings in the future on that. And then with regards as we start to get towards the 4.5x, I mean, the high-level guidance we would give, I think, is utilizing potentially a build-to-suit calculation on a per-site basis for the number of sites we purchased. So our midyear target is to get to -- in 5-year target is to get from our existing 8,000 towers to 12,000, about 2,000 to 3,000 of those would be purchased through the available facilities that we have right now.

Operator

operator
#29

Our next question comes from Simon Coles of Barclays.

Simon Coles

analyst
#30

Sorry, another one on M&A. And you talked about how opportunities you're seeing an uptick. And I think you've hinted towards that on the last conference call as well. I'm just wondering, as your scale is increasing, you've done some more deals this quarter. So more people are aware of the capabilities you can bring. Are the opportunities increasing by, say, bigger portfolios that operators you have relationships are now more willing to discuss with you? Or are you seeing new operators come to the table offering a site potentially for sale? So that's the first one. And then secondly, just on tenancies. You reiterated the guidance. The first half was maybe a little bit slower than we might have expected. Consciously, you can't necessarily give 2021 guidance. It's not necessarily what I'm asking, but is the run rate that will pick up in 2H, we can -- can you just think that is the sort of run rate that should carry on in the future, if we ignore Senegal for a second, which it sounds like will add about 100 tenancies a year?

Tom Greenwood

executive
#31

Yes. Simon, it's Tom here. I'll take the first one on the M&A, and then Manjit will take the second one. So yes, look, I mean, it's a mixture of mobile operators. Some of them we know very well, they're big customers of ours and we've done deals with them in the past. Others are new ones who perhaps haven't really gone down the sale leaseback route before. But perhaps now there in their heads that they're doing, selling their tower is the right thing to do because they're nonstrategic and they want to raise financing for their 5G rollout and all that stuff. So it really is a mixture. And we're obviously leveraging our existing relationships and the great service that we provide our existing customers today as a way of trying to be in there for new deals with them. But we're also clearly, as demonstrated yesterday with the Senegal deal announcement, able to put forward our case through operational excellence with new mobile operators who we haven't worked with before. So yes, very much a mixture. And that's -- so yes, that's what we'd expect going forward. So I'll hand over to Manjit for the question on the tenancies.

Manjit Dhillon

executive
#32

Thanks, Tom. So yes, we've had a slower tenancy rollout during H1. But as we look at our pipeline, we have a very strong pipeline, and we expect there to be an increased rollout during H2. So you're still getting within our target range. As I said a bit earlier, the tenancy growth for tower case is not linear, it can be lumpy, coming in fits and births throughout the year. So as we get towards the latter end of the year, we should find that, that will be a higher rollout than normal. I wouldn't say that would be necessarily the run rate as you say. But I think you need look at it on a full year basis, and we would expect that the number of tenancies within the target range of 1,000 to 1,500 being broadly similar for the following year as well, excluding Senegal, obviously.

Operator

operator
#33

[Operator Instructions] We have another question. This one is from Rahul Bhat of JPMorgan.

Rahul Bhat

analyst
#34

I just had a quick couple of questions. Firstly, on the $30 million of acquisitions guidance that you have for this year, I just wanted to confirm, so that is excluding the Senegal acquisition. Is that correct? And secondly, also more of a clarification on cash upstreaming from your market. Is everything going okay? Or because of COVID and other reasons, have there been any restrictions on cash upstreaming for the market? And how does Senegal look in this perspective as well? Do they have -- I'm not really aware of their financial control. So is -- can capital move freely in and out of the country over there?

Manjit Dhillon

executive
#35

Thanks. Rahul.

Kashyap Pandya

executive
#36

Manjit.

Manjit Dhillon

executive
#37

Thanks. So yes, the $30 million is for in-market bolt-on acquisitions. So that does not include Senegal. So that will be for our 5 markets that we have as of today. With regards to the upstreaming of payments, we have not found any problems with that. We've actually seen continued upstreaming month-on-month from all of our operating companies. We have a very efficient ways of upstreaming of funds, some by electronic bank transfer and is very, very quick as obviously, you have the documentation in place, which we do. And we expect that to continue for the rest of the year. With regards to Senegal, as far as it currently stands, it has a similar position out of the markets and upstreaming of funds shouldn't have any problems there either.

Operator

operator
#38

Our next question comes from [ Sumit Kanodia ] of [ Ninety One ].

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#39

Congrats on the Senegal acquisition. So just one question. Just to confirm, obviously, you say it's pegged to the euro. Do you take any depaying risk? Or is that covered in the contract with Free? So ahead of that work?

Kashyap Pandya

executive
#40

Yes, absolutely. So there's -- So first of all, our view is that the peg will continue, and that is obviously banked up -- backed up by the French treasury. But there are provisions in the contract, which do protect us to some extent if there was a depegging. But we don't view that as a likely scenario at all, actually.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#41

Okay. And just one other question. Just -- so Orange is obviously quite a strong #1 in Senegal. Do you have -- you have existing relationships already with them. And like do you expect them to be a large part of your growth in Senegal? Or is it mainly from the -- I guess, the third operator going forward?

Manjit Dhillon

executive
#42

Yes. I mean we very much hope both of them and expect both of them. Well, Orange is, as you said, they're #1. They have about 50% market share. So they've got a pretty decent network of towers themselves. But we very much expect them to colocate with us, and particularly as 4G and soon to come 5G arrives, we think that network portfolio positioning, particularly in the big cities like Dakar, is going to be really helpful for that because it's a dense, it is fairly difficult to build big towers in the downtown area. And so our position of having a lot of these sites on the top of buildings, which can have colocation on, we think will be very, very attractive for the others, both 2 mobile operators with the onset of data networks. So yes.

Kashyap Pandya

executive
#43

And Orange is already a customer of ours in DRC. So we do have good relationships with them.

Operator

operator
#44

Our final question comes from [ Dilawort Forazi ] of [ Lumi Space ].

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#45

Congratulations on the acquisition again. Just a couple of quick questions about the funding of the transaction. So obviously, you've got $200 million of cash on the balance sheet, you've got your term loan as well on the RCF. Have you now drawn down on the term loan? Is that how you're doing it mechanics wise? And in terms of the net leverage as a result sort of 3.55 based on LQA. Is that about right? And is your leverage target still in line with the 3.5 to 4.5x that you've guided in the past?

Manjit Dhillon

executive
#46

So we have not yet shown the facilities as it currently stands, but we expect to draw it upon phasing, and that will help to fund the acquisition. As we draw, we'd expect the net leverage to increase to just shy of 3.5x. So still slightly below our target range, and our target range remains unchanged. It will still be between 3.5 to 4.5.

Operator

operator
#47

That concludes the question-and-answer session for today. I would now like to hand back over to Kash Pandya for today's close.

Kashyap Pandya

executive
#48

Thanks, Adam. Well, thank you very much, everybody, for taking the time to join us on this call. We look forward to talking to you during November or end of October, actually, 31st of October, for our Q3 trading update. Thank you. Bye-bye.

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